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建信期货生猪日报-20251219
Jian Xin Qi Huo· 2025-12-19 02:26
Report Information - Report Name: Pig Daily Report - Date: December 19, 2025 - Industry: Pig [1][2] Investment Rating - No relevant information Core View - The spot market is boosted by the demand for curing and enema, showing a strong and volatile trend. The futures market faces dual supply pressures from the concentrated second - fattening in October and continuous capacity release, which puts pressure on the 01 and 03 contracts. However, due to the large price decline compared to the same period last year and the increasing and more severe northern epidemic recently, the bottom - shock frequency has increased [8] Summary by Directory 1. Market Review and Operation Suggestions - **Futures Market**: On the 18th, the main 2603 contract of live pigs opened flat and then fluctuated downwards, closing in the red at the end of the session. The highest was 11,470 yuan/ton, the lowest was 11,320 yuan/ton, and the closing price was 11,325 yuan/ton, a decrease of 1.18% from the previous day. The total index position decreased by 4,480 lots to 357,131 lots [7] - **Spot Market**: On the 18th, the average price of ternary pigs nationwide was 11.67 yuan/kg, an increase of 0.06 yuan/kg from the previous day [7] - **Supply Side**: In the long term, the pig slaughter is expected to maintain a slight growth until next year's first half. The utilization rate of second - fattening pens is slightly higher than the same period last year, increasing the supply pressure before the Spring Festival. In December, the planned slaughter of sample breeding enterprises is 27.72 million heads, with a monthly planned increase of 4.64%. Currently, the overall completion progress of many regional groups is slightly slow, and there is a certain increase in the difficulty of acquisition [8] - **Demand Side**: Currently, second - fattening is mainly in a wait - and - see state, and there may still be a small amount of rolling replenishment demand in December. With the continuous cooling of the weather, the demand for curing and enema is increasing, the terminal consumer demand is rising, and the orders of slaughtering enterprises are increasing, which significantly supports the slaughter volume. On December 18th, the slaughter volume of sample slaughtering enterprises was 201,900 heads, an increase of 6,900 heads from the previous day, 17,000 heads week - on - week, and 36,000 heads month - on - month [8] - **Policy Side**: China imposes anti - dumping duties on imported related pork and pig by - products from the EU. However, the impact is very limited because the proportion compared to domestic consumption is extremely low [8] 3. Data Overview - **Actual and Planned Slaughter**: In November, the actual slaughter volume of Yongyi sample enterprises was 26.49 million heads, with a completion rate of 99.36%. In December, the planned slaughter is 27.72 million heads, with a monthly planned increase of 4.64% and a daily average increase of 1.27% [13] - **Profit per Head**: As of December 11th, the profit per head of self - breeding and self - raising pigs was - 146 yuan/head, a week - on - week decrease of 11.5 yuan/head; the profit per head of purchasing piglets for breeding was - 264 yuan/head, a week - on - week decrease of 5.6 yuan/head [13] - **Cost**: As of December 11th, the expected cost of self - breeding and self - raising was 12.09 yuan/kg, a week - on - week increase of 0.04 yuan/kg. The cost of purchasing piglets for fattening was affected by both feed prices and piglet prices, and the expected cost after fattening to 125 kg and then slaughtering was 11.41 yuan/kg, a week - on - week increase of 0.12 yuan/kg [13] - **Slaughter Weight and Proportion**: As of the week of December 11th, the average slaughter weight of pigs was 129.63 kg, a decrease of 0.19 kg from the previous week. The proportion of pigs under 90 kg was 5.43%, an increase of 0.38% from the previous week, and the proportion of pigs over 150 kg was 6.9%, almost the same as the previous week [13]
建信期货国债日报-20251219
Jian Xin Qi Huo· 2025-12-19 02:23
行业 国债日报 日期 2025 年 12 月 19 日 #summary# 每日报告 | | | 表1:国债期货12月18日交易数据汇总 | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 合约 | 前结算价 | 开盘价 | 收盘价 | 结算价 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 (%) | 成交量 | 持仓量 | 仓差 | | TL2603 | 111.990 | 112.220 | 112.250 | 112.410 | 0.260 | 0.23 | 119192 | 142795 | -1510 | | TL2606 | 112.170 | 112.520 | 112.500 | 112.630 | 0.330 | 0.29 | 8741 | 21207 | 396 | | TL2609 | 112.060 | 112.280 | 112.290 | 112.420 | 0.230 | 0.21 | 101 | 381 | 25 | | T2603 | 108.005 | 107.990 | 108.010 | ...
