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我农产品日报-20251205
Guang Da Qi Huo· 2025-12-05 08:38
我农产品日报(2025 年 12 月 5 日) 一、研究观点 | 品种 | 点评 | 观点 | | --- | --- | --- | | 玉米 | 本周,玉米近月 2601 合约领涨,远期合约跟涨。1 月合约减仓,资金向 3 月和 | | | | 5 月合约转移,近月期价领涨、远期跟涨,期价以上涨打破震荡局面,价格恢复上 | | | | 行。近期中储粮哈尔滨库收购价格较高,对黑龙江产区价格直接形成支撑,黑龙 | | | | 江部分产区报价至 2100 元/吨以上。期货上涨,北港报价也有所上调。 山东深 | | | | 加工企业早间剩余车辆维持高位,部分企业继续窄幅 6-20 元/吨。河北、河南深 | | | | 加工企业价格保持稳定。贸易商收购价格保持坚挺,未跟随深加工企业价格频繁 | 震荡上涨 | | | 变动。当前华北玉米基层购销活跃度不强,供需维持动态平衡。 销区市场玉米 | | | | 价格继续窄幅上调。期货盘面继续上行,部分港口现货库存偏少,港口贸易商报 | | | | 价坚挺。饲料企业高价采买意愿不强,销售利润偏低,市场购销活跃度一般。技 | | | | 术上,现货玉米报价延续强势表现,期价结束 ...
有色商品日报(2025 年 12 月 5 日)-20251205
Guang Da Qi Huo· 2025-12-05 08:30
1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Views of the Report - **Copper**: Overnight, both domestic and international copper prices fluctuated within a narrow range, with the loss on domestic refined copper spot imports widening. The employment market shows resilience, and the expected interest - rate hike by the Bank of Japan may put pressure on global risk assets. LME copper registered warrants are being converted into cancelled warrants, indicating tight LME inventory and a structural problem in global visible inventory. The market sentiment is evolving towards an external squeeze, and the performance may remain strong [1]. - **Aluminum**: Overnight, alumina fluctuated weakly, while Shanghai aluminum and aluminum alloy fluctuated strongly. The market's expectation of environmental production restrictions on northern alumina plants did not materialize, and new production and restarting occurred, leading to a correction in the futures market. Aluminum prices have supported demand, but the demand impulse is difficult to sustain, and the upside space depends on the bulls' response to subsequent macro - dynamics [1][2]. - **Nickel**: Overnight, LME nickel rose slightly, while Shanghai nickel fell slightly. Nickel inventory increased, and the nickel - iron stainless - steel industry chain is weak. In the new - energy industry chain, raw materials are tight, but the production of ternary precursors is expected to decline in December. It may be considered to buy at low levels, but beware of macro - disturbances and overseas industrial policy adjustments [2]. 3. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Research Views - **Copper**: In terms of macro, the initial jobless claims decreased significantly, and the Bank of Japan's expected interest - rate hike may impact global risk assets. In terms of inventory, LME, Comex, SHFE, and BC copper inventories all increased. The conversion of LME registered warrants to cancelled warrants indicates a positive outlook for future copper prices [1]. - **Aluminum**: Overnight, AO2601 fell 1.15%, AL2601 rose 0.79%, and AD2601 rose 0.64%. The SMM alumina price fell, and the aluminum ingot spot discount widened. The aluminum rod and aluminum alloy processing fees showed different trends. The lack of expected environmental production restrictions led to a correction in the market, and the demand impulse is difficult to sustain [1][2]. - **Nickel**: LME nickel rose 0.07%, and Shanghai nickel fell 0.03%. LME and SHFE nickel inventories increased. The nickel - iron price center decreased, and the stainless - steel inventory decreased slightly. Raw - material support in the new - energy industry chain is weakening, and the production of ternary precursors is expected to decline in December [2]. 