Group 1: Report's Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given documents Group 2: Report's Core View - Steel: The unilateral steel market is oscillating, and attention should be paid to basis opportunities. With the seasonal factor becoming more prominent, the spot volume and price are weakening marginally. The market can be treated with an oscillating mindset, and the hot-rolled coil basis is favorable for spot-futures positions. The hot-rolled coil spot-futures positive spread can still be rolled for operation [2]. - Ferrosilicon and Manganese Silicon: The prices of ferrosilicon and manganese silicon are mainly oscillating. The supply is high while the demand is weak. Although there are policy benefits and cost support, the market is likely to fall under pressure in the future [3]. - Coking Coal and Coke: The spot market of coking coal and coke is weakening, and the futures market is also oscillating downward. The market is in the off-season, with weak supply and demand, and the inventory is accumulating. It is recommended to cash in the spot at a high price before the Spring Festival and wait for the opportunity to short on the futures market [5]. - Iron Ore: In the short term, iron ore is in an oscillatingly strong pattern due to the "resumption of production + replenishment" support. In the long term, the pressure from port inventory is significant. It is suggested that medium - and long - term investors short at the pressure level [6]. Group 3: Summary by Related Catalogs Steel - Spot prices of steel decreased slightly on Tuesday, and trading volume continued to cool down. The futures prices moved in a narrow range. The black sector is in an interval oscillation. Due to seasonal factors, the spot volume and price are weakening. The demand for building materials is decreasing seasonally. Steel mills still have the intention to resume production, but the actual resumption may be slow. Traders are not willing to do open - position winter storage and are more suitable to participate through the basis. The hot - rolled coil basis is favorable for spot - futures positions, and the hot - rolled coil spot - futures positive spread can be rolled for operation [2]. Ferrosilicon and Manganese Silicon - Recently, the prices of ferrosilicon and manganese silicon have been oscillating. The supply side has occasional fluctuations. The demand side is poor as steel prices are under pressure, steel mill profits are not good, and the iron - water output adjustment pressure is large. The overall demand is difficult to improve in the short term. The alloy plants' profits are not good, but the production is still high. The medium - term supply surplus pressure remains. There are policy benefits and cost support, but the market is likely to fall under pressure [3]. Coking Coal and Coke - On the spot side, the first round of coke price increase was shelved. Downstream procurement is cautious, and the market trading sentiment has cooled down. The online auction has more unsuccessful bids. The coking coal price index has decreased. The Mongolian coal market is still cold. On the futures side, with the high - level correction of silver, the market sentiment has cooled down. The market is in the off - season, with weak supply and demand, and the inventory is accumulating. The coal mine supply is recovering, but the downstream procurement has slowed down. It is recommended to cash in the spot at a high price before the Spring Festival and wait for the opportunity to short on the futures market [5]. Iron Ore - The steel mill's in - plant inventory is still at a relatively low level in recent years. The expectation of accelerated resumption of production in February and the pre - Spring Festival replenishment have a great impact on the transfer of iron ore inventory, which is one of the reasons for the relatively high iron ore price in the short term. After the replenishment expectation is fully digested, the port inventory pressure will still be the root cause of the iron ore pressure. In the short term, iron ore is in an oscillatingly strong pattern, but in the long term, the upward pressure is obvious. It is suggested that medium - and long - term investors short at the pressure level [6].

2 2017 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2012】31号 ITG国贸期货 贵金属数据日报 | | | | | 国贸期货研究院 | | 投资咨询号: Z0013700 | | | 2026/1/28 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | | 贵金属与新能源研究中心 白素娜 | | 从业资格号:F3023916 | | | | | | 日期 | 伦敦金现 | 伦敦银现 | COMEX黄金 | COMEX白银 | AU2602 | AG2602 | AU (T+D) | AG (T+D) | | 内外盘金 | | (美元/盎司) | (美元/盎司) | (美元/盎司) | (美元/盎司) | (元/克) | (元/千克) | (元/克) | (元/千克) | | 银15点价 | 2026/1/27 | 5083. 88 | 109. 62 | 5079. 20 | 109.72 | 1151.76 | 28230.00 | 1142. 52 | 28394.00 | | 格跟踪 (本表数 | | | | | ...

