Tong Guan Jin Yuan Qi Huo

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供需弱平衡,工业硅反弹有限
Tong Guan Jin Yuan Qi Huo· 2025-06-23 02:06
工业硅周报 2025 年 6 月 23 日 供需弱平衡,工业硅反弹有限 核心观点及策略 投资咨询业务资格 沪证监许可【2015】84 号 李婷 021-68555105 li.t@jyqh.com.cn 从业资格号:F0297587 投资咨询号:Z0011509 黄蕾 huang.lei@jyqh.com.cn 从业资格号:F0307990 投资咨询号:Z0011692 高慧 gao.h@jyqh.com.cn 从业资格号:F03099478 投资咨询号:Z0017785 王工建 wang.gj@jyqh.com.cn 从业资格号:F03084165 投资咨询号:Z0016301 赵凯熙 zhao.kx@jyqh.com.cn 从业资格号:F03112296 投资咨询号:Z0021040 敬请参阅最后一页免责声明 1 / 9 ⚫ 上周工业硅反弹有限,主因全球经济增速存在下行预期, 工业品市场情绪偏弱,光伏供给侧改革令行业进入收缩周 期。供应来看,新疆地区开工率恢复至7成左右,川滇地区 丰水期临近开工率回升,内蒙和甘肃产量低位反弹,但供 应端增量有限;从需求侧来看,多晶硅价格持续走跌拉晶 厂库存高压难解,7月初 ...
铜冠金源期货商品日报-20250618
Tong Guan Jin Yuan Qi Huo· 2025-06-18 01:20
投资咨询业务资格 沪证监许可[2015]84 号 商品日报 20250618 联系人 李婷、黄蕾、高慧、王工建、赵凯熙 电子邮箱 jytzzx@jyqh.com.cn 电话 021-68555105 主要品种观点 宏观:海外聚焦今晚 FOMC,国内债市博弈央行购债 海外方面,美国 5 月零售销售环比录得-0.9%,弱于预期并创下两年最大跌幅,主要汽 车、加油站、杂货和建材类拖累,表明此前关税预期引发的提前消费热潮消退,关注薪资对 消费的支撑力度。以伊战争进入第五天,特朗普敦促伊朗"无条件投降"、警告美国"耐心 将尽",市场风险偏好遭受打击,美股下挫,美元指数回升至 98.8,10Y 美债利率回落至 4.37%,金价窄幅波动走平,油价涨超 4%,铜价小幅收跌。GDPNow 最新预测显示,美国 二季度 GDP 环比折年率或达 3.5%,显示经济在关税扰动下仍具韧性,关注今晚 FOMC 会 议的经济预测摘要(SEP)及利率点阵图。 国内方面,A 股震荡收低,两市成交额维持在 1.2 万亿上,红利风格相对抗跌,科创 50、 微盘股、北证 50 跌幅较大,稳定币、能源、海运等板块领涨,在内生修复动能偏弱、短期 宽松政策 ...
豆粕周报:远端偏紧预期支撑,连粕或震荡偏强-20250616
Tong Guan Jin Yuan Qi Huo· 2025-06-16 08:29
1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided in the report. 2. Core Views of the Report - Last week, the CBOT US soybean July contract rose 10.5 to close at 1068.5 cents per bushel, up 0.99%; the soybean meal 09 contract rose 31 to close at 3041 yuan per ton, up 1.03%; the South China soybean meal spot rose 60 to close at 2880 yuan per ton, up 2.13%; the rapeseed meal 09 contract rose 66 to close at 2674 yuan per ton, up 2.53%; the Guangxi rapeseed meal spot rose 80 to close at 2560 yuan per ton, up 3.23% [2][5]. - The US soybean fluctuated and declined during the week and then closed sharply higher. The USDA report did not adjust the US soybean balance sheet. The soybean production in Brazil and Argentina in the 2024/2025 season remained unchanged. The precipitation forecast in the Midwest increased, the weather in the production areas was good, and the US soybean export sales were lower than expected, causing the US soybean to decline. On Friday, the US Environmental Protection Agency proposed to increase the future biodiesel usage, and the US soybean oil hit the daily limit, driving the US soybean to rise sharply. The China - US economic and trade consultation meeting ended, and the optimistic trade sentiment boosted. Long - positions continued to increase, but the upward momentum weakened. There is an expected supply shortage of US soybeans in the domestic fourth quarter, which supports the prices [2][5]. - The precipitation forecast in the US soybean production areas increases and is higher than the average level, which is beneficial to the early growth and development of soybeans, and the weather is normal. China and the US have reached a framework agreement, waiting for details. China has not purchased new - season US soybeans, and the far - month contracts are supported by the expected supply shortage. The US biodiesel policy exceeds expectations and proposes to restrict imports, and the US soybean oil hitting the daily limit supports the sharp rise of US soybeans. The domestic soybean meal inventory continues to rise, and the spot supply is still available. With the expected supply shortage in the far - month, the downward support for the Dalian soybean meal is strong. In the short term, the Dalian soybean meal may fluctuate and strengthen [2][10]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Market Data | Contract | 6/13 | 6/6 | Change | Change Rate | Unit | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | CBOT Soybean | 1068.50 | 1058.00 | 10.50 | 0.99% | Cents per bushel | | CNF Import Price: Brazil | 454.00 | 447.00 | 7.00 | 1.57% | US dollars per ton | | CNF Import Price: US Gulf | 453.00 | 457.00 | - 4.00 | - 0.88% | US dollars per ton | | Brazilian Soybean Crushing Profit on the Disk | 129.38 | 81.46 | 47.93 | - | Yuan per ton | | DCE Soybean Meal | 3041.00 | 3010.00 | 31.00 | 1.03% | Yuan per ton | | CZCE Rapeseed Meal | 2674.00 | 2608.00 | 66.00 | 2.53% | Yuan per ton | | Soybean Meal - Rapeseed Meal Spread | 367.00 | 402.00 | - 35.00 | - | Yuan per ton | | Spot Price: East