Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [8] Core Views - The company's revenue met expectations, but financial expenses temporarily suppressed profit release. The company achieved an operating income of 79.024 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 2.22%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.572 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 25.23% [1][6] - The subsidiary, New H3C, benefited from domestic AI infrastructure, with its revenue growing by 6.04% to 55.074 billion yuan in 2024, and a significant increase of 26.07% in Q1 2025 [2] - The company experienced a substantial increase in inventory and contract liabilities, indicating potential overstocking of AI GPU chips, which may lead to exceeding expectations in AI server market share and profitability [3] Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company reported an operating income of 20.79 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 22.25%, but a net profit decrease of 15.75% [1] - Financial expenses rose significantly due to the acquisition of New H3C, with Q1 2025 financial expenses reaching 386 million yuan, an increase of 310 million yuan from Q1 2024 [4] - The company forecasts net profits of 2.14 billion yuan, 2.81 billion yuan, and 3.13 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 34, 26, and 23 [6] Strategic Developments - The company is advancing its H-share listing, which may alleviate financial pressure and support global expansion efforts [5] - New H3C's international business grew by 32% in 2024 and 72% in Q1 2025, indicating strong growth potential in overseas markets [5]

证券研究报告 | 宏观专题研究 | 中国宏观 联储且行且看，"滞胀"风险增加 ──5 月美联储议息会议传递的信号 核心观点 本月美联储对通胀和就业市场的风险评估均有所上行，认为失业率和通胀双双走高的 滞胀风险正在逐步增加。相机抉择的模式下整体政策立场中性。展望未来： 降息方面，预计年内联储整体仍将保持较强政策定力，潜在的"滞胀"趋势下，我们 认为联储的政策重心或将聚焦于通胀。主要原因在于经济虽有下行压力但劳动力供给 端约束或使得失业率仍在中性目标附近。在此背景下，我们预计联储将保持政策定力， 在下半年逐季降息，每次 25BP。但 6 月议息会议，尤其是对等关税明朗化以前能否降 息存在较强不确定性。 数量型政策方面，预计金融稳定将是下半年联储政策。当前美股、美债均存在一定流 动性压力，一旦因特朗普的政策反复导致外资撤离继而引发美国资产大幅波动，则联 储的缩表可能暂停。如果 10 年美债利率再次冲击 5%，不排除联储启动紧急购债稳定 市场。 ❑ "滞胀"风险评估增加，政策路径且行且看 利率区间方面，美联储按兵不动符合会前市场定价，联邦基金目标利率维持在 4. 25%-4. 50%区间；议息声明中，相较 1 月联储 ...

证券研究报告 | 浙商早知道 报告日期：2025 年 05 月 08 日 浙商早知道 2025 年 05 月 08 日 ：王禾 执业证书编号：S1230512110001 ：021-80105901 ：wanghe@stocke.com.cn 市场总览 重要观点 【浙商宏观 李超/费瑾】宏观专题研究：货币政策再宽松驱动股债双牛——20250507 3、资金 http://www.stocke.com.cn 1/3 请务必阅读正文之后的免责条款部分 大势：5 月 7 日上证指数上涨 0.8%，沪深 300 上涨 0.61%，科创 50 上涨 0.36%，中证 1000 上涨 0.14%，创业板指 上涨 0.51%，恒生指数上涨 0.13%。 行业：5 月 7 日表现最好的行业分别是国防军工（+3.7%)、银行（+1.49%)、基础化工（+1.15%)、房地产（+1.06%)、 石油石化（+0.91%)，表现最差的行业分别是传媒（-0.56%)、计算机（-0.42%)、电子（-0.37%)、社会服务（-0.24%)、 医药生物（-0.12%)。 资金：5 月 7 日全 A 总成交额为 15051 亿元，南下资金净 ...

