Report Summary 1. Relevant Data - **Futures Market**: The closing price of the main futures contract for red dates was 10,445 yuan/ton, up 55 yuan; the main contract's open interest was 185,560 lots, up 440 lots; the net long position of the top 20 futures holders was -9,476 lots, down 4,648 lots; the number of warehouse receipts was 0; the effective warehouse receipt forecast was 0 [2]. - **Spot Market**: The unified - price of red dates in Kashgar was 7.5 yuan/kg (unchanged), in Alar was 7.15 yuan/kg (unchanged), and in Aksu was 6.75 yuan/kg (unchanged). The wholesale price of first - class grey dates in Hebei was 4.8 yuan/jin (unchanged), and in Henan was 4.75 yuan/jin (unchanged). The price of top - grade red dates in Henan was 10.5 yuan/kg (unchanged), in Hebei was 10.55 yuan/kg (down 0.09 yuan), and in Guangdong was 11.6 yuan/kg (unchanged). The price of first - class red dates in Guangdong was 10.6 yuan/kg (unchanged) [2]. - **Upstream Market**: The annual output of red dates was 606.9 million tons, up 318.7 million tons; the planting area was 1.993 million hectares, down 41,000 hectares [2]. - **Industry Situation**: The national red date inventory was 9,103 tons (weekly), up 94 tons; the monthly export volume was 2,283,671 kg, down 81,222 kg; the cumulative monthly export volume was 23,548,402 kg, up 2,283,671 kg [2]. - **Downstream Situation**: The cumulative quarterly sales volume of red dates of Hao Xiang Ni was - 2,981.06 tons, and the cumulative quarterly output increased by 36,480.43 tons year - on - year, with a growth rate of 1.47%, and the sales volume decreased by 34.59% year - on - year [2]. 2. Core View - New - season red dates have not been concentrated for harvest, but inland jujube merchants have gone to production areas to purchase. Some merchants are actively ordering new - season raw materials, while others are buying old stock. The acquisition progress in Hotan and Qiemo areas is relatively fast. The market's acceptance of new goods is worthy of attention. In the future, supply - side pressure will gradually emerge, and the probability of a continued decline in jujube prices increases. It is necessary to pay attention to the mainstream purchase price and quality of new jujubes [2]. 3. Industry News - The mainstream price of general - grade red dates in Aksu is 6.50 - 7.00 yuan/kg, in Alar is 6.80 - 7.50 yuan/kg, in some parts of Kashgar the floor price is 7.50 yuan/kg, in Hotan is 8.00 - 8.50 yuan/kg, in Qiemo is 7.50 - 8.00 yuan/kg, and in Ruoqiang is 8.00 - 8.50 yuan/kg, with high - quality products commanding higher prices. Affected by the solar terms, the harvest time of grey dates is earlier than last year, and the market focus is on the supply of goods available for making warehouse receipts [2].

Report Summary 1) Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2) Core View of the Report - The ru2601 contract is expected to fluctuate in the range of 15,000 - 15,560 in the short term, and the nr2512 contract is expected to fluctuate within a certain range (not specified in the text) [2]. - The overall inventory in Qingdao Port shows a destocking trend, with both bonded and general trade warehouses destocking, and the destocking amplitude of the general trade warehouse narrowing. Overseas standard rubber arrivals continue to decline, while the arrival and warehousing of mixed rubber increase as expected. The demand side shows that the production scheduling of domestic tire enterprises has mostly returned to normal levels, driving a slight increase in the overall capacity utilization rate. The production of semi - steel tire enterprises is expected to remain stable, and the production enthusiasm is expected to remain high. The shipment of all - steel tire enterprises is stable, and the overall capacity utilization rate is expected to fluctuate slightly [2]. 3) Summary by Relevant Catalogs Futures Market - The closing price of the main Shanghai rubber contract is 15,360 yuan/ton, down 20 yuan; the closing price of the main 20 - number rubber contract is 12,530 yuan/ton, down 10 yuan. The 1 - 5 spread of Shanghai rubber is - 65 yuan/ton, unchanged; the 12 - 1 spread of 20 - number rubber is 5 yuan/ton, up 20 yuan. The spread between Shanghai rubber and 20 - number rubber is 2,830 yuan/ton, down 10 yuan [2]. - The position of the main Shanghai rubber contract is 144,081 lots, up 377 lots; the position of the main 20 - number rubber contract is 46,472 lots, down 4,566 lots. The net position of the top 20 in Shanghai rubber is - 26,945 lots, down 1,631 lots; the net position of the top 20 in 20 - number rubber is - 10,752 lots, down 225 lots [2]. - The warehouse receipts of Shanghai rubber in the exchange are 122,570 tons, down 740 tons; the warehouse receipts of 20 - number rubber in the exchange are 44,454 tons, up 605 