丨证券研究报告丨 [Table_scodeMsg1] 公司研究丨点评报告丨京东方 A（000725.SZ） [Table_Title] 业绩稳健增长，"AI+制造"引领显示行业 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 公司发布 2025 年三季度报告，报告期内公司实现营业收入 1545.48 亿元，同比增长 7.53%； 归母净利润 46.01 亿元，同比增长 39.03%；经营性现金流量净额 367.7 亿元，同比增长 8.58%， 扣除资本开支后自由现金流 67.4 亿元，在成都 8.6 代线项目支出高峰期依然展现了强大的造血 能力。公司重视 AI+制造，将运用人工智能、大数据、物联网等重新定义显示制造体系，在生 产设备、工业软件、工艺控制、品质管理、能源管理、生产环境等多维度全面提升生产制造与 运营管理的智能化水平。同时公司联合 Intel 发布下一代 AI 技术显示产品，引领行业趋势。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 杨洋 谢尔曼 SAC：S0490517070012 SAC：S0490518070003 SFC：BUW100 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% re ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [6]. Core Insights - The company reported a significant increase in performance for the first three quarters of 2025, achieving operating revenue of 3.398 billion yuan, a year-on-year growth of 38.71%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 317 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 50.81% [2][4]. - In Q3 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 1.258 billion yuan, a year-on-year growth of 44.34% and a quarter-on-quarter growth of 5.83%. The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 144 million yuan, marking a year-on-year increase of 139.04% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 53.08% [2][4]. - The company maintains a strong gross margin of 23.06% and a net margin of 9.32% for the first three quarters, with Q3 margins improving to 24.38% and 11.45% respectively [2][4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 3.398 billion yuan, with a gross margin of 23.06% and a net margin of 9.32% [2][4]. - In Q3 2025, the company reported operating revenue of 1.258 billion yuan, with a gross margin of 24.38% and a net margin of 11.45% [2][4]. Future Outlook - The company is focusing on expanding its high-end product operations, with plans to raise up to 1.98 billion yuan for investment in AI and high-density interconnect circuit board projects, which will significantly enhance its production capacity [11]. - The company has established itself as a leader in HDI products and is well-positioned to meet the growing demands of high-end server markets, particularly in AI and GPU acceleration [11]. Earnings Forecast - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 471 million yuan, 764 million yuan, and 1.078 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 117.17, 72.24, and 51.17 [11].

丨证券研究报告丨 [Table_scodeMsg1] 公司研究丨点评报告丨奥飞数据（300738.SZ） [Table_Title] 奥飞数据 2025 三季报点评： 毛利率持续提升，固定资产快速扩张 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 2025Q3，公司业绩表现符合预期，营收、利润同环比均实现亮眼增长。单季度毛利率环比进一 步提升至 37.55%，或主要受益于交付项目的上架率快速爬升。公司固定资产规模实现快速扩 张，今年为公司 IDC 交付大年，从目前交付节奏来看，与年初规划基本符合。公司抓住此轮 AI 需求爆发，努力实现"保交付、促上架"，新项目建设及交付将成为未来核心增长点。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 于海宁 温筱婷 SAC：S0490517110002 SAC：S0490524100002 SFC：BUX641 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 [Table_scodeMsg2] 奥飞数据（300738.SZ） cjzqdt11111 [Table_Title 奥飞数据 2025 2] 三季报点评： 毛利率持续提升 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [9] Core Views - The company's nuclear power business reported a year-on-year net profit growth of 2.81% in the first three quarters, but the quarterly performance turned negative due to the impact of VAT refund settlement timing and increased income tax [2][6] - The renewable energy business saw a significant decline in net profit contribution, down 67.96% year-on-year, primarily due to falling market electricity prices and reduced equity stakes [2][6] - Despite short-term performance pressures, the long-term value of the company remains solid, supported by a robust project reserve in both nuclear and renewable energy sectors [2][6] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 20.662 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 5.72%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 2.336 billion yuan, a decrease of 23.45% [6] - For the first three quarters of 2025, the net profit attributable to shareholders was 8.002 billion yuan, down 10.42% year-on-year [2][6] Nuclear Power Business - The company’s nuclear power generation volume reached 151.008 billion kWh in the first three quarters, an increase of 11.33% year-on-year, with Q3 generation at 51.147 billion kWh, up 10.03% [2][6] - Revenue growth for the nuclear power business was limited to 5.56% due to declining market electricity prices [2][6] Renewable Energy Business - The company’s installed capacity for renewable energy reached 33.4847 million kW, a year-on-year increase of 38.67%, with wind and solar power contributing significantly [2][6] - Despite a 34.77% increase in renewable energy generation volume, the net profit contribution from this segment fell sharply due to market price declines and reduced equity stakes [2][6] Long-term Outlook - The company has a strong project reserve with 19 nuclear units under construction or approved, totaling 21.859 million kW, and 738.78 million kW in renewable energy projects [2][6] - The long-term value is expected to remain stable despite short-term pressures, with projected EPS for 2025-2027 at 0.46 yuan, 0.51 yuan, and 0.56 yuan respectively [2][6]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the transportation industry [9]. Core Insights - In Q3 2025, the