Report Industry Investment Rating - The report does not mention the industry investment rating [1] Core Viewpoints - Overseas uncertainties have marginally eased, and the domestic bond market yield curve has steepened. The launch of policy - based financial tools may impact the bond market, and in the current situation of balanced and loose liquidity and narrow - range bond market fluctuations, attention should be paid to factors that may break the balance of long - and short - term forces and some structural opportunities [2][3][4] Summary by Directory PART1: Overseas Uncertainties Marginally Eased, Domestic Yield Curve Steepened 1.1 Overseas - Policy uncertainties have marginally eased, and market risk appetite has recovered. In May, the US made partial progress in trade negotiations, risk assets outperformed safe - haven assets, the US dollar index stopped falling but was weak, and the market focus shifted to fiscal and tax policies. The Trump tax - cut bill passed in the House, which may increase a deficit of $2.3 - 3 trillion in the next decade, and Moody's downgraded the US sovereign credit rating, causing the 30Y US Treasury yield to exceed 5%. Japanese and European long - term bond yields generally rose, with Japanese bond yields rising due to concerns about fiscal sustainability, and the eurozone pricing in fiscal leverage and risk - appetite recovery [7][10][13] 1.2 Domestic - The asset performance was stable, with the equity market rising first and then moving sideways, and the commodity market fluctuating at a low level. In May, the central bank cut interest rates and the reserve - requirement ratio, the liquidity was loose, and the yield curve steepened. Credit bonds outperformed interest - rate bonds, with credit spreads narrowing by 7 - 19BP. In terms of institutional behavior, the bond - market leverage ratio was stable at a low level. Large banks' bond - buying scale may have increased, rural commercial banks actively bet on duration, funds reduced duration and positions and shifted to credit bonds, insurance companies' bond - allocation rhythm returned to normal, and wealth management products' liabilities became abundant again and continued to overweight inter - bank certificates of deposit [15][22][28] PART2: Policy - based Financial Tools Review 2.1 Politburo Meeting Mentioned "Establishing New Policy - based Financial Tools" - In April 2025, the Politburo meeting mentioned "establishing new policy - based financial tools". Historically, there were two rounds of policy - based tools led by policy banks: the 2 - trillion special construction funds from 2015 - 2017 and the policy - based and development financial tools in 2022. Both used policy - bank - established funds as project capital with fiscal subsidies to boost infrastructure investment [44] 2.2 Policy - based Tools' Effects and Bond - Market Pricing - Both rounds of policy - based tools were accompanied by a package of policies, supporting specific areas of investment. The 2015 - 2017 tools mainly supported the shantytown renovation and real - estate investment, while the 2022 tools mainly supported transportation infrastructure and infrastructure investment. In the bond market, short - term pricing was based on policy expectations, with the 10Y Treasury yield rising by 2 - 7BP within 3 trading days after policy announcements. Medium - term pricing depended on the rhythm of policy announcements and fundamental data improvement, with the 10Y Treasury yield rising by 18 - 30BP over 2 - 5 months [3][46][48] PART3: Bond - Market Strategy 3.1 Since April, the Bond - Market Trading Mainline Entered a Sideways State after Several Switches - Since April, the bond - market trading mainline has entered a state of balanced long - and short - term forces after several switches, and the 10Y Treasury yield has been fluctuating around 1.67% [53] 3.2 Mid - term Impact of Deposit - Rate Cuts - On May 20, large banks initiated a new round of deposit - rate cuts. Since 2024, deposit - rate cuts have effectively reduced deposit costs, with different impacts on large and small banks [57] 3.3 Mid - term Impact and Market Structure - Deposit - rate cuts may have two structural impacts: if the central bank does not cooperate, the flow of large - bank deposits to non - banks or small banks may tighten liquidity; in the medium term, small banks and non - banks have abundant funds, which support the bond market. However, trading funds are scattered among different assets, making it difficult to form a unified force [61][64] 3.4 Central Bank's Concerns - The probability of further decline or increase in the funding rate is low. Recently, external pressure has eased, the net - interest - margin pressure has decreased, capital - market prices have basically recovered, and the risk of capital idling is controllable [70] 3.5 Cost - effective Structural Points - The 10Y Treasury yield is still fluctuating around 1.65 - 1.70%, and positions can be established at the upper limit of the range. Factors that may drive the yield curve down include deposit - rate cuts, slow adjustment following fundamental data announcements, and the central bank's restart of Treasury trading. Possible resistances are the flat yield curve and the non - implementation of "new policy - based financial tools". Currently, cost - effective structural points include medium - and long - term credit bonds, 1 - 5Y Treasuries, 7Y Agricultural Development Bank bonds, and 15Y local bonds [75]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the