正文： 近期特朗普政府针对关税战的表态出现了阶段性缓和，由此引发了海外权益市场的反弹行情。但着眼未 来投资，情形实际上并不乐观。一方面，政治上的退让并不一定代表特朗普政策基调的实质性改变，但 其展现出来的高度不确定性根本上挫伤了市场风险偏好；另一方面，关税争端的粘性和复杂性不应被低 估，关税谈判的焦灼可能超出市场甚至特朗普自身的预计，战争的结束远比发起要更考验决策层的政治 智慧。 截至今日收盘，上证综指报3297.29点，涨幅0.03%，成交额4347.06亿元；深证成指报9878.32点，跌幅 0.58%，成交额6743.13亿元；创业板指报1935.86点，跌幅0.68%，成交额3058.59亿元。 盘面上看，美容护理、电力、银行等板块涨幅居前，通信服务、软件开发、非金属材料等板块跌幅居 前。两市成交额约1.1万亿，较上一交易日缩量超千亿。市场涨少跌多，下跌家数超3600家，仅有1500 余家上涨 近日，COMEX黄金期货价格高位巨震，最高触及3509点后回落，五日最大回撤近-6.8%。国内金价方 面，沪金主力合约也创出了836.3元/克的历史新高，最大回撤超-7.3%。究其原因，市场对特朗普解雇美 联储 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of RMB 21.42 [7][8]. Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of RMB 104.9 billion in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 17%, and a net profit of RMB 9.2 billion, up 244% year-on-year. The Q1 2025 revenue was RMB 24.3 billion, an 11% increase year-on-year, while net profit was RMB 2 billion, marking a turnaround from losses [1][2][4]. - The strong Q1 performance was attributed to favorable pig prices during the off-season and a significant reduction in production costs. The company is expected to continue increasing output and reducing costs in 2025 [1][4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company sold 8.59 million pigs, a 20% increase year-on-year, with an average selling price of RMB 15.2 per kg and a production cost of approximately RMB 12.9 per kg, resulting in a profit of RMB 283 per pig, compared to the industry average of RMB 93 [2][3]. - The company aims to sell between 33 to 35 million pigs in 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 9% to 16%, and plans to increase chicken sales by over 5% [3][4]. Cost Management - The company's total debt ratio has been decreasing quarterly, reaching 51% by Q1 2025. The company has also prioritized shareholder returns, with a total cash dividend of RMB 2.32 billion and share buybacks of RMB 660 million in 2024, accounting for 32% of the net profit [3][4]. Earnings Forecast - The earnings forecast for 2025 and 2026 has been revised upwards by 17% and 29%, respectively. The projected net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are RMB 9.4 billion, RMB 9.4 billion, and RMB 19.4 billion, respectively [4][6].

Group 1 - The core index, CN Consumption Composite Index, closed at 8775.28 points, with a monthly increase of 0.61%, a quarterly increase of 7.78%, and a year-to-date increase of 1.78% [1] - The index is designed to reflect the overall performance of different industry securities from mainland Chinese enterprises, classified according to the China Securities Index industry classification standards [1] - The top ten holdings in the CN Consumption Composite Index include Kweichow Moutai (27.04%), Wuliangye (7.02%), Yili (5.12%), Muyuan Foods (3.07%), Shanxi Fenjiu (2.96%), Luzhou Laojiao (2.64%), Wens Foodstuff (2.55%), Nongfu Spring (1.97%), Haitian Flavoring (1.96%), and Dongpeng Beverage (1.63%) [1] Group 2 - The market distribution of the CN Consumption Composite Index shows that the Shanghai Stock Exchange accounts for 54.65%, Shenzhen Stock Exchange for 34.46%, Hong Kong Stock Exchange for 10.65%, and other exchanges have negligible shares [2] - In terms of industry composition, the index is heavily weighted towards alcohol (50.76%), followed by food (21.30%), breeding (13.38%), soft drinks (6.02%), planting (3.20%), beauty care (2.71%), household goods (1.94%), and tobacco (0.58%) [2] Group 3 - The index sample is adjusted biannually, with adjustments occurring on the next trading day after the second Friday of June and December, and can also be adjusted temporarily under special circumstances [3] - Adjustments to the index sample occur when there are changes in industry classification due to special events or when a sample company is delisted [3]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [4] Core Views - The company demonstrates significant cost advantages in breeding, and its high dividend payouts reflect its investment value. The company reported a revenue of 104.92 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 16.68%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 9.23 billion yuan, up 244.46% [4][5] - The company is expected to navigate through the industry cycle successfully, with an upward revision of profit forecasts for 2025-2026 and the introduction of a profit forecast for 2027. The projected net profits for 2025-2027 are 11.98 billion yuan, 13.26 billion yuan, and 19.36 