Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided. 2. Core View of the Report The supply - demand contradiction of lithium carbonate remains unresolved, and the pattern of weak oscillation may continue. The expansion inertia after the Spring Festival and the current stall in demand dominate the market. The spot market has default news, and there are also some differences within the short - selling funds in the futures market. It may enter a bottom - seeking stage in the short term [2][4]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Daily Market Summary - The price of the lithium carbonate main contract on May 8 was 64,280 yuan/ton, a slight increase of 0.19% from the previous day, but it showed an oscillating downward trend in the past five days, dropping from 66,260 yuan/ton to 64,280 yuan/ton [2]. - The basis weakened significantly, reaching 2,120 yuan/ton on May 8, a decrease of 620 yuan/ton from the previous day [2]. - The position of the main contract decreased for two consecutive days, dropping to 267,396 lots (-3.43%) on May 8, while the trading volume increased significantly by 51.75% to 309,284 lots [2]. - The market price of battery - grade lithium carbonate dropped to 66,400 yuan/ton (-0.75%), and the industrial - grade lithium carbonate also declined. The price center of the industrial chain spot continued to move down [2]. - The prices of downstream products such as lithium hexafluorophosphate, power ternary materials, and lithium iron phosphate decreased by 1.09%, 0.3%, and 1.04% respectively, and the prices of electrolyte and anode materials also weakened [2]. 3.2 Industry Chain Supply - Demand and Inventory Analysis - In April, the total output of lithium carbonate decreased by 7% month - on - month but remained at a high level. The output of spodumene decreased by 16%, that of lithium mica increased by 4% month - on - month, and the output of salt lakes increased by 10% with the warming of the temperature [3]. - The price of lithium salts forced the mining end to make concessions, and severely hit the smelting demand such as toll - processing. The mining end is currently in a stage of price decline and inventory accumulation [3]. - From April 1 - 30, the retail sales of new energy passenger vehicles in the country were 922,000 units, a year - on - year increase of 37% and a month - on - month decrease of 7%; the wholesale volume of manufacturers was 1.142 million units, a year - on - year increase of 41% and a month - on - month increase of 1% [3]. 3.3 Industry Chain Price Monitoring - On May 8, 2025, compared with May 7, 2025, the price of the lithium carbonate main contract increased by 0.19%, the basis decreased by 22.63%, the main contract position decreased by 3.43%, and the main contract trading volume increased by 51.75%. The market price of battery - grade lithium carbonate decreased by 0.75%, while the prices of spodumene concentrate and lithium mica concentrate remained unchanged. The prices of lithium hexafluorophosphate, power ternary materials, and lithium iron phosphate decreased by 1.09%, 0.3%, and 1.04% respectively [6]. - From May 2 to April 25, 2025, the capacity utilization rate of lithium carbonate decreased by 0.48% [6]. 3.4 Industry Dynamics and Interpretation - On May 8, the SMM battery - grade lithium carbonate index price was 65,346 yuan/ton, a decrease of 1415 yuan/ton from the previous working day. The average price of battery - grade lithium carbonate was 65,250 yuan/ton, and that of industrial - grade lithium carbonate was 63,600 yuan/ton, both decreasing by 1400 yuan/ton. Due to high inventory and weak downstream procurement, the spot price of lithium carbonate continued to fall [7]. - From April 1 - 27, the retail sales of new energy passenger vehicles in the country were 728,000 units, a year - on - year increase of 24% and a month - on - month decrease of 10%, with a retail penetration rate of 52.3%. The wholesale volume of manufacturers was 846,000 units, a year - on - year increase of 25% and a month - on - month decrease of 6%, with a wholesale penetration rate of 53.9% [8]. 3.5 Industry Chain Data Charts The report provides multiple data charts, including those on lithium carbonate futures main contract and basis, battery - grade and industrial - grade lithium carbonate prices, lithium concentrate prices, lithium hexafluorophosphate and electrolyte prices, ternary precursor prices, ternary material prices, lithium iron phosphate prices, lithium carbonate inventory, lithium carbonate operating rate, and cell selling prices [9][14][17][19][21][22][24][26][28].