证券研究报告 | 公司点评 | 通信服务 24 年公司营收 43.65 亿元，YOY +0.32%，将 AIDC 业务收入确认方式由"总额 法"调整为"净额法"并对前三季度收入进行更正，前三季度营收更正后比先前 数据减少 29.53 亿元；归母净利润 17.90 亿元，YOY +1.62%，主要由于公司对早 期交付的多栋低功率数据中心进行升级改造，导致客户下架而继续计提，影响利 润约 3 亿元，同时新增交付机房带来折旧增加约 8000 万元；销售/管理/研发/财务 费用率分别0.06%/3.31%/3.45%/5.67%，同比分别-0.01/-0.55/+1.12/+2.80pct，费用 率增长主要系在建工程转固带来利息开始费用化以及研发投入加大。其中 24Q4 公司营收 9.08 亿元，YOY-45.64%；归母净利润 2.77 亿元，YOY -56.89%，单季 度收入及利润下滑原因在于公司将购买的高性能服务器拆改配成本冲减收入。 25Q1 公司营收为 11.98 亿元，YOY +21.40%；归母净利润 4.30 亿元，YOY- 9.29%；毛利率为 49.73%，同比-9.86pct。 ❑ IDC 业 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [4] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 1.32 billion yuan in Q1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 10.6%. However, the net profit attributable to the parent company decreased by 14.0% year-on-year to 130 million yuan, while the net profit after deducting non-recurring items increased by 8.2% year-on-year to 120 million yuan [1][2] Summary by Sections Revenue Growth - The revenue growth in Q1 was primarily driven by the consolidation of Roman's financials and the expansion of the national subsidy for small household appliances. The online retail sales of health pots, rice cookers, and steamers saw significant year-on-year increases of 38.4%, 13.0%, and 19.0%, respectively, during the period from December 30, 2024, to March 30, 2025 [2] Profitability Improvement - The company's net profit margin in Q1 was 9.8%, which is a decrease of 2.8 percentage points year-on-year but an increase of 3.2 percentage points quarter-on-quarter. The gross profit margin decreased by 1.7 percentage points year-on-year to 36.8%. The sales expense ratio, management expense ratio, R&D expense ratio, and financial expense ratio improved year-on-year by 2.6, 0.4, 0.7, and -0.2 percentage points, respectively [3] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The expansion of national subsidies for small household appliances is expected to benefit the company, along with cost optimization that may lead to improved profit margins. The forecasted net profits attributable to the parent company for 2025-2027 are 400 million, 440 million, and 470 million yuan, representing year-on-year growth rates of 39.8%, 8.9%, and 7.7%, respectively. The corresponding price-to-earnings ratios at the current stock price are projected to be 18x, 17x, and 15x [4]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [7] Core Views - The company demonstrates strong operational resilience and is expected to continue delivering on its "Three New and Two Transformations" strategy [1] - The successful issuance of REITs marks the beginning of a new chapter in light asset operations, with significant funds raised to enhance the company's growth potential [2] - The CSO business has shown sustained high growth, expanding from retail to hospital channels, indicating strong momentum [3] - The new retail and new medical sectors are entering a new phase of expansion, enhancing the company's ability to reach end consumers [4] - The company's profitability is expected to improve due to the contribution from Pre-REITs and innovative strategies, despite some temporary increases in expenses [5] - The operating quality has seen a slight decline, but there are positive trends anticipated for improvement [6] Summary by Sections Performance - In 2024, the company achieved total revenue of 151.81 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1.11%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.51 billion yuan, up 15.33% [1] - In Q1 2025, total revenue reached 42.02 billion yuan, a 3.82% increase year-on-year, with net profit soaring by 80.38% to 970 million yuan [1] Growth Potential - The REITs issuance has successfully launched, raising 1.158 billion yuan, which is expected to accelerate the company's intelligent warehousing upgrades and high-margin business expansion [2] - The CSO business generated sales of 19.27 billion yuan, with a 19.59% growth in pharmaceutical CSO sales after adjusting for high base effects [3] Profitability - The overall gross margin for 2024 was 7.80%, a slight decrease of 0.27 percentage points, while Q1 2025 saw a gross margin of 7.33%, an increase of 0.13 percentage points [5] - The net profit margin for 2024 was 1.65%, up approximately 0.21 percentage points, with Q1 2025 showing a significant increase to 2.31%, up 0.98 percentage points [5] Operating Quality - The net cash flow from operating activities in 2024 was 3.083 billion yuan, a decrease of 35.07% year-on-year, primarily due to increased procurement payments [6] - The company anticipates improvements in operating cash flow due to changes in customer and channel structures [6] Financial Forecast and Valuation - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 1632.94 billion yuan, 1764.63 billion yuan, and 1900.79 billion yuan, with corresponding growth rates of 7.56%, 8.06%, and 7.72% [12] - Expected net profits