Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" [1] Core Views - The company reported a significant growth in Q1 2025, with revenue and net profit attributable to shareholders reaching 441 million and 112 million respectively, representing year-on-year increases of 15.40% and 45.94% [2][3] - The company announced a stock incentive plan for 2025, aiming to grant shares to 1,153 employees, which constitutes 4.83% of the total share capital, indicating confidence in long-term growth [2][6] Summary by Sections Q1 Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 441 million and a net profit of 112 million, with a non-recurring net profit of 109 million, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 15.40% and 45.94% respectively [2][3] - The company managed to optimize costs, with sales expense ratio and management expense ratio decreasing to 35.20% and 8.19%, down by 1.27 percentage points and 2.99 percentage points year-on-year [3] Membership Growth - As of the end of Q1 2025, the number of paid members on the China Manufacturing Network platform reached 28,118, an increase of 703 from the end of 2024, indicating steady growth [4] - The cumulative number of AI Maike members exceeded 11,000, with an increase of approximately 2,000 members compared to the end of 2024 [4] Market Exposure and Strategy - The company has a relatively controllable exposure to the US market, with less than 10% of buyer traffic coming from the US, which helps mitigate risks from market fluctuations [5] - In Q1 2025, the platform's overall traffic saw significant growth, particularly in emerging markets such as the Middle East, South America, Europe, and Southeast Asia, all exceeding 50% year-on-year growth [5] Stock Incentive Plan - The stock incentive plan for 2025 aims to cover about 46% of the company's total employees, reflecting a broad coverage to allow more employees to benefit from the company's future growth [6] - The exercise conditions for the stock options are set with a net profit growth target of no less than 20%, 40%, and 60% for the years 2025 to 2027, indicating strong confidence in future performance [6] Financial Forecast - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 1,954 million, 2,271 million, and 2,558 million for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with net profits projected at 556 million, 666 million, and 779 million [7][9] - The estimated EPS for the same years is projected to be 1.75, 2.10, and 2.45, corresponding to PE ratios of 25, 21, and 18 [7][9]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [1] Core Views - The company has returned to positive growth in Q1 2025 after facing challenges in FY 2024, with a focus on high dividend value [8] - The company plans to distribute a total dividend of 2.40 CNY per share for FY 2024, resulting in a dividend payout ratio of 104% [2] - The company is entering a stable development phase, emphasizing shareholder returns through high dividend payouts [8] Financial Performance Summary - In FY 2024, the company achieved revenue of 14.645 billion CNY, a year-on-year decrease of 1.15%, and a net profit of 1.115 billion CNY, down 16.61% [2] - In Q1 2025, the company reported revenue of 4.355 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 1.46%, and a net profit of 473 million CNY, up 4.59% [2] - The company’s gross margin for FY 2024 was 48.57%, which improved to 48.42% in Q1 2025 [5] - The company’s sales volume in FY 2024 was 2.9749 million tons, a decrease of 0.75%, but increased to 883,500 tons in Q1 2025, reflecting a growth of 1.93% [3] Product and Regional Performance - In FY 2024, the company’s revenue from high-end, mainstream, and economy products was 8.592 billion CNY, 5.243 billion CNY, and 335 million CNY respectively, with the economy segment showing a growth of 15.56% [3] - In Q1 2025, revenue from high-end, mainstream, and economy products was 2.603 billion CNY, 1.550 billion CNY, and 910 million CNY respectively, with all segments returning to growth [3] - Revenue from the Northwest, Central, and Southern regions in FY 2024 was 3.884 billion CNY, 5.969 billion CNY, and 4.316 billion CNY respectively, with all regions showing growth in Q1 2025 [4] Future Projections - Revenue forecasts for 2025 and 2026 have been adjusted to 15.065 billion CNY and 15.449 billion CNY respectively, with an additional forecast for 2027 at 15.785 billion CNY [9] - EPS forecasts for 2025 and 2026 have been revised to 2.58 CNY and 2.72 CNY