Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the media internet industry [4] Core Insights - The report emphasizes the potential of domestic open-source models to overcome computational and chip limitations, accelerating technological catch-up. Major internet companies are expected to undergo value reassessment in AI development, with a focus on companies like Tencent, Alibaba, Kuaishou, and Bilibili [4] - Tencent's AI products are rapidly iterating, with the launch of "Hunyuan Turbo S," which has doubled the articulation speed and reduced initial latency by 44%. This indicates a proactive shift in Tencent's AI business strategy [4] - The report highlights the importance of companies that embrace new technologies and possess data, user, and application advantages, suggesting a focus on companies like Kunlun Wanwei, Meitu, and others [5] Summary by Sections Industry Performance - The media sector ranked fifth among all industries with a 5.16% increase from March 3 to March 7, 2025 [10][14] AI Developments - The report discusses the launch of the AI Agent product Manus by the Monica.im team, which has achieved state-of-the-art performance in GAIA benchmark tests, surpassing similar models from OpenAI. Manus features autonomous planning and learning capabilities, indicating significant advancements in AI applications [6][23] Gaming Sector - The report suggests exploring the potential of AI in gaming, particularly in mobile internet games that have weaker commercialization. Companies like Tencent, NetEase, and others are recommended for their innovative approaches [7] Film and Television - The report notes that quality content like "Nezha: The Devil's Child" is expected to drive box office demand and suggests monitoring key film producers and cinema companies [7][39] - In the television sector, the report highlights the performance of popular series, with "Nan Hong" leading in viewership [44] Internet Companies - The report indicates that major internet companies like Tencent and Alibaba are showing resilience in their financial performance, with a focus on strategic adjustments in their organizational structures [8] Publishing and Media - The report advises monitoring state-owned publishing companies as they explore new business models and continue to push for industry consolidation [9] AI Investment Events - The report details ten AI investment events, with significant funding rounds, including a $2 billion investment in SSI, indicating strong market interest in AI and frontier technology [29][30]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the computer industry is "Positive" (首次) [1] Core Insights - The report highlights that the computer sector has shown a significant increase of 6.7% this week, ranking third among the Shenwan industries, driven by the announcement of several computing power leasing orders and the emergence of Manus [3][4] - Manus is compared to last year's Kimi moment, marking a pivotal point in recognizing the capabilities of "task-oriented AI" in the 2.0 era, which is expected to enhance user experience and operational efficiency [4] - The report emphasizes the importance of the trend towards virtualization and cloud deployment, suggesting that companies like 深信服 could benefit from the increasing demand for virtualization products as businesses adopt AI agents [5] Summary by Sections Market Performance - The computer sector has experienced a notable increase of 6.7% this week, indicating strong market interest and institutional focus on software segments [3] Manus and AI Trends - Manus represents a significant shift in the understanding of AI applications, showcasing the capabilities of task-oriented AI, which can execute long tasks and operate asynchronously in cloud environments [4] - The report suggests that the emergence of Manus could lead to a broader recognition of the potential of AI applications in various industries [4] Investment Opportunities - The report recommends focusing on companies that are likely to benefit from the ongoing trends in AI and virtualization, including those involved in computing power and AI applications [6] - Specific companies to watch include 浪潮信息, 华勤技术, and 移远通信, which are positioned to capitalize on the growth in AI and cloud services [6]

证券研究报告 有色金属 行业定期报告 hyzqdatemark 2025 年 03 月 09 日 证券分析师 田源 SAC：S1350524030001 tianyuan@huayuanstock.com 张明磊 SAC：S1350525010001 zhangminglei@huayuanstock.com 郑嘉伟 SAC：S1350523120001 zhengjiawei@huayuanstock.com 田庆争 SAC：S1350524050001 tianqingzheng@huayuanstock.com 陈轩 chenxuan01@huayuanstock.com 板块表现： 美国关税叠加欧洲经济增长预期抬升，外盘铜价大涨 投资评级： 看好（维持） ——有色金属 大宗金属周报（2025/3/3-2025/3/7） 投资要点： 风险提示：下游复产不及预期风险；国内房地产需求不振风险；新能源汽车增速不及预期风险。 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的评级说明和重要声明 铜：美国关税叠加德国大规模财政刺激提升欧洲经济增长预期，外盘铜价大涨。本周美铜/伦 铜/沪铜分别上涨 3.28%/3.01%/1.93%。本周二 ...

