Group 1: Market and Performance Review - The light industry and textile apparel sectors have outperformed the CSI 300 index, with textile apparel rising by 2.05% and light industry by 2.43% as of June 24, 2025 [21][22] - In Q1 2025, the light industry saw a revenue decline of 0.78% year-on-year, while the textile apparel sector experienced a 13.33% decline in revenue [25][29] - The light industry’s net profit decreased by 18.85% year-on-year in Q1 2025, while the textile apparel sector's net profit fell by 5.56% [25][29] Group 2: Home and Electric Two-Wheeler Industries - The home and electric two-wheeler sectors are expected to benefit from the deepening of the old-for-new policy, which is anticipated to improve demand and sales [37][44] - In the first five months of 2025, the retail sales of furniture increased by 21.40% year-on-year, significantly boosted by the old-for-new policy [43][44] - The electric two-wheeler industry faced challenges, with a projected 10.55% decline in sales for 2024, but the old-for-new policy is expected to support sales recovery [59][65] Group 3: New Consumption Trends - The "谷子" economy, driven by Z generation consumers who value emotional and self-satisfying purchases, is projected to reach a market size of 1,689 billion yuan in 2024, growing by 40.63% year-on-year [7][79] - The pet food market is expected to grow to 3,002 billion yuan by 2024, with a significant increase in consumer preference for domestic brands [97][105] - The sanitary products market is also evolving, with non-leading domestic brands showing potential for growth due to the rise of e-commerce and consumer preferences for single products [7][105]

Macro and Strategy Research - The report highlights the structural highlights in the technology sector driven by breakthroughs in artificial intelligence and humanoid robots since early 2025, utilizing technology lifecycle models for investment insights [2] - The product lifecycle is divided into four stages: introduction, growth, maturity, and decline, which helps in understanding the profit cycle of listed companies [2] - The S-curve model is used to quantify the technology lifecycle, indicating that the semiconductor industry trends align with this model [3] - The A-U model reveals the evolution of technology innovation through three stages: product innovation, process innovation, and cost/quality focus, exemplified by Berkshire Hathaway's strategic investment in Apple [3] - The Gartner curve outlines five stages of technology lifecycle, emphasizing investment opportunities in the early and mature phases of technology [3] Industry Research - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.24% and the Shenzhen Component Index fell by 3.93% in 2025, while the pharmaceutical and biotechnology sector increased by 4.57% [6] - The pharmaceutical industry is experiencing a recovery with a focus on innovative drugs, supported by government policies and international collaborations, leading to significant overseas business deals [6] - The CXO sector is stabilizing with an increase in R&D spending and a recovery in orders, indicating a positive outlook for the industry [7] - Traditional Chinese medicine is being promoted through increased government investment and policy support, with expectations for new drug approvals to rise [7] - The investment strategy for the second half of 2025 emphasizes innovation and performance recovery, with a focus on new drug approvals and market dynamics [7][8] Company Research - The report details the leading position of the company in the domestic sensor market, highlighting its comprehensive technology and manufacturing capabilities [10] - The global sensor market is projected to grow to $457.26 billion by 2032, with the company holding a significant market share in the strain sensor sector [10] - The humanoid robot sector is experiencing rapid growth, with the company actively developing sensor products for this market, including six-dimensional force sensors [11] - Revenue projections for the company from 2025 to 2027 are estimated at 1.527 billion, 1.823 billion, and 2.196 billion yuan, with corresponding net profits of 326 million, 393 million, and 482 million yuan [11]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company [4][8]. Core Insights - The company is a leading domestic sensor manufacturer with a comprehensive layout in the sensor industry, having completed nine strategic investment projects in 2024 [4][8]. - The global sensor market is steadily growing, with a projected market size of USD 241.06 billion in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 6.71% [4][38]. - The company has a significant advantage in mechanical sensors, with an annual production capacity of 3 million sensors and a market share of 15 consecutive years as the leading brand in weighing sensors [4][52]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company has been focused on sensor and related instrument manufacturing since its establishment in 1995, becoming one of the most diversified listed companies in the domestic sensor industry [19][21]. - The ownership structure is stable and concentrated, with the founder holding 44.84% of the shares [25][27]. Industry Background - The sensor industry is supported by various government policies, and the demand for high-performance sensors is increasing [39][41]. - The domestic sensor market is expected to reach CNY 380 billion in 2024, with a growth rate among the highest globally [38][41]. Financial Analysis - The company is projected to achieve revenues of CNY 1.527 billion, CNY 1.823 billion, and CNY 2.196 billion from 2025 to 2027, with corresponding net profits of CNY 326 million, CNY 393 million, and CNY 482 million [10][8]. - The earnings per share (EPS) are expected to be CNY 1.16, CNY 1.40, and CNY 1.71 for the same period, with a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 55.13 for 2025 [8][10]. Investment and Strategic Development - The company is actively investing in the robot sensor market, with a focus on six-dimensional force sensors, which are crucial for humanoid robots [5][6]. - The company has established three major industrial parks in Ningbo, Shenzhen, and Zhengzhou, which are expected to enhance its sensor industry cluster [33][34].

