Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the insurance and brokerage sectors, suggesting an "Overweight" rating for both industries, indicating expected outperformance compared to the overall market [2][66]. Core Insights - The brokerage sector is experiencing a fundamental and valuation mismatch, with a recommendation to focus on leading firms benefiting from improved competitive dynamics [2][5]. - The insurance sector is poised for a systematic value reassessment, with significant regulatory changes expected to enhance asset-liability management practices [2][17]. Summary by Sections Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4,568.18 with a slight decline of -0.28% over the week, while the non-bank index rose by 2.90% [5]. - The brokerage, insurance, and diversified financial sectors reported gains of 1.01%, 7.03%, and 1.39% respectively [5]. Key Data in Non-Banking Sector - As of December 19, 2025, the average daily trading volume in the stock market was 18,033.77 billion yuan, reflecting a decrease of 15.23% compared to the previous month [41]. - The margin trading balance reached 24,993.66 billion yuan, an increase of 34.0% from the end of 2024 [15]. Brokerage Sector Insights - The report highlights the merger of China International Capital Corporation (CICC) with Dongxing Securities and Xinda Securities, marking a significant consolidation trend in the brokerage industry [2][29]. - The brokerage index's price-to-book ratio (PB) is currently at 1.38, indicating a low valuation compared to historical levels [2]. Insurance Sector Insights - The new asset-liability management regulations are expected to significantly impact the insurance industry, emphasizing the need for effective risk management and alignment of assets and liabilities [2][17]. - The insurance sector index increased by 7.03%, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index by 7.30 percentage points [2]. Investment Recommendations - For the brokerage sector, the report recommends focusing on top-tier firms such as Guotai Junan, GF Securities, and CITIC Securities, which are expected to benefit from improved competitive conditions [2]. - In the insurance sector, companies like China Life, Ping An, and China Pacific Insurance are highlighted for their potential in the ongoing value reassessment [2].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the food and beverage industry, particularly emphasizing the strategic importance of expanding domestic demand and consumption [3][8]. Core Insights - The report highlights the importance of expanding domestic demand as a strategic initiative for economic stability and security, with government agencies prioritizing this in their upcoming plans [3][8]. - Despite recent price fluctuations in high-end liquor, the report anticipates a recovery in the market, projecting a potential turning point in fundamentals by Q3 2026 [3][8]. - The report recommends several high-quality liquor companies for long-term investment, including Luzhou Laojiao, Shanxi Fenjiu, Guizhou Moutai, and Wuliangye, while also suggesting attention to other brands [3][8]. - For consumer goods, the report identifies opportunities in sectors like seasoning, frozen foods, and dairy, recommending companies such as Anjuke Foods, Yili, and QD Beer [3][8]. Summary by Sections 1. Weekly Insights on Food and Beverage - The food and beverage sector saw a 1.05% increase last week, with liquor experiencing a slight decline of 0.58% [7]. - The report ranks the food and beverage sector 13th among 31 sub-industries in terms of performance [7]. 2. Market Performance of Food and Beverage Sectors - The report provides detailed price updates for major liquor brands, noting Moutai's bottle price at 1545 RMB, a week-on-week increase of 45 RMB, and Wuliangye's price remaining stable at approximately 780 RMB [9][35]. - The report emphasizes the need for liquor companies to optimize their product matrices and channels to adapt to external pressures [9]. 3. Industry Matters - The report discusses the anticipated improvement in food CPI due to structural demand changes and a shift from price competition to quality competition among companies [3][8]. - It highlights the expected gradual recovery in the dairy sector, with recommendations for Yili and New Dairy [10][11]. 4. Valuation Table - The report notes the current dynamic PE for the food and beverage sector at 20.10x, with a premium rate of 24%, and for liquor at 18.49x, with a premium rate of 14% [35].