证券研究报告 贵金属 行业定期报告 hyzqdatemark 2025 年 03 月 09 日 证券分析师 田源 SAC：S1350524030001 tianyuan@huayuanstock.com 张明磊 SAC：S1350525010001 zhangminglei@huayuanstock.com 郑嘉伟 SAC：S1350523120001 zhengjiawei@huayuanstock.com 陈婉妤 SAC：S1350524110006 chenwanyu@huayuanstock.com 方皓 fanghao@huayuanstock.com 板块表现： 关税与地缘局势持续反复，金价维持高位震荡 投资评级： 看好（维持） ——贵金属双周报（2025/2/24-2025/3/8） 投资要点： 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的评级说明和重要声明 贵金属板块：金银价格持续震荡。近两周，伦敦现货黄金下跌 0.10%至 2931.15 美 元/盎司，上期所黄金下跌 0.72%至 679.48 元/克，沪金持仓量下跌 11.97%至 32.28 万手；伦敦现货白银下跌 1.32%至 32.50 美元/盎司，上 ...

证券研究报告 航运港口 行业点评报告 hyzqdatemark 2025 年 03 月 08 日 证券分析师 孙延 SAC：S1350524050003 sunyan01@huayuanstock.com 曾智星 SAC：S1350524120008 zengzhixing@huayuanstock.com 王惠武 SAC：S1350524060001 wanghuiwu@huayuanstock.com 张付哲 zhangfuzhe@huayuanstock.com 板块表现： OPEC+复产一波三折，合规油贸添增量 投资评级： 看好（维持） ——航运船舶市场系列（十一） 资料来源：第一财经公众号，财经早餐公众号，日经中文网，隆众资讯公众号，华源证券研究所 图表 2：OPEC+减产行为短期内刺激油价，但油价整体保持震荡下行 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的评级说明和重要声明 第 2页/ 共 5页 投资要点： 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的评级说明和重要声明 事件：3 月 4 日，OPEC+宣布将从 2025 年 4 月起增加石油产量 13.8 万桶/日，并计 划到 2026 年逐步恢复 220 万桶/日产量。OPEC+从 ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [2] Core Viewpoints - Maersk announced a significant increase in freight rates for routes from the Far East to Europe and the Mediterranean, with rates for major Asian ports to Rotterdam rising to $2,600/TEU and $4,000/FEU, effectively doubling the previous rates [2] - Shipping companies are actively raising rates to support long-term contract prices, especially in the context of a seasonal demand recovery expected in March and April [2] - The current shipping market is experiencing a traditional off-peak season, with the SCFI composite freight index dropping to 1,515.29 points, a 5% decrease week-on-week, and a 39.5% decline since the beginning of 2025 [2] - There is a notable "rate inversion" in the European line, where spot market prices are lower than the long-term contract prices, increasing the risk of contract defaults by shippers [2] - The expectation of a seasonal recovery in demand in March and April is anticipated to drive freight rates up, as factories resume operations post-Chinese New Year [2] - The delay in the resumption of shipping through the Red Sea is expected to support the bottom of European line freight rates due to increased transportation costs and reduced effective capacity [2] - In April, the European line capacity remains sufficient, with an average weekly capacity of 316,000 TEU, and a maximum of 2 blank sailings per week, which is 120% of the same period in 2024 [2][7] Summary by Sections - **Market Performance**: Shipping companies are showing a strong willingness to raise prices, with several companies issuing price increase notices for European routes [2] - **Demand Recovery**: March and April typically see a seasonal recovery in demand, with expectations of increased freight volumes on European lines [2][4] - **Capacity and Pricing Dynamics**: The European line capacity is adequate, and the potential for price increases exists if demand rebounds alongside any increase in blank sailings [2][7]

