Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No investment rating information is provided in the report. 2. Core View of the Report - Polyolefins mainly showed a slight rebound. Spot prices of linear LL and拉丝PP from Sinopec and PetroChina remained stable. Currently, from a fundamental perspective, polyolefin consumption has entered a relative off - season, and spot prices generally performed mediocre. The fluctuation of futures prices is more influenced by cost and market sentiment. The rebound of international oil prices helps polyolefins stop falling and stabilize. In the future, the driving force is limited, but due to the relatively low valuation, polyolefins may gradually stop falling, build a bottom, and attempt a rebound [2]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs Futures Market - **LL Futures**: For the 1 - month, 5 - month, and 9 - month contracts, the previous day's closing prices were 7078, 7067, and 7106 respectively, with increases of 28 (0.40%), 31 (0.44%), and 28 (0.40%) compared to the day before. The trading volumes were 33611, 210, and 324522, and the open interests were 113054, 665, and 530962, with decreases of 2548, 11, and 14408 respectively [2]. - **PP Futures**: For the 1 - month, 5 - month, and 9 - month contracts, the previous day's closing prices were 6896, 6889, and 6941 respectively, with increases of 3 (0.04%), 0 (0.00%), and 9 (0.13%) compared to the day before. The trading volumes were 17995, 118, and 295028, and the open interests were 78445, 604, and 511475, with decreases of 375, 18, and 4864 respectively [2]. - **Spreads**: For LL, the current spreads of 1 - month - 5 - month, 5 - month - 9 - month, and 9 - month - 1 - month were 11, - 39, and 28 respectively; for PP, they were 7, - 52, and 45 respectively [2]. Raw Materials and Spot Market - **Raw Materials**: The current prices of methanol futures, Shandong propylene, South China propane, PP recycled materials, North China powder, and mulch film were 2279 yuan/ton, 6360 yuan/ton, 608 dollars/ton, 5600 yuan/ton, 6970 yuan/ton, and 8800 yuan/ton respectively [2]. - **Spot Market**: The current price ranges of LL in the East China, North China, and South China markets were 7150 - 7750 yuan/ton, 7050 - 7300 yuan/ton, and 7250 - 7550 yuan/ton respectively; for PP, they were 7000 - 7150 yuan/ton, 6950 - 7100 yuan/ton, and 7050 - 7200 yuan/ton respectively [2]. Information - On Tuesday (June 10), the settlement price of West Texas Intermediate crude oil futures for July 2025 on the New York Mercantile Exchange was $64.98 per barrel, down $0.31 (0.47%) from the previous trading day, with a trading range of $64.57 - $66.28. The settlement price of Brent crude oil futures for August 2025 on the London Intercontinental Exchange was $66.87 per barrel, down $0.17 (0.25%) from the previous trading day, with a trading range of $66.48 - $68 [2].

| | | | | 申银万国期货研究所 唐广华（从业资格号：F3010997；交易咨询号：Z0011162） | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | | tanggh@sywgqh.com.cn 021-50586292 | | | | | | | | | TS2509 | TS2512 | TF2509 | TF2512 | T2509 | T2512 | TL2509 | TL2512 | | | 昨日收盘价 前日收盘价 | 102.442 102.448 | 102.552 102.560 | 106.135 106.125 | 106.215 106.225 | 108.995 109.000 | 108.980 109.000 | 120.16 120.14 | 119.99 119.96 | | | 涨跌 | -0.006 | -0.008 | 0.010 | -0.010 | -0.005 | -0.020 | 0.020 | 0.030 | | | 涨跌幅 | -0.01 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating There is no information provided regarding the report industry investment rating in the given content. 