Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the technology sector, particularly on companies involved in AI infrastructure and applications, suggesting a focus on NVIDIA, Broadcom, SanDisk, Micron, and Lumentum [4][19]. Core Insights - The report highlights that recent fluctuations in the US technology sector are more related to valuation corrections and liquidity tightening rather than fundamental changes. Revenue growth rates for leading tech companies are in line with expectations, and the return on investment (ROI) for AI continues to accelerate [4][19]. - NVIDIA is expected to report a revenue of $55.1 billion for FY26Q3, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 57%, with data center revenue projected at $49.1 billion. The company is seen as maintaining high demand and growth potential in the AI infrastructure cycle [2][11]. Summary by Sections Section 1: Key US Technology Company Dynamics - CoreWeave reported a Q3 revenue of $1.4 billion, a 134% year-on-year increase, driven by strong demand for AI training and inference. The company’s order backlog reached $55.6 billion, nearly doubling from Q2, with a record RPO of $50 billion [6][8]. - Nebius achieved a Q3 revenue of $14.6 million, a 355% year-on-year increase, primarily driven by contracts with Microsoft and Meta. The company has adjusted its 2025 revenue guidance to $500-550 million [6][9]. - OKLO experienced an expanded Q3 operating loss of $36.3 million, despite receiving approval for new fuel facilities. The company continues to expand its commercial pipeline with significant customer reserves [6][10]. Section 2: Key Earnings Forecasts - NVIDIA's upcoming earnings report is anticipated to show strong performance, with a projected gross margin of 73.7%. The company’s CEO has indicated confidence in achieving $500 billion in cumulative data center revenue by 2025-2026 [2][11]. Section 3: International Technology Industry Dynamics - OpenAI has launched the upgraded GPT-5.1, focusing on enhancing emotional value and interaction experience. The new model includes features that improve response times and understanding, catering to both paid and free users [3][12]. Section 4: Weekly Perspective - The report emphasizes the ongoing strength in the AI sector, with expectations for continued penetration of AI applications driven by model iterations. Companies like Google, AppLovin, and Roblox are highlighted as potential investment opportunities [4][19].

Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index rose by 1.26% this week, with a trading volume of HKD 1.16 trillion[1] - The Hang Seng Technology Index decreased by 0.42%, while the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index increased by 1.41%[1] - Net inflow from southbound trading was HKD 22.6 billion this week, totaling HKD 1,214.3 billion year-to-date, which is 164.5% of the total net inflow for 2024[1] Sector Performance - The top two performing sectors this week were Consumer Staples and Paper & Packaging, with weekly gains of 10.27% and 6.66% respectively[1] - Notable stocks in the Consumer Staples sector included Jiangsu Hongxin, Alpha Enterprises, and JD Health, with increases of 13.21%, 11.54%, and 6.59% respectively[1] - Other strong performing sectors included Pharmaceuticals & Biotechnology (5.4%) and Durable Goods (5.03%)[1] AI Developments - GPT-5.1 was officially released on November 13, featuring enhanced models for improved communication and reasoning capabilities[2] - Baidu launched the Wenxin 5.0 model, which supports multimodal input and output, boasting over 2.4 trillion parameters[2] Company Earnings - Tencent reported Q3 2025 revenue of HKD 192.9 billion, a 15% year-on-year increase, with a net profit of HKD 63.1 billion, up 19%[8] - JD Group achieved Q3 2025 revenue of HKD 299.1 billion, a 14.9% increase year-on-year, but net profit fell to HKD 5.3 billion from HKD 11.7 billion in the previous year[8] - Bilibili's Q3 2025 revenue was HKD 7.69 billion, a 5% increase, with adjusted net profit soaring 233% to HKD 0.79 billion[8] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on platform-based internet companies with computational resources and model capabilities, including Tencent, Kuaishou, Alibaba, Xiaomi, Baidu, and Meituan[4] - AI ecosystem companies with model or application capabilities are also recommended, such as Qunar, Meitu, JD Health, and Zhihu[4] Risks - Geopolitical risks may impact overseas revenue and competitiveness, potentially affecting stock prices[26] - Regulatory risks in the internet sector could influence industry and individual stock performance[26] - Consumer recovery may not meet expectations, posing a risk to the consumer sector[26]

