Investment Rating - The report recommends a "Buy" rating for the industry, predicting that the industry index will outperform the Shanghai Composite Index by 10% or more in the upcoming period [4]. Core Insights - In Q3 2025, the company reported a revenue of 5.7 trillion KRW, a quarter-on-quarter increase of 2.4%, but a year-on-year decrease of 17.1%. The slight growth compared to the previous quarter is attributed to increased production of energy storage system batteries at the Michigan plant and new product launches for electric vehicles and IT clients [1][2]. - The operating profit for Q3 2025 reached 601.3 billion KRW, reflecting a quarter-on-quarter increase of 22.2% and a year-on-year increase of 34.2%, with an operating profit margin of 10.5% [1]. - The net profit for Q3 2025 was 536 billion KRW, showing a significant quarter-on-quarter increase of 489.0%, but a year-on-year decrease of 4.5% [2]. Financial Performance Summary - The company’s Q3 2025 financial performance indicates a gross profit of 1.447 trillion KRW, with a gross profit margin of 25.4% [7]. - The operating profit excluding production incentives was 236 billion KRW, with a margin of 4.1% [7]. - The company held cash and cash equivalents of 5.324 trillion KRW at the end of Q3 2025, a slight decrease from 5.44 trillion KRW at the end of the previous quarter [2][10]. Market Outlook and Strategic Response - The company anticipates a short-term slowdown in electric vehicle demand in the U.S. due to the expiration of EV subsidies, but expects a long-term increase in demand driven by advancements in artificial intelligence and autonomous driving services [3][5]. - The company plans to continue investing in diverse product forms and chemical compositions to meet specific market needs, focusing on high-nickel NCMA soft-pack batteries and 46-series cylindrical batteries for high-performance segments [6][5]. - The report highlights that the U.S. energy storage system market is expected to grow robustly, supported by the elimination of regulatory uncertainties and strong electricity demand from AI data centers [5].

Investment Rating - The report recommends a "Buy" rating for the industry, predicting that the industry index will outperform the Shanghai Composite Index by 10% or more during the specified period [5]. Core Insights - In Q3 2025, the company's battery business revenue decreased by 23.2% year-on-year to 2.82 trillion KRW, with an operating loss of 630.1 billion KRW attributed to a slowdown in electric vehicle battery sales and tariffs on energy storage system batteries in the U.S. [2][3] - The company has signed supply contracts exceeding 110 GWh with several global automotive groups and has secured a significant portion of orders in a government-led energy storage system project [3]. - The company plans to enhance its presence in the energy storage system market and improve operational efficiency, with a projected annual production capacity of 30 GWh for energy storage system batteries in the U.S. by the end of next year [6]. Financial Performance Summary - For Q3 2025, the company's total revenue was 3.05 trillion KRW (21.3 billion USD), a decrease of 22.5% year-on-year and 4% quarter-on-quarter [1]. - The operating loss for Q3 2025 was 591.3 billion KRW (4.16 billion USD), marking a shift from profit to loss compared to the previous year [1][2]. - The company's cash and cash equivalents remained stable at 2.15 trillion KRW at the end of Q3 2025, compared to 2.15 trillion KRW in Q2 2025 [1]. Business Segment Performance - The battery business revenue was 2.82 trillion KRW, down 23.2% year-on-year and 4.8% quarter-on-quarter, with an operating loss of 630.1 billion KRW [2]. - The electronic materials business generated revenue of 231.8 billion KRW, a 6.2% increase from the previous quarter but a 12.1% decrease year-on-year, with operating profit rising by 17.6% to 38.8 billion KRW [2].