billion yuan, respectively [4][5] Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company sold 30.18 million pigs, a 14.93% increase, with an average selling price of 16.71 yuan per kilogram, up 12.83% [5] - The total breeding cost for pigs in 2024 was 14.4 yuan per kilogram, a decrease of 2.4 yuan compared to the previous year, and it further declined to 12.6-12.8 yuan per kilogram in Q1 2025 [5] - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 1.32 billion yuan for 2024, which, along with share buybacks, totals 2.97 billion yuan, accounting for 32% of the net profit attributable to shareholders [6] Financial Forecasts - The company’s revenue is projected to reach 106.71 billion yuan in 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 1.7%, and net profit is expected to be 11.98 billion yuan, reflecting a 29.8% increase [7] - The gross margin is anticipated to improve from 17.4% in 2024 to 19.3% in 2025, while the net margin is expected to rise from 8.8% to 11.2% in the same period [7] - The earnings per share (EPS) are forecasted to be 1.80 yuan in 2025, 1.99 yuan in 2026, and 2.91 yuan in 2027, with corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 9.4, 8.5, and 5.8 [7]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [4] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 24.33 billion yuan in Q1 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 11.37%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2 billion yuan, up 261.9% year-on-year [1] - The average profit per head for pigs is estimated at 308 yuan, maintaining an industry-leading level due to a decrease in comprehensive breeding costs [1] - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 2 yuan per 10 shares for 2024, totaling 1.32 billion yuan, with a combined cash dividend and share buyback amounting to 2.92 billion yuan for 2024 [2] Financial Performance Summary - In 2023, the company had a revenue of 89.902 billion yuan, with a projected revenue of 100.236 billion yuan for 2025, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 4.4% [3] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be 9.405 billion yuan in 2025, showing a slight increase of 1.9% compared to 2024 [3] - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is projected to be 1.41 yuan, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 12.0 times [3] Business Operations Summary - The company sold 8.174 million pigs in Q1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 13.8%, with an average selling price of 15.2 yuan/kg [1] - The chicken business saw a sales volume of 282 million birds in Q1 2025, up 5.4% year-on-year, but faced a loss of approximately 0.6 yuan per bird due to declining prices [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expectation that the stock will outperform the market index by more than 15% in the next six months [2][9]. Core Insights - The company, Wens Foodstuff Group Co., Ltd. (温氏股份), reported a total operating revenue of 104.92 billion yuan for 2024, a year-on-year increase of 16.68%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 9.23 billion yuan, up 244.46% year-on-year. For Q1 2025, the company achieved a total operating revenue of 24.33 billion yuan, a growth of 11.37%, and a net profit of 2.00 billion yuan, reflecting a 261.92% increase year-on-year [3][6]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company sold 30.18 million pigs, a 14.93% increase year-on-year, with a market share of approximately 4.30%, ranking second among listed companies. The average selling price of live pigs was 16.71 yuan/kg, up 12.83% year-on-year, leading to a revenue of 64.86 billion yuan from the pork business, a 33.71% increase [6]. - The comprehensive cost of pig farming for 2024 was approximately 7.2 yuan/kg, down about 1.2 yuan/kg year-on-year. For Q1 2025, the company sold 8.59 million pigs, a 19.7% increase, generating revenue of 15.48 billion yuan, a 25.7% increase [6]. Chicken Farming Business - The chicken farming segment saw a slight decline in revenue, with 1.208 billion chickens sold in 2024, a 2.09% increase, and a market share of 8.41%. The average selling price for chickens was 13.06 yuan/kg, down 4.60%, resulting in revenue of 35.72 billion yuan, a decrease of 2.58% [6]. - The comprehensive cost of chicken farming decreased to around 6 yuan/kg, down 0.8 yuan/kg year-on-year. In Q1 2025, the company sold 281.59 million chickens, a 5.4% increase, with revenue of 6.84 billion yuan, a 10.5% decrease [6]. Earnings Forecast - The company forecasts EPS of 1.52 yuan and 1.56 yuan for 2025 and 2026, respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 11.19 and 10.88 [7].