2. Core Views of the Report - The overall market shows a complex situation with different trends in various sectors due to factors such as trade policies, economic data, and central bank policies [2][3][4] - Precious metals: Gold is in a long - term uptrend with short - term fluctuations, while silver is currently strong. Steel market faces supply - demand imbalance, and the crude oil market has short - term support but long - term pressure [2][3][4] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Main News International News - US May non - farm payrolls added 139,000, exceeding expectations. The probability of the Fed maintaining interest rates in June is 99.9%, and the probability of a 25 - basis - point cut by July is 16.5% [5] Domestic News - Canadian Prime Minister expressed willingness to restart Canada - China relations and strengthen cooperation in various fields [6] Industry News - As of June 6, the Shanghai Export Container Freight Index increased by 167.64 points, and the China Export Container Freight Index rose by 3.3% [7] 3.2 Outer - disk Daily Earnings - S&P 500 increased by 0.09%, FTSE China A50 Futures decreased by 0.17%, and ICE Brent crude oil rose by 0.72% from June 6 to June 9 [8] 3.3 Morning Comments on Major Varieties Financial - Stock Index: Currently in a state of shock, with low implied volatility of stock index options. If there are new stimuli, it may choose a direction and increase volatility [10][11] - Treasury Bonds: Showed mixed performance. The market funds are relatively loose, and the price is supported to some extent, but it is necessary to pay attention to the progress of trade negotiations [12] Energy and Chemical - Crude Oil: SC night session fluctuated upward. Short - term support exists, but long - term pressure comes from a 1.2 - million - barrel - per - day increase in production [4][13] - Methanol: Short - term bullish, with an increase in import arrivals expected [14] - Rubber: Supply pressure is increasing, and the short - term trend is expected to be weak [15] - Polyolefins: May gradually stop falling and build a bottom, with limited driving force [16][17] - Glass/Soda Ash: Both are in a cycle of inventory digestion, and attention should be paid to the balance of supply and demand [18] Metal - Precious Metals: Gold is in shock, and silver is strong in the short term. The gold - silver ratio is being repaired [2][19] - Copper: May fluctuate in a range due to the balance of supply and demand factors [20] - Zinc: Short - term price may fluctuate widely, affected by factors such as US tariffs [21] - Aluminum: May fluctuate in the short term, with weakening demand [22][23] - Nickel: May show a shock - strong trend in the short term, with mixed supply and demand factors [24] - Lithium Carbonate: The fundamental situation has not improved substantially, and attention should be paid to low - level capital games [25] Black - Iron Ore: Has short - term support but may be weak in the later stage, affected by factors such as steel mill production and global shipments [26] - Steel: Faces a situation of weak supply and demand, with rebar weaker than hot - rolled coils in the short term [3][27] - Coking Coal/Coke: Futures prices are at a low level, and the market is uncertain. Attention should be paid to the negative feedback [28][29] Agricultural Products - Oils and Fats: The pattern of strong supply and weak demand remains, and attention should be paid to the MPOB report [30] - Protein Meal: Expected to be bullish in the short term due to improved US soybean export prospects and domestic inventory accumulation [31] - Corn/Corn Starch: The long - term supply gap may exist, and the main contract can be treated as bullish at a low level [32] - Cotton: Zhengzhou cotton is under pressure at a high level, and attention should be paid to export orders [33] Shipping Index - Container Shipping to Europe: The market is expected to fluctuate, and attention should be paid to the price increase in July and August [34][35]

| | 20250610申万期货有色金属基差日报 | | | --- | --- | --- | | | 铜： 可能短期宽幅波动 | | | | 锌： 可能短期宽幅波动 | | | 摘要 | 铝： 短期内或以震荡为主。 | | | | 镍： 短期内或以震荡偏强。 | | | 品种 | 观点 | 策略方向 | | | 铜：夜盘铜价收涨。目前精矿加工费总体低位以及低铜价，考验冶炼产量。 | | | | 根据国家统计局数据来看，国内下游需求总体稳定向好，电力行业延续正增 | 可能短期宽 | | 铜 | 长；汽车产销正增长；家电产量增速趋缓；地产持续疲弱。多空因素交织， 铜价可能区间波动。关注美国关税进展，以及美元、铜冶炼和家电产量等因 | 幅波动 | | | 素变化。 | | | | 锌：夜盘锌价收涨。近期精矿加工费持续回升。由国家统计局数据来看，国 | | | | 内汽车产销正增长，基建稳定增长，家电产量增速趋缓，地产持续疲弱。市 | 可能短期宽 | | 锌 | 场预期今年精矿供应明显改善，冶炼供应可能恢复。短期锌价可能宽幅波 | 幅波动 | | | 动，关注美国关税进展，以及美元、锌冶炼和家电产量等因素变化。 ...