宏观经济分析报告 | | 政策动向等待数据确认 | | --- | --- | | | -宏观经济周报 | | 分析师:周喜 | SAC NO: S1150511010017 2025年6月20日 | | 证券分析师 . | 就外围环境而言,美国方面,尽管与 GDP 联系更为密切的"控制组"零售销 | | 周喜 | 售 5 月环比增速较此前有所改善,但在前期抢购热潮消退下,整体零售销 | | 022-28451972 | | | zhouxi@bhzq.com | 售环比增速还是现近 1 年以来最大降幅,特别是汽车销售成为主要拖累。 | | | 另外,代表服务业的餐厅和酒吧销售额环比增速也出现大幅下降。中美临时 | | 宋亦威 | 关税协议有助于短期消费者情绪缓和,但更实质的劳动力市场走弱风险仍 | | SAC NO: S1150514080001 | 会给消费带来压力。同样,5月工业产出也释放出经济放缓的信号,剔除波 | | 022-23861608 | | | songyw@bhzq.com | 动较大的汽车制造业外的其他制造业产出环比增速连续两月下滑,尚在讨 | 研 究 报 F 周 报 有色金属价格涨跌 ...

固 定 收 益 研 究 固定收益周报 利率延续走强，利差表现分化 | 益 | | | | | ――利率债周报 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 分析师： 王哲语 | | SAC NO： S1150524070001 2025 年 6 月 20 日 | | | | | 研 | [Table_Author] 证券分析师 | | 统计区间：2025 年 6 月 13 日至 2025 年 6 月 19 日 | | | | | | [Table_IndInvest] 王哲语 | ⚫ | 重点事件点评 | | | | | 究 | 022-23839051 |  | 月社融主要靠债券类融资支撑，包括政府债券和企业债券融 金融数据：5 | | | | | | | | 资，企业中长贷仍较疲弱，与化债及融资需求不足因素有关。后续可关注 | | | | | | wangzheyu@bhzq.com | | 5 月降息的滞后反馈效果。 | | | | | | |  | 经济数据：5 月生产和投资数据边际回落，"以旧换新"领域的社零数据 | | | | | | ...

