Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is maintained as "Buy" with a target price of RMB 33.34 [1]. Core Insights - The company is expected to achieve a net profit attributable to shareholders of RMB 240 to 290 million in 2025, marking a turnaround from losses in the previous year. 2025 is viewed as a critical year for the company's strategic reform, focusing on core brands, brand building, online presence, and efficiency [1][6]. - The company has successfully developed three major products that have generated over RMB 100 million in sales each, demonstrating the effectiveness of its strategy combining category breakthroughs, major product cultivation, and marketing innovation [1][8]. - The company has adjusted its revenue forecasts for 2025-2027, now projecting revenues of RMB 6.407 billion, RMB 7.379 billion, and RMB 8.219 billion respectively, reflecting increases of 12.84%, 15.16%, and 11.38% [10]. Financial Performance - The company is projected to have a net profit of RMB 273.22 million in 2025, with an expected EPS of RMB 0.41. This is a significant recovery from a loss of RMB 833.09 million in 2024 [5][10]. - The company's return on equity (ROE) is expected to improve from -12.45% in 2024 to 3.93% in 2025, indicating a positive trend in profitability [5][10]. - The price-to-earnings (PE) ratio is projected to decrease from -17.32 in 2024 to 52.80 in 2025, reflecting a shift towards profitability [5][10]. Market Performance - The company's stock closed at RMB 21.46 as of January 28, with a market capitalization of RMB 14.426 billion. The stock has traded within a range of RMB 15.60 to RMB 28.92 over the past 52 weeks [2]. - The company has seen significant growth in its online sales channels, with notable performances on platforms like Douyin and Taobao, indicating strong brand momentum [7][9].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight" for both Utilities and Environmental sectors [8]. Core Insights - The carbon pricing market is undergoing a value reconstruction driven by both policy and market forces, with carbon prices expected to stabilize at 150-200 RMB/ton by 2030 [3][7]. - The green certificate market is currently underperforming, with prices at only 8% of the carbon price, indicating significant potential for value release [5][7]. - The upward pressure on electricity prices is anticipated from both carbon costs and green certificate revenues, with wholesale electricity prices projected to increase by 10% to 385 RMB/MWh [6]. Summary by Sections Carbon Price Trends - Carbon prices peaked at 98 RMB/ton by the end of 2024 but fell to a low of 38 RMB/ton in 2025 due to declining energy prices and increased renewable energy capacity [4]. - As of January 2026, carbon prices have stabilized at an average of 73 RMB/ton, supported by compliance demand from the power sector and the expansion of carbon markets in heavy industries [4]. Green Certificate Market - The average price of green certificates was 4.2 RMB per certificate in 2025 and increased to 5.5 RMB in 2026, still significantly lower than carbon prices [5]. - The low price of green certificates is attributed to the incomplete integration with the carbon market and insufficient market demand for green electricity [5]. Electricity Price Dynamics - Current carbon and green certificate prices are expected to push wholesale electricity prices from 350 RMB/MWh to 385 RMB/MWh, with further increases anticipated if carbon prices rise to 150-200 RMB/ton [6]. - If green certificate prices align with carbon prices, wholesale electricity prices could increase by 24-31% [6]. Future Outlook - The carbon market is expected to transition from "soft constraints" to "hard constraints" by 2027, with a gradual tightening of quotas and an increase in the proportion of paid allowances [7]. - Policies are being established to link the environmental value of green certificates with carbon reduction values, which may enhance the economic viability of green electricity [7].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is maintained as "Buy" with a target price of HKD 19.82 [1][6]. Core Insights - The company has successfully licensed its TL1A/IL-23p19 dual antibody SIM0709 to Boehringer Ingelheim for an upfront payment of €42 million and a total deal value of €1.058 billion, indicating strong validation of its innovative research and development capabilities [1]. - The company has seen recognition from major multinational corporations (MNCs) such as AbbVie, BI, and Ipsen for its innovative pipeline, with four projects launched overseas since 2025 [1]. - The global market for Inflammatory Bowel Disease (IBD) is projected to reach USD 28 billion by 2028, with the TL1A target showing significant potential for treatment [2]. - SIM0709 is designed as a long-acting dual antibody with a potential dosing interval of three months, which could position it favorably in the competitive landscape for IBD treatments [3]. - Boehringer Ingelheim's established global development capabilities are expected to significantly support the global expansion of SIM0709, as it is a key player in the autoimmune disease treatment space [4]. - The company is advancing its innovative platforms, including TCE and ADC, with ongoing clinical trials and collaborations that are expected to yield data within the year [5]. Financial Projections - The company forecasts adjusted net profits of RMB 1.18 billion, RMB 1.40 billion, and RMB 1.52 billion for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 14% [6][12]. - The earnings per share (EPS) estimates are projected at RMB 0.45, RMB 0.54, and RMB 0.59 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [6][12]. - The company maintains a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 33.19x for 2026, supporting the target price of HKD 19.82 [6][12].

