丨证券研究报告丨 行业研究丨专题报告丨医疗保健 [Table_Title] 创新链系列——中国创新药研发投入景气度指 标 11 月跟踪 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 伴随着创新药企业 A/H 上市和增发充沛资金，二级市场创新药估值重塑和一级退出通道打通带 来中国生物医药投融资生态逐渐走向正循环，创新药对外 BD 涌现为研发投入注入新的资金来 源并拉动行业整体研发投入意愿，中国创新药研发投入景气度或渐趋改善，随之带来创新药产 业链进入新一轮景气周期。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 彭英骐 万梦蝶 SAC：S0490524030005 SAC：S0490525050001 SFC：BUZ392 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 医疗保健 cjzqdt11111 [Table_Title 创新链系列2] ——中国创新药研发投入景气度指 标 11 月跟踪 [Table_Summary2] 创新药上市通道变宽，IPO 募集资金充沛研发投入 创新药企业港股 IPO 热潮重现且在持续升温，未盈利企业科创板上市通道打开，创新药上市通 道 ...

丨证券研究报告丨 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 12 月 1 日，豆包手机助手以技术预览版正式亮相，搭载该功能的努比亚（nubia）M153 工程 样机同步开售。当前时点，以字节为代表的国产大模型企业，正持续布局手机、耳机等端侧流 量入口，希望通过将大模型能力、超级 App 与硬件终端结合，推动 AI 时代的交互模式变革。 在此背景下，我们认为端侧 AI 或将成为 AI 在日常使用中重要的落地场景，推动 AI Agents 能 力持续提升，进而加速国产 AI 的商业化。建议关注：1）国产大模型厂商；2）AI Infra：AI Infra 有望核心受益；3）AI Agent 相关厂商；4）中国推理算力产业链。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 宗建树 陈耀文 SAC：S0490520030004 SAC：S0490525070002 SFC：BUX668 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 行业研究丨点评报告丨软件与服务 [Table_Title] 豆包手机助手发布，关注端侧 AI 产业进展 软件与服务 cjzqdt11111 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the non-bank financial sector [7]. Core Insights - The non-bank financial sector has shown strong overall performance this week, with brokerages expected to maintain high growth trends in 2025. The report suggests focusing on the sector's future allocation value [2][4]. - The China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission (CBIRC) has issued a notice adjusting risk factors related to insurance companies' business, which is expected to enhance the certainty of ROE improvement and accelerate valuation recovery in the medium to long term [4][6]. - The report recommends companies with stable profit growth and dividend rates, including Jiangsu Jinzu, China Ping An, and China Pacific Insurance, as well as those with significant advantages in business models and market positions [4]. Market Performance - The non-bank financial index increased by 2.3% this week, outperforming the CSI 300 by 1.0%. Year-to-date, the non-bank financial index is up 5.9%, but underperformed the CSI 300 by 10.6% [5][17]. - The average daily trading volume in the market decreased to 16,961.78 billion yuan, down 2.35% week-on-week, while the margin financing balance rose to 2.48 trillion yuan, up 0.48% [5][39]. Key Industry News & Company Announcements - The CBIRC has adjusted risk factors for insurance companies, which is expected to support the growth of patient capital and enhance service quality to the real economy [6][64]. - Companies such as Zhongtai Securities and New China Life have announced their respective stock issuance and dividend distribution plans for the first half of 2025 [6].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the banking sector [10] Core Insights - The banking sector has experienced a third consecutive week of decline, primarily due to a rebound in market risk appetite, leading to the outflow of previously defensive capital. The bond market has also adjusted, affecting investment returns. Despite short-term style changes, the report remains optimistic about the revaluation direction of bank stocks, particularly favoring large banks like Bank of Communications and China Merchants Bank, as well as leading city commercial banks such as Nanjing Bank, Jiangsu Bank, and Hangzhou Bank [2][7] - Recent adjustments in insurance risk factors encourage long-term allocations towards low volatility dividend stocks and technology innovation sectors. The National Financial Regulatory Administration has lowered risk factors for certain indices, which is expected to enhance the solvency of insurance companies and promote long-term investments in quality equity assets [4][39] Summary by Sections Market Performance - The banking index fell by 1.1% this week, underperforming the CSI 300 and ChiNext indices by 2.3% and 2.9% respectively. The average dividend yield for the six major state-owned banks in A-shares rose to 3.85%, with a 200 basis point spread over the 10-year government bond yield. H-shares maintain a 5% average dividend yield, with a 23% discount compared to A-shares [7][20][26] Credit Growth - As of the end of October 2025, credit growth across various regions remains differentiated, with major provinces like Jiangsu, Zhejiang, Shandong, Sichuan, and Anhui maintaining growth rates above 8%. Sichuan leads with a growth rate of 10.8%. Corporate loans continue to be the main growth driver, with Jiangsu and Sichuan showing growth rates of 13.6% and 13.3% respectively [6][34] Insurance Capital Allocation - Insurance capital is in a continuous process of increasing allocations to bank stocks, particularly during the third quarter adjustment period. The report outlines three core strategies for capital allocation: large insurance funds strategically investing in state-owned banks and leading city commercial banks, and smaller insurance companies seeking long-term equity investment opportunities in smaller banks [5][39]