编辑人 崔健 022-28451618 SAC NO：S1150511010016 cuijian@bhzq.com 渤海证券研究所晨会纪要（2025.06.20） 宏观及策略研究 科创板改革获推进，市场延续窄幅震荡——A 股市场投资策略周报 晨会纪要（2025/06/20） 证 券 研 究 报 告 晨 会 纪 要 请务必阅读正文之后的声明 渤海证券股份有限公司具备证券投资咨询业务资格 1 of 4 晨会纪要（2025/06/20） 宏观及策略研究 科创板改革获推进，市场延续窄幅震荡——A 股市场投资策略周报 严佩佩（证券分析师，SAC NO：S1150520110001） 宋亦威（证券分析师，SAC NO：S1150514080001） 靳沛芃（研究助理，SAC NO：S1150124030005） 1、市场回顾 近 5 个交易日（6 月 13 日-6 月 19 日），重要指数纷纷收跌；其中，上证综指收跌 1.19%，创业板指收跌 1.95%； 风格层面，沪深 300 收跌 1.26%，中证 500 收跌 2.12%。成交量方面小幅缩量，两市统计区间内成交 6.33 万亿元，日均成交额达到 1.27 万亿元 ...

Market Review - Major indices experienced declines in the recent trading days from June 13 to June 19, with the Shanghai Composite Index falling by 1.19% and the ChiNext Index dropping by 1.95% [5] - The trading volume slightly decreased, with a total of 6.33 trillion yuan traded, resulting in an average daily turnover of 1.27 trillion yuan, down by 99.55 billion yuan compared to the previous five trading days [13] Economic Performance - Fixed asset investment from January to May increased by 3.7% year-on-year, continuing to decline, with infrastructure investment growing by 5.6% [29] - Manufacturing investment rose by 8.5% year-on-year, while real estate investment decreased by 10.7%, indicating a need for stabilization in the real estate market [30] - Retail sales of consumer goods in May grew by 6.4% year-on-year, significantly rebounding by 1.3 percentage points, supported by policies and promotional events [32] Policy Developments - The China Securities Regulatory Commission announced a "1+6" policy package aimed at further reforming the Sci-Tech Innovation Board, including the introduction of a growth tier and the resumption of the fifth set of listing standards [34] - The U.S. Federal Reserve maintained its federal funds rate target range at 4.25% to 4.50%, with expectations of a slower pace of interest rate cuts in the future [35] Investment Strategy - The current market is characterized by continued fluctuations, with external risks not fully dissipated and key variables needed to break the existing trend [38] - Investment opportunities are identified in the banking sector due to high dividend yields and defensive characteristics, as well as thematic investment opportunities in the TMT sector, biomedicine, and national defense industries [38]

Macro and Strategy Research - The economic data for May 2025 shows that the industrial added value increased by 5.8% year-on-year, which is lower than the expected 6.0% and the previous value of 6.1% [3] - The retail sales of consumer goods increased by 6.4% year-on-year, surpassing the expected 4.9% and the previous value of 5.1% [3] - Fixed asset investment accumulated a year-on-year growth of 3.7%, below the expected 4.1% and the previous value of 4.0% [3] - The decline in industrial added value is attributed to fewer working days and a lag in production due to tariff adjustments, particularly affecting labor-intensive industries like textiles [3] - The service sector's production index grew by 6.2%, indicating a slight improvement from April [3] Consumption Growth Challenges - The significant rise in retail sales is driven by holiday consumption and promotional activities, reaching a new high in nearly a year [4] - Automotive sales increased by 11.2% year-on-year, but overall sales revenue growth is limited due to pricing factors [4] - Future consumption may struggle to maintain current levels due to policy adjustments and potential overconsumption [4] Investment Needs Policy Support - Fixed asset investment growth has declined for two consecutive months, with manufacturing investment decreasing by 0.4 percentage points to 7.8% year-on-year [4] - Ten out of twelve sub-sectors in manufacturing saw a slowdown in investment growth, particularly in transportation equipment and non-ferrous metal smelting [4] - Infrastructure investment growth decreased to 9.3%, with local debt pressures limiting project funding [5] - Real estate investment saw a significant decline, with sales in major cities dropping and funding sources for real estate companies decreasing by 10.5% year-on-year [5] Fixed Income Research - The overall issuance rates for credit bonds have mostly decreased, with a range of -7 basis points to 6 basis points [7] - The net financing amount for credit bonds has decreased, with corporate bonds and short-term financing bonds seeing an increase in net financing [7] - The secondary market for credit bonds has seen a significant increase in transaction volume, with most varieties experiencing growth [7] - The credit spreads for medium and short-term notes, corporate bonds, and urban investment bonds have generally narrowed [7] Industry Research - The metal industry is experiencing traditional seasonal characteristics, with demand expected to decline as summer approaches [15] - Steel prices are expected to remain weak due to increasing inventory pressures [15] - Copper prices are supported by tight supply and low inventory, but lack upward momentum in the short term [15] - Gold prices are bolstered by international trade tensions and geopolitical factors, with a need to monitor macroeconomic data and interest rate expectations [15] - The lithium market faces oversupply issues, leading to expected price weakness [15]

