The provided content does not contain any quantitative models or factors, nor does it include any related construction processes, formulas, evaluations, or backtesting results. The documents primarily focus on fund performance, asset flows, and market observations without delving into quantitative finance methodologies.

Macro and Strategy - The fiscal data for the first five months of 2025 shows a decline in both revenue and expenditure, with total public budget revenue at 96,623 billion yuan, down 0.3% year-on-year, and total expenditure at 112,953 billion yuan, up 4.2% year-on-year [9][10] - The high-tech manufacturing macro report indicates that the diffusion index remains unchanged, with specific sectors like dynamic random access memory (DRAM) prices rising, while others like acrylonitrile are declining [10][11] - The macroeconomic report highlights a seasonal decline in high-frequency indicators, suggesting stable economic performance despite fluctuations in investment and consumption sectors [11][12] Industry and Company - The food and beverage industry report emphasizes the emergence of new consumption patterns driven by lifestyle changes, indicating a shift towards more personalized and experience-oriented consumption [23][24] - The report identifies three main consumer groups: Generation Z, the silver-haired population, and the middle class, each with distinct consumption preferences and behaviors [25][26] - Investment recommendations include companies like Wei Long, Salted Fish, Dongpeng Beverage, and Guizhou Moutai, reflecting confidence in the food and beverage sector's growth potential [27] Overseas Market Overview - The US stock market has seen a pullback from high levels, with the S&P 500 down 0.2% and a notable shift of funds towards the financial sector [28][29] - In the Hong Kong market, the Hang Seng Index fell by 1.5%, with significant outflows from the pharmaceutical and consumer sectors, while the machinery sector attracted investment [30][31] Financial Engineering - The REITs market has shown positive performance, with the index rising by 0.87% and a year-to-date increase of 13.2%, indicating strong interest in property and infrastructure-related investments [14][15] - The approval of the first data center REITs marks a significant expansion in the REITs market, reflecting growing interest in digital infrastructure [16]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Outperform the Market" (maintained) [2][6] Core Viewpoints - The report anticipates a turning point in the beef cycle in 2025, with a continued rise in meat prices expected until 2027, driven by supply adjustments and improved market conditions [4][16] - The domestic beef and milk prices have diverged, with the beef-to-milk price ratio reaching a historical high of 20.97, indicating potential for accelerated dairy cow culling and a subsequent recovery in raw milk prices [3][20] - The report highlights that the domestic beef market is expected to tighten due to reduced supply and import pressures, leading to a sustained upward trend in beef prices [11][16] Summary by Sections Beef Market Outlook - The report projects that the beef market will experience a significant recovery starting in 2025, with prices expected to rise until 2027 due to supply adjustments and reduced losses among farmers [5][16] - The current beef price has been under pressure, with a cumulative decline of nearly 25% from the peak in 2023, but the report suggests that the market is poised for recovery [5][10] Dairy Market Outlook - The raw milk market has been underperforming, with prices dropping below cash costs, but improvements are anticipated in the second half of 2025 as supply and demand dynamics shift [17][25] - The report notes that the culling of dairy cows will provide additional beef supply, reinforcing the interconnectedness of the beef and dairy markets [19][20] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies directly benefiting from the beef market recovery, such as Bright Meat Industry, and suggests monitoring dairy