行 业 及 产 业 行 业 研 究 / 行 业 点 评 相关研究 《高弹性标签助力板块"破圈"，看好资负 两端改善趋势——2026 年保险行业策略 报告》 2025/11/18 《证券行业 2026 年投资策略：权益浪潮 下的券商机遇：财富扩容，国际增效》 2025/11/17 证券分析师 罗钻辉 A0230523090004 luozh@swsresearch.com 孙冀齐 A0230523110001 sunjq@swsresearch.com 金黎丹 A0230525060004 jinld@swsresearch.com 联系人 罗钻辉 A0230523090004 luozh@swsresearch.com 2025 年 12 月 21 日 保险公司资产负债管理即将迈入全 新阶段 看好 ——非银金融行业周报（2025/12/15-2025/12/19） 本期投资提示： 证 券 研 究 报 告 本研究报告仅通过邮件提供给 中庚基金 使用。1 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 非银金融 ⚫ ⚫ 券商：本周申万券商 II 指数收涨 1.01%，跑赢沪深 300 指数 1.29pct。1）中金吸 ...

建筑装饰 2025 年 12 月 21 日 行 业 研 究 / 行 业 点 评 tangmeng@swsresearch.com 相关研究 证 券 研 究 报 告 证券分析师 袁豪 A0230520120001 yuanhao@swsresearch.com 唐猛 A0230523080003 tangmeng@swsresearch.com 研究支持 唐猛 A0230523080003 tangmeng@swsresearch.com 联系人 唐猛 A0230523080003 基建投资承压，推动投资止跌回稳必要性增强 看好 ——申万宏源建筑周报（20251215-20251219） 本期投资提示： 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 本研究报告仅通过邮件提供给 中庚基金 使用。1 行 业 及 产 业 - ⚫ 一周板块回顾：板块表现方面，SW 建筑装饰指数-0.10%，沪深 300 指 数-0.28%，相对收益为 0.18pct。周涨幅最大的三个子行业分别为国际 工程（+4.90%）、钢结构（+3.09%）、装饰幕墙（+2.09%），对应行业 内三个公司：中材国际（+10.78%）、鸿路钢构（+7. ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" rating for the real estate and property management sectors, highlighting optimism for the valuation reassessment of shopping centers and the new opportunities in the housing market [2]. Core Insights - The Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development emphasizes the transition of the real estate industry from high-speed growth to high-quality development, focusing on product quality and service enhancement while maintaining market balance [2][26]. - Recent data shows a rebound in new and second-hand home transactions, with new home sales in 34 key cities reaching 3.095 million square meters, a week-on-week increase of 26.3% [2][3]. - The report identifies two major opportunities: the rise of favorable housing policies and the strong performance of quality commercial enterprises amid a monetary easing cycle, which could lead to a reassessment of consumer-oriented commercial real estate assets [2]. Industry Data Summary New Home Transactions - In the week of December 13-19, 2025, new home sales in 34 key cities totaled 3.095 million square meters, up 26.3% week-on-week, with first and second-tier cities increasing by 24.6% and third and fourth-tier cities by 50.5% [3][5]. - Year-to-date, new home sales in December show a 30% year-on-year decline, with first and second-tier cities down 29.4% and third and fourth-tier cities down 38.8% [5][6]. Second-Hand Home Transactions - In the same week, second-hand home sales in 13 key cities reached 1.192 million square meters, a week-on-week increase of 6.4%, but a year-on-year decline of 32.9% for December [11][12]. Inventory and Supply - In the week of December 13-19, 2025, 15 key cities launched 1.28 million square meters of new homes, with a sales-to-launch ratio of 0.83, indicating a slight improvement in inventory management [20][21]. Policy and News Tracking - The report highlights the central government's commitment to stabilizing the real estate market through three main measures: controlling supply, promoting enterprise transformation, and reforming foundational systems [26][29]. - Local governments, such as Shenzhen and Shandong, are implementing targeted policies to mitigate financial risks and stimulate housing demand through initiatives like "old-for-new" housing exchanges [26][30]. Company Updates - Poly Developments plans to issue 8.5 billion yuan in convertible bonds, while Vanke's proposals for extending medium-term notes were not approved [36][37]. - Yuexiu Property secured a 50 million HKD loan from a bank, with a maximum term of 18 months [36].