Group 1 - The report indicates that the current convertible bond valuation remains relatively high, with some newly issued bonds having higher premium rates compared to other bonds at parity. This is attributed to strong demand for convertible bonds and high industry prosperity, leading to excess returns on corresponding stocks and increased volatility, which supports the high valuation levels of these new bonds [1][10]. - The report anticipates that the high premium of newly issued bonds will persist, as high-prosperity industries will continue to issue convertible bonds, maintaining a balance structure close to the levels seen in 2025. This is expected to support the valuation levels of newly issued bonds and the overall market [1][10]. - The report tracks the valuation levels across various industries, identifying the top ten industries with the highest valuations, including Media, Computer, Defense, Machinery, Electronics, Automotive, Beauty, Communication, Food & Beverage, and Electric Equipment. The proportion of high-valuation industry bonds has increased in 2025 compared to 2023 and 2024, indicating a rise in the overall market valuation center [2][11]. Group 2 - The weekly strategy indicates that most stock indices experienced adjustments, with the China Convertible Bond Index showing a slight increase of 0.52%. The report highlights that the median price of bonds in the parity range has risen, indicating that convertible bond valuations remain at historically high levels [3][17]. - The report notes that market liquidity remains ample, and as investor risk appetite gradually recovers, a mid-term upward trend in stock indices is expected. Key areas of focus include the acceleration of AI industrialization, the "anti-involution" trend benefiting sectors like photovoltaics and steel, and future industry-related convertible bonds such as hydrogen energy and nuclear fusion [3][17][18]. - Recent increases in convertible bond valuations may be due to inflows of new capital into the market, driven by a better alignment of the convertible bond market structure with current market styles. Specific sectors such as photovoltaics, lithium batteries, coal, and steel are highlighted as key areas for institutional investment [4][17].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for key companies in the power equipment and new energy sectors, including CATL, Keda, and others [5][6]. Core Insights - The global power battery installation volume reached 811.7 GWh from January to September 2025, marking a year-on-year increase of 34.7% [2][10]. - In September 2025, China's photovoltaic module exports increased by 62% year-on-year, with a total export of approximately 27 GW [20]. - In October 2025, Chinese companies signed or completed overseas strategic cooperation and orders totaling approximately 69 GWh [3][23]. Summary by Sections New Energy Vehicles - The global power battery installation volume for January to September 2025 was 811.7 GWh, a 34.7% increase year-on-year [2][10]. - CATL led the market with 297.2 GWh, followed by BYD with 145.0 GWh, and LG Energy with 79.7 GWh [11][14]. - The top ten Chinese companies accounted for 68.2% of the market share, with significant growth from companies like Honeycomb Energy and EVE Energy [11][14]. New Energy Generation - China's photovoltaic module exports reached approximately 27 GW in September 2025, a 62% increase year-on-year [20]. - By the end of September 2025, total exports of photovoltaic modules were about 206 GW, up 10% from the previous year [20]. - In October 2025, 47 Chinese companies signed or completed overseas projects totaling approximately 69 GWh, with significant orders in Europe and North America [3][23]. Power Equipment and Automation - The State Grid issued six batches of bidding announcements for power transmission and transformation equipment, with a total of 498 bidding packages, a year-on-year increase of 32 packages [4]. - The report highlights key companies to watch, including CATL, Keda, and others [4]. Market Performance - The power equipment and new energy sector saw a decline of 0.80% in the week from November 10 to November 14, 2025, underperforming the Shanghai Composite Index [1]. - The lithium battery index experienced the highest increase of 1.29%, while the automation index saw the largest decline of 5.08% [1].