锌期货日报-20251219
Jian Xin Qi Huo· 2025-12-19 02:23
行业 锌期货日报 日期 2025 年 12 月 19 日 021-60635740 期货从业资格号:F3075681 研究员:张平 021-60635734 zhangping@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F3015713 每日报告 一、 行情回顾 | 表1:期货市场行情 | | | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 单位:元/吨 | | 开盘 | 收盘 | 最高 | 最低 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | 持仓量 | 持仓量变化 | | 沪锌 | 2601 | 23000 | 23030 | 23105 | 22965 | 120 | 0.52 | 52902 | -6324 | | 沪锌 | 2602 | 23030 | 23035 | 23125 | 22975 | 110 | 0.48 | 83725 | 2951 | | 沪锌 | 2603 | 23000 | 23045 | 23130 | 22980 | 105 | 0.46 | 40273 | 1043 | ...
碳酸锂期货日报-20251219
Jian Xin Qi Huo· 2025-12-19 02:21
行业 碳酸锂期货日报 日期 2025 年 12 月 19 日 研究员:张平 021-60635734 zhangping@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F3015713 021-60635729 yufeifei@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F3025190 021-60635740 pengjinglin@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F3075681 有色金属研究团队 研究员:余菲菲 研究员:彭婧霖 请阅读正文后的声明 碳酸锂期货冲高回落,在供应端扰动情绪褪去后,前日高点压制明显,日内电碳 涨 500 至 97550,澳矿涨 10 至 1340,云母涨 40 至 2825,三元涨 200-800,铁锂 涨 120,电解液持平,本周碳酸锂周度库存去库 1044 吨至 110425 吨,去库力度 继续放缓,预计将打压短期市场热情,不过在产业链涨价态势稳固的背景下,预 计锂价回调空间也有限。 二、 行业要闻 请阅读正文后的声明- 2 - #summary# 每日报告 一、 行情回顾与操作建议 图1:碳酸锂现货价及价差 图2:碳酸锂期货持仓 ...
集运指数日报-20251219
Jian Xin Qi Huo· 2025-12-19 02:20
行业 集运指数日报 日期 2025 年 12 月 19 日 宏观金融团队 请阅读正文后的声明 #summary# 研究员:何卓乔(宏观贵金属) 18665641296 hezhuoqiao@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F3008762 研究员:黄雯昕(国债集运) 021-60635739 huangwenxin@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F3051589 研究员:聂嘉怡(股指) 021-60635735 niejiayi@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F03124070 每日报告 | | | 表1:集运欧线期货12月18日交易数据汇总 | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 合约 | 前结算 价 | 开盘价 | 收盘价 | 结算价 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 (%) | 成交量 | 持仓量 | 仓差 | | EC2512 | 1,631.7 | 1,632.0 | 1,624.4 | 1,626.7 | -7.3 | - ...
建信期货纸浆日报-20251219
Jian Xin Qi Huo· 2025-12-19 02:19
行业 纸浆日报 日期 2025 年 12 月 19 日 021-60635570 liuyouran@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F03094925 021-60635738 lijie@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F3031215 021-60635737 renjunchi@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F3037892 021-60635727 每日报告 一、行情回顾与操作建议 penghaozhou@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F3065843 021-60635740 pengjinglin@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F3075681 021-60635727 fengzeren@ccb.ccbfutures.com 能源化工研究团队 研究员:刘悠然(纸浆) 研究员:李捷,CFA(原油沥青) 研究员:任俊弛(PTA、MEG) 研究员:彭浩洲(工业硅多晶硅) 研究员:彭婧霖(聚烯烃) 研究员:冯泽仁(玻璃纯碱) 期货从业资格号:F03134307 请阅读正文后的声明 #su ...