Group 1: Macro Overview - The Federal Reserve maintained the policy interest rate at 3.5-3.75% during the January FOMC meeting, expressing a more optimistic outlook on the economy and job market [2] - The Hang Seng Index and Hang Seng Tech Index both rose over 2.5%, with the Hang Seng Index surpassing 27,800 points, marking a new high since 2021 [2] - The report suggests that the first quarter may be a critical period for the Hong Kong stock market, with potential for further growth driven by liquidity, capital, and earnings [2] Group 2: Utility and Environmental Sector - The carbon pricing market is expected to stabilize after a decline in 2025, with projections indicating a price of 150-200 RMB/ton by 2030 [4] - Companies in the green electricity and environmental sectors, such as Longyuan Power and China Everbright Environment, are expected to benefit from the rising carbon costs and green certificate revenues [4] - Potential catalysts for growth include the introduction of policies linking green certificates to carbon quotas and the expansion of the carbon market [4] Group 3: Key Companies - Disco Corporation is positioned to benefit from the new AI chip generation, with a target price of 79,000 JPY, reflecting a 48x FY26E PE [5] - Xiansheng Pharmaceutical has successfully licensed its dual antibody SIM0709 to Boehringer Ingelheim, validating its innovation system and maintaining a "buy" rating [6] - Industrial Fulian expects a significant increase in net profit for 2025, with projections of 35.1-35.7 billion RMB, driven by the launch of new products and vertical integration advantages [8] - Anta Sports is set to acquire a 29.06% stake in PUMA for approximately 1.506 billion euros, enhancing its global brand portfolio and market presence [8] - Jingwei Hengrun anticipates a turnaround in profitability for 2025, projecting a net profit of 0.75-1.1 billion RMB, supported by scale effects [11] - Ruya Chen expects continued high growth in its self-owned brand business, with a projected net profit of 176-200 million RMB for 2025 [12] - Wancheng Group is expected to improve same-store performance and maintain a rapid store opening pace, supported by supply chain efficiency [13] - Ugreen Technology is focusing on AI and NAS integration, with a projected net profit of 653-733 million RMB for 2025 [14]

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage on Disco Corporation with a "Buy" rating and sets a target price of 79,000 JPY, corresponding to a 48x FY26E PE [1]. Core Insights - Disco Corporation is a leading player in the global semiconductor wafer cutting and thinning equipment market, maintaining a market share of 70%-80%. The company has built a comprehensive product lineup around its core technologies of "cutting, grinding, and polishing," and continues to demonstrate industry-leading profitability through its integrated business model of "equipment + consumables + services" [1][15]. - The upgrade of AI chips is expected to drive rapid growth in demand for high-end thinning and polishing equipment. The transition to HBM4/4E and 3nm processes will necessitate thinner wafers (<30µm), with Disco's unique dry polishing technology poised to secure a significant market share in the HBM4 era [2][16]. - Disco's integrated business model, which includes high-margin consumables (approximately 25% of revenue), allows for consistent revenue generation and smooths out cyclical fluctuations. The company maintains a gross margin of 69%-70% due to increased consumable density driven by higher material hardness and precision requirements [3][17]. Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The global AI chip market is entering a new cycle, with significant capital expenditure growth expected from major storage companies, projected to increase by 17% in 2026. The DRAM market is anticipated to see an 85% increase in value, surpassing 300 billion USD [2][16]. Financial Projections - The report forecasts Disco's net profit for FY2025, FY2026, and FY2027 to be 127.8 billion JPY, 178.5 billion JPY, and 212.3 billion JPY, respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth of 3.1%, 39.7%, and 18.9%. The corresponding EPS is projected to be 1,178 JPY, 1,646 JPY, and 1,957 JPY [5][15]. Competitive Positioning - Disco's unique "razor and blades" business model, characterized by high-margin consumables, positions the company favorably against pure equipment manufacturers. The deep integration with clients during the R&D phase enhances pricing power and customer loyalty [3][17]. - The report highlights a divergence from market sentiment, suggesting that concerns over power semiconductors negatively impacting performance underestimate the demand for high-end equipment driven by AI chip performance upgrades [4][18]. Valuation Analysis - The report values Disco at 48x FY26E PE, considering its monopolistic position in HBM and advanced packaging sectors, as well as its superior gross margin structure compared to peers [5][19].