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the industry, highlighting several companies as key investment opportunities [6][7]. Core Views - The report emphasizes that the end of the U.S. government shutdown and improving liquidity will support price performance in the metals market. It notes that macroeconomic factors, including weak economic data and interest rate cut expectations, will continue to influence metal prices positively [2][4]. Summary by Sections 1. Industry and Stock Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.18%, while the SW Nonferrous Index rose by 0.20% during the week [3]. - Precious metals like gold and silver saw significant increases, with gold up by 1.91% and silver by 4.51% [3]. 2. Base Metals 2.1 Industrial Metals - Copper prices are supported by a decline in the U.S. consumer confidence index and expectations of interest rate cuts, despite a decrease in import volumes due to operational inefficiencies at Tanzanian ports [4][48]. - Aluminum production capacity remained stable, with domestic supply holding firm. However, demand is expected to weaken as the market transitions from peak to off-peak seasons [4][27]. - The report recommends companies such as Luoyang Molybdenum, Zijin Mining, and China Aluminum for investment [4]. 2.2 Energy Metals - The report is optimistic about energy metals, particularly lithium and cobalt, due to sustained demand from the energy storage sector and electric vehicles. Cobalt prices are expected to rise due to supply shortages [5]. - Key companies recommended include Huayou Cobalt and Tianqi Lithium [5]. 2.3 Precious Metals - The report anticipates continued upward movement in gold and silver prices, driven by central bank purchases and weakening U.S. dollar credit. It highlights geopolitical tensions as a significant factor influencing precious metal prices [5][80]. - Recommended companies in this sector include Western Gold and Shandong Gold [5]. 3. Price and Inventory Changes - The report provides detailed price changes for various metals, noting that aluminum prices are expected to range between 21,700 and 22,400 CNY/ton, while copper is projected to fluctuate between 86,000 and 89,000 CNY/ton [28][49]. - Inventory levels for aluminum and copper have shown mixed trends, with some increases in LME stocks for zinc and lead [14][50]. 4. Company Earnings Forecasts - The report includes earnings per share (EPS) forecasts for several companies, with Zijin Mining projected to have an EPS of 1.21 CNY in 2024, and Huayou Cobalt expected to reach 2.50 CNY [6].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive investment outlook for the automotive and automotive parts industry, particularly focusing on companies involved in intelligent driving and electric vehicles [3][4]. Core Insights - The automotive sector has shown weaker performance compared to the market, with a decline of 1.7% in the A-share automotive sector from November 10 to November 16, 2025, ranking 27th among sub-industries [29]. - Key companies to watch include Geely, Xpeng Motors, BYD, Xiaomi Group, Li Auto, Berteli, Top Group, New Spring, Hu Guang, and Chunfeng Power, as they are expected to benefit from the ongoing transformation in the automotive industry [9][10]. - The report highlights the importance of Tesla's production progress and technological iterations as a core theme, alongside the upcoming IPOs of domestic robot manufacturers like Yushu Technology, which could serve as strong catalysts for the industry [10][16]. Summary by Sections 1. Weekly Insights - Yushu Technology has completed its IPO guidance and plans to submit its IPO application between October and December 2025, with a post-investment valuation exceeding 12 billion yuan [10]. - The report emphasizes the significance of Tesla's advancements and the upcoming IPOs of domestic robot manufacturers as key drivers for the market [10][16]. 1.1 Passenger Vehicles - The report recommends focusing on high-quality domestic brands that are accelerating in intelligence and globalization, specifically naming Geely, Xpeng, BYD, Xiaomi, Li Auto, and Seres [13]. 1.2 Intelligent Electric Vehicles - The report anticipates long-term growth acceleration in the intelligent electric vehicle sector, highlighting the importance of intelligent driving technologies and the increasing market share of domestic brands [14][15]. 1.3 Robotics - The report notes that leading companies are accelerating their entry into the robotics sector, marking the beginning of a new era in embodied intelligence, with significant developments expected in 2026 [15][17]. 