power equipment and new energy sector [1]. Core Viewpoints - The report highlights strong performance in emerging markets, with a recovery in Q1 earnings for household storage companies. Key players in the household storage and string inverter segments have similar business compositions, including photovoltaic inverters, energy storage inverters, and energy storage batteries. The report analyzes five representative companies: DeYee, Jinlang Technology, GoodWe, Shouhang Energy, and Airo Energy, noting that DeYee and Jinlang Technology achieved revenue growth in 2024 due to increased demand in emerging markets [2][8]. Summary by Sections 1. Household Storage Companies' Fundamentals - Emerging markets show robust growth, with Q1 performance rebounding. DeYee and Jinlang Technology reported positive revenue growth in 2024, driven by demand in Asia. DeYee leads in the emerging market household storage sector, achieving a 65% increase in net profit. In contrast, companies focused on the European market experienced revenue declines due to slowing demand [2][6][12]. 2. Business Layout - The five companies have varying focuses within the energy storage sector, with DeYee and Airo Energy emphasizing energy storage, while Jinlang Technology and GoodWe focus more on photovoltaic string inverters. The report notes that energy storage products have higher and more stable gross margins compared to photovoltaic inverters, indicating less price competition in the household storage segment [2][19][25]. 3. Regional Layout - The report identifies promising demand in emerging markets and significant potential in the European commercial storage sector. The distributed photovoltaic storage market is expanding globally, with emerging markets in Asia, Africa, and Latin America showing rapid growth since early 2024. DeYee has a broad market presence, while Jinlang Technology and GoodWe are expanding their overseas operations [2][49][50]. 4. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests a positive outlook for household storage and commercial storage markets in emerging regions and Europe. It recommends focusing on DeYee for its strong market position and effective channel development, while also suggesting attention to Airo Energy and Jinlang Technology for their strong profitability and growth potential in emerging markets [2][48].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the industry [1] Core Insights - The high-end strategy of automotive companies is categorized into two types: those with clear advantages focusing on their strengths and those adopting benchmarking strategies [4][58] - The tightening regulations on intelligent driving are leading to a shift in marketing strategies among automotive companies, emphasizing safety and compliance [28][59] - Leading intelligent driving suppliers are expanding their product matrices and customer bases through integrated hardware and software solutions [60] Summary by Sections 1. Leveraging Strengths for Brand Advancement - Automotive companies like Li Auto, Great Wall Motors, and Xiaomi are focusing on their unique strengths to enhance brand positioning [4][58] - Li Auto's MEGA model maintains a flagship position with a price above 500,000 yuan, while Great Wall Motors continues to deepen its off-road market with the launch of the Tank 300 [8][19] - The introduction of new large SUVs during the 2025 Shanghai Auto Show aims to capture market share and elevate brand value [9][21] 2. Strengthening Safety and Regulatory Compliance - The intelligent driving sector is entering a period of stringent regulation, with new guidelines affecting marketing and OTA upgrades [28][29] - Companies are adjusting their marketing strategies to highlight safety features and avoid misleading claims about autonomous capabilities [35][36] 3. Leading Intelligent Driving Suppliers: Integrated Solutions and Rich Product Matrix - Major suppliers like Huawei and Horizon Robotics are offering diverse solutions across various price segments, with Huawei's ADS 4 and Horizon's HSD series [42][60] - High-end products are undergoing further iterations, with Huawei's ADS 4 flagship version introducing commercial L3 solutions [46][60] - The rapid expansion of user bases and significant R&D investments are leading to economies of scale for these suppliers [50][60] 4. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on automotive companies with distinctive brand advantages and ongoing development, specifically highlighting Li Auto, Great Wall Motors, and Xiaomi [58][60] - It also suggests looking at companies benefiting from the scale of new energy vehicles, such as BYD and Geely, and suppliers like Horizon Robotics and Fuyao Glass that are poised to gain from the proliferation of intelligent driving technologies [60]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" investment rating for Hygon Information [1][13] Core Views - Hygon Information is merging with Zhongke Shuguang to achieve a closed-loop layout in the computing power industry, enhancing its competitive position and resource utilization [4][9] - The merger will allow Hygon Information to transition from high-end chip design to high-end computer systems, thereby strengthening its industry chain [8][9] - The expected net profits for Hygon Information from 2025 to 2027 are projected to be 2.956 billion, 4.314 billion, and 6.153 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 111.7X, 76.5X, and 53.6X [6][9] Financial Summary - **Revenue Projections**: Expected revenues for 2023A, 2024A, 