原油燃料油日报：供需宽松叠加库存压力，原油延续低位震荡 态势 一、日度市场总结 日度市场总结（2025年5月8日） 数据变化分析 期货价格：SC原油价格小幅回落，5月8日报461.0元/桶，较前日下跌7.2元 （-1.54%），盘中波动区间[458.9,483.6]，显示市场情绪偏弱；WTI与Brent价 格维持稳定，分别持平于57.95美元/桶和60.95美元/桶，短期缺乏明确方向。 价差变动：SC-Brent和SC-WTI价差分别走弱1.09美元/桶，至2.76和5.76美元/ 桶，反映SC相对国际油价的贴水扩大；SC连-连3价差走强2.1元至14.5元/桶， 近月合约支撑增强。 供需及库存分析 供给端：OPEC+成员国伊拉克（5月8日资讯）调整6月亚洲原油定价策略，重 质原油贴水扩大至2.70美元/桶，或反映亚洲炼厂对重质原油需求疲软；伊朗重 申支持OPEC+减产协议，但美国康菲石油（5月8日）因油价跌破60美元/桶削减 支出，暗示页岩油产量增速受限。此外，中俄能源合作深化可能长期支撑供应 稳定性。 需求端：美国汽油库存意外上升（5月8日外媒报道）压制市场情绪，叠加4月中 国地炼汽柴油订单环比减少22. ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant information provided. 2. Core Viewpoints - PX and PTA prices rebounded after a decline. Short - term geopolitical tensions led to an oil price rebound, strengthening cost support. With reduced supply pressure and increased polyester demand, there is an upward repair momentum for short - term valuations [3]. - The price of MEG maintained a volatile pattern. Supply increased slightly, demand from polyester and printing and dyeing industries rose, import arrivals decreased significantly, but the visible inventory did not decline, so the overall valuation remained volatile [4]. - PF and PR prices followed the cost increase. Production and operating rates of domestic polyester staple fiber and polyester bottle - chips increased, but demand did not improve significantly, and the spot trading atmosphere was weak. Short - term attention should be paid to cost changes [5]. 3. Summary by Catalog 3.1 PX & PTA - **PX**: Cost - end support strengthened. Geopolitical tensions caused a short - term oil price rebound, while the long - term supply of crude oil remained loose. The domestic PX plant operating rate was 73% (down 1.4% month - on - month), and the Asian operating rate was 67.9% (down 3.3% month - on - month) [3]. - **PTA**: The processing fee declined, and the operating rate was around 75.6% (down 7.6%). Some devices were adjusted, with some in maintenance and others restarting. Factory inventory and warehouse receipts decreased, and polyester operating rates remained stable while weaving and printing and dyeing operating rates recovered [3][43]. 3.2 MEG - The price of MEG maintained a volatile pattern. As of May 8, the overall operating load in mainland China was 68.99% (up 0.56%), and the operating load of ethylene glycol produced by the oxalic acid catalytic hydrogenation method (syngas) was 66.75% (up 4.54%). The operating rates of polyester and printing and dyeing industries increased slightly. The planned arrival at the main port from May 6 - 11 was about 5.9 million tons, a significant decrease in imports. As of May 6, the port inventory in the East China main port area was about 79 million tons (down 1 million tons), and the visible inventory did not decline [4]. 3.3 PF & PR - The prices of PF and PR followed the cost increase. The domestic polyester staple fiber production this week was expected to be around 166,700 tons, and the industry operating rate increased slightly to around 83.93%. The weekly production of polyester bottle - chips was about 346,558 tons, an increase of 2,762 tons from last week, and the industry operating rate was 87.57%, up 0.70%. The weekly inventory of staple fiber factories was 343,600 tons (up 3.59% month - on - month), and the weekly inventory of bottle - chip factories was 231,300 tons (up 2.17% month - on - month) [5].