China | 2860.00 | 2840.00 | 20.00 | 0.70% | Yuan per ton | | Spot Price: South China | 2880.00 | 2820.00 | 60.00 | 2.13% | Yuan per ton | | Spot - Futures Spread: South China | - 161.00 | - 190.00 | 29.00 | - | Yuan per ton | [3] 3.2 Market Analysis and Outlook - The USDA report shows that the expected ending inventory of US soybeans in the 2025/2026 season is 295 million bushels, the same as the May expectation. The soybean production in Argentina in the 2024/2025 season remains at 49 million tons, and that in Brazil remains at 169 million tons. The report is overall neutral [6]. - As of the week ending June 8, 2025, the good - to - excellent rate of US soybeans was 68%, in line with market expectations, up from 67% the previous week and lower than 72% in the same period last year. The planting progress was 90%, lower than the expected 91%, up from 84% the previous week and higher than 86% in the same period last year, with a five - year average of 88%. The emergence rate was 75%, up from 63% the previous week, higher than 68% in the same period last year and a five - year average of 72%. As of the week ending June 10, 2025, about 13% of the US soybean planting areas were affected by drought, down from 16% the previous week and higher than 1% in the same period last year [6]. - As of the week ending June 5, 2025, the US soybean export inspection volume was 547,000 tons, higher than the market forecast of 155,000 - 400,000 tons. The export inspection volume to the Chinese mainland was 0 tons. So far this crop year, the cumulative US soybean export inspection volume is 45.19 million tons, compared with 40.54 million tons in the same period of the previous crop year. The net export sales of US soybeans in the current year increased by 61,000 tons, compared with 194,000 tons the previous week. The cumulative export sales volume of US soybeans in the 2024/2025 season is 48.71 million tons, with a sales progress of 96.8%, compared with 94.6% in the same period last year. The net export sales of US soybeans in the 2025/2026 season in the current week was 58,000 tons, and the cumulative sales volume in this season is 1.118 million tons, compared with 1.04 million tons in the same period last year. China did not purchase old - season or new - season US soybeans in the current week, and the cumulative purchase volume of US soybeans by China in the 2024/2025 season remains at 22.48 million tons [7]. - As of the week ending June 6, 2025, the gross profit of US soybean crushing was 1.49 US dollars per bushel, down from 1.9 US dollars per bushel the previous week. The FOB price of soybean oil in central Illinois was 46.23 cents per pound, down from 47.97 cents per pound the previous week. The wholesale price of 48% soybean meal in central Illinois was 290.85 US dollars per short ton, up from 290.15 US dollars per short ton the previous week. The truck price of No. 1 yellow soybeans in central Illinois was 10.73 US dollars per bushel, up from 10.51 US dollars per bushel the previous week [8]. - The Brazilian National Association of Grain Exporters (Anec) estimates that the Brazilian soybean export volume in June will reach 14.08 million tons, an increase from the previous week's estimate of 12.55 million tons, compared with 13.83 million tons in the same period last year. The sales progress of soybeans in the 2024/2025 season in Mato Grosso state is 76.02%, compared with 77.9% in the same period last year. The sales progress of the 2025/2026 season soybean crop is 14.15%, lower than the five - year average of 25% and 16.51% in the same period last year [8]. - According to the report of the Buenos Aires Exchange, as of the week ending June 11, 2025, the soybean harvest progress in Argentina was 93.2%, up from 88.7% the previous week and lower than 96% in the same period last year [8]. - As of the week ending June 6, 2025, the soybean inventory of major oil mills was 6.1029 million tons, an increase of 274,100 tons from the previous week and 1.2088 million tons from the same period last year. The soybean meal inventory was 382,500 tons, an increase of 84,500 tons from the previous week and a decrease of 507,000 tons from the same period last year. The unexecuted contracts were 5.4305 million tons, an increase of 1.7376 million tons from the previous week and a decrease of 10 tons from the same period last year. The