1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - Today, the convertible bond market followed the equity market's upward trend, with valuations rising on a month - on - month basis. The trading sentiment in the convertible bond market weakened [1]. - The convertible bond price center increased, and the proportion of high - price bonds rose. The overall weighted average closing price of convertible bonds was 124.13 yuan, up 0.43% from yesterday [2]. - Valuations increased. The fitted conversion premium rate for 100 - yuan par value was 25.30%, up 0.71 pct from yesterday [2]. - In the industry performance, more than half of the underlying stock industry indices rose, with 17 industries rising in the A - share market and 18 in the convertible bond market [3]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 Market Main Index Performance - The CSI Convertible Bond Index rose 0.40% month - on - month, the Shanghai Composite Index rose 0.48%, the Shenzhen Component Index rose 0.47%, the ChiNext Index rose 0.22%, the SSE 50 Index rose 0.62%, and the CSI 1000 Index rose 0.25% [1]. - Small - cap value stocks were relatively dominant. Small - cap value stocks rose 1.06%, while large - cap growth stocks rose 0.14% [1]. | Index Code | Index Name | Closing Price | Daily Change (%) | Weekly Change (%) | Monthly Change (%) | YTD Change (%) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 000832.CSI | CSI Convertible Bond | 450.71 | 0.40 | 1.43 | 3.45 | 8.72 | | 889033.WI | Convertible Bond Equal - Weighted | 213.99 | 0.28 | 0.99 | 2.56 | 10.04 | | 8841324.WI | Convertible Bond Index | 1960.13 | 0.34 | 1.94 | 4.41 | 18.75 | | 884257.WI | Convertible Bond Pre - plan | 1713.71 | 0.21 | 1.32 | 5.18 | 17.43 | | 000001.SH | Shanghai Composite Index | 3509.68 | 0.48 | 1.59 | 3.23 | 4.71 | | 399001.SZ | Shenzhen Component Index | 10631.13 | 0.47 | 2.10 | 3.72 | 2.08 | | 399006.SZ | ChiNext Index | 2189.58 | 0.22 | 3.10 | 6.22 | 2.24 | | 000016.SH | SSE 50 Index | 2756.93 | 0.62 | 1.26 | 2.61 | 2.69 | | 000852.SH | CSI 1000 Index | 6406.57 | 0.25 | 1.54 | 3.02 | 7.53 | [7] 3.2 Market Capital Performance - The trading volume in the convertible bond market was 66.907 billion yuan, a 1.57% decrease from the previous day. The total trading volume of the Wind All - A Index was 1.515068 trillion yuan, a 0.81% decrease from the previous day [1]. - The net outflow of main funds from the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets was 21.158 billion yuan, and the yield of the 10 - year Treasury bond rose 1.70 bp to 1.66% [1]. 3.3 Convertible Bond Price and Valuation - The overall closing - price weighted average of convertible bonds was 124.13 yuan, up 0.43% from yesterday. The closing price of equity - biased convertible bonds was 164.25 yuan, down 0.91%; that of bond - biased convertible bonds was 115.18 yuan, up 0.46%; and that of balanced convertible bonds was 124.13 yuan, up 0.29% [2]. - The proportion of bonds with a closing price above 130 yuan was 33.19%, up 1.57 pct from yesterday. The largest change in proportion was in the 100 - 110 (including 110) range, with a proportion of 3.19%, down 1.08 pct from yesterday. There were 2 bonds with a closing price below 100 yuan [2]. - The median price was 125.74 yuan, up 0.51% from yesterday. The fitted conversion premium rate for 100 - yuan par value was 25.30%, up 0.71 pct from yesterday. The overall weighted par value was 94.96 yuan, up 0.51% from yesterday [2]. 3.4 Industry Performance - In the A - share market, the top three rising industries were real estate (+3.19%), petroleum and petrochemicals (+1.54%), and steel (+1.44%); the top three falling industries were automobiles (-0.62%), media (-0.54%), and national defense and military industry (-0.41%) [3]. - In the convertible bond market, the top three rising industries were environmental protection (+2.50%), coal (+1.39%), and non - bank finance (+0.95%); the top three falling industries were communications (-0.92%), agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry and fishery (-0.67%), and media (-0.24%) [3]. - In terms of different sectors: - Closing price: The large - cycle sector rose 0.81%, the manufacturing sector rose 0.05%, the technology sector fell 0.22%, the large - consumption sector rose 0.12%, and