tons [2]. Spot Market - The price of state - owned whole latex in the Shanghai market is 14,750 yuan/ton, unchanged; the price of Vietnamese 3L in the Shanghai market is 15,250 yuan/ton. The price of Thai standard STR20 is 1,880 US dollars/ton, up 10 US dollars; the price of Malaysian standard SMR20 is 1,880 US dollars/ton, up 10 US dollars [2]. - The price of Thai RMB mixed rubber is 15,000 yuan/ton, unchanged; the price of Malaysian RMB mixed rubber is 14,950 yuan/ton, unchanged. The price of Qilu Petrochemical's styrene - butadiene 1502 is 11,400 yuan/ton, unchanged; the price of Qilu Petrochemical's cis - butadiene BR9000 is 11,200 yuan/ton, unchanged [2]. - The basis of Shanghai rubber is - 610 yuan/ton, up 20 yuan; the basis of non - standard products of the main Shanghai rubber contract is - 380 yuan/ton, down 45 yuan. The price of 20 - number rubber in the Qingdao market is 13,219 yuan/ton, down 9 yuan; the basis of the main 20 - number rubber contract is 689 yuan/ton, up 1 yuan [2]. Upstream Situation - The market reference price of Thai raw rubber (smoked sheet) is 60.06 Thai baht/kg, up 1.17 Thai baht; the market reference price of Thai raw rubber (film) is 54.89 Thai baht/kg, up 0.33 Thai baht. The market reference price of Thai raw rubber (glue) is 54.5 Thai baht/kg, unchanged; the market reference price of Thai raw rubber (cup rubber) is 53.15 Thai baht/kg, up 0.75 Thai baht [2]. - The theoretical production profit of RSS3 is 182.4 US dollars/ton, down 38.6 US dollars; the theoretical production profit of STR20 is 51 US dollars/ton, down 0.6 US dollars [2]. - The monthly import volume of technically classified natural rubber is 122,600 tons, up 9,500 tons; the monthly import volume of mixed rubber is 317,500 tons, up 49,100 tons [2]. Downstream Situation - The weekly operating rate of all - steel tires is 65.58%, up 1.06 percentage points; the weekly operating rate of semi - steel tires is 73.67%, up 0.95 percentage points [2]. - The inventory days of all - steel tires in Shandong at the end of the period is 40.34 days, up 0.39 days; the inventory days of semi - steel tires in Shandong at the end of the period is 45.26 days, up 0.09 days [2]. - The monthly output of all - steel tires is 13.14 million pieces, up 110,000 pieces; the monthly output of semi - steel tires is 60.25 million pieces, up 2.19 million pieces [2]. Option Market - The 20 - day historical volatility of the underlying is 19.6%, up 0.03 percentage points; the 40 - day historical volatility of the underlying is 18.09%, down 0.03 percentage points [2]. - The implied volatility of at - the - money call options is 21.44%, up 0.35 percentage points; the implied volatility of at - the - money put options is 21.45%, up 0.37 percentage points [2]. Industry News - In the first week of the future (October 24 - 30, 2025), the rainfall in the main natural rubber producing areas in Southeast Asia has increased compared with the previous period. In the northern part of the equator, the red areas are mainly concentrated in Vietnam and southern Thailand, and the rainfall in most other areas is low, which has an increased impact on rubber tapping. In the southern part of the equator, the red areas are mainly distributed in southern Indonesia and eastern Malaysia, and the rainfall in most other areas is at a medium level, which has a slightly reduced impact on rubber tapping [2]. - In September 2025, the El Niño index (ONI) was - 0.38, a month - on - month decrease of 0.19, indicating a weakening of the El Niño phenomenon on a month - on - month basis [2]. - As of October 26, 2025, the total inventory of natural rubber in bonded and general trade in Qingdao was 432,200 tons, a decrease of 5,300 tons from the previous period, a decline of 1.20%. The bonded area inventory was 68,700 tons, a decline of 1.29%; the general trade inventory was 363,500 tons, a decline of 1.18%. The warehousing rate of the sample bonded warehouses for natural rubber in Qingdao decreased by 3.05 percentage points, and the ex - warehouse rate decreased by 2.61 percentage points. The warehousing rate of general trade warehouses increased by 2.89 percentage points, and the ex - warehouse rate decreased by 0.54 percentage points [2]. - As of October 23, the capacity utilization rate of Chinese semi - steel tire sample enterprises was 72.84%, a month - on - month increase of 1.77 percentage points and a year - on - year decrease of 6.84 percentage points. The capacity utilization rate of Chinese all - steel tire sample enterprises was 65.87%, a month - on - month increase of 1.91 percentage points and a year - on - year increase of 6.95 percentage points. The production scheduling during the week mostly returned to normal levels, and the capacity utilization rate of tire sample enterprises increased slightly this week [2].