national port soybean inventory was 7.462 million tons, an increase of 408,000 tons from the previous week and 1.0591 million tons from the same period last year [9]. - As of the week ending June 13, 2025, the daily average trading volume of national soybean meal was 347,700 tons, including 90,620 tons of spot trading and 257,100 tons of forward trading, compared with 119,400 tons the previous week. The daily average picking - up volume of soybean meal was 194,760 tons, down from 201,200 tons the previous week. The crushing volume of major oil mills was 2.2587 million tons, up from 2.2446 million tons the previous week. The soybean meal inventory days of feed enterprises were 6.83 days, up from 6.31 days the previous week [9]. 3.3 Industry News - The Buenos Aires Grain Exchange estimates that the soybean production in Argentina in the 2024/25 season will be 48.5 million tons. As of the end of May, the soybean harvest rate was 80.7%, and the early - sown soybean harvest was 86% complete. Due to recent precipitation, the soybean harvest in the northern part of Buenos Aires was the slowest. The estimated soybean yield is 3,090 kg per hectare (46.0 bushels per acre), with a yield range of 1,200 - 3,740 kg per hectare (17.8 - 55.7 bushels per acre) [11]. - The Brazilian Vegetable Oil Industry Association maintains the forecast of Brazilian soybean production in the 2024/25 season at 169.7 million tons, the soybean export volume at 108.2 million tons, the soybean oil production at 11.45 million tons, the soybean crushing volume at 57.5 million tons, the soybean oil export volume at 1.4 million tons, the soybean meal production at 44.1 million tons, and the soybean meal export volume at 23.6 million tons [11]. - The sales rate of the 2025/26 season soybean crop in Mato Grosso state has reached 14.15%, lower than the five - year average of about 25% and 16.51% in the same period last year. The report estimates that the soybean production in Mato Grosso state in the 2025/26 season may reach 47.18 million tons. The sales rate of the 2024/25 season soybean crop in Mato Grosso state has reached 76%, lower than 77.90% in the same period last year and the five - year average of 82.39% [12]. - Affected by recent favorable rainfall, the estimated rapeseed production in the 27 EU countries and the UK in the 2025/26 season remains at 20.4 million tons, but the drought risk in Poland still exists. According to the short - term weather forecast, different weather patterns will appear in the next 10 days. Eastern and central Europe will face colder temperatures, while western/southern Europe will remain warm. Rainfall is expected only in Spain and the UK, and the rest of the countries are expected to return to a dry weather pattern, increasing drought concerns [12]. - The Brazilian Ministry of Agriculture's National Commodity Supply Company estimates that the Brazilian soybean production in the 2024/25 season will reach 169.6058 million tons, a year - on - year increase of 21.8845 million tons (14.8%) and a month - on - month increase of 1.264 million tons (0.8%). The sown area is expected to reach 47.6198 million hectares, a year - on - year increase of 1.4702 million hectares (3.2%) and a month - on - month increase of 7,100 hectares. The estimated soybean yield is 3.56 tons per hectare, a year - on - year increase of 360.7 kg per hectare (11.3%) and a month - on - month increase of 26 kg per hectare (0.7%) [13]. - A consulting agency estimates that the rapeseed production in Canada in the 2025/26 season will be 18.2 million tons, with an estimated range of 16.5 - 20.1 million tons, almost the same as the previous estimate of 18 million tons (17.2 - 18.9 million tons). In the past two weeks, the main rapeseed - producing areas in the southern prairies of Canada have observed a precipitation shortage of about 33 mm, and the temperature is higher than the average level. These conditions have raised concerns about the early soil moisture conditions of rapeseed. Looking forward, the weather forecast for the next 10 days shows that the southern prairie region of Canada will have mild temperatures, and moderate rainfall is expected in Saskatchewan and Alberta, which may help relieve the current drought and support crop growth. In Manitoba, the drought is expected to continue, with a possible precipitation shortage of 35 mm [14].