farming companies like Yuran Dairy, Modern Farming, and China Shengmu for potential performance recovery [4][26]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the pharmaceutical and biotechnology sector [4][11]. Core Insights - The pharmaceutical sector has shown stronger performance compared to the overall market, with the biopharmaceutical sector leading the gains [1][23]. - The introduction of fertility subsidies and the inclusion of assisted reproduction in health insurance are expected to drive growth in the assisted reproduction industry [2][11]. - The application of AI in medical services is anticipated to enhance efficiency and quality, with leading companies accelerating their AI business layouts [2][20]. Summary by Sections Market Performance - The overall A-share market declined by 0.21%, while the biopharmaceutical sector increased by 1.40%, outperforming the market [1][23]. - Within the biopharmaceutical sector, chemical pharmaceuticals rose by 3.53%, while medical devices and traditional Chinese medicine saw declines [1][23]. Policy Impact - Over 20 provinces have implemented fertility subsidy policies, which include cash, housing subsidies, and parental leave, enhancing the willingness to have children [2][11]. - Nearly 30 provinces have included assisted reproduction in health insurance, significantly reducing patient costs and expected to lead to rapid growth in the industry [2][12]. AI Applications in Healthcare - AI is being integrated into various medical service sectors, with companies like Guoshentang and Aier Eye Hospital leading the way in AI applications [14][15]. - The report highlights the potential for AI to improve diagnostic accuracy and operational efficiency in healthcare settings [20][21]. Company Earnings Forecasts and Ratings - Major companies such as Mindray Medical, WuXi AppTec, and Aier Eye Hospital are rated as "Outperform" with strong earnings growth projections [3][32]. - Mindray Medical is expected to benefit from domestic medical infrastructure development and product upgrades, while WuXi AppTec is positioned to gain from the global drug development outsourcing market [32][33]. Recommended Stocks - Mindray Medical, WuXi AppTec, and New Industries are highlighted as key investment opportunities due to their strong market positions and growth potential [32][33]. - Companies like Aier Eye Hospital and Guoshentang are noted for their innovative AI applications that could enhance service quality and operational efficiency [14][20].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform the Market" rating for the communication industry [5][56]. Core Insights - Marvell predicts that North American CSP cloud capital expenditures (Capex) will exceed $1 trillion by 2028, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 20% from an expected $595 billion in 2025 [2][13]. - The customized ASIC market is expected to grow significantly, from $6 billion in 2023 to $40.8 billion by 2028, reflecting a CAGR of 47% [2][14]. - Marvell's data center business is projected to capture a market share of 20% by 2028, with potential revenue reaching $94 billion, driven by high demand for customized chips [19][20]. Summary by Sections Industry News Tracking - Marvell's AI Day highlighted the rapid growth of Capex among North American CSPs, with a revised potential market size for data centers increasing to $94 billion, up from a previous estimate of $75 billion, indicating a 26% growth [13]. - The demand for AI ASICs is rising, with Marvell reporting 18 customer projects involving major players like Tesla and OpenAI [14][19]. Market Performance - The communication index rose by 1.58% this week, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index, which fell by 0.45%, resulting in a relative return of +2.04% [3][45]. - Key sectors such as optical modules, IoT controllers, and optical fiber cables showed strong performance, with respective increases of 4.22%, 1.29%, and 1.20% [45][48]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on AI development on both cloud and edge sides, while also considering the high dividend value of major telecom operators [4][52]. - Recommended stocks include China Mobile, Zhongji Xuchuang, Tianfu Communication, and Guanghe Communication for the upcoming week [4][52].

