Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the public utility sector [5] Core Views - The report emphasizes the importance of green electricity consumption and solid waste management in the context of the "dual carbon" goals set for 2026, suggesting a focus on the green electricity sector for potential valuation recovery [4][8] - The report highlights the ongoing decline in electricity prices and the need for adjustments in the installation rhythm of new green electricity projects based on regional supply and demand [4][3] - The report suggests that the electricity market reform is progressing, with a focus on expanding the electricity spot market and auxiliary services, while also noting the transformation of thermal power's functional positioning [4] Summary by Sections Market Review - The SW public utility sector experienced a slight decline of 0.09% this week, ranking 11th among 31 SW sectors, while the Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.34% [23] - Among sub-sectors, thermal power increased by 0.22%, while hydropower decreased by 0.26% [23] - The top five performing stocks in the public utility sector this week were: Jiaze New Energy (+9.71%), Yinxing Energy (+8.58%), Zhongtai Co. (+7.79%), Xichang Power (+5.38%), and Chenzhou International (+4.14%) [29] Price Updates - The report notes a significant drop in thermal coal prices, with Qinhuangdao port's 5500 kcal thermal coal price decreasing by 39 CNY/ton this week [2][9] - The average settlement price for electricity in Guangdong was reported at 292.88 CNY/MWh, down from 354.64 CNY/MWh the previous week [10] Key Events - Various provinces have begun releasing results for the "136" document's incremental project bidding, with significant volumes of green electricity being auctioned at varying prices [3][7] - The Central Economic Work Conference reiterated the commitment to the "dual carbon" goals, emphasizing the need for a comprehensive green transition and the expansion of green electricity applications [8]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the non-ferrous metals sector [6]. Core Views - The macroeconomic sentiment has improved, leading to a positive outlook for copper prices. As of December 12, 2025, SHFE copper closed at 94,080 RMB/ton, up 1.40% from December 5, while LME copper closed at 11,553 USD/ton, down 0.96% [1]. - The supply-demand dynamics remain tight, with expectations for continued upward movement in copper prices due to tightening supply and improving demand [4]. Supply and Demand Summary - **Supply**: Domestic copper concentrate production in October 2025 was 130,000 tons, down 8.1% month-on-month and down 12.1% year-on-year. The TC spot price as of December 12, 2025, was -43.33 USD/ton, reflecting a decrease of 0.3 USD/ton from December 5, 2025 [3][60]. - **Demand**: The cable industry, which accounts for approximately 31% of domestic copper demand, saw a slight decrease in operating rates to 66.31%, down 0.81 percentage points week-on-week. Air conditioning production is expected to decline year-on-year by 22% in December 2025, but improve by 14% in January 2026 [3][91]. Inventory Summary - Domestic copper social inventory increased by 2.6% week-on-week, while LME copper inventory rose by 0.8%. As of December 12, 2025, COMEX copper inventory reached a historical high of 451,000 tons, up 3.2% from December 5, 2025 [2][26]. Futures Market Summary - The active SHFE copper contract saw a significant decrease in open interest, down 18% to 189,000 lots as of December 12, 2025, which is at the 52nd percentile since 1995 [4][34]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends increasing positions in Zijin Mining, Western Mining, Luoyang Molybdenum, and Jincheng Mining, while also monitoring Tongling Nonferrous Metals [4].

