1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Views of the Report - Gold prices are expected to be strongly volatile in the short - term, but whether they can continue to rise and start the next wave of the market remains to be observed [12]. - The US dollar is expected to weaken in the short - term [16]. - For stock indices, a balanced long - position allocation is recommended [20]. - US stock index futures should be treated with a bullish mindset [26]. - The bond market is expected to be in a state of oscillation, and short - term trading is not recommended to chase long positions [29]. - For various commodities, different investment suggestions are given according to their respective fundamentals, such as short - term bullish or bearish outlooks, and strategies like long or short positions at appropriate times [32][35][39] etc. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Financial News and Comments 3.1.1 Macro Strategy (Gold) - Fed Governor Milan believes a 50 - basis - point rate cut in December is appropriate, and at least a 25 - basis - point cut is needed. Gold prices rose nearly 3% due to expectations of the Fed's potential balance - sheet expansion and Trump's proposed fiscal expansion. Buying funds entered the market around $4000. Gold is expected to be strongly volatile in the short - term, but the sustainability of the upward trend needs further observation [12]. 3.1.2 Macro Strategy (Foreign Exchange Futures - US Dollar Index) - Switzerland is close to reaching a deal with the US to reduce its export tariff to 15%. Trump supports the Senate's agreement to end the government shutdown. The US dollar index is expected to weaken in the short - term due to the relief of market tightness and the recovery of risk appetite [13][14][16]. 3.1.3 Macro Strategy (Stock Index Futures) - The A - share market was strong driven by consumer stocks. New policies on consumption have been introduced this year, but the sustainability of the traditional consumer stocks' rally remains to be seen. A balanced long - position allocation for stock indices is recommended [17][19][20]. 3.1.4 Macro Strategy (US Stock Index Futures) - Some Fed officials have different views on interest - rate cuts. Trump is trying to reduce tariffs on Switzerland and India. The Senate passed a temporary appropriation bill. The US stock index futures should be treated with a bullish mindset [21][23][25][26]. 3.1.5 Macro Strategy (Treasury Bond Futures) - The central bank conducted a 7 - day reverse repurchase operation, resulting in a net injection of funds. Inflation data has a limited negative impact on the bond market. The bond market is in a state of oscillation, and short - term trading is not recommended to chase long positions [27][28][29]. 3.2 Commodity News and Comments 3.2.1 Agricultural Products (Soybean Meal) - Last week, domestic soybean oil mills' soybean inventory increased, while soybean meal inventory decreased. Brazilian soybean sowing progress is slower than last year. Soybean meal prices are expected to oscillate in the short - term. Attention should be paid to the USDA's monthly supply - demand report and China's soybean procurement and South American weather [30][32]. 3.2.2 Black Metals (Rebar/Hot - Rolled Coil) - The Simandou Iron Ore project is about to be put into production. Steel prices are oscillating slightly upward, but there is no obvious trend. The valuation of steel prices is not high, but there is still fundamental pressure. Steel prices are expected to remain weakly oscillating in the short - term [33][34][35]. 3.2.3 Agricultural Products (Sugar) - Pakistan's sugar mills will start crushing on November 15. The 25/26 sugar - crushing season in Guangxi is expected to start on November 15, postponed by 7 days. India allows 150,000 tons of sugar exports in the 25/26 season. Zhengzhou sugar futures are expected to oscillate in the short - term, and a long - short spread strategy for the 1 - 5 contracts can be considered [36][38][39]. 3.2.4 Black Metals (Steam Coal) - On November 10, the import market of steam coal had a dull trading performance. Coal prices have risen sharply since November, supported by seasonal demand. However, there is also regulatory pressure above 800 yuan. Attention should be paid to the risk of price corrections [40][41]. 3.2.5 Black Metals (Iron Ore) - Grange's iron ore production and sales increased in the third quarter. Iron ore prices are in a weak oscillation. The supply pressure is moderately high, and the inventory is expected to accumulate seasonally in November - December. The valuation space is difficult to open in the short - term [42]. 3.2.6 Black Metals (Coking Coal/Coke) - The coking coal price in the East China market is running strongly. The supply is in a tight - balance state, and the fourth round of coke price increases is underway. The coking coal market is expected to be difficult to fall in the short - term, but the decline in hot - metal production and high downstream inventory may put pressure on the market [43][44]. 3.2.7 Agricultural Products (Soybean Oil/Rapeseed Oil/Palm Oil) - MPOB data shows that Malaysia's palm oil inventory increased in October. The oil market rebounded slightly due to the release of the data. Palm oil prices are expected to oscillate after a small - scale rebound in November. Attention should be paid to the weather from December to early next year. Opportunities for long positions in the 05 contract and 1 - 5 spread short - positions can be considered [45][46][47]. 3.2.8 Agricultural Products (Corn Starch) - Corn starch enterprises in different regions have different levels of theoretical profits. Corn prices are rising, and starch prices are stable. Enterprises are expected to maintain profitability, and the开机 rate is expected to increase. A band - trading strategy is recommended [48]. 3.2.9 Agricultural Products (Corn) - Corn prices are strong. Farmers' willingness to sell is weak, and the supply - demand situation is slightly tight. The 01 contract is expected to oscillate in the short - term and rebound in the long - term. Caution is needed for far - month contracts [49]. 3.2.10 Agricultural Products (Red Dates) - The purchase price of red dates in the production area has been slightly reduced. The futures price of the main contract has fallen. It is recommended to wait and see until the harvesting is completed and pay attention to the price negotiation and purchase progress in the production area [50][51]. 3.2.11 Non - Ferrous Metals (Polysilicon) - The government issued a guidance on promoting new - energy consumption and regulation. The polysilicon market is entering a critical point of policy - and fundamental - based games. If the progress of platform companies fails to meet expectations, the spot price may fall. A short - position strategy at high prices can be considered [52][53][54]. 3.2.12 Non - Ferrous Metals (Industrial Silicon) - A shareholder of Hesheng Silicon Industry plans to reduce its shareholding. With the arrival of the dry season, the production in Yunnan and Sichuan has decreased. A long - position strategy at low prices can be considered, but profit - taking at high prices is necessary [55][56]. 3.2.13 Non - Ferrous Metals (Lead) - The LME lead is at a discount, and the inventory of lead ingots is increasing. The supply and demand of lead are expected to remain strong in the short - term. The industry can consider short - position hedging at high prices [57][58]. 3.2.14 Non - Ferrous Metals (Zinc) - Domestic zinc concentrate production decreased in November. The LME zinc is at a premium, and the domestic inventory has slightly increased. The industry can consider short - position hedging at medium - term highs, and a long - short spread strategy can be considered [59][60][61]. 