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" rating for the real estate and property management sectors [3]. Core Insights - The Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development emphasizes the transition of the real estate industry from high-speed growth to high-quality development, focusing on product quality and service enhancement [3][29]. - The report identifies two major opportunities: the rise of favorable housing policies and the strong performance of quality commercial enterprises during a monetary easing cycle, which may lead to a revaluation of consumer-oriented commercial real estate assets [3][29]. - The report suggests that while the real estate market continues to stabilize, core cities are expected to recover sooner [3]. Industry Data Summary New Housing Transactions - In the week of December 13-19, 2025, 34 key cities recorded a total new housing transaction volume of 3.095 million square meters, a week-on-week increase of 26.3% [4][6]. - Year-to-date, the total transaction volume for December is 7.416 million square meters, representing a year-on-year decrease of 30% [6][7]. - The transaction volume for new homes in first and second-tier cities was 6.866 million square meters, down 29.4% year-on-year [6][7]. Second-Hand Housing Transactions - In the same week, 13 key cities saw a total second-hand housing transaction volume of 1.192 million square meters, a week-on-week increase of 6.4% [12]. - The cumulative transaction volume for December is 3.29 million square meters, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 32.9% [12]. Inventory and Supply - In the week of December 13-19, 2025, 15 key cities launched 1.28 million square meters of new housing, with a transaction volume of 1.07 million square meters, resulting in a transaction-to-launch ratio of 0.83 [22]. - The total available residential area in these cities is 90.354 million square meters, with a month-on-month increase of 0.2% [22]. Policy and News Tracking - The report highlights the Ministry of Housing's commitment to promoting high-quality development in the real estate sector, with a focus on maintaining market balance and stability [29][30]. - The Central Financial Office has proposed three measures to stabilize the real estate market for 2026, including controlling supply and supporting the transformation of real estate companies [30][32]. - Local policies, such as Shenzhen's focus on risk management for key enterprises and Shandong's "old-for-new" housing policy, are also noted [30][32].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the shipping industry, particularly recommending stocks such as China Shipbuilding, China Power, and Sumec [4]. Core Insights - The report highlights the launch of the first shipping industry index fund on December 19, 2025, and notes a continued increase in second-hand ship prices, with a 5-year-old VLCC price rising by $2 million to $120 million [4]. - Seasonal fluctuations are observed in freight rates, with oil and bulk carrier second-hand prices increasing. The report recommends stocks like COSCO Shipping and China Merchants Energy [4]. - The report anticipates a significant improvement in airline profitability due to supply constraints and increasing passenger demand, recommending stocks such as China Eastern Airlines and Spring Airlines [4]. Summary by Sections Shipping Industry - The second-hand ship price index increased by 0.38% to 194.32 points, with a recommendation for COSCO Shipping and China Merchants Energy [4]. - VLCC freight rates decreased by 11% to $101,623 per day, while Suezmax rates increased by 9% to $78,107 per day [4]. Airline Sector - The report indicates that the global aircraft manufacturing chain is facing unprecedented challenges, with an aging fleet and supply constraints expected to continue [4]. - Airlines are projected to experience significant profitability improvements, with recommendations for stocks such as China Eastern Airlines and China Southern Airlines [4]. Logistics and Express Delivery - The express delivery sector is entering a new phase of competition, with three potential scenarios outlined for industry performance [4]. - Recommended stocks include Shentong Express and Yunda Holdings, with a focus on companies benefiting from Southeast Asian e-commerce growth [4]. Rail and Road Transport - Rail freight volume and highway truck traffic are expected to maintain steady growth, with data showing a slight decrease in freight volume [4]. - The report suggests that traditional high-dividend investment themes and potential value management catalysts will be key investment lines through 2025 [4].