Report Summary 1. Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints - The downstream terminals are hesitant about the negative demand feedback in August caused by US tariffs and believe the current price has mostly priced in previous expectations. The lower support for copper prices has been raised from 77,000 yuan per ton to 78,000 yuan per ton [3]. - The impact of the mine accident at Chile's El Teniente copper mine may exceed expectations, and Coldeco needs to allocate more resources to address copper supply issues. The increase in the US dollar index on Monday evening slightly suppressed the valuation of the non - ferrous metals sector [3]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Copper Price and Volatility - The latest copper price is 79,020 yuan, with a monthly price range forecast of 73,000 - 80,000 yuan. The current volatility is 11.64%, and the historical percentile of the current volatility is 22.6% [2]. Copper Risk Management Suggestions - **Inventory Management**: For high finished - product inventory and fear of price decline, sell 75% of the Shanghai copper main futures contract at around 82,000 yuan and sell 25% of the CU2510C82000 call option when the volatility is relatively stable [2]. - **Raw Material Management**: For low raw material inventory and fear of price increase, buy 75% of the Shanghai copper main futures contract at around 77,000 yuan [2]. Factors Affecting Copper Prices - **Likely Positive Factors**: Agreement on tariff policies between the US and other countries; decline of the US dollar index due to employment data; obvious lower support [4]. - **Likely Negative Factors**: Repeated tariff policies; reduced global demand due to tariff policies; extremely high COMEX inventory caused by US copper tariff policy adjustments [4][5]. Copper Futures and Spot Data - **Futures Data**: The latest price of Shanghai copper main is 79,020 yuan/ton (0% daily change), Shanghai copper continuous one is 79,020 yuan/ton (0.68% daily increase), Shanghai copper continuous three is 79,030 yuan/ton (0% daily change), LME copper 3M is 9,726.5 US dollars/ton (- 0.42% daily change), and the Shanghai - London ratio is 8.15 (0% daily change) [4]. - **Spot Data**: The latest prices of Shanghai Non - ferrous 1 copper, Shanghai Wumaohui, Guangdong Nanchu, and Yangtze Non - ferrous are 79,150 yuan/ton (0.79% daily increase), 79,130 yuan/ton (0.8% daily increase), 78,950 yuan/ton (0.73% daily increase), and 79,190 yuan/ton (0.7% daily increase) respectively [6]. Copper Scrap Price Difference - The current含税 refined - scrap price difference is 1,074.89 yuan/ton (37.1% daily increase), and the reasonable含税 refined - scrap price difference is 1,491.6 yuan/ton (0.41% daily increase) [8]. Copper Warehouse Receipts and Inventory - **SHFE Copper Warehouse Receipts**: The total Shanghai copper warehouse receipts are 23,275 tons (9.42% daily increase), and the total international copper warehouse receipts are 1,553 tons (0% daily change) [12]. - **LME Copper Inventory**: The total LME copper inventory is 155,700 tons (- 0.1% daily change), and the registered warehouse receipts are 143,725 tons (- 0.73% daily change) [14]. - **COMEX Copper Inventory**: The total COMEX copper inventory is 265,196 tons (1.54% weekly increase), and the registered warehouse receipts are 121,933 tons (- 1.91% weekly change) [15]. Copper Import Profit and Processing - The copper import profit and loss is - 100.28 yuan/ton (- 59.08% daily change), and the copper concentrate TC is - 38 US dollars/ton (0% daily change) [16].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content found 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - Tin prices remained volatile on Monday, in line with expectations. Macro factors have limited impact. On the supply side, the repeated postponement of the full resumption of production in Myanmar's tin mines has significantly supported tin prices and may have a continuous impact. There is no significant change in demand [3] 3. Summary According to Related Catalogs 3.1 Tin Price Volatility and Risk Management - The latest closing price of tin is 268,380 yuan/ton, with a monthly price range forecast of 245,000 - 263,000 yuan/ton. The current volatility is 14.36%, and the historical percentile of the current volatility is 26.1% [2] - For inventory management with high finished - product inventory and concerns about price drops, it is recommended to