Economic Overview - In May, industrial added value grew by 5.8% year-on-year, slowing down by 0.3 percentage points from the previous month[1] - The service production index increased by 6.2% year-on-year in May, a slight acceleration of 0.2 percentage points from April[1] - The weighted year-on-year growth of industrial and service sectors combined was 6.1%, slightly up from 6.0% in April[1] Retail Performance - Retail sales in May increased by 6.4% year-on-year, the fastest growth since early last year, accelerating by 1.3 percentage points from the previous month[2] - National subsidies contributed an additional 0.5 percentage points to retail growth in May, with total subsidies amounting to 162 billion yuan[2] - The contribution of home appliances and audio-visual equipment to retail sales increased significantly, with growth rates of 53% and 33% respectively in May[2] Investment Trends - Fixed asset investment from January to May grew by 3.7% year-on-year, with a 7.7% increase when excluding real estate investments, both slowing by 0.3 percentage points from the previous month[4] - Equipment investment rose by 17.3% year-on-year, contributing 63.6% to total investment growth, down from 64.5% in the previous month[4] Real Estate Market - Real estate sales area and sales value in May decreased by 3.3% and 6.0% year-on-year, respectively, with sales area growth slowing by 1.2 percentage points from April[5] - Prices for new and second-hand homes in first-tier cities fell, with a 0.7% decline in first-tier cities leading the drop[5] Demand and Supply Dynamics - The weighted year-on-year growth of retail, investment, and export delivery values increased by 0.3 percentage points to 4.1%, still about 2 percentage points lower than the production growth rate of 6.1%[6] - The industrial sales rate fell by 0.8 percentage points year-on-year to 95.9%, indicating ongoing demand insufficiency[6] Future Outlook - The second quarter GDP is expected to exceed 5% year-on-year, supported by retail and service sector growth, despite weak investment and export performance[7] - Incremental policy measures may be delayed until after August, with potential new agreements between China and the U.S. impacting trade dynamics[8]

Investment Rating - Industry rating: Recommended [5] Core Insights - OpenAI's commercial customer base is rapidly growing, with plans to increase annual revenue to $125 billion by 2029. The company reported an annual recurring revenue of $10 billion, up from $5.5 billion last year, driven by consumer products and API revenue [7][8] - Amazon is investing $20 billion to expand AI and cloud computing infrastructure, reinforcing its market position [7] - Oracle's performance guidance exceeded market expectations, with a projected cloud revenue growth rate increasing from 25% to over 40% in FY26, alongside a capital expenditure increase to $25 billion [8] - AMD forecasts that the global AI processor market will exceed $500 billion by 2028, following the release of its AI acceleration chips [11] Summary by Sections Section 1: Demand for Computing Power - The demand for computing power has surged due to advancements in computing chips, with significant growth in OpenAI's revenue and commercial clients. Major tech companies like Oracle and Meta are increasing capital expenditures, driven by rising AI demand, particularly from new enterprise clients [2][15] Section 2: Investment Recommendations - The computing sector is supported by underlying demand and valuation. High-speed optical modules are currently undervalued, with recommended beneficiaries including NewEase, Zhongji Xuchuang, and Tianfu Communication. Other recommended beneficiaries in computing equipment and data centers include Unisplendour, ZTE, and Guanghui New Network [3][15] Section 3: Recent Views on the Communication Sector - The communication sector is experiencing high volatility, but the computing-related fields show strong performance support. Key recommendations include operators like China Mobile and China Telecom, as well as equipment manufacturers like ZTE and Unisplendour [16][17]

