Investment Rating - The report maintains an OUTPERFORM rating for Chagee Holdings, with a current price of US$15.90 and a target price of US$19.10, indicating a potential upside of approximately 20% [2][6]. Core Insights - The company is experiencing short-term pressure in the domestic market, with a revenue decline of 9% year-on-year in Q3, while overseas growth is gaining momentum, particularly with a 75% increase in overseas GMV [3][4][15]. - The company plans to implement a high-quality development strategy in 2026, focusing on expanding operating hours and enhancing profitability despite anticipated pressures from the direct sales business [5][6][15]. Financial Performance Summary - Revenue for 2024 is projected at RMB 12.4 billion, with a growth rate of 167% year-on-year, followed by RMB 13.3 billion in 2025, representing a 7% increase [11][15]. - The adjusted net profit for 2025 is estimated at RMB 2.22 billion, down 12% from the previous year, with a net profit margin of 16.7% [11][15]. - The gross profit margin is expected to improve to 53.7% in 2025, up from 49.6% in 2024, driven by an increase in the proportion of revenue from company-owned stores [5][11]. Market and Operational Insights - The company opened 246 new stores in Q3, with a total of 7,076 stores, reflecting a 24% year-on-year increase in store count [4][5]. - The average monthly GMV per store in Greater China decreased by 28% year-on-year to RMB 379,000, while overseas stores reported an average monthly GMV of RMB 426,000, down 6% year-on-year [4][13]. - The company has entered new markets, including Vietnam and the Philippines, expanding its international footprint [4][5].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the company with a target price of HKD 5.69, reflecting a 5.0% increase from the previous target price [2][7]. Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of RMB 16.70 billion for FY9/25, representing a year-on-year growth of 17.0%. The gross profit margin improved to 25.1%, and the adjusted net profit increased by 38.7% to RMB 1.36 billion [3][14]. - The self-operated pharmaceutical business generated revenue of RMB 14.38 billion, growing by 18.6% year-on-year, driven by increases in pharmaceutical and medical device categories. The number of self-operated SKUs expanded significantly [18][14]. - The pharmaceutical e-commerce platform business reported revenue of RMB 1.84 billion, up 7.5% year-on-year, with improvements in operational capabilities and a significant increase in the number of merchants [18][14]. - The healthcare and digital services business generated revenue of RMB 480 million, reflecting an 8.2% year-on-year growth, with a notable increase in contracted healthcare professionals [18][14]. - The company has optimized its supply chain efficiency, with a reduction in fulfillment costs and an overall operating expense ratio of 18.3%, down 0.9 percentage points [15][14]. Financial Forecasts - Revenue forecasts for FY26 and FY27 are set at RMB 34.90 billion and RMB 39.38 billion, respectively, indicating year-on-year growth of 14.1% and 12.8% [16][7]. - Adjusted net profit forecasts for FY26 and FY27 are RMB 2.48 billion and RMB 2.83 billion, representing growth rates of 27.1% and 14.3% [16][7]. - The company's equity value is projected to be HKD 92.08 billion, corresponding to a share price of HKD 5.69 per share based on a DCF valuation [16][7].

Investment Rating - The report gives a rating of "Outperform the Market" for Emei Mountain [4][14]. Core Views - Emei Mountain, with its unique natural scenery and cultural heritage, is expected to significantly enhance its visitor capacity and accessibility due to the renovation of the Jinding Cableway and the construction of Leshan Airport, leading to increased tourist traffic and improved profitability [10][11]. - The company is projected to achieve a net profit attributable to the parent company of 251 million yuan, 308 million yuan, and 346 million yuan for the years 2025 to 2027, respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.48 yuan, 0.59 yuan, and 0.66 yuan [4][14]. Financial Summary - Total revenue is forecasted to be 1,045 million yuan in 2023, decreasing to 990 million yuan in 2025, and then increasing to 1,105 million yuan by 2027, reflecting a growth rate of 142.3% in 2023 followed by a decline in subsequent years [3][19]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to rise from 228 million yuan in 2023 to 346 million yuan in 2027, indicating a growth of 256.2% in 2023 [3][19]. - The company’s PE ratio is projected to decrease from 29.79 in 2023 to 19.63 in 2027, suggesting an improving valuation over time [3][19]. Business Development - The company has established a comprehensive business ecosystem comprising "tickets + cableway + hotels + diversified derivatives," leveraging its unique resources and 5A scenic area advantages to drive diversified development [4][15]. - The renovation of the Jinding Cableway is expected to increase its capacity from approximately 1,200 passengers per hour to 3,200 passengers per hour, enhancing visitor experience and operational efficiency [4][30]. - Leshan Airport is anticipated to facilitate tourist growth, with a designed annual throughput of 2.6 million passengers, significantly improving access to Emei Mountain [4][41]. Market Potential - Emei Mountain's visitor numbers in 2024 are projected to be 4.67 million, which is lower than other major Buddhist mountains, indicating substantial room for growth in both visitor numbers and revenue [4][51]. - The differentiated pricing strategy has shown effectiveness, with ticket prices varying by season, which has contributed to a stable increase in visitor numbers [4][50].