Investment Rating - The report recommends the industry [7] Core Insights - In Q3 2025, the company achieved revenue of 20.53 trillion KRW, a quarter-on-quarter increase of 1.23 trillion KRW and a year-on-year increase of 2.88 trillion KRW [3][20] - The operating profit reached 573.5 billion KRW, with a quarter-on-quarter increase of 991.1 billion KRW and a year-on-year increase of 996.8 billion KRW, primarily driven by the recovery in refining business and strong LNG power generation performance [3][20] - The battery business reported revenue of 1.81 trillion KRW with an operating loss of 124.8 billion KRW, although SK On achieved an operating profit of 17.9 billion KRW post-merger, marking the second consecutive quarter of profitability [9][20] Summary by Relevant Sections Overall Performance - Q3 2025 revenue was 20.53 trillion KRW, with a significant increase in operating profit to 573.5 billion KRW, attributed to improved refining margins and strong performance in energy and services [3][20] Business Segment Performance 1. **Refining Business** - Revenue of 12.44 trillion KRW and operating profit of 304.2 billion KRW, benefiting from higher refining margins and oil price increases [3][20] 2. **Petrochemical Business** - Revenue of 2.41 trillion KRW with an operating loss of 36.8 billion KRW, impacted by weak benzene and olefin markets [4][20] 3. **Lubricants Business** - Revenue of 980.5 billion KRW and operating profit of 170.6 billion KRW, driven by seasonal demand and inventory gains [5][20] 4. **Oil and Gas Exploration and Production** - Revenue of 320 billion KRW and operating profit of 89.3 billion KRW, affected by natural gas price declines [6][20] 5. **Battery Business** - Revenue of 1.81 trillion KRW with an operating loss of 124.8 billion KRW, but post-merger profitability was noted [9][20] 6. **Materials Division** - Revenue of 23.5 billion KRW with an operating loss of 50.1 billion KRW, showing a reduction in losses due to cost optimization [10][20] 7. **Energy and Services** - Revenue of 2.53 trillion KRW and operating profit of 255.4 billion KRW, benefiting from increased plant utilization [11][20] Outlook for Q4 2025 - The refining business may face downward pressure on oil prices due to OPEC+ production increases, but geopolitical uncertainties may support refining margins [12][20] - The petrochemical sector is expected to face challenges due to reduced supply and slow demand recovery [13][20] - The lubricants business may experience a weak market environment due to seasonal demand decline [14][20] - The battery business faces uncertainties from weak EV demand in the US and high initial costs of new plants [16][20] - The materials business aims to reduce losses through cost control and increased orders [17][20] - The energy and services division plans to maintain stable profitability through new gas field production [18][20]

Market Overview - The equity market experienced a decline with the Wande All A index dropping by 1.03% and a total trading volume of 1.94 trillion yuan, a decrease of 194.5 billion yuan compared to the previous day [1][2] - The Hang Seng Index and Hang Seng Technology Index fell by 0.79% and 1.76% respectively, with southbound capital inflow amounting to 9.832 billion HKD, primarily into China National Offshore Oil Corporation and Xiaomi Group [1][2] Structural Risks and Market Sentiment - Structural risks have accumulated due to a transition from a period of macroeconomic positive signals to a macro vacuum, leading to market declines [2][3] - The market has seen a continuous decrease in trading volume since October 30, with the Wande All A index down by 2.20% and trading volume shrinking from 2.46 trillion yuan to 1.94 trillion yuan [2][3] Trading Volume and Risk Indicators - The current trading volume indicates potential for further decline, with a volume ratio of 50%-70% observed, averaging at 60% [3] - The concentration of trading volume is at 40.64%, below the historical high of 45%, but still above the bottom indicator of 35% [3] Investment Strategy - The report suggests a focus on dividend and technology sectors, with the dividend sector showing strength as the China Securities Dividend Index rose by 0.37% and the SW Bank Index increased by 2.03% [3] - It is recommended to monitor trading concentration and consider increasing positions in technology stocks when concentration returns to the 35%-40% range [3] Hong Kong Market Dynamics - The Hong Kong market remains in a downward trend influenced by expectations of a Federal Reserve interest rate cut [4] - Notably, there has been a significant inflow into innovative drug-related ETFs, indicating a potential area of interest for investors [4] Bond Market Activity - The bond market has shown a pattern of reduced trading volume and fluctuations, with the People's Bank of China announcing a net purchase of 20 billion yuan in government bonds [5][6] - The overall duration level in the market is low, suggesting room for institutions to engage in long-term bond strategies [6] Commodity Market Trends - The commodity market has seen significant outflows, particularly in the new energy and precious metals sectors, reflecting a prevailing risk-averse sentiment [7] - The strong US dollar has pressured precious metal prices, with gold and silver experiencing notable declines [7][8] "Anti-Internal Competition" Sector Performance - The "anti-internal competition" sector has faced downward pressure, particularly in lithium carbonate and polysilicon, due to rising production expectations [8][9] - Despite some basic fundamentals remaining stable, market sentiment has shifted negatively, impacting related products [8][9]