拟收购PUMA股权助力全球化再下一城 2026 年 1 月 28 日│中国香港 服装 安踏体育于 2026 年 1 月 26 日公告与 Pinault 家族（Artémis）签署购股协 议，收购 PUMA 29.06%的股权：交易对价为每股 35 欧元，总金额约 15.06 亿欧元（约 122.8 亿人民币），全部由公司自有现金支付。公司凭借"单聚 焦、多品牌及全球化"战略，通过此次收购成为 PUMA 最大股东，进一步完 善全球品牌矩阵。PUMA 在足球、跑步及赛车等专业领域的深厚积淀，与公 司现有品牌形成较强互补，此外依托安踏在中国市场的渠道与零售运营优 势，有望助力 PUMA 挖掘中国市场潜力。我们认为此次收购后公司将拥有 覆盖大众到高端、时尚到专业的全方位多品牌组合，进一步增强国际竞争力， 收购估值合理且公司预计不影响 25 年派息能力，看好协同效应有望支撑公 司长期价值提升，维持"买入"评级。 证券研究报告 安踏体育 (2020 HK) 港股通 收购后成为 Puma 最大股东，推进单聚焦、多品牌及全球化战略 2026 年 1 月 26 日，安踏体育公告与卖方 Artémis 订立协议，同意以每股 35 ...

证券研究报告 Q4 自有品牌业务延续高增 2026 年 1 月 28 日│中国内地 电子商务 公司发布业绩预告，预计 25 年归母净利润 1.76~2.00 亿，yoy66.6%~89.3%。 公司 Q4 自有品牌延续高增表现，绽家持续拓品类/合作新 IP，高基数下仍 有亮眼同增；斐萃强化抗衰科研能力，高客单进阶产品快速放量中；纽益倍 26M1 以来达播发力下品牌起量显著，布局 AKK 菌单品，AKK 菌 24 年市场 规模 3.25 亿美元，原料端集群效应助推成分持续高热，品牌后续增长潜力 可期。近期取得口服美容品牌美斯蒂克中国区独家总代，继续拓展品牌矩阵。 我们预计公司在强势品牌运营孵化能力赋能下，有望持续捕捉高端家清与口 服美容行业红利。维持增持评级。 绽家：持续拓品类，多 IP 强化香氛心智 25H2 以来陆续上新羽绒服清洁慕斯/极光彩漂粉等单品，持续拓展家清细分 品类。IP 联名方面，奥黛丽赫本 IP 上新护衣喷雾/精油香挂/除臭精油，继 续夯实品牌香氛心智；26M1 新 IP 联名落地，上新 Hello Kitty 系列衣物喷 雾/内衣洗衣液，热门 IP 为大单品持续注入活力。25Q4 绽家延续高 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 184.61 RMB [6][4]. Core Insights - The company is expected to turn a profit in 2025, projecting a net profit attributable to shareholders of between 0.75 billion and 1.1 billion RMB, which exceeds previous forecasts [1]. - The growth in revenue is driven by the release of prior R&D investments, particularly in core electronic products like domain controllers and 5G TBOX, alongside cost reduction and efficiency improvements [2]. - The company is transitioning from a research-driven phase to a product scaling phase, with expectations for revenue and profit recovery in 2026, supported by stable production phases with key clients [3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company forecasts a revenue increase to 7.51 billion RMB in 2025, with a growth rate of 35.49% compared to the previous year, and further growth to 9.77 billion RMB in 2026 [10]. - The net profit is projected to reach 0.88 billion RMB in 2025, with significant growth to 3.76 billion RMB in 2026, reflecting a 328% increase [10]. Product and Market Development - The company is focusing on high-level intelligent driving products, with collaborations with key clients like Geely and Xiaomi expected to stabilize production and contribute to revenue growth [3]. - The international expansion is ongoing, with partnerships with global manufacturers like Stellantis and Scania, aiming for production deliveries in 2026 [3]. Valuation and Estimates - Revenue forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 have been adjusted to 7.51 billion, 9.77 billion, and 12.02 billion RMB respectively, with corresponding gross margin estimates of 24.3%, 24.9%, and 26.9% [4]. - The report employs a Sum-of-the-Parts (SOTP) valuation method, estimating a net profit of 2.64 billion RMB from hardware and 1.1 billion RMB from software in 2026, leading to a target price adjustment from 145.23 RMB to 184.61 RMB [4].