Market Performance - The escalation of the Israel-Iran conflict has led to a sharp increase in oil and gold prices, with Brent crude oil rising over 13% this week, recovering all losses for the year[1] - The US stock market indices experienced declines, with the S&P 500, Dow Jones, and Nasdaq falling by 0.39%, 1.32%, and 0.63% respectively due to geopolitical concerns overshadowing positive US-China trade talks[1][13] - The 10-year US Treasury yield decreased by 10 basis points (bp) to 4.41%, reflecting a strong bond market amid weakening economic data[1][11] Economic Indicators - In May, China's exports totaled $316.1 billion, a year-on-year increase of 4.8%, while imports fell by 3.4% to $212.88 billion[19][21] - China's Consumer Price Index (CPI) in May showed a year-on-year decline of 0.1%, while the Producer Price Index (PPI) decreased by 3.3%[22] - The People's Bank of China is set to conduct a 400 billion yuan reverse repurchase operation, aiming to maintain liquidity in the market[23] Geopolitical Developments - The Israel-Iran conflict has escalated, with Iran launching a large-scale missile attack on Israel, marking a significant shift from proxy warfare to direct confrontation[25] - The US has seen its CPI data fall below expectations for the fourth consecutive month, contributing to a weaker dollar, with the dollar index dropping below 98, a three-year low[11][19] Investment Outlook - The current geopolitical tensions are expected to increase risk aversion in the market, putting pressure on equity investments[4] - Gold prices are anticipated to rise further due to heightened safe-haven demand, with COMEX gold surpassing $3,400 per ounce[1][14]

Group 1 - Cao Cao Mobility has passed the listing hearing at the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, with Ugo Investment Limited holding 83.9% of its shares, fully owned by Geely Group's chairman Li Shufu [2][9][47] - As of March 31, 2025, Cao Cao Mobility operates in 146 cities, with a first-quarter GTV (Gross Transaction Value) of 4.8 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 54.9%, and an order volume of 164.4 million, up 51.8% year-on-year [2][9][47] - The company is experiencing a continuous reduction in losses but faces risks from industry competition and high dependence on aggregation platforms [2][9][47] Group 2 - Guangzhou's Commerce Bureau has released a draft plan for a special action to boost consumption, proposing 33 specific measures across eight areas to activate the consumption market [3][10][11] - The plan includes the establishment of new consumption brands and the promotion of duty-free shops, aiming to enhance the shopping experience for international transit tourists [3][10][12] - The initiative also focuses on improving service quality in consumption, developing new consumption models such as live e-commerce and community group buying, and creating integrated online and offline shopping experiences [3][10][12][14] Group 3 - Tencent's Hongyuan 3D 2.1 model has been fully open-sourced, including model weights, architecture, training code, and data processing workflows, marking a significant advancement in 3D modeling capabilities [4][16][48] - The open-source model significantly enhances texture quality and lighting effects, making it more practical for realistic modeling in gaming and animation [4][16][48] - Developers can utilize the model for secondary training or fine-tuning based on their specific needs, thus broadening its application in various industries [4][16][48]

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Recommended" [4] Core Insights - The report highlights the successful launch of the popop jewelry brand by Pop Mart, which has opened its first store in Shanghai, targeting the light luxury market with products priced between 300 to 2700 yuan [1] - The report emphasizes the growing importance of the cultural and sports industry in driving local economic growth, with significant increases in ticket sales and tourism-related spending in Jiangsu province [2] - The report suggests five investment themes, including the revival of traditional retail, advancements in AI technology, increased consumer willingness to pay for emotional value, cyclical recovery in demand, and the potential for domestic brands to expand internationally [3][6] Summary by Sections Industry & Company Dynamics - Pop Mart's popop brand utilizes affordable materials like S925 silver and zircon, with a focus on popular IPs to enhance consumer engagement and drive sales [1] - The report notes a 305% year-on-year increase in ticket bookings for Jiangsu's attractions, indicating a strong recovery in the tourism sector [2] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on traditional retail recovery, AI technology advancements, high-growth new retail sectors, cyclical recovery in demand, and opportunities in international expansion for domestic brands [3][6]

Investment Rating - Industry rating: Recommended [5] Core Insights - The non-bank financial sector index increased by 1.16%, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 1.42 percentage points, ranking 6th among all primary industries [2][13] - The average daily trading volume of A-shares reached 13,717 million yuan, a 13.5% increase month-on-month and an 88.1% increase year-on-year [18] - The issuance of new shares in the A-share market has seen 48 companies listed in 2025, raising a total of 358.6 million yuan [18] Summary by Sections Non-Bank Financial Weekly Insights - The securities sector rose by 0.82%, while the insurance sector increased by 2.06% [2][13] - Notable stock performances included *ST Rindong (+17.44%) and Nanhua Futures (+12.63%) [2][13] Regulatory Updates - The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) released new regulations for algorithmic trading in the futures market, effective from October 9, 2025, aimed at enhancing market order and fairness [3][14][37] - The new regulations include comprehensive monitoring of algorithmic trading processes and require traders to report relevant information before engaging in such activities [15][37] Insurance Sector Developments - Non-listed insurance companies will implement new accounting standards starting January 1, 2026, with provisions for simplified processing to aid smaller firms in transitioning [4][16][37] - The new standards aim to stabilize performance fluctuations observed in listed insurance companies since their implementation [16][37]

