Investment Rating - Industry rating: Recommended [5] Core Insights - Marvell has raised its expectations for data center capital expenditures (Capex) and ASICs, predicting that by 2028, data center Capex will exceed $1 trillion. The market size for data centers is now expected to reach $94 billion by 2028, a 26% increase from the previous estimate of $75 billion made in April 2024. The guidance for the custom computing chip market (XPU and XPU supporting chips) has been raised by 37% [1][9] - The demand for computing power has seen a leap in growth over the past two years, driven by the rise of computing chips. Despite concerns over sovereign computing and declining capital expenditures, companies like OpenAI continue to show rapid revenue growth and an increase in commercial paying customers. Major tech firms such as Oracle and Meta have also raised their Capex expectations, indicating strong overseas AI demand, particularly from new enterprise clients [2][11] - The ASIC and GPU competitive landscape is benefiting from support from overseas CSP manufacturers, leading to an upward revision in market size expectations and positively impacting the PCB industry chain. The computing sector is expected to maintain strong underlying demand and valuation support, with high-speed optical modules still undervalued [2][13] Summary by Sections Section 1: Market Expectations - Marvell's updated forecast indicates that the overall data center Capex will maintain a CAGR of 51%, reaching $593 billion by 2025 and $1.022 trillion by 2028. The four major CSPs in the U.S. are expected to see their Capex grow at a CAGR of 46% from 2023 to 2025, reaching $327 billion by 2025 [7][9] Section 2: Investment Recommendations - Recommended beneficiaries in the computing sector include: - High-speed optical modules: NewEase, Zhongji Xuchuang, Tianfu Communication - CPO-related beneficiaries: Taicheng Light, Yuanjie Technology - PCB-related beneficiaries: Shenghong Technology, Hude Electronics - Telecom operators: China Telecom, China Mobile, China Unicom - Related service providers: Invec, New Ray Energy, and third-party computing leasing firms like Guanghuan New Network, Aofei Data, and Data Port [2][3][14]

Investment Rating - Industry rating: Recommended [5] Core Insights - In May 2025, the retail sales of household appliances and audio-visual equipment in China showed a significant year-on-year increase of 30.2%, with total retail sales reaching 464.1 billion yuan. The growth rate for May alone was 53%, compared to 39% in April [9][12] - The remaining 46% of national subsidy funds will be distributed in batches in the second half of the year, with 300 billion yuan allocated to support the replacement of old consumer goods [12] - The retail performance during the 618 shopping festival in 2025 was strong, with year-on-year increases in sales for various categories, including televisions (+37%), air conditioners (+45%), and washing machines (+36%) [14][15] Summary by Sections Weekly Topic - The retail sales of household appliances in May 2025 accelerated significantly, with a year-on-year increase of 30.2% for the first five months, totaling 464.1 billion yuan. May alone saw a 53% increase [9] - Approximately 46% of the national subsidy funds will be released in July and October, continuing the "two new" policy to promote the replacement of old appliances [12] - The 618 shopping festival in 2025 showed impressive retail sales performance across various categories, with notable increases in sales figures [14][15] Company Key Announcements - Sanhua Intelligent Control announced the final price for its H-share issuance at 22.53 HKD per share, expected to be listed on June 23, 2025 [16] Data Tracking - Raw material prices showed fluctuations, with LME copper and aluminum prices increasing by 3.0% and 1.8% respectively as of June 20, 2025 [17] - Shipping rates also saw an increase, with the CCFI composite index rising by 8.0% [25] - Real estate data indicated a decline in sales area, completion area, and new construction area by 3%, 17%, and 23% respectively for the first five months of 2025 [28]