sell 75% of the Shanghai Tin main futures contract at around 275,000 yuan/ton and sell 25% of the SN2510C275000 call option when the volatility is appropriate. For raw material management with low raw material inventory and concerns about price increases, it is recommended to buy 50% of the Shanghai Tin main futures contract at around 230,000 yuan/ton and sell 25% of the SN2510P245000 put option when the volatility is appropriate [2] 3.2 Factors Affecting Tin Prices - **Likely Positive Factors**: Sino - US tariff policy easing, the semiconductor sector remaining in the expansion cycle, and Myanmar's production resumption falling short of expectations [8] - **Likely Negative Factors**: Repeated tariff policies, the inflow of Myanmar's tin ore into China, and the slowdown of the semiconductor sector's expansion speed and its transition from the expansion cycle to the contraction cycle [5][6] 3.3 Tin Futures and Spot Data - **Futures Data (Daily)**: The latest prices of Shanghai Tin main, Shanghai Tin continuous - one, and Shanghai Tin continuous - three are all 268,380 yuan/ton, with no daily change. The price of LME Tin 3M is 33,715 US dollars/ton, up 110 US dollars or 0.33%. The Shanghai - London ratio is 7.98, up 0.08 or 1.01% [7] - **Spot Data (Weekly)**: The latest prices of Shanghai Non - Ferrous tin ingots, 40% tin concentrate, 60% tin concentrate, etc. have different degrees of weekly increases, with ranges from 0.58% to 0.92% [14] 3.4 Tin Inventory and Other Data - **Inventory Data (Daily)**: The total warehouse receipt quantity of tin in the Shanghai Futures Exchange decreased by 143 tons to 7,326 tons, a decrease of 1.91%. The LME tin inventory decreased by 60 tons to 1,710 tons, a decrease of 3.39% [21] - **Other Data**: Tin import profit and loss is - 16,576.95 yuan/ton, up 1.01%. The processing fees for 40% and 60% tin ore remain unchanged [22]

金融期货早评 宏观：等待美国通胀数据公布 【市场资讯】1）央行今日进行 1120 亿元 7 天期逆回购操作 当日实现净回笼 4328 亿元。2） 国务院任免国家工作人员：任命金民卿为当代中国研究所所长。3）中汽协：1-7 月新能源 汽车销售 822 万辆，同比增长 38.5%。4）外交部回应报道称中方希望美放宽高带宽内存芯 片出口管制：中方反对将科技和经贸问题政治化、工具化、武器化。5）特朗普：黄金不会 被加征关税。6）贝森特："绝大部分"美国贸易谈判将在 10 月前完成。7）报道：特朗普政 府扩大美联储主席候选人范围，鲍曼、Jefferson、Logan 入选。8）特朗普给本周五"普特 会""降热度"：是"试探性会晤"、可能直接退出，能否达成协议不由他决定。9）特朗普宣 布华盛顿特区进入公共安全紧急状态。10）中美关税最后期限延长 90 天。 【核心逻辑】国内方面，决策层密集出台了一系列民生政策，也让市场对后续民生政策充 满期待。从长远来看，民生政策仍有较大发力空间。当前政策推进的方向明确且契合民生 需求，但需求的修复难以一蹴而就，仍需等待各项政策形成合力并逐步释放效能。经济数 的变化，国内需求及就业市场呈 ...

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided. 2. Core View The core contradiction is that the shutdown of plants in the Shandong market has reduced the external supply of spot goods, leading to a significant increase in spot prices [3]. There are both bullish and bearish factors. Bullish factors include the 750,000 - ton PDH unit of Zhenhua in the Shandong market breaking down over the weekend, reducing the external supply by 2,000 tons per day and causing the spot market price to rise by 300 yuan/ton, and the planned maintenance of 900,000 - ton PDH units of Wanhua Penglai and Jinneng in the late - month, which will narrow the supply - demand gap in the Shandong market [4]. Bearish factors are the continuous decline of crude oil at the cost end and the price pressure of external propane exports at a high level [5]. 3. Summary by Relevant Contents Propylene Hedging Strategy - **Inventory Management**: When the finished - product inventory is high and there are concerns about a decline in propylene prices, for a long spot position, it is recommended to sell PL2601 futures at a ratio of 50% in the price range of 6600 - 6700 to lock in profits. Also, sell PL2601C6800 call options at a ratio of 50% in the range of 160 - 200 to collect premiums and reduce costs, and lock in the selling price if the spot price rises [2]. - **Procurement Management**: When the regular procurement inventory is low and procurement is based on orders, for a short spot position, it is recommended to buy PL2601 futures at a ratio of 25% in the price range of 6200 - 6300 to lock in procurement costs. Also, sell PL2601P5800 put options at a ratio of 25% in the range of 25 - 35 to collect premiums and reduce procurement costs, and lock in the purchase price if the propylene price falls [2]. Price and Spread Seasonality - There are seasonal charts of propylene market prices in Shandong and the East China region, propylene 01 - 02 and 02 - 03 month - spreads, and PP01 - PL01, PL01 - PG01, PL01 - 3MA01 spreads in 2025 [6][8][9].