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Ratings The report does not provide a unified industry investment rating. Instead, it gives trend judgments and investment suggestions for different varieties, including "看多" (Bullish), "震荡" (Sideways), and "震荡偏强" (Sideways with an upward bias). 2. Core Views of the Report - **Stock Index**: In the short term, the adjustment space of the stock index is limited, and it is expected to show a sideways - upward trend before the holiday, as the domestic macro - level may be relatively calm and market performance will be highly correlated with regulatory trends [1]. - **Treasury Bonds**: Asset shortage and weak economy are beneficial to bond futures, but the central bank has recently reminded of interest - rate risks, and the Japanese central bank's interest - rate decision should be noted [1]. - **Non - ferrous Metals**: - **Copper**: The copper price maintains a high - level sideways movement as the dollar index has declined, but the enthusiasm for buying copper has eased [1]. - **Aluminum**: The aluminum price is expected to move sideways as the industrial driving force is limited recently, but the decline of the dollar index supports the price [1]. - **Alumina**: The supply of domestic alumina is strong while demand is weak, and the price is under pressure. However, as the current price is near the cost line, it is expected to move sideways [1]. - **Zinc**: The cost center of zinc fundamentals is stable. The recent cold wave in North America has increased energy prices, which is not conducive to the resumption of overseas smelters. Zinc has a certain room for a supplementary rise [1]. - **Nickel**: In the short term, the nickel price is at a high level, affected by the resonance of the non - ferrous metal sector. Supply concerns may continuously disrupt the market. In the long - term, high global nickel inventories may still have a suppressing effect. It is recommended to go long on dips in the short term [1]. - **Stainless Steel**: The stainless - steel futures are in a high - level sideways movement. Supply - side disruptions are frequent, and spot trading is weak. It is recommended to focus on short - term operations [1]. - **Tin**: Although the approval of explosives in Myanmar is negative news, the increase in tin ore in Myanmar in the first quarter is still limited. In the pattern of fragile supply and rigid demand, there is still upward potential for tin. Attention should be paid to supply disruptions [1]. - **Precious Metals and New Energy**: - **Silver**: International uncertainties and the weakening dollar index support the price of precious metals. Due to factors such as spot shortages and falling inventories, there is a significant short - squeeze sentiment in the domestic market. The import window has opened significantly. It is recommended to control positions in single - side trading and pay attention to the inter - market arbitrage opportunities for the far - month contracts [1]. - **Platinum and Palladium**: The macro - driving force has weakened slightly, but international uncertainties are still high, which may support the prices of platinum and palladium, and the price fluctuations may be large. In the long - term, the supply - demand prospects of platinum and palladium are different. It is recommended to allocate platinum on dips or continue to pay attention to the [long - platinum short - palladium] arbitrage strategy [1]. - **Industrial Silicon**: The production of polysilicon and silicone decreased in December. The northwest region increased production while the southwest region decreased production [1]. - **Black Metals**: - **Rebar and Iron Ore**: High production, high inventory, etc., suppress the price increase space. The transmission of futures price increases to the spot market is not smooth. It is recommended to exit long single - side positions and participate in cash - and - carry arbitrage. The upward pressure on iron ore is obvious, and it is not recommended to chase long positions [1]. - **Coke and Coking Coal**: The market is pessimistic about the end - point price of the coking coal 05 contract. After the first round of coke price increase was shelved, short - sellers increased their positions. The coking coal 05 contract broke through important support levels. In the future, the price may be gradually priced according to the Mongolian coal long - term contract cost. The logic for coke is the same as that for coking coal [1]. - **Agricultural Products**: - **Palm Oil**: The purchasing rhythm of major consuming countries has started, and the production area is expected to reduce production and inventory. Coupled with the possible fermentation of the biodiesel theme, it is expected to show a sideways - upward trend [1]. - **Soybean Oil**: The domestic soybean - oil fundamentals are strong. Coupled with the rebound of US soybeans and positive news about US biodiesel, it is bullish [1]. - **Rapeseed Oil**: The Sino - Canadian trade relationship has not improved, and the import of Canadian rapeseed is blocked, creating a positive expectation gap. Positive news about US biodiesel is beneficial to the oil market [1]. - **Cotton**: The domestic cotton market is currently in a situation of "having support but no driving force". Future attention should be paid to factors such as the central government's No. 1 document in the first quarter of next year, the intention of cotton - planting area, weather during the planting period, and peak - season demand [1]. - **Sugar**: Globally, there is a sugar surplus, and the domestic new - crop supply has increased. There is a strong consensus among short - sellers. If the futures price continues to fall, there is strong cost support below, but there is no continuous