Core Insights - Global ESG development is characterized by simultaneous technological innovation and policy improvement, indicating a steady progression towards deep technological innovation, diversified financial tools, and pragmatic policy adjustments in the ESG sector [2][6] - In the carbon neutrality field, Norway has launched the world's first comprehensive CCS value chain "Longship," with an annual storage capacity of 1.5 million tons [2][6][17] - The UK government has allocated £200 million for the Acorn carbon capture project, expected to reduce emissions by 18 million tons annually [2][6] - TerraPower has secured $650 million in funding to advance the construction of advanced nuclear reactors [2][6] - Australia has introduced the world's first sustainable finance taxonomy covering high-emission industries, aiming to guide investments towards green and transitional activities [2][6][13] International ESG Events - Amazon Air has begun using sustainable aviation fuel provided by Neste, with a supply of 7,500 tons planned for 2025 [6][9] - SAP has signed a carbon removal agreement with Climeworks for 37,000 tons of carbon removal credits by 2034 [6][9] - The European Union has simplified carbon border tax rules, exempting 90% of small business imports [6][9] Domestic ESG Developments - In China, the delivery of the world's largest and most efficient methanol reserve car carrier "Anji Hongsheng" marks a significant achievement in carbon neutrality [2][6] - Fujian has released a long-term hydrogen energy industry plan aiming for an annual green hydrogen production capacity of 100,000 tons by 2035 [2][6] - The Shanghai completion of the world's first ship-to-ship liquid CO2 unloading operation establishes a complete carbon cycle system [2][6] Academic Frontiers - Research published in the "International Review of Financial Analysis" indicates that incorporating climate risk factors into financial models can enhance the accuracy of industry volatility predictions [2][4] - A study in "Econometrica" highlights the significant impact of large-scale battery storage on electricity market prices and renewable energy integration [2][4] - Research in "Nature" assesses the impacts of climate change on global agriculture, emphasizing the challenges to food security despite adaptation measures [2][4] Sustainable Finance Initiatives - The Australian sustainable finance taxonomy aims to support the transition to a low-carbon economy and enhance investor confidence in low-carbon investments [13][12] - Volkswagen Bank has successfully issued its first green bond worth €1.5 billion to support electric vehicle financing [6][9] - Goldman Sachs has launched an emerging markets green and social bond ETF to provide investors with exposure to sustainable fixed-income securities [6][9]

证券研究报告 | 2025年06月22日 基金周报 第三届基金投顾金牛奖榜单揭晓，首批 10 只科创债 ETF 申报 核心观点 金融工程周报 上周市场回顾。上周A股市场主要宽基指数全线下跌，中小板指、沪深 300、上证综指指数收益靠前，收益分别为-0.43%、-0.45%、-0.51%， 中证 500、中证 1000、创业板指指数收益靠后，收益分别为-1.75%、 -1.74%、-1.66%。 从成交额来看，上周主要宽基指数成交额均有所下降。行业方面，上周 银行、综合金融、通信收益靠前，收益分别为 3.13%、1.74%、1.43%， 医药、纺织服装、商贸零售收益靠后，收益分别为-4.16%、-4.1%、-4.08%。 截至上周五，央行逆回购净投放资金 1021 亿元，逆回购到期 8582 亿元， 净公开市场投放 9603 亿元。不同期限的国债利率均有所下行，利差扩 大 4.06BP。 上周共上报 41 只基金，较上上周申报数量有所增加。申报的产品包括 6 只FOF，中证AAA科技创新公司债ETF、上证AAA科技创新公司债ETF、 华安国证港股通消费主题ETF、嘉实恒生港股通科技主题ETF等。 6 月 16 ...

证券研究报告 | 2025年06月22日 公募 REITs 周报（第 22 期） 指数继续收涨，首批数据中心 REITs 获批 核心观点 固定收益周报 主要结论：本周中证REITs指数收涨，产权类REITs走势强于经营权类REITs， 产权类 REITs 和特许经营权类 REITs 平均周涨跌幅为+2.5%、+0.3%。从主要 指数周涨跌幅对比来看：中证 REITs>中证转债>中证全债>沪深 300，REITs 全周日均换手率较前一周略有下降。全市场各类型 REITs 收涨，消费、保障 房、水利类 REITs 涨幅最大。截至 6 月 20 日，公募 REITs 年化现金分派率 均值为 6.2%，高于当前主流固收资产的静态收益率。当前产权 REITs 股息率 比中证红利股股息率均值低 124BP,经营权类 REITs 内部收益率均值与十年 期国债收益率利差为 188BP。首批数据中心 REITs 获批，两单 5A 景区启动公 募 REITs 招投标，REITs 底层资产实现战略性扩容。 中证 REITs 指数周涨跌幅为+0.87%，年初至今涨跌幅为+13.2%。截至 2025 年 6 月 20 日，中证 REI ...