【本周关注】 本周数据关注周二20:30美7月CPI数据。事件方面主要关注密集美联储官员讲话，周二22：00，2027年 FOMC票委、里奇蒙联储主席巴尔金发表讲话 ；周三19：30，2027年FOMC票委、里奇蒙联储主席巴尔金 发表讲话；周四01：00，2025年FOMC票委、芝加哥联储主席古尔斯比就货币政策发表讲话，01：30， 2027年FOMC票委、亚特兰大联储主席博斯蒂克就美国经济前景发表讲话。 南华贵金属日报:贵金属回调 关注晚间美CPI 夏莹莹（投资咨询证号：Z0016569） 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2011】1290号 2025年8月12日 【行情回顾】 周一贵金属市场大幅回调，美国黄金进口关税被否决，贸易关税担忧降温，以及数字货币资产价格上涨、国 内股市表现良好黄金ETF呈现流出，一定程度影响资金投资偏好和资产配置。最终COMEX黄金2512合约收报 3393.7美元/盎司，-2.8%；美白银2509合约收报于37.645美元/盎司，-2.33%。 SHFE黄金2510主力合约 779.48元/克，-0.81%；SHFE白银2510合约收9210元/千克，-0.72%。特朗普表示，黄金 ...

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided in the given content. 2. Core Viewpoints - The prices of each monthly contract of the container shipping index (European Line) futures fluctuated first and then declined significantly near the close. Except for a slight rebound in the EC2508 contract, the prices of other monthly contracts decreased slightly. The decline was mainly due to the downward opening quotation of MSK's new - week European Line, leading to a downward re - valuation of the European index futures price. In the future, it is expected that the EC may continue to fluctuate and decline or maintain a fluctuating trend. In the medium term, without sudden event factors, the overall futures price trend may still be slightly downward [1]. - A.P. 穆勒 - 马士基集团 (Maersk) 2025 Q2 performance was strong, with revenue increasing by 2.8% year - on - year and EBIT reaching $845 million. The company raised its full - year 2025 financial guidance, benefiting from the strong terminal business, increased shipping volume in the shipping sector, enhanced profitability of the logistics and service business, and continuous optimization of operations and strict cost control in each business segment [2]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs EC Risk Management Strategy - **Position Management**: For those who have obtained positions but have full capacity or poor booking volume and are worried about falling freight rates (long position), to prevent losses, they can short the container shipping index futures according to the company's positions to lock in profits. The recommended hedging tool is EC2510, with a selling recommendation in the range of 1500 - 1600 [1]. - **Cost Management**: When the shipping company's blank - sailing intensity increases or the market peak season is approaching, and one hopes to book cabins according to the order situation (short position), to prevent the increase in transportation costs due to rising freight rates, one can buy the container shipping index futures at present to determine the cabin - booking cost in advance. The recommended hedging tool is EC2510, with a buying recommendation in the range of 1200 - 1300 [1]. Market Data - **EC Basis and Price**: On August 11, 2025, the basis of EC2508 was 155.48 points, with a daily decrease of 9.00 points and a weekly decrease of 20.08 points. The closing price of EC2508 was 2080.0 points, with a daily increase of 0.43% and a weekly decrease of 1.99%. Different contracts had different basis, price, and spread changes [4]. - **Global Freight Index**: SCFIS European Line decreased by 2.71% to 2235.48 points; SCFIS US - West Line decreased by 4.25% to 1082.14 points; SCFI European Line decreased by 4.39% to $1961/TEU; SCFI US - West Line decreased by 9.80% to $1823/FEU; XSI European Line decreased by 0.66% to $3291/FEU; XSI US - West Line decreased by 1.6% to $1979/FEU; FBX comprehensive freight index decreased by 2.69% to $2135/FEU [7]. - **Container Shipping Quotes**: On August 21, the total quotes for Maersk's 20GP and 40GP from Shanghai to Rotterdam increased compared to the previous period. On August 28, the opening quotes for 20GP and 40GP decreased compared to the previous week, with current quotes of $1335/TEU and $2230/FEU respectively [6]. Port and Shipping Data - **Global Main Port Waiting Time**: On August 10, 2025, compared with August 9, the waiting time at Hong Kong Port decreased by 0.437 days to 0.603 days; Shanghai Port increased by 0.234 days to 1.656 days; etc. Each port had different waiting - time changes [14]. - **Shipping Speed and Waiting Ships in Suez Canal**: On August 10, 2025, the average speed of 8000 + container ships was 16.035 knots, an increase of 0.042 knots compared to the previous day; the number of ships waiting at the Suez Canal port anchorage was 12, a decrease of 13 compared to the previous day [22].

