Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided on the report industry investment rating Group 2: Core Viewpoints of the Report - The current profit per catty of eggs is in a state of loss or flat, and the downward space of the futures price on the disk is expected to be relatively limited. The upward space of the contracts in August and September in the second half of the year will depend on the future volume of culled chickens. If the volume of culled chickens remains high, the upward space will be relatively large; if the volume of culled chickens fails to maintain, the contracts in August and September may be slightly stronger in a volatile manner [9] Group 3: Summary by Relevant Catalogs 1. Fundamental Information - The average price in the main production areas today is 2.58 yuan per catty, and the average price in the main sales areas is 2.79 yuan per catty, both remaining unchanged from the previous trading day. The mainstream prices across the country are mostly stable today [6] - In June, the national laying hen inventory was 1.34 billion, an increase of 60 million from the previous month and a year-on-year increase of 6.7%, higher than expected. The monthly output of laying hen chicks in the sample enterprises monitored by Zhuochuang Information in June was 40.75 million, a month-on-month decrease of 9% and a year-on-year increase of 1.9% [7] - From June 27th, the national slaughter volume of laying hens in the main production areas was 18.41 million, a decrease of 6% from the previous week. As of June 26th, the average slaughter age of culled chickens was 508 days, a decrease of 1 day from the previous week [7] - As of June 26th, the sales volume of eggs in the representative sales areas across the country was 7,937 tons, a 5% increase from the previous week [8] - As of June 26th, the average weekly inventory in the production link was 1.12 days, an increase of 0.1 days from the previous week, and the average weekly inventory in the circulation link was 1.22 days, an increase of 0.18 days from the previous week [8] - As of June 26th, the average weekly profit per catty of eggs was -0.41 yuan per catty, a decrease of 0.08 yuan per catty from the previous week. On June 20th, the expected profit of laying hen farming was 14.6 yuan per bird, a decrease of 0.09 yuan per catty from the previous week [8] - Today, the price of culled chickens across the country has decreased, with the average price in the main production areas at 4.57 yuan per catty, a decrease of 0.02 yuan per catty from the previous trading day [8] 2. Trading Logic - The current profit per catty of eggs is in a state of loss or flat, and the downward space of the futures price on the disk is expected to be relatively limited. The upward space of the contracts in August and September in the second half of the year will depend on the future volume of culled chickens [9] 3. Trading Strategies - Unilateral: Consider building long positions in the far-month August and September contracts when the rainy season is about to end and the safety margin is relatively high [10] - Arbitrage: Wait and see [10] - Options: Sell put options [10]

大宗商品研究所 贵金属研发报告 贵金属衍生品日报 2025 年 7 月 10 日 研究所副所长：车红云 期货从业证号：F03088215 投资咨询号：Z0017510 研究员：王露晨 CFA 期货从业证号：F03110758 投资咨询号：Z0021675 联系方式： 上海：021-65789219 北京：010-68569781 邮箱： wangluchen_qh@chinastock.co m.cn 贵金属衍生品日报 【市场回顾】 1.贵金属市场：今天白天，贵金属小幅反弹。伦敦金震荡走高，当前交投于 3323 美元附近，伦敦银则交投于 36.5 美元附近。受外盘驱动，沪金主力合约收涨 0.49%，报 773.3 元/克，沪银主力合约收涨 0.22%，报 8919 元/千克。 2.美元指数：美元指数低开后窄幅波动，当前交投于 97.45 附近。 3.美债收益率：10 年美债收益率窄幅波动，当前交投于 4.35%附近。 4.人民币汇率：人民币兑美元汇率高位震荡，当前交投于 7.177 附近。 【重要资讯】 1.特朗普政府动向：①7 月 9 日，特朗普再向 8 国发出关税信函：自 8 月 1 日 起，美国将对菲律 ...