建信期货原油日报-20251219
Jian Xin Qi Huo· 2025-12-19 02:17
行业 原油日报 日期 2025 年 12 月 19 日 021-60635738 lijie@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F3031215 021-60635737 renjunchi@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F3037892 028-8663 0631 penghaozhou@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F3065843 021-60635740 pengjinglin@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F3075681 021-60635570 liuyouran@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F03094925 021-60635727 fengzeren@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F03134307 能源化工研究团队 研究员:李捷,CFA(原油沥青) 研究员:任俊弛(PTA、MEG) 研究员:彭浩洲(工业硅碳市场) 研究员:彭婧霖(聚烯烃) 研究员:刘悠然(纸浆) 研究员:冯泽仁(玻璃纯碱) 请阅读正文后的声明 每日报告 一、行情回顾与操作建议 | ...
建信期货聚烯烃日报-20251219
Jian Xin Qi Huo· 2025-12-19 02:13
行业 聚烯烃日报 日期 2025 年 12 月 19 日 021-60635740 pengjinglin@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F3075681 021-60635738 lijie@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F3031215 021-60635737 renjunchi@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F3037892 028-86630631 penghaozhou@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F3065843 021-60635570 liuyouran@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F03094925 021-60635727 fengzeren@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F03134307 能源化工研究团队 研究员:彭婧霖(聚烯烃) 研究员:李捷,CFA(原油燃料油) 研究员:任俊弛(PTA、MEG) 研究员:彭浩洲(尿素、工业硅) 研究员:刘悠然(纸浆) 研究员:冯泽仁(玻璃纯碱) 请阅读正文后的声明 每日报告 | 表1:期货市场行情 | ...
建信期货棉花日报-20251219
Jian Xin Qi Huo· 2025-12-19 02:13
研究员:洪辰亮 021-60635572 hongchenliang@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F3076808 行业 棉花 日期 2025 年 12 月 19 日 研究员:余兰兰 021-60635732 yulanlan@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F0301101 研究员:林贞磊 021-60635740 linzhenlei@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F3055047 研究员:王海峰 021-60635727 wanghaifeng@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F0230741 研究员:刘悠然 021-60635570 liuyouran@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F03094925 农产品研究团队 、 请阅读正文后的声明 #summary# 每日报告 一、行情回顾与操作建议 | 表1:行情回顾 | | --- | 数据来源:Wind,建信期货研究发展部 郑棉承压调整。现货方面,最新棉花价格指数 328 级在 15139 元/吨,较上一 交易日跌 5 元/吨。当前 2 ...
建信期货铜期货日报-20251219
Jian Xin Qi Huo· 2025-12-19 02:13
行业 铜期货日报 日期 2025 年 12 月 19 日 研究员:张平 021-60635734 zhangping@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F3015713 021-60635729 yufeifei@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F3025190 021-60635740 pengjinglin@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F3075681 有色金属研究团队 研究员:余菲菲 研究员:彭婧霖 请阅读正文后的声明 #summary# 每日报告 一、 行情回顾与操作建议 图1:沪铜走势及盘面价差 图2:伦铜走势及价差 数据来源:Wind,建信期货研究发展部 数据来源:Wind,建信期货研究发展部 沪铜继续震荡,隔夜美联储理事沃勒基于就业市场表现,主张应继续推进降息, 美元指数走弱,一度推升铜价,但美股下跌打压市场风偏,铜价仍在高位震荡。 日内现货涨 95 至 92240,现货贴水缩窄 10,进口亏损继续在千元以上,精废价差 在 4000+,国内社库较周一累库 0.13 至 16.58 万吨,短期现货无明显好转。宏观 面继续等待周五日 ...