Investment Rating - The report rates the investment in 华夏中海商业 REIT as positive, highlighting its strong operational resilience and stable growth potential [1]. Core Insights - 华夏中海商业 REIT is the first consumer REIT to adopt an acquisition and revitalization model, with underlying assets demonstrating robust operational performance [1]. - The project, 佛山映月湖环宇城, is strategically located in Guangdong Province, benefiting from significant population density and a lack of competing large commercial projects in the vicinity [1][2]. - The rental rate of the project has improved significantly, reaching approximately 97.92% as of March 31, 2025, with a compound annual growth rate of about 11% in sales from 2021 to 2024 [1][2]. Summary by Sections Fund Overview - 华夏中海商业 REIT was officially registered on September 22, 2025, with a total fund size of 300 million shares and an expected total fundraising of 1.5843 billion yuan [6][24]. - The fund is managed by 华夏基金管理有限公司, one of the largest fund management companies in China, with over 3 trillion yuan in assets under management [7][8]. Industry Situation - The consumer infrastructure sector, particularly shopping centers, is expected to benefit from government policies aimed at boosting consumption and investment during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period [26][27]. - The retail sector in China has shown resilience, with a total retail sales volume of 47.15 trillion yuan in 2023, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 7.22% [29]. Project Details - 佛山映月湖环宇城 has a total construction area of 153,478.85 square meters and is positioned as a key self-owned property under the management of 中海环宇商业发展 [36]. - The project has undergone significant operational upgrades since its acquisition in March 2020, leading to a substantial increase in occupancy rates and sales performance [36][38]. Financial Projections and Future Potential - The project plans to allocate 85% of net recovery funds towards investments in other infrastructure projects, indicating strong future growth potential [1][2]. - The management team has demonstrated a strong track record, with a compound annual growth rate of 22.3% in managed scale and 27.1% in operational revenue since 2020 [1][2].

中标具身智能项目， "All in AI"迈出关键一步 能科科技(603859) 股票研究 /[Table_Date] 2025.11.30 2025-12-02 投资要点： | [Table_Finance] 财务摘要(百万元) | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入 | 1,405 | 1,510 | 1,749 | 2,069 | 2,485 | | (+/-)% | 13.7% | 7.5% | 15.8% | 18.3% | 20.1% | | 净利润(归母) | 226 | 192 | 238 | 307 | 402 | | (+/-)% | 14.0% | -15.2% | 24.3% | 28.9% | 30.8% | | 每股净收益(元) | 0.92 | 0.78 | 0.97 | 1.26 | 1.64 | | 净资产收益率(%) | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 10.5% | | 市盈率(现价&最新股本摊薄) | 43.72 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the company, with a target price of 177 RMB, representing a potential upside of 146% [5][12]. Core Insights - The company has significantly increased its revenue, driven by data communication, with a reported revenue of 0.10 billion RMB for the first three quarters of 2025, up 35.11% year-on-year. The net profit attributable to shareholders for the same period was 0.12 billion RMB, up 106.61% year-on-year [5][13]. - The trend towards Optical Communication Systems (OCS) is clear, with projections indicating that the global OCS market could reach 2 billion USD by 2030. The company's acquisition of Wuhan Jiepu positions it well for future market opportunities [5][14]. Financial Summary - The company's total revenue is projected to grow from 710 million RMB in 2023 to 3,605 million RMB in 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 45.5% from 2024 to 2025 [4]. - Net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to increase from 60 million RMB in 2023 to 598 million RMB in 2027, with a significant jump of 221.6% from 2025 to 2026 [4]. - Earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to rise from 0.24 RMB in 2023 to 2.40 RMB in 2027, indicating strong growth potential [4][5].

Market Performance - Global markets rebounded last week, with MSCI Global up by 3.3%, MSCI Developed Markets up by 3.4%, and MSCI Emerging Markets up by 2.2% [7][12] - Among developed markets, the Nasdaq index showed the strongest performance with a gain of 4.9%, while the French CAC40 index had the weakest performance with a gain of 1.8% [7][12] - In emerging markets, the ChiNext index performed best with a gain of 4.5%, while the Indian Sensex30 index had the weakest performance with a gain of only 0.6% [7][12] Trading Sentiment - European stock trading volume increased, while trading volume in US and Asian stocks decreased, leading to a decline in stock index volatility [19] - Investor sentiment in Hong Kong improved, with short-selling ratios decreasing to 16.3%, indicating a historical low position [19] - In contrast, the North American investment sentiment reached a historical high, with the NAAIM manager exposure index rising to 89.9% [19] Earnings Expectations - Earnings expectations for technology sectors in Hong Kong and the US were revised upward, with the Hang Seng Index's 2025 EPS forecast increased from 2096 to 2104 [63] - The S&P 500 Index's 2025 EPS forecast remained stable at 272, while the Eurozone STOXX50 Index's forecast remained unchanged at 333 [63][64] - In Japan, the Nikkei 225 Index's 2025 EPS forecast was slightly increased from 2279 to 2280, with the most significant upward revision in the warehousing and port transportation services sector [64] Economic Expectations - Economic sentiment in Europe and the US declined, influenced by weakening manufacturing PMIs and geopolitical risks [7][19] - The Citigroup Economic Surprise Index for the US decreased, while the index for China showed slight improvement due to positive policy signals [7][19] Fund Flows - The market anticipates a 0.83 rate cut by the Federal Reserve by the end of the year, with several officials supporting a December rate cut [48] - Global liquidity conditions improved, with significant inflows into US, China, India, Japan, and South Korea [59] - In Hong Kong, a total of 271 billion HKD flowed into the stock market, with notable inflows from the Stock Connect program [59][62]

