Core Insights - The report from CITIC Securities highlights the advancements in multimodal technology by leading companies like Google and Kuaishou, addressing challenges in character consistency and physical logic, marking a shift from entertainment to productivity [1][2] - AI-generated content, particularly AI comic dramas, is emerging as a new growth area, with platforms like ByteDance incentivizing high-quality content creation, potentially reshaping advertising and gaming asset production [1][7] Group 1: Company Developments - Google has established strong barriers in long-context understanding and native audio-video integration with models like Veo, Gemini, and Nanobanana [2] - Kuaishou's Keling model integrates multiple creative tasks into a unified engine, achieving a victory ratio of 247% in image reference tasks and 230% in instruction transformation tasks [3] - Alibaba's Tongyi Wanshang 2.6 model introduces commercial role-playing capabilities, ensuring character consistency across different shots and supporting high-definition video generation [4] - Zhizhu's GLM-Image model, developed in collaboration with Huawei, is the first to complete full-process training on a domestic computing platform, addressing industry challenges like Chinese character rendering [5] Group 2: Market Trends and Opportunities - Kuaishou's Keling AI has seen a significant increase in active users, surpassing 12 million, with a 350% growth in paid users, indicating a shift of multimodal AI tools from entertainment to essential productivity tools in industries like film and advertising [6] - The AI comic drama sector is rapidly expanding, with ByteDance implementing aggressive incentive policies to promote high-quality content, reflecting a potential market size growth for short dramas and comic dramas [7][8] - The evolution of multimodal technology is expected to reshape business logic across various industries, including search and marketing, entertainment, and gaming, with advancements in generative AI leading to new commercial opportunities [8]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report indicates that the liquor industry, particularly brands like Shui Jing Fang and Yanghe, is expected to experience significant performance declines in 2025 due to deep industry adjustments and proactive inventory control by companies [1] - The report suggests that the long-term performance improvement potential remains clear, supported by brand strength and channel barriers, despite short-term challenges [1][5] - The upcoming Q1 is anticipated to show a recovery in the liquor sector post-Spring Festival, with inventory adjustments and stable pricing beginning to manifest [2][5] Group 2 - Three main investment themes for Q1 are highlighted: the leading performance of consumer staples like snacks and dairy, the potential for profit surprises from leading brands in the consumer sector, and the positive impact of pre-Spring Festival inventory buildup [2][3] - The report emphasizes that the liquor sector is currently in a "bottoming out" phase, with expectations for a valuation recovery following the Spring Festival as consumer demand is expected to rebound [2][3] - The report notes that some liquor companies are maintaining stable profitability despite slowing revenue growth, with certain regional brands expected to outperform due to market penetration and improved sales dynamics [3][5] Group 3 - The report identifies multiple catalysts in late January that could lead to better-than-expected Q1 results, including the peak sales season for liquor companies and improved data from consumer staples due to pre-holiday stocking [4] - The liquor industry is undergoing a structural recovery cycle, with expectations for inventory reduction and price stabilization in the high-end and mass-market segments by 2026 [5][6] - Companies are advised to seize current low valuation opportunities, as leading liquor brands are expected to benefit from the recovery in business and gift consumption, providing stable returns [5][6] Group 4 - The beer industry is experiencing a continued inventory reduction, with production figures showing a decline in output, indicating a need for strategic planning for the upcoming year [7] - The dairy sector is seeing a slight increase in milk prices, with major dairy groups seeking mergers to enhance market share as they prepare for a cyclical recovery [8] - The condiment and frozen food sectors are expected to see a stabilization in pricing as the restaurant chain enters a peak season, with potential cost elasticity from raw material price reductions [9]

Core Viewpoint - In 2025, China's infrastructure investment is projected to reach 24.5 trillion yuan, representing a 1.5% decrease compared to the previous year, with a slowdown of 1.6 percentage points compared to the cumulative growth rate from January to November [1] Infrastructure Investment Summary - The narrow infrastructure growth rate for 2025 is recorded at -2.2%, which is a decline of 1.1 percentage points compared to the cumulative growth rate from January to November [1] - Key sectors such as pipeline transportation, warehousing, and internet services are maintaining a relatively fast growth rate in infrastructure investment, while sectors like ecological protection, water conservancy, road transport, and public facilities are experiencing significant declines [1] Policy Impact Summary - A series of investment-promoting policies have been implemented since the second half of 2025, but there is a lag in the realization of infrastructure investment from funding to project completion [1] - With the support of new policy financial tools, ultra-long-term special bonds, and newly issued special bonds, infrastructure investment in key projects and sectors is expected to accelerate in the first half of 2026 [1]