海外发运高位,铁矿震荡偏弱
Tong Guan Jin Yuan Qi Huo· 2025-06-16 08:29
021-68555105 li.t@jyqh.com.cn 从业资格号:F0297587 投资咨询号:Z0011509 黄蕾 铁矿周报 2025 年 6 月 16 日 铁矿震荡偏弱 核心观点及策略 投资咨询业务资格 沪证监许可【2015】84 号 李婷 敬请参阅最后一页免责声明 1/11 海外发运高位 huang.lei@jyqh.com.cn 从业资格号:F0307990 投资咨询号:Z0011692 高慧 gao.h@jyqh.com.cn 从业资格号:F03099478 投资咨询号:Z0017785 王工建 wang.gj@jyqh.com.cn 从业资格号:F3084165 投资咨询号:Z0016301 赵凯熙 zhao.kx@jyqh.com.cn 从业资格号:F03112296 投资咨询号:Z0021040 | 合约 | 收盘价 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅% | 总成交量/手 | 总持仓量/手 | 价格单位 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | SHFE 螺纹钢 | 2969 | -6 | -0.20 | 8652225 | 3086173 | ...
棕榈油周报:美生柴政策提振,棕榈油或震荡走强-20250616
Tong Guan Jin Yuan Qi Huo· 2025-06-16 08:29
棕榈油周报 2025 年 6 月 16 日 美生柴政策提振 棕榈油或震荡走强 核心观点及策略 投资咨询业务资格 沪证监许可【2015】84 号 李婷 021-68555105 li.t@jyqh.com.cn 从业资格号:F0297587 投资咨询号:Z0011509 黄蕾 huang.lei@jyqh.com.cn 从业资格号:F0307990 投资咨询号:Z0011692 高慧 gao.h@jyqh.com.cn 从业资格号:F03099478 投资咨询号:Z0017785 王工建 wang.gj@jyqh.com.cn 从业资格号:F3084165 投资咨询号:Z0016301 赵凯熙 | 合约 | | 6 月 13 | 日 | 6 月 | 6 日 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | 单位 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | CBOT 豆油主连 | | 51.19 | | 47.43 | | 3.76 | 7.93% | 美分/磅 | | BMD 马棕油主连 | | 3927 | | 3917 | | 10 | 0.26% | 林 ...
铝周报:低库存影响铝价偏强-20250616
Tong Guan Jin Yuan Qi Huo· 2025-06-16 08:29
2025 年 6 月 16 日 低库存影响 铝价偏强 核心观点及策略 ⚫ 风险因素:美国关税及财政问题、消费超预期 投资咨询业务资格 沪证监许可【2015】84 号 李婷 021-68555105 li.t@jyqh.com.cn 从业资格号:F0297587 投资咨询号:Z0011509 黄蕾 huang.lei@jyqh.com.cn 从业资格号:F0307990 投资咨询号:Z0011692 高慧 gao.h@jyqh.com.cn 从业资格号:F03099478 投资咨询号:Z0017785 王工建 wang.gj@jyqh.com.cn 从业资格号:F3084165 投资咨询号:Z0016301 赵凯熙 zhao.kx@jygh.com.cn 从业资格号:F031122984 投资咨询号:Z00210404 敬请参阅最后一页免责声明 1 / 7 铝周报 ⚫ 上周美国5月CPI和PPI数据均不及预期,进一步强 化了通胀压力降温预期,市场加大了美联储9月降 息押注,美指快速回落。加上中美贸易谈判取得进 展,贸易紧张情绪缓解,市场风险偏好回升。基本 面,供应端北方多地铝厂和西南部分电解铝厂策略 调整导致铸 ...