2025E, 2026E, and 2027E are 6,012 million, 9,162 million, 13,757 million, 19,419 million, and 27,014 million yuan respectively, with year-over-year growth rates of 17.3%, 52.4%, 50.2%, 41.2%, and 39.1% [6][11] - **Net Profit Projections**: Expected net profits for the same years are 1,263 million, 1,931 million, 2,956 million, 4,314 million, and 6,153 million yuan, with year-over-year growth rates of 57.2%, 52.9%, 53.1%, 45.9%, and 42.6% [6][11] - **Profitability Ratios**: Gross margin is projected to be 59.7%, 63.7%, 64.0%, 64.3%, and 64.0% from 2023A to 2027E, while net margin is expected to be 21.0%, 21.1%, 21.5%, 22.2%, and 22.8% [6][11] - **Return on Equity (ROE)**: ROE is projected to increase from 6.8% in 2023A to 19.6% in 2027E [6][11] Balance Sheet Summary - **Total Assets**: Expected total assets for 2024A, 2025E, 2026E, and 2027E are 28,559 million, 30,297 million, 36,386 million, and 45,159 million yuan respectively [10] - **Total Liabilities**: Expected total liabilities for the same years are 5,908 million, 4,069 million, 4,939 million, and 6,268 million yuan [10] - **Equity**: The equity attributable to shareholders is projected to grow from 20,251 million in 2024A to 31,336 million in 2027E [10] Cash Flow Summary - **Operating Cash Flow**: Expected operating cash flow for 2024A, 2025E, 2026E, and 2027E is 948 million, 3,034 million, 3,226 million, and 4,412 million yuan respectively [12] - **Net Cash Increase**: The net cash increase is projected to be -2,108 million, 392 million, 2,220 million, and 3,128 million yuan for the respective years [12]

Group 1: Key Recommendations - The report highlights that Haiguang Information (688041.SH) is a core player in the domestic computing chip sector, while Zhongke Shuguang leads in server systems. Their merger will create a closed-loop layout for the computing industry chain, maximizing resource utilization and enhancing industry competitiveness. The projected net profits for Haiguang Information from 2025 to 2027 are estimated at CNY 2.956 billion, CNY 4.314 billion, and CNY 6.153 billion, with corresponding PE ratios of 111.7X, 76.5X, and 53.6X based on the closing price on June 10, 2025 [2][9][10] - Beike-W (2423.HK) is recognized as a leading integrated real estate transaction service platform, with significant advantages in real estate brokerage. The company is expected to benefit from policy support for market recovery, with projected EPS for 2025 to 2027 at CNY 1.58, CNY 1.83, and CNY 2.11, corresponding to PE ratios of 28.7X, 24.8X, and 21.5X. The report gives a "recommend" rating for the stock [2][11][12] Group 2: Company Overview - Haiguang Information is a leading high-end processor design company in China, having developed various high-end processor products widely used in data centers across telecommunications, finance, and internet sectors. Zhongke Shuguang is a leading enterprise in high-end computing, focusing on high-end computers, storage, and data centers. The merger will enable Haiguang Information to achieve a closed-loop layout from high-end chip design to high-end computer systems, enhancing its competitive edge in the industry [8][9][10] - Beike has established a robust position in the real estate brokerage market, with a significant market share in both existing and new home transactions. The company’s "true housing source" standard and ACN network address service quality issues, creating a unique competitive advantage. The projected total transaction volume for 2024 is CNY 3.3 trillion, with net revenue reaching CNY 934.6 billion, marking a historical high [11][12] Group 3: Industry Insights - The computing industry is undergoing a transformation with a focus on domestic chip production and intelligent computing infrastructure. The merger of Haiguang Information and Zhongke Shuguang is expected to accelerate the localization of the computing industry in China, enhancing the overall competitiveness of the sector [8][9] - The real estate market is showing signs of recovery, supported by policy measures. Beike's diversified business model, including home decoration and rental services, positions it well for future growth. The company is expected to leverage its brokerage strength to drive growth in its ancillary services [11][12]

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for the company [7] Core Views - The company is a leading integrated online and offline real estate transaction service platform, with a strong foundation in real estate brokerage and a strategic focus on three wings of growth [6][11] - The company is expected to achieve a total transaction volume of CNY 3.3 trillion in 2024, with net revenue reaching CNY 934.6 billion, marking a historical high [6][20] - The company emphasizes shareholder returns, with a significant cash reserve and a share buyback plan in place [27] Summary by Sections 1. Leading Integrated Real Estate Transaction and Service Platform - The company began operations in 2001 and has expanded its services to include second-hand and new home transactions, home decoration, and rental services [11] - The total transaction volume is projected to reach CNY 3.3 trillion in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 6.6% [20] 2. Real Estate Brokerage: Strong Leadership and Operational Advantages - The company holds a dominant position in the real estate brokerage industry, with a total transaction volume of CNY 3.3 trillion in 2024, significantly ahead of competitors [48] - The company has established a unique competitive advantage through its "True Source" standard and ACN network, addressing industry pain points [51] 3. Three Wings Business: Home Decoration and Rental Services - The home decoration segment is rapidly growing, with a projected transaction volume of CNY 169 billion in 2024, reflecting a CAGR of 329.7% from 2021 to 2024 [6] - The rental service has expanded significantly, with managed properties increasing from 70,000 in 2022 to 420,000 in 2024 [6] 4. Profit Forecast and Investment Recommendations - The company forecasts EPS of CNY 1.58, CNY 1.83, and CNY 2.11 for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 28.7, 24.8, and 21.5 [7] - The report highlights the company's commitment to shareholder returns, with a cash dividend of USD 600 million in 2023 and USD 400 million in 2024 [27]