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the shipping industry, particularly recommending stocks such as China Shipbuilding, China Power, and Sumec [4]. Core Insights - The launch of the first shipping industry index fund on December 19, 2025, indicates a growing interest in the sector. The prices of second-hand ships continue to rise, with a notable increase in the price of 5-year-old VLCC ships by $2 million to $120 million [4]. - The report highlights a seasonal decline in freight rates as the Christmas holiday approaches, while the prices of oil and bulk second-hand ships are on the rise. The second-hand bulk carrier price index increased by 0.38% to 194.32 points [4]. - The report emphasizes the resilience of the air transport sector, predicting significant improvements in airline profitability due to supply constraints and increasing passenger demand, recommending stocks like China Eastern Airlines and Spring Airlines [4]. Summary by Sections Shipping Industry - The report notes that the second-hand ship market is experiencing a positive trend, with specific recommendations for stocks such as China Shipbuilding and China Power [4]. - VLCC freight rates have decreased by 11% week-on-week, averaging $101,623 per day, while the Middle East to Far East route recorded $109,772 per day [4]. - The report anticipates that shipping rates may face downward pressure but highlights shipowners' reluctance to significantly lower prices [4]. Air Transport - The report indicates that the global aircraft manufacturing chain is facing unprecedented challenges, with an aging fleet expected to continue. The report suggests that airlines are poised for a golden era of profitability due to improved operational metrics and demand recovery [4]. - Recommended stocks in the airline sector include China Eastern Airlines, China Southern Airlines, and Cathay Pacific [4]. Logistics and Express Delivery - The express delivery sector is entering a new phase of competition, with three potential scenarios outlined for industry performance. Recommendations include Shentong Express and Yunda Express, with a focus on companies benefiting from Southeast Asian e-commerce growth [4]. - The report notes that the logistics demand remains robust, with rail freight and highway truck traffic showing steady growth [4]. Market Performance - The transportation index rose by 2.04%, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index by 2.31 percentage points. The air transport sector saw the highest increase at 6.84% [5][12]. - The report provides insights into the performance of various sub-sectors within transportation, highlighting the resilience of air transport and the challenges faced by the express delivery sector [5][12].

行 业 及 产 业 2025 年 12 月 20 日 字节豆包 1.8 重磅发布！壁仞提交 行 业 研 究 / 行 业 点 评 相关研究 《 OpenAI GPT 5.2 发布！重磅中航信深 度发布！——计算机行业周报 20251208- 20251212》 2025/12/13 《计算机 2026 年策略！合合信息深度发 布！——计算机行业周报 20251201- 20251205》 2025/12/06 证券分析师 黄忠煌 A0230519110001 huangzh@swsresearch.com 洪依真 A0230519060003 hongyz@swsresearch.com 刘洋 A0230513050006 liuyang2@swsresearch.com 研究支持 崔航 A0230524080005 cuihang@swsresearch.com 徐平平 A0230525080002 xupp@swsresearch.com 曹峥 A0230525040002 caozheng@swsresearch.com 陈晴华 A0230525100001 chenqh@swsresearch.com ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided in the content. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - This week, micro - cap stocks recovered. Convertible bonds rose following the underlying stocks. High - priced convertible bonds performed weakly. Low - priced convertible bonds performed strongly due to factors such as an increase in downward revision cases and the rise of underlying stocks. The increase of convertible bonds was significantly lower than that of underlying stocks due to the drag of high - priced convertible bonds [2][3]. - There are two structural characteristics. Firstly, the valuation of near - maturity convertible bonds is under great valuation attenuation pressure, especially non - financial convertible bonds with high previous valuations. Secondly, the call risk remains at a high level. Convertible bonds that were not called before have successively re - entered the call period, and the change in call expectations also leads to price pressure [2][3]. - In the case of a positive expectation for the equity market, there are still beta opportunities in the convertible bond market, but the valuation attenuation of near - maturity convertible bonds and call risks need to be focused on [2][3]. 