driving force in the short - term fundamental aspect. Attention should be paid to changes in the capital side [1]. - **Corn**: The corn sales progress has passed half, and the inventories at ports and downstream are still low. With the replenishment of downstream enterprises and the profit - taking of long - positions before the holiday, there is a certain risk of price correction [1]. - **Soybeans**: The dry weather in Argentina may cause short - term weather speculation. The precipitation in February is expected to return to normal. With the progress of the Brazilian harvest, the overall rebound of M05 is expected to be limited [1]. - **Pulp**: The pulp price has fallen due to the decline of the commodity macro - environment. It has not broken through the sideways area. Short - term commodity sentiment fluctuates greatly. It is recommended to wait and see cautiously. The spot price of logs has shown a certain sign of bottom - rebound, and the further decline space of the futures price is limited. However, the January overseas offer has still declined slightly, and there is a lack of upward - driving factors in the log futures and spot markets. It is expected to move sideways in the range of 760 - 790 yuan/m³ [1]. - **Hogs**: Recently, the spot price has gradually stabilized. Supported by demand, the production capacity still needs to be further released as the average slaughter weight has not decreased significantly [1]. - **Energy and Chemicals**: - **Crude Oil and Related Products**: OPEC + has suspended production increases until the end of 2026, the geopolitical situation in the Middle East has intensified, and the cold wave in the United States has increased energy demand, which is beneficial to the price increase of crude oil and fuel oil [1]. - **Asphalt**: In the short - term, the supply - demand contradiction is not prominent, and it follows the trend of crude oil. The "14th Five - Year Plan" construction rush demand is likely to be falsified, and the supply of Ma瑞 crude oil is sufficient. The asphalt profit is relatively high [1]. - **Natural Rubber**: The raw - material cost has strong support, the synthetic rubber has risen significantly, and the overall atmosphere of the commodity market is bullish, driving the upward movement of the natural - rubber market [1]. - **BR Rubber**: The cost of butadiene has strong support at the bottom. Recently, the profit of private butadiene - styrene rubber plants has been seriously lost, and the expectation of maintenance and production reduction has increased. In the short - term, the futures price is expected to have a wide - range sideways correction, and there is an upward expectation in the long - term [1]. - **PTA and Short - fiber**: The strong PX market has led to the rise of chemical products, and a large amount of capital has flowed into the chemical sector. The polyester sector has led the rise of the entire chemical industry. The domestic PTA production has continued to increase, and the production reduction of polyester factories has a limited negative feedback on PTA. The short - fiber price continues to closely follow the cost fluctuations [1]. - **Ethylene Glycol**: After a long - term slump, the overseas ethylene - glycol price has rebounded. The reduction of ethylene - glycol exports from the Middle East has boosted market confidence. The speculative demand in the market has increased significantly [1]. - **Styrene**: The news of the shutdown of Middle Eastern styrene plants has led to a rapid rebound of the styrene futures price. The Asian styrene market has stabilized, the styrene - benzene price difference has widened, and the inventory has decreased [1]. - **Methanol**: Affected by the Iranian situation, the future import of methanol is expected to decrease, but the downstream negative feedback is obvious. The downstream MTO leading plants have stopped production, and some enterprises have reduced production, but the Fude plant will restart on January 25th. The Iranian situation has eased, but risks cannot be completely ruled out. The freight in the inland area has increased due to the cold air, and the northwest enterprises have great pressure to reduce inventory and sell at a reduced price [1]. - **Polyethylene**: The geopolitical conflict has intensified, and there is a risk of crude - oil price increase. The full - density plant of Zhong'an United has stopped production, and the linear - production ratio has decreased [1]. - **PVC**: In 2026, the global PVC production capacity will be put into operation less, and the future expectation is optimistic. However, the current fundamentals are poor. The export tax - rebate policy has been cancelled, and there may be a phenomenon of rushing to export in the future. The differential electricity price in the northwest region is expected to be implemented, forcing the elimination of PVC production capacity [1]. - **Liquefied Petroleum Gas (LPG)**: The March CP is expected to decline compared with February, and the market sentiment will switch between fundamentals and emotions. The geopolitical conflict in the Middle East has cooled down, and the short - term risk premium has declined. The driving logic of the overseas cold wave has gradually slowed down, and the futures price is expected to weaken. The domestic PDH operating rate has declined, and the profit is expected to recover seasonally. The short - term demand for LPG is bearish, suppressing the upward movement of the futures price [1]. - **Shipping**: The freight rate has peaked and declined before the holiday. Airlines are still cautious about trial resumption of flights. Airlines are expected to have a strong willingness to stop the price decline and increase prices after the off - season in March [1].