Group 1 - The A-share market is expected to experience a cross-year rally supported by new policy deployments, with a focus on maintaining economic growth within a reasonable range and enhancing market confidence through policy incentives [4][22][26] - Major A-share indices mostly rose this week, with the ChiNext Index, Sci-Tech 50, and CSI 500 leading in gains, while the Shanghai Composite Index, SSE 50, and CSI 300 saw declines [1][13][15] - The current valuation levels of indices such as Sci-Tech 50 and Wind All A are relatively high, with their PE (TTM) percentile ranks exceeding 80% as of December 12, 2025 [1][14][27] Group 2 - The central economic work conference emphasized a stable yet progressive approach, continuing with a more proactive fiscal policy and moderately loose monetary policy, which is expected to support domestic economic growth [2][42][26] - Economic data shows that the social financing scale increased by 8.5% year-on-year as of the end of November, indicating reasonable growth in financial totals, while the CPI rose by 0.7% year-on-year [43][44] - The TMT (Technology, Media, and Telecommunications) and advanced manufacturing sectors are highlighted as key areas for investment, with TMT likely to lead in a liquidity-driven market, while advanced manufacturing may take precedence in a fundamentals-driven market [32][38][4] Group 3 - The report indicates a significant divergence in industry performance, with sectors such as telecommunications, defense, and electronics showing strong gains, while coal, oil and petrochemicals, and real estate faced declines [15][54] - The market is currently experiencing notable volatility due to a combination of domestic and international events, including the Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions and the release of key economic data [3][18][45] - Historical patterns suggest that the A-share market tends to perform well in the opening years of the 13th and 14th Five-Year Plans, indicating a potential for positive performance in 2026 as well [26][28]

2025 年 12 月 14 日 行业研究 从银行视角看经济工作会议 ——2025 年中央经济工作会议精神解读 银行业 买入（维持） 作者 分析师：王一峰 执业证书编号：S0930519050002 010-57378038 wangyf@ebscn.com 分析师：董文欣 执业证书编号：S0930521090001 010-57378035 dongwx@ebscn.com 分析师：赵晨阳 执业证书编号：S0930524070005 010-57378030 zhaochenyang@ebscn.com 一是数量工具层面，央行或继续通过逆回购、买断式、MLF、国债买卖、降准等 多重渠道"花样放水"。现阶段央行流动性投放渠道丰富，逆回购、买断式、MLF、 国债买卖等工具涵盖多种期限与操作频次，对银行体系流动性"补水"并不局限 于降准一种方式。截至 12 月 12 日，包含逆回购、买断式、MLF、国债买卖等工 具在内的广义公开市场操作存量约 14 万亿。鉴于央行保持其"贷方地位"以维系 结构性流动性短缺框架有效性，综合考虑流动性投放的滚动频度、融资成本、基 础货币吞吐强度等因素，预计 2026 年需要央行通过二 ...

2025 年 12 月 14 日 行业研究 政策蓝图绘就，化工结构性机会浮现 ——基础化工行业周报（20251208-20251214） 要点 政策协同发力稳中求进，内需创新引领经济高质量发展。2025 年中央经济工 作会议于 12 月 10 日至 11 日在北京举行，习近平总书记发表重要讲话，会 议肯定了党中央团结带领全国各族人民迎难而上，推动高质量发展取得新成 效，经济社会发展主要目标顺利完成。会议明确 2025 年八大重点任务：坚 持内需主导，建设强大国内市场；坚持创新驱动，加紧培育壮大新动能；坚 持改革攻坚，增强高质量发展动力活力；坚持对外开放，推动多领域合作共 赢；坚持协调发展，促进城乡融合和区域联动；坚持"双碳"引领，推动绿 色转型等等。2025 年经济工作以稳中求进为主线，聚焦内需、创新、改革、 开放、民生、风险六大领域，政策协同发力。 深化国有企业改革，持续看好"三桶油"。2025 年中央经济工作会议强调要 制定和实施进一步深化国资国企改革方案，完善民营经济促进法配套法规政 策。此前政府工作报告也指出，24 年我国坚定不移全面深化改革扩大开放， 增强发展内生动力，深化国有企业改革，持续优化国有 ...