| | | | | 申银万国期货研究所 唐广华（从业资格号：F3010997；交易咨询号：Z0011162） tanggh@sywgqh.com.cn 021-50586292 | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 昨日收盘价 | TS2509 102.448 | TS2512 102.560 | TF2509 106.125 | TF2512 106.225 | T2509 109.000 | T2512 109.000 | TL2509 120.14 | TL2512 119.96 | | | 前日收盘价 | 102.452 | 102.574 | 106.140 | 106.230 | 108.925 | 108.945 | 119.78 | 119.6 | | | 涨跌 | -0.004 | -0.014 | -0.015 | -0.005 | 0.075 | 0.055 | 0.360 | 0.360 | | | 涨跌幅 | 0.00% | -0.01% | -0.01% | 0.0 ...

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided regarding the report industry investment rating. 2. Core View of the Report - The EC of the container shipping European line opened low and fluctuated, with the 08 contract closing at 2065.6 points, a decrease of 2.55%. The latest SCFIS European line on June 9 was 1622.81 points, corresponding to the departure settlement price from 06.02 - 06.08, a 29.5% increase from the previous period, but the increase was less than expected. The current 08 contract basically follows the spot freight rate fluctuations, and whether it can break through the previous high depends on the price increases and implementation in July and August. The market valuation is relatively neutral but the expectation is weak, and it is expected to continue the volatile pattern. Attention can be paid to short - selling opportunities on rallies [1]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs EC Contract Volume and Price | Contract | Latest Transaction Price (Points) | Latest Increase/Decrease (%) | Trading Volume | Open Interest (Unilateral) | Long Positions (Top 20 Members) | Short Positions (Top 20 Members) | Net Long Positions (Top 20 Members) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | EC2506 | 1948.6 | - 0.31 | 1319 (-1042 compared to the previous period) | 7803 (-335 compared to the previous period) | 6036 | 5812 | 224 | | EC2508 | 2065.6 | - 2.55 | 55701 (-27235 compared to the previous period) | 44127 (-2100 compared to the previous period) | 23014 | 24598 | - 1584 | | EC2510 | 1343.7 | - 0.57 | 7945 (-5732 compared to the previous period) | 24244 (150 compared to the previous period) | 0 | 0 | 0 | | EC2512 | 1520.7 | - 0.18 | 1211 (-721 compared to the previous period) | 4827 (88 compared to the previous period) | | | | | EC2602 | 1376.5 | 0.32 | 379 (-257 compared to the previous period) | 2786 (-5 compared to the previous period) | | | | | EC2604 | 1225.5 | 1.23 | 600 (61 compared to the previous period) | 3356 (-11 compared to the previous period) | | | | | Total | - | - | 67155 | 87143 | 29050 | 30410 | - 1360 | [2] Latest Spot Freight Rates - European Routes | Spot Index | Indicator | Latest Period | Month - on - Month Increase/Decrease | Previous Period | Month - on - Month Increase/Decrease | Two Periods Ago | Month - on - Month Increase/Decrease | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | (Weekly) | SCFIS - Points | 1622.81 | 29.5% | 1252.82 | 0.5% | 1247.05 | - 1.4% | | | SCFI - $/TEU | 1667 | 5.0% | 1587 | 20.5% | 1317 | 14.1% | | Spot Freight Rates | TCI(20GP) $/TEU | 1809 | - 2.4% | 1854 | 0.0% | 1854 | 0.0% | | (Daily) | TCI(40GP) $/FEU | 2913 | - 3.0% | 3002 | 0.0% | 3002 | 0.0% | [4] Basis Spread (Points) The previous trading day's basis was 366.89, and the basis two trading days ago was - 442.79, with a month - on - month change of - 809.68. There are also trend charts for the basis of the main contract of the container shipping European line futures and the spreads between different contracts [6]. Spot Market Data - **Capacity**: The capacity of the Asia - Europe route was 511055 TEU, a decrease of 1285 TEU compared to the previous period. The idle capacity ratios of global container ships, 17000TEU+ container ships, 12000 - 16999TEU container ships, and 8000 - 11999TEU container ships were 1.7%, 1.2%, 0.7%, and 1.8% respectively. - **Speed**: The average speed of container ships was 13.88 knots, the speed of 17000TEU+ container ships was 15.46 knots, and the speed of 12000 - 16999TEU container ships was 15.26 knots. - **In - Port Capacity**: The in - port capacity in Rotterdam was 23.21 million TEU, in Hamburg was 10.83 million TEU, and in Singapore was 35.86 million TEU. - **Bypass Situation**: The number of ships bypassing the Aden Gulf was 8, the north - bound traffic volume through the Suez Canal was 1, and the south - bound traffic volume was 2. - **Charter Rates**: The 6 - 12 - month charter rates for 9000TEU, 6500TEU, and 2500TEU container ships were $104000 per day, $68500 per day, and $34750 per day respectively [7].