Macro and Strategy Research - In May, social financing increased by over 200 billion yuan year-on-year, with government bond financing being a major support, also increasing by over 200 billion yuan year-on-year [2] - Corporate short-term loans showed significant year-on-year growth, while medium and long-term loans decreased due to insufficient demand, particularly in a competitive internal environment [2] - M1 year-on-year growth rate rebounded in May, driven by increased fiscal spending and a decrease in the base from the previous year [3] Fund Research - The market saw mixed performance among major indices, with 13 out of 31 industries rising; the top five performing industries included non-ferrous metals and oil and petrochemicals [4] - The net inflow of funds was primarily in the technology and consumer sectors, while active equity fund positions decreased to 72.78%, down by 3.57 percentage points [5] - The ETF market experienced a net outflow of 29.50 billion yuan, with significant outflows from stock ETFs, indicating a shift towards bond ETFs due to risk aversion [5] Industry Research - The潮玩 (trendy toys) sector remains highly popular, with the blind box market expected to exceed 58 billion yuan by 2025, reflecting a compound annual growth rate of 28% from 2020 to 2025 [7][10] - The light industry manufacturing sector underperformed compared to the CSI 300 index, while the textile and apparel sector outperformed it by 0.31 percentage points [7] - The Guangzhou government has proposed measures to boost consumption, which may positively impact the home improvement and home furnishing sectors [10]

Market Overview - The A-share market saw most major indices rise last week, with the ChiNext Index experiencing the largest increase of 1.73%. The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.68%, while the Shenzhen Component Index increased by 1.04% [2] - As of June 10, the margin trading balance in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 1,811.46 billion yuan, an increase of 12.36 billion yuan from the previous week. The financing balance was 1,799.24 billion yuan, up by 11.95 billion yuan, and the securities lending balance was 12.22 billion yuan, which increased by 0.42 billion yuan [2] Industry Insights - The electronic, computer, and machinery equipment sectors had significant net buying in margin trading, while the food and beverage, banking, and coal sectors saw less net buying [3] - The average working hours for major construction machinery products in May were 84.5 hours, a year-on-year decrease of 3.86% [5] - Excavator sales in May reached 18,200 units, a year-on-year increase of 2.12%, while loader sales were 10,500 units, up 7.24% [5] Company Announcements - Zhejiang Lino plans to acquire 100% of Xuzhou Chemical Machinery Co., Ltd. [6] - Laisai Laser has adjusted the expected operational date for its fundraising project to August 1, 2026 [6] Performance Review - From June 4 to June 10, the CSI 300 Index rose by 0.35%, while the machinery equipment sector increased by 0.73%, outperforming the CSI 300 by 0.38 percentage points [6] - The price-to-earnings ratio (TTM) for the machinery equipment sector as of June 10 was 26.18 times, with a valuation premium of 117.57% compared to the CSI 300 [8] Future Outlook - Cumulative excavator sales from January to May reached 101,700 units, a year-on-year increase of 17.40%, with domestic sales at 57,500 units, up 25.70% [8] - The report maintains a "positive" rating for the machinery equipment sector, emphasizing the potential for urban renewal initiatives to drive steady demand for construction machinery [8]