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Views - Last week, after the release of May economic data, with the year-on-year growth rate of social consumption reaching 6.4% and the estimated monthly GDP at 5.0%, and the tightening of the capital market, bond yields continued to decline, and non-active ultra-long bonds rose significantly. The trading activity of ultra-long bonds increased slightly, and the term spread remained flat while the variety spread widened [1][3][11]. - As of June 20, the spread between 30-year treasury bonds and 10-year treasury bonds was 20BP, at a historically low level. The May economic data showed resilience, with an estimated GDP growth rate of about 5.0%, a 0.1% decline from April but still higher than the annual target. With deflation risks, a decline in exports, a negative month-on-month change in housing prices, and a decrease in capital interest rates, the bond market sentiment improved. It is expected that the bond market is more likely to continue rising in the short term, but the term spread protection is limited [2]. - As of June 20, the spread between 20-year CDB bonds and 20-year treasury bonds was 4BP, at a historically extremely low level. Similar to the 30-year treasury bonds, considering the economic situation and market conditions, the bond market is expected to rise in the short term, but the variety spread protection is limited [3]. Summary by Directory Weekly Review Ultra-long Bond Review - After the release of May economic data, with the year-on-year growth rate of social consumption reaching 6.4% and the estimated monthly GDP at 5.0%, and the tightening of the capital market, bond yields continued to decline, and non-active ultra-long bonds rose significantly. The trading activity of ultra-long bonds increased slightly and was quite active. The term spread remained flat, and the variety spread widened [1][11]. Ultra-long Bond Investment Outlook - **30-year Treasury Bonds**: As of June 20, the spread between 30-year and 10-year treasury bonds was 20BP, at a historically low level. The May economic data showed resilience, with an estimated GDP growth rate of about 5.0%, a 0.1% decline from April but still higher than the annual target. With deflation risks, a decline in exports, a negative month-on-month change in housing prices, and a decrease in capital interest rates, the bond market sentiment improved. It is expected that the bond market is more likely to continue rising in the short term, but the term spread protection is limited [2][12]. - **20-year CDB Bonds**: As of June 20, the spread between 20-year CDB bonds and 20-year treasury bonds was 4BP, at a historically extremely low level. Similar to the 30-year treasury bonds, considering the economic situation and market conditions, the bond market is expected to rise in the short term, but the variety spread protection is limited [3][13]. Ultra-long Bond Basic Overview - The balance of outstanding ultra-long bonds exceeded 21.6 trillion. As of May 31, the total amount of ultra-long bonds with a remaining term of over 14 years was 216,823 billion (excluding asset-backed securities and project revenue notes), accounting for 14.4% of the total bond balance. Local government bonds and treasury bonds were the main varieties. By variety, treasury bonds accounted for 26.1%, local government bonds 67.8%, policy financial bonds 2.1%, government agency bonds 2.0%, commercial bank subordinated bonds 0.2%, corporate bonds 0.5%, enterprise bonds 0.1%, medium-term notes 1.2%, private bonds 0.0%, and directional instruments 0.0%. By remaining term, the 14 - 18-year (inclusive) category accounted for 26.7%, the 18 - 25-year (inclusive) 26.9%, the 25 - 35-year (inclusive) 40.3%, and over 35 years 6.2% [14]. Primary Market Weekly Issuance - Last week (June 16 - 20, 2025), the issuance of ultra-long bonds was relatively small, with a total issuance of 1,147 billion yuan. Compared with the week before last, the total issuance of ultra-long bonds increased significantly. By variety, treasury bonds accounted for 500 billion, local government bonds 505 billion, policy bank bonds 0 billion, government-supported agency bonds 0 billion, medium-term notes 30 billion, corporate bonds 113 billion, directional instruments 0 billion, enterprise bonds 0 billion, and bank subordinated bonds 0 billion. By term, 149 billion