Group 1: Factor Performance Tracking - The large-cap style dominates the market, with significant positive returns from size, beta, and non-linear market capitalization factors, yielding 1.18%, 0.91%, and 0.82% respectively, while BP and liquidity factors posted negative returns of -0.55% and -0.38% [20][21] - In the CSI 300 stock pool, the best-performing factors include total asset growth rate (2.05%), quarterly ROA (1.71%), and turnover rate relative volatility (1.59%), while the worst-performing factors are logarithmic market cap (-1.00%), downside volatility ratio (-1.10%), and large order net inflow (-1.14%) [12][13] - In the CSI 500 stock pool, the top factors are quarterly EPS (1.61%), total asset growth rate (1.39%), and momentum spring factor (1.22%), with the poorest performers being the inverse of price-to-sales ratio (-2.49%), downside volatility ratio (-2.55%), and price-to-book ratio (-3.06%) [14][15] Group 2: Industry Factor Performance - The net asset growth rate factor performed well in the telecommunications, comprehensive, and coal industries, while the net profit growth rate factor excelled in the telecommunications sector [22] - The price-to-earnings (EP) factor showed strong performance in the telecommunications industry, while the BP factor underperformed across most sectors [22] - The logarithmic market cap factor performed well in the comprehensive, telecommunications, agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and electronics sectors, while the residual volatility factor excelled in telecommunications and commercial trade [22] Group 3: Combination Tracking - The PB-ROE-50 combination achieved significant excess returns across various stock pools, with excess returns of 0.30% in the CSI 500 stock pool, 1.60% in the CSI 800 stock pool, and 1.59% in the overall market stock pool [24] - The public fund research stock selection strategy and private equity research tracking strategy both generated positive excess returns, with the public fund strategy yielding 1.79% and the private equity strategy yielding 2.77% relative to the CSI 800 [3] - The block trading combination experienced a relative excess return drawdown of -0.95% compared to the CSI All Share Index, while the targeted issuance combination also faced a drawdown of -1.50% [3]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No industry investment rating is provided in the content 2. Core View of the Report - From December 8 to December 12, 2025, the secondary - market prices of China's listed public REITs showed a fluctuating downward trend. The weighted REITs index closed at 180.06, with a weekly return of - 0.23%. Compared with other mainstream asset classes, REITs ranked fourth in terms of return [1][11]. - The price trends of equity - based and concession - based REITs diverged this week, with equity - based REITs rising and concession - based REITs falling. Among different underlying asset types, municipal facilities REITs had the largest increase [1][16]. - The total trading volume of public REITs this week was 2.15 billion yuan, and the new infrastructure - type REITs led in terms of average daily turnover rate during the period. The overall market trading enthusiasm decreased compared with last week [2][24]. - There were no new REIT products listed on the primary market this week, but the project status of 2 REIT products was updated [4] 3. Summary According to the Directory Secondary Market Price Trends - **At the major asset level**: The secondary - market prices of China's listed public REITs showed a fluctuating downward trend. The China Securities REITs (closing) and China Securities REITs total return index closed at 797.54 and 1028.5 respectively, with weekly returns of - 0.45% and - 0.29%. The weighted REITs index closed at 180.06, with a weekly return of - 0.23%. The return ranking from high to low was: gold > A - shares > pure bonds > REITs > convertible bonds > US stocks > crude oil [11]. - **At the underlying asset level**: The price trends of equity - based and concession - based REITs diverged. Equity - based REITs rose with a weighted index of 153.42 and a return of 0.03%, while concession - based REITs fell with a weighted index of 127.01 and a return of - 0.76%. Among different underlying asset types, municipal facilities REITs