大宗商品研究所 农产品研发报告 农产品日报 2024 年 07 月 10 日 研究员：刘倩楠 期货从业证号： F3013727 投资咨询证号： Z0014425 联系方式： :liuqiannan_qh@chinas tock.com.cn 苹果日报 第一部分 市场信息 | 现货价格 | 2 | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 指标 | 今日价格 | 上一工作日价 | 器跌 | 指标 | 今日价格 | 上一工作日份 | 涨跌 | | 格 | | | | | | 格 | | | 富士苹果价格指数 | 110.52 | 112.49 | -1.97 | 洛川半商品纸袋70 | 4.80 | 4.80 | 0.00 | | 栖霞 一、二级纸袋 80 | 4.10 | 4.10 | 0.00 | 沂源纸袋70 | 2.40 | 2.40 | 0.00 | | 蓬莱一、二级纸袋 80 | 4.20 | 4.20 | 0.00 | 6种水果平均批发价 | 7.38 | 7.29 | 0.09 | | 期货价格 | | | | ...

大宗商品研究所 农产品研发报告 农产品日报 2024 年 07 月 10 日 研究员：刘倩楠 期货从业证号： F3013727 投资咨询证号： Z0014425 联系方式： :liuqiannan_qh@chinas tock.com.cn 棉花、棉纱日报 第一部分 市场信息 | 期货盘面 | 收盘 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量(手) | 增减幅 | 空盘量 | 增减量 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | CF01合约 | 13810 | 25 | 46,617 | -12586 | 209,136 | 4031 | | CF05合约 | 13790 | 20 | 1,938 | 1003 | 10,066 | 1058 | | CF09合约 | 13865 | 35 | 210,238 | -5754 | 551,136 | 4373 | | CY01合约 | 19980 | 25 | 31 | 22 | 79 | 1 | | CY05合约 | 19915 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | | CY09合约 | 20030 | 45 | 706 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The container shipping market's EC盘面 maintains an overall volatile trend, with spot freight rates remaining relatively firm. The market is still speculating on the timing of the freight rate peak and the subsequent decline rate. Attention should be paid to tariff policies and geopolitical dynamics [4][5]. - The dry - bulk shipping market shows that large - vessel market is expected to be weakly volatile in the short term, while the medium - vessel market is expected to be strongly volatile. The tense situation in the Red Sea may increase shipping costs [15][19]. - In the tanker shipping market, short - term freight rate increases are mainly due to geopolitical conflict premiums. The impact of market sentiment changes on freight rates needs further attention [23]. 3. Summary by Directory Container Shipping Market Analysis and Strategy Recommendation - **Market Performance**: On July 10, EC2508 closed at 2022.5 points, up 0.5% from the previous day. The latest SCFIS European line reported 2258.04 points on July 10, up 6.3% month - on - month, and the SCFI European line reported $2101/TEU on July 4, up 3.5% month - on - month [2][4]. - **Logic Analysis**: Mainstream shipping companies' quotes are differentiated. The demand side is in the traditional peak season from July to August, but the impact of tariff policies on the shipping rhythm needs attention. The supply side shows that the weekly average capacity in July, August, and September 2025 is 284,900/289,500/298,700 TEU respectively, and the capacity in August and September has increased slightly compared to the previous schedule. Trump extended the tariff exemption period to August 1 and announced new tariffs on multiple countries [5]. - **Trading Strategy**: Unilateral trading should be volatile, focusing on tariffs and geopolitical dynamics. For arbitrage, conduct rolling operations on the 10 - 12 reverse spread [6]. Industry News - Trump plans to impose a 50% tariff on Brazil and will soon announce tariffs on semiconductors. He also issued trade letters to multiple countries on the 9th, announcing tariff rates on various countries' products [8]. - The EU aims to reach a trade agreement with the US before August 1. The EU is ready to take counter - measures, with the first phase to take effect on July 14 [9]. - HD Korea Shipbuilding & Marine Engineering received contracts for 4 container ships worth approximately $610 million, and Navios Maritime Partners will sign