碳酸锂周报:基本面预期边际改善,锂价探底深度有限-20250616
Tong Guan Jin Yuan Qi Huo· 2025-06-16 08:29
Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Group 2: Core Views of the Report - The fundamentals show supply increase and demand stability, with no significant improvement. The price increase provides hedging opportunities for the upstream, driving smelters to increase production. The cost of lithium spodumene and lithium mica has slightly increased. The lithium price was strong during the week due to macro - sentiment and market rumors, but was restricted by fundamentals and declined at the end of the week. The spot is expected to improve marginally, which may support the futures market. The government may strengthen management of car price competition, and new energy vehicle sales have accelerated in June. However, the market inventory has increased since late May, and the improvement in terminal consumption may lag in driving demand. Overall, the fundamentals are expected to improve marginally, and the lithium price decline is expected to be limited [4]. Group 3: Summary by Directory Market Data - From June 9 to June 13, 2025, the prices of imported lithium raw ore (1.3% - 2.2%), imported lithium concentrate (5.5% - 6%), and domestic lithium concentrate (5.5% - 6%) remained unchanged. The price of battery - grade lithium carbonate decreased by 0.36%, while the industrial - grade increased by 2.22%. The total lithium carbonate inventory increased by 3.58%. The price of lithium iron phosphate increased by 1.64%, and the prices of cobalt - lithium oxide remained unchanged. The prices of ternary materials 811 and 622 decreased by 0.34% and 0.39% respectively [6]. Market Analysis and Outlook Last Week's Market Analysis - **Regulatory and Delivery**: As of June 13, 2025, the total warehouse receipt scale on the Guangzhou Futures Exchange was 32,118 tons, and the latest matching transaction price was 60,420 yuan/ton. The position of the main contract 2507 was 147,400 lots [8]. - **Supply Side**: As of June 13, the weekly lithium carbonate production was 17,018 tons, an increase of 1,005 tons from the previous period. The price increase provided good hedging opportunities for salt factories, and production may remain stable. In mid - June, Zhongkuang's 40,000 - ton salt - lake production capacity will enter the market, and the proportion of low - cost lithium salt may increase [8]. - **Import**: In April, the lithium carbonate import volume was about 28,000 tons, a month - on - month increase of 56.3% and a year - on - year increase of 33.6%. The import from Chile was 20,200 tons, and from Argentina was 6,850 tons. The export of lithium carbonate from Chile decreased year - on - year but increased month - on - month. The import of lithium ore in April was about 623,000 tons, a month - on - month increase of 16.5%. The increase mainly came from Zimbabwe, and the import from Nigeria also increased. Although the shipment of some African mines was hindered, the overall shipment of African lithium mines was on the rise [9][10]. - **Demand**: - **Downstream Cathode Materials**: As of June 13, the production of lithium iron phosphate was about 65,938 tons, with an operating rate of 59.99% (an increase of 0.06 percentage points), and the inventory increased by 513 tons. The production of ternary materials was about 15,085 tons, with an operating rate of 47.95% (an increase of 0.14 percentage points), and the inventory decreased by 200 tons. The prices of ternary materials slightly declined, while the prices of lithium iron phosphate remained stable. In the short term, downstream replenishment may be limited, but terminal consumption improvement may drive raw material inventory depletion [11]. - **New Energy Vehicles**: From June 1 - 8, the retail sales of new energy vehicles were 202,000, a year - on - year increase of 40% and a month - on - month increase of 4%. The retail penetration rate was 58.8%. The government's policy to regulate "involution - style" competition may indicate that car prices have reached a bottom, which may stimulate consumers. As of May 31, there were 4.12 million subsidy applications for car replacement. The new regulation on payment to small and medium - sized enterprises may affect some car companies' cash flow [12]. - **Inventory**: As of June 13, the total lithium carbonate inventory was 98,615 tons, an increase of about 3,400 tons. The factory inventory increased by about 800 tons, and the market inventory increased by about 2,600 tons. The exchange inventory was relatively stable, and the market inventory increased significantly, indicating some downstream replenishment. However, the upstream inventory also increased, showing supply elasticity [14]. This Week's Outlook - The spot is expected to improve marginally, which may support the futures market. The government's regulation of car price competition may stimulate new energy vehicle sales. Although the new energy vehicle sales have accelerated in June, the market inventory has increased since late May, and the improvement in terminal consumption may lag in driving demand. Supply may remain relatively stable due to hedging opportunities. Overall, the fundamentals are expected to improve marginally, and the lithium price decline is expected to be limited [15]. Industry News - **Shengxin Lithium Energy**: The Indonesian lithium salt project is expected to supply in bulk in the third quarter. The company is also involved in the metal lithium business for solid - state batteries and is promoting the construction of a 2,500 - ton metal lithium production capacity project [16]. - **Zimbabwe**: It will ban the export of lithium concentrate in 2027 to encourage local refining. Last year, it supplied about 14% of China's lithium imports, and the produced lithium sulfate will still be shipped to China [16]. - **Tianci Materials**: Its Moroccan electrolyte project with an annual production capacity of 150,000 tons has been finalized, with a total investment of about 2.03 billion yuan [17]. Relevant Charts - The report provides charts on lithium carbonate futures prices, battery - grade lithium hydroxide prices, imported lithium concentrate prices, lithium carbonate production, supply structure, import volume, and the prices and production of related materials such as lithium iron phosphate and ternary materials [18][19][24][27][30][31].