投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2012】31号 铂把数据日报 国贸期货研究院 贵金属与新能源研究中心 投资咨询号: Z0013700 从业资格号:F3023916 1月27日，铂、纽价格整体下跌: PT2606合约收跌4.61%至705.7元/克: PD2606合约收跌2.08%至523元/克。宏观层面。特朗普对于 伊朗局势的表态令中东地缘紧张局势风险有所缓和、叠加贵金属市场面临较大获利了结压力和市场流动性困对不足、导致板块整体冲 高回落，铂、耙受到影响跟随下挫，但由于国际秩序不确定性仍旧高企。尤其是伊朗地缘局势仍旧复杂、美国政府月底仍有关门风险 小结 、特朗普再度挥舞关税大棒等，叠加美元指数走弱，其价格尚有支撑。基本面方面，暂未有较大变化，海外知现货租赁利率维持高位 凸显铂的紧缺，继续支持其价格;但美国决定暂缓对关键矿产加征进口关税，缓解铂、把的关税风险,未来一旦确认,仍可能会对其 上行空间构成压制。综上，预计铂、把价格短期或偏强运行，但波动幅度仍会较大。 中长期来看，铂把供需前景存在差异，铂供需缺 口仍存、把则趋于供应宽松,故策略上建议以单边逢低配置铂为主,或继续关注【多铂空把】套利策略。（仅供参考） 20 ...

l数据日报 国贸期货研究院 农产品研究中心 黄向岚 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2012】31号 ITG国贸期货 中国港口大豆库存(万吨) == == == == == ==== 2020 ===== 2021 ===== 2022 ===== 2023 ====== 2024 ====== 2025 = 2026 · 2025 · 2026 == === 2023 1200 1000 1000 800 800 600 400 200 200 02/01 03/04 04/04 05/05 06/05 07/06 08/06 09/06 10/07 11/07 12/08 01/01 01/01 02/01 03/04 04/04 05/05 06/05 07/06 08/06 09/06 10/07 11/07 12/08 饲料企业豆粕库存天数 全国主要油厂豆粕库存(万吨) 全国主要油厂开机率(%) 投资咨询号: Z0021658 从业资格号: F03110419 2026/1/28 | 指标 | | 1月27日 | 涨跌 | | | | 豆粕主力合约基差(张家港) | | | | | --- | --- ...

| | | | | 聚酯致据口报 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | 国贸期货研究院 | | 投资咨询号: Z0017251 | 2026/1/28 | | | | 能源化工研究中心 | 陈胜 | | 从业资格号:F3066728 | | | 指标 | 2026/1/26 | 2026/1/27 | 变动值 | 行情综述 | | | INE原油(元/桶) | 457. 3 | 446. 7 | -10. 60 | 成交情况: PTA:原油行情偏弱震荡,且下游聚酯工厂减产中, | | SC | PTA-SC(元/陣) | 2114.8 | 2011. 8 | -102. 97 | PTA积累库存,PTA行情下跌,现货基差微幅下跌。 | | | PTA/SC(比价) | 1. 6364 | 1. 6197 | -0. 0166 | | | PX | CFR中国PX | 930 | 903 | -27 | | | | PX-石脑油价差 | 365 | 330 | -35 | | | | PTA主力期价(元/吨) | 5438 | 5258 | -180.0 ...