证券研究报告 传媒 行业点评报告 hyzqdatemark 2025 年 03 月 08 日 陈良栋 SAC：S1350524100003 chenliangdong@huayuanstock.com 王世豪 SAC：S1350524120005 wangshihao@huayuanstock.com 魏桢 weizhen@huayuanstock.com 板块表现： Manus 发布，AI Agent 的"iphone"时刻 投资评级： 看好（维持） ——AI 应用系列研究报告（二） 投资要点： 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的评级说明和重要声明 证券分析师 中国团队推出 Manus，AI Agent 的"iphone"时刻。2025 年 3 月 6 日凌晨，中国 Monica.im 团队推出全球首款实现"全场景自主决策"的通用型 AI 代理 Manus。 在 GAIA 基准测试中，Manus 在所有三个难度级别上都取得了新的"最先进" （SOTA），其性能超越 Open AI 的同层次大模型。 联系人 Manus 的体验优势之一：自主规划和自主学习能力。Manus 能够自主规划来确保执 行任务，其自主学习能力也让 ...

Fixed Income - The forecast for February 2025 predicts new loans of 1 trillion yuan and social financing of 2.5 trillion yuan, with M2 reaching 320.6 trillion yuan and a year-on-year growth of 7.0% [2][10] - The social financing growth rate is expected to be 8.3%, with a potential recovery in the growth rate later in the year [11][12] - The report anticipates a stable economic outlook for 2025, with a possible small rebound in 2026, and predicts the 10Y/30Y government bond yields to peak at 1.9%/2.2% in 2025 [13] Pharmaceutical Industry - Kelun Pharmaceutical (002422.SZ) - Kelun Pharmaceutical is recognized as a successful representative of the transition from generic to innovative drugs, with a cumulative R&D investment of nearly 11.9 billion yuan from 2014 to 2023 [14][15] - The company has entered the global market for innovative drugs, with significant potential for future growth, particularly through its ADC research platform and partnerships with major pharmaceutical companies [16] - The antibiotic intermediate sector is expected to maintain a stable supply-demand balance, while the intravenous infusion market is projected to grow steadily due to aging demographics [17][18] Public Utilities - China Resources Gas (01193.HK) - China Resources Gas is positioned as a leading city gas provider, focusing on projects in first- and second-tier cities, benefiting from its strategic location [21][22] - The company has reduced its reliance on connection services, with growth in comprehensive services and energy solutions supporting its profitability [23] - The report highlights a significant increase in operating cash flow and a low debt ratio, indicating strong financial health and potential for dividend growth [24][25] New Energy - Mingyang Technology (837663.BJ) - Mingyang Technology is identified as a national-level specialized manufacturer in automotive seat components, with an expected net profit growth of 18.66% in 2024 [27][28] - The company is benefiting from the trend of electrification and intelligence in the automotive industry, with a projected increase in the value of seat components [29] - The report emphasizes the potential for growth in the assembly business, which is expected to become a significant revenue driver [30][31] New Consumption - Semir Apparel (002563.SZ) - Semir Apparel focuses on casual and children's clothing, with its brands ranking among the top in their respective markets [34][35] - The company is enhancing operational efficiency and product appeal through strategic partnerships and brand collaborations, leading to improved profit margins [35] - The report forecasts steady growth in net profit from 2024 to 2026, supported by a strong market position and multi-brand strategy [36] New Consumption - Bairun Co., Ltd. (002568.SZ) - Bairun Co., Ltd. is a leading player in the ready-to-drink (RTD) beverage market, with a market share exceeding 73% in 2023 [38][39] - The growth of the RTD market is driven by expanding consumer demographics and innovative product offerings [40] - The company is expected to maintain its market leadership and continue to grow its net profit from 2024 to 2026 [41]