证券研究报告 经纬恒润 (688326 CH) 25 年业绩预告扭亏，规模效应凸显 | 泰研: 究 | | --- | | सह | 2026 年 1 月 28 日│中国内地 汽车零部件 公司发布 2025 年年度业绩预盈公告，预计 2025 年年度实现归属于母公 司所有者的净利润与上年同期相比，将实现扭亏为盈，实现归属于母公司所 有者的净利润 0.75 亿元到 1.1 亿元。公司的预盈利润区间下限超过我们此 前预测的 0.66 亿元，我们继续看好公司 2026 年公司规模化效应驱动下的 盈利增长，看好公司 2026 年海外业务落地放量，维持"买入"评级。 2025 回顾：扭亏为盈，研发成果释放与降本增效共同驱动 2025 年公司收入规模的扩大主要受益于前期研发投入的释放，以域控制器 等新产品阵营为代表的核心电子产品实现快速放量，同时原有产品持续迭代 获得更多客户与项目机会，推动整体收入增长。降本增效方面，公司通过 AI 工具优化开发流程、推动国产替代和提升智能制造水平，有效控制各项成本 费用，使毛利率有所提升、期间费用率显著下降，从而对盈利能力改善形成 实质支撑。产品与客户层面，公司电子产品包括区域控制器、 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the company [7]. Core Insights - The company expects a net profit attributable to shareholders of 176 to 200 million RMB for 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 66.6% to 89.3% [1]. - The company's self-owned brand business continues to show strong growth in Q4, with significant performance from various product lines and collaborations [1][2]. - The report highlights the potential for growth in the high-end home cleaning and oral beauty sectors, driven by strong brand management capabilities [1]. Summary by Sections Self-Owned Brand Business - The self-owned brand business has shown high growth, with the brand "Zhanjia" expanding its product categories and collaborations with new IPs, achieving a GMV of 350 million RMB across three platforms, a year-on-year increase of 107% [2]. - The brand "Feicui" has launched advanced anti-aging products, contributing to a significant increase in average transaction value [3]. Market Potential - The global AKK bacteria market is projected to reach approximately 325 million USD in 2024, with significant growth expected in the Chinese market [4]. - The company has recently become the exclusive agent for the oral beauty brand "Meisidike" in China, further expanding its brand matrix [4]. Financial Forecast and Valuation - The report adjusts the net profit forecast for the self-owned brand business to 108 million, 262 million, and 403 million RMB for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, reflecting a positive outlook [5]. - The target market capitalization is set at 17.617 billion RMB, with a target price of 56.64 RMB per share, based on a PE ratio of 38 for the self-owned brand business [5][12].