3. Summary of Each Section 3.1 Weekly Viewpoint and Outlook - Micro - cap stocks recovered this week. Convertible bonds followed the underlying stocks to rise. High - priced convertible bonds were weak, while low - priced convertible bonds were strong. The increase of convertible bonds was significantly lower than that of underlying stocks [2][3]. - The valuation of near - maturity convertible bonds, especially non - financial ones, faced great attenuation pressure. The call risk remained high, and the change in call expectations led to price pressure [2][3]. - There are beta opportunities in the convertible bond market, but near - maturity valuation attenuation and call risks need attention [2][3]. 3.2 Convertible Bond Valuation - This week, the underlying stocks and convertible bonds recovered. The 100 - yuan premium rate slightly increased by 0.4% and returned above 30%. After excluding outliers, the 100 - yuan premium rate of the whole market's convertible bonds was 30.2%, up 0.4% week - on - week, and the latest quantile was at the 99.5% percentile since 2017 [2][4][5]. - The valuation structure changed. The valuation of the bond - biased area was better than that of the stock - biased area. The bond - biased area's valuation improved due to more downward revision cases and rising parity. The stock - biased area's valuation was weak due to call risks, and the conversion premium rate of the 130 - 140 yuan parity range increased significantly [2][9]. - In terms of individual bonds, among balanced and bond - biased convertible bonds, those with a large decline in valuation were mainly near - maturity ones like Hua'an, Guotou, and Jianyou Convertible Bonds. Among stock - biased convertible bonds, those with a rapid convergence of valuation due to call expectations were Hengshuai, Borui, and Jingzhuang Convertible Bonds [2][14]. - The median price of convertible bonds was reported at 132.04 yuan, up 1.14 yuan from last week, and the yield to maturity was - 6.81%, down 0.25% from last week. Their current quantiles were at the 98.60 and 0.70 percentiles since 2017 respectively [2][18]. 3.3 Clause Tracking 3.3.1 Redemption - This week, Bo 23 and Furong Convertible Bonds announced redemption, and Huayi Convertible Bond announced non - redemption, with a call rate of 67%. There are currently 18 convertible bonds that have issued call or maturity redemption announcements but have not delisted, and the potential conversion or maturity balance of call and maturity convertible bonds is 5.2 billion yuan [2][21]. - There are 26 convertible bonds currently in the redemption progress. 9 are expected to meet the redemption conditions next week, and 7 are expected to issue announcements that they are likely to trigger redemption. In addition, 9 convertible bonds are expected to enter the call counting period within the next month [2][26]. 3.3.2 Downward Revision - This week, Yuxing Convertible Bond proposed a downward revision, and Lanfan and Tianneng Convertible Bonds announced the downward revision results, both of which did not revise to the bottom. As of now, 114 convertible bonds are in the non - downward - revision period, 20 cannot be downward - revised due to net asset constraints, 1 has triggered the condition but has not issued an announcement, 24 are accumulating downward - revision days, and 4 have issued board proposals for downward revision but have not gone to the general meeting of shareholders [2][29]. 3.3.3 Put Option - This week, Huahai Convertible Bond issued a conditional put option announcement. As of now, 4 convertible bonds are accumulating put - option trigger days, among which 1 is also accumulating downward - revision days, and 3 are in the non - downward - revision period [2][31]. 3.4 Primary Issuance - Dingjie Convertible Bond was issued this week, and there will be no convertible bond issuance next week. As of now, Aohong, Shenyu, and Tianzhun Convertible Bonds have been issued but not yet listed, and Puxun Convertible Bond will be listed on December 22, 2025 [33]. - There are currently 7 convertible bonds in the approved - registration progress, with a pending issuance scale of 8.6 billion yuan; 10 convertible bonds are in the listing - committee - approved progress, with a pending issuance scale of 8.5 billion yuan [33].