3.2.15 Non - Ferrous Metals (Nickel) - Sumitomo's nickel - bean production increased. The raw - material price is expected to remain stable and strong. The inventory accumulation of refined nickel is slowing down. Attention can be paid to long - position opportunities after the inventory accumulation inflection point [62][63]. 3.2.16 Non - Ferrous Metals (Lithium Carbonate) - Ganfeng Lithium's PPGS lithium - salt lake project obtained an environmental assessment report. The lithium - carbonate market is in a game between strong current reality and weak future expectations. It is expected to be strongly oscillating in the short - term, and a short - position strategy at high prices can be considered in the medium - term [64][65][66]. 3.2.17 Non - Ferrous Metals (Copper) - A Congolese mine suspended operations due to a leakage incident. A company applied for a US seabed - mining license. The valuation of an Ecuadorian copper mine is $4.6 billion. Copper prices are expected to rise in the short - term, and a long - position strategy can be considered, but large - scale increases are limited [67][68][70]. 3.2.18 Energy and Chemicals (Crude Oil) - Two Indian state - owned enterprises bought 5 million barrels of oil from the US and the Middle East. Oil prices are oscillating, and the recovery of market risk appetite provides some support [70][71]. 3.2.19 Energy and Chemicals (Pulp) - The pulp market is relatively strong recently, but the risk of further upward movement has increased as European pulp can now be registered as warehouse receipts [73]. 3.2.20 Energy and Chemicals (Caustic Soda) - The caustic - soda market in Shandong is stable. The supply is sufficient, and the demand is moderate. The market is expected to oscillate in the short - term [74][75][76]. 3.2.21 Energy and Chemicals (PVC) - The PVC powder market price is weakly sorted. The supply is expected to increase, and the demand is limited. A short - position strategy at rebounds for near - month contracts and a long - position strategy for far - month contracts after price over - decline can be considered [77][78]. 3.2.22 Energy and Chemicals (Urea) - The capacity - utilization rate of compound fertilizers is stable. Urea prices rebounded due to new export - quota policies and replenishment demand. Urea prices are expected to oscillate within a certain range [79][80][81]. 3.2.23 Energy and Chemicals (Styrene) - A new styrene device of Guoen was put into operation. The fundamental upward drive of pure benzene and styrene is limited. A wait - and - see attitude is recommended [82][83][84]. 3.2.24 Energy and Chemicals (Asphalt) - Asphalt refinery inventory increased, while social inventory decreased. The asphalt market is weakly oscillating, and it is waiting for the winter - storage policy [85][86][87]. 3.2.25 Energy and Chemicals (Soda Ash) - Soda - ash manufacturers' inventory decreased slightly. Soda - ash prices rose due to cost support and production suspension of some enterprises. In the short - term, the downward space of soda - ash prices depends on coal - price fluctuations and new - capacity commissioning. A bearish view is recommended in the medium - term [88]. 3.2.26 Energy and Chemicals (Float Glass) - The price of float glass in the Shahe market decreased. The glass market is bearish due to weak production and sales after price increases last week. It is recommended to wait and see [89][90]. 3.2.27 Shipping Index (Container Freight Rate) - Maersk has no intention to return to the Red Sea in the short - term. The SCFIS (Europe route) index increased. The container - freight - rate market is expected to oscillate in the short - term. Attention should be paid to the spot price and booking situation [91][92].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information available 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The supply - demand gap in the photovoltaic glass industry is expected to widen further, and there is downward pressure on prices. The short - term demand for photovoltaic glass will decline, while the supply is on an upward trend. The inventory of manufacturers may face high - pressure again, and the price may decline slightly later [1][2][6] 3. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Photovoltaic Glass Weekly Outlook - Supply: A production line with a capacity of 1,200 tons per day was unexpectedly cold - repaired last week, causing a decline in supply. The current in - production capacity is 88,130 tons per day, with a capacity utilization rate of 67.40%. Overall, the actual supply shows an upward trend [6][10] - Demand: Short - term demand for photovoltaic glass will decline. Component manufacturers are using previously stocked glass, and November and December are seasonal off - peak demand months. The supply - demand gap is expected to widen [6][19] - Inventory: The inventory of photovoltaic glass manufacturers continued to increase last week. With rising supply and falling demand, manufacturers may face high - inventory pressure again [6][22] - Price: The current price may be temporarily stable, but there may be a slight decline later due to the widening supply - demand gap [2][6] 3.2 Domestic Photovoltaic Glass Industry Chain Data Overview 3.2.1 Photovoltaic Glass Spot Price - As of November 7, the mainstream price of 2.0mm coated (panel) photovoltaic glass was 13 yuan per square meter, unchanged from last week; the mainstream price of 3.2mm coated glass was 19.5 yuan per square meter, down from last week [7] 3.2.2 Supply - side - A production line with a capacity of 1,200 tons per day was unexpectedly cold - repaired last week, causing a decline in supply. The current in - production capacity is 88,130 tons per day, with a capacity utilization rate of 67.40%. The actual supply shows an upward trend [10] 3.2.3 Demand - side - Short - term demand for photovoltaic glass will decline. Component manufacturers are using previously stocked glass, and November and December are seasonal off - peak demand months. The supply - demand gap is expected to widen [19] 3.2.4 Inventory - side - The inventory of photovoltaic glass manufacturers continued to increase last week. With rising supply and falling demand, manufacturers may face high - inventory pressure again [22] 3.2.5 Cost - profit side - Last week, due to the decline in costs, the industry's gross profit margin rebounded to about 0.64% [25] 3.2.6 Trade - side - From January to September 2025, China's photovoltaic glass exports increased by 19.7% compared with the same period in 2024. The export market remains prosperous, and overseas installation demand is strong [33]

1. Report Industry Investment Ratings - Gold: Short - term, the price is in a correction trend, pay attention to the risk of decline [12] - US Dollar Index: Short - term, it is expected to fluctuate [16] - US Stock Index Futures: Short - term, the pessimistic sentiment may ferment, the market will fluctuate and adjust, but maintain a bullish view overall [19] - Treasury Bond Futures: Short - term, the bond market will fluctuate, it is recommended to observe more and trade less [23] - Stock Index Futures: Allocate long positions in each stock index evenly [26] - Thermal Coal: The price is strongly supported, but there is regulatory pressure above 800 yuan, pay attention to the risk of price correction [27] - Iron Ore: The price center is gradually weakening, and it is expected to be weak in the short - term [31] - Palm Oil and Soybean Oil: For palm oil, the MPOB report is crucial; for soybean oil, focus on US bio - fuel policies and US soybean purchases [34] - Sugar: The Zhengzhou sugar futures will be mainly volatile in the short - term, and the 1 - 5 contract long spread can be held [39] - Cotton: In the short - term, it will fluctuate between 13300 - 13600 - 13800; in the long - term, it is cautiously bullish, wait for the opportunity to go long on dips [44] - Bean Meal: It is currently in a situation of "cost support below and supply - demand suppression above", and pay attention to actual soybean purchases and South American production