transportation industry saw a decrease in public fund heavy holdings, dropping by 0.94 percentage points to 1.06%, primarily due to significant reductions in logistics and aviation sectors, while the shipping sector saw an increase in allocation [2][5]. - The report highlights that the heavy holdings in the transportation sector are influenced by industry conditions, with a notable increase in interest for China Merchants Energy Shipping and a significant drop in heavy fund numbers for SF Express [6]. - The report indicates that the Northbound capital holdings decreased, with the largest holdings in the express delivery sector [2][7]. Summary by Sections Public Fund Holdings - The heavy holdings in the transportation sector are at 1.06%, down from the previous period, ranking 16th among 32 primary industries, indicating an underweight status compared to the standard allocation of 2.45% [5]. - The number of heavy holdings in the transportation sector decreased to 59, with a total market value of 18.64 billion, reflecting a 28.1% decline from the previous quarter [5]. - The allocation ratios for logistics and supply chain, aviation, railway and highway, shipping, and transportation infrastructure are 0.49%, 0.35%, 0.08%, 0.12%, and 0.03%, respectively, with notable declines in logistics and aviation [5]. Heavy Holdings in Individual Stocks - The top five stocks in the transportation sector account for 49.4% of the total market value of heavy holdings, down from 67.5% in Q2 2025 [6]. - The leading stocks by heavy fund numbers include YTO Express, China Merchants Energy Shipping, SF Express, Air China, and Huaxia Airlines, with significant fluctuations in their heavy fund numbers [6]. - The market value of the top five stocks is led by SF Express at 2.73 billion, followed by YTO Express at 2.13 billion, reflecting a significant drop for SF Express and increases for others [6]. Northbound Capital - Northbound capital holdings in the transportation sector decreased to 4.2%, down by 1.66 percentage points, with express delivery being the largest segment at 124.9 billion, accounting for 30.4% of the transportation industry [7][28]. - The report notes a general reduction in holdings across various segments, with express delivery, shipping, and airport sectors experiencing the largest declines [7]. - The top five stocks with the highest foreign capital holdings include Southern Airlines, Milky Way, SF Express, Jianfa Holdings, and Tielong Logistics, with notable increases in holdings for Longji Logistics and Hongchuan Wisdom [7].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [10]. Core Views - The company's total revenue for Q1 to Q3 of 2025 was 3.156 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 20.01%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 380 million yuan, down 34.07% year-on-year [2][5]. - The revenue for Q3 2025 alone was 1.025 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 22.84%, with a net profit of 123 million yuan, down 45.66% year-on-year [2][5]. - The decline in revenue is attributed to channel adjustments and the company's focus on optimizing distributor inventory, which has impacted sales negatively [6][8]. Summary by Sections Revenue Breakdown - Revenue by product for Q1 to Q3 2025: Soy sauce 1.896 billion yuan (down 17.5% year-on-year), chicken essence and powder 393 million yuan (down 22.76%), edible oil 198 million yuan (down 42.67%), and others 465 million yuan (down 4.9%) [6]. - Revenue by region: Eastern region 649 million yuan (down 28.21%), Southern region 1.227 billion yuan (down 17.48%), Central and Western region 643 million yuan (down 14.68%), and Northern region 433 million yuan (down 12.78%) [6]. Profitability Analysis - The net profit margin for Q1 to Q3 2025 decreased by 2.57 percentage points to 12.04%, while the gross margin increased by 1.84 percentage points to 39.21%. The expense ratio rose by 6.33 percentage points to 25.72% [7]. - For Q3 2025, the net profit margin fell by 5.05 percentage points to 12.01%, with a gross margin of 39.53% (up 0.71 percentage points) and an expense ratio of 26.9% (up 10.75 percentage points) [7]. Future Outlook - The company is undergoing a painful period of channel adjustments, with short-term revenue pressure. However, with the new board of directors in place since July 2025, governance is being adjusted, and a turnaround is anticipated [8]. - As inventory is gradually digested and the pricing system is streamlined, along with ongoing efforts in the catering channel, compound seasonings, and overseas markets, growth momentum is expected to gradually release in the medium to long term [8]. - EPS estimates for 2025 and 2026 are approximately 0.70 yuan and 0.91 yuan, respectively, corresponding to PE valuations of 26 and 20 times [8].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" and maintained [5] Core Insights - Deckers reported revenue of $1.43 billion for FY2026Q2, a year-on-year increase of 9%, aligning with market expectations [3][4] - Gross margin improved by 0.3 percentage points to 56.2%, driven by product price increases, improved product mix, favorable currency fluctuations, and cost-sharing on tariffs [3][4] - Net profit margin increased by 0.3 percentage points to 18.7%, supported by a decrease in the effective tax rate [3][4] Revenue Breakdown - By brand, UGG and HOKA revenues grew by 10.1% and 11.1% respectively, while other brands saw a decline of 26.5% [4] - Direct-to-Consumer (DTC) and wholesale channel revenues were $3.9 billion and $10.4 billion respectively, with DTC showing a slight decline of 0.8% [4] - Revenue from the U.S. decreased by 1.7%, while international markets saw a growth of 29.3% [4] Inventory and Guidance - Inventory increased by 7% year-on-year to $840 million, attributed to proactive stockpiling before tariff hikes [4] - The company expects FY2026 revenue to reach $5.35 billion, a 7% increase year-on-year, with a gross margin of approximately 56% [4]