Investment Rating - Industry rating: Recommended [5] Core Insights - The beauty sector experienced a stable conclusion during the 618 shopping festival, with significant changes in platform and brand dynamics driven by reduced commission policies and interest-based content ecosystems [1][2] - The total GMV for beauty products across four major e-commerce platforms (Taobao, JD, Douyin, Kuaishou) during the 618 period was between 600-700 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of over 10% [1] - Taobao maintained the largest market share at 41.3%, followed by Douyin at 35.7%, JD at 14.8%, and Kuaishou at 8.2% [1][13] Summary by Sections E-commerce Platform Dynamics - Douyin's beauty segment is rapidly growing, supported by merchant subsidies and interest-driven consumer engagement, achieving double-digit growth [2] - Douyin's promotional strategies included a 1.4 billion yuan subsidy for merchants in May, with individual merchant reductions reaching up to 2.99 million yuan [2] Skincare and Makeup Categories - In the skincare category, domestic brands like Proya and Han Shu led the market, maintaining their top positions on Taobao and Douyin [3] - The top five brands in the skincare category on Taobao remained stable, with Proya and Han Shu continuing to dominate [3] - In the makeup and fragrance category, new domestic brands are emerging, with Ti Luo Wei achieving rapid growth by focusing on base makeup products [4] International and Domestic Brand Strategies - International brands are performing well due to localized marketing strategies and a willingness to engage with local consumers [8] - Domestic brands are expected to break out of the competitive cycle focused on ingredients and efficacy, emphasizing brand influence and comprehensive user experience [8] Investment Recommendations - Focus on domestic companies with strong brand equity and comprehensive channel strategies, particularly Proya and Han Shu [9] - Highlight technology-driven skincare brands like Betaini and Juzi Biology that target specific consumer needs [9] - Consider daily chemical brands with strong cost-performance ratios and excellent management of emerging channels, such as Runben and Dengkang [9]

Market Overview - The bond market is currently in a "full bow" state, with the median duration of interest rate bond funds reaching a historical high of 5.25 years as of June 20, 2025[1] - The leverage ratio for non-bank financial institutions is approximately 113.9%, up from a low of 113.5% in mid-February 2025, but still below the historical peak of 118.5%[1] Yield Spread Analysis - The yield spread between new and old bonds has been fully explored, with the yield on long-term active bonds declining by about 5 basis points, while older bonds have seen declines of 8-9 basis points[2] - The yield spread between 10-year national development bonds and national treasury bonds has narrowed from a high of 7.2 basis points to the current 3.7 basis points[2] Market Dynamics - The bond market has been characterized by a lack of clear direction, with 12 historical rounds of yield spread compression analyzed, showing that 8 rounds occurred in uncertain market conditions[3] - The compression of yield spreads is often concluded by clear market signals such as interest rate cuts or significant supply increases, which could lead to a re-expansion of spreads[3] Future Outlook - The process of compressing yield spreads may continue until the central bank initiates bond purchases or provides stronger signals, such as allowing treasury bonds to meet reserve requirements[4] - The market is expected to experience increased volatility following the implementation of new monetary policies, particularly around natural easing points like the beginning of a quarter[4] Risk Factors - Potential risks include unexpected adjustments in monetary policy, liquidity changes, and fiscal policy shifts that could impact market stability[5]

► 美团订单增长与格局稳固，行业迈向服务竞争时代 事件：据雷峰网 6月 17日独家报道，自 6 月中旬开始，美 团外卖日均支付订单始终维持在9000 万量级以上。从单日 GMV 和餐食外卖市场单量等角度看，美团外卖市占率稳居 70%左右，尽管京东外卖与饿了么（淘宝）通过激进补贴 策略推动订单增长，但美团领先地位依然稳固，市场格局 保持"7:2:1"的稳定态势。 竞争格局：美团壁垒深厚。剔除茶饮订单后，美团在餐食 外卖的订单量与 GMV 市占率均超 70%。核心壁垒体现在， 一方面，美团具有履约服务优势，据高见观潮，其履约准 时率达 99.5%。另一方面，美团商家生态深度高，2024 年 美团活跃商户数 1450 万家，远超饿了么 400 万家与京东 45 万家，正餐品类 SKU 丰富度形成碾压优势。此外，京 分析师 证券研究报告|投资策略周报 [Table_Date] 2025 年 06 月 22 日 [Table_Title] 拼多多试水即时零售，行业竞争格局再添变量 [Table_Title2] 海外周报 [Table_Summary] 核心结论: ► 拼多多试水即时零售，行业竞争格局再添变量 事件：据晚 ...