forecasts [47] - Steel: In the short - term, consider the steel price to be in a weak and volatile trend [51] - Corn Starch: In the medium - long term, the spot rice - flour price difference is expected to shrink, it is recommended to trade in bands [53] - Red Dates: The market is in intense game, operate cautiously, and focus on the price game and purchase progress in the producing areas [56] - Corn: The 01 contract is expected to be weak and volatile in the short - term, and rebound in the medium - long term; do not be overly optimistic about the far - month contracts [58] - Copper: Unilaterally, it is recommended to go long on dips; for arbitrage, it is recommended to wait and see [63] - Polysilicon: In November, it enters the critical point of policy and fundamentals game. Consider shorting on rallies [66] - Industrial Silicon: It is more cost - effective to go long on dips, and take profit at high levels [68] - Lithium Carbonate: In the short - term, it will fluctuate within a range; in the medium - term, consider shorting on rallies [74] - Nickel: Pay attention to the opportunity to go long on dips after the inflection point of inventory accumulation [78] - Lead: Industrially, consider shorting on rallies in the medium - term; for spreads, wait and see; for internal - external spreads, consider long internal - short external spreads [80] - Zinc: Industrially, consider shorting on rallies in the medium - term, but wait and see in the short - term; for spreads, consider long spreads in the medium - term; for internal - external spreads, it has a certain profit - loss ratio [81] - EU Carbon Emissions: The EU carbon price will fluctuate in the short - term [83] - Crude Oil: The oil price is expected to maintain a low - level oscillation [86] - PTA: In the short - term, the futures will be volatile and strong, but be cautious about the upside space [88] - Bottle Chip: Consider shorting the far - month processing margin on rallies, and the absolute price follows the polyester raw materials [92] - Urea: It will fluctuate within the range of 1580 - 1780 yuan/ton, and adjust according to the actual spot feedback [94] - Container Freight Rate: In the short - term, the market will fluctuate, and continuously monitor the spot price changes [96] 2. Core Views - The US government shutdown shows signs of resolution, which may boost market risk appetite and weaken the US dollar index. The US stock index futures market sentiment has recovered, but the consumer confidence index has declined [14][16][19] - China's October export growth rate decreased significantly, but it is expected to have resilience in the future. The bond market is currently in a volatile state, and positive spread strategies can be considered [20][22][23] - Various commodities have different market situations. For example, the iron ore price is weakening, the palm oil market is waiting for the MPOB report, and the copper market is affected by macro - expectations and inventory structures [28][33][62] 3. Summaries by Directory 3.1 Financial News and Comments 3.1.1 Macro Strategy (Gold) - In October, China's gold reserves increased by about 0.93 tons. The US consumer confidence index declined in November, inflation expectations slightly rose, and the short - term gold price continued to fluctuate [10][11] 3.1.2 Macro Strategy (Foreign Exchange Futures - US Dollar Index) - The Fed needs to weigh various factors in the next interest - rate decision. The potential agreement to end the US government shutdown is being reached, and the US dollar index is expected to weaken in the short - term [13][15][16] 3.1.3 Macro Strategy (US Stock Index Futures) - The Fed should act cautiously as the interest rate approaches the neutral level. The US government shutdown shows signs of resolution, but the consumer confidence index is close to a record low. The short - term market will fluctuate and adjust [17][18][19] 3.1.4 Macro Strategy (Treasury Bond Futures) - China's October inflation data was slightly better than expected, but the export growth rate decreased significantly. The bond market is worried about the fund fee rate new regulations, and it is currently in a volatile state [20][22][23] 3.1.5 Macro Strategy (Stock Index Futures) - China has suspended some export control measures. The A - share market has shown a stable volume and rising price, and it is recommended to evenly allocate long positions in each stock index [24][25][26] 3.2 Commodity News and Comments 3.2.1 Black Metal (Thermal Coal) - In November, the thermal coal price has risen, and it is expected to be strong, but there is regulatory pressure above 800 yuan [27] 3.2.2 Black Metal (Iron Ore) - A South African iron ore mine will be temporarily closed, but it will not affect global supply. The iron ore price is weakening, and the inventory is expected to increase [28][29][31] 3.2.3 Agricultural Products (Soybean Oil/Rapeseed Oil/Palm Oil) - Brazil's soybean planting progress is slower than last year and the five - year average. The palm oil market is waiting for the MPOB report, and the soybean oil market is concerned about US bio - fuel policies [32][33][34] 3.2.4 Agricultural Products (Sugar) - Brazil's sugar export reached a new high in October. The new sugar production in Guangxi will start later, and the Zhengzhou sugar futures will be mainly volatile in the short - term [36][38][39] 3.2.5 Agricultural Products (Cotton) - China's textile and clothing export decreased in October. The cotton picking progress is fast, and the Zhengzhou cotton futures will fluctuate in the short - term and be cautiously bullish in the long - term [40][42][44] 3.2.6 Agricultural Products (Bean Meal) - China has restored the soybean import qualification of three US companies. The domestic soybean import is abundant, and the oil mill's开机 rate is expected to rise [45][46][47] 3.2.7 Black Metal (Rebar/Hot - Rolled Coil) - Some areas in Hebei have lifted the heavy - pollution weather emergency response. The steel price is in a weak and volatile state, and more market - oriented production cuts are needed [48][50][51] 3.2.8 Agricultural Products (Corn Starch) - The starch sugar industry's开机 rate has increased. The starch enterprise is profitable, and the inventory pressure is acceptable [52] 3.2.9 Agricultural Products (Red Dates) - The red date price in the Hebei market is weak and stable. The new jujubes are about to be harvested, and the market game is intense [54][56] 3.2.10 Agricultural Products (Corn) - The feed enterprise's corn inventory days have increased, and the deep - processing enterprise's inventory has decreased slightly. The 01 contract is expected to be weak in the short - term and rebound in the medium - long term [57][58] 3.2.11 Non - Ferrous Metals (Copper) - Chile's copper export increased in October. The copper price is affected by macro - expectations and inventory structures, and it is recommended to go long on dips [59][62][63] 3.2.12 Non - Ferrous Metals (Polysilicon) - A company has reduced its stake in Tianhe光能. The polysilicon spot price is under pressure, and it is recommended to short on rallies in November [64][65][66] 3.2.13 Non - Ferrous Metals (Industrial Silicon) - The Sichuan and Yunnan silicon enterprises'开机 rate is weak. The industrial silicon price may fluctuate, and it is recommended to go long on dips [67][68] 3.2.14 Non - Ferrous Metals (Lithium Carbonate) - A company has won a large lithium project contract. The lithium demand is strong, but the supply is also increasing. The short - term price will fluctuate, and consider shorting on rallies in the medium - term [69][72][74] 3.2.15 Non - Ferrous Metals (Nickel) - Indonesia plans to complete the feasibility study of 18 downstream projects in December and has stopped approving some nickel intermediate product plants. The nickel price is affected by market sentiment and fundamentals, and pay attention to the opportunity to go long on dips [75][77][78] 