3.2 Daily Data Monitoring - **Copper**: On December 4, 2025, the price of flat - water copper increased by 2270 yuan/ton. LME inventory increased by 675 tons, and SHFE copper warrants increased by 3170 tons. The active - contract import loss decreased by 1540.7 yuan/ton [3]. - **Lead**: The average price of 1 lead remained unchanged. The LME inventory was stable, and the SHFE inventory decreased by 1122 tons. The active - contract import loss decreased slightly [3]. - **Aluminum**: On December 4, 2025, the Wuxi and Nanhai aluminum prices increased. The LME inventory decreased by 2500 tons, and the SHFE inventory decreased by 8439 tons. The active - contract import loss decreased [4]. - **Nickel**: The price of Jinchuan nickel increased. The LME inventory increased by 126 tons, and the SHFE nickel warrants increased by 2501 tons. The active - contract import loss increased [4]. - **Zinc**: The主力结算价 increased by 0.4%. The LME inventory was stable, and the SHFE inventory increased by 793 tons. The active - contract import loss decreased [6]. - **Tin**: The主力结算价 increased by 2.9%. The LME inventory remained unchanged, and the SHFE inventory increased by 130 tons. The active - contract import loss decreased [6]. 3.3 Chart Analysis - **Spot Premium**: Charts show the historical trends of spot premiums for copper, aluminum, nickel, zinc, lead, and tin from 2019 - 2025 [8][10][11]. - **SHFE Near - Far Month Spread**: Charts display the historical trends of the spread between the first and second - nearest contracts for copper, aluminum, nickel, zinc, lead, and tin from 2020 - 2025 [12][16][17]. - **LME Inventory**: Charts present the historical trends of LME inventories for copper, aluminum, nickel, zinc, lead, and tin from 2019 - 2025 [19][21][23]. - **SHFE Inventory**: Charts show the historical trends of SHFE inventories for copper, aluminum, nickel, zinc, lead, and tin from 2019 - 2025 [25][27][29]. - **Social Inventory**: Charts display the historical trends of social inventories for copper, aluminum, nickel, zinc, stainless steel, and 300 - series from 2019 - 2025 [31][33][35]. - **Smelting Profit**: Charts present the historical trends of copper concentrate index, rough - copper processing fee, aluminum smelting profit, nickel - iron smelting cost, zinc smelting profit, and stainless - steel 304 smelting profit margin from 2019 - 2025 [38][40][42]. 3.4 Team Introduction - The non - ferrous metals team at Everbright Futures Research Institute consists of Zhan Dapeng, Wang Heng, and Zhu Xi. They have rich experience in non - ferrous metals research, focusing on different sub - sectors and providing in - depth reports and policy interpretations [45][46].
光大期货煤化工商品日报(2025 年 12 月 5 日)-20251205
Guang Da Qi Huo· 2025-12-05 08:29
Group 1: Report Industry Investment Ratings - Urea: Firm and volatile [1] - Soda Ash: Bottom - level volatile [1] - Glass: Bottom - level weak volatile [1] Group 2: Core Views - Urea: Spot prices are strengthening, supply is falling due to gas - fired plants' maintenance or shutdowns, demand is positive but mid - and downstream acceptance is decreasing. Futures have rebounded and need new positive drivers. Short - term quotes may be firm, but price transmission needs attention [1] - Soda Ash: Spot quotes are stable, industry operation rate and production are increasing, inventory is decreasing, and the mid - and upstream supply pressure is relieved. However, future supply increase and downstream capacity decline expectations exist, and the futures will maintain a low - level volatile trend [1] - Glass: Spot prices are weakly volatile, supply is expected to decline, demand is positive, and inventory is decreasing. But the weak rigid demand limits the demand height, and the futures have digested recent positive factors and will maintain a bottom - level weak volatile trend [1] Group 3: Market Information Summary Urea - On December 4, futures warehouse receipts increased by 1,588 to 9,353, with 770 valid forecasts [4] - On December 4, daily production was 190,600 tons, a decrease of 1,900 tons from the previous workday and an increase of 8,600 tons from the same period last year. The industry operation rate was 78.81%, 1.7 percentage points lower than last year [4] - On December 4, small - particle urea spot prices in various regions increased, with Shandong at 1,710 yuan/ton (+30), Henan at 1,700 yuan/ton (+10), etc. [4] - As of December 3, enterprise inventory was 1.2905 million tons, a weekly decrease of 73,400 tons (-5.38%) [5] Soda Ash & Glass - On December 4, soda ash futures warehouse receipts increased by 1,259 to 7,535, with 2,012 valid forecasts; glass futures warehouse receipts remained unchanged at 0 [7] - On December 4, soda ash spot prices varied by region. For example, in North China, light soda was 1,250 yuan/ton and heavy soda was 1,300 yuan/ton [7] - As of December 4, weekly soda ash production was 703,900 tons, a weekly increase of 58,000 tons (+0.82%); capacity utilization was 80.74%, a weekly increase of 0.66 percentage points [7] - As of December 4, soda ash factory inventory decreased by 31,300 tons (-1.99%) from Monday and 48,800 tons (-3.07%) from last Thursday [7] - On December 4, the average price of the float glass market was 1,099 yuan/ton, a daily decrease of 2 yuan/ton; daily production was 155,000 tons, unchanged from the previous day [7] - As of December 4, the inventory of float glass sample enterprises was 59.442 million weight boxes, a weekly decrease of 2.92 million weight boxes (-4.68%), and an increase of 23.25% year - on - year. The inventory days were 26.8 days, a decrease of 0.7 days from last week [8] Group 4: Chart Analysis - The report includes various charts such as the closing price, basis, trading volume, and price difference charts of urea and soda ash futures, as well as the spot price trend charts of urea and soda ash, and the futures price difference charts of urea - methanol and glass - soda ash [10][11][19][21] Group 5: Research Team Introduction - Zhang Xiaojin, the director of resource product research at Everbright Futures Research Institute, focuses on sugar industry research and has won many awards [24] - Zhang Linglu, an analyst at Everbright Futures Research Institute, is responsible for research on futures varieties such as urea, soda ash, and glass and has won multiple honors [24] - Sun Chengzhen, an analyst at Everbright Futures Research Institute, is engaged in fundamental research and data analysis of varieties such as cotton, cotton yarn, and ferroalloys and has won relevant awards [24]
光大期货软商品日报(2025 年12月5日)-20251205
Guang Da Qi Huo· 2025-12-05 08:29
软商品日报 光大期货软商品日报(2025 年 12 月 5 日) 一、研究观点 | 品种 | 点评 | 观点 | | --- | --- | --- | | | 周四,ICE 美棉下跌 0.65%,报收 64.04 美分/磅,CF601 环比上涨 0.4%,报收 13790 元/吨,主力合约持仓环比下降 9091 手至 51.31 万手,棉花 3128B 现货价格指数 | | | | 14585 元/吨,较前一日上涨 15 元/吨。国内市场方面,宏观层面仍有扰动,数据 | | | | 显示美国就业仍有韧性,美联储降息预期小幅波动,美元指数震荡走强,美棉价 | | | | 格承压下行。基本面方面,近期美棉出口仍然承压,拖累美棉价格。此外关注将 | | | 棉花 | 于下周发布的 USDA12 月报。国内市场方面,郑棉期价低开,尾盘跌幅收窄。我 | 震荡 | | | 们认为宏观有利好预期、棉花需求相对稳定、年度供需压力不大是近期行情主要 | | | | 驱动因素。但需要看到的是,当前多空因素均有,供应压力仍存,若价格持续上 | | | | 行,上方还有套保压力。展望未来,短期郑棉或仍偏震荡运行为主,随着时间推 | ...
碳酸锂日报-20251205
Guang Da Qi Huo· 2025-12-05 08:27
碳酸锂日报 碳酸锂日报(2025 年 12 月 5 日) 一、研究观点 点 评 请务必阅读正文之后的免责条款部分 EVERBRIGHT FUTURES 1 1. 昨日碳酸锂期货 2605 合约跌 1.26%至 93700 元/吨。现货价格方面,电池级碳酸锂平均价跌 350 元/ 吨至 94000 元/吨,工业级碳酸锂平均价跌 350 元/吨至 91550 元/吨,电池级氢氧化锂(粗颗粒)跌 100 元/吨至 82480 元/吨。仓单方面,昨日仓单库存增加 770 吨至 10422 吨。 2. 供应端,周度产量环比增加 74 吨至 21939 吨,其中锂辉石提锂环比增加 120 吨至 13484 吨,锂云母 产量环比增加 55 吨至 3076 吨,盐湖提锂环比减少 145 吨至 3090 吨,回收料提锂环比增加 44 吨至 2289 吨;据 SMM 数据,12 月预计供应环比增加 3%至 9.8 万吨。需求端,周度三元材料产量环比 减少 564 吨至 18697 吨,库存环比减少 519 吨至 18842 吨;磷酸铁锂产量环比减少 233 吨至 95480 吨,库存环比减少 660 吨至 103681 吨;据 ...
