Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the consumer electronics sector, suggesting a focus on AI edge applications and automotive intelligence as key investment themes [1]. Core Insights - Recent easing of tariff pressures allows for a focus on innovation in AI and undervalued quality companies within the consumer electronics sector [1]. - Apple is expected to minimize tariff impacts through inventory and supply chain optimization, with a significant portion of production now in India and Vietnam [2][21]. - The report highlights the potential for growth in the smartphone, PC, and wearable segments driven by AI innovations and government subsidies [2][3][4]. Summary by Sections Terminal Trends and Innovation Tracking - Smartphone shipments in Q1 increased by 1.5% year-on-year, with a notable rise in China due to government subsidies [2]. - PC shipments grew by 4.9% year-on-year in Q1, driven by pre-emptive shipping to counter tariffs and AI innovations [3]. - Wearable devices, particularly AI glasses, saw a significant increase in shipments, with a 216% year-on-year growth in Q1 [4]. Industry Chain Tracking - The easing of tariff negotiations is seen as a turning point for the industry, with a focus on AI edge and cloud-side innovations [12]. - Domestic SoC companies reported high growth in Q1, with major international firms accelerating their AI application layouts [13]. - The battery sector is entering a seasonal slowdown, but long-term trends indicate innovation driven by AI applications [17]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies that can benefit from Apple's global layout and cost efficiency, particularly in the supply chain [21]. - For the Android chain, the impact of tariffs is minimal, and there are opportunities for growth through AI innovations and subsidy policies [22]. - The automotive sector is highlighted for its rapid development in smart driving technologies, with significant opportunities in the supply chain [24]. - The XR segment is expected to see long-term growth, particularly in AR applications, with a focus on companies involved in Apple's Vision Pro and related products [25].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" investment rating for the beryllium industry [2]. Core Insights - The global beryllium resource distribution is highly concentrated, with the United States, Brazil, and China being the primary producers, accounting for 49%, 22%, and 21% of global production respectively [6][19]. - Beryllium is identified as a key metal for controlled nuclear fusion, with significant applications in various fields including optics, semiconductors, aerospace, nuclear industry, military, and household appliances [6][11]. - The beryllium market is expected to grow due to increasing demand in industrial components and automotive electronics, with global beryllium production projected to rise from 210 tons in 2017 to 364 tons by 2024 [19][21]. Summary by Sections 1. Beryllium Resource Distribution - Beryllium resources are primarily located in the United States, Canada, and Brazil, with the U.S. holding approximately 60% of the known global resources [16][19]. - China's beryllium resources are abundant but of lower quality, leading to challenges in industrial utilization [16][19]. 2. Applications and Strategic Value of Beryllium - Beryllium is utilized in high-performance applications due to its high stiffness, excellent thermal conductivity, and dimensional stability, making it crucial in defense, aerospace, and energy sectors [25][27]. - The beryllium supply chain includes raw material extraction, intermediate product manufacturing, and high-value end products such as beryllium copper alloys, beryllium aluminum alloys, and beryllium oxide ceramics [25][26]. 3. Key Companies in the Beryllium Industry - Materion Corporation is the largest beryllium supplier globally, holding a 70% market share, and provides a range of high-performance beryllium products for various industries [43][44]. - NGK Insulators, Ltd. is the second-largest producer of beryllium copper alloys, sourcing beryllium oxide from Materion and serving multiple sectors including aerospace and electronics [48][49].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" investment rating for the company [2][5]. Core Views - The company is expected to benefit from a rapid recovery in downstream demand, with three major growth curves poised for explosive growth [5]. - The company reported a revenue of 331 million yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 50.22%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 17.94 million yuan, up 15.28% year-on-year [5]. - The company has a strategic focus on special optical devices, new materials, and equipment, aiming to strengthen its market position in both military and civilian sectors [5]. Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 331 million yuan, with a breakdown showing optical ring devices generating 124 million yuan (up 69.07% year-on-year) and new materials contributing 24.06 million yuan (up 15.60% year-on-year) [5]. - The gross profit margin for optical ring devices remained stable, while the overall gross margin decreased by 7.57 percentage points to 44.62% due to price adjustments in military products and changes in product mix [5]. - The company expects net profits for 2025-2027 to be 84 million, 122 million, and 150 million yuan, respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 47.4, 32.5, and 26.5 [5][6]. Market Position and Strategy - The company is enhancing its industrial synergy through the acquisition of "Shengyisheng," which will improve its production capabilities in optical gyroscope photon chip devices and expand its market reach [5]. - The strategic layout includes a focus on three growth curves: enhancing sensor solutions, developing energy transmission solutions, and advancing thermal management and next-generation optical communication [5]. Valuation Metrics - The current stock price is 32.48 yuan, with a total market capitalization of 4 billion yuan and a circulating market value of 3.1 billion yuan [2]. - The company has a return on equity (ROE) of 1.7% and a debt-to-asset ratio of 21.4% [2].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report indicates that the year-on-year growth rate of social retail sales in April has slightly narrowed, while the effects of expanded consumption policies continue to be evident [2][4][22] - In April, the total retail sales of consumer goods reached 161,845 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 4.7%, and the monthly growth rate for April was 5.1% [14][22] - The report highlights that essential consumption remains stable, with the year-on-year growth rate of grain and oil food retail sales increasing to 14.0% in April [18][22] Group 2 - The industrial robot and metal cutting machine production saw a three-month rolling year-on-year growth rate expand in April, indicating a positive trend in the automation equipment sector [2][4][22] - The report recommends focusing on sectors with high or improving prosperity, including home appliances, traditional Chinese medicine, household goods, entertainment products, jewelry, and green electricity [2][4][23] - The report notes that the retail sales of gold and silver jewelry increased by 25.3% year-on-year, driven by demand for value preservation amid rising gold prices [18][22][23] Group 3 - In the information technology sector, the DDR4 DRAM memory prices have risen, while smartphone production has seen a three-month rolling year-on-year decline [4][7][22] - The semiconductor industry shows mixed signals, with the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index declining while the Taiwanese semiconductor industry index increased [4][7][22] - The report indicates that the average daily power generation of key power plants has increased year-on-year over the past 12 weeks, reflecting growth in the public utility sector [4][7][22]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided in the content 2. Core Viewpoints - The policy dividend drives the rapid expansion of the science - innovation bond market. The new policy has three major focuses, which will promote the diversification of bond - issuing entities and the optimization of the bond structure [2]. - The science - innovation bond market has investment value. Most science - innovation bonds have a small premium compared to ordinary credit bonds, and high - rating science - innovation bonds are highly recognized by the market. In the future, the market liquidity of science - innovation bonds is expected to improve, and the variety premium may be compressed [4]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Science - innovation Bond Regulatory Policy History - **From "Double - innovation Bonds" to Science - innovation Bonds**: The prototype of science - innovation bonds can be traced back to the "double - innovation bonds" in 2015. After multiple stages of development, in 2022, a dual - market pattern of "exchange science - innovation bonds + inter - bank science - innovation notes" was formed, and in 2025, the policy support was further strengthened [8][9][10]. - **Three Key Points of the New Science - innovation Bond Policy**: The new policy broadens the issuing entities and the scope of use of raised funds, encourages the creation of science - innovation bond index products to guide investment institutions to increase their allocation, and improves the risk - sharing mechanism. There are also supporting policies such as fee reduction and a "green channel" for review [12][13][14]. 3.2 Science - innovation Bond Issuance Characteristics and Future Outlook - **Market Expansion**: Since 2021, the cumulative issuance of science - innovation corporate bonds and science - innovation notes has reached 2.7 trillion yuan. After the new policy, the issuance of science - innovation bonds has increased significantly. Nearly 500 market institutions plan to issue science - innovation bonds with a cumulative scale of over 300 billion yuan [16]. - **Diversification of Issuing Entities**: The issuing entities of science - innovation bonds are mainly central and local state - owned enterprises, and the new policy may increase the proportion of financial institutions [18]. - **Policy Support for Low - cost and Long - term Bonds**: The weighted average issuance term of science - innovation bonds has increased in recent years. Although currently, most issued science - innovation bonds are still 3 - year bonds, policy guidance may encourage the issuance of long - term and ultra - long - term bonds [26]. - **Improvement of Risk - sharing Mechanisms**: The new policy aims to reduce the default loss risk of science - innovation bonds through diversified credit enhancement measures. Currently, most issued science - innovation bonds are unsecured, but in the future, diversified credit enhancement measures may be continuously implemented [29]. 