3.2.16 Non - Ferrous Metals (Lead) - The LME lead is at a discount. The recycled lead industry is in the stage of large - scale resumption of production, and the short - term supply and demand will be strong. Consider shorting on rallies in the medium - term [79][80] 3.2.17 Non - Ferrous Metals (Zinc) - The LME zinc is at a premium. The LME zinc may face a short - squeeze risk, and the domestic zinc inventory has decreased. Consider shorting on rallies in the medium - term [81] 3.2.18 Energy and Chemicals (Carbon Emissions) - The EU carbon price is affected by weather and power - price policies and will fluctuate in the short - term [82][83] 3.2.19 Energy and Chemicals (Crude Oil) - The US oil rig count remains unchanged. The US will exempt Hungary from sanctions on importing Russian oil. The oil price is expected to maintain a low - level oscillation [84][85][86] 3.2.20 Energy and Chemicals (PTA) - The PTA spot price has increased, and the futures market is affected by supply - side factors. The short - term futures will be volatile and strong, but be cautious about the upside space [87][88] 3.2.21 Energy and Chemicals (Bottle Chip) - The bottle chip factory's export price is stable. The supply is stable, the demand is in the off - season, and consider shorting the far - month processing margin on rallies [91][92] 3.2.22 Energy and Chemicals (Urea) - India has issued a new urea import tender. The urea futures have rebounded due to export policy changes and replenishment demand. It will fluctuate within a certain range [93][94] 3.2.23 Shipping Index (Container Freight Rate) - The new - shipbuilding market is active. The SCFI index has declined, and the container freight rate will fluctuate in the short - term, and monitor the spot price changes [95][96]

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The stock index futures market is experiencing an upward trend with sector - specific contributions to the rise. The basis of stock index futures has weakened, and the deep discount pattern of IC and IM is expected to continue. For the bond futures market, the IRR of bond futures has declined, and the cross - period spread is oscillating strongly. The interest rate timing signal predicts a decline in interest rates. In the commodity market, the performance of various commodity factors and tracking strategies varies, and the overall commodity trend may be highly volatile due to external macro - factors [3][4][58]. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Stock Index Futures Market Review - The market is oscillating upwards. Different sectors contribute to the rise of different stock index futures, such as banks and electronics for the Shanghai Stock Exchange 50, and power equipment and banks for the CSI 300 [3]. - The trading volume of each variety has decreased month - on - month, and the basis has weakened. IH maintains a premium, IF a shallow discount, and IC and IM a deep discount [4]. Strategy Recommendations - **Basis Strategy**: When the market sentiment drives the discount to converge, pay attention to the opportunity to build positions for cross - period positive arbitrage. The roll - over strategy recommends going long on the near - term contract and short on the far - term contract [4]. - **Arbitrage Strategy**: Last week, cross - period arbitrage strategies made profits, with the annualized basis rate, positive arbitrage, and momentum factors earning 0.4%, 0.9%, and 0.8% respectively (6 - times leverage). The cross - variety arbitrage time - series synthetic strategy lost 0.3% last week. The latest signal recommends an empty position for the IC/IF pair and 100% long IM and short IC [5]. - **Timing Strategy**: The daily timing strategies generally made profits last week, with the Shanghai Stock Exchange 50 losing 0.6%, and the CSI 300, CSI 500, and CSI 1000 earning 1.1%, 1.1%, and 1.5% respectively. The timing model is bullish on the Shanghai Stock Exchange 50 and bearish on the CSI 500 and CSI 1000 [6]. Roll - over Return - The roll - over return of stock index futures varies by year and period. For example, in 2025, the Shanghai Stock Exchange 50 had a - 0.4% return for the current - month roll - over to the next - month contract [26]. Bond Futures Weekly Strategy Focus - **Basis and Cross - Period**: The IRR of bond futures has declined this week, and the cross - period spread is oscillating strongly. The positive arbitrage space is limited, and it is expected to maintain an oscillating trend [58]. - **Interest Rate Timing and Hedging Signal**: The interest rate timing signal predicts a decline in interest rates, with macro, production, inventory, and price factors all being bearish. High - duration varieties are recommended for hedging [58][59]. - **Futures Timing Strategy**: The multi - factor timing strategy signal is neutral, with the basis factor and high - frequency factor being bullish and the spread factor and volume - price factor being bearish [58]. - **Futures Cross - Variety Arbitrage Strategy**: The latest signals of the bond futures cross - variety arbitrage strategies TS - T and T - TL are neutral [58]. Commodity CTA Factor Performance - Last week, the performance of various commodity factors varied. The term - structure factors had an average increase of 0.2%, and some volume - price trend and position factors also rose. The value factor Val_halfyear had a large decline. The overall commodity trend may be highly volatile due to external macro - factors, and medium - to long - term trend - following CTA strategies may face risks [73][75]. Tracking Strategy Performance - Different tracking strategies have different performance indicators. For example, the CWFT strategy has an annualized return of 9.2%, a Sharpe ratio of 1.58, and a Calmar ratio of 1.05 [73].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core View of the Report - The trading volume of the commodity options market rebounded slightly this week, with an average daily trading volume of 7.22 million lots and an average daily open interest of 10.01 million lots, showing a week - on - week change of +13.63% and +17.96% respectively. Investors are advised to focus on potential market opportunities in actively traded varieties [1][7]. - The underlying futures of commodity options showed mixed performance in terms of price changes. There are opportunities in varieties with high trading activity, and attention should be paid to the risks and opportunities indicated by factors such as price fluctuations, implied volatility, and option market sentiment [1][2][15]. 3. Summary According to the Table of Contents 3.1 Commodity Options Market Activity - This week, the average daily actively - traded varieties included glass (650,000 lots), lithium carbonate (610,000 lots), and polysilicon (520,000 lots). Five varieties had a trading volume increase of over 100%, with asphalt (+161%), ethylene glycol (+158%), and urea (+156%) showing significant growth. The varieties with a significant decline in trading volume were p - xylene (-83%), log (-58%), and alumina (-47%) [1][7]. - The varieties with a relatively high average daily open interest were glass (1.05 million lots), soda ash (870,000 lots), and glass (840,000 lots). The varieties with a relatively rapid week - on - week increase in average daily open interest were synthetic rubber (+83%), styrene (+66%), and LPG (+51%) [1][7]. 