for the same period are 2.84 billion yuan, 3.18 billion yuan, and 3.54 billion yuan, with growth rates of 13.13%, 12.08%, and 11.21% [12]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The risks of trust, AMC, and commercial leasing licenses held by financial holding platforms are relatively high. The risks at the trust end may mainly come from the capital pool business. Although most trust risks are controllable, tail risks cannot be excluded [1]. - The financial license situation of financial holding platforms determines their competitiveness, profitability, and risks. Bank, securities, insurance, and financial leasing institutions are strictly regulated with controllable risks, while trust, AMC, and commercial leasing industries are more risky [2]. - The capital pool business of trusts is caused by factors such as arbitrage space from maturity mismatch, internal operational convenience, market demand, and covering up defaulted assets. The scale of the capital pool business can be observed from aspects like the non - performing ratio of inherent assets, the scale of financing products in actively managed trusts, and regulatory penalty tickets [3]. - As of the end of April 2025, the outstanding trust ABS - type assets in the bond market totaled 403.61 billion yuan. Trust ABS products generally have low default risks, but caution is needed when the credit enhancement is provided by trust institutions. The risks of most trusts are controllable, but tail risks exist [6]. 3. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Focus on the Holding License Situation of Financial Holding Groups - Financial holding platforms obtain investment income by holding/ controlling financial institutions. The quantity, type, quality, and control status of financial licenses directly affect their competitiveness, profitability, and risks [13]. - The report sorted out 9 types of financial licenses held by 23 central enterprise financial holding platforms and 38 local financial holding platforms. Bank, securities, insurance, and financial leasing institutions are strictly regulated, with standardized operations and controllable risks. In contrast, trust, AMC, and commercial leasing licenses are more risky [2][13]. - The reasons for the high risks of trust, AMC, and commercial leasing industries include lower regulatory standardization, the risk of occupying parent - company funds, and being in an industry trough due to macro - economic environment, regulatory policies, and market competition [2][14]. 3.2 Risks at the Trust End May Mainly Come from the Capital Pool Business - Some trust companies with default risks, such as Sichuan Trust and Anxin Trust, were involved in illegal operations of capital pool business, leading to liquidity and default risks [19]. - The capital pool business is characterized by "rolling issuance, collective operation, maturity mismatch, and separate pricing", which may cause the blurring of the boundary between trust property and company assets and the risk of fund misappropriation. It is caused by maturity mismatch arbitrage, internal operational convenience, market demand, and covering up defaulted assets [19]. - In principle, trust companies do not have the obligation to provide rigid payment for trust products. However, due to the illegal nature of the capital pool business, trust companies usually need to bear the payment obligation, mainly through restructuring and discounted payment [3]. - The scale of the capital pool business is difficult to observe directly from financial statements. It can be roughly inferred from the non - performing ratio of inherent assets (the higher the ratio, the larger the possible scale of the capital pool business), the scale of financing products in actively managed trusts (the higher the scale and proportion, the higher the risk), and regulatory penalty tickets [3][21][24]. 3.3 Risks of Trust - Related Standard Bonds Are Controllable - As of the end of April 2025, the outstanding trust ABS - type assets in the bond market totaled 403.61 billion yuan, with several trusts having a scale of over 30 billion yuan [30]. - Trust ABS products have independent underlying assets and are isolated from other trust company assets. Some products also have external credit enhancement measures, so they generally have low default risks. However, caution is needed when the credit enhancement is provided by trust institutions [30]. - The bond - issuing parent companies of trusts are mainly financial holding platforms, banks, and investment holding groups, with a total outstanding bond scale of 8.93 trillion yuan. After excluding several large state - owned banks, the outstanding balance is 1.43 trillion yuan. Most trust risks are controllable, but tail risks exist. Among them, the bond credit spread of Wukuang Capital (Wukuang Trust) widened significantly, but there is no substantial credit risk [33][34].