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No industry investment rating is provided in the report. 2. Report's Core View - For soda ash, the supply is greater than demand, which suppresses the price. It is recommended to buy soda ash futures on dips in the short - term [2]. - For glass, the supply has potential reduction factors, and the demand is weak. It is recommended to sell glass futures on rallies in the short - term [2]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Futures Market - Soda ash: The closing price of the main contract is 1239 yuan/ton, down 7 yuan; the position is 1387072 lots, up 8 lots; the net position of the top 20 is - 260443, down 10249; the exchange warehouse receipt is 8745 tons, down 1189 tons; the basis is - 72 yuan/ton, down 23 yuan; the spread between January and May contracts is - 92, down 1 [2]. - Glass: The closing price of the main contract is 1113 yuan/ton, up 18 yuan; the position is 1695797 lots, down 111349 lots; the net position of the top 20 is - 246153, up 68818; the exchange warehouse receipt is 423 tons, down 24 tons; the basis is - 69, down 18; the spread between January and May contracts is - 150, up 1 [2]. Spot Market - Soda ash: The price of North China heavy soda is 1174 yuan/ton, down 6 yuan; Central China heavy soda is 1300 yuan/ton, unchanged; East China light soda is 1250 yuan/ton, unchanged; Central China light soda is 1145 yuan/ton, unchanged [2]. - Glass: The price of Shahe glass sheets is 1044 yuan/ton, down 8 yuan; Central China glass sheets is 1120 yuan/ton, unchanged [2]. Industry Situation - Soda ash: The operating rate is 84.94%, up 0.01%; the enterprise inventory is 169.24 tons, down 0.97 tons [2]. - Glass: The operating rate is 76.35%, unchanged; the production capacity is 16.12 million tons/year, unchanged; the number of production lines is 226, unchanged; the enterprise inventory is 6661.3 ten - thousand weight boxes, up 233.7 ten - thousand weight boxes [2]. Downstream Situation - Real estate: The cumulative new construction area is 453990000 square meters, up 55979900 square meters; the cumulative completion area is 311290000 square meters, up 34354600 square meters [2]. Industry News - Some soda ash plants are reducing production or running at a lower load, such as Inner Mongolia Boyuan Yingen Chemical's 5 million tons/year plant, Chongqing Heyou Industry's 400000 tons/year plant, etc. Some are running stably, like Qinghai Wucai's 1.1 million tons/year plant [2].

| 项目类别 | 数据指标 环比 数据指标 | 最新 | | 最新 | 环比 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 主力合约收盘价（日，元/吨） | 81,640.00 | -260.00↓ 前20名净持仓（日，手） | -196,126.00 | -7657.00↓ | | 期货市场 | 主力合约持仓量（日，手） | 488,803.00 | +5325.00↑ 近远月合约价差（日，元/吨） | -360.00 | +20.00↑ | | | 广期所仓单（日，手/吨） | 27,335.00 | -404.00↓ | | | | 现货市场 | 电池级碳酸锂平均价（日，元/吨） | 78,500.00 | +1950.00↑ 工业级碳酸锂平均价（日，万元/吨） | 76,300.00 | +2000.00↑ | | | Li₂CO₃主力合约基差（日，元/吨） | -3,140.00 | +2210.00↑ | | | | 上游情况 | 锂辉石精矿(6%CIF中国)平均价（日，美元/吨） | 959.00 | +18.00↑ 磷锂铝石平均价（日，元/吨） | 8 ...