3.2 This Week's Commodity Options Main Data Review - **Underlying Price Changes**: The underlying futures of commodity options showed mixed price changes. The varieties with high weekly increases included rapeseed meal (+6.32%), pulp (+3.49%), and urea (+2.58%); the varieties with high weekly decreases included asphalt (-6.04%), polysilicon (-5.66%), and red dates (-5.47%) [2][15]. - **Market Volatility**: Most commodity option implied volatilities in various sectors decreased this week. Seventeen varieties had their current implied volatility above the 50th percentile of the past year. Varieties with implied volatility at a high level in the past year included live pigs, methanol, and asphalt; those at a low level included sugar, tin, cotton, and manganese silicon [2][15]. - **Option Market Sentiment**: The trading volume PCR of varieties such as apples, eggs, lithium carbonate, LPG, and cotton was at a historical high, indicating strong short - term bearish sentiment. The trading volume PCR of aluminum, ethylene glycol, and corn was at a historical low, showing concentrated short - term bullish sentiment. The open interest PCR of ferrosilicon, soybean meal, silver, and lithium carbonate was at a historical high, while that of aluminum, corn, methanol, palm oil, and plastic was at a historical low [2][15]. 3.3 Main Varieties Key Data Overview - The chapter presents key data of main varieties, including trading volume, volatility, and option market sentiment indicators. More detailed data can be accessed on the Dongzheng Fanwei official website (https://www.finoview.com.cn/) [20]. - Specific sub - sections cover energy (crude oil, LPG, etc.), chemicals (PTA, caustic soda, glass, soda ash), precious metals (silver), ferrous metals (iron ore, manganese silicon), non - ferrous metals (copper, aluminum), and agricultural products (soybean meal, palm oil, cotton), with corresponding data on trading volume, volatility, open interest PCR, and trading volume PCR provided [21][28][59][66][82][97].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Views of the Report - The penetration rate of the Chinese new energy vehicle market exceeded 30% in 2023 and 50% since 2024. In 2025, high - competitiveness new car products are continuously launched, and the call for "anti - involution" is growing louder [4][121]. - In the overseas market, severe trade protectionism in Europe and the United States brings volatility risks to exports. Attention should be paid to new growth points such as countries along the Belt and Road and the Middle East [4][121]. - In terms of the competitive landscape, the market share of domestic brands continues to expand. Companies with strong product strength, smooth overseas expansion, and stable supply should be focused on [4][121]. 3. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Financial Market Tracking - The weekly price - to - earnings ratios and price - to - book ratios of related sectors and listed companies are presented in the report, including the closing prices and weekly price changes of companies such as BYD, Seres, and Great Wall Motor [14][17]. 3.2 Industrial Chain Data Tracking 3.2.1 China New Energy Vehicle Market Tracking - **China Market Sales and Exports**: Data on China's new energy vehicle sales, penetration rate, domestic sales, and exports are provided, as well as sales data for electric vehicles (EV) and plug - in hybrid vehicles (PHV) [18][20][26]. - **China Market Inventory Changes**: Information on the monthly new additions to new energy passenger vehicle channel inventory and manufacturer inventory is given [27][28]. - **China New Energy Vehicle Manufacturer Deliveries**: Monthly delivery data for new energy vehicle manufacturers such as Leapmotor, Li Auto, XPeng, and NIO are presented [31][32][35]. 3.2.2 Global and Overseas New Energy Vehicle Market Tracking - **Global Market**: Data on global new energy vehicle sales, penetration rate, and sales of EV and PHV are provided [41][42][44]. - **European Market**: Information on European new energy vehicle sales, penetration rate, and sales of EV and PHV in countries like the UK, Germany, and France are presented [45][46][51]. - **North American Market**: Data on North American new energy vehicle sales, penetration rate, and sales of EV and PHV are provided [58][59][60]. - **Other Regions**: Information on new energy vehicle sales, penetration rate, and sales of EV and PHV in regions such as Japan, South Korea, and Thailand are presented [61][62][65]. 3.2.3 Power Battery Industrial Chain - Data on power battery installation volume (by material), export volume (by material), weekly average price of battery cells, and material costs are provided. Information on the production start - up rates and prices of ternary materials, ternary precursors, lithium iron phosphate, and other materials are also included [78][80][85]. 3.2.4 Other Upstream Raw Materials - Data on the daily prices of rubber, glass, steel, and aluminum are presented [101][102][103]. 3.3 Hot News Summaries 3.3.1 China: Policy Dynamics - The State Council Information Office released the white paper "China's Actions for Carbon Peak and Carbon Neutrality", highlighting China's achievements in green and low - carbon transformation and the promotion of new energy vehicles [108]. 3.3.2 China: Industry Dynamics - According to the Passenger Car Association, from October 1 - 31, new energy vehicle retail sales increased by 17% year - on - year, and cumulative retail sales since the beginning of the year increased by 23%. The estimated wholesale growth rate of new energy vehicles in October was 16% [110][112]. 3.3.3 China: Enterprise Dynamics - Seres was listed on the main board of the Hong Kong Stock Exchange on November 5, becoming the first luxury new energy vehicle company with "A + H shares". The Aian UT Super 1 car jointly built by JD.com, GAC, and CATL was officially launched [113][114]. 3.3.4 Overseas: Policy Dynamics - The EU Council reached an agreement on the 2040 climate target, aiming to reduce net greenhouse gas emissions by 90% compared to 1990 by 2040 [115]. 3.3.5 Overseas: Industry Dynamics - In the UK, passenger car sales in September increased by 13.7%, with pure - electric and plug - in hybrid electric vehicles increasing by 29.1% and 56.4% respectively. In the US, car sales in October decreased by 5.1% year - on - year, and the new energy vehicle market was in trouble due to the expiration of tax credits [117][118]. 3.4 Industry Views - In the domestic market, in October, new energy passenger vehicle retail sales were 1.4 million, a year - on - year increase of 17% and a month - on - month increase of 8%. From January to October, cumulative retail sales were 10.27 million, a year - on - year increase of 23%. In October, new energy passenger vehicle wholesale was 1.614 million, a year - on - year increase of 16% and a month - on - month increase of 8%. From January to October, cumulative wholesale was 12.061 million, a year - on - year increase of 30%. The new energy retail penetration rate in October was 58.7%, and the wholesale penetration rate was 55.2% [2][119]. - Globally, from January to September, new energy vehicle sales increased by 30% year - on - year to 15.42 million. In the European market, cumulative sales were 2.78 million, a year - on - year increase of 28%; in the North American market, cumulative sales were 1.42 million, a year - on - year increase of 10%; in other regions, cumulative sales were 0.77 million, a year - on - year increase of 54%. The UK reached a new high in September, mainly due to the government's electric vehicle subsidy policy [2][119]. - In the US, new energy vehicle sales and penetration rates reached consecutive record highs in August and September, mainly because the federal electric vehicle tax credit ($7,500) expired on September 30. In October, car sales decreased by 5.1% year - on - year, Ford's electric vehicle sales decreased by 24.8% year - on - year, and Tesla's sales decreased by 30.4% year - on - year in October after a growth in September. Tesla launched low - cost versions of Model Y and Model 3 in October, and the market reaction remains to be seen [3][120]. 3.5 Investment Suggestions - Focus on the new energy vehicle industry in China, pay attention to new growth points in overseas markets such as countries along the Belt and Road and the Middle East, and select companies with strong product strength, smooth overseas expansion, and stable supply [4][121].