respectively, with a new forecast for 2027 at 2.79 CNY [9]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" [1] Core Views - The company is experiencing short-term performance pressure but is expected to see a performance turning point in the future [1][5] - In 2024, the company is projected to achieve revenue and net profit attributable to shareholders of 751 million yuan and 155 million yuan, respectively, representing a year-on-year decline of 10.01% and 17.55% [2][3] - The first quarter of 2025 shows a significant decline in revenue and net profit, with figures of 17.27 million yuan and -36.79 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year drop of 77.32% and 864.17% [2][4] Summary by Sections Event Overview - The company reported its performance for 2024 and Q1 2025, indicating a decline in both revenue and net profit due to high base effects and cautious spending from exporters [2][3] Analysis and Judgment - The decline in 2024 performance is attributed to two main factors: the high base from 2023, which saw significant growth due to post-pandemic demand, and a cautious outlook from exporters affecting their exhibition spending [3] - The revenue drop in Q1 2025 is primarily due to the adjustment of the exhibition schedule, with no self-hosted exhibitions held in that quarter compared to two in the same period last year [4] Future Expectations - The expected VIP customer repurchase rate for 2025 is projected to reach 60%, significantly higher than the previous year's rate, indicating strong customer recognition of the company's exhibition effectiveness [5] - The company plans to host six self-organized exhibitions in Q2 2025, up from four in the same period last year, suggesting a potential performance recovery [5] AI and New Growth Points - The company is actively integrating AI into its exhibition services, launching "AI Exhibition 1.0" to enhance efficiency and customer engagement [6] - Participation in strategic financing for AI technology development indicates a commitment to leveraging AI for future growth in the exhibition industry [6] Investment Recommendations - The revenue forecasts for 2025 to 2027 are adjusted to 1.064 billion yuan, 1.391 billion yuan, and 1.575 billion yuan, with net profits of 273 million yuan, 370 million yuan, and 429 million yuan, respectively [7] - The earnings per share (EPS) estimates for the same period are revised to 1.18 yuan, 1.60 yuan, and 1.86 yuan, maintaining an "Accumulate" rating based on the current market price [7]

证券研究报告|金融工程专题报告 5月建议关注 科创人工智能ETF华宝、养老ETF、券商ETF等产品 资料来源：Wind，华西证券研究所 2 ——华宝指数产品配置月报202505 张立宁 SAC NO：S1120520070006 杨国平 SAC NO：S1120520070002 2025年5月6日 请仔细阅读在本报告尾部的重要法律声明 1 华宝基金在指数产品领域布局丰富 华宝基金旗下指数产品布局丰富，从目前已成立产品来看，基本覆盖了A股大中小盘指 数、主要的行业及主题指数、跨境指数、SmartBeta指数，为投资者提供了丰富的选择 品种。 | | JE FRIDES | 创业板 | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 科创芯片 | | | | | | | | | 人工智能 | | | | | | | 标普A股红利 | 科创AI | | | | | | | 中证信创 | 绿色能源 | | | | | | | 国证治理 | 农牧渔 | | | | | | | 中证800地产 | 养老产业 | | | | | | | 深创100 | 有色 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company aims for a revenue growth target of 5-12% for 2025, with net profit growth slightly lower than revenue growth, maintaining a balance between profit growth and operational quality [9] - In 2024, the company achieved an operating revenue of 11.544 billion, a year-on-year increase of 14.32%, and a net profit attributable to the parent company of 3.412 billion, up 8.80% year-on-year, meeting market expectations [2] - For Q1 2025, the company reported an operating revenue of 5.099 billion, a year-on-year increase of 9.17%, and a net profit of 1.644 billion, up 7.27% year-on-year, slightly exceeding market expectations [2] Summary by Sections Revenue Performance - The company’s contract liabilities at the end of 2024 and Q1 2025 were 1.593 billion and 0.538 billion respectively, showing significant year-on-year declines of 33.65% and 44.68%, indicating a trend of reducing pressure on channels [3] - The revenue from premium products (特 A+/特 A 类) accounted for 93.88% of total revenue in 2024, with respective year-on-year growth rates of 15.17% and 16.61% [4] Market Positioning - The company is solidifying its position as a leader in the mid-to-high-end market while expanding into both premium and lower-end segments [4] - In 2024, the company’s revenue growth in domestic and foreign markets was 13.32% and 27.37% respectively, with foreign revenue accounting for 8.02% of total revenue [5] Strategic Development - The company plans to continue its focus on the Yangtze River Delta integration strategy, optimizing its product lines and expanding its dealer network [6] - The company added 130 and 164 new dealers in domestic and foreign markets respectively in 2024, indicating a stable and improving dealer network [6] Profitability Analysis - The company’s gross margin decreased by 3.60 percentage points in 2024 and by 0.60 percentage points in Q1 2025, primarily due to increased competition and rising costs [7] - The net profit margin also saw a slight decline, with net profit margins of 29.6% in 2024 and 29.0% in Q1 2025 [8] Financial Forecast - The revenue forecast for 2025 has been adjusted down from 13.025 billion to 12.606 billion, and net profit from 3.952 billion to 3.653 billion [9] - The report projects an EPS of 2.93 for 2025, with a corresponding valuation of 16x for 2025 [9]

Investment Rating - Industry Rating: Recommended [4] Core Insights - In Q1 2025, gold production decreased by 10.84% quarter-on-quarter to 125,000 ounces (3.89 tons), and adjusted net profit decreased by 42.05% to $59.8 million [1][5] - The average realized gold price in Q1 2025 was $2,802 per ounce, reflecting a quarter-on-quarter increase of 6.46% and a year-on-year increase of 35.43% [2] - Total cash costs increased by 21.61% quarter-on-quarter to $1,193 per ounce, while all-in sustaining costs rose by 35.41% to $1,805 per ounce [2] - Revenue for Q1 2025 was $333 million, a decrease of 11.39% quarter-on-quarter but an increase of 19.96% year-on-year [3] Production and Sales Summary - Q1 2025 gold production was 125,000 ounces (3.89 tons), down 10.84% from the previous quarter and down 7.89% year-on-year [1] - Q1 2025 gold sales were 117,583 ounces (3.66 tons), a decrease of 16.76% quarter-on-quarter and 11.49% year-on-year [1] - The company expects production to increase in Q2 2025 and throughout the remainder of the year [1] Financial Performance - Q1 2025 revenue was $333 million, a decrease of 11.39% from the previous quarter but an increase of 19.96% year-on-year [3] - Q1 2025 net profit was $15.2 million, down 82.65% quarter-on-quarter and down 63.90% year-on-year [5] - Adjusted net profit for Q1 2025 was $59.8 million, a decrease of 42.05% quarter-on-quarter but an increase of 16.80% year-on-year [5] Growth Projects - The Island Gold Phase III expansion project is expected to be completed in the first half of 2026, leading to further production growth at lower costs [8] - The Lynn Lake project is anticipated to begin production in the first half of 2028, with an average annual production of 176,000 ounces over the first ten years [9] - The PDA project in Mexico is expected to start construction in mid-2025, with an estimated initial capital of $165 million and a projected internal rate of return (IRR) of 46% at a gold price of $1,950 per ounce [11][12] 2025 Guidance - The company expects gold production for 2025 to be between 580,000 and 630,000 ounces, with a significant increase anticipated in the second half of the year [16] - Total cash costs for 2025 are projected to be between $875 and $925 per ounce, with all-in sustaining costs expected to be between $1,250 and $1,300 per ounce [16]

Investment Rating - Industry Rating: Recommended [4] Core Insights - In Q1 2025, Hecla Mining's silver production increased by 6.14% quarter-on-quarter to 411.24 million ounces (127.91 tons), while silver sales rose by 1.04% to 351.80 million ounces (109.42 tons) [1][2] - The realized price for silver in Q1 2025 was $33.59 per ounce, reflecting an 11.26% increase quarter-on-quarter and a 35.61% increase year-on-year [2] - Gold production in Q1 2025 decreased by 4.18% quarter-on-quarter to 34,232 ounces (1.06 tons), with sales down 11.64% to 29,655 ounces (0.92 tons) [2] - The adjusted net income attributable to common shareholders for Q1 2025 was $23.22 million, a 0.68% increase quarter-on-quarter and a 165.94% increase year-on-year [5] Production and Sales Summary - Silver production in Q1 2025: 411.24 million ounces (127.91 tons), down 1.90% year-on-year [1] - Gold production in Q1 2025: 34,232 ounces (1.06 tons), down 6.45% year-on-year [2] - Q1 2025 sales revenue reached $261.34 million, a 4.4% increase quarter-on-quarter and a 38.1% increase year-on-year [3] Cost Analysis - Q1 2025 silver cash cost was $1.29 per ounce, a significant decrease of 73.01% year-on-year [1] - Q1 2025 gold cash cost was $2,195 per ounce, up 13.38% quarter-on-quarter and 31.52% year-on-year [2] - The all-in sustaining cost (AISC) for silver in Q1 2025 was $11.91 per ounce, a 3.48% increase quarter-on-quarter but a 9.08% decrease year-on-year [1] 2025 Guidance - Silver production guidance for 2025 is set at 15.5 to 17 million ounces, while gold production is expected to be between 120,000 to 130,000 ounces [6][10] - Cash cost guidance for silver remains at $3.00 to $3.25 per ounce, and AISC is projected at $15.75 to $17.00 per ounce [7][11]

