证券研究报告：食品饮料|点评报告 发布时间：2025-12-25 行业投资评级 强于大市|维持 | 行业基本情况 | | | | --- | --- | --- | | 收盘点位 | | 16521.46 | | 52 | 周最高 | 18638.17 | | 52 | 周最低 | 16379.5 | 行业相对指数表现（相对值） -10% -7% -4% -1% 2% 5% 8% 11% 14% 17% 2024-12 2025-03 2025-05 2025-07 2025-10 2025-12 食品饮料 沪深300 ⚫ 投资要点 资料来源：聚源，中邮证券研究所 研究所 分析师:蔡雪昱 SAC 登记编号:S1340522070001 Email:caixueyu@cnpsec.com 分析师:杨逸文 SAC 登记编号:S1340522120002 Email:yangyiwen@cnpsec.com 分析师:张子健 SAC 登记编号:S1340524050001 Email:zhangzijian@cnpsec.com 近期研究报告 《政策利好叠加周期拐点预期，乳制品 板块表现强势》 - 2025.12.2 ...

证券研究报告：电子 | 公司点评报告 股票投资评级 公司基本情况 | 最新收盘价（元） | 107.19 | | --- | --- | | 总股本/流通股本（亿股）4.83 | / 4.21 | | 总市值/流通市值（亿元）517 | / 451 | | 52 周内最高/最低价 | 107.19 / 60.40 | | 资产负债率(%) | 6.5% | | 市盈率 | 140.97 | | 第一大股东 | 刘强 | 研究所 分析师:吴文吉 SAC 登记编号:S1340523050004 Email:wuwenji@cnpsec.com 分析师:翟一梦 SAC 登记编号:S1340525040003 Email:zhaiyimeng@cnpsec.com l 投资要点 以AI 为核心，构建计算、存储、感知与执行的全栈技术体系。 在计算领域，公司基于 RISC-V 架构，重点发力 AI-Vision、LLM、 AI-MCU/AI-MPU 等方向，持续迭代 CPU 与 NPU 技术，从 NPU 1.0 发 展到即将推出的 NPU 4.0，实现算力从 0.1Tops 到 512Tops 的跨 越，满足从端级到边缘 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [5][10]. Core Insights - The company has completed acquisitions of two subsidiaries, Weisi Shuanglian and Deyou New Materials, which are expected to enhance future performance through synergistic value [3][10]. - The company is focusing on high-frequency and high-speed copper foil (HVLP5), which has low surface roughness and high peel strength, suitable for applications in AI servers [4][10]. - Revenue projections for the company are estimated at 430 million, 578 million, and 691 million yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with net profits expected to be 110 million, 160 million, and 203 million yuan in the same years [5][12]. Financial Summary - The company is projected to achieve a revenue growth rate of 49.43% in 2025, followed by 34.36% in 2026 and 19.47% in 2027 [7][12]. - The EBITDA is expected to increase from 160.11 million yuan in 2025 to 303.31 million yuan in 2027 [7][12]. - The net profit margin is projected to be 28.6% in 2024, decreasing slightly to 25.7% in 2025, and then increasing to 29.4% by 2027 [12].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [1] Core Insights - The company's operating performance continues to improve, with a revenue of 6.462 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 1.07%. The net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 8.77% to 486 million yuan, while the net profit excluding non-recurring items increased by 4.69% to 429 million yuan [4] - The company is capitalizing on the recovery in consumer electronics, optimizing its product structure, and benefiting from increased shipments of AI terminal products such as smartphones and smart wearables [5] - Significant progress has been made in commercial satellite communication and smart automotive sectors, establishing a unique advantage in the commercial satellite field and enhancing global delivery efficiency through manufacturing bases in Vietnam and Mexico [6] Financial Performance and Forecast - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 9.618 billion yuan, 10.813 billion yuan, and 12.870 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with net profits of 751 million yuan, 935 million yuan, and 1.191 billion yuan for the same years [7] - The projected growth rates for revenue are 10.01%, 12.42%, and 19.02% for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [9] - The company's gross margin is expected to improve, with a forecasted gross margin of 22.1% in 2025 and 23.1% in 2027 [12]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with an expected relative increase in stock price between 10% and 20% over the next six months [6][11]. Core Insights - The company is a leading enterprise in the rail transit equipment sector, specializing in the research, production, sales, and service of rail transit vehicle supporting products, with a comprehensive service capability from design to delivery [4]. - In the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 3.516 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 15.66%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 493 million yuan, up 69.79% year-on-year [5]. - The establishment of a new aerospace investment company marks the company's entry into the commercial aerospace sector, which is expected to provide new growth opportunities [5]. Financial Performance and Forecast - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 5.537 billion yuan, 6.312 billion yuan, and 6.975 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 23.06%, 13.99%, and 10.51% [6][9]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to reach 607 million yuan, 669 million yuan, and 746 million yuan for the same years, with growth rates of 100.87%, 10.24%, and 11.52% respectively [6][9]. - The company's price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is projected to decrease from 17.95 in 2025 to 14.60 in 2027, indicating an improving valuation [6][9].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Insights - The company has launched the SesameX multidimensional embodied intelligence computing platform, which aims to transition robots from being "operational" to "evolving" [4] - The platform includes three self-developed computing modules (Kalos, Aura, Liora) that are highly integrated and compatible with mainstream interfaces, providing a production-level hardware foundation [4] - The company is focusing on two core scenarios: advanced driving assistance and embodied intelligence, collaborating with strategic partners to innovate applications in these fields [5] - Revenue projections for the company are estimated at 8.1 billion, 14.0 billion, and 20.1 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with net profits expected to be -1.21 billion, -640 million, and -140 million yuan for the same years [6][8] Financial Performance and Forecast - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 805 million yuan in 2025, 1.404 billion yuan in 2026, and 2.007 billion yuan in 2027, reflecting growth rates of 70%, 75%, and 43% respectively [8] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is projected to be -1.214 billion yuan in 2025, -636 million yuan in 2026, and -142 million yuan in 2027, indicating a significant recovery trend [8] - The earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to be -1.89 yuan in 2025, -0.99 yuan in 2026, and -0.22 yuan in 2027 [11] Relative Valuation - The company is positioned to capture significant growth opportunities in the intelligent driving and embodied intelligence sectors, with a focus on advanced functionalities for smart vehicles [9] - The report compares the company with peers in the industry, indicating a favorable outlook for substantial scale growth [9]