Investment Rating - Industry Rating: Recommended [5] Core Insights - The humanoid robot industry is expected to accelerate production due to breakthroughs in AI technology and domestic companies' strong demand for core components [12][13][16] - The domestic new energy vehicle market is experiencing significant growth, with a penetration rate of 48.7% and a focus on new technologies such as solid-state batteries and high-performance materials [17][19] - The solar energy sector is witnessing increased demand for high-efficiency products, with companies like Longi and Aiko securing substantial global orders [25][26][27] - The offshore wind power sector is projected to grow, supported by ongoing domestic projects and increasing overseas demand [28][29][52] Humanoid Robots - The humanoid robot industry is seeing rapid industrialization, driven by AI breakthroughs and policy support, with significant opportunities for component manufacturers [12][13][16] - Key players are forming strategic partnerships to enhance technology and market competitiveness, focusing on critical components like dexterous hands and lightweight materials [13][15] - The market is expected to benefit from the integration of AI capabilities, with companies positioned in the supply chain likely to see substantial gains [16] New Energy Vehicles - In May, the production and sales of new energy vehicles reached 1.27 million and 1.31 million units, respectively, marking year-on-year growth of 35% and 37% [18] - The industry is characterized by the introduction of high-quality new models and advancements in battery technology, which are expected to drive further growth [19][20] - The demand for lithium battery materials is anticipated to expand, supported by the recovery of consumer electronics and the growth of energy storage applications [21][22] Solar Energy - Longi's new HIBC technology has set a benchmark in solar panel efficiency, with products achieving over 700W and nearing 26% efficiency [25][26] - The BC product line is gaining traction due to its competitive pricing and efficiency advantages, with significant orders from both domestic and international markets [26][27] - The solar industry is expected to benefit from technological advancements and a shift towards high-efficiency products, enhancing profitability for leading companies [34][35] Offshore Wind Power - The offshore wind power sector is projected to grow significantly, with major projects underway in key regions such as Guangdong and Jiangsu [28][29] - The market is expected to benefit from increased demand for offshore wind installations in Europe, with opportunities for domestic companies to expand internationally [52][53] - The pricing for wind turbine projects is stabilizing, which may lead to improved profitability for manufacturers [53]

Group 1: Market Overview - From June 9-13, the second round of China-US negotiations became a major variable affecting interest rate trends, with tariffs remaining unchanged, benefiting bonds and gold as safe-haven assets[1] - As the tax period approached, liquidity tightened, leading to cautious short-term pricing in the bond market, with interest rates and similar rate products slowing down[1] - The one-year government bond yield struggled to break 1.4%, resulting in an overly flat yield curve[3] Group 2: Liquidity and Central Bank Actions - Market concerns about liquidity stability eased as the month progressed, with 1.83 trillion yuan in interbank certificates of deposit successfully renewed[2] - The central bank's proactive measures included increasing the daily open market operation (OMO) injection to 202.5 billion yuan on June 13, reflecting a firm stance on liquidity support[2] - The central bank's actions shifted from implicit to explicit, effectively guiding market expectations and stabilizing funding rates[2] Group 3: Yield Curve Dynamics - Historical analysis indicates that extreme flattening of the yield curve is often linked to central bank tightening, with subsequent steepening reliant on a shift in the central bank's stance[3] - The current yield curve is at a critical point where it may transition from flat to steep, contingent on the central bank's future actions and market adaptation[3] - The 10Y-1Y yield spread is currently at 24 basis points, placing it in the 13th percentile of historical data, indicating limited room for further compression[3] Group 4: Investment Strategy - In anticipation of a potential steepening of the yield curve, investment strategies should focus on increasing duration in portfolios, particularly in 10-year non-active bonds and high-quality local government bonds[6] - The duration of interest rate bond funds has reached a historical high of 5.23 years, while credit bond funds have risen to 2.43 years, indicating heightened risk exposure in the market[6] - Despite high duration levels, the market's sensitivity to negative factors may increase, necessitating careful monitoring of market conditions[6]

