Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for key companies in the telecommunications sector, including China Mobile, Zhongji Xuchuang, Xinyi Sheng, Tianfu Communication, and others [10][50]. Core Insights - The report highlights the significant growth in AI training demand in North America, as evidenced by the strong performance of Oracle and CoreWeave in Q1 2025. Oracle observed a broad increase in AI training demand from multiple clients and raised its capital expenditure forecast for FY26. CoreWeave's revenue reached $982 million, exceeding market expectations by 14%, driven by substantial orders from major clients like Microsoft and OpenAI [2][3][14]. - The report suggests that the recent acceleration in overseas AI infrastructure development presents investment opportunities in related supply chains, including optical modules, CPO, copper connections, and AIDC [2][3][20]. Summary by Sections Market Performance - The telecommunications index fell by 0.78% last week, while the Shanghai Composite Index and Shenzhen Component Index decreased by 0.25% and 0.60%, respectively [2][13]. Key Companies and Developments - Oracle's Q1 FY25 revenue was $15.9 billion, an 11% year-over-year increase, with cloud infrastructure revenue growing by 52%. The company plans to invest over $25 billion in capital expenditures next fiscal year due to observed AI training demand [14][15]. - CoreWeave reported Q1 FY26 revenue of $982 million, a 420% year-over-year increase, driven by strong AI training demand from major clients. The company signed a $11.9 billion contract with OpenAI and has a remaining performance obligation of $25.9 billion [15][20]. Recommended Companies - The report recommends several companies for investment, including: - China Mobile (600941 CH) with a target price of 126.40 and a "Buy" rating - Zhongji Xuchuang (300308 CH) with a target price of 164.78 and a "Buy" rating - Xinyi Sheng (300502 CH) with a target price of 128.76 and a "Buy" rating - Tianfu Communication (300394 CH) with a target price of 119.12 and a "Buy" rating - Other companies such as Ruijie Networks and Hengtong Optic-Electric are also recommended [10][50][51].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [7] Core Views - The company plans to invest up to 3.3 billion RMB to build amino acid and supporting projects, increasing annual production capacity of threonine and MSG by 200,000 tons and 250,000 tons respectively [1][2] - The company's threonine and MSG production capacity is expected to rise from 268,000 tons and 420,000 tons in 2024 to 468,000 tons and 670,000 tons in 2027, enhancing its market share [1][2] - The report anticipates that the global threonine capacity and domestic MSG capacity will maintain a CR3 of over 80% by 2027, with the company’s market share projected to increase to 26% and 17% respectively [1][2] Summary by Sections Investment Overview - The project is located in Daqing, Heilongjiang, with a construction period of approximately 22 months and expected annual sales revenue of about 3.9 billion RMB upon reaching full capacity [2] - The company will finance the project through a mix of self-funding and bank loans, each accounting for about 50% [2] Market Conditions - The report notes that the prices for lysine and threonine have seen slight declines, but demand is expected to improve as the peak season approaches and due to the reduction in soybean meal usage [3] - The company’s corn deep processing project in Xinjiang, which includes small amino acid products, is progressing and is expected to contribute to future growth [3] Financial Projections - The report forecasts the company's net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 to be 1.32 billion, 1.41 billion, and 1.59 billion RMB respectively, representing year-on-year growth of 40%, 7%, and 12% [4] - The estimated EPS for the same period is projected to be 0.80, 0.85, and 0.96 RMB [4] - The target price is set at 9.60 RMB, with a PE ratio of 12 times for 2025, reflecting the company's early-stage project developments [4][8]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the construction and building materials sectors [6]. Core Insights - Investment sentiment in the construction sector is showing divergence, with a focus on capacity clearance and high-demand sub-sectors. Infrastructure investment (excluding power, heat, gas, and water supply) increased by 5.6% year-on-year, while real estate investment decreased by 10.7% [1]. - The retail sales of construction and decoration materials showed a year-on-year increase of 3.0% in the first five months of 2025, indicating a recovery in retail demand [2]. - Cement production in the first five months of 2025 was 659 million tons, down 4.0% year-on-year, with the decline in production accelerating [3]. - The average price of float glass decreased by 22.1% year-on-year in May 2025, reflecting supply pressure due to the resumption of production