had the largest increase, followed by water conservancy facilities and new infrastructure - type REITs, with returns of 2.09%, 1.09% and 0.94% respectively [16][17]. - **At the single - REIT level**: Among the 77 REITs, 34 rose, 2 were flat, and 41 fell. The top three in terms of increase were Huatai Nanjing Jianye REIT, CICC Chongqing Liangjiang REIT, and GF Chengdu Gaotou Industrial Park REIT, with increases of 7.33%, 5.07% and 5.06% respectively. The top three in terms of decline were Huaxia Nanjing Traffic Expressway REIT, Zheshang HuHangYong REIT, and CICC Liandong Kechuang REIT, with declines of 5.44%, 4.71% and 2.08% respectively [1][23]. Transaction Volume and Turnover Rate - **At the underlying asset level**: The total trading volume of public REITs this week was 2.15 billion yuan, and the new infrastructure - type REITs led in terms of average daily turnover rate during the period. The average daily turnover rate of all listed REITs during the week was 0.45%. In terms of trading volume, the top three underlying asset types were transportation infrastructure, park infrastructure, and consumer infrastructure, with trading volumes of 555 million, 368 million, and 350 million yuan respectively. In terms of turnover rate, the top three were new infrastructure, ecological and environmental protection, and municipal facilities, with turnover rates of 0.87%, 0.52% and 0.49% respectively [24]. - **At the single - REIT level**: The performance of single - REIT trading volume and turnover rate continued to diverge. In terms of trading volume, the top three were Huaxia China Expressway REIT, CICC Puluosi REIT, and Harvest JD Warehouse Infrastructure REIT, with trading volumes of 19 million, 19 million, and 16 million shares respectively. In terms of transaction amount, the top three were Huaxia China Resources Commercial REIT, Huaxia China Expressway REIT, and Zheshang HuHangYong REIT, with transaction amounts of 123 million, 104 million, and 92 million yuan respectively. In terms of turnover rate, the top three were CICC Chongqing Liangjiang REIT, CITIC Construction Shenyang International Software Park REIT, and China Merchants Science and Technology REIT, with turnover rates of 7.76%, 7.36% and 4.88% respectively [27]. Main Force Net Inflow and Block Trade Situation - **Main force net inflow situation**: The total net inflow of the main force this week was 3.06 million yuan, and the market trading enthusiasm decreased compared with last week. Among different underlying asset REITs, the top three in terms of net inflow during the week were new infrastructure, transportation infrastructure, and warehousing and logistics, with net inflows of 6.09 million, 3.95 million, and 3.09 million yuan respectively. Among single - REITs, the top three in terms of net inflow were Southern Runze Technology Data Center REIT, China Merchants Fund Shekou Rental Housing REIT, and Huaxia China Expressway REIT, with net inflows of 8.32 million, 5.7 million, and 3.91 million yuan respectively [30]. - **Block trade situation**: The total block - trade amount this week reached 23.5 million yuan, a decrease compared with last week. There were block - trade transactions on 3 trading days, with a total block - trade amount of 23.5 million yuan. The block - trade transaction amount on Monday (December 8, 2025) was the highest during the period, at 9.99 million yuan. Among single - REITs, the top three in terms of block - trade transaction amount were GF Chengdu Gaotou Industrial Park REIT, Huaxia China Resources Commercial REIT, and Southern SF Logistics REIT, with transaction amounts of 9.99 million, 7.15 million, and 6.36 million yuan respectively, and corresponding average discount - premium rates of - 1.04%, - 0.71% and - 0.33% respectively [32]. Primary Market Listed Projects - As of December 12, 2025, the number of China's public REIT products reached 77, with a total issuance scale of 199.301 billion yuan. Among them, the transportation infrastructure - type REITs had the largest issuance scale, at 68.771 billion yuan, followed by park infrastructure - type REITs, with an issuance scale of 32.933 billion yuan [36]. - No new REIT products were listed this week [38]. Projects to be Listed - According to the project dynamic disclosures of the Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Exchanges, there were 21 REITs in the to - be - listed state, including 14 initial - offering REITs and 7 to - be - expanded REITs. This week, the project status of Boshi Shandong TieTou Road and Bridge Closed - end Infrastructure Securities Investment Fund (initial offering) was updated to "declared", and the project status of Huaxia Zhonghe Clean Energy Closed - end Infrastructure Securities Investment Fund (initial offering) was updated to "approved" [41].