Investment Rating - The report gives a "Buy" rating for the company, Beike-W (2423.HK), with a current stock price of HKD 49.55 [1]. Core Views - Beike is a leading integrated online and offline real estate transaction service platform, with a strong foundation in real estate brokerage and a strategic focus on three wings: home decoration, rental services, and Beihome [6][11]. - The company is expected to achieve a total transaction volume of CNY 3.3 trillion in 2024, with net revenue reaching CNY 934.6 billion, marking a historical high [6][21]. - The company emphasizes shareholder returns, with a significant cash reserve and a share buyback plan in place [28]. Summary by Sections 1. Leading Integrated Real Estate Transaction and Service Platform - Beike began operations in 2001 and has expanded its services to include second-hand and new home transactions, home decoration, and rental services [11]. - The company has established a "one body, three wings" strategy, with a projected total transaction volume of CNY 3.3 trillion in 2024 [6][11]. 2. Real Estate Brokerage: Strong Leadership and Operational Advantages - Beike holds a dominant position in the real estate brokerage industry, with a total transaction volume of CNY 3.3 trillion in 2024, significantly ahead of competitors [51]. - The company has implemented the "True Source" standard and the ACN network, enhancing service quality and operational efficiency [54]. 3. Three Wings Business: Home Decoration, Rental, and Beihome Potential - The home decoration segment is rapidly growing, with a projected transaction volume of CNY 169 billion in 2024, reflecting a CAGR of 329.7% from 2021 to 2024 [6]. - The rental business has expanded significantly, with managed properties increasing from 70,000 in 2022 to 420,000 in 2024 [6]. 4. Profit Forecast and Investment Recommendations - The report forecasts EPS of CNY 1.58, CNY 1.83, and CNY 2.11 for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 28.7, 24.8, and 21.5 [7]. - The company is expected to maintain a stable commission rate in the new home market, while the second-hand home commission rate may face pressure [6].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "stronger than the market," indicating an expected performance that exceeds the market by more than 5% over the next six months [30]. Core Insights - The UK government has introduced the Pension Schemes Bill, which aims to enhance the efficiency of the pension system through various reforms, including the establishment of "mega funds" and the automatic consolidation of small pension accounts [6][7][8]. - Yale University is planning to sell up to $2.5 billion in private equity assets as part of its "Project Gatsby," marking a significant move in the secondary market and aimed at optimizing asset structure and releasing liquidity [2][9][12]. Summary by Sections UK Pension Schemes Bill - The Pension Schemes Bill includes five key reforms aimed at improving pension management and value for money for members. These reforms include the creation of a framework for merging pension plans into "mega funds" with a minimum size of £25 billion by 2030, and the automatic consolidation of dormant small accounts [6][7][8]. - The bill also emphasizes the integration of local government pension schemes into regional investment pools to enhance local investment in infrastructure and clean energy [7][8]. Yale University's Asset Sale - Yale's asset sale, which is the largest secondary market transaction of the year, is driven by the need to restructure its $41 billion endowment fund in response to potential tax increases on private university endowment earnings [2][9][11]. - The sale involves a "mosaic deal" structure, allowing buyers to select specific fund interests from a pool of assets, reflecting Yale's proactive approach to asset management amid changing tax policies [11][12]. Global Pension Dynamics - The report highlights various global pension dynamics, including Norway's GPFG developing tools to reduce trading costs in fixed income markets, and Kuwait's sovereign fund joining a $30 billion AI infrastructure investment initiative led by BlackRock [5][13][14]. - Malaysia's EPF reported a decline in investment income to approximately $4.3 billion in Q1 2025, attributed to global market volatility [15]. Domestic Pension Developments - In China, the expansion of personal pension financial products has increased the total number to 35, with a focus on enhancing long-term returns for investors [19][20]. - The "Pension Financial Health Index" report indicates that Chinese households are in an accumulation phase regarding pension planning, with a score of 48.56, suggesting a growing awareness of retirement financial planning [21][22].

