Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" recommendation for several companies in the non-ferrous metals sector, including Zijin Mining, Luoyang Molybdenum, and Huayou Cobalt [4][5]. Core Views - The report highlights that the recent interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve is expected to support metal prices in the short term, with a structural improvement in demand anticipated during the "golden September and silver October" period in China [2][3]. - The supply disruptions in copper due to the ongoing closure of the Grasberg mine in Indonesia are contributing to a tightening market, which is expected to drive prices higher [2][3]. - The report is optimistic about cobalt and lithium prices due to supply constraints and increasing demand, particularly in the context of the upcoming holiday season and energy storage needs [3][4]. Summary by Sections Industrial Metals - The report notes that industrial metal prices are expected to rise due to the combination of U.S. monetary easing and seasonal demand in China. The SMM copper concentrate import index has shown a slight increase, indicating a tightening supply situation [2][3]. - Aluminum production has seen a slight increase, with downstream demand expected to rise as the holiday season approaches. However, there has been a recent accumulation of aluminum inventory [2][3][4]. Energy Metals - The report anticipates a significant increase in cobalt prices due to potential extensions of export bans from the Democratic Republic of Congo, alongside strong demand for lithium driven by seasonal purchasing and energy storage needs [3][4]. - The report emphasizes that both cobalt and lithium markets are experiencing strong demand growth, with expectations for price increases in the near term [3]. Precious Metals - Following the Fed's interest rate cut, the report expresses a bullish outlook on precious metals, particularly gold, which is expected to benefit from geopolitical tensions and increased central bank purchases [4][5]. - The report highlights that the recent increase in SPDR gold holdings indicates a growing interest from overseas investors, further supporting the bullish sentiment for gold prices [4][5]. Key Company Recommendations - The report recommends several companies for investment, including Zijin Mining, Luoyang Molybdenum, and Huayou Cobalt, based on their strong market positions and growth potential [4][5].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight" indicating that the industry is expected to outperform the overall market [12]. Core Insights - The Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC) is a major supplier of diamond resources globally, and since February 2025, it has implemented an export ban on diamond products, significantly disrupting the supply side [1][3]. - The DRC's export ban, which began on February 22, 2025, has led to a substantial decline in China's diamond imports, with volumes dropping from 1.9 thousand tons in June to 0.52 thousand tons in August, reflecting a month-on-month decrease of -61.62%, -27.26%, and -62.05% respectively [3][4]. - It is estimated that global effective diamond supply will decrease by 34% from 282,000 tons to 185,000 tons due to the DRC's export suspension lasting seven months [3]. - Demand for diamonds is expected to grow steadily, particularly in emerging sectors such as low-altitude economy and robotics, with a projected increase of 5.06% in diamond demand to 210,900 tons in 2025 [3][6]. - The price of diamonds has risen from a historical low of 159,000 yuan/ton to 277,000 yuan/ton since the DRC's export restrictions were enacted, indicating a strong upward trend in diamond prices [3][6]. Summary by Sections Supply and Demand Dynamics - The DRC's export restrictions are expected to tighten supply, leading to a forecasted diamond price increase in the short term [3]. - The DRC's government has a clear stance on controlling diamond supply, making it unlikely for export restrictions to be lifted in the near future [3]. Company Valuation - Key companies in the diamond sector include Huayou Cobalt, Tongyuan Cobalt, Luoyang Molybdenum, Liqin Resources, and Hanrui Cobalt, which are expected to benefit from the anticipated price increases [3][7].

Investment Rating - The report rates the cobalt industry as "Overweight," indicating an expectation for the industry to outperform the overall market [3][12]. Core Insights - The Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) is the primary supplier of cobalt globally, and since February 2025, it has implemented an export ban on cobalt products, significantly disrupting supply [3]. - The DRC's export ban has led to a noticeable decline in China's cobalt imports from June to August 2025, with import volumes dropping by 61.62%, 27.26%, and 62.05% respectively [3]. - It is projected that global effective cobalt supply will decrease by 34% from 282,000 tons to 185,000 tons in 2025 due to the DRC's export restrictions [3]. - Demand for cobalt is expected to grow steadily, particularly in the battery sector, with a projected increase of 5.06% in cobalt demand to 210,900 tons in 2025 [3]. - Cobalt prices have risen from a historical low of 159,000 yuan/ton to 277,000 yuan/ton since the DRC's export restrictions began, with expectations for continued price increases in the short term [3]. Summary by Sections Supply and Demand Dynamics - The DRC's export ban is expected to tighten supply, leading to a projected global cobalt supply of 185,000 tons in 2025, down from 282,000 tons [3][6]. - The demand for cobalt in the battery sector is anticipated to grow, with total cobalt demand reaching 210,900 tons in 2025, driven by applications in drones and consumer electronics [3][6]. Price Outlook - Cobalt prices are expected to continue rising due to supply constraints, with a strong long-term price support anticipated from the DRC's government policies [3][6]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies with profit elasticity in the cobalt sector, including Huayou Cobalt, Tongyuan Cobalt, Luoyang Molybdenum, Liqin Resources, and Hanrui Cobalt [3][7].