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the report 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - From December 8 to December 12, 2025, the issuance volume of credit bonds increased month - on - month, and the credit spreads of various industries showed mixed changes. The primary market issuance was active, and the secondary market trading volume increased significantly [1][24][3] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Primary Market 3.1.1 Issuance Statistics - During the week, 369 credit bonds were issued, with a total issuance scale of 459.512 billion yuan, a month - on - month increase of 35.34%. Among them, 174 industrial bonds were issued, amounting to 186.503 billion yuan (a 62.28% month - on - month increase, accounting for 40.59%); 149 urban investment bonds were issued, totaling 88.809 billion yuan (a 7.82% month - on - month decrease, accounting for 19.33%); and 46 financial bonds were issued, reaching 184.2 billion yuan (a 43.60% month - on - month increase, accounting for 40.09%) [11] - The average issuance term of credit bonds was 2.80 years. The average issuance terms of industrial bonds, urban investment bonds, and financial bonds were 2.36 years, 3.34 years, and 2.48 years respectively [12] - The average issuance coupon rate of credit bonds was 2.24%. The average issuance coupon rates of industrial bonds, urban investment bonds, and financial bonds were 2.19%, 2.39%, and 1.96% respectively [17] 3.1.2 Cancellation of Issuance Statistics - Four credit bonds were cancelled for issuance during the week [22] 3.2 Secondary Market 3.2.1 Credit Spread Tracking - In the Shenwan primary industries, for AAA - rated industries, the largest upward movement in credit spread was in agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery (up 3.1BP), and the largest downward movement was in medicine and biology (down 4.2BP). For AA + - rated industries, the largest upward movement was in electrical equipment (up 2.7BP), and the largest downward movement was in building materials (down 12.7BP). For AA - rated industries, the largest upward movement was in machinery (up 4.9BP), and the largest downward movement was in public utilities (down 2.8BP) [3] - For urban investment bonds by region, among AAA - rated bonds, the largest upward movement in credit spread was in Yunnan (up 4.7BP), and the largest downward movement was in Guangdong (down 3.7BP). Among AA + - rated bonds, the largest upward movement was in Beijing (up 13BP), and the largest downward movement was in Shaanxi (down 4.8BP). Among AA - rated bonds, the largest upward movement was in Yunnan (up 4.9BP), and the largest downward movement was in Shaanxi (down 9.8BP) [26] 3.2.2 Trading Volume Statistics - The total trading volume of credit bonds was 1625.428 billion yuan, a month - on - month increase of 36.58%. The top three in terms of trading volume were commercial bank bonds, corporate bonds, and medium - term notes. Specifically, commercial bank bonds had a trading volume of 628.038 billion yuan (a 60.23% month - on - month increase, accounting for 38.64%); corporate bonds had a trading volume of 402.758 billion yuan (a 10.55% month - on - month increase, accounting for 24.78%); and medium - term notes had a trading volume of 294.033 billion yuan (a 23.12% month - on - month increase, accounting for 18.09%) [4] 3.2.3 Actively Traded Bonds This Week - The report selected the top 20 urban investment bonds, industrial bonds, and financial bonds in terms of trading volume this week for investors' reference, including details such as security code, security abbreviation, trading volume, average trading yield, ChinaBond valuation yield, ChinaBond implied rating, remaining term, and issuer [30][32][33]