were issued with a term of 15 years, 684 billion with 20 years, 315 billion with 30 years, and 0 billion with 50 years [19]. This Week's Pending Issuance - The announced issuance plan for ultra-long bonds this week totals 3,663 billion. By variety, ultra-long treasury bonds account for 710 billion, ultra-long local government bonds 2,788 billion, ultra-long corporate bonds 0 billion, and ultra-long medium-term notes 165 billion [25]. Secondary Market Trading Volume - Last week, the trading of ultra-long bonds was quite active, with a trading volume of 11,298 billion, accounting for 11.0% of the total bond trading volume. By variety, the trading volume of ultra-long treasury bonds was 7,764 billion, accounting for 29.8% of the total treasury bond trading volume; ultra-long local bonds 2,799 billion, accounting for 51.4% of the total local bond trading volume; ultra-long policy financial bonds 103 billion, accounting for 0.3% of the total policy financial bond trading volume; and ultra-long government agency bonds 89 billion, accounting for 78.8% of the total government agency bond trading volume. The trading activity of ultra-long bonds increased slightly compared with the week before last, with an increase of 2,330 billion in trading volume and a 0.1% increase in the proportion. Among them, the trading volume of ultra-long treasury bonds increased by 1,474 billion, but the proportion decreased by 6.3%; the trading volume of ultra-long local bonds increased by 388 billion, and the proportion increased by 3.5%; the trading volume of ultra-long policy financial bonds decreased by 5 billion, and the proportion decreased by 0.1%; the trading volume of ultra-long government agency bonds increased by 66 billion, and the proportion increased by 66.2% [28]. Yield - After the release of May economic data, with the year-on-year growth rate of social consumption reaching 6.4% and the estimated monthly GDP at 5.0%, and the tightening of the capital market, bond yields continued to decline. For treasury bonds, the yields of 15-year, 20-year, 30-year, and 50-year bonds changed by -3BP, -5BP, -1BP, and -5BP to 1.78%, 1.87%, 1.84%, and 1.95% respectively. For CDB bonds, the yields of 15-year, 20-year, 30-year, and 50-year bonds changed by -5BP, -6BP, -1BP, and -5BP to 1.86%, 1.90%, 2.02%, and 2.19% respectively. For local bonds, the yields of 15-year, 20-year, and 30-year bonds changed by -5BP, -4BP, and -4BP to 1.98%, 2.03%, and 2.03% respectively. For railway bonds, the yields of 15-year, 20-year, and 30-year bonds changed by -5BP, -4BP, and -4BP to 1.92%, 1.95%, and 2.05% respectively. For representative individual bonds, the yield of the 30-year treasury bond active bond 24 Special Treasury Bond 06 changed by -2BP to 1.88%, and the yield of the 20-year CDB bond active bond 21 CDB 20 changed by -5BP to 1.89% [44][45]. Spread Analysis - **Term Spread**: Last week, the term spread of ultra-long bonds remained flat, and the absolute level was low. The spread between the benchmark 30-year and 10-year treasury bonds was 20BP, unchanged from the week before last, at the 4% percentile since 2010 [53]. - **Variety Spread**: Last week, the variety spread of ultra-long bonds widened, and the absolute level was low. The spread between the benchmark 20-year CDB bonds and treasury bonds was 4BP, and the spread between 20-year railway bonds and treasury bonds was 9BP, with a 0BP and 1BP change from the week before last respectively, at the 6% and 5% percentiles since 2010 [54]. 30-year Treasury Bond Futures - Last week, the main 30-year treasury bond futures contract TL2509 closed at 121.32 yuan, an increase of 0.68%. The total trading volume was 327,300 lots (5,583 lots), and the open interest was 137,700 lots (13,009 lots). The trading volume and open interest increased slightly compared with the week before last [60].

证券研究报告 | 2025年06月22日 港股市场速览 优于大市 医药消费回撤，石油机械逆势吸金 股价表现：医药与消费带动市场总体回撤 本周，恒生指数跌 1.5%，恒生科技跌 2.0%。风格方面，大盘（恒生大型股 -1.4%）＞小盘（恒生小型股-2.0%）＞中盘（恒生中型股-3.3%）。 概念指数多数下跌，跌幅较小的有：恒生金融（-0.3%）；跌幅较大的有： 恒生创新药（-8.8%）、恒生消费（-4.3%）。 港股通行业中，2 个行业上涨，28 个行业下跌。上涨的有：电子（+3.0%）、 银行（+0.9%）；下跌的主要有：医药（-7.5%）、国防军工（-5.7%）、基 础化工（-5.4%）、轻工制造（-5.2%）、消费者服务（-5.2%）。 资金强度：总体持续流出，石油机械逆势吸金 本周，资金持续流出港股通成分股，总体日均资金强度（日均涨跌 x 日均 成交量）为-5.8 亿港元/日，上周为-8.0 亿港元/日，近 4 周平均为-1.6 亿 港元/日；近 13 周为-0.4 亿港元/日。 分行业看，8 个行业资金流入，21 个行业资金流出，1 个基本持平。资金流 入的主要有：机械（+1.3 亿港元/日）、电子（ ...