光期黑色:铁矿石基差及价差监测日报-20251205
Guang Da Qi Huo· 2025-12-05 08:26
光期研究 图表1:05-09合约价差(单位:元/吨) 图表2:01-05合约价差(单位:元/吨) p 2 -100 -50 0 50 100 150 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 01 2101-2105 2201-2205 2301-2305 2401-2405 2501-2505 2601-2605 -50 0 50 100 150 200 09 10 10 10 11 11 12 12 01 01 02 02 03 03 04 04 05 2105-2109 2205-2209 2305-2309 2405-2409 2505-2509 2605-2609 资料来源:Wind,Mysteel, 光大期货研究所 光期黑色:铁矿石基差及价差监测日报 2025 年 1 2 月 5 日 1 光大证券 2020 年 半 年 度 业 绩 E V E R B R I G H T S E C U R I T I E S 1.1 合约价差 | 期货合约 | 今日收盘价 | 上日收盘价 | 变化 | 合约价差 | 今日价差 | 上日价差 | 变化 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | - ...
工业硅&多晶硅日报(2025 年 12 月 5 日)-20251205
Guang Da Qi Huo· 2025-12-05 08:18
工业硅日报 工业硅&多晶硅日报(2025 年 12 月 5 日) 一、研究观点 点评 4 日工业硅震荡偏弱,主力 2601 收于 8910 元/吨,日内跌幅 0.5%,持仓减 仓 907 手至 19.3 万手。百川工业硅现货参考价 9745 元/吨,较上一交易日 持稳。最低交割品#421 价格涨至 9000 元/吨,现货升水扩至 90 元/吨。多 晶硅震荡偏强,主力 2601 收于 56910 元/吨,日内涨幅 0.05%,持仓减仓 11085 手至 11.7 万手;多晶硅 N 型复投硅料价格涨至 52350 元/吨,最低交 割品硅料价格涨至 52350 元/吨,现货对主力贴水收至 4615 元/吨。供给延 续南减北增节奏,难有明显减负,但需求有较大降幅空间,工业硅重心有 成本支撑、无向上驱动。光伏集中式项目收尾,海外需求同步下滑,组件 端大版型订单大幅缩水,产业链需求负反馈效应加剧,硅料厂坚持减产不 降价策略。随着交易所针对多晶硅提保限仓,近月挤仓情绪有所淡化,但 仓单不足情况下正套力量仍在,近月无深跌空间。建议投资者持续跟踪持 仓和仓单情况、谨慎为上。 请务必阅读正文之后的免责条款部分 EVERBRIGH ...
光大期货能化商品日报-20251205
Guang Da Qi Huo· 2025-12-05 08:17
光大期货能化商品日报 光大期货能化商品日报(2025 年 12 月 5 日) 一、研究观点 | 品种 | 点评 | 观点 | | --- | --- | --- | | | 周四油价震荡反弹,其中 WTI 1 月合约收盘上涨 0.72 美元至 59.67 | | | | 美元/桶,涨幅 1.22%。布伦特 2 月合约收盘上涨 0.59 美元至 63.26 | | | | 美元/桶,涨幅 0.94%。SC2601 以 456.5 元/桶收盘,上涨 5.2 元/ | | | | 桶,涨幅为 1.15%。由于严重风暴和近期的无人机袭击扰乱了装载 | | | | 作业,俄罗斯黑海港口 Novorossiysk 港和里海管道联盟 CPC 终端 | | | | 11 月的石油出口量较原计划减少约 100 万吨。行业人士称, | | | | Novorossiysk 港 11 月乌拉尔原油、西伯利亚轻质原油和 KEBCO | | | | 原油的装船计划量约为 320 万吨,但实际出口仅达到约 250 万吨。 | | | 原油 | 市场调查结果显示,尽管 OPEC 同意提高 11 月份的原油产量, | 震荡 | | | 但由 ...