3.3 Secondary Market Performance and Investment Analysis of Science - innovation Bonds - **Yield Performance**: Most science - innovation bonds have a small premium compared to ordinary credit bonds. High - rating science - innovation bonds are more recognized by the market, with a smaller spread compared to general credit bonds. The yield of science - innovation bonds issued by the National Development Bank is lower than that of the same - term national development bonds [33]. - **Liquidity Performance**: After the new policy, the turnover rate of newly issued science - innovation bonds is higher than that of science - innovation notes and science - innovation corporate bonds. The main buyers in the first week of issuance are joint - stock banks, public funds, and other institutions. In the future, the market liquidity of science - innovation bonds is expected to improve [39][44]. - **Investment Suggestions**: It is recommended to actively pay attention to the investment opportunities of medium - and short - duration science - innovation bonds with an implicit rating of AA + or above. For medium - and low - rating science - innovation bonds with credit enhancement measures, appropriate exploration can also be carried out [44].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for the company [4]. Core Views - The company reported Q1 2025 revenue of 13.83 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 16.2%, and a NON-GAAP net profit of 4.19 billion yuan, up 3.3%, both slightly exceeding market expectations. Domestic leisure travel demand has shown steady improvement, while outbound and international business continues to grow significantly, supported by optimized overseas marketing expenses [1][8]. - The long-term outlook remains positive due to the vast growth potential in overseas markets, with expectations of continued performance improvement as international operations mature and profitability enhances [1][8]. Financial Data and Valuation - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: - 2023: 44.51 billion yuan - 2024: 53.29 billion yuan (+20%) - 2025E: 61.81 billion yuan (+16%) - 2026E: 70.80 billion yuan (+15%) - 2027E: 80.91 billion yuan (+14%) [3][11]. - The company’s net profit is projected to grow significantly, with estimates of 9.92 billion yuan in 2023, reaching 23.99 billion yuan by 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate of 13% [3][11]. - The adjusted earnings per share (EPS) are expected to increase from 19.11 yuan in 2023 to 37.56 yuan in 2027 [3][11]. - The company’s price-to-earnings (PE) ratio is projected to decrease from 24.2 in 2023 to 12.3 in 2027, indicating improving valuation metrics over time [3][12]. Business Performance - The company’s revenue breakdown for Q1 2025 includes: - Accommodation bookings: 5.54 billion yuan (+23.2%) - Transportation ticketing: 5.42 billion yuan (+8.4%) - Travel vacation: 0.95 billion yuan (+7.2%) - Business travel management: 0.57 billion yuan (+12.1%) - Other businesses: 1.37 billion yuan (+33.0%) [8]. - The overall gross margin for the reporting period was 80.4%, slightly down by 0.8 percentage points, while the operating profit margin (OPM) was 29.2%, exceeding the expected 27.5% [8]. Market Outlook - The company’s outbound and international business continues to show high growth, with outbound hotel and flight bookings exceeding 120% of pre-pandemic levels, and international OTA platform bookings increasing by over 60% year-on-year [8]. - The report anticipates a 15%-20% growth in outbound business for 2025, driven by high-margin outbound operations [8].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for the company [2][4]. Core Views - The company is expected to benefit from the easing of tariff policies, which may enhance profitability in the pulp shipping market [2]. - The company's performance in 2024 is projected to be at the upper limit of previous forecasts, with a significant increase in gross profit driven by rising shipping rates and increased automotive transport volumes [2][3]. - The company anticipates steady growth in its mechanical equipment and automotive transportation segments, supported by favorable trade relations [2]. Financial Performance Summary - The company reported a net profit of 1.53 billion yuan for 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 44% [2][3]. - For Q1 2025, the net profit was 350 million yuan, showing a slight increase of 1.6% year-on-year [2]. - The gross profit for 2024 is expected to reach 3.66 billion yuan, a 73% increase year-on-year, with a gross margin of 21.8%, up by 4.2 percentage points [2][3]. Segment Performance Summary - The multi-purpose and heavy-lift vessels generated a combined gross profit of 1.37 billion yuan in 2024, a 91% increase year-on-year, driven by strong demand in advanced manufacturing exports [2]. - The gross profit from pulp and automotive vessels reached 1.26 billion yuan, a 255% increase year-on-year, with automotive shipments increasing by 46% [2]. - The semi-submersible vessels reported a gross profit of 490 million yuan, a decrease of 7% year-on-year, primarily due to delayed contracts [2]. Future Profitability Outlook - The company expects profits of 1.88 billion yuan, 2.28 billion yuan, and 2.48 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 23%, 22%, and 9% [2][3]. - The estimated PE ratio for 2025 is projected to be 9.3x, indicating favorable growth potential [2][3].