证券研究报告 经济渐入稳态，风偏继续提升 ——2026年经济与资产展望 大类资产首席分析师：孙付 SAC NO：S1120520050004 2025年11月4日 请仔细阅读在本报告尾部的重要法律声明 1 核心观点 经济基本面展望： 政策展望： 2 ● 2026是"十五五"开局之年，技术革命浪潮风起云涌、科技自强自立迈向新征程，中国经济的全要素劳动生产率和 产业竞争力将继续提升，供给端优势将进一步显现。 外需：产业和产品的较强竞争力是支撑，中美经贸关系步入阶段性缓和，出口多元化格局进一步塑造，汇率保持相对弹 性，出口有望总体稳定。 内需：扩大内需是战略基点，短期政策刺激和长期机制完善将共同促内需。财政和货币政策将继续积极加码发力支持消 费和有效投资。统一大市场建设和要素市场化改革将清理内需扩张障碍，增进内需潜能。 ● 物价：在食品价格企稳、文娱消费延续回升、反内卷破除恶性价格竞争下，2026年物价将回升，预计CPI中枢0.6%， PPI中枢-0.8%，下半年GDP平减指数将转正。 ● GDP增速：综合经济增长趋势特征与宏观政策效能，预计2026年实际GDP增速在4.5%附近，名义GDP增速约4.7%，名义 增 ...

Market Overview - In October, the equity market experienced three phases: "TACO - Defense - Offense" with a cumulative drop of 2.34% from October 14-20, driven by heightened defense strategies following tariff threats from Trump[1][9]. - By the end of October, positive news led to a market rebound, with AI and semiconductor sectors leading the gains[1][9]. Structural Risks - Despite a stable long-term trend, structural risks became prominent, characterized by concentrated trading directions and a high proportion of overvalued stocks, leading to decreased market value for money[1][22]. - As of late October, the concentration of trading volume among the top 5% of stocks reached 46%, indicating potential risks[22]. Convertible Bonds - The convertible bond market is expected to face valuation fluctuations as year-end approaches, with many absolute return institutions needing to realize profits by November and December[2][36]. - As of October 31, the valuation center for bonds priced at 80, 100, and 130 yuan was 52.17%, 33.15%, and 15.60%, respectively, showing slight increases from September[15]. Investment Strategy - The prevailing strategy suggests that while the bull market logic remains intact, structural risks may lead to volatility, making it essential to adjust allocations accordingly[3][62]. - Investors are advised to increase exposure to dividend stocks during market upswings and actively position in thematic investments during corrections[3][62]. Economic Indicators - The October PMI indicated a weak economic foundation, with a composite PMI of 50.0%, down 0.6 percentage points from September, marking the lowest since early 2023[3][65].

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Recommended" [5] Core Insights - The computer industry showed significant improvement in Q3 2025, with total revenue reaching 328.01 billion, a year-on-year increase of 5.28% [1][15] - Net profit for the industry increased by 25.19% year-on-year, totaling 10.54 billion, with over 19 companies experiencing more than double profit growth [1][16] - The gross profit margin for the industry declined by 2.46 percentage points year-on-year in Q3 2025 [1][31] - Management expenses saw a significant decrease, while sales and R&D expenses remained stable [1][31] Summary by Sections Overall Industry Performance - As of November 3, 2025, the computer industry reported a total revenue of 3280.13 billion for Q3 2025, marking a 5.28% increase compared to the same period last year [1][15] - Approximately 44% of companies in the sector reported negative revenue growth, with 145 companies (43.81%) experiencing a decline [15] Profitability Analysis - The industry achieved a net profit of 105.39 billion in Q3 2025, reflecting a 25.19% increase year-on-year [1][16] - A total of 154 companies reported losses, amounting to 62.15 billion, with the top 20 loss-making companies accounting for 53.86% of the total losses [16][26] Segment Performance - The industry is divided into 17 segments, with 10 segments reporting positive revenue growth, including: - Quantum Computing (+49.57%) - AI Computing (+12.88%) - Data Elements (+10.23%) - Financial IT (+10.74%) [2][33] Fund Holdings - As of November 3, 2025, the top five companies by fund holdings in the computer industry are: - Kingsoft Office - Zhongke Shuguang - iFlytek - Hikvision - Inspur Information [3] Investment Recommendations - Beneficial targets include: - AI Applications: RunDa Medical, Wanjing Technology, Kingsoft Office, etc. - Computing Integrated Machine Industry Chain: KaiPu Cloud, Yuncong Technology, etc. - Data Element Industry Chain: Taiji Co., Shensanda, etc. [4][7]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, predicting that the stock price will outperform the Shanghai Composite Index by 15% or more in the upcoming period [42]. Core Insights - The company, Yunhan Xincheng, is a leading B2B enterprise in the electronic components sector, focusing on the R&D, production, and procurement needs of small-batch electronic components [1][2]. - The electronic components distribution industry in China has a low market share concentration among leading companies, indicating significant growth potential [2][21]. - The company has demonstrated strong technological innovation capabilities, holding 17 invention patents and 255 software copyrights, and has developed a SaaS tool, HiBOM, for efficient BOM parsing [2][37]. Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The electronic components industry is a foundational sector for the electronic information industry, characterized by a large market scale and diverse product categories, including semiconductors, passive components, and connectors [8]. - The Chinese electronic components distribution market has grown from 12 trillion yuan in 2015 to 18.5 trillion yuan in 2022, reflecting a rapid expansion [21][24]. Company Overview - Yunhan Xincheng's main business includes B2B sales of electronic components and PCBA services, primarily through its self-operated online platform [25][26]. - The company achieved revenues of 4.333 billion yuan in 2022, with a projected decline in 2023 and 2024, followed by a recovery in 2025, where it reported a revenue of 1.44 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, a 17.82% increase year-on-year [1][30]. Company Highlights - The company has established a robust supplier network with over 4,200 suppliers and more than 2,500 engaged in data collaboration, offering a wide range of products across various applications [3][38]. - The registered user base exceeds 696,500, with over 158,900 cumulative enterprise customers, indicating a strong market presence [3][38]. - The company has been recognized for its excellence in the electronic industry, winning awards such as the "Annual Excellence in Electronic Industry Internet" [3][38].