Report Information - Report Title: Ferroalloy Industry Risk Management Daily Report [1] - Date: August 11, 2025 [1] - Author: Chen Mintao (Z0022731) [1] Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the report Core Viewpoint - In the short term, the price trend of ferroalloys mainly follows the price fluctuations of coal. The current good profit situation of steel mills and high molten iron production provide support for ferroalloy demand. In the long run, the real - estate market is sluggish, and the support from the home appliance and automobile industries for steel depends on policy stimulus. The supply of manganese ore is relatively sufficient, and the support from the ore end for ferromanganese is insufficient. The anti - involution trading sentiment has faded, but the market still has expectations for supply - side contraction. The logic of ferroalloys lies in the price of coking coal, with large short - term fluctuations. It is recommended to lightly test long positions after a pullback [4] Summary by Content Price Forecast - The monthly price forecast for ferrosilicon is in the range of 5300 - 6000, with a current 20 - day rolling volatility of 25.65% and a 3 - year historical percentile of 69.0%. The monthly price forecast for ferromanganese is also 5300 - 6000, with a current 20 - day rolling volatility of 15.48% and a 3 - year historical percentile of 28.5% [3] Hedging Strategies - **Inventory Management**: For enterprises with high finished - product inventories worried about price drops, they can short ferroalloy futures (SF2509, SM2509) to lock in profits and make up for production costs, with a hedging ratio of 15% and a recommended entry range of SF: 6200 - 6250, SM: 6400 - 6500 [3] - **Procurement Management**: For enterprises with low procurement inventories, they can buy ferroalloy futures (SF2509, SM2509) at present to lock in procurement costs in advance, with a hedging ratio of 25% and a recommended entry range of SF: 5100 - 5200, SM: 5300 - 5400 [3] 利多 Factors - **Silicon Iron**: The government's strict control policies on high - energy - consuming industries may lead to industrial structure adjustment and upgrading in the ferromanganese industry. This week, the demand for silicon iron in five major steel products was 2.03 million tons, a month - on - month increase of 2.01%. The silicon iron warehouse receipt inventory was 9.82 million tons, a month - on - month decrease of 10.89%, and the total inventory was 17 million tons, a month - on - month decrease of 3.3% [5][7] - **Silicon Manganese**: The demand for silicon manganese in five major steel products was 12.52 million tons, a month - on - month increase of 1.25%. The enterprise inventory was 16.15 million tons, a month - on - month decrease of 1.52%, the warehouse receipt was 38.02 million tons, a month - on - month decrease of 2.34%, and the total inventory was 54.15 million tons, a month - on - month decrease of 2.1%. The profit in the northern region was - 98.14 yuan/ton (+70.51), and in the southern region was - 425.86 yuan/ton (+85.56) [8] 利空 Factors - **Silicon Iron**: The weekly production start - up rate of silicon iron production enterprises was 34.32%, a week - on - week increase of 0.56%, and the weekly output was 10.91 million tons, a week - on - week increase of 4.5%. The enterprise inventory was 7.18 million tons, a week - on - week increase of 9.45%. The profit in the Inner Mongolia production area was - 49 yuan/ton (-134), and in the Ningxia production area was 48 yuan/ton (-234) [8] - **Silicon Manganese**: In the long term, the real - estate market is sluggish, and there are doubts about the growth of steel terminal demand, so the demand for silicon manganese is relatively weak. The weekly production start - up rate of silicon manganese production enterprises was 43.43%, a week - on - week increase of 1.25%, and the weekly output was 19.58 million tons, a week - on - week increase of 2.62% [8] Daily Data - **Silicon Iron**: On August 11, 2025, the basis in Ningxia was - 22, the 01 - 05 spread was - 98, the 05 - 09 spread was 284, the 09 - 01 spread was - 186. The spot prices in Ningxia, Inner Mongolia, Qinghai, Shaanxi, and Gansu were 5600, 5550, 5600, 5600, and 5500 respectively. The prices of semi - coke small materials, Qinhuangdao thermal coal, and Yulin thermal coal were 595, 682, and 570 respectively. The warehouse receipt was 19646 [8] - **Silicon Manganese**: On August 8, 2025, the basis in Inner Mongolia was 104, the 01 - 05 spread was - 40, the 05 - 09 spread was 138, the 09 - 01 spread was - 98, and the double - silicon spread was - 274. The spot prices in Ningxia, Inner Mongolia, Guizhou, Guangxi, and Yunnan were 5850, 5800, 5850, 5870, and 5830 respectively. The prices of Tianjin Australian ore, Tianjin South African ore, Tianjin Gabonese ore, Qinzhou South African ore, Qinzhou Gabonese ore, and Inner Mongolia chemical coke were 40.7, 35, 40.2, 37.8, 40.5, and 1110 respectively. The warehouse receipt was 76045 [9][10] Seasonal Data - The report also provides seasonal data on the market prices, basis, and futures spreads of silicon iron and silicon manganese, as well as the seasonal data of total silicon iron inventory and silicon manganese inventory [11][12][13][14][15][16][18][19][20][21][22][23][24][25][26][27][28][29][30][31][33]

观点：多单持有 南华研究院 高翔（Z0016413） 投资咨询业务资格：证监许可【2011】1290号 盘面点评： 国债期货早盘小幅低开后持续下行，跌幅不断扩大，午后价格低位企稳，尾盘回升跌幅有所收窄。长端受到 明显影响，10Y、30Y活跃券收益率均上行2bp以上。公开市场到期5448亿逆回购，日内新做1120亿，净回笼 4328亿元。资金利率小幅上行，DR001和隔夜匿名从上周1.25%回到1.3%，交易所隔夜在1.45%附近。 日内消息： 1.杭州市司法局发布公开征求《杭州市促进具身智能机器人产业发展条例（草案）》意见的公告，将具身智 能机器人产业纳入全市政策支持框架，通过制度设计增强政策合力，进一步规范产业高质量发展路径。 行情研判： 债市今天的最主要的就是受到商品行情的压制，并且盘中随着股票的拉升跌幅不断扩大。目前来看更多是情 绪影响，因为A股对反内卷的反应相对比较有限，除了锂以外相关的煤炭、钢铁板块、能化板块表现相比其他 品种都不强。而除了情绪的压制，资金中枢的反复（隔夜下到1.25%后今日回升），对周末通胀数据的理解 分歧都是多头情绪不够坚定的原因。 机构行为方面，总体来说债基依旧是净申购，但主要 ...