Group 1: Market Outlook and Investment Opportunities - The report emphasizes the importance of macro and microeconomic resonance, highlighting investment opportunities in AI technology, equipment manufacturing, and new consumption trends, supported by domestic policy and industrial upgrades [3][10] - The report identifies three main investment lines: AI technology (electronics, communications, computers, media), equipment manufacturing (robotics, automotive, machinery, defense), and new consumption trends (home appliances, beauty care, pet economy, service consumption) [3][10] Group 2: AI Technology Sector - The AI technology sector is experiencing high growth, with significant revenue and profit increases in semiconductor, communication, and computer equipment, driven by strong demand for AI computing power [8] - The software service industry is also benefiting from AI application demand, with notable revenue growth in IT services and gaming sectors [8] Group 3: Equipment Manufacturing Sector - The equipment manufacturing sector is seeing an upward trend due to industrial upgrades and policy support, with revenue growth in robotics and related industries ranging from 7% to 25% [9] - The automotive and traditional machinery sectors are also improving, with revenue growth between 4% and 40% in various related industries [9] Group 4: New Consumption Trends - The new consumption trend is characterized by a strong performance in the home appliance sector, with revenue and profit growth of 12.8% and 25.3% respectively [10] - Other consumer categories, such as personal care products and pet food, are also experiencing significant growth, with revenue increases of 10% to 30% [10] Group 5: Elderly Care Industry - The report highlights the role of insurance companies in the elderly care sector, leveraging their advantages in policy, funding, and resources to invest in elderly communities [12] - As of Q3 2020, 10 insurance institutions had invested in 47 elderly community projects, covering an area of 14.27 million square meters with a planned investment of 90 billion yuan [12] Group 6: Real Estate Market - The real estate market is showing signs of stabilization, particularly in core urban areas, with a focus on high-quality housing [28] - The report suggests that the short-term recovery in the real estate market is likely to continue, driven by improved supply-demand dynamics and marketing efforts from real estate companies [28]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the industry [1] Core Insights - The insurance companies are leveraging their comparative advantages to establish benchmarks in the CCRC (Continuing Care Retirement Community) industry, focusing on high-value customer operations [2][5] - The insurance sector is actively participating in the investment and development of elderly care communities, creating a diversified ecosystem for health and wellness [12] Summary by Sections 1. Diverse Participants and CCRC Promotion - The elderly care real estate sector includes various participants such as real estate companies, insurance companies, specialized elderly service operators, and foreign enterprises, each with unique strengths [5][6] - Insurance companies are the main investors in elderly care communities due to their comprehensive advantages in policy, funding, and customer resources [11] 2. Case Study: Taikang Home - **Operational Model**: Taikang adopts a heavy asset model to build CCRC communities, focusing on high-quality chain medical and elderly care communities [16] - **Development Status**: As of April 2025, Taikang has established 43 projects across 36 cities, with a total planned area of approximately 4.94 million square meters, accommodating over 86,000 elderly individuals [24] - **Profit Model**: The community operates on a rental basis, with a fee structure that includes a premium threshold or refundable deposit plus monthly fees [30] 3. Case Study: China Pacific Insurance Home - **Operational Model**: China Pacific Insurance focuses on a segmented elderly market, constructing three types of CCRC communities for different age groups [3.1] - **Development Status**: The company has launched 15 projects in 13 cities, with 9 communities already operational [3.2] - **Profit Model**: Similar to Taikang, it employs a rental model with a potential annual return rate of over 5.5% [3.3] 4. Case Study: Taiping Life Enjoyment Elderly Care - **Operational Model**: Taiping combines heavy and light asset strategies, covering 78 communities across 27 provinces [4.1] - **Profit Model**: The profit model includes rental income and membership sales, with a focus on a full industry chain layout [4.2] 5. Market Trends - The number of commercial insurance institutions' elderly care projects has increased from 105 in 2022 to 129 in 2023, indicating a growing trend in the sector [12]