1.4 Liquid Cooling - The report discusses the rising demand for liquid cooling solutions driven by AI technology, predicting a compound annual growth rate of 27.6% from 2024 to 2030, with the market expected to reach 21.3 billion USD by 2030 [20][21]. 1.5 Motorcycles - The report highlights the rapid expansion of the large-displacement motorcycle market, with sales showing significant year-on-year growth, particularly in the 500cc to 800cc segment [22][24]. 1.6 Heavy Trucks - The report indicates that the expansion of the old-for-new subsidy policy will stimulate demand for heavy trucks, with a notable increase in sales observed in October 2025 [24][25]. 1.7 Tires - The report emphasizes the ongoing globalization of the tire industry, recommending leading companies that are well-positioned for growth and have strong manufacturing capabilities [26][27].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" recommendation for several steel companies, including Hualing Steel, Baosteel, Nanjing Steel, and others, based on their projected earnings and valuations [3][4]. Core Insights - The Ximangdu Iron Mine has officially commenced production, with a total designed capacity of 120 million tons per year, expected to gradually ramp up over the next 2-3 years. This high-quality iron ore resource is anticipated to lower iron ore prices, alleviating pressure on steel mill profits [3][4]. - Steel prices have decreased, with notable declines in rebar and medium plates, while hot-rolled and cold-rolled prices remained stable [1][9]. - Steel production has decreased, with a total output of 8.34 million tons for major steel products, down by 223,600 tons week-on-week. Total social inventory also fell by 136,300 tons [2][6]. Summary by Sections Price Trends - As of November 14, 2025, the price of 20mm HRB400 rebar in Shanghai is 3,170 CNY/ton, down 30 CNY/ton from the previous week. Other steel products also saw price changes, with hot-rolled at 3,280 CNY/ton and cold-rolled at 3,770 CNY/ton remaining stable [1][9]. Production and Inventory - The total production of major steel products was 8.34 million tons, with rebar production specifically reduced to 2 million tons, a decrease of 85,400 tons week-on-week. Total social inventory decreased to 10.602 million tons [2][6]. Profitability - Steel margins have declined, with rebar, hot-rolled, and cold-rolled margins decreasing by 29 CNY/ton, 37 CNY/ton, and 39 CNY/ton respectively. Electric arc furnace steel margins also saw a slight decrease of 2 CNY/ton [1][3]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends several companies based on their market positioning and expected performance, including Hualing Steel, Baosteel, Nanjing Steel, and others in various segments such as special steel and pipe materials [3][4].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for major companies in the oil and gas sector, including China National Petroleum Corporation, China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation, China National Offshore Oil Corporation, Zhongman Petroleum, and New Natural Gas [5]. Core Views - The market is concerned about oversupply amid geopolitical influences, with oil prices experiencing fluctuations due to recent geopolitical events, including attacks on Russian oil facilities and changes in India's oil procurement from Russia [1][10]. - OPEC's latest report indicates a shift in supply-demand dynamics, predicting a global oil demand of 106.5 million barrels per day by 2026, while current supply exceeds demand by 20,000 barrels per day [1][10]. - Three major international oil agencies have raised their forecasts for global supply growth in 2025, indicating a potential oversupply situation [2][11]. Summary by Sections Market Overview - As of November 14, 2025, Brent crude oil futures settled at $64.39 per barrel, up 1.19% week-on-week, while WTI futures settled at $60.09 per barrel, up 0.57% [3][39]. - The U.S. crude oil production increased to 13.86 million barrels per day, with refinery throughput rising to 15.97 million barrels per day [12][4]. Supply and Demand Dynamics - EIA, OPEC, and IEA have adjusted their 2025 global supply and demand forecasts, with EIA projecting a supply of 105.98 million barrels per day and demand of 104.14 million barrels per day, resulting in a surplus of 1.84 million barrels per day [2][11]. - OPEC's report suggests a potential supply gap of 830,000 barrels per day if production levels remain constant [2][11]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on leading companies with stable performance and high dividends, such as China National Petroleum and China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation [4][12]. - It also highlights the potential for valuation increases in companies like China National Offshore Oil Corporation, which has low production costs and increasing output [4][12]. - New Natural Gas and Zhongman Petroleum are recommended due to their growth potential in the domestic market [4][12].