Group 1: Report Investment Rating - There is no information about the industry investment rating in the report. Group 2: Core View - Polyolefins are mainly in a consolidation phase. From a fundamental perspective, polyolefin consumption has entered a relative off - season, and spot prices generally perform mediocrely. The futures price fluctuations mainly follow costs and market sentiment. The recent rebound of international oil prices helps polyolefins stop falling and stabilize. In the future, the driving force is limited, but due to the relatively low valuation, polyolefins may gradually stop falling and build a bottom [2]. Group 3: Summary According to Relevant Catalogs Futures Market - **Price and Change**: For LL, the previous day's closing prices for January, May, and September contracts were 7050, 7036, and 7078 yuan/ton respectively, with price increases of 13, 20, and 12 yuan/ton and increases of 0.18%, 0.29%, and 0.17% respectively; for PP, the previous day's closing prices for January, May, and September contracts were 6893, 6889, and 6932 yuan/ton respectively, with price increases of 16, 21, and 7 yuan/ton and increases of 0.23%, 0.31%, and 0.10% respectively [2]. - **Trading Volume and Open Interest**: The trading volumes of LL for January, May, and September contracts were 24038, 84, and 249544 respectively, and the open interests were 115602, 676, and 545370 respectively, with open interest changes of 2754, 33, and 1429 respectively; for PP, the trading volumes for January, May, and September contracts were 14698, 67, and 229503 respectively, and the open interests were 78820, 622, and 516339 respectively, with open interest changes of 231, - 9, and - 1541 respectively [2]. - **Spread**: For LL, the current spreads of January - May, May - September, and September - January were 14, - 42, and 28 respectively, compared with the previous values of 21, - 50, and 29; for PP, the current spreads of January - May, May - September, and September - January were 4, - 43, and 39 respectively, compared with the previous values of 9, - 57, and 48 [2]. Raw Material and Spot Market - **Raw Materials**: The current prices of methanol futures, Shandong propylene, South China propane, PP recycled materials, North China powder materials, and mulch film were 2280 yuan/ton, 6380 yuan/ton, 605 dollars/ton, 5600 yuan/ton, 6960 yuan/ton, and 8800 yuan/ton respectively [2]. - **Mid - stream**: The current price ranges of LL in the East China, North China, and South China markets were 7150 - 7750 yuan/ton, 7050 - 7250 yuan/ton, and 7250 - 7550 yuan/ton respectively; for PP, the current price ranges in the East China, North China, and South China markets were 7000 - 7150 yuan/ton, 6950 - 7100 yuan/ton, and 7050 - 7200 yuan/ton respectively [2]. Information - On Monday (June 9), the settlement price of WTI crude oil futures for July 2025 on the New York Mercantile Exchange was $65.29 per barrel, up $0.71 or 1.10% from the previous trading day, with a trading range of $64.20 - $65.43; the settlement price of Brent crude oil futures for August 2025 on the London Intercontinental Exchange was $67.04 per barrel, up $0.57 or 0.86% from the previous trading day, with a trading range of $66.07 - $67.19 [2].