the large - finance sector rose 0.66% [3]. - Conversion premium rate: The large - cycle sector decreased 1.1 pct, the manufacturing sector increased 0.32 pct, the technology sector increased 0.024 pct, the large - consumption sector decreased 0.13 pct, and the large - finance sector decreased 0.34 pct [3]. - Conversion value: The large - cycle sector rose 1.12%, the manufacturing sector fell 0.41%, the technology sector fell 0.25%, the large - consumption sector rose 0.07%, and the large - finance sector rose 0.96% [3]. - Pure - bond premium rate: The large - cycle sector rose 1.0 pct, the manufacturing sector rose 0.046 pct, the technology sector fell 0.28 pct, the large - consumption sector rose 0.11 pct, and the large - finance sector rose 0.77 pct [4]. 3.5 Industry Rotation - Real estate, petroleum and petrochemicals, and steel led the rise. For example, real estate had a daily increase of 3.19% in the underlying stock market, and its PE (TTM) 3 - year quantile was 97.80%, and PB (LF) 3 - year quantile was 51.03% [53].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommendation" rating for J&T Express (01519.HK) [1] Core Views - J&T Express reported a significant year-on-year increase of 66% in parcel volume in Southeast Asia for Q2, with an average daily volume of 18.5 million parcels [1][3] - The overall average daily parcel volume for the group reached 81.2 million, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 23.5% [1] - The company is expected to benefit from the strong growth of e-commerce platforms like TikTok in Southeast Asia, which is projected to reach a GMV of $128.4 billion by 2024 [1][2] - J&T Express has maintained its position as the leading express operator in Southeast Asia, with a market share of 28.6% in 2024, up 3.2 percentage points from 2023 [2][3] Summary by Sections Company Performance - In Q2, J&T Express's daily average parcel volume in Southeast Asia was 18.5 million, a 66% increase year-on-year, while the daily average volume in China reached 61.7 million, growing by 14.7% [1] - For the first half of the year, the total daily average parcel volume for the group was 76.9 million, up 26% year-on-year, with Southeast Asia showing a 57% increase [1] Market Dynamics - TikTok's e-commerce growth in Southeast Asia has been robust, with its GMV increasing from $4.4 billion in 2022 to $16.3 billion in 2023, and projected to reach $22.6 billion in 2024 [2] - J&T Express is positioned to benefit from the increasing parcel volumes driven by e-commerce growth, despite competition from platforms like Shopee and Lazada [2] Financial Projections - The target price for J&T Express is set at HKD 11.16, with the current price at HKD 8.39, indicating a potential upside of 33% [4] - Revenue projections for J&T Express are expected to grow from $10.26 billion in 2024 to $15.52 billion in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate of 15.9% [8]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for 康耐特光学 (02276.HK) with an expected target price of 54.5 HKD, compared to the current price of 39.90 HKD [2][4]. Core Insights - Meta has acquired approximately 3% of Essilor's shares for about 30 billion euros (approximately 252 billion RMB), indicating a focus on smart glasses and the importance of lens manufacturers in the supply chain [2]. - The report highlights the strong performance of 康耐特光学 in the first half of the year, with a projected net profit growth of over 30% year-on-year, driven by the sales increase of high-refractive index and functional products [8]. - The company is actively cultivating a second growth curve in smart glasses, collaborating with leading 3C companies, and is expected to benefit from a global market expansion [8]. Financial Summary - Projected total revenue for 康耐特光学 is expected to grow from 2,061 million RMB in 2024 to 3,554 million RMB in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 19.2% [4]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to increase from 428 million RMB in 2024 to 862 million RMB in 2027, reflecting a CAGR of 24.1% [4]. - Earnings per share (EPS) is projected to rise from 1.00 RMB in 2024 to 1.80 RMB in 2027, with a corresponding decrease in price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio from 36.2 to 20.2 [4].