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" recommendation for several companies in the coal sector, including Shanxi Coal International, Lu'an Environmental Energy, and Yanzhou Coal Mining [2][3][12]. Core Insights - The report highlights a strong demand-supply imbalance in the coal market, with prices expected to continue rising due to seasonal demand and regulatory constraints on supply [1][7][8]. - October saw a decrease in national raw coal production, with a daily average of 13.12 million tons, down 4.3% month-on-month [1][37]. - The report anticipates that coal prices may peak at around 1000 RMB/ton by the end of the year, driven by tight supply and increasing demand as winter approaches [1][8]. Summary by Sections 1. Weekly Insights - The report notes that seasonal demand is gradually being realized, with port coal prices continuing to rise and stabilizing in the latter half of the week [1][7]. - Regulatory inspections have led to a significant contraction in coal supply, particularly in regions like Ulanqab and Linfen [2][11]. 2. Market Performance - As of November 14, the coal sector's weekly decline was 0.8%, outperforming the broader market indices [14][17]. - The report identifies that the coking coal sub-sector experienced the highest weekly increase of 6.2% [17]. 3. Company Dynamics - The report recommends focusing on companies with high spot market exposure, such as Shanxi Coal International and Lu'an Environmental Energy, as well as stable growth companies like Jinko Coal and Huayang Co [12][21]. - Notable stock performance includes An Tai Group, which saw a significant increase of 57.29% in its stock price [21]. 4. Industry Developments - The report discusses the impact of international coal trade dynamics, including increased imports by India and Taiwan, which may influence domestic supply and pricing [25][35]. - It also highlights the ongoing safety inspections and regulatory measures that are expected to limit coal production capacity in the near term [1][26]. 5. Coal Data Tracking - The average price of Shanxi thermal coal remained stable at 682 RMB/ton, while coking coal prices increased slightly to 1484 RMB/ton [45].

Economic Performance Overview - In October, the industrial added value increased by 4.9% year-on-year and 0.17% month-on-month[1] - The total retail sales of consumer goods reached 46,291 billion yuan, growing by 2.9% year-on-year and 0.16% month-on-month[1] - From January to October, fixed asset investment (excluding rural households) totaled 408,914 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year decline of 1.7%[1] Investment and Consumption Trends - Historical data suggests that investment growth typically rebounds first during economic stabilization periods, as seen in 2008-09 and 2020-21[2] - Manufacturing investment saw a significant decline, with a year-on-year drop from -1.9% in September to -6.7% in October[3] - Infrastructure investment growth decreased from -4.6% in September to -8.9% in October, indicating a low level of infrastructure activity[3] Consumer Behavior Insights - The retail sales growth rate slightly declined to 2.9% in October, influenced by a high base from the previous year and the waning effects of the "old-for-new" policy[4] - The early "Double Eleven" shopping festival helped mitigate the decline in retail sales growth, which did not significantly worsen despite multiple pressures[4] Real Estate Market Dynamics - From January to October, real estate investment cumulative growth fell to -14.7%, down from -13.9% previously, reflecting weak demand and high base effects from last year[5] - The need for further policy support in the real estate sector is emphasized to balance supply and demand and promote high-quality development[5] Risk Factors - Potential risks include policies falling short of expectations, unexpected changes in the domestic economic situation, and fluctuations in exports[6]