Report Summary 1. Investment Rating - There is no information about the industry investment rating in the report. 2. Core View - The prices of treasury bond futures generally rose in the previous trading day, with the T2509 contract rising 0.19% and an increase in open interest. The IRR of CTD bonds corresponding to the main contracts of treasury bond futures was at a low level, with no arbitrage opportunities. Short - term market interest rates showed mixed trends. Key - term treasury bond yields in China generally declined, while overseas yields had different changes. The Fed's rate - cut expectation within the year decreased due to better - than - expected US non - farm data. The central bank will maintain a supportive monetary policy, and the capital market will remain loose, which provides some support for futures bond prices. Attention should be paid to the market capital situation and trade negotiation progress [2][3]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Futures Market - **Price and Volume**: In the previous trading day, the prices of treasury bond futures generally rose, with T2509 rising 0.19%. The open interest of T2509 increased by 7872, and trading volumes also showed different degrees of change. The cross - period spreads of some contracts changed slightly [2]. - **IRR**: The IRR of CTD bonds corresponding to the main contracts of treasury bond futures was at a low level, indicating no arbitrage opportunities [2]. Short - term Market Interest Rates - The short - term market interest rates showed mixed trends. SHIBOR7 - day rate decreased by 3.4bp, DR007 decreased by 1.63bp, and GC007 increased by 0.5bp [2]. Spot Market - **Domestic Treasury Bonds**: The yields of key - term treasury bonds in China generally declined. The 10Y - term treasury bond yield decreased by 1.23bp to 1.66%, and the 10 - 2Y yield spread was 18.65bp [2]. - **Overseas Treasury Bonds**: The 10Y US treasury bond yield increased by 11bp, the 10Y German treasury bond yield increased by 5bp, and the 10Y Japanese treasury bond yield decreased by 0.4bp [2]. Macro News - **Central Bank Operations**: On June 6, the central bank carried out 1350 billion yuan of 7 - day reverse repurchase operations, with a single - day net withdrawal of 1561 billion yuan. This week, 9309 billion yuan of reverse repurchases will mature. Last week, the central bank's open market had a net withdrawal of 6717 billion yuan [3]. - **Economic Data**: From January to April, the added value of industrial SMEs above designated size increased by 8.2% year - on - year, and the operating income reached 25.8 trillion yuan. In May, China's foreign exchange reserves increased by 36 billion US dollars to 32853 billion US dollars, and the gold reserves increased by 600,000 ounces for the seventh consecutive month [3]. - **International Events**: The US non - farm employment data exceeded expectations, with an increase of 139,000 people in May, and the unemployment rate remained at 4.2% for the third consecutive month, which may give the Fed room to postpone rate cuts [3]. Industry Information - **Interest Rate Changes**: In the money market, most interest rates showed different trends. The weighted average interest rate of inter - bank pledged repurchase had changes in different terms. US treasury bond yields rose collectively [3]. - **Market Analysis**: The yields of 10 - year treasury bonds declined. The central bank carried out a 10000 - billion - yuan outright reverse repurchase operation, and the short - term market interest rate declined. The Fed's rate - cut expectation within the year decreased, and the domestic market risk preference may increase. The central bank will maintain a supportive monetary policy, and the capital market will remain loose [3].

Report Summary 1) Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided on the industry investment rating. 2) Core Viewpoints of the Report - Copper, zinc, aluminum, and nickel are the main focus of the report. Copper and zinc may experience short - term wide - range fluctuations; aluminum may oscillate in the short term; nickel may show a slightly stronger oscillating trend in the short term [1]. 3) Summary According to Relevant Catalogs Metal Market Analysis - **Copper**: Night - time copper prices closed higher. With low concentrate processing fees and low copper prices, smelting output is under pressure. Domestic downstream demand is generally stable and positive, but there are both positive and negative factors, so copper prices may fluctuate within a range. Attention should be paid to US tariff progress, and changes in the US dollar, copper smelting, and home appliance production [1]. - **Zinc**: Night - time zinc prices closed higher. Concentrate processing fees have been rising recently. The market expects an obvious improvement in concentrate supply this year, and smelting supply may recover. Short - term zinc prices may fluctuate widely. Attention should be paid to US tariff progress, and changes in the US dollar, zinc smelting, and home appliance production [1]. - **Aluminum**: The main contract of Shanghai aluminum closed up 