Investment Rating - The report gives a "Buy" rating for the company, marking its first coverage [1]. Core Views - The company is expected to benefit from three main factors: the military radar business may gain from the acceleration of new combat capabilities; the Chinese military trade market is on the rise, which the company may continue to benefit from; and there is a focus on the company's low-altitude layout [7][10]. Financial Summary - Total revenue projections for the company are as follows: 2024A: 218 million, 2025E: 1,077 million, 2026E: 1,345 million, 2027E: 1,616 million, with significant growth rates expected [2]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be: 2024A: -78 million, 2025E: 126 million, 2026E: 175 million, 2027E: 243 million, indicating a recovery from losses in 2024 [2]. - Earnings per share are expected to improve from -0.23 in 2024 to 0.72 in 2027 [2]. Company Overview - The company is a leading entity in China's air defense early warning radar sector, with its main products including air defense early warning radars, radar supporting equipment, and radar components [6][20]. - The company has a low debt ratio, with an asset-liability ratio of 17.9% as of Q1 2025, indicating a strong financial position [34]. Market Position - The company is positioned as one of the main manufacturers of air defense early warning radars in China, with a significant market share in military radar production [20][23]. - The company has seen a notable increase in military trade revenue, which rose from approximately 3% in 2022 to 15% in 2023 [10][11]. Product and Technology - The company has developed a range of low-altitude detection products, including low-altitude safety control systems and various low-altitude detection radars, which have already received bulk orders from users [10][26]. - The company’s radar products are crucial for modern military operations, providing essential information for air defense and combat systems [40][42].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Recommended," indicating an expected increase in the industry index by more than 5% over the next 3-6 months compared to the benchmark index [4][65]. Core Insights - June saw a strong performance in the automotive industry, with narrow passenger car production reaching 2.42 million units, a year-on-year increase of 13% and a month-on-month increase of 6%. Wholesale figures were 2.49 million units, up 14% year-on-year and 7% month-on-month [3][7]. - The report anticipates that the terminal market will remain robust in the second half of the year, with reduced risks from price wars due to a dual backdrop of "anti-involution" and strong sales. However, there are concerns about potential fluctuations in sales due to subsidy policy changes next year, which may suppress investment sentiment in the sector [3][7]. - Recommendations include Jianghuai Automobile for complete vehicles, with a relatively optimistic outlook for the second half of the year. Other companies to watch include Li Auto, BAIC Blue Valley, SAIC Motor, Seres, and Xiaomi Group, particularly focusing on Li Auto's i8 launch and management reforms at BAIC and SAIC [3][7]. - For auto parts, the report suggests a low-position layout due to significant industry beta influence and recent weak performance in the robotics supply chain. Recommended companies include Xinquan, Xingyu, Aikodi, Haoneng, and Horizon, with a focus on New Tai Ge [3][7]. Sales, Inventory, and Pricing Sales - In June, wholesale sales of passenger cars reached 2.49 million units, with a year-on-year increase of 14% and a month-on-month increase of 7%. The estimated retail sales for June were approximately 2.1 million units, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 23% and a month-on-month increase of 14% [7][8]. - The report estimates that the total retail sales for 2025 will be 24 million units, representing a year-on-year growth of 5.7%, while wholesale sales are projected to reach 29.48 million units, up 8.1% year-on-year [7][8]. Inventory - The report notes that June exports were 480,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 20% and a month-on-month increase of 4%, leading to a channel destocking of approximately 100,000 units [7][8]. - The overall inventory situation is influenced by a higher stocking intensity in 2025 compared to the same period in 2024, with a cumulative increase of 300,000 units in the first half of the year [7][8]. Pricing - The report indicates that the risk of a severe price war in the industry is low, with expected stable profitability for enterprises. The average discount rate in early June was 10.6%, reflecting a month-on-month increase of 0.4 percentage points [7][8]. - The report highlights that the trend of price wars may be mitigated by government policies aimed at regulating low-price competition and promoting product quality [7][8].