Group 1 - The report highlights the "1+6" policy system focusing on hard technology, aiming to enhance the inclusiveness and adaptability of the capital market, particularly for high-quality core technology enterprises [2][3] - The introduction of the Sci-Tech Growth Layer and the restart of the fifth listing standard on the Sci-Tech Innovation Board are significant breakthroughs in the capital market's inclusiveness and adaptability [3][4] - The fifth listing standard does not impose revenue or net profit requirements, facilitating the entry of non-profitable but competitive enterprises into the capital market [3][4] Group 2 - The report indicates that all non-profitable technology enterprises will be included in the Sci-Tech Growth Layer, with a unified special identifier "U" for their stock names, enhancing risk disclosure [4] - A new pre-review mechanism for IPOs targeting quality technology enterprises is introduced, which aims to improve IPO efficiency while protecting corporate information and technological security [4]

Investment Rating - Industry Rating: Recommended [4] Core Insights - The launch of the "Cross-Border Payment Link" and the rise of stablecoins are reshaping the cross-border payment landscape, enhancing efficiency and supporting the internationalization of the RMB [11][12] - JD Group is actively pursuing stablecoin licenses globally, aiming to reduce cross-border payment costs by 90% and transaction times to under 10 seconds [41][48] - The U.S. Senate has passed the "GENIUS Act," establishing a federal regulatory framework for stablecoins, which mandates full backing by high-quality liquid assets [51][52] Summary by Sections Cross-Border Payment Innovations - The "Cross-Border Payment Link" officially launched on June 22, 2025, connecting payment systems between mainland China and Hong Kong, facilitating efficient cross-border transactions [11][12] - The People's Bank of China and the Hong Kong Monetary Authority are collaborating to enhance cross-border payment services, which will significantly reduce transaction costs and time [22][23] JD Group's Stablecoin Strategy - JD Group plans to issue a stablecoin pegged to the Hong Kong dollar and U.S. dollar, with a focus on cross-border trade settlements [41][49] - The stablecoin project is currently in a regulatory sandbox in Hong Kong, with expectations to launch in the fourth quarter of 2025 [49][50] U.S. Regulatory Developments - The "GENIUS Act" passed by the U.S. Senate requires stablecoins to be fully backed by liquid assets, with strict auditing and compliance measures for issuers [51][52] - This legislation aims to provide a clear regulatory framework, enhancing the legitimacy of stablecoins and potentially increasing their adoption in everyday transactions [56][57]

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Recommended" [5] Core Insights - The report highlights the recent implementation of the fifth listing standard for unprofitable companies on the Sci-Tech Innovation Board, aimed at enhancing the inclusivity and adaptability of the system to support high-quality technology enterprises [3][16] - Regulatory measures have been introduced to standardize dividend insurance, which is expected to lower the liability costs for insurance companies and promote sustainable dividend levels [4][19] Summary by Sections Market and Sector Performance - During the week of June 15-21, 2025, the average daily trading volume of A-shares was 12,150 billion yuan, a decrease of 11.4% week-on-week but an increase of 60.1% year-on-year [20] - The non-bank financial index fell by 1.09%, underperforming the CSI 300 index by 0.64 percentage points, ranking 11th among all primary industries [2][13] - The securities sector declined by 1.73%, while the insurance sector saw a slight increase of 0.27% [2][13] Securities: Sci-Tech Innovation Board Reforms - The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) has introduced the "Opinions on Setting Up a Sci-Tech Growth Layer" to facilitate the listing of unprofitable enterprises on the Sci-Tech Innovation Board [3][14] - The new measures include specific requirements for the growth layer's positioning, entry and exit conditions, and enhanced information disclosure [15][16] Insurance: Regulatory Changes - The National Financial Supervision Administration has issued guidelines to regulate dividend insurance, emphasizing the need for companies to justify their proposed dividend levels based on actual asset-liability and investment returns [4][19] - The guidelines aim to reduce competition based on inflated dividend levels and promote a more sustainable approach to dividend distribution [19]