lines [4]. Summary by Sections Investment Trends - Infrastructure investment growth is positive at 5.6%, while real estate investment continues to decline at -10.7% [1]. - Retail sales in the building materials sector are recovering, with a 3.0% increase in the first five months of 2025 [2]. Cement Industry - Cement production decreased by 4.0% year-on-year, with a notable decline in the average shipment rate [3]. - The average price of cement in May 2025 was 380 yuan per ton, up 2.7% year-on-year, but the market is experiencing weak demand [3]. Glass Industry - Float glass production decreased by 4.9% year-on-year, with prices declining due to increased supply from resumed production lines [4]. - The average price of photovoltaic glass also saw a decrease, indicating cost pressures in the sector [4]. Recommended Stocks - The report recommends several stocks in the construction and building materials sectors, including Sichuan Road and Bridge, China Nuclear Engineering, and Huaxin Cement, all rated as "Buy" with target prices set for 2025 [8][31].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report emphasizes the importance of embracing core assets in the home appliance sector, focusing on innovation and overseas localization capabilities to capture growth opportunities [2][6][19] - The home appliance sector has shown positive fundamentals, with a year-on-year revenue growth of 13.7% and a net profit growth of 25.3% in Q1 2025, indicating a strong recovery in domestic demand [3][42] - The report identifies three major trends: anchoring on core assets in the home appliance sector, strengthening overseas localization capabilities, and focusing on AI and innovation for growth [2][6][20] Group 2 - The domestic demand structure is balanced, with domestic sales accounting for approximately 59% and exports for 41%, supported by strong growth in emerging markets [14][15] - The "old-for-new" policy continues to support domestic demand, with an expansion of covered categories from 8 to 12 in 2025, maintaining a subsidy rate of 15%-20% [16][54] - The report highlights the importance of innovation in the home appliance sector, with a shift towards smart and health-oriented products driving market growth [17][30] Group 3 - The report recommends several companies as investment opportunities, including Haier Smart Home, Gree Electric, and TCL Electronics, which exhibit strong market positions and growth potential [21][22][26] - Companies like Stone Technology and Ecovacs are highlighted for their global expansion strategies and potential for revenue growth [24][25] - The report also emphasizes the importance of companies with strong localization capabilities to mitigate risks associated with tariffs and enhance competitiveness in overseas markets [5][23][53]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company has been upgraded to "Buy" with a target price of HKD 16.00 [7][8]. Core Insights - The company reported FY25 revenue of HKD 896.6 billion, a decrease of 17.5% year-on-year, while operating profit increased by 9.8% to HKD 147.5 billion, and net profit attributable to shareholders was HKD 59.2 billion, down 9.0% but above expectations due to product structure optimization and rising gold prices [1][2][4]. - Same-store sales in mainland China and Hong Kong/Macau showed a decline of 2.7% and an increase of 1.3% respectively in April-May 2025, indicating a narrowing decline in mainland sales by 10.5 percentage points compared to the previous quarter [1][2]. - The company is focusing on optimizing its product structure, with the retail sales of gold in mainland China accounting for 19.2%, up 12.2 percentage points year-on-year, and the introduction of high-end jewelry series to enhance brand image and profitability [2][3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - FY25 revenue was HKD 896.6 billion, down 17.5% year-on-year, while net profit was HKD 59.2 billion, down 9.0% [1][12]. - The gross profit margin improved to 29.5%, an increase of 5.5 percentage points year-on-year, driven by a higher proportion of high-margin products and rising gold prices [2][16]. Store Network and Brand Strategy - The company closed 892 underperforming stores and opened new stores in high-potential areas, ending FY25 with 6,274 stores in mainland China and 149 in Hong Kong/Macau [3]. - New image stores in key cities have shown better sales performance compared to regular stores, with plans to open 20 new image stores in FY26 [3]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The net profit forecast for FY26 and FY27 has been raised by 22% and 27% to HKD 76.3 billion and HKD 83.6 billion respectively, with an introduction of FY28 profit forecast at HKD 92.3 billion [4][6]. - The target price is set at HKD 16.00 based on a PE ratio of 21 times for FY26, reflecting the company's potential to benefit from increased industry concentration amid heightened competition [4][6].