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Viewpoints of the Report - Based on technical analysis, the precious metals sector is predominantly oscillating; in the non - ferrous sector, polysilicon and copper are bearish, and the rest of the varieties are oscillating. Lithium carbonate shows a bullish "hammer line" pattern on the weekly chart, with short - term rebound potential, expected to fluctuate between 71,300 - 76,800 yuan/ton [1]. - Technical analysis indicates that coking coal, coke, ferrosilicon, and European line container shipping show bearish signals, while the rest of the black - series varieties are mainly oscillating. Rebar dropped 2.32% this week, but there is potential for a technical rebound in the 2,950 - 3,000 yuan/ton range [2]. - In the energy - chemical sector, low - sulfur fuel oil and urea are technically bullish, while asphalt, PVC, and caustic soda show bearish signals, and the rest are oscillating. PTA is expected to oscillate between 4,380 - 4,430 yuan/ton in the short term [3]. - In the agricultural products sector, sugar is bullish, rapeseed and red dates are bearish, and the rest are oscillating. Soybean meal is expected to trade in the 3,065 - 3,070 yuan/ton range in the short term, and it is recommended to wait and see [4]. Summary by Directory 1. Non - ferrous and Precious Metals Sector 1.1 Non - ferrous and Precious Metals Sector Technical Indicator Signal Summary - The precious metals sector is mainly oscillating; in the non - ferrous sector, polysilicon and copper show bearish signals, and the rest of the varieties are mainly oscillating [10][11]. 1.2 Non - ferrous and Precious Metals Sector Weekly Pivot Analysis - High - volatility varieties such as tin, nickel, polysilicon, and lithium carbonate have wide price ranges for support and resistance levels, with prominent trading risks. Low - volatility varieties such as aluminum, lead, alumina, stainless steel, and gold are suitable for range - bound operations [17]. 2. Black and Shipping Sector 2.1 Black and Shipping Sector Technical Indicator Signal Summary - Coking coal, coke, and ferrosilicon show bearish signals; European line container shipping mainly shows bearish signals, and the rest of the black - series varieties are mainly oscillating [21][22]. 2.2 Black and Shipping Sector Weekly Pivot Analysis - Low - volatility varieties such as rebar, hot - rolled coil, wire rod, and iron ore are suitable for range - bound operations. High - volatility varieties such as coking coal, coke, and European line container shipping should be traded in the direction of the trend with strict stop - losses [29]. 3. Energy - Chemical Sector 3.1 Energy - Chemical Sector Technical Signal Summary - In the energy sector, low - sulfur fuel oil shows a bullish signal, and asphalt shows a bearish signal, with the rest oscillating. In the chemical sector, urea shows a bullish signal, and PVC and caustic soda show bearish signals, with the rest oscillating [33][34]. 3.2 Energy - Chemical Sector Weekly Pivot Analysis - Low - volatility varieties such as crude oil, fuel oil, and asphalt may be in a sideways consolidation state. High - volatility varieties such as natural rubber, synthetic rubber, and staple fiber require attention to price volatility risks and setting active stop - loss strategies [40]. 4. Agricultural Products Sector 4.1 Agricultural Products Sector Technical Indicator Signal Summary - Sugar in the agricultural products sector shows a bullish signal, rapeseed and red dates show bearish signals, and the rest of the varieties are mainly oscillating [45][47]. 4.2 Agricultural Products Sector Weekly Pivot Analysis - Low - volatility varieties such as soybeans, corn, and corn starch are in a low - volatility oscillating consolidation pattern. Medium - volatility varieties such as soybean meal, rapeseed meal, and sugar have a certain price swing space. High - volatility varieties such as oils, live pigs, and apples have potential price volatility risks and opportunities [53].

