Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage on Bilibili (9626 HK) with a "Buy" rating and a target price of HKD 316.5, corresponding to a 2025E PS of 4.1x [1][7]. Core Insights - Bilibili has evolved from a niche community to a comprehensive video ecosystem, establishing a strong competitive moat through its unique community atmosphere and high user retention [2][18]. - The advertising business has transitioned into a systematic growth phase, with a projected revenue increase of 27.7% year-on-year in 2024, driven by a 40% growth in performance advertising [3][19]. - The gaming segment has shown robust recovery, with revenues reaching RMB 5.6 billion in 2024, a 40% year-on-year increase, supported by the successful launch of new games [4][22]. - The company is expected to achieve significant profit growth, with adjusted net profits projected at RMB 2.31 billion, RMB 3.18 billion, and RMB 3.99 billion for 2025-2027 [6][20]. Summary by Sections Community Ecosystem - Bilibili's community has a high retention rate, with over 80% for formal members and 84% for users registered for over ten years, indicating a deep user-platform bond [2][21]. - The platform's user base is predominantly young, with over 80% of users under 35 years old, showcasing a strong generational engagement [2][21]. Advertising Business - The advertising infrastructure has been fully established, enabling comprehensive coverage across various platforms, including long and short videos, PC, and search [3][19]. - AI technology integration is enhancing advertising efficiency, with a 10% year-on-year increase in eCPM in the first half of 2025 [3][19]. Gaming Business - The gaming revenue for 2024 is expected to reach RMB 5.6 billion, with a 40% year-on-year growth, driven by the successful launch of new titles [4][22]. - The strategy focuses on long-term operations and the introduction of younger game genres, with the upcoming release of "Three Kingdoms: Hundred Generals Card" expected to continue this trend [4][22]. Financial Performance - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are RMB 30.03 billion, RMB 32.72 billion, and RMB 35.09 billion, respectively, with adjusted net profits expected to rise significantly [6][20]. - The overall gross margin is anticipated to improve from 17.6% in 2019 to 32.7% in 2024, driven by a higher proportion of high-margin advertising and gaming revenues [20].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the oil and gas sector and the basic chemicals sector [6]. Core Views - The industry is experiencing a "weak peak season" in September, with overall demand remaining subdued and capital expenditure in the chemical sector continuing to decline, indicating a potential turning point in supply and demand dynamics [14][22]. - The CCPI-raw material price spread as of the end of September 2025 is at 2439, which is below the 30th percentile since 2012, reflecting weak pricing across most chemical products [2][14]. - The report anticipates an upward trend in industry conditions for 2026, driven by supply-side adjustments and demand recovery, particularly in the context of high energy-consuming facilities exiting the market in Europe and North America [2][40]. Summary by Sections Demand Side - The PMI for September 2025 is reported at 49.8, indicating that traditional peak season demand is not being met, with slow recovery expected in the short term [3][17]. - The real estate sector continues to show negative growth, impacting overall demand, while consumer goods and infrastructure sectors are expected to drive future demand for chemical products [17][20]. Supply Side - From January to August 2025, the capital expenditure in the chemical raw materials and products sector has decreased by 5.2% year-on-year, suggesting a tightening supply side and a potential turning point approaching [3][22]. - The report highlights that the competitive landscape has intensified, leading to a significant decline in profitability across many sub-sectors since the second half of 2022 [3][22]. Price Trends - Some chemical products have seen price increases due to overseas demand and domestic maintenance activities, while others have declined due to weak demand and reduced supply-side coordination [4][41]. - The report identifies key products with price increases, including methyltrichlorosilane and glyphosate, while products like sucrose and vitamins have seen price declines [4][41]. Investment Strategy - The report suggests focusing on sectors with improving supply dynamics and new technology-driven products, with recommendations for specific companies such as China Petroleum, Juhua Co., and Dongyue Group [5][40]. - It emphasizes the importance of export-driven growth for domestic chemical products, which maintain competitive advantages in cost and quality [20][40].