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content. 2. Core View - The economic data in September supports the stock market, the statements about developing new - quality productivity during the "15th Five - Year Plan" period in the Fourth Plenary Session of the 20th Central Committee meet market expectations, and the results of the Sino - US trade negotiations are beneficial to market sentiment. It is recommended to buy on dips with a light position [2]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Futures Disk - IF main contract (2512) latest price is 4669.6, down 15.4; IF sub - main contract (2511) latest price is 4682.4, down 17.4. IH, IC, and IM contracts also show different price changes. Some spreads between contracts have increased or decreased, such as IM - IC monthly contract spread up 33.6 to 122.6 [2]. - The differences between the current quarter and the current month, and the next quarter and the current month of each contract also have corresponding changes, e.g., IF current quarter - current month is - 42.2, up 2.8 [2]. 3.2 Futures Position - IF top 20 net positions are - 23,367.00, down 383.0; IH top 20 net positions are - 15,702.00, up 74.0. IC and IM top 20 net positions are both down [2]. 3.3 Spot Price - The spot prices of CSI 300, SSE 50, CSI 500, and CSI 1000 have all declined, and the basis of each futures main contract has increased to different degrees [2]. 3.4 Market Sentiment - A - share trading volume is 21,653.07 billion yuan, down 1912.82 billion yuan; margin trading balance is 24,820.12 billion yuan, up 248.22 billion yuan. There are also changes in other indicators such as north - bound trading volume and repurchase operations [2]. 3.5 Wind Market Strength - Weakness Analysis - All A - shares score 4.40, down 2.30; technical analysis scores 4.30, down 1.80; capital analysis scores 4.40, down 2.90 [2]. 3.6 Industry News - From October 25th to 26th, China and the US held economic and trade consultations in Kuala Lumpur, reaching a basic consensus on solving multiple important economic and trade issues. From January to September, the total profit of industrial enterprises above the designated size in China was 53732.0 billion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 3.2%, and in September, the profit increased by 21.6% year - on - year [2]. 3.7 Key Events to Watch - From October 27th to 31st, 4347 A - share listed companies will disclose their third - quarter reports. There will also be interest rate decisions from the Federal Reserve, the Bank of Japan, and the European Central Bank, as well as important economic data releases in China and the US [3].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - On October 28, the JM2601 contract of coking coal closed at 1242.0, down 0.76%. The spot price of Tangshan Mongolian No.5 clean coal was reported at 1460, equivalent to 1240 on the futures market. Technically, the daily K - line is above the 20 - day and 60 - day moving averages. It should be treated as a wide - range oscillation, and investors are advised to control risks [2]. - On October 28, the J2601 contract of coke closed at 1747.5, down 0.96%. The second - round price increase of coke has been implemented. Technically, the daily K - line is above the 20 - day and 60 - day moving averages. It is driven by cost and should be treated as a wide - range oscillation, and investors are advised to control risks [2]. 3. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Futures Market - The closing price of the JM main contract was 1242.00 yuan/ton, down 21.50 yuan; the closing price of the J main contract was 1747.50 yuan/ton, down 32.00 yuan [2]. - The JM futures contract position was 911,218.00 lots, down 16,022.00 lots; the J futures contract position was 49,303.00 lots, down 710.00 lots [2]. - The net position of the top 20 coking coal contracts was - 63,323.00 lots, up 1,548.00 lots; the net position of the top 20 coke contracts was - 4,432.00 lots, up 44.00 lots [2]. - The JM5 - 1 monthly contract spread was 65.50 yuan/ton, up 3.00 yuan; the J5 - 1 monthly contract spread was 129.50 yuan/ton, down 1.00 yuan [2]. - The coking coal warehouse receipts were 0.00, down 100.00; the coke warehouse receipts were 2,070.00, unchanged [2]. 3.2 Spot Market - The price of Ganqimao Mongolian No.5 raw coal was 1,135.00 yuan/ton, up 5.00 yuan; the price of Tangshan Grade - 1 metallurgical coke was 1,775.00 yuan/ton, up 55.00 yuan [2]. - The price of Russian prime coking coal forward spot (CFR) was 157.50 US dollars/wet ton, up 2.50 US dollars; the price of Rizhao Port quasi - Grade - 1 metallurgical coke was 1,570.00 yuan/ton, up 50.00 yuan [2]. - The price of Australian imported prime coking coal at Jingtang Port was 1,700.00 yuan/ton, unchanged; the price of Shanxi - produced prime coking coal at Jingtang Port was 1,760.00 yuan/ton, unchanged [2]. - The price of medium - sulfur prime coking coal in Lingshi, Jinzhong, Shanxi was 1,520.00 yuan/ton, up 70.00 yuan; the price of Inner Mongolia Wuhai - produced coking coal ex - factory was 1,280.00 yuan/ton, unchanged [2]. - The basis of the JM main contract was 278.00 yuan/ton, up 91.50 yuan; the basis of the J main contract was 27.50 yuan/ton, up 87.00 yuan [2]. 