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No information available Group 2: Core Viewpoints of the Report - The PX market strongly leads the rise of chemical products, with significant capital inflow into the chemical sector. Driven by the "cyclical reversal" narrative, the market significantly increases the allocation of chemical products, and polyester leads the entire chemical sector [2]. - Domestic PTA production continues to grow. With no new PTA production capacity in the country, existing plants need to maintain high loads to match the growth of polyester. India's PTA runs at full capacity, and the new project GMPL has purchased PX for commissioning, further boosting regional demand [2]. - Two domestic PX plants are still under maintenance, and the shutdown of some reforming plants of Zhejiang Petrochemical restricts aromatic raw materials. There is also a planned shutdown in the Middle East. Although Korean plants have the intention to increase load or restart, the current PX - mixed xylene spread remains at around $150 [2]. - The PX - naphtha spread continues to expand, significantly higher than the gasoline blending income, prompting refineries to continuously favor aromatic extraction. Domestic PTA maintains high operation, domestic demand declines, and the production cuts of polyester factories have a limited negative feedback on PTA. Bottle chip profits expand, while short - fiber profits decline [2][3]. Group 3: Summary by Related Indicators Price Indicators - PTA spot price decreased from 5350 to 5225 (- 125); MEG domestic price decreased from 3887 to 3843 (- 44); PTA closing price decreased from 5438 to 5258 (- 180); MEG closing price decreased from 3994 to 3938 (- 56) [2]. - 1.4D direct - spun polyester staple fiber price decreased from 6755 to 6735 (- 20); short - fiber basis increased from - 57 to - 31 (26); 3 - 4 spread increased from - 50 to - 46 (4) [2]. - Polyester bottle chip prices in the Jiangsu and Zhejiang markets decreased, with the average price down 170 yuan/ton. The prices of East China water bottle chips, hot - filled polyester bottle chips, and carbonated - grade polyester bottle chips all decreased by 176, and the outer - market water bottle chips decreased from 850 to 845 (- 5) [2]. Cost and Profit Indicators - Polyester staple fiber cash flow increased from 240 to 246 (6); bottle - chip spot processing fee decreased from 592 to 537 (- 54); T32S pure - polyester yarn processing fee increased from 3945 to 3965 (20) [2]. - Polyester - cotton yarn profit increased from 1440 to 1462 (23); 6 - 15D hollow staple fiber cash flow increased from 224 to 345 (122) [2]. Production and Sales Indicators - Direct - spun staple fiber load (weekly) increased from 86.77% to 88.84% (2.07%); polyester staple fiber production and sales increased from 57.00% to 68.00% (11.00%) [3]. - Polyester yarn startup rate (weekly) increased from 70.00% to 70.32% (0.32%); recycled cotton - type load index (weekly) decreased from 55.44% to 54.81% (- 0.63%) [3].