光大期货金融期货日报-20251205
Guang Da Qi Huo· 2025-12-05 08:17
1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Stock index: Oscillating [1] - Treasury bonds: Relatively strong [1] 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The liquidity-driven market since June has ended, and the market refocuses on fundamental logic. New productive forces represented by AI have optimistic growth expectations, especially in the upstream hardware manufacturing of the technology sector, but there's a lack of event catalysts near the year - end. Traditional economic sectors are in a process of oscillating recovery. Overseas tech stocks have divergent expectations. The market volume and volatility are decreasing, and the risk appetite is falling. The index is expected to oscillate in the short term [1]. - Treasury bond futures closed with declines. The central bank conducted reverse repurchase operations, and there was a net withdrawal of funds. The bond market showed a situation where good news was exhausted, with treasury bond yields oscillating slightly upward and the yield curve steepening. It's expected to continue narrow - range oscillations within the year [1][2] 3. Summaries by Relevant Catalogs Research Viewpoints - **Stock Index**: The A - share market oscillated flatly, with the TMT sector rising and the consumer sector回调. The Wind All - A index rose 0.01% with a trading volume of 1.56 trillion yuan. Different stock indexes had varying degrees of increase. The market is expected to oscillate in the short term [1]. - **Treasury Bonds**: Treasury bond futures closed with declines. The central bank carried out 1808 billion yuan of 7 - day reverse repurchase on December 4, with a winning bid rate of 1.4%. There was a net withdrawal of 1756 billion yuan in the open market. The money market showed certain changes, and the bond market is expected to have a narrow - range oscillation within the year [1][2] Market News - The Chinese government conducts export controls on rare - earth related items in accordance with laws and regulations, approves compliant civilian export applications in a timely manner, and promotes compliant trade in dual - use items [4] Chart Analysis - **Stock Index Futures**: It includes the trend charts of IH, IF, IM, IC main contracts and the basis trend charts of each index futures contract [5][6][7] - **Treasury Bond Futures**: It includes the trend chart of treasury bond futures main contracts, the yield chart of treasury bond spot, the basis chart, the inter - period spread chart, the cross - variety spread chart, and the fund interest rate chart [12][13][16] - **Exchange Rates**: It includes the intermediate price charts of the US dollar, euro against the RMB, the forward exchange rate charts of the US dollar, euro against the RMB, and the charts of the US dollar index, euro - US dollar, pound - US dollar, and US dollar - yen exchange rates [20][21][27]
有色商品日报-20251204
Guang Da Qi Huo· 2025-12-04 06:11
1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided 2. Core Views of the Report - Overnight, both domestic and international copper prices soared to record highs, with the loss of domestic refined copper spot imports widening. The weakening US labor market and the improvement of the service industry index, along with the upcoming Central Economic Work Conference in China, are the main influencing factors. The increase in LME and Comex copper inventories, along with the decrease in SHFE copper warehouse receipts, indicate tight LME inventories and structural issues in global visible inventories, which may lead to a continued strong performance in the market [1]. - Aluminum prices showed a mixed trend, with aluminum alloy weakening and aluminum and alumina showing different trends. The expected environmental production restrictions on northern alumina plants did not occur, and new production and restart rhythms emerged, leading to a significant correction in the market. The decline in aluminum prices has boosted downstream sentiment, and the lagging demand has gradually been realized in the short term. However, as the new energy vehicle purchase tax rush ends and the State Grid order matching concludes, the support for aluminum prices is strong, but it is difficult to sustain the demand surge, and the possibility of reaching a new high this year is low [1][2]. - Nickel prices also showed a mixed trend, with LME nickel rising and Shanghai nickel falling slightly. The inventory situation is complex, with LME nickel inventory decreasing and SHFE nickel warehouse receipts increasing. The nickel - iron - stainless steel industry chain is facing challenges, with the raw material support weakening and the stainless - steel inventory increasing. In the new energy industry chain, the raw material supply is tight, but the production of ternary precursors is expected to decline in December. It may be advisable to consider bottom - fishing and waiting for positive factors to materialize, but be vigilant against macro - level disturbances and overseas industrial policy adjustments [3]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Research Views - **Copper**: Overnight, both domestic and international copper prices reached new historical highs. The US labor market showed signs of weakness, with a decrease of 32,000 in the ADP employment number in November 2025, the largest decline since March 2023. However, the US ISM service industry PMI index rose to 52.6 in November, the highest in nine months. Domestically, attention is focused on the upcoming Central Economic Work Conference. LME copper inventory increased