Investment Rating - The report gives an initial investment rating of "Buy" for the company, indicating a positive outlook on its future performance [5][8]. Core Views - The company is successfully transitioning from generic to innovative pharmaceuticals, with significant R&D investments expected to yield results in the near future. It has established itself as a leading player in the fields of large-volume intravenous solutions, active pharmaceutical ingredients, and innovative drugs, particularly in the ADC (Antibody-Drug Conjugate) sector [7][10]. - The company has a strong pipeline of innovative drugs, with several products nearing commercialization, which presents substantial growth potential [7][10]. - The large-volume intravenous solutions segment is expected to maintain a stable competitive landscape, supported by an aging population and a solid market position [7][10]. Summary by Sections 1. "Large-volume IV solutions + Active Pharmaceutical Ingredients + Innovative Drugs" as Growth Drivers - The company has a well-structured operational platform consisting of large-volume IV solutions, active pharmaceutical ingredients, and innovative drugs, with a focus on high-end manufacturing and new materials [19]. - The company has established a comprehensive industrial production system in the antibiotic intermediate sector, leveraging regional advantages [19]. 2. Sustained High R&D Investment - The company has invested nearly 11.9 billion RMB in R&D over the past decade, which is expected to enhance its position in the global ADC market [7][10]. - The ADC development platform "OptiDC" has been recognized internationally, with multiple projects in various stages of clinical development [32][34]. 3. Stable Landscape for Large-volume IV Solutions - The market for large-volume IV solutions has stabilized, with the top five companies accounting for approximately 80% of the market share [7][10]. - The demand for large-volume IV solutions is expected to grow steadily due to demographic trends, despite short-term price fluctuations [7][10]. 4. Active Pharmaceutical Ingredients Supply and Demand - The antibiotic intermediate sector has seen a reduction in outdated production capacity, leading to a stable market environment [7][10]. - The company is a leading supplier of antibiotic intermediates, with a strong market position and stable demand for its products [7][10]. 5. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 30.6 billion RMB, 28.0 billion RMB, and 36.2 billion RMB for the years 2024 to 2026, with corresponding growth rates of 24.6%, -8.4%, and 29.1% [6][8]. - The current price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios are estimated at 16, 18, and 14 for the years 2024 to 2026, indicating a favorable valuation compared to peers [8].

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a focus on its core gas assets and a solid dividend logic [5][10]. Core Views - The company is positioned as a national leader in city gas, backed by China Resources Group, with a significant presence in first- and second-tier cities, enhancing its core asset attributes [9][17]. - The report anticipates a recovery in profit margins due to lower gas prices and improved sales pricing mechanisms, which are expected to support revenue growth [12][42]. - The company’s cash flow has significantly improved, with a notable increase in operating cash flow and a reduction in capital expenditures, indicating a strong potential for dividend growth [22][24]. Summary by Sections Market Performance - The closing price as of March 5, 2025, was HKD 26.10, with a market capitalization of HKD 60,395.74 million [3]. Financial Projections - The projected net profit for 2024-2026 is HKD 55.63 billion, HKD 61.72 billion, and HKD 67.65 billion respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 11, 10, and 9 [6][10]. - The expected dividend yields for 2024-2026 are 4.6%, 5.1%, and 5.6% based on the current stock price [6][10]. Business Overview - The company operates 276 city gas projects, with a retail gas volume increasing from 1.371 billion cubic meters in 2008 to 38.784 billion cubic meters in 2023, maintaining a market share of 9.83% in 2023 [17][18]. - The revenue structure has shifted, with gas sales becoming the primary profit driver, accounting for 56.15% of tax-preferred profits in 2023 [18][20]. Cash Flow and Dividend Policy - The operating cash flow reached HKD 10.16 billion in 2023, a year-on-year increase of 133.4%, with a free cash flow of HKD 1.9 billion in the first half of 2024 [22][24]. - The dividend payout ratio has increased from 29.8% in 2016 to 50.3% in 2023, with a compound annual growth rate of 25.15% in dividends per share since 2008 [25][60]. Strategic Positioning - The company is strategically positioned in economically developed regions, benefiting from high population density and industrial clustering, which supports gas sales growth [38][40]. - The report highlights the potential for further market consolidation and growth in the city gas sector, driven by government policies promoting mergers and acquisitions [40][46]. Risk Management - The company has managed to reduce its reliance on connection profits, with a significant increase in comprehensive service and energy business profits, which helps mitigate risks associated with declining connection revenues [12][53].