Market Review - The A-share and Hong Kong stock indices experienced fluctuations this week, with a general decline on Friday due to geopolitical tensions in the Middle East leading to capital outflows from risk assets. The A-share market saw increased trading volume, with most major indices closing lower, except for the ChiNext and micro-cap indices which rose. The North China 50 and Sci-Tech 50 indices were the biggest losers. In terms of sectors, A-shares in non-ferrous metals, oil and petrochemicals, and agriculture led the gains, while food and beverage, home appliances, and building materials lagged. Notably, rare earth permanent magnets and oil and gas extraction sectors strengthened due to external disturbances. In commodities, risk aversion drove oil prices and gold to rise significantly, with WTI crude oil and ICE Brent crude futures increasing by over 13%, and COMEX gold rising by 3.3%. The US dollar index fell below 98, while the RMB exchange rate fluctuated [1][2]. Market Outlook - The upcoming 6.18 Lujiazui Forum is anticipated to be a significant event for the A-share market, with expectations of new financial policies being announced. Recent negotiations between China and the US in London have met market expectations, but geopolitical issues in the Middle East have caused short-term fluctuations in global risk appetite. The core factors affecting the A-share market remain structural issues rather than external geopolitical events. The risk premium for the CSI 300 index has dropped to its lowest level since April, indicating a need for sustained economic fundamentals or incremental policies to boost risk appetite. The forum is expected to provide insights into major financial policies that could support market sentiment and contribute to a stable upward trend in A-shares [2][3]. Economic Fundamentals - The economic fundamentals indicate persistent challenges, including insufficient domestic demand and low prices, which continue to constrain corporate profitability. In May, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) fell by 0.1% year-on-year, slightly better than market expectations, while the Producer Price Index (PPI) decreased by 3.3% year-on-year, marking an expansion in the decline for the 32nd consecutive month. The low PPI is attributed to both external factors like falling oil prices and internal issues such as insufficient effective demand and overcapacity in certain industries. To boost prices, it is essential to expand effective demand and streamline supply-demand cycles, requiring coordinated efforts across fiscal, monetary, industrial, employment, and social security policies. Historical data shows a positive correlation between PPI and the profit growth of non-financial A-share companies, suggesting that a return to rising price levels will depend on the effective implementation of policies [3]. Policy Expectations - The 6.18 Lujiazui Forum, scheduled for June 18-19, is expected to unveil several significant financial policies, with the market showing anticipation for these new regulations. The forum will feature key officials from the central bank and financial regulatory bodies, and it has historically served as a platform for announcing major policies and signaling important developments in financial regulation. This year's forum will focus on topics such as financial openness, global economic changes, and the sustainable development of capital markets, which are likely to support investor sentiment and risk appetite [2][3]. Sector Allocation - In terms of sector allocation, a balanced approach is recommended, with a focus on non-ferrous metals, military industry, AI applications (both software and hardware), and innovative pharmaceuticals. Thematic investments should also consider areas such as self-sufficiency and mergers and acquisitions [3].

Market Performance - The CSI REITs total return index closed at 1114.86 points, up 0.69% for the week, indicating sustained market enthusiasm[1] - The total market capitalization of listed REITs reached 204.1 billion yuan, a week-on-week increase of 0.99%[1] - The number of listed REITs in China will increase to 69 following the recent issuance of three REITs[1] Asset Class Comparison - All REITs asset classes recorded positive growth, outperforming equity markets (CSI 300, CSI 500, CSI 1000, and Hang Seng Tech) and bond markets (CSI All Bonds, CSI Government Bonds, CSI Corporate Bonds, and CSI Convertible Bonds)[1] - The CSI REITs total return index has increased by 15.19% year-to-date, while the CSI REITs closing index has risen by 12.25%[6] Sector Highlights - The rental housing REITs sector led the gains with a weekly increase of 1.43%, driven by the completion of the Huaxia Beijing affordable housing REIT expansion[7] - The consumption facilities and industrial park sectors both recorded a weekly increase of 0.85%[8] Trading Activity - The average daily trading volume was 548 million shares, with a daily average turnover rate of 0.61%, reflecting a 5% increase in trading activity[14] - The municipal environmental protection sector had the highest turnover rate at 1.01%, indicating increased trading interest[16]