by 350 tons to 162,150 tons, Comex copper inventory increased by 2,127 tons to 393,979 tons, and SHFE copper warehouse receipts decreased by 1,599 tons to 28,969 tons. The large - scale conversion of LME copper registered warehouse receipts to cancelled warehouse receipts is seen as a sign of impending large - scale提货, indicating tight LME inventories and structural issues in global visible inventories [1]. - **Aluminum**: Aluminum alloy trended weakly, with the overnight main contract AD2601 closing at 20,970 yuan/ton, a decline of 0.64%. Aluminum trended strongly, with the overnight AL2601 closing at 22,010 yuan/ton, a rise of 0.53%. Alumina trended weakly, with the overnight AO2601 closing at 2,632 yuan/ton, a decline of 0.53%. The expected environmental production restrictions on northern alumina plants did not occur, and new production and restart rhythms emerged, leading to a correction in the market. The decline in aluminum prices has led to an improvement in downstream sentiment, and the lagging demand has been gradually realized in the short term. However, the support for aluminum prices is strong, but it is difficult to sustain the demand surge, and the possibility of reaching a new high this year is low [1][2]. - **Nickel**: LME nickel rose 0.92% to 14,875 US dollars/ton, and Shanghai nickel fell 0.02% to 117,590 yuan/ton. LME nickel inventory decreased by 84 tons to 252,990 tons, and SHFE nickel warehouse receipts increased by 244 tons to 32,595 tons. The nickel - iron - stainless steel industry chain is facing challenges, with the raw material support weakening and the stainless - steel inventory increasing. In the new energy industry chain, the raw material supply is tight, but the production of ternary precursors is expected to decline in December. It may be advisable to consider bottom - fishing and waiting for positive factors to materialize, but be vigilant against macro - level disturbances and overseas industrial policy adjustments [3]. 3.2 Daily Data Monitoring - **Copper**: On December 3, 2025, the price of flat - copper was 88,925 yuan/ton, up 340 yuan from the previous day. The price of 1 bright scrap copper in Guangdong remained unchanged at 79,800 yuan/ton. LME copper inventory remained unchanged at 161,800 tons, SHFE copper warehouse receipts decreased by 1,599 tons to 28,969 tons, and the total social inventory (including bonded areas) decreased by 0.4 million tons to 26.2 million tons [4]. - **Aluminum**: On December 3, 2025, the Wuxi quotation was 21,790 yuan/ton, up 90 yuan from the previous day, and the Nanhai quotation was 21,690 yuan/ton, up 80 yuan from the previous day. LME aluminum inventory remained unchanged at 535,900 tons, SHFE aluminum warehouse receipts remained unchanged at 66,833 tons, and the total social inventory of electrolytic aluminum remained unchanged at 59.6 million tons [5]. - **Nickel**: On December 3, 2025, the price of Jinchuan nickel plate was 122,400 yuan/ton, up 25 yuan from the previous day. LME nickel inventory remained unchanged at 253,074 tons, SHFE nickel warehouse receipts increased by 244 tons to 32,595 tons, and the total social inventory of nickel increased by 3,090 tons to 55,349 tons [5]. - **Zinc**: On December 3, 2025, the main settlement price was 22,740 yuan/ton, up 0.2% from the previous day. LME zinc inventory remained unchanged at 52,375 tons, and the social inventory decreased by 0.28 million tons to 13.76 million tons [7]. - **Tin**: On December 3, 2025, the main settlement price was 309,340 yuan/ton, up 1.2% from the previous day. LME tin inventory remained unchanged at 3,145 tons, and SHFE tin inventory increased by 130 tons to 6,359 tons [7]. 3.3 Chart Analysis - **Spot Premium**: The report provides spot premium charts for copper, aluminum, nickel, zinc, lead, and tin from 2019 - 2025, showing the historical trends of spot premiums for these metals [9][12][14]. - **SHFE Near - Far Month Spread**: The report provides near - far month spread charts for copper, aluminum, nickel, zinc, lead, and tin from 2020 - 2025, showing the historical trends of near - far month spreads for these metals [15][18][21]. - **LME Inventory**: The report provides LME inventory charts for copper, aluminum, nickel, zinc, lead, and tin from 2019 - 2025, showing the historical trends of LME inventories for these metals [23][25][27]. - **SHFE Inventory**: The report provides SHFE inventory charts for copper, aluminum, nickel, zinc, lead, and tin from 2019 - 2025, showing the historical trends of SHFE inventories for these metals [29][31][33]. - **Social Inventory**: The report provides social inventory charts for copper, aluminum, nickel, zinc, stainless steel, and 300 - series stainless steel from 2019 - 2025, showing the historical trends of social inventories for these items [35][37][39]. - **Smelting Profit**: The report provides charts for copper concentrate index, crude copper processing fee, aluminum smelting profit, nickel - iron smelting cost, zinc smelting profit, and stainless - steel 304 smelting profit margin from 2019 - 2025, showing the historical trends of smelting - related indicators [42][44][46]. 3.4 Team Introduction - The research team consists of Zhan Dapeng, Wang Heng, and Zhu Xi. Zhan Dapeng is the director of non - ferrous metal research at Everbright Futures Research Institute, with more than a decade of commodity research experience. Wang Heng focuses on aluminum - silicon research, and Zhu Xi focuses on lithium - nickel research. Both have rich experience in tracking the new energy industry chain and providing in - depth reports [49][50].