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints - The supply - demand fundamentals of ethylene glycol (EG) are basically stable, lacking obvious drivers, and its price trend is mainly range - bound. Although there is a cumulative inventory trend, the inventory increase is limited, and the supply - demand is in a fragile balance. With low inventory, the upward elasticity is expected to be large. Also, the coal - based profit has been compressed recently, and the downward space is expected to be limited under stable costs. It is recommended to buy EG on dips, and the entry timing should focus on commodity sentiment [3]. 3. Summary by Related Content Polyester Price and Volatility - The monthly price range forecasts are: 4200 - 4700 for ethylene glycol, 6500 - 7400 for PX, 4400 - 5300 for PTA, and 5800 - 6500 for bottle chips. The current 20 - day rolling volatilities are 9.09% for ethylene glycol, 11.78% for PX, 9.30% for PTA, and 7.92% for bottle chips. The current volatility historical percentiles (3 - year) are 1.4% for ethylene glycol, 17.7% for PX, 4.6% for PTA, and 0.9% for bottle chips [2]. Polyester Hedging Strategies - **Inventory Management**: For enterprises with high finished - product inventory worried about EG price drops, they can short EG2509 futures (25% hedging ratio, entry range 4450 - 4550), buy EG2509P4350 put options, and sell EG2509C4500 call options (50% hedging ratio, entry range 10 - 15) [2]. - **Procurement Management**: For enterprises with low procurement inventory and aiming to purchase according to orders, they can buy EG2509 futures (50% hedging ratio, entry range 4300 - 4400), sell EG2509P4350 put options (75% hedging ratio, entry range 10 - 30) to lock in procurement costs [2]. Market Influencing Factors - **Likely Positive Factor**: On August 4, the Emergency Management Department released the new "Coal Mine Safety Regulations", leading to a rebound in coal prices and an increase in costs [4]. - **Possible Negative Factor**: There is a market rumor that large filament manufacturers' FDY is suffering heavy losses and may cut production, but the implementation needs further observation [7]. Price and Spread Data on August 11, 2025 - **Price Changes**: Compared with August 8 and August 4, prices of various polyester - related products such as Brent crude oil, PX, PTA, EG, etc. have different degrees of changes. For example, Brent crude oil dropped by 0.3 dollars/barrel compared with August 8 and 2.4 dollars/barrel compared with August 4 [8]. - **Spread Changes**: Spreads such as TA1 - 5, EG1 - 5, etc. also changed. For example, TA1 - 5 month - spread increased by 2 yuan/ton compared with August 8 and decreased by 6 yuan/ton compared with August 4 [8]. Production and Sales Rates and Processing Fees - **Production and Sales Rates**: The production and sales rates of polyester products such as polyester filament, polyester staple fiber, and polyester chips have different degrees of changes. For example, the polyester filament production and sales rate increased by 24.8% compared with August 8 [9]. - **Processing Fees**: Processing fees of products such as gasoline reforming, aromatics reforming, etc. also changed. For example, the gasoline reforming spread increased by 3 dollars/ton compared with August 8 [9].

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided 2. Core Viewpoints - The urea market is influenced by frequent export news, causing price fluctuations and interfering with spot transactions. The weekend saw price softening in sensitive areas, and upstream urea factories have gradually lowered their quotes. In the medium term, the second batch of urea exports will support the demand side, and short - term inventory accumulation is unlikely. However, agricultural demand is weakening, and the fundamentals will face pressure in the second half of the year. Overall, urea has support at the bottom and resistance at the top, and the 09 contract is expected to fluctuate weakly [4]. - The confirmed urea exports strengthen the support at the bottom of the futures market, which is expected to show a wide - range oscillation pattern due to strong speculative pricing. On the other hand, domestic policy pressure, with the association requiring factories to sell urea at low prices, has a negative impact on spot sentiment [5]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Price Range Forecast | Product | Price Range Forecast (Monthly) | Current Volatility (20 - day Rolling) | Current Volatility Historical Percentile (3 years) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Urea | 1650 - 1950 | 27.16% | 62.1% | | Methanol | 2200 - 2400 | 20.01% | 51.2% | | Polypropylene | 6800 - 7400 | 10.56% | 42.2% | | Plastic | 6800 - 7400 | 15.24% | 78.5% | [3] 3.2 Urea Hedging Strategy | Behavior Guidance | Situation Analysis | Spot Exposure | Strategy Recommendation | Hedging Tool | Buying/Selling Direction | Hedging Ratio (%) | Suggested Entry Interval | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Inventory Management - High finished - product inventory, worried about urea price decline | Long | To prevent inventory losses, short urea futures to lock in profits and cover production costs; buy put options to prevent price drops and sell call options to reduce capital costs | UR2509, UR2509P1850, UR2509C1950 | Sell, Buy, Sell | 25%, 50%, - | 1800 - 1950, 15 - 20, 45 - 60 | | Procurement Management - Low procurement of regular inventory, hope to purchase according to order situations | Short | To prevent rising urea prices from increasing procurement costs, buy urea futures to lock in procurement costs in advance; sell put options to collect premiums and lock in the purchase price if the price drops | UR2509, UR2509P1750 | Buy, Sell | 50%, 75% | 1750 - 1900, 20 - 25 | [3]