证券研究报告 | 宏观专题研究 | 中国宏观 宏观专题研究 报告日期：2025 年 05 月 07 日 货币政策再宽松驱动股债双牛 ——5 月 7 日央行一揽子货币政策解读 核心观点 2025 年 5 月 7 日国务院新闻办公室举行新闻发布会，央行行长潘功胜提出一揽子货币 政策措施，主要有三类十项政策，我们将其总结为 5 类重点工具： 分析师：李超 执业证书号：S1230520030002 lichao1@stocke.com.cn 分析师：费瑾 执业证书号：S1230524070007 feijin@stocke.com.cn 相关报告 工具 1：央行降准 50BP，旨在推动适度宽信用，并缓解政府债集中供给出现的资金面 扰动；工具 2：央行降息 10BP 并引导 LPR 回落，旨在降低实体部门融资成本；工具 3：结构性货币政策利率下调，再贷款额度扩围；工具 4：优化两项支持资本市场的货 币政策工具，旨在依托对市场最熟悉的上市公司和行业机构主动识别优质上市公司， 自行决定是否加杠杆买股票，进而用市场化的手段，促进金融市场长期健康发展；工 具 5：创设科技创新债券风险分担工具，助力传统的城投平台正加速向科创产业 ...

证券研究报告 | 季度行业策略报告 | 房地产 重申估值筑底凸显配置价值 ——行业点评报告 我们认为有少部分房企 2025 年盈利可能提前迎来改善，这类房企的特点在于 1）前期计提减值充分；2）项目聚焦核心 30 城，资产价格率先回暖；3）开发 业务收缩较快，非开发业务利润打底，稳住公司盈利基本盘。典型案例如华润置 地和新城控股。 投资要点 ❑ 维持 2025 年度策略投资思路 3 月 12 日我们外发报告《25Q2 地产投资策略：估值筑底凸显配置价值》中提到 "25Q2 是地产板块估值磨底阶段"—— 关于如何看待 Q2 利空因素，决定了地 产板块估值的下限问题。我们认为，当一方面跟踪到 5 月销售基本面淡季不淡， 而另一方面房企 2024 年体现出公司利润逐步筑底、利空出尽的时候，这意味着 地产板块的估值或达到了底部，具有反弹的潜力。 根据我们 2022 年的专题报告《鉴以往知未来之房地产周期底部特征研究》，复 盘历次周期地产板块股价和房价的表现，我们可以比较直观的看到，房企估值的 拐点受价格变化影响早于盈利改善，主要是由于房企利润结算受竣工影响有滞 后。资产价格的修复从房企开始取消降价销售策略就已经开始， ...

Core Insights - The report emphasizes the importance of RMB internationalization in achieving "financial autonomy and controllability," especially in the context of escalating tariff disputes globally. The establishment of the CIPS system and the mBridge project are highlighted as key initiatives to enhance the ability to respond to financial sanctions [1][2][18]. RMB Internationalization Theme Evaluation - The RMB internationalization theme received a composite score of 62.86 based on seven dimensions, with high scores in future imagination space, trading congestion, and policy support [3][20]. - The evaluation criteria included market capitalization capacity, policy support intensity, industry coverage, valuation levels, trading congestion, performance realization capability, and future imagination space [20][24]. RMB Internationalization Concept Stock Pool - A stock pool consisting of 18 stocks was constructed based on cross-border trade, payment, and logistics, reflecting potential beneficiaries of RMB internationalization [3][23]. - The stock pool's performance was backtested from March 29, 2024, to May 5, 2025, showing an excess return of 35.64% compared to the Wind All A Index, with a notable excess return of 12.44% after April 8, 2025 [3][29]. RMB Internationalization Index - The RMB internationalization index was created based on the concept stock pool, using free float market capitalization for weighting, with a maximum weight of 10% for any single stock [26]. - The index demonstrated a growth of 47% from March 29, 2024, to May 5, 2025, outperforming the Wind All A Index by 35.64% [29].