证券研究报告 宽观 关税"脉冲"引起贸易量波动 |关税 影响高频跟踪(6月12日) 华泰研究 2025年6月12日|中国内地 动态点评 概览:5月以来关税"脉冲"轨迹初步显现,贸易量上,高频数据显示5月 美国进口偏弱,预计6月有所修复,但或难回到一季度的较高水平;通胀上, 微观数据显示 5月底以来价格小幅上行,关税的价格压力仍在传导;企业信 心上,5月有所修复但仍处低位,后续修复速率或相对缓慢。总体来看,虽 然"美丽大法案"或于7月通过,带来新一轮财政扩张,美国经济大概率避 免陷入衰退,但7月9日后的贸易走势值得观察。 贸易高频跟踪显示,5月美国进口偏弱,预计6月将有所回升。5月中美关 税降级以来,运价明显回升,显示贸易需求有所升温。但集装箱数据显示, 5月美国自全球进口整体偏弱,自中国进口显著回落。但自越南等国家进口 维持较高水平,背后是关税以及贸易分流的影响(图表 3-6)。6月以来数据 显示. 6月中下旬美国进口或有所回升:6月以来,中国发往美国的集装箱 数量低位回升,考虑到中国到美国海运需要 2-4周,对应6月中下旬美国自 中国进口的回升:6月中下旬洛杉矶港到港量同比增速预测也明显回升,佐 证上述判断 ...

今日早参 2025 年 6 月 13 日 易峘 首席宏观经济学家 邮箱：evayi@htsc.com 何康 策略首席研究员兼金融工程联席首席 研究员 座机：021-28972202 邮箱：hekang@htsc.com 今日热点 宏观：关税"脉冲"引起贸易量波动｜关税影响高频跟踪（6 月 12 日） 概览：5 月以来关税"脉冲"轨迹初步显现，贸易量上，高频数据显示 5 月 美国进口偏弱，预计 6 月有所修复，但或难回到一季度的较高水平；通胀 上，微观数据显示 5 月底以来价格小幅上行，关税的价格压力仍在传导；企 业信心上，5 月有所修复但仍处低位，后续修复速率或相对缓慢。总体来 看，虽然"美丽大法案"或于 7 月通过，带来新一轮财政扩张，美国经济大 概率避免陷入衰退，但 7 月 9 日后的贸易走势值得观察。 风险提示：特朗普关税政策再度反复，美国就业数据走弱节奏快于预期。 研报发布日期：2025-06-12 研究员 易峘 SAC:S0570520100005 SFC:AMH263 胡李鹏 SAC:S0570525010001 SFC:BWA860 策略：TMT 和先进制造景气回升 我们的中观景气模型显示，5 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for both Sailun Tire and Senqilin, with target prices of 16.44 and 26.91 respectively [9][28]. Core Insights - The tire industry is approaching a turning point due to tariff digestion and cost improvements, with Chinese tire companies expected to expand their market share despite current tariff challenges [1]. - Raw material costs have significantly decreased, with the price index for semi-steel and all-steel tires dropping by 15% and 14% respectively as of June 6, 2025, indicating a recovery in profitability for the tire industry expected by Q3 2025 [2]. - Demand for semi-steel tires in North America and Europe remains strong, with a year-on-year growth of 3% and 5% respectively in early 2025, enhancing the competitiveness of Chinese products in these markets [3]. - Leading companies are actively expanding their overseas presence, with Sailun Tire increasing its brand investment and establishing production facilities in Indonesia and Mexico, while Senqilin is set to ramp up production in Morocco [4]. Summary by Sections Tariff and Cost Dynamics - Tariff impacts are gradually being absorbed, allowing Chinese tire companies to leverage their cost advantages and enhance market penetration [1]. - The cost pressure from raw materials has eased significantly, with expectations of improved profitability in the upcoming quarters [2]. Market Demand and Competitiveness - The semi-steel tire demand in North America and Europe continues to grow, with a notable increase in imports from China [3]. - Chinese tire manufacturers are positioned to benefit from their competitive pricing and