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market is characterized by "structural differentiation and simultaneous repair," with various institutions noting that despite ongoing redemption pressure on broad-based ETFs, sectors such as consumer chains, real estate chains, and resource products are entering a repair window [1][2]. Group 1: Market Trends - The broad-based ETF redemption pressure continues to grow, with significant differences in the承接力 (support capacity) among different industries and stocks [2]. - The consumer chain is expected to see an increase in allocation leading up to the Two Sessions, with the real estate chain also likely to experience noticeable recovery during this period [2]. - The spring market is supported by ample liquidity and policy backing, which may sustain the ongoing spring rally, although caution is advised regarding the marginal contraction of profit effects at high levels [1][3]. Group 2: Investment Focus - The consensus among institutions is to focus on technology (AI, semiconductors) and resource products (non-ferrous metals, chemicals) as key investment directions [1][7]. - There is growing attention on cyclical sectors showing signs of bottom reversal, such as power grid equipment and lithium batteries, as well as non-bank sectors [1][3]. - The current market environment is conducive to exploring basic combinations centered around chemicals, non-ferrous metals, new energy, and power equipment, while also considering low allocation in non-bank sectors like securities and insurance [2][4]. Group 3: Performance and Earnings - As the annual report forecast disclosure period peaks, the impact of earnings on market structure is expected to become more pronounced, with a focus on sectors with earnings highlights [4][11]. - The performance of sectors such as AI hardware, batteries, pharmaceuticals, steel, and non-bank financials is anticipated to improve, given their relatively low price increases [4][12]. - The market is likely to experience a rotation among sectors, with a focus on high-growth areas and those benefiting from price increases [12][14]. Group 4: Future Outlook - The market is expected to continue its slow bull trend, with the potential for a correction after reaching a phase high between 4200 and 4300 points [6][10]. - The spring market is seen as an extension of the structural bull market, with a likelihood of a consolidation phase following the current rally [3][5]. - The focus for 2026 includes a clearer dual mainline of asset allocation towards physical assets and Chinese assets, with thematic investments becoming essential [9][10].