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Recommended" [4] Core Views - The new housing market is showing signs of recovery, with a notable increase in new home transactions in major cities, indicating a potential boost in demand for construction materials [2][20] - The cement market is experiencing a slight price decline, but demand is expected to improve as weather conditions stabilize and construction activities pick up [3][23] - The report emphasizes the importance of domestic consumption and infrastructure investment, particularly in light of the "equal tariff" environment, which is expected to strengthen domestic demand [7][9] Summary by Sections Housing Market - In the 18th week of the year, new home transaction area in 30 major cities reached 165.19 million square meters, up 21% year-on-year and 6.19% month-on-month [2][20] - The total transaction area for new homes in these cities is 29.32 million square meters, showing no year-on-year change [2][20] - Second-hand home transactions in 15 monitored cities increased by 56% year-on-year but saw a significant month-on-month decline [21] Cement Market - The national average cement price is 390.83 yuan per ton, down 0.8% from the previous week, with price increases mainly in Liaoning and Jilin [3][23] - The cement market is expected to stabilize as demand improves and companies engage in peak-shifting production practices [23] Investment Recommendations - Recommended companies include: - **Oriental Yuhong**, **Weixing New Materials**, and **Tubaobao** for their strong operational resilience and high dividends [7] - **China Construction** and **China Communications Construction** as beneficiaries of increased infrastructure investment [7] - **Jinchengxin** for its strong performance in copper resource development [7] - **Heilongjiang Hongda** and **Xuefeng Technology** in the civil explosives sector due to high demand [7] Industry Trends - The report highlights the ongoing trend of domestic substitution in various sectors, particularly in ship coatings and industrial coatings, with companies like **Maijia Xincai** and **Songjing Coatings** positioned to benefit [7] - The "Belt and Road" initiative is expected to gain momentum, benefiting international engineering companies such as **China Construction** and **China Metallurgical** [7]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - In May, credit bond varieties with both coupon cost - effectiveness and liquidity are the preferred choices. For urban investment bonds, low - rated 3 - year - old and high - rated long - term bonds are recommended. For bank capital bonds, a balanced allocation strategy of extending duration for large - bank capital bonds and lowering credit rating for short - duration bonds is optimal [3][4]. - The rectification of wealth management's net - value smoothing methods will affect the investment preference for credit bonds, leading to an increase in the central value of credit spreads for ultra - long - duration and low - rated medium - and long - duration varieties [1][13]. 3. Summary According to the Directory 3.1 5 - Month Credit Bonds: Prioritize Varieties with Both Coupon Cost - Effectiveness and Liquidity - **Urban Investment Bonds**: In April, due to the US tariff policy, the 10 - year Treasury yield dropped, and credit bond demand was weak. The short - duration performance of urban investment bonds was superior, with the 1 - year yield down 12 - 15bp and the credit spread narrowing 5 - 7bp. The trading sentiment of urban investment bonds fluctuated in April. Low - rated varieties remained actively traded, while the proportion of trades over 3 years decreased. In May, low - rated 3 - year and high - rated long - term urban investment bonds have potential for credit spread compression. High - grade long - term bonds are waiting for trading opportunities when interest rates decline [9][15][19]. - **Bank Capital Bonds**: In April, the yields of bank capital bonds declined, and short - duration bonds performed better. In May, if the bond market fluctuates, a balanced allocation strategy of extending duration for large - bank capital bonds and lowering credit rating for short - duration bonds can obtain good coupon income. If "loose monetary" policies are implemented, 4 - 5 - year large - bank capital bonds can increase returns [25][29][30]. 