quality, leading to increased market share in international markets [3]. Company Recommendations - Sailun Tire is recommended due to its strong brand development and successful overseas production initiatives, with a projected revenue growth of 22% year-on-year [32]. - Senqilin is also recommended for its high-end product positioning and expected production ramp-up in Morocco, contributing to its market share growth [32].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the industry [6] Core Insights - The report highlights the emergence of a sovereign AI-driven incremental market, with NVIDIA's AI supercomputing infrastructure set to be deployed across multiple European countries, creating a robust AI ecosystem [1][2] - The acceleration of physical AI applications is noted, with NVIDIA's Omniverse being central to replicating AI factories in the European industrial and pharmaceutical sectors [1][3] - The software ecosystem's stickiness is emphasized as a critical factor for NVIDIA's ongoing success [1][4] Summary by Sections Sovereign AI - The EU announced an expansion of its AI factory network, including 13 existing AI factories and an investment of €20 billion to build up to 5 AI Gigafactories, each equipped with approximately 100,000 advanced AI processors [2] - NVIDIA plans to deploy over 3,000 exaflops of AI computing power in Europe, collaborating with Mistral AI in France and Nebius and Nscale in the UK [2] Enterprise Collaboration - NVIDIA is constructing the world's first industrial AI cloud for European manufacturers, supported by 10,000 GPUs, including B200 and RTX PRO servers [3] - The Omniverse platform is being utilized across various European industrial applications, enhancing product lifecycle management for companies like BMW and Siemens [3] Software Ecosystem - NVIDIA is expanding its DGX Cloud Lepton and Nemotron AI platforms, allowing developers to seamlessly deploy and manage AI models across various cloud environments [4] - Collaborations with European venture capital firms aim to provide support for companies using DGX Cloud Lepton, potentially locking developers into NVIDIA's software framework [4]

证券研究报告 宽观 5 月全球 PMI:关税暂缓推动订单反 华泰研究 2025年6月12日|中国内地 动态点评 图说全球 PMI | 2025年5月 本系列为华泰宏观出品、全球 PMI月度追踪系列的第二十三期。5月全球制 造业 PMI 回落,但关税降级推动大部分国家制造业 PMI 改善,其中,欧元 区、东盟、墨西哥等国家和地区表现较好;制造业新订单和新出口订单或受 益于抢出口大多出现回升;价格指标维持高位,库存稳步上行。5月全球服 务业 PMI 有所回升,但主要受美国提振,欧日均有所回落。 5 月全球 PMI 走势概述:服务业景气度上行带动 5 月全球综合 PMI 上行 0.4pp 至 51.2。制造业 PMI:大部分国家制造业 PMI 均有所改善:美国 Markit 和 ISM 制造业 PM 走势分化,后者有所回落:欧元区则延续年初以来回升 的趋势;从绝对水平看,印度>美国 Markit>拉美>俄罗斯>欧元区=日本>东 盟>中国台湾地区>英国。服务业 PMI:全球服务业 PMI 景气度回升,主要 由美国 Markit 服务业 PMI 上行带动,欧元区和日本均走弱。订单:全球制 造业新订单延续下行,但出口新订 ...