a series of new container shipbuilding orders with HJ Shipbuilding worth about $460 million [9]. - Regarding the Red Sea situation, Israel and Hamas are in cease - fire negotiations, and Trump said there is a high possibility of resolving the Gaza issue this week [10][11]. Dry - bulk Shipping Market Analysis and Outlook - **Freight Index**: The Baltic Dry Index (BDI) fell to 1423 points, down 0.6%, the Capesize Index (BCI) fell 5.5% to 1654 points, the Panamax Index (BPI) rose 3.3% to 1621 points, and the Handysize Index (BSI) rose 2.3% to 1151 points [14][15]. - **Spot Freight Rates**: On July 9, the freight rate for the Brazil Tubarao - Qingdao (BCI - C3) route was $18.43/ton, down 0.11% month - on - month, and the West Australia - Qingdao (BCI - C5) route was $7.32/ton, down 2.66% month - on - month. As of July 4, the weekly freight rates for some routes showed different changes [15][16]. - **Shipping Data**: From June 30 to July 6, 2025, the global iron ore shipping volume decreased by 362,700 tons month - on - month. In June 2025, Brazil shipped 13.4203 million tons of soybeans in 20 working days, compared with 13.9596 million tons in July last year [17]. - **News**: The situation in the Red Sea is tense, with two bulk carriers attacked and sunk, which may increase the Red Sea detour ratio and shipping costs. Vietnam imposed a final anti - dumping duty of 23.01 - 27.83% on Chinese hot - rolled coils from July 6, 2025 [17][18]. Industry News - In June 2025, Vietnam's coal imports were 6.4568 million tons, up 1.44% year - on - year and down 10.38% month - on - month. From January to June, the cumulative coal imports were 38.0258 million tons, up 13.75% year - on - year [20]. - Trump issued tariff letters to 8 countries on July 9, with tariff rates ranging from 20% to 50% [20]. Tanker Shipping Market Analysis and Outlook - **Freight Rates**: On July 9, the Baltic Dirty Tanker Index (BDTI) was 932, down 0.32% month - on - month and 12.41% year - on - year. The Baltic Clean Tanker Index (BCTI) was 537, up 0.56% month - on - month and down 36.75% year - on - year. The BDTI has declined recently, and the upward driving force of freight rates mainly comes from geopolitical conflict premiums [22][23]. Industry News - As of the week of July 9, Singapore's middle distillate inventory decreased by 149,000 barrels, light distillate inventory decreased by 368,000 barrels, and fuel oil inventory increased by 1.328 million barrels [24]. - In early July, the shipping prices of gasoline and diesel were supported but not significantly boosted. The new shipping orders of gasoline and diesel decreased or remained flat. The prices of 92 gasoline, 95 gasoline, and diesel showed a downward trend [24]. - OPEC restricted five major news agencies from participating in the oil industry conference, raising concerns about the transparency of the global energy market [24][25].

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided. 2. Core View of the Report - Short - term, the prices of oils and fats are expected to fluctuate within a narrow range. The market for each type of oil has its own supply - demand characteristics, which will affect their price trends [6][7][11][13]. 