3.3 Upstream Situation - The daily output of clean coal from 314 independent coal washing plants was 26.70 million tons, up 0.60 million tons; the weekly inventory of clean coal from 314 independent coal washing plants was 289.60 million tons, down 0.80 million tons [2]. - The weekly capacity utilization rate of 314 independent coal washing plants was 0.37%, up 0.01%; the monthly raw coal output was 41,150.50 million tons, up 2,100.80 million tons [2]. - The monthly import volume of coal and lignite was 4,600.00 million tons, up 326.00 million tons; the daily average output of raw coal from 523 coking coal mines was 191.00 thousand tons, down 5.10 thousand tons [2]. - The weekly inventory of imported coking coal at 16 ports was 507.18 million tons, up 19.02 million tons; the weekly inventory of coke at 18 ports was 260.79 million tons, up 8.14 million tons [2]. - The weekly total inventory of coking coal of all - sample independent coking enterprises was 1,029.70 million tons, up 32.33 million tons; the weekly inventory of coke of all - sample independent coking enterprises was 58.64 million tons, up 1.35 million tons [2]. - The weekly inventory of coking coal of 247 steel mills nationwide was 782.96 million tons, down 5.36 million tons; the weekly inventory of coke of 247 sample steel mills was 633.16 million tons, down 6.28 million tons [2]. - The weekly available days of coking coal of all - sample independent coking enterprises was 12.77 days, down 0.13 days; the weekly available days of coke of 247 sample steel mills was 11.07 days, down 0.12 days [2]. 3.4 Industry Situation - The monthly import volume of coking coal was 1,092.36 million tons, up 76.14 million tons; the monthly export volume of coke and semi - coke was 54.00 million tons, down 1.00 million tons [2]. - The monthly output of coking coal was 3,696.86 million tons, down 392.52 million tons; the weekly capacity utilization rate of independent coking enterprises was 73.47%, down 0.77% [2]. - The weekly profit per ton of coke of independent coking plants was - 41.00 yuan/ton, down 28.00 yuan/ton; the monthly output of coke was 4,255.60 million tons, down 4.10 million tons [2]. 3.5 Downstream Situation - The weekly blast furnace operating rate of 247 steel mills nationwide was 84.73%, up 0.48%; the weekly blast furnace iron - making capacity utilization rate of 247 steel mills was 89.92%, down 0.39% [2]. - The monthly output of crude steel was 7,349.01 million tons, down 387.84 million tons [2]. 3.6 Industry News - The second - round price increase of coke has been fully implemented. The mainstream steel mills in Shandong and Hebei have issued letters to increase the coke purchase price, with a wet - quenching increase of 50 yuan/ton and a dry - quenching increase of 55 yuan/ton, effective from 0:00 on October 27 [2]. - The latest forecast of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) shows that the US government debt - to - GDP ratio will reach 143.4% by 2030, exceeding that of Italy and Greece for the first time this century [2]. - On October 27, Premier Li Qiang of the State Council attended the Fifth Leaders' Meeting of the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement in Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia. The parties to the agreement should cooperate more closely to jointly address challenges [2]. - US President Trump said that Russian President Putin should end the war in Ukraine instead of testing nuclear missiles, and added that the US has deployed a nuclear - powered submarine near the Russian coast [2]. - On October 25, the Datong - Qinhuangdao Railway, the major "west - to - east coal transportation" artery in China, completed its autumn maintenance, laying a foundation for coal supply during the coming winter and spring [2].

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the report Core Viewpoints - The domestic cotton market is in the new cotton listing stage. The upside of cotton prices is restricted by hedging. In the short term, the upward space for cotton prices is limited. The supply side shows that Xinjiang cotton harvesting is over 50%, faster than last year, with a slight increase in ginning factory processing costs, while inland cotton acquisition is slow due to rain. The demand side indicates that the downstream textile enterprises' demand is weak, and the "Silver October" replenishment is not obvious. Attention should be paid to the impact of trade situations on the market [2] Summary by Relevant Catalogs Futures Market - Zhengzhou cotton main contract closing price is 13,565 yuan/ton, unchanged; cotton yarn main contract closing price is 19,765 yuan/ton, down 5 yuan. - Cotton futures top 20 net positions are -110,691 lots, an increase of 2,111 lots; cotton yarn futures top 20 net positions are -141 lots, a decrease of 8 lots. - Cotton main contract positions are 579,084 lots, a decrease of 6,203 