证券研究报告 周专题：中国移动全球合作伙伴大会：人工智能赋能高质量发展 2025 年 10 月 10 日至 12 日，中国移动全球合作伙伴大会在广州召开，主 题为"碳硅共生 合创 AI+时代"，展现移动与合作伙伴在 AI 算力、具身智 能、6G、空天地一体等领域成果，主题与方向与当下科技主线高度同频：1） AI 领域，在 AI 训练与推理需求共振推动下，全球科技厂商加码 AI 投资，中 国移动算网大脑 3.0 以"1+N"架构实现超级智能体调度，联合打造"国芯 国连"算力集群支撑 AI 应用，九天大模型已覆盖二十余领域；2）新质生产 力领域，卫星互联网、低空经济、量子科技进入规模化落地阶段，中国移动 联合十余家伙伴启动"点亮百城"量子试验网，海格通信展示低轨卫星芯片 与终端，中移凌云低空平台落地 500+项目，覆盖全国 31 省及香港并出海。 科技 中国移动全球合作伙伴大会召开，加 强算力生态协同 华泰研究 2025 年 10 月 13 日│中国内地 行业周报（第四十一周） 本周观点 市场方面，上周通信（申万）指数下跌 1.60%，同期上证综指上涨 0.37%， 深证成指下跌 1.26%。中国移动全球合作伙伴 ...

证券研究报告 汽车 NEV 减税技术标准趋严，促高质发展 华泰研究 2025 年 10 月 13 日│中国内地 动态点评 车辆购置税减免要求调整，倒逼车型更长续航及更低能耗 10 月 9 日，工业和信息化部、财政部、税务总局等三部门联合公告 2026-2027 年减免车辆购置税新能源汽车产品技术要求。新政策与此前免征要求的主要 变化为 1）提升新能源车能耗标准；2）新增混动车续航要求。我们认为， 本次调整对 26 年起减半征收购置税的车型要求趋严，符合标准的车型将具 备价格优势，倒逼车企淘汰落后产能并加大技术投入。车市方面，"金九" 行情表现较好，零售（224 万辆，同环比+6%/11%）、批发（280 万辆，同 环比+12%/+13%）、出口（53 万辆，同环比+21%/6%）均创历史新高，9 月开始的年末车市走强特征开始显现，我们看好 Q4 销量稳定增长。推荐具 备强自主研发能力的龙头企业比亚迪、吉利汽车，关注小鹏汽车、理想汽车。 汽车 增持 (维持) 纯电车电耗限制提升 10%以上，大型纯电车当前达标率最低 纯电动乘用车技术要求调整如下（采用 GB 36980.1-2025 新国标）： 1） 整车装备质 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the insurance industry [1] Core Viewpoints - The implementation of the "reporting and execution in unison" policy for non-auto insurance is expected to improve underwriting performance by reducing expense ratios and enhancing overall profitability [4][5] - Non-auto insurance premiums have increased significantly, now accounting for over 51% of total premiums, but the underwriting performance remains poor, with a combined ratio (COR) consistently above 100% for major insurers [6][26] - The new regulatory measures are anticipated to lower the expense ratios for various non-auto insurance products, particularly corporate property and liability insurance, which have historically suffered from high costs [5][54] Summary by Sections Non-Auto Insurance Performance - Non-auto insurance premiums have grown rapidly, with a 14.4% annual growth rate from 2014 to 2024, surpassing the 5.2% growth rate of auto insurance [12] - Despite the growth in premiums, the average COR for major insurers in the non-auto segment has remained above 100% since 2019, indicating ongoing underwriting losses [26][35] Impact of Regulatory Changes - The new policy, effective from November 1, 2025, aims to standardize fee management and improve underwriting quality by enforcing stricter compliance with approved insurance terms and rates [4][53] - The report estimates that if the policy successfully turns loss-making segments to profitability, the COR for major insurers could decrease by 0.2 to 0.9 percentage points, leading to significant increases in underwriting profits and pre-tax profits [8][54] Company-Specific Insights - China Life Insurance's non-auto COR is projected to be the highest at 101.9% in 2024, primarily due to losses in corporate property and liability insurance [7][35] - Ping An Insurance's non-auto COR is slightly better at 99.8%, but still reflects weak profitability largely due to issues in credit guarantee insurance [41][42] - China Pacific Insurance has shown relatively better performance with a non-auto COR of 99.1%, attributed to improved risk selection and better performance in agricultural insurance [48][52]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of HKD 85 [6]. Core Insights - The company, BOCA, has shown a strong fleet iteration with 11 aircraft delivered and 10 sold in 3Q25, resulting in a total fleet size of 442 aircraft, an increase of 1 from 2Q25 [1][3]. - The improvement in aircraft manufacturing capacity is expected to positively impact BOCA's capital expenditures and asset scale expansion, which may enhance leasing rates and return on equity (ROE) [2][4]. - The company issued USD 500 million in bonds with a 4.25% coupon rate, which is lower than previous issuances, indicating a favorable trend in debt costs [4][5]. Summary by Sections Fleet Operations - In 3Q25, BOCA executed 34 transactions, including the delivery of 11 aircraft and the sale of 10, maintaining a healthy average fleet age of 5 years [3]. - The fleet utilization rate remains stable at 100%, with an average remaining lease term of 7.8 years [3]. Financial Performance - The global air travel demand continues to rise, with a 4.6% year-on-year increase in revenue passenger kilometers (RPK) in August [4]. - The company expects its core ROE to improve to 11% in 2025, up from 10.5% in 2024, supported by favorable debt conditions and operational performance [4][5]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The profit forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 have been adjusted to USD 720 million, USD 840 million, and USD 910 million respectively, reflecting increases of 1.4%, 4.8%, and 10.1% [5]. - The company's stock is currently trading at 0.93x 2025E price-to-book (PB) ratio, with a dividend yield of 4.1% [5].