证券研究报告|行业研究周报 刚果金政府宣布延长 3 个月钴的临时禁令，全 球钴供应预期有所收紧或对钴价有所支撑 [Table_Title2] 有色-能源金属行业周报 [Table_Summary] 报告摘要: ►本周沪镍价格环比下跌，青山停产或进一步冲击印尼 本土镍矿开采 截止到 6 月 20 日，LME 镍现货结算价报收 14,770.00 美 元/吨，较 6 月 13 日下跌 1.34%，LME 镍总库存为 205,140.00 吨，较 6 月 13 日增加 3.85%；沪镍报收 11.87 万元/吨， 较 6 月 13 日下跌 1.16%，沪镍库存为 25,304.00 吨，较 6 月 13 日减少 1.51%；截止到 6 月 20 日，硫酸镍报收 28,500.00 元/ 吨，较 6 月 13 日价格持平。根据 SMM，从供给端来看，国内 和国际市场都显现出各自的复杂变化。国内方面，菲律宾镍矿 价格由于印尼需求增长，持续保持强劲运行态势。与此同时， 国内冶炼厂面临成本上升的压力，在成本倒挂的背景下，华东 地区的冶炼厂计划进入检修期，这将导致国内产量可能有所减 少。而在印尼方面，火法矿升水依然坚挺，冶炼 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant information provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - From June 16 - 20, 2025, the China Securities REITs Total Return Index closed at 1124.63 points, up 0.88% week - on - week, with the market rising for seven consecutive weeks since April 30, 2025. The China Securities REITs (Closing) Index closed at 893.99 points, up 0.87% week - on - week. The total market value of China's REITs market reached 206.6 billion yuan, up 1.21% month - on - month after exceeding 200 billion yuan in early June, mainly driven by the rental housing and warehousing logistics sectors [1][8]. - In terms of major asset classes, the transportation infrastructure sector of REITs declined this week, while other assets rose, outperforming stocks, bonds, and futures [1][8]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 Secondary Market 3.1.1 Price - Among the seven REITs sectors this week, the highway sector fell 1.10%, while other asset types had positive growth. The rental housing sector led with a 4.41% increase, and REITs with expansion plans continued to be favored. The municipal environmental protection sector rose 3.27%, ranking second, mainly driven by the 8.10% increase of the Guotai Junan Jinan Energy Heating REIT [13]. 3.1.2 Liquidity - The overall market trading remained highly active this week, with an average daily trading volume of 569 million yuan, an average daily trading volume of 118 million shares, and an average daily turnover rate of 0.60%, up 3.80%, - 0.79%, and 0 pct respectively week - on - week [21]. - The sectors with the highest average daily turnover rates this week were rental housing (0.85%), municipal environmental protection (0.83%), and energy facilities (0.78%). The high trading activity in the consumer facilities sector this week was mainly driven by the Huaan Bailian Consumer REIT [24]. 3.1.3 Valuation - The rental housing sector's valuation yield is currently at a historical low, with a relatively consistent valuation among projects, averaging 2.67%. The consumer sector REITs are still in a high - valuation state, with the ChinaBond valuation yield of the Jiashi Wumei project turning negative. The valuations of the industrial park infrastructure, municipal environmental protection, transportation infrastructure, and warehousing logistics sectors are more differentiated [29]. 3.2 Primary Market 3.2.1 Initial Offerings - Since 2025, 8 projects have been listed, raising 13.4 billion yuan. As of June 20, 2025, there are about 12 - 15 potential issuance projects this year, with an expected total issuance scale of over 20 billion yuan, and the market total scale is expected to exceed 220 billion yuan [3][37]. - Four REITs were approved this week. On June 18, the 2025 Lujiazui Forum announced that the CSRC would approve the registration of the first two data center REITs in the country. On June 19, the Huaxia Huadian Clean Energy REIT and the Chuangjin Hexin Shounong Industrial Park REIT were also officially approved [3][39]. 3.2.2 Other News This Week - Multiple cultural and tourism public REITs projects were launched. On June 12, a tender was issued for the Qingcheng Mountain - Dujiangyan Scenic Area Infrastructure REITs project. The Lijiang Tourism Development Investment Group Co., Ltd. announced a tender to issue cultural and tourism infrastructure public REITs based on the Yulong Snow Mountain, with an intended issuance scale of no less than 2.5 billion yuan [50].