Group 1 - The current mainstream narrative in dollar trading includes "de-dollarization," where central banks are seen as potential long-term buyers of gold, but they did not show significant buying activity during the 30% price surge from August to October 2025 [3][12] - The second perspective focuses on the Federal Reserve entering a rate-cutting cycle, with a close correlation between gold price increases and expectations of rate cuts, although the historical significance of these expectations during the price surges remains unclear [3][17] - The third perspective examines the source of rigid demand from the private sector, suggesting that the influx of funds into gold ETFs indicates a shift away from U.S. Treasury securities due to perceived risks, making gold an attractive alternative [4][26] Group 2 - The report anticipates that the largest opportunity for gold in 2026 may arise in February, coinciding with potential increases in U.S. national debt and traditional peaks in Treasury issuance, which could drive demand for gold [5][30] - The analysis indicates that the relationship between gold price movements and the inventory levels of primary dealers in U.S. Treasuries is significant, suggesting that monitoring Treasury refinancing plans may provide better insights into gold buying opportunities [4][28] - The report highlights that the rigid demand for gold is primarily driven by long-term investors, such as insurance funds and central banks, who require long-duration assets to match their liabilities, especially in light of concerns over U.S. Treasury reliability [29][30]

Industry Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Outperform the Market" and is maintained [1] Core Insights - The sixth batch of high-value medical consumables national centralized procurement has officially started, covering drug-coated balloon and urological intervention consumables, with a market scale exceeding 10 billion [4][9] - The procurement period is set until December 31, 2028, which will have a profound impact on the related industry chain and medical system [9] - Leading domestic companies are expected to gain more market share through successful procurement bids, despite short-term price declines impacting profit margins [6][14] Summary by Relevant Sections Industry Overview - The closing index is at 8269.04, with a 52-week high of 9323.49 and a low of 6764.34 [1] Recent Developments - The procurement document for drug-coated balloon and urological intervention consumables was released, marking the official start of the sixth batch of centralized procurement [4][9] - The procurement will include various high-value consumables, with specific annual demand quantities outlined for each type [10] Event Analysis - The procurement targets include drug-coated balloons for coronary arteries and peripheral blood vessels, as well as various urological intervention devices, with significant annual demand figures provided [10] - The highest effective bid prices will be determined based on provincial procurement prices and other pricing sources [11] Market Implications - The centralized procurement is expected to standardize the procurement and usage of medical consumables, improving industry ecology [14] - Companies with strong production cost reduction capabilities and good demand volumes are recommended for attention [6][14]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected relative increase in stock price of over 20% compared to the benchmark index within the next six months [5][12]. Core Insights - The company is experiencing a continuous increase in the proportion of high-performance electronic fabrics, strengthening its core competitive advantages. It leads globally in the technology of ultra-thin fabrics and ultra-fine yarns, with electronic fabric products reaching a minimum thickness of 8 microns and yarn diameters as fine as 4 microns. The company has achieved breakthroughs in various high-value-added and high-functionality products, making it one of the few companies with a complete product line in the industry [3][4]. - The company is set to begin mass production of high-performance electronic fabrics in 2025, following successful customer certifications for its low dielectric constant and low thermal expansion coefficient glass fiber fabrics. The revenue from high-performance electronic fabric products is projected to grow significantly, reaching 13.54% of the main business revenue in the first half of 2025 [3][4]. - The company plans to invest in the construction of high-performance glass fiber yarn production lines and a special glass fiber research center, with total planned investments of 7.2 billion yuan and 0.92 billion yuan, respectively. This will enhance production capacity and ensure a stable supply of core raw materials for high-performance electronic fabrics [4]. Financial Projections - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 11.62 billion yuan, 15.86 billion yuan, and 21.66 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively. The net profit attributable to the parent company is projected to be 1.88 billion yuan, 3.02 billion yuan, and 4.74 billion yuan for the same years [5][9]. - The company's revenue growth rates are forecasted at 26.24%, 39.27%, 36.48%, and 36.54% for the years 2024, 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [9][14].

证券研究报告：通信 | 公司点评报告 Q3 业绩企稳，卫星互联网核心地位稳固 事件： 发布时间：2025-12-23 股票投资评级 增持|首次覆盖 公司基本情况 | 最新收盘价（元） | 10.21 | | --- | --- | | 总股本/流通股本（亿股）34.19 / 20.17 | | | 总市值/流通市值（亿元）349 / 206 | | | 52 周内最高/最低价 | 10.21 / 4.88 | | 资产负债率(%) | 53.5% | | 市盈率 | -127.63 | | 第一大股东 | 中国信息通信科技集团 | | 有限公司 | | 研究所 分析师:孙业亮 SAC 登记编号:S1340522110002 Email:sunyeliang@cnpsec.com 分析师:刘聪颖 SAC 登记编号:S1340525100001 Email:liucongying@cnpsec.com 信科移动(688387) 公司发布 2025 年第三季度报告，前三季度实现营收 37.63 亿元， 同比减少 9.25%；实现归母净利润-1.65 亿元。 点评： 投资建议： 预计公司 2025-2027 年 EP ...