0.25% at night. Trump's tariff attitude is wavering, and the US inflation expectation is strong. There were disturbances in Guinea's bauxite supply, but there may be a turnaround. The operating rate of the aluminum processing sector has declined, and the demand for electrolytic aluminum is weakening in the short term, so Shanghai aluminum may oscillate [1]. - **Nickel**: The main contract of Shanghai nickel closed up 0.25% at night. The supply of nickel ore in Indonesia is still tight, leading to rising prices. The new Indonesian tariff policy may increase local nickel product prices. Precursor manufacturers have sufficient raw material inventories, and nickel salt enterprises have production - cut expectations. Nickel prices may follow the non - ferrous metal sector and show a slightly stronger oscillating trend in the short term [1]. Market Data | Metal | Domestic Previous - day Futures Closing Price (CNY/ton) | Domestic Basis (CNY/ton) | Previous - day LME 3 - month Futures Closing Price (USD/ton) | LME Spot Premium/Discount (CASH - 3M) (USD/ton) | LME Inventory (ton) | LME Inventory Daily Change (ton) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Copper | 77,940 | 215 | 9,639 | 52.31 | 143,850 | - 4,600 | | Aluminum | 19,990 | 110 | 2,471 | - 3.59 | 367,875 | - 2,400 | | Zinc | 22,570 | 135 | 2,712 | - 25.19 | 137,350 | - 800 | | Nickel | 121,150 | - 1,640 | 15,475 | - 200.58 | 201,462 | 1,152 | | Lead | 16,530 | - 165 | 1,986 | - 19.72 | 283,150 | - 1,000 | | Tin | 249,560 | 150 | 31,450 | - 79.00 | 2,605 | 0 | [2]

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content. 2. Core View of the Report - The prices of Treasury bond futures generally rose in the previous trading day, with the T2509 contract rising 0%. The IRR of CTD bonds corresponding to the main contracts of Treasury bond futures was at a low level, with no arbitrage opportunities. Short - term market interest rates showed mixed trends, and key - term Treasury bond yields in China generally declined. Overseas, yields of key - term Treasury bonds in the US, Germany, and Japan increased. The central bank conducted 4545 billion yuan of 7 - day reverse repurchase operations, with a net withdrawal of 3755 billion yuan. The market funds remained relatively stable, but there may be some disturbances at the beginning of June. The central bank will maintain a supportive monetary policy, which supports the price of Treasury bond futures. Attention should be paid to the progress of trade negotiations and changes in the market funds [2][3]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Futures Market - **Prices and Performance**: The prices of Treasury bond futures generally rose. For example, TS2509 rose 0.050 to 102.396, with a 0.05% increase; TF2509 rose 0.150 to 106.020, with a 0.14% increase [2]. - **Positions and Trading Volume**: The positions of some contracts increased, such as T2509 with an increase of 2562, while TF2509 decreased by 973. Trading volumes also varied among contracts [2]. - **Cross - period Spreads**: Cross - period spreads changed, for example, the cross - period spread of T2509 decreased from 0.0250 to 0.005 [2]. - **IRR**: The IRR of CTD bonds corresponding to the main contracts of Treasury bond futures was at a low level, with no arbitrage opportunities [2]. Short - term Market Interest Rates - **Rate Changes**: SHIBOR7 - day interest rate rose 1.5bp, DR007 rate fell 4.3bp, and GC007 rate fell 7.2bp [2]. Spot Market - **Yield Changes**: Key - term Treasury bond yields in China generally declined. For example, the 10Y Treasury bond yield declined 1.9bp to 1.68%, and the 10 - 2Y yield spread was 16.44bp [2]. Overseas Market - **Yield Changes**: The US 10Y Treasury bond yield rose 5bp, the German 10Y Treasury bond yield rose 2bp, and the Japanese 10Y Treasury bond yield rose 0.5bp [2]. Macro News - **Central Bank Operations**: The central bank conducted 4545 billion yuan of 7 - day reverse repurchase operations on June 3, with a net withdrawal of 3755 billion yuan. In May, the central bank carried out SLF operations of 14.01 billion yuan, and policy banks net - repaid 2700 billion yuan of PSL [3]. - **Economic Data**: The Caixin China Manufacturing PMI was 48.3, down 2.1 percentage points from the previous month. The OECD lowered the growth forecasts for the US and the global economy. The US 2025 growth forecast was cut from 2.2% to 1.6%, and the global growth forecast for 2025 was lowered to 2.9% [3]. - **International Relations**: The US increased tariffs on imported steel, aluminum and their derivatives from 25% to 50%, starting from June 4, 2025. The US also made unfounded accusations against China, and China firmly opposed these actions [3]. Comment and Strategy - **Market Situation**: The market funds remained relatively stable, but there may be some disturbances at the beginning of June due to a large number of maturing certificates of deposit. The central bank will maintain a supportive monetary policy, which supports the price of Treasury bond futures. Attention should be paid to the progress of trade negotiations and changes in the market funds [3].