3. Summary by Directory First Part: Data Analysis - **Spot Prices and Basis**: - For soybean oil, the 2509 closing price was 7944, up 24. In different regions, spot prices varied, and basis in Zhangjiagang, Guangdong, and Tianjin were 210, 200, and 170 respectively, with changes of - 10, - 30, and 10 [4]. - For palm oil, the 2509 closing price was 8638, down 40. Spot prices in different regions also differed, and basis in Zhangjiagang, Tianjin, and Guangzhou were 60, 150, and 200 respectively, with changes of 0, 0, and - 20 [4]. - For rapeseed oil, the 2509 closing price was 9468, down 42. Spot prices and basis in different regions were reported, such as a basis of 130 in Zhangjiagang and 60 in Guangdong with no change [4]. - **Monthly Spread Closing Prices**: - The 9 - 1 monthly spread of soybean oil was 22, up 18; for palm oil, it was 22, down 10; for rapeseed oil, it was 56, down 4 [4]. - **Weekly Commercial Inventory (Week 27, 2025)**: - Soybean oil inventory was 102.0 (previous week: 95.5), palm oil was 53.8 (previous week: 53.7), and rapeseed oil was 71.9 (previous week data not shown in this part) [8]. Second Part: Fundamental Analysis - **International Market (Palm Oil)**: - In June 2025, Malaysia's palm oil inventory was 2030580 tons, up 2.41% month - on - month; production was 1692310 tons, down 4.48% month - on - month; exports were 1259354 tons, down 10.52% month - on - month [6]. - **Domestic Market**: - **Palm Oil**: The MPOB June report had a neutral - to - bearish impact. As of July 4, 2025, the national key - area commercial inventory was 53.81 tons, up 0.07 tons (0.13%) from the previous week. The import profit inversion narrowed, and the market was expected to fluctuate narrowly [6]. - **Soybean Oil**: The futures price rose slightly. The actual soybean crushing volume was 233.22 tons, with an operating rate of 65.56%. As of July 4, 2025, the national key - area commercial inventory was 101.97 tons, up 6.45 tons (6.75%) from the previous week. The market was expected to remain volatile [7]. - **Rapeseed Oil**: The futures price fell slightly. The coastal rapeseed crushing volume last week was 4.7 tons, with an operating rate of 12.53%. As of July 4, 2025, the coastal inventory was 71.9 tons, down 2.8 tons from the previous week. The import profit inversion narrowed, and the market was expected to have large - range fluctuations [11]. Third Part: Trading Strategies - **Unilateral**: Short - term, oils and fats are expected to fluctuate within a narrow range [13]. - **Arbitrage**: Consider widening the P9 - 1 and P1 - 5 spreads on pullbacks [14]. - **Options**: Adopt a wait - and - see approach [15]. Fourth Part: Relevant Attachments - Multiple charts are provided, including those showing the basis of different oils in different regions, monthly spreads, and cross - variety spreads over different time periods, with data sources from Galaxy Futures, Bangcheng, and WIND [18][21].

工业硅周报:短多长空，关注西北电价情况 研究员：陈寒松 期货从业证号：F03129697 投资咨询证号：Z0020351 目录 | 第一章 | 综合分析与交易策略 | 3 | | --- | --- | --- | | 第二章 | 核心逻辑分析 | 5 | | 第三章 | 周度数据追踪 | 11 | GALAXY FUTURES 2 工业硅综合分析与交易策略 【综合分析】 龙头大厂减产幅度接近40%，月度产量降低6万吨，西南硅厂复产35-40台小型矿热炉，月度产量增加4万吨左右， 月度总产量降2万吨。7月多晶硅最大复产产能超过30万吨，工业硅月度需求最多增加2万吨左右。工业硅龙头大厂不复 产的背景下7月工业硅去库3万吨左右。期货价格上涨至8000以上套保厂家增加，龙头大厂具有较大的成本优势，除非 有不可控因素，未来复产是其最优选择。工业硅8000元/吨以上价格的上涨更多受情绪影响，且价格一旦超过8500元/ 吨，西南工业硅厂家套保将使得丰水期工业硅供应超预期增加。从交易角度来看，短期受市场情绪影响或偏强。但中长 期策略依旧建议空配，倘若龙头大厂一直未复产，则中长期工业硅走势可能为震荡偏弱。倘若龙头大厂复产，则 ...

大宗商品研究所 农产品研发报告 玉米淀粉日报 2025 年 7 月 10 日 第一部分 数据 2025/7/10 收盘价 涨跌 涨跌幅 成交量 增减幅 持仓量 增减幅 2235 1 0.04% 24,744 -11.06% 131,680 2.56% 2268 4 0.18% 2,579 -44.93% 24,674 2.65% 2320 1 0.04% 382,569 -5.37% 1,005,818 1.15% 2624 4 0.15% 6,558 122.31% 8,927 7.54% 2653 6 0.23% 25 16.00% 242 6.14% 2677 0 0.00% 89,551 -2.93% 239,427 3.63% 青冈 嘉吉生化 诸城兴贸 寿光 锦州港 南通港 广东港口 2265 2260 2534 2466 2370 2490 2460 -5 0 0 -4 -10 0 0 -55 -60 214 146 50 170 140 龙凤 中粮 嘉吉 玉峰 金玉米 诸城兴贸 恒仁工贸 2800 2800 2850 3020 2950 2980 2960 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 147 1 ...