lots; cotton yarn main contract positions are 24,095 lots, a decrease of 94 lots. - Cotton warehouse receipts are 2,471 sheets, a decrease of 17 sheets; cotton yarn warehouse receipts are 6 sheets, unchanged [2] 现货市场 - China Cotton Price Index (CCIndex:3128B) is 14,830 yuan/ton, down 3 yuan; China Yarn Price Index for pure - combed 32 - count cotton yarn is 20,475 yuan/ton, down 25 yuan. - China Imported Cotton Price Index (FCIndexM:1% tariff) is 13,116 yuan/ton; China Imported Cotton Price Index (FCIndexM: sliding - duty) is 14,050 yuan/ton. - The arrival price of imported cotton yarn price index for pure - combed 32 - count cotton yarn is 21,145 yuan/ton, down 41 yuan; for pure - combed 32 - count cotton yarn is 22,491 yuan/ton, down 44 yuan [2] Upstream Situation - The national cotton sowing area is 2,838.3 thousand hectares, an increase of 48.3 thousand hectares; the national cotton output is 6.16 million tons, an increase of 540,000 tons [2] Industry Situation - The cotton - yarn price difference is 5,645 yuan/ton, down 22 yuan. - The national industrial inventory of cotton is 861,000 tons, a decrease of 9,000 tons; the national commercial inventory of cotton is 1.0217 million tons, a decrease of 460,000 tons. - Cotton import volume is 100,000 tons, an increase of 30,000 tons; cotton yarn import volume is 130,000 tons, unchanged. - Imported cotton profit is 823 yuan/ton, an increase of 30 yuan [2] Downstream Situation - Yarn inventory days are 25.24 days, an increase of 0.39 days; grey fabric inventory days are 31.43 days, an increase of 0.31 days. - Monthly cloth output is 2.811 billion meters, an increase of 0.11 billion meters; monthly yarn output is 2.0738 million tons, an increase of 45,900 tons. - Monthly clothing and clothing accessories export value is 12,453,247,000 US dollars, a decrease of 1,692,657,000 US dollars; monthly textile yarn, fabric and product export value is 11,966,516,000 US dollars, a decrease of 426,686,000 US dollars [2] Option Market - Cotton at - the - money call option implied volatility is 6.5%, down 0.08%; cotton at - the - money put option implied volatility is 6.5%, down 0.08%. - Cotton 20 - day historical volatility is 8.2%, unchanged; cotton 60 - day historical volatility is 7.97%, down 0.03% [2] Industry News - As of October 27, 2025, the cumulative notarized inspection of cotton processed by national cotton processing enterprises in the 2025/26 season is 6,378,658 bales, totaling 1,440,701 tons, a year - on - year increase of 52.28%. The cumulative notarized inspection volume of Xinjiang cotton is 1,414,998 tons, a year - on - year increase of 52.79%. - ICE cotton futures rose on Monday, driven by a weak US dollar and optimism about the alleviation of trade tensions supporting global cotton demand. The ICE December cotton futures contract closed up 0.36 cents, or 0.40%, at 64.56 cents per pound [2]

Report Summary 1) Report Industry Investment Rating - The report suggests to buy on dips and place long orders [2] 2) Core Viewpoints - In the first half of 2025, China's wind and solar power installed capacity exceeded thermal power, marking the energy revolution entering a deeper stage. The large - scale construction and grid - connection of new energy power stations are key to achieving the "dual carbon" goal [2] - On the supply side of polysilicon, as the dry season approaches in Southwest China in November, production costs for polysilicon enterprises are rising, and some enterprises in Sichuan and Yunnan have started to reduce production. On the demand side, the photovoltaic industry chain has weak demand. Component tender prices are continuously falling, leading to delays in centralized projects and a reduction in the demand for polysilicon from silicon wafers [2] - Although N - type silicon materials maintain a certain premium due to the increasing penetration rate of TOPCon battery technology, the price of ordinary materials is approaching the cost line, and the overall industry gross margin is narrowing [2] - Internationally, high inventory in the European market suppresses import demand. The loosening of US tariff policies drives the growth of energy storage system exports but cannot fully offset the negative impact of the European market. However, emerging markets such as the Middle East and Latin America show a surge in demand, buffering the decline on the demand side [2] - Market rumors about the government's potential policy to regulate photovoltaic production capacity have boosted market confidence, but the specific details and implementation time of the policy are still unclear [2] 3) Summary by Relevant Catalogs Futures Market - The closing price of the main polysilicon contract is 54,355 yuan/ton, down 145 yuan; the open interest of the main contract is 114,932 lots, up 9,055 lots. The basis between December and January for polysilicon is 40 yuan, down 65 yuan; the price difference between polysilicon and industrial silicon is 45,400 yuan/ton, down 135 yuan [2] Spot Market - The spot price of polysilicon is 52,980 yuan/ton, unchanged; the