2025 年 12 月 13 日 行业研究 信贷投放较早呈现年末收官特征 ——2025 年 11 月份金融数据点评 银行业 买入（维持） 作者 分析师：王一峰 执业证书编号：S0930519050002 010-57378038 wangyf@ebscn.com 分析师：赵晨阳 执业证书编号：S0930524070005 010-57378030 zhaochenyang@ebscn.com 行业与沪深 300 指数对比图 资料来源：Wind 相关研报 贷款增长再现"小月"，社融与货币降速——2025 年 10 月份金融数据点评 贷款熨平波动，货币持续活化——2025 年 9 月份 金融数据点评 社融遇拐点，货币见活化——2025 年 8 月份金融 数据点评 信贷扩张季节性回落，存款资金入市节奏提速 —— 2025 年 7 月份金融数据点评 信用活动季节性走强——2025 年 6 月份金融数据 点评 信用扩张走向量价平衡——2025 年 5 月份金融数 据点评 如何看待 4 月社融与信贷"大劈叉"？——2025 年 4 月份金融数据点评 贷款投放超预期，关注需求修复持续性——2025 年 3 月份金融数据点评 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - This week, both the convertible bond market and the equity market rose. Currently, some individual bonds fluctuate greatly, and their future trends may further diverge. The overall trading difficulty in the market remains high. It is recommended to comprehensively judge based on convertible bond terms and the situation of the underlying stocks, select bonds carefully, and focus on new bond opportunities in industries catalyzed by policies and industries with high prosperity [4] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Market行情 - From December 8 to December 12, 2025 (a total of 5 trading days), the CSI Convertible Bond Index rose by +0.20% (last week's increase was +0.08%), and the CSI All - Share Index changed by +0.19% (last week's increase was +0.77%). Since 2025, the CSI Convertible Bond Index has risen by +16.50%, and the CSI All - Share Index has risen by +21.83% [1] - By bond rating, high - rated bonds (AAA), medium - high - rated bonds (AA+), medium - rated bonds (AA), medium - low - rated bonds (AA -), and low - rated bonds (AA - and below) rose by - 0.13%, - 0.61%, +0.17%, +0.25%, and - 0.42% respectively this week. Medium - rated and medium - low - rated bonds rose [1] - By convertible bond scale, large - scale convertible bonds (bond balance > 2 billion yuan), medium - large - scale convertible bonds (balance between 1.5 and 2 billion yuan), medium - scale convertible bonds (balance between 1 and 1.5 billion yuan), small - medium - scale convertible bonds (balance between 0.5 and 1 billion yuan), and small - scale convertible bonds (balance < 0.5 billion yuan) rose by - 0.51%, - 0.45%, +1.04%, - 0.29%, and - 0.24% respectively this week. Except for medium - scale convertible bonds, all others declined [2] - By conversion parity, ultra - high - parity bonds (conversion value > 130 yuan), high - parity bonds (conversion value between 120 and 130 yuan), medium - high - parity bonds (conversion value between 110 and 120 yuan), medium - parity bonds (conversion value between 100 and 110 yuan), medium - low - parity bonds (conversion value between 90 and 100 yuan), low - parity bonds (conversion value between 80 and 90 yuan), and ultra - low - parity bonds (conversion value < 80 yuan) rose by +5.15%, - 1.39%, - 1.03%, +0.57%, - 2.16%, +2.22%, and - 0.60% respectively this week, showing divergent trends [2] Convertible Bond Price, Parity, and Conversion Premium Rate - As of December 12, 2025, there were 408 outstanding convertible bonds (407 at the end of last week), with a balance of 556.12 billion yuan (556.996 billion yuan at the end of last week) [3] - The average convertible bond price was 130.13 yuan (129.94 yuan at the end of last week), with a percentile of 91.57% (from the beginning of 2023 to December 12, 2025) [3] - The average convertible bond parity was 99.99 yuan (100.82 yuan at the end of last week), with a percentile of 86.66% [3] - The average convertible bond conversion premium rate was 31.41% (30.76% at the end of last week), with a percentile of 37.36% [3] Convertible Bond Performance and Allocation Direction - This week, both the convertible bond market and the equity market rose. Some individual bonds fluctuate greatly, and future trends may further diverge. The overall trading difficulty in the market remains high. It is recommended to comprehensively judge based on convertible bond terms and the situation of the underlying stocks, select bonds carefully, and focus on new bond opportunities in industries catalyzed by policies and industries with high prosperity [4] Convertible Bond Increase Situation - The top 15 convertible bonds in terms of increase this week include "Zai22 Convertible Bond" with an increase of 50.01%, "Huamao Convertible Bond" with an increase of 22.56%, "Weidao Convertible Bond" with an increase of 21.09%, etc. [21]