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the real estate development and real estate services sectors [6]. Core Insights - The Hong Kong private residential market experienced a seasonal adjustment in August, with transaction volumes declining month-on-month, but showing significant year-on-year growth, indicating an improving market sentiment [1][2]. - Property prices have shown signs of stabilization, with a continuous increase for five months, reflecting a gradual recovery in the market [3]. - The report anticipates that the market will continue to improve due to the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts, which are expected to lower local interest rates in Hong Kong, alleviating mortgage pressures and stimulating demand for property transactions [1][2]. Summary by Sections Market Performance - In August, the number of new residential transactions was 1,775, down 5% month-on-month, while the total transactions from January to August reached 12,924, up 13.4% year-on-year, marking the highest level since 2020 [2]. - The secondary market saw 3,131 transactions, a 10% decrease month-on-month, but maintained above 3,000 transactions for five consecutive months, with a year-to-date increase of 14.9% [2]. Price Trends - The Hong Kong private residential price index reached 288.5 in August, with a month-on-month increase of 0.14%, marking a cumulative increase of 4.62% over five months [3]. - Rental prices have also risen, with the rental index increasing by 1.85% year-on-year and 1.12% month-on-month, reaching the highest level since August 2019 [3]. Interest Rates and Mortgage Market - The one-month HIBOR average rose to 3.29% in September, up 0.25 percentage points month-on-month, continuing a three-month upward trend [4]. - The rental yield for Class A private residential properties in Hong Kong remained at 3.7%, exceeding the mortgage cap rate of 3.5%, indicating a persistent "renting over buying" phenomenon [4]. Recommended Companies - The report recommends focusing on companies with substantial land reserves and quality commercial assets, specifically: - Link REIT (823 HK) with a target price of 50.59 HKD and a "Buy" rating [9][22]. - Sun Hung Kai Properties (16 HK) with a target price of 111.51 HKD and a "Buy" rating [9][23]. - MTR Corporation (66 HK) with a target price of 29.90 HKD and an "Overweight" rating [9][25].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the electric power equipment and new energy sector [5]. Core Viewpoints - The recent export controls on the lithium battery supply chain are expected to enhance the competitiveness of domestic lithium battery companies, with a focus on battery and material leaders [1][4]. - The export restrictions are aimed at products heavily reliant on the domestic supply chain and those with high technical requirements, which may lead to increased export prices and protect domestic companies' technological and market advantages [2][3]. - The report highlights the anticipated surge in storage demand, which is expected to accelerate the supply-demand inflection point, recommending leading companies in the battery and material segments [4]. Summary by Sections Export Controls - The export controls target products with high domestic supply chain dependency, such as artificial graphite and ternary precursors, which account for 98.5% and 89.8% of global production, respectively [2]. - High-tech products, including batteries with energy densities greater than 300Wh/kg and lithium iron phosphate with a density greater than 2.5g/cm3, are also included in the export restrictions [2]. Domestic Competitiveness - The report suggests that the export controls align with previous national policies aimed at enhancing the lithium battery supply chain, potentially increasing export prices and curbing disorderly competition [3]. - The restrictions on high-tech products and related equipment may limit overseas competitors, particularly Japanese and Korean battery manufacturers, thereby safeguarding the technological and market share advantages of domestic firms [3]. Recommendations - The report expresses optimism about domestic lithium battery companies with global competitiveness, particularly those with overseas production capacities, and recommends leading companies in the battery and material sectors [4]. - Specific recommendations include the company "新宙邦" (Xinjubang), with a target price of 60.80 CNY and a "Buy" rating [7][10].