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the automotive industry or specific companies within it [26]. Core Insights - The year-end sales data for major automakers indicates a significant divergence in performance, with the typical "year-end tailwind" being weaker than in previous years. The phase-out of the "two-new" subsidy policies is contributing to a trend of slowing or declining sales growth [8][9]. - BYD's November sales were 480,000 units, down 5% year-on-year but up 9% month-on-month, primarily due to weaker domestic demand. Domestic sales were 348,000 units, down 27% year-on-year. Cumulative sales from January to November reached 4.18 million units, an 11% increase year-on-year [9][10]. - Geely's November sales reached 310,000 units, a 24% year-on-year increase, with cumulative sales of 2.79 million units, up 42% year-on-year, putting its annual target of 3 million units within reach. NEV sales for Geely in November were 188,000 units, a 53% year-on-year increase [9][10]. - Leapmotor exceeded 70,000 units in November, marking a 75% year-on-year increase, with cumulative deliveries reaching 536,000 units, surpassing its annual target ahead of schedule [10][11]. - Xiaomi Auto delivered over 40,000 units in November, maintaining this level for three consecutive months, and raised its full-year delivery outlook to over 400,000 units [12]. - Li Auto's November deliveries were 33,000 units, down 32% year-on-year, with cumulative deliveries of 362,000 units, an 18% decrease year-on-year [13]. - NIO's November sales were 36,000 units, a 76% year-on-year increase, but cumulative deliveries totaled 278,000 units, indicating challenges in achieving profitability in Q4 [14][15]. Summary by Sections Sales Performance - BYD's November sales were 480,000 units, with domestic sales at 348,000 units, reflecting a significant year-on-year decline [9][10]. - Geely's sales performance showed strong growth, particularly in NEVs, with a notable increase in overseas exports [9][10]. - Leapmotor and Xiaomi Auto demonstrated robust sales growth, exceeding their targets [10][12]. Market Dynamics - The automotive market is experiencing a reshuffling of sales rankings, with leading new energy vehicle (NEV) players facing slowing growth [10][11]. - The competitive landscape is intensifying, with companies needing to balance volume and profitability as subsidies phase out [15].

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Outperform" rating to the company, with a target price of 40.35 HKD based on a 15x PE for FY2026 [5][13]. Core Insights - The company is experiencing improved same-store sales, particularly in Mainland China, and is accelerating its overseas expansion efforts [15]. - Rising gold prices and an increased share of priced jewelry are driving improvements in gross profit margin (GPM), which reached 34.7% in FY26H1, up 2.0 percentage points year-on-year [3][16]. - The company plans to open 20 new overseas stores in FY26 and aims to enter at least three new countries and add 50 overseas stores over the next three years [15]. Financial Summary - For FY26H1, total revenue was 6.84 billion HKD, a year-on-year increase of 25.6%, with gross profit of 2.37 billion HKD, up 33.2% [14]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders for FY26H1 was 619 million HKD, reflecting a 42.5% year-on-year increase, with a net profit margin of 8.8% [14]. - The company forecasts total revenue for FY2026 to be 15.56 billion HKD, with a projected net profit of 1.58 billion HKD [4][5].

[Table_Title] 研究报告 Research Report 1 Dec 2025 寇媛媛 Yuanyuan Kou 陈芳园 Ashley Chen yy.kou@htisec.com ashley.fy.chen@htisec.com [Table_yemei1] 热点速评 Flash Analysis [Table_summary] (Please see APPENDIX 1 for English summary) 事件：2025 年 11 月 26 日，周大福珠宝集团发布 2026 财年中期业绩报告并召开业绩会。 周大福 Chow Tai Fook (1929 HK) 1HFY26 同店与 ASP 改善，管理层维持 FY26 收入指引 Same-Store Sales and ASP Improve in 1HFY26, Management Maintains FY26 Revenue Guidance 1HFY26收入小幅承压，公司通过费用优化实现营运利润率与股东回报双稳健。周大福自FY2025起变更了会计准则， 在现行会计结构下，周大福的黄金借贷公允价值变动已从"销售成本"重分类至"其 ...