能源化工 通惠期货•研发产品系列 成本：布油主力合约收盘 61.1 美元/桶（-1.1 美元/桶），WTI 原油主力合约收盘 58.1 美元/桶（-1.0 美元/桶）。5 月 8 日华东纯苯现货报价 5605 元/吨（-55 元/吨）。 库存：苯乙烯样本工厂库存 21.0 万吨（-0.6 万吨），环比小幅下降 2.97%，江苏 港口库存 6.85 万吨（-1.67 万吨），环比下降 19.6%，苯乙烯库存持续去化，现货流动 性继续收紧。 供应：苯乙烯检修装置逐渐回归，供应有增量预期。受部分装置重启影响，节前 苯乙烯周产量环比提升 3.77%至 32.29 万吨（+1.17 万吨），工厂产能利用率 70.5% （+2.6%）。 需求：下游 3S 开工率劳动节期间变化不一，其中 EPS 产能利用率 48.7%（- 8.3%），ABS 产能利用率 67.1%（+2.1%），PS 产能利用率 58.7%（环比不变）。整体而言 下游需求走弱。 2025 年 5 月 9 日 星期五 苯乙烯日报：中美高层会晤近日进行，市场震荡等候方向 一、 日度市场总结 通惠期货研发部 （1）基本面 价格：5 月 8 日苯乙烯主力合约收跌 ...

能源化工 通惠期货•研发产品系列 原油、燃料油日报 2025 年 4 月 28 日 星期一 地缘局势尚无明显好转，油价维持窄幅震荡 一、 日度市场总结 通惠期货研发部 李英杰 从业编号：F03115367 投资咨询：Z0019145 手机：18516056442 liyingjie@thqh.com.cn www.thqh.com.cn 美伊第三轮谈判结束，伊朗外长称美伊之间有一些分歧非常严重，但特朗普政府 官员则宣称会议是"积极且富有成效的"。内盘，4 月 25 日 SC 主力合约涨幅 1.14%， 报 496.1 元/桶；夜盘 SC 收跌于 492.6 元/桶。外盘，4 月 25 日 WTI 收涨 0.40 美元/ 桶，报 63.17 美元/桶；Brent 收涨 0.18 美元/桶，报 65.83 美元/桶。 宏观面，特朗普政府的关税政策正从"全面施压"转向"选择性缓和"，中美博 弈进入战略相持阶段，虽然特朗普主动示好，表示将大幅下调对中国关税，并反复强 调正在积极跟中国就关税进行谈判，当地时间 25 日，美国总统特朗普对记者表示，除 非中国做出实质性让步，否则不会取消对华加征的关税。对此，中方回应双方并 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content found 2. Core View of the Report - The consumption of lithium carbonate has not received clear policy support, and the futures and spot markets still lack positive factors. The lithium carbonate market remains in a state of continuous inventory accumulation [1]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Daily Market Summary - On April 25, the lithium carbonate futures fluctuated narrowly below 70,000 yuan. The main contract LC2507 closed at 68,180 yuan/ton, down 0.18% from the previous trading day's close. The spot price of lithium carbonate was loose and fluctuated at a low level, with the average transaction price of battery-grade lithium carbonate down 100 yuan/ton from the previous trading day [1]. - According to SMM data, the weekly output of lithium carbonate in the week of April 25 was 16,900 tons, a 2.81% decrease from the previous week, but still at a relatively high historical level. As of the week of April 25, the weekly inventory of lithium carbonate was 131,864 tons, a 0.20% increase from the previous week. Meanwhile, the weekly output of lithium iron phosphate batteries was 17.37 GWh, a 10.71% increase from the previous week [1]. - According to the Passenger Car Association, from April 1 - 20, the retail sales of the new energy vehicle market increased by 20% year-on-year but decreased by 11% month-on-month. The wholesale of new energy vehicles by national passenger car manufacturers increased by 23% year-on-year but decreased by 7% month-on-month [1]. 3.2 Lithium Carbonate Price Monitoring - **Futures Data**: The main contract price of lithium carbonate decreased from 68,300 yuan/ton on April 24 to 68,180 yuan/ton on April 25, a decrease of 120 yuan/ton or 0.18%. The open interest of the main contract increased by 4,914 lots to 217,370 lots, a 2.31% increase. The trading volume increased by 3,793 lots to 108,177 lots, a 3.63% increase. The number of lithium carbonate futures warehouse receipts increased by 240 to 31,795, a 0.76% increase [3]. - **Spot Data**: The market price of battery-grade lithium carbonate remained unchanged at 69,600 yuan/ton on April 25 compared to April 24. The market price of lithium spodumene concentrate and lithium mica concentrate remained unchanged at 790 yuan/ton-degree and 930 yuan/ton-degree respectively. The price of lithium hexafluorophosphate decreased by 200 yuan/ton to 57,800 yuan/ton, a 0.34% decrease. The prices of power-type ternary materials and power-type lithium iron phosphate decreased slightly [5]. - **Weekly Data**: The capacity utilization rate of lithium carbonate decreased by 0.1 percentage points to 62.6%. The weekly output of lithium carbonate decreased by 488 tons to 16,900 tons, a 2.81% decrease. The output of lithium iron phosphate batteries increased by 1.68 GWh to 17.37 GWh, a 10.71% increase. The inventory of lithium carbonate increased by 259 tons to 131,864 tons, a 0.20% increase [5]. 3.3 Industry Dynamics and Interpretation - **Spot Market Quotations**: On April 25, the spot price of battery-grade lithium carbonate was reported at 68,200 - 71,400 yuan/ton, with an average price of 69,800 yuan/ton, down 100 yuan/ton from the previous trading day [6]. - **Downstream Consumption**: From April 1 - 20, the retail sales of the national passenger car new energy market were 478,000 units, a 20% year-on-year increase but an 11% month-on-month decrease. The wholesale of new energy vehicles by national passenger car manufacturers was 530,000 units, a 23% year-on-year increase but a 7% month-on-month decrease [7]. - **Industry News**: Kodal Minerals' Bougouni lithium project in southern Mali is nearing completion, and it has produced over 11,000 tons of lithium spodumene concentrate. Trump announced a 25% tariff on imported cars, which took effect on April 2. Tianhua New Energy's subsidiary obtained a mining license for a ceramic clay (lithium-containing) mine. Sibanye Stillwater terminated its lithium project in Nevada. China discovered a 2,800-kilometer lithium deposit, increasing its global lithium reserves share from 6% to 16.5%. Keliyuan's Yichun lithium mine expanded its production capacity [8][9][10]. 3.4 Industrial Chain Data Charts - The report includes multiple charts showing the price trends of lithium carbonate futures, battery-grade and industrial-grade lithium carbonate, lithium concentrate, lithium hexafluorophosphate, ternary precursors, ternary materials, lithium iron phosphate, as well as the inventory, output, and capacity utilization rate of lithium carbonate, and the output of batteries [11][17][19].

能源化工 乙二醇日报 通惠期货研发产品系列 2025 年 4 月 28 日 星期一 乙二醇近期供需矛盾不大，库存回升压制反弹高度 一、日度市场总结 李英杰 从业编号：F03115367 投资咨询：Z0019145 手机：18516056442 liyingjie@thqh.com.cn www.thqh.com.cn 上周五，乙二醇华东现货价格4205元/吨，较前一日下跌60元 /吨。主力合约收盘 4179 元/吨，较前一交易下跌 1.67%。基差为 41 元/吨。 成本端，特朗普称对中国关税将会大幅下降，市场担忧情绪缓 解。WTI原油主力收63.17美元/桶，布油收65.83美元/桶。供给端， 内蒙古中化学30万吨装置重启推迟至4月中旬，此前该装置于3月23 日附近停车。上海石化38万吨装置预计4月底重启，此前主产环氧。 新疆一套40万吨装置因故于3月20日停车，初步预计7月份重启。沙 特一套70万吨装置计划于4月中前后开始停车检修，预计检修两个 月左右。上海石化38万吨产能预计4月份重启，镇海炼化原计划3月 底重启，现推迟至年底，陕西榆林化学有两条线计划4月份检修。 乐天美国70万吨产能计划4月份检修，马 ...