Report Industry Investment Rating - Gold: Bearish [1] Core Viewpoints - London gold oscillated slightly down to $4001 per ounce. The 10-year US Treasury yield rose slightly to 4.09%, inflation expectation was 2.28%, real interest rate rose slightly to 1.83%, the US dollar index fell 0.2% to 99.6, the S&P 500 index dropped 1.6%, the RMB oscillated, and Shanghai gold turned to a premium [2] - Gold prices are in a long-short game at the $4000 mark. After a 10% correction from the high, there are signs of bottom-fishing, but potential negative pressures suppress the rebound space of gold prices. The end of the US government shutdown would be short-term negative for gold, market expectations for a December interest rate cut have declined, the Sino-US tariff issue has eased marginally, and the US economic data is fair [3] - The domestic gold tax reform has been implemented, suppressing jewelry demand and potentially boosting investment demand. The domestic market performs better than the international market. The People's Bank of China continued to increase its gold reserves in October, but the increment slowed down, having limited positive impact on gold [4] - In the short term, the gold price is still in a correction trend, and the domestic gold maintains a small premium [5] Summary by Directory 1. Weekly Changes in High-Frequency Gold Data - The domestic basis (spot - futures) was -3.62 yuan/gram, with a weekly change of -2.72 yuan and a change rate of 302.2%. The domestic and foreign futures price difference (domestic - foreign) was 3.50 yuan/gram, with a weekly change of 14.05 yuan and a change rate of -133.2% [12] - The Shanghai Futures Exchange's gold inventory was 89,616 kilograms, an increase of 1,800 kilograms or 2.0% from last week. The COMEX gold inventory was 37,729,455 ounces, a decrease of 438,591 ounces or -1.15% from last week [12] - The SPDR ETF's gold holding was 1042.06 tons, an increase of 2.86 tons or 0.28% from last week. The CFTC gold speculative net long position was 158,616 lots, a decrease of 1,867 lots or -1.2% from last week [12] 2. Tracking of Financial Market - Related Data 2.1 US Financial Market - The US dollar index fell 0.2%, and the US Treasury yield rose slightly to 4.09%. The S&P 500 dropped 1.6%, and the VIX index rose slightly to 19 [19] - The US overnight secured financing rate was 3.92%. Oil prices fell 2.2%, and the US inflation expectation was 2.28% [18] - The real interest rate rose to 1.83%, and the gold price oscillated flat. The spot commodity index closed down, and the US dollar index fell 0.2% [20] 2.2 Global Financial Market - Stocks, Bonds, Currencies, and Commodities - Most developed - country stock markets fell, with the S&P 500 dropping 1.63%. Most developing - country stock markets rose, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising 1.08% [22] - US and German bonds rose, with the US - German yield spread at 1.47%. The UK Treasury yield was 4.47%, and the Japanese bond yield was 1.68% [29] - The euro appreciated 0.25%, the pound sterling appreciated 0.07%, the yen appreciated 0.37%, and the Swiss franc depreciated 0.07%. The US dollar index fell 0.2% to 99.6, and non - US currencies showed mixed movements [27][30] 3. Tracking of Gold Trading - Level Data - The data on gold speculative net long positions was suspended due to the government shutdown. The SPDR Gold ETF holding rose slightly to 1042 tons [33] - The RMB oscillated, and Shanghai gold turned to a premium. Gold and silver corrected, and the gold - silver ratio rose slightly to 82 [36] 4. Weekly Economic Calendar - On Monday, the minutes of the Bank of Japan's meeting will be released. On Tuesday, the US NFIB Small Business Confidence Index for October will be announced. On Wednesday, US Treasury Secretary Bezant will give a speech [37] - On Thursday, the minutes of the Bank of Canada's interest rate meeting will be released. On Friday, China's October retail sales and industrial added value data will be announced [37]

Report Industry Investment Rating - Industrial silicon: Volatile; Polysilicon: Volatile [1] Core Viewpoints - Industrial silicon prices may have a clearer lower limit, and it is recommended to buy on dips and take profits at high levels. Polysilicon has entered a critical point of policy - fundamental game, and it is advisable to consider short - selling on rallies [3][14][15] Summary by Directory 1. Industrial Silicon/Polysilicon Industry Chain Prices - Industrial silicon Si2601 contract rose 120 yuan/ton to 9220 yuan/ton week - on - week. SMM spot East China oxygen - blown 553 remained flat at 9450 yuan/ton, and Xinjiang 99 rose 50 yuan/ton to 8850 yuan/ton. Polysilicon PS2601 contract fell 3195 yuan/ton to 53215 yuan/ton. The average transaction price of polysilicon N - type re -投料 was flat at 53200 yuan/ton [8][9] 2. Dry Season Production Cuts Materialize, Platform Companies Fall Short of Expectations Again - **Industrial silicon**: Futures main contract fluctuated strongly. Yunnan's开工 decreased by 22 units to 21, Sichuan's by 23 units to 22, while Inner Mongolia and Ningxia each added 1 unit. Southwest furnaces may further limit production in mid - to - late November, with the start - up furnaces in Southwest expected to drop to about 20 by the end of November. Northern production is stable. SMM industrial silicon social inventory decreased by 0.6 million tons week - on - week, and sample factory inventory increased by 0.39 million tons. After updating the balance sheet, a slight inventory build - up in November and a 1 - million - ton inventory reduction in December are expected [10] - **Organic silicon**: Prices fluctuated. Jiangxi Xinghuo's 200,000 - ton plant is expected to resume production on the 31st, Tangshan Sanyou's Phase III plant shut down, Hubei Xingrui's plant is operating at 70% capacity, Xin'an Chemical's plant is under maintenance, Shandong Dongyue's Phase III plant shut down, and Yunnan Energy Investment's plant is expected to resume production on the 4th. The overall enterprise start - up rate was 72.41%, weekly output was 47,900 tons (up 5.51% week - on - week), and inventory was 43,500 tons (down 1.36% week - on - week). Prices are expected to fluctuate [10][11] - **Polysilicon**: Futures main contract dropped significantly. Spot prices are under pressure. Leading first - tier manufacturers' dense re -投料 prices are above 51 - 53 yuan/kg, second - and third - tier manufacturers' prices are 47 - 50 yuan/kg, and low - quality supplies' prices are weakening. Granular material prices are 50 - 51 yuan/kg. November's production is expected to drop to 115,000 tons. As of November 6th, factory inventory was 259,000 tons (down 0.2 million tons week - on - week). In November, it enters the critical point of policy - fundamental game, and the fundamentals are more severe than in October. If platform companies underperform again, spot prices may fall [11] - **Silicon wafers**: Prices declined. M10 wafers' mainstream price is 1.35 yuan/piece, with some dropping to 1.33 yuan/piece; G12R wafers' mainstream price is 1.35 yuan/piece, with low - price transactions at 1.30 - 1.33 yuan/piece; G12 wafers' mainstream price dropped to 1.65 - 1.68 yuan/piece. November's production is expected to be 57.66GW, a decrease of 2.99GW from October. As of November 6th, inventory was 17.52GW (down 1.41GW week - on - week). The supply - demand and inventory situation in the silicon wafer segment is controllable, but it is under pressure due to the battery segment [12] - **Battery cells**: Prices continued to fall. Indian demand shifted to Southeast Asian production bases, and M10 battery cells' mainstream price dropped