Investment Rating - The report recommends a "Buy" rating for the industry, predicting that the industry index will outperform the Shanghai Composite Index by 10% or more during the forecast period [4]. Core Insights - In Q3 2025, the lithium concentrate production from two operational projects decreased by 5% to 137,000 tons, while the sales volume increased by 5% to 142,000 tons. The average selling price for lithium concentrate was $849 per ton, reflecting a 31% increase quarter-on-quarter [1]. - The recovery rates and capacity optimization projects at Mt Marion and Wodgina have been successfully completed, with Wodgina achieving an average recovery rate of 67% [1]. - The report highlights significant improvements in production and sales volumes for lithium concentrate, with Mt Marion's production increasing by 18% quarter-on-quarter and 7% year-on-year, while Wodgina's production also showed positive growth [2][5]. Summary by Sections Lithium Mining - **Overall Performance**: In Q3 2025, the total lithium concentrate production was 137,000 tons, with a weighted average selling price of $849 per ton, up 31% from the previous quarter [1]. - **Mt Marion**: The total material moved decreased by 46%, while ore mined increased by 58%. The average recovery rate was 59%, and the average selling price was $797 per ton, up 31% quarter-on-quarter [2]. - **Wodgina**: The total material moved decreased by 12%, with ore mined increasing by 15%. The average selling price for lithium concentrate was $881 per ton, reflecting a 31% increase [3][5]. Iron Ore - **Onslow Iron**: The quarterly production was 8.445 million tons, a 37% increase quarter-on-quarter, with an average selling price of $92 per ton [7]. - **Pilbara Hub**: The quarterly production was 2.419 million tons, a 12% decrease quarter-on-quarter, with an average selling price of $87 per ton [8]. Financial Overview - As of September 30, 2025, the company's liquidity and net debt remained stable at 1.1 billion AUD and 5.4 billion AUD, respectively. The capital expenditure for the quarter was approximately 400 million AUD, consistent with previous expectations [12].

证券研究报告|行业研究报告 ►公司 2025Q3 生产经营情况 1）Mt Weld（稀土氧化物 REO） 2025Q3，公司稀土氧化物(REO)产量为 3,993 吨，环比增 长 24%，同比增长 47%。 2025Q3，公司稀土氧化物(REO)销量为 3,691 吨，环比增 长 31%，同比增长 30%。这得益于强劲的产量和主要战略客户 （包括日本磁铁制造商客户）需求的增长，这些客户不断赢得 新的终端客户合同。 2025Q3，稀土氧化物(REO)平均实现价格为 54.3 澳元/公 斤，环比下跌 10%，同比上涨 28%。 Mt Weld 团队已完成培训，并准备于 2025 年四季度开始 运营 Mt Weld 扩建项目二期工厂。 [Table_Date] 2025 年 11 月 4 日 [Table_Title] Lynas 2025Q3 REO 产量同比增长 47%至 3,993 吨，NdPr 产量同比增长 19%至 2,003 吨，实现镝 铽产量 9 吨 [Table_Title2] 有色金属-海外季报 [Table_Summary] 季报重点内容: 混合动力电站的建设和调试工作已接近尾声。2025 年 ...