当日关注点 截至2026年1月23日收盘，中信建投(601066)报收于24.71元，上涨0.0%，换手率0.32%，成交量20.75万 手，成交额5.13亿元。 中信建投证券股份有限公司全资子公司中信建投（国际）金融控股有限公司的间接全资附属公司CSCIF Hong Kong Limited在境外中期票据计划下发行本金2.00亿美元的票据，期限364天。中信建投国际为该 票据提供2.08亿美元的无条件及不可撤销连带责任保证担保，无反担保。本次担保用于补充境外业务营 运资金，被担保人资产负债率超过70%，但担保风险可控。截至公告日，公司及控股子公司对外担保总 额为人民币451.92亿元，占最近一期经审计净资产的42.45%，无逾期担保。 以上内容为证券之星据公开信息整理，由AI算法生成（网信算备310104345710301240019号），不构成 投资建议。 来自【交易信息汇总】：1月23日主力资金净流入4071.37万元，占总成交额7.94%，呈现明显资金 吸筹迹象。 来自【公司公告汇总】：CSCIF Hong Kong Limited发行2.00亿美元中期票据，由中信建投国际提 供2.08亿美元担保，用 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article emphasizes the ongoing recovery of market confidence, with potential for sector and stock recovery, particularly in consumer and real estate chains before the Two Sessions [2] - The article highlights the significant outflow of funds from broad-based ETFs, with a notable impact on sectors and stocks that are underweight by institutions [2] - It suggests that sectors with strong fundamentals and logical narratives, particularly those not heavily weighted in broad-based indices, are likely to see recovery [2] Group 2 - The spring market is characterized by a transition towards a more stable phase, with the potential for a perfect spring market driven by increased profitability [3] - The article notes that the overall profitability effect is nearing a high point, indicating that the market may face limitations in time and space for further growth [3] - It anticipates a correction phase following the spring market, where the focus will shift to clearer industrial trends and performance digestion [3] Group 3 - The article discusses the supportive role of abundant liquidity in driving the current spring market, stemming from various factors including insurance capital and foreign fund inflows [4] - It emphasizes the importance of focusing on fundamental performance as companies begin to disclose annual reports, with particular attention to sectors like AI hardware, batteries, and pharmaceuticals [5] Group 4 - The article identifies the current market phase as a structural bull market, transitioning from the second consolidation phase to the third upward phase [6] - It suggests that the market may face a correction after reaching a temporary high between 4200 and 4300 points, with a focus on the support levels and core sectors [6] Group 5 - The article advocates for a dual focus on technology and resource sectors, highlighting the importance of macroeconomic conditions and liquidity in shaping investment strategies [7] - It identifies key sectors such as semiconductors, AI, and new energy as central to current market trends, with a positive outlook for resource industries [7] Group 6 - The article suggests that the market's optimism is necessary, particularly in light of the recent volatility and the need to consider the relationship between market optimism and regulatory cooling [8] - It emphasizes the importance of focusing on physical assets and Chinese assets in investment strategies, with a recommendation for sectors like equipment exports and consumer recovery [9] Group 7 - The article indicates that the current market is entering a phase of high volatility and differentiation, with expectations for policy-driven demand expansion [10] - It highlights the potential for the non-ferrous metals sector to benefit from both industrial trends and financial attributes, particularly in light of geopolitical factors [11] Group 8 - The article notes that the A-share market is returning to a slow bull trend, with an increasing importance of sector rotation and fundamental performance [12] - It emphasizes the need to focus on structural investment opportunities, particularly in technology innovation and manufacturing sectors [12] Group 9 - The article suggests that the current market may be entering the latter half of the spring market, with a focus on sectors with strong performance and clear industrial trends [13] - It highlights the potential for price increases in sectors like basic chemicals and new energy materials, as well as opportunities in export-driven sectors [13] Group 10 - The article maintains that the slow bull trend is likely to continue, with a focus on technology, resource sectors, and industries with high growth potential [14] - It suggests that the current market conditions provide ample opportunities for investment, particularly in sectors with strong earnings forecasts [14]

来源：中信建投证券研究 文|夏凡捷 李家俊 "生产强于需求、外需好于内需"的经济运行特征贯穿全年，同时货币政策维持宽松取向，银行间利率降 至2020年以来几乎最低水平。宏观偏弱+流动性宽松环境下，景气投资占优。近两周市场资金面有所分 化，宽基ETF资金流出超过5700亿元，而行业主题型ETF仍有1100亿元左右的资金流入。总体来说，近 期主动降温调控节奏，整体大基调仍然积极，建议以景气为纲，继续坚守"科技+资源品"双主线。科技 方面，AI半导体/新能源仍是当前的景气核心，同时AI应用/太空光伏/创新药等热点景气催化不断。资源 品方面，有色行业业绩预告情况较好，关注后续景气行情向能化和机械板块的传导扩散。行业重点关 注：半导体、AI、新能源、有色、化工、传媒、计算机、机械、医药等。 当前市场热度仍然高涨，资金面则有所分化 最近两周，股票型ETF出现约4500亿元的资金流出，结构性分化明显。宽基ETF资金流出超过5700亿 元，其中沪深300ETF资金流出超过3200亿元；而行业主题型ETF仍然有1100亿元左右的资金流入，其 中TMT、周期资源相关ETF资金流入分别约500亿元、400亿元。 本轮牛市自924以 ...

此次高规格、高质量的行业交流，为参与机构提供了宝贵的对标学习和思想碰撞平台。慧研智投科技有 限公司(以下简称"慧研智投")由运营管理中心总监于飞海带队，组织高级产研投顾团队杨风、任洪、左 助锋等参与了本次培训交流。参会团队表示，通过系统学习行业顶尖机构的转型理念与实践案例，对财 富管理业务的内涵与外延有了更深刻的理解，尤其对投顾从基础服务向资产配置、行为陪伴和全生命周 期管理转型的趋势形成了清晰认知，为慧研智投现有的投顾服务向多维财富管理体系做转型给予了很大 帮助。这些行业洞察与先进经验，将为公司后续依托自身客户服务积淀，探索更系统化、专业化的客户 财富管理服务体系提供有益借鉴。 本报讯(记者矫月)近日，由中国证券业协会指导、山西省证券业协会承办的"财富管理业务培训班"在山 西太原顺利举办。本次培训聚焦当前证券行业财富管理转型的核心命题，汇聚监管、行业与机构智慧， 旨在深入贯彻监管部门"将功能性放在首位，强化财富管理专业服务能力"的政策导向，为辖区机构提升 专业服务水平、加快向高质量财富管理转型提供思想启迪与实践指引。 培训立足行业高质量发展全局，内容兼具政策高度与实战深度。课程设置了宏观趋势、买方转型、投顾 ...