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Viewpoints of the Report - In June 2025, the year-on-year CPI rose to 0.1%, and the year-on-year PPI fell to -3.6%. Gold and oil prices affected inflation, with gold contributing to the rise of core CPI but not being the main factor, and the increase in oil prices failing to reverse the decline of PPI due to domestic production seasonality and weakening export effects [1][9]. Summary by Directory 1. Two Core Concerns about Prices Amid Gold and Oil Price Fluctuations (1) Is the Rise of Core CPI Driven by Gold Prices or the Recovery of Demand? - Core CPI can be split into services, core consumer goods (excluding gold), and gold. In the first half of 2025, core CPI rose 0.5% cumulatively month-on-month, with gold contributing 0.13%, services 0.17%, and other core consumer goods 0.2%. Gold helped boost core CPI but was not the main factor. After excluding gold, core consumer goods' month-on-month performance in Q2 was weaker than in Q1, suggesting potential new consumption stimulus policies [2][10]. (2) Why Did the Year-on-Year PPI Decline in June Despite a Sharp Increase in Oil Prices? - In June, the PPI month-on-month decline remained at -0.4%. Although the 9% increase in oil prices boosted PPI by about 0.3 percentage points, the domestic production off-season and the weakening of the "rush to export" effect offset this impact. Industries such as ferrous metal smelting and processing, non-metallic mineral products, and coal-related industries affected the PPI month-on-month decline by about 0.33 percentage points. Some export-oriented industries also saw price drops [2][15]. 2. June CPI: Food Performed Better than Seasonal Averages, and Oil and Gold Prices Supported the Month-on-Month Recovery, with the Year-on-Year Rate Rising to 0.1% (1) Food Items: Rainfall Supported Fresh Vegetables, while Pork, Eggs, and Fresh Fruits Were Drags - The month-on-month CPI food item fell to around -0.4%, better than the seasonal average, affecting the CPI to decline by about 0.09 percentage points. Pork prices dropped 1.2% due to oversupply. Fresh food prices were mixed, with freshwater fish and fresh vegetables rising, while eggs and fresh fruits fell, overall affecting the CPI to decline by about 0.07 percentage points [19]. (2) Non-Food Items: Oil, Gold, and Rent Were Supports, while Cars and Tourism Were Drags - The month-on-month CPI non-food item recovered to around 0. Energy prices rose as domestic oil prices followed overseas trends, with gasoline prices rising 0.4%. Core consumer goods were dragged down by clothing and cars, while gold was a support. Services showed little change overall, with tourism weaker than seasonal and rent rising during the graduation season [21][27][28]. 3. June PPI: The Domestic Production Off-season and Some Export Industries Led to a Year-on-Year Decline to -3.6% (1) Overall: The Month-on-Month Decline of PPI Remained around -0.4% - The month-on-month decline of PPI remained around -0.4%, mainly dragged down by production materials, and consumer goods also weakened. Production materials prices fell 0.6%, and consumer goods prices turned negative [35]. (2) By Industry: The Crude Oil Industry Chain Was the Main Support, while Raw Material Manufacturing and Some Export Industries Were Drags - In June, about two-thirds of industrial producer industries saw price declines. The crude oil industry chain was the main support, with prices in related industries rising or their decline narrowing. Drags included raw material manufacturing industries such as building materials, energy industries like coal and electricity, and export-related industries such as electronics, electrical machinery, and textiles [35][39][44].

Group 1: Inflation Data Overview - In June, the CPI increased by 0.1% year-on-year, while the PPI decreased by 3.6% year-on-year, exceeding expectations of a 3.2% decline[4] - The nominal GDP growth rate for Q2 is estimated at 4.4%, slightly down from 4.6% in Q1[5] - The GDP deflator index is projected to be around -0.9% for Q2, compared to -0.8% in Q1[5] Group 2: CPI and PPI Analysis - The core CPI rose by 0.7% year-on-year, up from 0.6% in the previous month[6] - The PPI's year-on-year decline widened from 3.3% to 3.6%, with production materials dropping by 4.4% year-on-year[35] - The PPI's month-on-month decline was 0.4%, consistent with the previous month[35] Group 3: Inventory and Price Dynamics - Actual inventory growth has increased from 5.7% at the end of last year to 7.0% in May, indicating potential price pressures[12] - The actual inventory growth in the mining and upstream manufacturing sectors has decreased significantly, impacting PPI positively when it approaches zero[13] - Among 39 comparable industries, 23 have higher inventory levels than last year, but only 8 exceed levels from the first half of 2015[17]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - In July, the overall capital gap pressure may be seasonally large, with a liquidity gap of around 2.4 trillion yuan. The fiscal disturbances are likely to be concentrated in the second half of the month. After a slight easing at the beginning of July, the funds will converge upwards, and