Group 1 - The 2025 China Manufacturing Enterprises Top 500 list was released, with China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation, China Baowu Steel Group, and Hengli Group ranking in the top three [1] - The threshold for entering the Top 500 increased from 11.09 billion to 17.36 billion, a rise of 6.27 billion [1] - Total operating revenue of the Top 500 increased from 40.24 trillion to 51.68 trillion, an increase of 11.44 trillion [1] - Total assets grew from 44.33 trillion to 53.31 trillion, an increase of 8.98 trillion [1] Group 2 - The overall R&D intensity of the Top 500 increased from 2.30% to 2.45%, a rise of 0.15 percentage points [1] - The number of patents and invention patents grew by 47.14% and 59.96%, respectively [1] - The proportion of overseas income for the Top 500 increased to 19.10%, up by 0.87 percentage points from the previous year [1] Group 3 - Henan province had 22 enterprises listed, ranking eighth in the country for the number of entries [2] - Notable companies from Henan include Luoyang Luanchuan Molybdenum Group (ranked 58), Muyuan Foods (ranked 94), and Henan Yuguang Gold & Lead Group (ranked 145) [2] - Luoyang Luanchuan Molybdenum Group was also among the top 10 for overseas income proportion in the 2025 list [2]

Core Viewpoint - Luoyang Molybdenum Co., Ltd. has experienced significant stock price fluctuations, with a year-to-date increase of 97.44% but a recent decline of 5.89% over the last five trading days [2]. Company Overview - Luoyang Molybdenum Co., Ltd. was established on December 22, 1999, and listed on October 9, 2012. The company is primarily engaged in the mining, selection, deep processing, trading, and research of precious metals such as molybdenum, tungsten, and gold [2]. - The company's main business revenue composition includes: refined metal product trading (48.56%), concentrate product trading (38.31%), copper (27.14%), cobalt (6.04%), molybdenum (3.12%), phosphorus (2.23%), niobium (1.88%), tungsten (1.17%), and others (0.11%) [2]. Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, Luoyang Molybdenum achieved operating revenue of 94.773 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 7.83%. However, the net profit attributable to the parent company was 8.671 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 60.07% [2]. - The company has distributed a total of 21.562 billion yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with 10.576 billion yuan distributed over the past three years [3]. Shareholder Structure - As of June 30, 2025, the number of shareholders for Luoyang Molybdenum was 237,500, a decrease of 15.95% from the previous period. The average circulating shares per person remained at 0 shares [2]. - Among the top ten circulating shareholders, Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited holds 648 million shares, an increase of 6.949 million shares from the previous period. Other notable shareholders include Huaxia SSE 50 ETF and Huatai-PineBridge CSI 300 ETF, which have also increased their holdings [3].

注：本文系新闻报道，不构成投资建议，股市有风险，投资需谨慎。 两融数据显示，该股最新融资余额为27.48亿元，近5日增加2.80亿元，增幅为11.35%。 据天眼查APP显示，洛阳栾川钼业集团股份有限公司成立于1999年12月22日。注册资本427886.20352万 人民币。（数据宝） 9月18日洛阳钼业大宗交易一览 | 成交量 （万 | 成交金额 | 成交价 格 | 相对当日收盘 | 买方营业部 | 卖方营业部 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | （万元） | | 折溢价（%） | | | | 股） | | （元） | | | | | 20.00 | 247.60 | 12.38 | 0.00 | 华泰证券股份有限公司北京西三 | 国泰海通证券股 | | | | | | 环国际财经中心证券营业部 | 份有限公司总部 | 洛阳钼业9月18日大宗交易平台出现一笔成交，成交量20.00万股，成交金额247.60万元，大宗交易成交 价为12.38元。该笔交易的买方营业部为华泰证券股份有限公司北京西三环国际财经中心证券营业部， 卖方营业部为国泰海通证券股份有限公司 ...

| 交易日期 | 证券简称 | 证券代码 | 成交价(元) 成交金额(万元) 成交量( * ) 买入营业部 | | | 卖出营业部 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | | | 华泰证券股份有限 | 国泰海通证券股份 | | 2025-09-18 | 洛阳铝业 | 603993 | 247.6 12.38 | 20 | 公司北京西三环国 | 有限公司总部 | | | | | | | 际财经中心证券营 | | 9月18日，洛阳钼业大宗交易成交20万股，成交额247.6万元，占当日总成交额的0.07%，成交价12.38元，较市场收盘价12.38元持平。 ...