Investment Rating - The report indicates a positive outlook on the green hydrogen and methanol industry, emphasizing its investment value during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, particularly in non-electric applications [9]. Core Insights - Recent policies from key government departments, including the National Development and Reform Commission and the National Energy Administration, have established a comprehensive framework for the hydrogen and methanol industry, covering institutional construction, funding support, and industrial planning [3][6]. - The transition from demonstration projects to large-scale commercial operations is marked by significant project launches and technology validations, indicating a new phase for green hydrogen and methanol [9]. - The report highlights the establishment of a minimum renewable energy consumption target for non-electric sectors, which positions green hydrogen and methanol as essential pathways to meet these targets [9]. - Financial support mechanisms have been introduced, such as a 20% funding support for green methanol projects, aimed at alleviating initial investment burdens [9]. - The report identifies specific application scenarios for green hydrogen and methanol, focusing on industrial sectors like coal chemical and metallurgy, as well as green fuel for shipping [9]. Summary by Sections Policy Developments - A series of recent policies have been issued to support the hydrogen and methanol industry, transitioning from a focus on demonstration projects to a more structured approach that includes funding and planning [6][9]. - The National Development and Reform Commission's recent guidelines emphasize the importance of green hydrogen and methanol in achieving renewable energy consumption targets [9]. Project Developments - Major projects have commenced, such as the launch of the zero-carbon hydrogen ammonia project in Inner Mongolia, which aims for an annual production of 320,000 tons of green synthetic ammonia [9]. - Other projects include the successful verification of green hydrogen production processes and the ongoing development of integrated hydrogen and methanol production facilities [9]. Price Trends - Current prices for green methanol remain high due to supply constraints, with domestic prices reported at approximately 6,504 RMB/ton for offshore prices in North China [13]. - Future price projections suggest a potential decrease as production scales up, with contracts indicating prices around 4,713 RMB/ton starting in 2028, representing a 27.5% decrease from current levels [9][13].

行业研究丨行业周报丨钢铁 [Table_Title] 为何钢铁的需求侧具有韧性？ 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 回顾 2025 年钢铁需求侧表现， 1~10 月粗钢、钢材产量同比分别-3.9%、+4.7%。钢材产量由 于涉及冷轧、钢管等二次材重复计算的问题，伴随钢铁产品结构升级和二次材占比的提升，或 对实际产量有所高估。粗钢产量由于系钢企自行上报，缺乏严格监督机制，不涉及流转税数据 的检验，导致实际的产量或有所低估。由此，实际钢铁产量或介于统计局粗钢产量和钢材产量 之间。结合钢材库存整体去化至低位，当前库存水平和年初库存水平差异也不大，表明 2025 年 钢铁总需求相对 2024 年是较为平稳的。为何钢铁的需求侧具有韧性？ 丨证券研究报告丨 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 王鹤涛 赵超 易轰 吕士诚 SAC：S0490512070002 SAC：S0490519030001 SAC：S0490520080012 SAC：S0490525080005 SFC：BQT626 SFC：BUY139 SFC：BUZ394 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the transportation industry [10] Core Insights - The express delivery sector is benefiting from a reduction in competition, leading to a recovery in delivery prices and an increase in market share for leading companies such as Zhongtong Express and YTO Express [2][8] - The integration of cultural tourism and civil aviation is expected to boost air travel demand, supported by new policies aimed at enhancing accessibility for senior travelers and increasing inbound tourism routes [2][40] - In the shipping sector, Hapag-Lloyd's proposed acquisition of ZIM indicates a potential opening for mergers and acquisitions in a challenging market environment [2][7] Summary by Sections Express Delivery - The express delivery volume reached 4.01 billion pieces from November 24 to November 30, showing a year-on-year increase of 2.4%. The average price of express services has been rising due to a reduction in aggressive pricing strategies among e-commerce platforms [8][16] - The market is witnessing a restructuring with leading companies gaining market share as low-cost competition diminishes [8] Air Travel - Domestic passenger volume has shown a 6% year-on-year increase, while international passenger volume has increased by 11% [6][19] - The average domestic seat occupancy rate has improved by 1.6 percentage points year-on-year, and international occupancy has increased by 0.4 percentage points [23][28] - The new policies from the Ministry of Culture and Tourism and the Civil Aviation Administration aim to enhance travel accessibility and promote inbound tourism, which is expected to sustain air travel demand [40][55] Shipping - The average VLCC-TCE rate has decreased by 5.6% to $115,000 per day, while the SCFI index for foreign trade shipping has dropped by 0.4% to 1,398 points [7][19] - The BDI index has risen by 6.5% to 2,727 points, driven by increased shipments of iron ore from Brazil and the upcoming peak season for bauxite shipments from West Africa [7][19] - The proposed acquisition by Hapag-Lloyd is seen as a strategic move to enhance capacity and market share amid declining shipping rates [7][19]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, marking its first coverage [11]. Core Insights - The report highlights that Haidilao is a large restaurant enterprise with a rich brand matrix, distinctive management features, and strong supply chain barriers. The company is expected to continue leading the restaurant market due to its exceptional service, high operational efficiency, and mature supply chain system [3][9]. Company Overview - Haidilao, centered around Sichuan hot pot, has evolved into a global leader in Chinese dining over thirty years. The company's development can be categorized into three phases: expansion, deep adjustment, and