3.2 Urban Investment Bonds: Negative Net Financing, Short - Duration Performance is Superior - In April, the issuance scale of urban investment bonds decreased year - on - year, with negative net financing. The issuance sentiment was good, and the issuance proportion of bonds over 3 years increased. The issuance interest rates of all maturities decreased, with larger declines in the medium - and short - term. The net financing of urban investment bonds varied by province, with more than half of the provinces having negative net financing. The secondary - market trading sentiment first declined and then increased, with short - duration and low - rated bonds being actively traded [35][40][46]. 3.3 Industrial Bonds: State - owned Enterprises Supply Long - Duration Bonds, Yields Decline Across the Board - In April, the issuance and net financing of industrial bonds increased year - on - year. The issuance proportion of 3 - 5 - year and over - 5 - year bonds increased, and the supply of over - 5 - year bonds came from large state - owned enterprises. The issuance interest rates declined across the board, with larger declines in the short - and medium - term. The yields of industrial bonds declined across the board, with short - duration bonds performing better, and the credit spreads of most maturities widened passively [52][54][55]. 3.4 Bank Capital Bonds: Weak Performance of 5 - Year Bonds, Average Trading Sentiment - In April, the yields of bank capital bonds declined, and short - duration bonds performed better, while the 5 - year credit spreads generally widened. Historically, in May, the bank capital bond market has good sentiment, with yields declining and credit spreads narrowing. In May, a balanced allocation strategy of extending duration for large - bank capital bonds and lowering credit rating for short - duration bonds is recommended [25][29][30].

Investment Rating - Industry rating: Recommended [5] Core Insights - The report highlights a significant increase in travel demand during the May Day holiday, with a total passenger flow of 1.467 billion people, representing a year-on-year growth of 8.0% [1] - The trend indicates a shift towards high cost-performance travel options, with domestic travel bookings for train tickets, flights, and hotels increasing by 10%, 25%, and 15% respectively compared to last year [2][3] - There is a notable surge in demand for high-star hotels in county-level cities, with bookings increasing by over 80% during the holiday [2] - Emerging tourist destinations, particularly in lower-tier cities, have seen visitor numbers grow by over 70%, indicating a diversification in travel preferences [2][3] - The report emphasizes the ongoing recovery and growth potential of the tourism industry, driven by government policies and consumer demand for unique travel experiences [9] Summary by Sections Transportation Overview - The total passenger volume during the May Day holiday reached 1.467 billion, with daily averages of 293 million, showing double-digit growth across various transport modes [1] Travel Trends - Domestic travel bookings have increased significantly, with train ticket bookings up by 10%, flight bookings by 25%, and hotel bookings by 15% [2] - High-star hotel demand in county-level cities has surged, reflecting a shift in consumer preferences towards quality accommodations [2][3] Inbound and Outbound Travel - The report predicts an average of 2.15 million inbound and outbound travelers daily during the holiday, marking a 27% increase year-on-year [4] - Inbound tourism orders have seen a dramatic increase of 130%, with specific cities like Shanghai and Shenzhen experiencing substantial growth [7] Key Attractions - Popular scenic spots such as Huangshan and Zhangjiajie have reported significant increases in visitor numbers, with Huangshan receiving 147,000 visitors, a 13.7% increase year-on-year [8] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests that the tourism industry is entering a growth phase, with long-term positive trends expected. It recommends investing in leading companies in the inbound tourism sector, such as Zhongxin Tourism and other related firms [9]