the room for further easing is limited [1][2][67]. - In June, the central bank actively supported the cross - quarter period. The overnight funds were generally stable, while the volatility range of 7D funds increased slightly. The over - reserve level may have recovered to a seasonally high level. The second - quarter monetary policy meeting did not mention "reserve requirement ratio cuts or interest rate cuts" and emphasized "preventing capital idling" and "monitoring long - term yields", indicating limited room for significant capital easing in the future [3][6][46]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 6 - Month Review of Capital and Liquidity: Active Support at Quarter - End, Brief Tightening of Capital Prices 3.1.1 Capital Review: Slightly Enlarged Fluctuation Range of 7D at Quarter - End - In June 2025, the central bank actively supported the cross - quarter period. Overnight funds were generally stable, and the 7D funds showed a larger fluctuation range. The 7D weighted price fluctuated more widely compared to the previous month, and the spread between 7D and overnight funds widened at the quarter - end without inversion [6]. - In the early part of June, the upfront operation of 3M term repurchase agreements (1 trillion yuan) made the capital expectation turn looser. In the middle, the 6M repurchase agreement (4000 billion yuan) offset the tax - period disturbances. In the late part, despite the central bank's support, the capital price tightened due to slow institutional cross - quarter operations and high bond market leverage [7]. - The capital stratification pressure in June was not significant, with the spreads at seasonally low levels. The volatility of overnight funds remained low, and the 7D funds were also at a seasonally low level. The average daily trading volume of inter - bank pledged repurchase increased slightly, and the net lending of state - owned banks recovered, while that of money market funds declined [13][18][19]. 3.1.2 Liquidity Review: Reserve Requirement Ratio Cut Implemented, Bank Liquidity Level Increased - In terms of liquidity volume, the end - of - month over - reserve may have increased by 7061 billion yuan, and the over - reserve ratio was around 1.57%, at a seasonally high level. However, the narrow over - reserve level after deducting reverse repurchases was still relatively low at around 0.8% [31]. - In open - market operations, the central bank actively increased the reverse - repurchase investment in June, with a net investment of 5359 billion yuan. The MLF investment was 3000 billion yuan, and the net investment of the repurchase agreement was 2000 billion yuan. There was no treasury - deposit operation, and 1000 billion yuan of treasury deposits matured [34][40][42]. 3.2 6 - Month Monetary Policy Tracking: Lujiazui Forum Focused on Global Governance, Monetary Policy Meeting Concerned about Long - Term Interest Rates - In June 2025, the Lujiazui Forum focused on non - bank leverage, and the end - of - month meeting still concerned about capital idling and long - term interest rates. The upfront operation of the 3M repurchase agreement in June signaled the central bank's support for the capital market. The Lujiazui Forum discussed non - bank institution leverage and supervision [46][47]. - The second - quarter monetary policy meeting suggested increasing the intensity of monetary policy regulation, emphasizing long - term interest rate risks and preventing capital idling. The large - scale purchase of short - term treasury bonds by large banks and relevant media reports triggered market attention to the central bank's bond - buying operations [49][50]. 3.3 July Gap Prediction: Fiscal Disturbances May Concentrate in the Second Half of the Month 3.3.1 Rigid Gap: Slight Release of Reserves, Large - Scale Repurchase Agreement Maturity - In July, as it is the beginning of the quarter, the reserve release may supplement liquidity by around 1388 billion yuan. The MLF maturity is 3000 billion yuan, and the total maturity of the repurchase agreement is 1.2 trillion yuan (7000 billion yuan for 3M and 5000 billion yuan for 6M) [1][55]. 3.3.2 Exogenous Shocks: Limited Impact of Cash Withdrawal and Non - Financial Institution Deposits on Over - Reserves - In July, cash withdrawal may slightly consume over - reserves by 705 billion yuan, while non - financial institution deposits may slightly supplement over - reserves by 215 billion yuan [1][59]. 3.3.3 Fiscal Factors: Large - Scale Government Bond Issuance, Fiscal Expenditure Concentrated at Quarter - End - The government bonds' net financing scale in July 2025 may rise to around 1.6 trillion yuan, and the government deposits may freeze around 9000 billion yuan of liquidity, putting pressure on the capital market [60]. 3.3.4 Comprehensive Judgment: Pay Attention to the Impact of Large - Scale Payments - The overall capital gap in July is estimated to be around 2.4 trillion yuan. After a slight easing at the beginning of July, the funds will converge upwards, and the room for further easing is limited. The capital disturbance in the middle of the month, especially due to tax payments and government bond payments, deserves attention [1][2][67].