Core Insights - The bond underwriting market in 2025 shows a clear trend of "the strong getting stronger," with market share concentrated among a few leading institutions [1][4][8] - Competition among underwriters is intensifying, with banks and securities firms leveraging their unique strengths to differentiate themselves [2][6] - Regulatory bodies are taking steps to ensure market order and prevent irrational competition, particularly in pricing and underwriting practices [2][6] Group 1: Market Overview - The total bond issuance in 2025 reached 89.76 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of approximately 11% [2] - The issuance of interest rate bonds was 33.80 trillion yuan, up 18%, while credit bonds reached 21.95 trillion yuan, growing by 8% [2] - The market is characterized by a large total volume, diverse categories, and differentiated competition [2] Group 2: Competitive Landscape - In the banking sector, China Bank led with over 16 trillion yuan in underwriting, capturing more than 10% of the market share [4] - The top four state-owned banks collectively hold nearly 40% of the market share, indicating a strong position [4] - In the securities sector, CITIC Securities topped the list with 22,496.07 billion yuan in underwriting and a market share of 14.08% [4][5] Group 3: Sector-Specific Insights - Local government bond issuance reached a record high of approximately 10.29 trillion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 5.2% [6] - The financial bond market is predominantly led by securities firms, with CITIC Securities holding a market share of 17.56% [6] - The asset-backed securities (ABS) market shows a concentration of resources among leading firms, with CITIC Securities leading at 12.32% market share [7] Group 4: International Market Dynamics - The offshore bond market saw a total issuance of approximately $307.07 billion, a year-on-year increase of about 15.75% [7][8] - The market features a mix of domestic and foreign institutions, with China Bank leading at $14.70 billion in underwriting [8] - The competitive landscape in the offshore market is relatively dispersed, with no single institution dominating [8]

Core Viewpoint - The AI Fund, CITIC Securities Dividend Smart Selection Mixed A (016774), reported a profit of 744,600 yuan for Q4 2025, with a weighted average profit per fund share of 0.0216 yuan, and a net value growth rate of 1.12% for the period [4]. Fund Performance - As of January 22, the fund's unit net value was 1.223 yuan, with a total fund size of 30.8486 million yuan [4][16]. - The fund manager, Wang Peng, oversees 8 funds, with the highest one-year return of 47.34% for CITIC Securities CSI 1000 Index Enhanced A, while CITIC Securities Dividend Smart Selection Mixed A had the lowest at 7.38% [4]. Market Outlook - The fund management anticipates a transition from "repair-type growth" to "high-quality growth" in the Chinese economy, with increasing internal momentum [5]. - Key sectors expected to drive growth include artificial intelligence, high-end manufacturing, biotechnology, and advanced materials, supported by policy and industry developments [5]. - Consumer-related sectors are projected to experience moderate recovery due to improving income expectations and ongoing policy support, favoring companies with strong brand power and stable cash flow [5]. Fund Metrics - As of January 22, the fund's performance metrics include a three-month return of -2.74%, a six-month return of -3.82%, a one-year return of 7.38%, and a three-year return of 19.12%, ranking it within the respective peer groups [5]. - The fund's Sharpe ratio over the past three years is 0.6169, ranking 120 out of 383 comparable funds [10]. - The maximum drawdown over the past three years is 13.44%, with the largest quarterly drawdown occurring in Q3 2024 at 12.16% [12]. Investment Strategy - The fund maintained an average stock position of 89.82% over the past three years, with a peak of 93.32% at the end of Q1 2025 and a low of 67.38% at the end of 2022 [15]. - The top holdings of the fund include COFCO Sugar, Nanjing Bank, China Ping An, Agricultural Bank of China, Gree Electric Appliances, China Petroleum, China Construction Bank, Fuanna, Bank of Communications, and China Shenhua Energy [19].