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the following companies: GCL-Poly Energy (3800 HK), Hewei Electric (603063 CH), Sany Renewable Energy (688349 CH), Daqo New Energy (688303 CH), and Tongwei Co., Ltd. (600438 CH) [6][8] Core Insights - The report highlights the recent announcement by the National Development and Reform Commission and the State Administration for Market Regulation regarding measures to combat price disorder in the market, which is expected to support the wind and solar industries [1][2] - Wind power is identified as a leading sector in the new energy industry, benefiting from improved bidding rules and a continuous recovery in turbine prices, with an average bidding price of 1616 RMB/kW in June 2025, up 5.8% from December 2024 [2] - Silicon materials are emphasized as a key focus for the solar industry, with prices for N-type silicon materials rising by 53.3% to 53,200 RMB/ton as of September 2025, driven by industry self-discipline and top-level design [2] Summary by Sections Policy Measures - The report outlines specific measures to regulate pricing behavior, including ensuring that operators do not bid below cost and establishing industry cost benchmarks [1] - The implementation of legal and regulatory penalties for non-compliance is expected to drive a steady improvement in market order [1] Investment Opportunities - The report expresses optimism about investment opportunities in wind and solar sectors, driven by a combination of domestic supply-side reforms and international demand growth due to the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts [3] - Recommended stocks include Sany Renewable Energy, Hewei Electric, GCL-Poly Energy, Daqo New Energy, and Tongwei Co., Ltd. [3][6] Company Performance - GCL-Poly Energy is expected to benefit from strategic financing and industry consolidation, with a target price of 2.22 HKD [9] - Hewei Electric reported a 36.39% year-on-year revenue increase in H1 2025, with a target price of 48.05 RMB [9] - Sany Renewable Energy's revenue grew by 62.75% in H1 2025, with a target price of 38.01 RMB [9] - Daqo New Energy's financial resilience is highlighted despite losses, with a target price of 33.84 RMB [9] - Tongwei Co., Ltd. is positioned to benefit from ongoing industry reforms, with a target price of 25.39 RMB [10]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the gaming industry, specifically recommending "Buy" for MGM China and Galaxy Entertainment with target prices of HKD 19.30 and HKD 49.50 respectively [2][8]. Core Insights - The gaming sector in Macau shows a resilient recovery trend despite disruptions from typhoons, with average daily Gross Gaming Revenue (GGR) slightly increasing year-on-year during the National Day holiday [10]. - The report anticipates continued upward momentum in the second half of 2025, driven by favorable policies, wealth effects, and non-gaming activities [10]. - The report highlights the importance of upcoming non-gaming events, such as the NBA China Games and the National Games, which are expected to boost visitor numbers and spending [7][10]. Summary by Sections Industry Overview - Macau's GGR for the first five days of the National Day holiday averaged MOP 1.1 billion, slightly above the previous year's MOP 1.08 billion [6]. - The total GGR for September decreased by 17.5% month-on-month to MOP 18.3 billion, recovering to 83% of 2019 levels [6][22]. Visitor Trends - Total visitors to Macau during the National Day holiday reached 1.144 million, with an average of 143,044 daily visitors, slightly below the government's expectation of 150,000 [11]. - Mainland visitors accounted for 83.3% of the total, with daily averages recovering to 104% of 2019 levels [11]. Company Recommendations - Galaxy Entertainment is recommended with a target price of HKD 49.50, reflecting an EV/EBITDA of 10.6x for 2026, benefiting from concert-driven traffic and room capacity advantages [8]. - MGM China is also rated "Buy" with a target price of HKD 19.30, supported by its quality service and effective coordination between gaming and non-gaming operations [8]. Upcoming Events - Key non-gaming events include the NBA China Games on October 10 and 12, and the National Games from November 9 to 21, which are expected to attract significant visitor traffic [7][10].