new brand exploration. It has established a dual-driven growth model combining its main brand and new brands [6][20]. - The company emphasizes extreme service, which has become a hallmark of its brand, and has a stable shareholding structure with concentrated ownership by the founding team, ensuring effective strategic execution [6][35]. Industry Analysis - The hot pot industry is the largest segment of Chinese cuisine, projected to exceed 600 billion yuan in market size by 2024, capturing approximately 14.5% of the overall Chinese dining market. The industry is characterized by a high degree of standardization and operational efficiency, making it easier to manage supply chains and replicate stores quickly [7][63]. - Despite being a leading brand, Haidilao holds only a 6.9% market share, indicating significant competition from numerous small and specialized hot pot restaurants [7][82]. Competitive Advantages - Haidilao's core competitive advantages include exceptional service, strong management capabilities, and a robust supply chain, which together create a formidable brand moat. The company has implemented a unique apprenticeship system to ensure service quality and operational efficiency [8][43]. - The company is also focusing on a dual-brand strategy, leveraging its main brand while rapidly developing new brands to capture additional market share [9][61]. Financial Performance and Projections - The report forecasts that Haidilao will achieve net profits of 4.335 billion, 4.782 billion, and 5.278 billion yuan from 2025 to 2027, reflecting a positive growth trajectory [9]. - In 2023, the company experienced a significant recovery, with revenue increasing by 19.3% and net profit surging by 227.3%, primarily due to increased customer traffic and optimization of underperforming stores [51].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [2][8]. Core Insights - In Q3 2025, the company achieved revenue of $214 million, a year-on-year increase of 7.8%, while net profit was $3.593 million, down 90.5% year-on-year, primarily due to exchange rate fluctuations [2][6]. - The company is positioned as a leader in the international Chinese dining market, benefiting from its unique service model, strong brand power, and rapid localization capabilities [2][6]. - The company is expected to achieve net profits of $46.81 million, $59.08 million, and $71.92 million for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [2][8]. Revenue Breakdown - The takeaway and other business segments showed significant revenue growth, with takeaway business increasing by 69.2% year-on-year, driven by product optimization and strategic marketing partnerships [9]. - The core restaurant business saw a 5.1% year-on-year increase, attributed to business expansion and enhanced brand influence, with restaurant operations still accounting for over 93% of total revenue [9]. Operational Performance - The average table turnover rate improved, with same-store sales increasing by 2.27% year-on-year, and the East Asia market showing a substantial growth of 18.08% [9]. - The average customer spending decreased by 4.65% to $24.6, with North America experiencing the largest decline of 10.11% [9]. Store Expansion - The total number of restaurants remained stable compared to the previous quarter, with two new openings and one closure due to lease expiration [9]. - As of the end of Q3 2025, the total number of restaurants reached 126, an increase of five year-on-year [9].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [7]. Core Views - The launch of the Leopaard Lafa5 on November 27, 2025, is priced between 97,800 to 121,800 CNY, targeting a niche market for 100,000-level electric sedans, with strong potential for becoming a bestseller. The company is expected to see continuous sales growth driven by the domestic new car cycle and overseas expansion through collaboration with Stellantis, opening up global sales opportunities [2][4]. Summary by Sections Event Description - The Leopaard Lafa5 was officially launched on November 27, 2025 [4]. Event Commentary - The Lafa5 is positioned as a 100,000-level electric sedan, emphasizing extreme price-performance ratio, with significant promotional offers at launch. The pricing for the Lafa5 has decreased by 13,000 to 15,000 CNY compared to pre-sale versions, with a starting price of 92,800 CNY for a limited time. The vehicle features a spacious design, strong product capabilities, and competitive advantages in price, space, and configuration compared to rivals. The Lafa5 is built on the Leap3.5 architecture and offers impressive range and energy consumption metrics, with a CLTC range of 515 km and 605 km, and a minimum energy consumption of 12.3 kWh/100 km [7]. Company Outlook - The company is in a strong new car cycle, with plans to launch 2-3 new products globally each year over the next three years. The domestic market strategy includes a "1+N" channel development model, with 866 sales outlets as of September 30, 2025. The company has also established over 700 sales and service points in approximately 30 international markets, including Europe and Asia-Pacific. The investment in intelligent driving technology has increased significantly, with a nearly 100% rise in team size and computational resources in the first half of 2025 [7]. Financial Projections - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 630 million, 5 billion, and 8.37 billion CNY for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 107.9X, 13.7X, and 8.2X [7].