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant information provided. 2. Core Viewpoints - In 2025, China's industrial enterprise profit growth turned positive, with a year - on - year increase of 0.6%, the first positive growth since 2021, and the profit in December increased significantly by 5.3%. - The stock index showed a "V" shape intraday, and the volatility of stock index options decreased significantly. The market is expected to be mainly in a relatively strong shock before the Spring Festival, and the short - term shock adjustment space is limited [7]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs - **Market Interest Rates** - DRO01 closed at 1.37, down 4.98bp; DR007 closed at 1.58, up 0.95bp; GC001 closed at 1.36, down 1.50bp; GC007 closed at 1.62, unchanged; SHBOR 3M closed at 1.60, down 0.10bp; LPR 5 - year was 3.50, unchanged; 1 - year treasury bond closed at 1.29, up 0.75bp; 5 - year treasury bond closed at 1.54, unchanged; 10 - year treasury bond closed at 1.83, up 0.45bp; 10 - year US treasury bond closed at 4.22, down 2.00bp [4]. - The central bank conducted 4020 billion yuan of 7 - day reverse repurchase operations yesterday, with an operating interest rate of 1.40%, unchanged from before [4]. - **Open Market Operations** - This week, 11810 billion yuan of reverse repurchases in the central bank's open market will mature, with 1583 billion, 3240 billion, 3635 billion, 2102 billion, and 1250 billion yuan maturing from Monday to Friday respectively. In addition, 2000 billion yuan of MLF will mature on Monday [5]. - The central bank emphasized expanding the scope of macro - prudential policies, predicting systemic financial risks, and maintaining the stability of the financial market [5]. - **Stock Index Futures and Spot Markets** - The CSI 300 closed at 4706, down 0.03%; the SSE 50 closed at 3052, up 0.09%; the CSI 500 closed at 8549, up 0.50%; the CSI 1000 closed at 8382, up 0.20%. The IF contract for the current month closed at 4715, unchanged; the IH contract for the current month closed at 3060, up 0.2%; the IC contract for the current month closed at 8554, up 0.8%; the IM contract for the current month closed at 8386, up 0.7% [6]. - The trading volume of IF was 142964, down 24.6; the trading volume of IH was 67869, down 19.8; the trading volume of IC was 211372, down 6.8; the trading volume of IM was 262400, down 5.3. The positions of IF were 310326, with an unspecified change; the positions of IH were 114497, down 3.5%; the positions of IC were 343302, down 0.2%; the positions of IM were 398403, up 1.0% [6]. - The trading volume of the Shanghai, Shenzhen and Beijing stock markets was 29217 billion yuan, a decrease of 3593 billion yuan from the previous day. Most industry sectors declined, with precious metals, semiconductors, photovoltaic equipment, aerospace and insurance sectors rising, and coal, pharmaceutical commerce, energy metals, batteries and traditional Chinese medicine sectors falling [6]. - **Stock Index Futures Premium and Discount** - The IF premium/discount rates for the current month, next month, current quarter, and next quarter contracts were - 2.94%, - 1.87%, 0.15%, and 1.73% respectively. - The IH premium/discount rates for the current month, next month, current quarter, and next quarter contracts were - 3.89%, - 2.67%, - 1.31%, and 0.53% respectively. - The IC premium/discount rates for the current month, next month, current quarter, and next quarter contracts were - 0.94%, 0.11%, 2.21%, and 3.26% respectively. - The IM premium/discount rates for the current month, next month, current quarter, and next quarter contracts were - 0.63%, 2.09%, 4.93%, and 6.02% respectively [8].

| 2026年1月27日 | | | 日环比 | 周环比 | | | 2026年1月27日 | 日环比 | 周环比 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | SP2601 | 期货价格 | 5558 | -0.22% | 0. 14% | 现货价格 | 针叶浆银星 | 5380 | -0. 37% | -1.28% | | SP2609 | (元/吨) | 5392 | -0. 63% | -0. 33% | (元/吨) | 针叶浆俄针 | 5200 | -0. 95% | -0. 95% | | SP2605 | | 5342 | -0. 60% | -0. 63% | | 阔叶浆金鱼 | 4600 | -1.08% | -1.08% | | 本期价格 | | | 上期价格 | 月环比 | | | 本期价格 | 上期价格 | 月环比 | | 智利银星 | 外盘报价 | 700 | 680 | 2.94% | 进口成本 | 智利银星 | 5721 | 5559 | 2.91% | | 巴西金鱼 | (美元/吨) | 54 ...

| | | 投资询业务资格: 证监许可【2012】31号 C 国贸期货 | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | 沥青数据日报 | | | | | | 是浙官 | | 国贸期货研究院 能源化工研究中心 投资咨询号: Z0021177 从业资格号:F03101843 数据来源:钢联 | 卢钊毅 | | | 2026/1/27 | | 글 | | 华东 东北 | 华北 | 华南 | 西北 | 山东 | | 现点 | 现值 | 3200 3440 | 3200 | 3220 | 3430 | 3140 | | 货 区 域 | 前值 | 3190 3440 | 3200 | 3190 | 3430 | 3090 | | 涨幅 | | 10 0 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 50 | | 期 号 | | BU2602 BU2603 | | | | | | 现值 | | 3262 | 3279 | | | | | स्त हो | 前值 | 3222 | 3236 | | | | | 涨幅 | | 1.24% | 1.33% | | | | I ...