贵金属周报:中东紧张局势升级,金价再度走强-20250616
Tong Guan Jin Yuan Qi Huo· 2025-06-16 08:28
贵金属周报 2025 年 6 月 16 日 中东紧张局势升级,金价再度走强 核心观点及策略 投资咨询业务资格 沪证监许可【2015】84 号 李婷 021-68555105 li.t@jyqh.com.cn 从业资格号:F0297587 投资咨询号:Z0011509 黄蕾 huang.lei@jyqh.com.cn 从业资格号:F0307990 投资咨询号:Z0011692 高慧 gao.h@jyqh.com.cn 从业资格号:F03099478 投资咨询号:Z0017785 王工建 wang.gj@jyqh.com.cn 从业资格号:F3084165 投资咨询号:Z0016301 赵凯熙 zhao.kx@jyqh.com.cn 从业资格号:F03112296 投资咨询号:Z0021040 敬请参阅最后一页免责声明 1 / 10 ⚫ 上周黄金价格震荡上行,COMEX期金主力合约再度站上 3450美元/盎司上方,最高至3468美元/盎司,创近两个月 新高。主要因为中东地缘局势恶化,以色列空袭伊朗,再 次引发市场对中东地区爆发更广泛冲突的担忧,资金纷纷 涌向避险资产。而白银价格则呈震荡偏弱走势,COMEX期 银主 ...
镍周报:宏观与资源端共振,镍价低位震荡-20250616
Tong Guan Jin Yuan Qi Huo· 2025-06-16 08:16
2025 年 6 月 16 日 宏观与资源端共振 镍价低位震荡 核心观点及策略 一、 投资咨询业务资格 沪证监许可【2015】84 号 李婷 021-68555105 li.t@jyqh.com.cn 从业资格号:F0297587 投资咨询号:Z0011509 黄蕾 huang.lei@jyqh.com.cn 从业资格号:F0307990 投资咨询号:Z0011692 高慧 gao.h@jyqh.com.cn 从业资格号:F03099478 投资咨询号:Z0017785 王工建 wang.gj@jyqh.com.cn 从业资格号:F3084165 投资咨询号:Z0016301 赵凯熙 zhao.kx@jygh.com. cn 从业资格号:F03112296 投资咨询号:20021040 敬请参阅最后一页免责声明 1 / 8 镍周报 ⚫ 宏观面,美国通胀数据进一步走弱,美联储目标实现在即。 劳动力市场相对平稳,宏观数据仍向积极方向买进。市场聚 焦中美贸易谈判,谈判取得一定成果,部分稀土出口份额 获批。特朗普表示,若伙伴国表现出足够诚意,美国关税豁 免可考虑延期,但非必要行为。 ⚫ 基本面:菲律宾两院决定取消最终 ...
供应端矛盾支撑,铅价反弹驱动不足
Tong Guan Jin Yuan Qi Huo· 2025-06-16 08:16
供应端矛盾支撑 铅价反弹驱动不足 核心观点及策略 投资咨询业务资格 沪证监许可【2015】84 号 李婷 021-68555105 li.t@jyqh.com.cn 从业资格号:F0297587 投资咨询号:Z0011509 黄蕾 huang.lei@jyqh.com.cn 从业资格号:F0307990 投资咨询号:Z0011692 高慧 铅周报 2025 年 6 月 16 日 gao.h@jyqh.com.cn 从业资格号:F03099478 投资咨询号:Z0017785 王工建 wang.gj@jyqh.com.cn 从业资格号:F3084165 投资咨询号:Z0016301 赵凯熙 zhao.kxj@jyqh.com.cn 从业资格号:F03112296 投资咨询号:Z0021040 敬请参阅最后一页免责声明 1/7 一、 一、交易数据 | | | 上周市场重要数据 | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 合约 | 6 月 6 日 | 6 月 13 日 | 涨跌 | 单位 | | SHFE 铅 | 16780 | 16945 | 165 | 元/吨 | | LME ...