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [4] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 24.33 billion yuan in Q1 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 11.37%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2 billion yuan, up 261.9% year-on-year [1] - The average profit per head for pigs is estimated at 308 yuan, maintaining an industry-leading level due to decreasing costs [1] - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 2 yuan per 10 shares for 2024, totaling 1.32 billion yuan, with a combined cash dividend and share buyback amounting to 2.92 billion yuan for 2024 [2] Financial Performance - The company sold 8.174 million pigs in Q1 2025, a 13.8% increase year-on-year, with an average weight of 123 kg and an average price of 15.2 yuan/kg [1] - The total revenue for 2025 is projected to be 100.236 billion yuan, with a year-on-year decrease of 4.4% [3] - The net profit for 2025 is expected to be 9.405 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 1.9% [3] Cost and Profitability - The comprehensive cost of pig farming decreased to an estimated 12.7 yuan/kg in Q1 2025 [1] - The company sold 282 million chickens in Q1 2025, with an average price of 10.9 yuan/kg, leading to an estimated loss of 0.6 yuan per chicken due to costs [1] Future Earnings Forecast - The forecasted net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 9.405 billion yuan, 5.823 billion yuan, and 9.699 billion yuan, respectively, with growth rates of 1.9%, -38.1%, and 66.6% [2][3]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company demonstrates significant advantages in breeding costs and high dividends, highlighting its investment value. The 2024 revenue reached 104.92 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 16.68%, with a net profit of 9.23 billion yuan, up 244.46%. For Q1 2025, revenue was 24.33 billion yuan, an increase of 11.37%, and net profit was 2.00 billion yuan, up 261.92% [4][5] - The company is expected to navigate through the cycle and achieve profitability due to its leading cost control in the industry and the gradual recovery of domestic pig prices [4][5] Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company sold 30.18 million pigs, a 14.93% increase, with an average selling price of 16.71 yuan per kilogram, up 12.83%. For Q1 2025, sales reached 8.59 million pigs, a 19.69% increase [5] - The total breeding cost for pigs in 2024 was 14.4 yuan per kilogram, a decrease of 2.4 yuan compared to the previous year. In Q1 2025, the cost dropped to 12.6-12.8 yuan per kilogram [5] - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 1.32 billion yuan for 2024, representing 32% of the net profit [6] Earnings Forecast - The company’s net profit forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 11.98 billion yuan, 13.26 billion yuan, and 19.36 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding EPS of 1.80 yuan, 1.99 yuan, and 2.91 yuan. The current stock price corresponds to P/E ratios of 9.4, 8.5, and 5.8 for the respective years [4][7]

2025 年 4 月 23 日，温氏食品集团股份有限公司（以下简称 "公司"）第五届董事会第四次会议审议通过了公司 2024 年年度 报告全文及其摘要。 为使投资者全面了解公司的经营成果、财务状况及未来发展 规划，公司《2024 年年度报告》、《2024 年年度报告摘要》于 2025 年 4 月 24 日在中国证监会指定的创业板信息披露媒体巨潮资讯 网（http://www.cninfo.com.cn）上披露。敬请广大投资者查阅。 特此公告。 温氏食品集团股份有限公司董事会 2025年4月23日 温氏食品集团股份有限公司 | 证券代码：300498 | 证券简称：温氏股份 | 公告编号：2025-30 | | --- | --- | --- | | 债券代码：123107 | 债券简称：温氏转债 | | 温氏食品集团股份有限公司 关于 2024 年年度报告披露的提示性公告 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露的内容真实、准确、完整，没有虚假记载、 误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 1 ...

| 证券代码：300498 | 证券简称：温氏股份 公告编号：2025-47 | | --- | --- | | 债券代码：123107 | 债券简称：温氏转债 | 温氏食品集团股份有限公司 关于开展套期保值业务的公告 温氏食品集团股份有限公司 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露的内容真实、准确、完整，没有虚假记载、 误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 温氏食品集团股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）第五届董事 会第四次会议审议通过了《关于开展套期保值业务的议案》，同意 公司及控股子公司以所需保证金和权利金最高占用额不超过人 民币 1 亿元（不含期货标的实物交割款项）开展商品期货套期保 值业务，以在任意时点总持有量不超过 3.1 亿美元或等值外币开 展外汇套期保值业务。 根据《深圳证券交易所上市公司自律监管指引第 2 号——创 业板上市公司规范运作》等相关法律法规和规范性文件的规定， 本次开展套期保值业务属于董事会审批权限范围，无需提交公司 股东大会审议。 一、开展套期保值业务的目的 （一）开展商品期货套期保值业务的目的 公司是以畜禽养殖为主业，配套饲料生产等相关业务的跨地 1 温氏食品集团股份有限公司 区现代农牧企业，为规 ...