能源化工 聚酯日报 通惠期货研发产品系列 2025 年 4 月 28 日 星期一 成本端支撑走强带动聚酯原料偏强运行，关注需求端边际变化 1. PX & PTA 上周五，PX 主力合约 PX2509 收 6230 元/吨，较前一交易日上涨 1.04%，基差为-297 元/吨。PTA 主力合约 PTA2509 收 4400 元/吨，较前 一交易日上涨 0.69%,基差为 80 元/吨。 成本端，特朗普称对中国关税将会大幅下降，市场担忧情绪缓解。 WTI 原油主力收 63.17 美元/桶，布油收 65.83 美元/桶。供应端，PX：中 海油惠州 150 万吨 3 月 29 日检修 50 天左右，扬子石化重整检修至 5 月 上旬，PX 有降负预期，天津石化 PX 计划 6-7 月份检修，海南炼化计划 4- 5 月检修，浙石化 250 万吨装置已重启，盛虹炼化 400 万吨原计划 4 月检 修，目前推迟至 5 月。PX 国内装置开工率为 73.2%，亚洲开工率为 68.6%。 PTA：台化兴业 150 万吨计划 5 月 6 日检修，逸盛大连 225 万吨计划 4 月 26 日检修 6 周，另 375 万吨 4 月 2 ...

能源化工 聚酯日报 通惠期货研发产品系列 2025 年 4 月 25 日 星期五 成本端油价存在技术面修复，利空情绪出尽后 PX、PTA 或上行 昨日，短纤主力合约PF2506收6028元/吨，较前一交易日下跌1.05%。 华东市场主流价为 6280 元/吨，较前一日下跌 20 元/吨，基差为 262 元/ 吨。国内涤纶短纤产量在 16.31 万吨左右，较上周总量上涨 1.19%。本周 涤纶短纤行业开工 82.11%，较上周开工上涨 0.96%。国内终端织造平均 订单天数约为 8.66 天，较上周减少 0.3 天。 通惠期货研发部 一、日度市场总结 1. PX & PTA 昨日，PX主力合约PX2509收6166元/吨，较前一交易日下跌0.93%， 基差为-231 元/吨。PTA 主力合约 PTA2509 收 4370 元/吨，较前一交易日 下跌 0.86%,基差为-10 元/吨。 成本端，特朗普称对中国关税将会大幅下降，市场担忧情绪缓解。 WTI 原油主力收 62.77 美元/桶，布油收 65.6 美元/桶。供应端，PX：盛 虹炼化 400 万吨装置 4 月有重整计划，预计 PX 降负荷，扬子石化重整检 修 ...

OPEC成员国公开拒绝执行补偿性减产，供应过剩担忧再起 李英杰 从业编号：F03115367 投资咨询：Z0019145 手机：18516056442 liyingjie@thqh.com.cn 1 周度总结 原油： 【价格】过去一周国际原油市场呈现先扬后抑的震荡走势，政策与地缘的双向扰动主导本周油价。具体来看，期初OPEC+成员国提交 补偿性减产计划、美国为获取谈判筹码再次对伊朗实施制裁、特朗普放弃寻求解雇美联储主席鲍威尔，共同推动油价走高，WTI原油 主力合约冲高至64.87美元/桶。期末哈萨克斯坦能源部长公开拒绝执行OPEC+补偿性减产，且消息人士称OPEC+或于6月加速增产，市 场对供应过剩担忧再起，WTI迅速回落至62.76美元/桶，总体来看，全周呈现"急涨急跌"形态。 【供应】哈萨克斯坦能源部长公开表示，该国石油产量将优先考虑国家利益而非OPEC+配额，并强调其三大油田由外资控制无法实施 减产。数据显示，该国4月原油产量已达185万桶/日，较OPEC+配额（146.8万桶/日）超产26%。这立刻引发市场对OPEC+减产协议执 行力的信任危机。同时消息人士称部分OPEC+成员国拟在6月进一步扩大增产 ...