average price of N - type silicon wafers (210R) is 1.36 yuan/piece, unchanged. The weekly average price of photovoltaic - grade polysilicon is 6.51 US dollars/kg, down 0.02 US dollars; the basis of polysilicon is - 1,520 yuan/ton, down 2,195 yuan [2] Upstream Situation - The closing price of the main industrial silicon contract is 8,955 yuan/ton, down 10 yuan; the spot price of industrial silicon is 9,350 yuan/ton, unchanged. The monthly export volume of industrial silicon is 70,232.72 tons, down 6,409.29 tons; the monthly import volume is 1,939.85 tons, up 602.27 tons. The monthly output of industrial silicon is 402,800 tons, up 36,000 tons; the total social inventory of industrial silicon is 552,000 tons, up 10,000 tons [2] Industry Situation - The monthly output of polysilicon is 130,000 tons, up 5,000 tons; the monthly import volume of polysilicon is 1,292 tons, up 286 tons. The weekly spot price of imported polysilicon materials in China is 6.9 US dollars/kg, up 0.01 US dollars; the monthly average import price of polysilicon is 2,350 US dollars/ton, down 270 US dollars [2] Downstream Situation - The monthly output of solar cells is 70,873,000 kilowatts, up 1,016,000 kilowatts; the average price of mainstream photovoltaic modules is 0.74 yuan/watt, unchanged. The weekly comprehensive price index (SPI) of the photovoltaic industry for polysilicon is 32.82, unchanged; the average price of solar cells is 0.82 yuan/W, up 0.01 yuan. The monthly export volume of photovoltaic modules is 129,531,200 pieces, down 19,491,300 pieces; the monthly import volume is 14,733,700 pieces, down 6,706,500 pieces. The monthly average import price of photovoltaic modules is 0.3 US dollars/piece, up 0.06 US dollars [2]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content 2. Core View of the Report - Next week, in the industrial silicon market, production cuts in the southwest and increased production in the northwest will occur simultaneously; there is high uncertainty in the demand for polysilicon, while the demand for organosilicon and aluminum alloy is relatively stable; costs provide support for prices at the lower end, but high inventories limit the upside potential of prices. Industrial silicon continued to fluctuate at the bottom today. If production capacity continues to decline, industrial silicon prices are expected to find support. However, the short - term main contract is near the high - price level, so it is recommended to short on rallies [2] 3. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Futures Market - The closing price of the main contract was 8955 yuan/ton, down 10 yuan; the main contract's open interest was 211,670 hands, up 10,152 hands; the net position of the top 20 was - 55,846 hands, down 7,555 hands; the Guangzhou Futures Exchange's warehouse receipts were 48,044 hands, down 141 hands; the closing price of the December contract for industrial silicon was - 375 yuan/ton, up 5 yuan; the spread between the November - December contracts for industrial silicon was - 375 yuan/ton, up 5 yuan [2] 3.2 Spot Market - The average price of oxygen - blown 553 silicon was 9350 yuan/ton, unchanged; the average price of 421 silicon was 9650 yuan/ton, unchanged; the basis of the Si main contract was 395 yuan/ton, up 10 yuan; the DMC spot price was 11,275 yuan/ton, unchanged [2] 3.3 Upstream Situation - The average price of silica was 410 yuan/ton, unchanged; the average price of petroleum coke was 2030 yuan/ton, unchanged; the average price of clean coal was 1850 yuan/ton, unchanged; the average price of wood chips was 490 yuan/ton, unchanged; the ex - factory price of graphite electrodes (400mm) was 12,250 yuan/ton, unchanged [2] 3.4 Industry Situation - The monthly industrial silicon production was 402,800 tons, up 36,000 tons; the weekly industrial silicon social inventory was 552,000 tons, up 10,000 tons; the monthly industrial silicon imports were 1,939.85 tons, up 602.27 tons; the monthly industrial silicon exports were 70,232.72 tons, down 6,409.29 tons [2] 3.5 Downstream Situation - The weekly output of organosilicon DMC was 44,900 tons, up 700 tons; the overseas market price of photovoltaic - grade polysilicon was 15.85 US dollars/kg; the average price of aluminum alloy ADC12 in the Yangtze River spot market was 21,100 yuan/ton, unchanged; the weekly average price of photovoltaic - grade polysilicon was 6.51 US dollars/kg, down 0.02 US dollars/kg; the monthly export volume of unforged aluminum alloy was 23,495.34 tons, down 5,568.37 tons; the weekly operating rate of organosilicon DMC was 70.05%, up 0.69 percentage points; the monthly aluminum alloy production was 1.776 million tons, up 141,000 tons; the monthly aluminum alloy export volume was 23,495.34 tons, down 5,568.37 tons [2] 3.6 Industry News - In the first half of 2025, China's wind and photovoltaic power generation installed capacity exceeded that of thermal power for the first time, marking that the energy revolution has entered a critical stage. The large - scale construction and grid - connection of new energy power stations