to 0.305 yuan/watt. Domestic demand also declined, and G21R and G12 battery cells' mainstream prices dropped to 0.28 and 0.30 yuan/watt. As of November 3rd, export factory inventory was 3.85GW (down 2.17GW week - on - week). November's production is expected to be 57.4GW. With weakening domestic and foreign demand, prices may decline further [12] - **Components**: Prices were basically stable. Centralized components mainly executed previous orders, with mainstream delivery prices at 0.64 - 0.70 yuan/watt; distributed project large - customer delivery prices were 0.66 - 0.70 yuan/watt. Some centralized procurement projects had demand for high - power components above 700W, and leading component manufacturers raised quotes for such components by 0.04 - 0.06 yuan/watt to 0.72 - 0.75 yuan/watt. Demand declined significantly, and some enterprises reported orders falling short of expectations. November's domestic production is expected to be 44.4GW (down 1GW month - on - month). There are concerns about a significant drop in December's production. As of November 3rd, finished - product inventory was 31.2GW (down 0.6GW week - on - week). Component enterprises are responding to the guiding prices, but actual transaction prices need attention [13] 3. Investment Recommendations - **Industrial silicon**: After previous hedging, short - term price drops are unlikely to cause production cuts. Prices need to break through 10,000 yuan/ton to bring significant supply increases. It is recommended to buy on dips and take profits at high levels [14] - **Polysilicon**: It has entered the critical point of policy - fundamental game, and the fundamentals are more severe. If platform companies underperform again, spot prices may fall. It is advisable to consider short - selling on rallies [15] 4. Hot News Compilation - In September 2025, the national photovoltaic power generation utilization rate was 95%, and the January - September utilization rate was also 95% [16] - A Chinese company invested $85 million to build a factory in Angola to process quartz ore into metallic silicon, with a monthly production capacity of 1,000 tons per electric furnace. The project has provided jobs for 500 Angolan and 50 Chinese employees [16] - On November 5th, the environmental impact assessment of a 6.2GW TOPCon solar cell technical renovation project in Jiangsu was publicized, with a total investment of 22 million yuan [17] 5. Industry Chain High - Frequency Data Tracking - **Industrial silicon**: Includes data on spot prices, weekly production in different regions, social inventory, and sample factory inventory [19][22][27] - **Organic silicon**: Covers data on DMC spot prices, weekly profit, factory inventory, and weekly production [29][30] - **Polysilicon**: Involves data on spot prices, weekly gross profit, factory weekly inventory, and enterprise weekly production [33][37] - **Silicon wafers**: Contains data on spot prices, profit calculation, factory weekly inventory, and enterprise weekly production [39][43] - **Battery cells**: Has data on spot prices, profit calculation, export factory weekly inventory, and enterprise monthly production [44][50] - **Components**: Includes data on spot prices, profit calculation, finished - product inventory, and enterprise monthly production [52][57]

Report Industry Investment Rating - The trend rating for lithium carbonate is "oscillation" [1] Core Viewpoints of the Report - Last week (11/03 - 11/07), lithium salt prices showed a strong oscillation. The downstream demand remains strong, and the inventory reduction rhythm is accelerating. However, the supply of Chilean lithium salt shipments and Australian ore exports has increased marginally, and domestic lithium salt resources are also expanding production simultaneously. In the short - term, it is expected to maintain a wide - range oscillation pattern. In the medium - term, the power demand is expected to weaken from the end of this year to the first quarter of next year, and a mid - term high - selling short - selling strategy can be considered [2][4][24] Summary According to Relevant Catalogs 1. Chile's Shipment Increased Significantly in October, and the Market's Game on Supply Intensified - **Price Changes**: Last week, LC2511 closed at 80,500 yuan/ton, up 1.5% month - on - month; LC2601 closed at 82,300 yuan/ton, up 1.9% month - on - month. SMM battery - grade and industrial - grade lithium carbonate spot average prices were 80,400 and 78,200 yuan/ton respectively, down 0.2% month - on - month. The price of lithium hydroxide remained stable. The battery - grade lithium hydroxide was at a discount to the battery - grade lithium carbonate, and the discount widened by 0.05 million yuan to 0.48 million yuan/ton [2][14] - **Chilean Shipment Data**: In October, Chile exported 27,600 tons of lithium carbonate and lithium hydroxide, up 50% month - on - month and 28% year - on - year. Exports to China were 16,200 tons, up 46% month - on - month and down 4% year - on - year. From January to October, the total export was 215,000 tons, down 0.7% year - on - year, with 137,000 tons to China, down 15% year - on - year. In October, the shipment of lithium sulfate to China was 1,700 tons (about 854 tons LCE), down 64% month - on - month and 80% year - on - year. From January to October, the total shipment was 72,000 tons (36,000 tons LCE), up 81% year - on - year [3][16] - **Market Analysis**: The release of the assessment report of the mining right transfer income of Jianxiawo may indicate that the resumption process is progressing smoothly, but the resumption time is still uncertain. The short - term market is expected to oscillate widely, and a mid - term high - selling short - selling strategy can be considered [4][24] 2. Review of Weekly Industry News - **Salt Lake Co., Ltd.**: Plans to produce 43,000 tons of lithium carbonate in 2025, and a 40,000 - ton lithium salt project was officially put into operation at the end of September [25] - **Hainan Mining Co., Ltd.**: The first batch of 30,000 tons of lithium concentrate from the Buguni lithium mine was shipped on October 14, and is expected to be transported back to China early next year. The company enjoys tax incentives and policy support [25] - **Jiangxi Natural Resources Department**: Released the public notice of the assessment report of the mining right transfer income of Jianxiawo, including resource utilization, reserves, technical indicators, and the assessment value of the mining right transfer income [26] - **TrendForce**: Predicts that the global demand for solid - state batteries will reach 740GWh in 2035 [26] 3. Monitoring of Key High - Frequency Data in the Industry Chain 3.1 Resource End: Lithium Concentrate Spot is Strong - Lithium concentrate spot prices are showing a relatively strong trend, but specific data is not elaborated in the text [27] 3.2 Lithium Salt: The Game of Resumption Disturbance Intensifies - The price of lithium salt futures and spot shows certain changes. The resumption of production in mica projects and the increase in supply from Chile and Australia have an impact on the market, and the short - term market is expected to oscillate [24] 3.3 Downstream Intermediates: Ternary and Lithium Cobaltate Continue to be Strong - Ternary materials and lithium cobaltate prices continue to show a strong trend, while the prices of lithium iron phosphate and related products are relatively stable [40][41][44][45] 3.4 Terminal: The Penetration Rate of New Energy Vehicles Reached 50% in September - In September, the penetration rate of new energy vehicles reached 50%, indicating strong demand in the terminal market [47]