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a recommendation for the beauty and personal care industry, highlighting the continued growth of leading domestic brands [2]. Core Insights - The beauty and personal care sector has shown a divergence in performance, with leading domestic brands achieving good growth due to their competitive pricing, differentiated products, and effective online operations [1][10]. - The upcoming 618 shopping festival is expected to further catalyze growth for domestic brands, particularly in the cosmetics sector [1][6]. Summary by Sections Cosmetics - In 2024 and Q1 2025, leading domestic brands continued to show strong growth, with significant revenue increases reported: - Molybdenum Biological: +33% revenue, +32% net profit - Giant Biological: +57% revenue, +42% net profit - Upper Beauty: +62% revenue, +69% net profit [11][13]. - The overall performance of the cosmetics sector is characterized by a mix of growth and decline among various companies, with some like Proya showing resilience in profit despite revenue slowdowns [12][13]. - The report suggests focusing on brands with strong single-product strategies and innovative ingredients, such as Giant Biological and Molybdenum Biological, as well as those with strong brand positioning like Mao Geping [1][6]. Personal Care - The personal care segment has seen robust performance from leading domestic brands, with notable revenue growth in Q1 2025: - Baiya: +30% - Stable Medical: +36% - Hao Yue Care: +42% [6][12]. - The report emphasizes the importance of product upgrades and channel expansion for these brands, which have outperformed OEM companies [1][6]. - The ongoing trend of online expansion and the shift towards mid-to-high-end branding remains strong, with companies like Baiya and Stable Medical showing promising developments [6][12]. Market Trends - The overall market for cosmetics in early 2025 showed a slight increase in retail sales, with a year-on-year growth of 4.0% in the first four months [23]. - Online platforms like Tmall and Douyin have seen varying performance, with Douyin showing higher growth rates in certain categories compared to Tmall [26][29]. Key Brand Performance - Key brands have demonstrated significant growth in both Tmall and Douyin platforms, with notable increases in GMV for brands like Mao Geping and Kefu Mei [33]. - The report highlights the competitive landscape, with domestic brands increasingly capturing market share from international brands due to their pricing and innovative marketing strategies [1][6].

证券研究报告 | 基金研究（公募） 2025 年 5 月 20 日 群策群力，锚定绝对收益目标 天弘基金固收+基金分析 天弘基金旗下固收+业务追求绝对收益，以回撤作为产品定位目标，并以此设定资 产配置中枢。公司实行团队制管理，在资产配置、行业配置和个股选择等关键环节 倾向群策群力。稳健型和积极型固收+基金（详细划分标准参考全文）成立以来整 体实现了较好的收益风险性价比，大部分年份实现了平均正收益。本报告将针对天 弘基金固收+业务产品布局、业绩表现、团队建设、投资风格等方面展开分析。 ❑ 风险提示：本报告仅作为投资参考，基金过往业绩并不预示其未来表现，亦不构 成投资收益的保证或投资建议。 徐燕红 S1090524120003 xuyanhong@cmschina.com.cn 高艺 S1090524020001 gaoyi2@cmschina.com.cn 敬请阅读末页的重要说明 ❑ 天弘含权债基发展概况：天弘基金布局含权债基时间较早，产品线在 2021 年 迎来规模大发展，主要为二级债基贡献。2021 年之前主要被机构持有，之后 个人增持相对较多，目前机构与个人持有份额各半。 ❑ 天弘固收+基金布局情况：天弘 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the banking sector, indicating a positive outlook for the industry [3]. Core Insights - The banking sector has consistently outperformed the market in most years since the end of 2008, with a cumulative return significantly higher than that of the broader market indices [6][10]. - The report highlights that the banking sector benefits from a shift in institutional investment styles, favoring long-term performance and actual profitability, which is expected to lead to a valuation recovery for the sector [6][10]. - High-profit growth banks have shown exceptional performance, with a cumulative increase of 2322% and an annualized return of 21.5% since the end of 2008, indicating the potential for higher returns through selective investment within the banking sector [6][10]. Summary by Sections Industry Scale - The banking sector comprises 41 listed companies, with a total market capitalization of 9875 billion and a circulating market capitalization of 9784.5 billion [3]. Performance Metrics - The absolute performance of the banking sector over different time frames is as follows: 1 month: 4.7%, 6 months: 11.8%, and 12 months: 24.3% [5]. - The banking index has outperformed the market indices, with the A-share banking index showing a cumulative increase of 404% and an annualized return of 10.4% since 2018 [6][10]. Historical Returns - From 2008 to the present, the banking sector has outperformed the CSI 300 Total Return Index in 10 out of 17 years, demonstrating a high success rate for investments in this sector [6][10]. - The report provides detailed cumulative return data, showing that the banking sector's returns have generally exceeded those of the broader market indices in most years since 2008 [12][14].