大宗商品研究所 农产品研发报告 花生日报 2025 年 7 月 10 日 | 研究员：刘大勇 | | --- | 期货从业证号： F03107370 投资咨询证号： Z0018389 联系方式： :liudayong_qh@chinastck .c om.cn | 花生数据日报 | | | | | | | 2025/7/10 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 期货盘面 | | | | | | | | | 期货 | 收盘价 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量 | 增减幅 | 持仓量 | 增减幅 | | PK504 | 7972 | 26 | 0.33% | 6 | 200.00% | 142 | 1.43% | | PK510 | 8188 | 12 | 0.15% | 26,187 | -46.04% | 100,033 | -3.44% | | PK601 | 7970 | 10 | 0.13% | 1,051 | -46.54% | 8,040 | 3.88% | | 现货与基差 | | | | | | | | | 现货 | 河南南阳 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content 2. Report Core View - The report presents the daily data of stock index futures including IM, IF, IC, and IH on July 10, 2025, covering their market quotes, trading volume, open interest, basis, and positions of major seats [4][21][39][53] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 IM Index Futures - **Market Quotes**: The closing price of the CSI 1000 index was 6406.57, up 0.25%. The main contract IM2509 rose 0.19% to 6231.6 points. The total trading volume of the four contracts was 168,165 lots, an increase of 5,777 lots from the previous day, and the total open interest was 333,057 lots, an increase of 11,313 lots [4][5] - **Basis**: The main contract was at a discount of 174.97 points, up 1.5 points from the previous day, with an annualized basis rate of -14.23% [5] - **Positions of Major Seats**: In IM2507, the top five trading volume seats were led by CITIC Futures (on behalf of clients) with 29,040 lots. For long positions, Guotai Junan (on behalf of clients) held 21,994 lots, and for short positions, CITIC Futures (on behalf of clients) held 34,821 lots [17] 3.2 IF Index Futures - **Market Quotes**: The closing price of the SSE 300 index was 4010.02, up 0.47%. The main contract IF2509 rose 0.38% to 3972 points. The total trading volume of the four contracts was 97,027 lots, an increase of 14,938 lots from the previous day, and the total open interest was 258,020 lots, an increase of 11,835 lots [21][22] - **Basis**: The main contract was at a discount of 38.02 points, up 0.58 points from the previous day, with an annualized basis rate of -4.85% [22] - **Positions of Major Seats**: In IF2507, the top five trading volume seats were led by CITIC Futures (on behalf of clients) with 11,334 lots. For long positions, Guotai Junan (on behalf of clients) held 9,457 lots, and for short positions, CITIC Futures (on behalf of clients) held 13,611 lots [35] 3.3 IC Index Futures - **Market Quotes**: The closing price of the CSI 500 index was 5983.05, up 0.50%. The main contract IC2509 rose 0.42% to 5854.2 points. The total trading volume of the four contracts was 73,407 lots, an increase of 2,623 lots from the previous day, and the total open interest was 227,469 lots, an increase of 5,291 lots [39][40] - **Basis**: The main contract was at a discount of 128.85 points, up 1.24 points from the previous day, with an annualized basis rate of -11.16% [40] - **Positions of Major Seats**: In IC2507, the top five trading volume seats were led by Guotai Junan (on behalf of clients) with 9,878 lots. For long positions, CITIC Futures (on behalf of clients) held 15,111 lots, and for short positions, CITIC Futures (on behalf of clients) held 16,422 lots [48] 3.4 IH Index Futures - **Market Quotes**: The closing price of the SSE 50 index was 2756.93, up 0.62%. The main contract IH2509 rose 0.49% to 2740.4 points. The total trading volume of the four contracts was 56,248 lots, an increase of 13,869 lots from the previous day, and the total open interest was 95,486 lots, an increase of 9,632 lots [53] - **Basis**: The main contract was at a discount of 16.53 points, down 0.61 points from the previous day, with an annualized basis rate of -3.06% [54] - **Positions of Major Seats**: In IH2507, the top five trading volume seats were led by CITIC Futures (on behalf of clients) with 6,558 lots. For long positions, CITIC Futures (on behalf of clients) held 4,506 lots, and for short positions, Guotai Junan (on behalf of clients) held 5,852 lots [64]