represented by wind and solar energy have become the key forces in achieving the "dual - carbon" goal. In terms of industrial silicon, on the supply side, Sichuan and Yunnan are transitioning from the wet season to the dry season in October, leading to an increase in manufacturers' production costs. Some enterprises with exhausted raw materials have chosen to stop production. As November approaches, the scale of production cuts during the dry season is expected to further expand. In Xinjiang, with stable and low - cost power supply, some manufacturers are actively increasing production, with an increase in the number of furnaces in operation and continuous release of production capacity [2] 3.7 Demand Analysis - In the organosilicon segment, inventories are lower than the historical average. The production profit of organosilicon has slightly rebounded but remains in the loss range, providing some rigid - demand procurement support for industrial silicon. Most organosilicon manufacturers still have some pre - sold orders, and many are in maintenance or plan to enter maintenance, which maintains the demand for industrial silicon to some extent. In the polysilicon segment, inventories are as high as 278,300 tons, higher than the historical average. The prices of silicon wafers are flat, and the prices of solar cells are falling, with poor downstream transmission. Leading enterprises have maintenance plans, and there is a risk of weakening demand support for industrial silicon in the future. In the aluminum alloy segment, the operating rate of aluminum alloy enterprises remains stable, with high demand for industrial silicon, showing relatively stable demand, but the marginal effect on industrial silicon prices is limited [2]

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided Group 2: Core Viewpoints of the Report - The supply pressure eases at the end of the month as the group farms slow down their slaughter rhythm and the average slaughter weight decreases slightly. The secondary fattening entry supports the stabilization of the spot market price, but its sustainability needs to be observed. The terminal demand increases with the drop in temperature, and some slaughter enterprises actively store, leading to a continuous marginal improvement in demand. Overall, the price is expected to fluctuate in the short term. However, the price rebound restricts the sustainability of secondary fattening, and the postponed supply and the expected supply pressure in the fourth quarter limit the medium - term upside space. Technically, the LH2601 contract opened low and closed lower, down 1.3%, with pressure at the previous gap and weak rebound [2] Group 3: Summary by Related Catalogs 1. Futures Market - The closing price of the main futures contract for live pigs is 12,160 yuan/ton, down 170 yuan; the main contract position is 117,248 lots, up 7,747 lots; the number of warehouse receipts is 206 lots, unchanged; the net long position of the top 20 futures holders is - 30,906 lots, up 694 lots [2] 2. Spot Market - The live pig prices in Henan Zhumadian, Jilin Siping, and Guangdong Yunfu are 12,600 yuan/ton, 12,600 yuan/ton, and 12,300 yuan/ton respectively, up 300 yuan/ton, 200 yuan/ton, and 200 yuan/ton; the main basis of live pigs is 440 yuan/ton, up 470 yuan/ton [2] 3. Upstream Situation - The live pig inventory is 42,4470,000 heads, up 7160,000 heads; the inventory of breeding sows is 4,0380,000 heads, down 40,000 heads; CPI year - on - year is - 0.3%, up 0.1 percentage points; the spot price of soybean meal in Zhangjiagang is 2,970 yuan/ton, up 10 yuan/ton; the spot price of corn is 2,240.88 yuan/ton, down 1.67 yuan/ton; the DCE pig feed cost index is 881.43, up 6.95; the monthly output of feed is 31,287,000 tons, up 2,015,000 tons; the price of binary breeding sows is 1,530 yuan/head, unchanged; the breeding profit of purchased piglets is - 289.07 yuan/head, up 86.22 yuan/head; the breeding profit of self - bred and self - raised pigs is - 185.68 yuan/head, up 59.02 yuan/head; the monthly import volume of pork is 80,000 tons, unchanged; the average price of white - striped chicken in the main producing areas is 14.1 yuan/kg, down 0.2 yuan/kg [2] 4. Downstream Situation - The monthly slaughter volume of designated live pig slaughtering enterprises is 33,500,000 heads, up 1,840,000 heads; the monthly retail sales of social consumer goods in the catering industry is 450.86 billion yuan, up 12.9 billion yuan [2] 5. Industry News - On October 28, the daily slaughter volume of live pigs in key provincial sample slaughtering enterprises was 147,413 heads, up 0.15% from the previous day. The supply pressure eases as the group farms slow down their slaughter rhythm at the end of the month and the average slaughter weight decreases slightly. The secondary fattening entry supports the spot market price, but its sustainability needs to be observed. The terminal demand increases with the drop in temperature, and some slaughter enterprises actively store, leading to a continuous marginal improvement in demand [2]