Core Viewpoint - Luoyang Molybdenum achieved a net profit attributable to shareholders of approximately 8.671 billion yuan in the first half of the year, an increase of 3.3 billion yuan, representing a growth rate of 60.07%, setting a new historical high for the same period [1] Financial Performance - In Q2, the net profit attributable to shareholders reached 4.725 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 41.24% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 19.75%, indicating a significant improvement in profitability [1] Business Segments - The copper and cobalt business in H1 2024 saw both volume and price increases, serving as the main growth driver for the company [1] - The acquisition of gold resources has strengthened the company's resource layout, with preliminary assessments suggesting potential for further resource reserve increases [1] Future Outlook - The project is planned to commence production in 2028, with an expected annual output of approximately 11.5 tons of gold [1] - The company maintains a "buy" rating based on its growth prospects and financial performance [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that Luoyang Molybdenum Co., Ltd. has experienced a significant decline in its stock price, dropping 3.28% on September 18, with a cumulative decline of 7.75% over four consecutive days [1] - As of the report, Luoyang Molybdenum's stock price is 12.38 yuan per share, with a trading volume of 3.324 billion yuan and a turnover rate of 1.53%, resulting in a total market capitalization of 264.862 billion yuan [1] - The company primarily engages in the mining, selection, deep processing, trading, and research of precious metals such as molybdenum, tungsten, and gold, with its main business revenue composition being 48.56% from refined metal product trading and 38.31% from concentrate product trading [1] Group 2 - According to data, Zhongjia Fund has a significant holding in Luoyang Molybdenum, with its Zhongjia Xinxing Mixed A Fund holding 7,700 shares, accounting for 0.12% of the fund's net value, ranking as the eighth largest holding [2] - The fund has incurred a floating loss of approximately 3,234 yuan today, with a total floating loss of 8,008 yuan during the four-day decline [2] - Zhongjia Xinxing Mixed A Fund was established on December 2, 2015, with a latest scale of 51.6921 million yuan, and has achieved a year-to-date return of 3.43% [2] Group 3 - The fund managers of Zhongjia Xinxing Mixed A are Zhong Wei and Pang Zhitong, with Zhong Wei having a tenure of 11 years and 319 days and a total fund asset size of 327 million yuan [3] - During Zhong Wei's tenure, the best fund return was 21.22%, while the worst was 0.36% [3] - Pang Zhitong has a tenure of 1 year and 231 days, managing assets of 94.2527 million yuan, with a best return of 9.35% and a worst return of 3.49% during his tenure [3]

Company Overview - Luoyang Molybdenum Co., Ltd. is primarily engaged in the mining, selection, deep processing, trading, and research of rare metals such as molybdenum, tungsten, and gold [2] - The company was established on December 22, 1999, and went public on October 9, 2012 [2] - The main business revenue composition includes refined metal product trading (48.56%), concentrate product trading (38.31%), copper (27.14%), cobalt (6.04%), molybdenum (3.12%), phosphorus (2.23%), niobium (1.88%), tungsten (1.17%), and others (0.11%) [2] Stock Performance - The stock price of Luoyang Molybdenum has increased by 94.78% year-to-date, with a recent decline of 4.15% over the last five trading days [2] - As of September 18, the stock was trading at 12.46 CNY per share, with a market capitalization of 266.57 billion CNY [1] - The trading volume on September 18 was 4.07 billion CNY, with a turnover rate of 0.19% [1] Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, Luoyang Molybdenum reported a revenue of 94.77 billion CNY, a year-on-year decrease of 7.83%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 60.07% to 8.67 billion CNY [2] - The company has distributed a total of 21.56 billion CNY in dividends since its A-share listing, with 10.58 billion CNY distributed in the last three years [3] Shareholder Structure - As of June 30, 2025, the number of shareholders was 237,500, a decrease of 15.95% from the previous period [2] - Major shareholders include Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited, holding 648 million shares, and Huaxia SSE 50 ETF, holding 138 million shares, both of which have increased their holdings compared to the previous period [3]