Group 1: Inflation Data Overview - In June, the CPI increased by 0.1% year-on-year, while the core CPI rose by 0.7%, up from 0.6% in the previous month[2] - The PPI decreased by 3.6% year-on-year, worse than the expected decline of 3.2%[2] - The nominal GDP growth rate for Q2 is estimated at 4.4%, slightly down from 4.6% in Q1[3] Group 2: PPI Analysis - The PPI's decline is attributed to weak demand and delayed transmission of raw material prices to related industries[3] - The PPI's month-on-month decline was 0.4%, with domestic raw material prices contributing approximately 0.18 percentage points to this decline[5] - The increase in green electricity has led to a 0.9% month-on-month drop in electricity supply PPI[3] Group 3: CPI Insights - The CPI decreased by 0.1% month-on-month, with rental prices rising by 0.1%, lower than the 0.25% increase seen in the same period from 2015 to 2019[4] - Durable goods prices improved, with transportation prices down 0.4%, better than the average decline of 0.6% over the past three years[4] - Medical service prices have increased for three consecutive months by 0.3%, raising questions about the sustainability of this trend[4] Group 4: Inventory and PPI Relationship - Actual inventory growth has risen from 5.7% at the end of last year to 7.0% in May, indicating potential price pressures[6] - The mining and upstream manufacturing sectors have seen significant declines in actual inventory growth, impacting PPI positively when inventory levels drop[6] - In 39 comparable industries, 23 have higher inventory levels than last year, but only 8 exceed levels from the first half of 2015[7]

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core View of the Report - In June 2025, CPI increased by 0.1% year-on-year, and PPI decreased by 3.6% year-on-year. Gold prices and oil prices affected inflation, with gold contributing to the rise of core CPI but not being the main factor, and the increase in oil prices being offset by the off - season of domestic production and the weakening of the "rush - export" effect on PPI [6][9]. Summary According to the Table of Contents I. Two Core Concerns about Prices Amid Gold and Oil Price Fluctuations (1) Is the Recovery of Core CPI Driven by Gold Prices or the Recovery of the Demand Side? - Core CPI can be split into services, core consumer goods (excluding gold), and gold. In the first half of 2025, core CPI increased by 0.5% cumulatively month - on - month, with gold contributing 0.13%, services contributing 0.17%, and other core consumer goods contributing 0.2%. Gold boosted core CPI but was not the main factor. The core consumer goods excluding gold were weaker in Q2 than in Q1, and a new round of consumption stimulus policies may be introduced [12]. (2) Why Did PPI Decrease Year - on - Year in June Despite the Sharp Increase in Oil Prices? - In June, the month - on - month decline of PPI remained at - 0.4%. Although the 9% increase in crude oil prices pulled PPI up by about 0.3 percentage points, the off - season of domestic production and the weakening of the "rush - export" effect offset this impact. In the off - season of domestic production, industries such as ferrous metal smelting and rolling processing, non - metallic mineral products, coal - related industries, and power and heat production and supply affected PPI to decline by about 0.33 percentage points. After the weakening of the "rush - export" effect, the prices of some export - oriented industries continued to fall [16]. II. June CPI: Food Performed Better than Seasonal Trends, and Oil and Gold Prices Supported the Month - on - Month Recovery, with the Year - on - Year Increase Reaching 0.1% (1) Food Items - The month - on - month decline of the CPI food item in June fell back to around - 0.4%, better than the seasonal trend, affecting CPI to decline by about 0.09 percentage points. Pork prices decreased by 1.2% due to oversupply. Fresh food prices were better than the seasonal trend, with freshwater fish and fresh vegetables rising by 4.3% and 0.7% respectively, while eggs and fresh fruits dragged down the CPI [20]. (2) Non - food Items - The month - on - month of the CPI non - food item recovered to around 0. Oil prices rebounded, with gasoline prices rising by 0.4%. Core consumer goods were mainly dragged down by clothing and automobiles, while gold prices were the main supporting factor, affecting CPI to decline by about 0.01 percentage points. Tourism was weaker than the seasonal trend, and rent increased during the graduation season, with little change in overall service prices [21][27][30]. III. June PPI: The Off - season of Domestic Production and the Drag of Some Export Industries Led to a Year - on - Year Decline to - 3.6% (1) Overall - The month - on - month decline of PPI remained around - 0.4%, mainly dragged down by production materials, and consumer goods also weakened. Production materials prices decreased by 0.6%, and consumer goods prices turned negative [35]. (2) By Industry - In June 2025, the number of industries with falling prices among industrial producers remained around two - thirds. The main supporting factor was the crude oil industry chain. The drag factors included raw material manufacturing industries such as building materials, energy prices of coal and electricity, and export - related industries such as electronic equipment, electrical machinery, and textiles [37][41][43].