固定收益丨深度报告 [Table_Title] 债市"收官战"，无虑银行兑现浮盈 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 丨证券研究报告丨 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 银行作为债市重要的参与机构，其配债行为的变化对市场影响举足轻重。2025 年，银行同时面 临负债端"存款搬家"、净息差较低背景下业绩增长乏力等多重压力，银行是否会在负债压力背 景下选择"缩表"、在业绩压力下进一步加大浮盈兑现力度，进而影响债市供需和收益率走势？ 同时在负债压力背景下，银行发行同业存单的需求如何变化？本文基于对上市银行业绩拆分、 信贷收支表跟踪，对银行 2025 年前三季度行为进行复盘，同时对四季度情况做出展望。 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 2 / 27 %% %% %% %% 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 赵增辉 马月 SAC：S0490524080003 SAC：S0490525080001 SFC：BVN394 research.95579.com 2 [Table_Title2] 债市"收官战"，无虑银行兑现浮盈 [Table_Summary2] 从 2025 年半 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [8]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 530 million yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 1.95%. However, the net profit attributable to the parent company decreased by 16.04% to 78 million yuan [2][6]. - In Q3 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 161 million yuan, which is a year-on-year decrease of 10.87% and a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 17.68%. The net profit attributable to the parent company for this quarter was 17 million yuan, down 34.78% year-on-year and 45.46% quarter-on-quarter [2][6]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported a net profit of 78 million yuan, down 16.04% year-on-year, and a non-recurring net profit of 65 million yuan, down 27.93% year-on-year [2][6]. - The gross profit margin for the first three quarters was 38.32%, a decrease of 3.59 percentage points year-on-year. The net profit margin was 14.79%, down 2.81 percentage points year-on-year [12]. Cash Flow and Inventory - The company experienced a significant improvement in operating cash flow, with a net cash flow from operating activities of 119 million yuan for the first three quarters, including 87 million yuan in Q3 [12]. - As of the end of Q3 2025, the inventory balance was 229 million yuan, reflecting a 26.19% increase compared to the beginning of the year [12]. Market Trends - The report indicates a high demand trend in both domestic and international markets, despite short-term performance fluctuations due to delivery schedules [12].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Changshu Bank [2][8]. Core Views - Changshu Bank's Q3 revenue growth is 8.2%, with a net profit growth of 12.8%. Interest income has accelerated quarter-on-quarter, while non-interest income has increased significantly by 35.3% year-on-year, driving revenue growth. The net interest margin for Q3 stands at 2.57%, only down 1 basis point from the first half of the year, maintaining a leading position in the industry. The non-performing loan ratio remains stable at 0.76%, with a provision coverage ratio decreasing by 27 percentage points to 463%, indicating excellent asset quality. The integration of rural banks is progressing smoothly, and the bank is expanding its presence to create a second growth curve. As a pro-cyclical bank stock, Changshu Bank has a clear long-term development path. This year, it has implemented a mid-term dividend for the first time, with a payout ratio increased to 25.3%. Currently, the 2025 PB valuation is 0.73x and PE valuation is 5.4x, both at historical lows, indicating significant long-term value is undervalued [2][6][11]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q3, Changshu Bank's operating revenue grew by 8.2% year-on-year, with net profit increasing by 12.8%. The non-performing loan ratio remained flat at 0.76%, and the provision coverage ratio decreased by 27 percentage points to 463% [6][11]. Revenue Composition - The growth in operating revenue is driven by a 2.4% increase in net interest income and a substantial 35.3% rise in non-interest income. The bank's investment income has been affected by market fluctuations, leading to a 22.2% decline in Q3 investment income [11]. Asset Quality - The asset quality remains strong, with a non-performing loan ratio of 0.76% and a provision coverage ratio of 463%. The bank has increased efforts in risk resolution and recovery of non-performing loans, leading to a stabilization in retail asset quality [11]. Growth Strategy - The integration of rural banks is advancing well, with several rural banks being restructured and opened this year. This expansion is aimed at creating a second growth curve for the bank [11]. Valuation Metrics - The current PB and PE valuations are at 0.73x and 5.4x respectively, indicating that the bank's long-term value is significantly undervalued compared to historical levels [2][11].