房地产/房地产服务 | 日期 | 2025/8/22 | | --- | --- | | 当前股价(港元) | 5.090 | | 一年最高最低(港元) | 5.630/3.040 | | 总市值(亿港元) | 160.32 | | 流通市值(亿港元) | 160.32 | | 总股本(亿股) | 31.50 | | 流通港股(亿股) | 31.50 | | 近 3 个月换手率(%) | 10.86 | 股价走势图 数据来源：聚源 -24% 0% 24% 48% 72% 96% 2024-08 2024-12 2025-04 2025-08 绿城服务 恒生指数 相关研究报告 《各业务毛利率均提升，在管面积双 位数增长—港股公司信息更新报告》 -2025.3.24 《盈利能力同比提升，在管面积稳健 增 长 — 港 股 公 司 信 息 更 新 报 告 》 -2024.8.26 ——港股公司信息更新报告 | 齐东（分析师） | 胡耀文（分析师） | 杜致远（联系人） | | --- | --- | --- | | qidong@kysec.cn | huyaowen@kysec.cn | duzhiyuan@kys ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [2] Core Views - The company reported a significant increase in net profit for H1 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 44.3%, driven by product upgrades and channel expansion [5][6] - The company focuses on the fashion gold category, understanding the preferences of younger consumers, which has led to sustained high growth in performance [5] - The earnings forecast has been raised, with expected net profits for 2025-2027 at 550 million, 700 million, and 880 million yuan respectively, translating to EPS of 0.62, 0.79, and 0.99 yuan [5][8] Financial Performance Summary - For H1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 4.102 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 19.5%, and a net profit of 331 million yuan [5][6] - In Q2 2025, revenue was 1.850 billion yuan, up 13.1%, with net profit also increasing by 44.3% [5] - The company plans to distribute a dividend of 0.10 yuan per share [5] Product and Channel Analysis - In H1 2025, revenue from fashion jewelry, traditional gold, and leather goods was 1.99 billion, 1.83 billion, and 120 million yuan respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 20.3%, 24.0%, and a decline of 17.4% [6] - The company has expanded its store count, adding 31 new stores in the jewelry business, with a net increase of 68 franchise stores, bringing the total to 1,542 [7] - The company is enhancing its product offerings, particularly in the gold category, with innovations that resonate with traditional Chinese culture [7] Financial Projections - The company’s revenue is projected to grow from 5.9 billion yuan in 2023 to 11.741 billion yuan in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 20% [8][11] - The net profit is expected to increase significantly from 333 million yuan in 2023 to 880 million yuan in 2027, reflecting a strong growth trajectory [8][11] - The projected P/E ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 24.6, 19.3, and 15.3 respectively, indicating a favorable valuation trend [8][11]

Group 1 - The semiconductor industry is experiencing a significant upturn, with a rising index since August, indicating strong investment enthusiasm and potential benefits for related semiconductor materials [2][10][12] - Semiconductor materials are essential for the production of semiconductor devices and integrated circuits, and their technological advancements and localization processes directly influence the global industry landscape [10][13] - Companies such as Geberit and Jiasian Co. are highlighted as key investment targets, with Geberit increasing R&D investments and achieving technological breakthroughs, while Jiasian Co. is expanding its product range in photolithography materials [2][15][20] Group 2 - The North Exchange chemical new materials sector saw a weekly increase of 4.49%, with all five major industries experiencing growth [3][28] - The sub-sectors within the chemical new materials industry showed varied performance, with non-metal materials leading at +7.10%, followed by textile manufacturing and chemical products [27][30] - Notable individual stock performances included Geberit (+21.29%), Minshida (+9.85%), and Tiangong Co. (+8.58%), indicating strong market interest in these companies [30][33] Group 3 - Yinuowei reported a significant increase in performance for the first half of 2025, with revenue reaching 3.55 billion yuan, a year-on-year growth of 6.98%, and net profit increasing by 54.98% [4][57] - The company attributes its growth to stable operations and increased cash flow from operating activities, reflecting a robust business model [57] - Other companies in the sector, such as Kelong New Materials and Huachang Polymer, also reported varying performance metrics, with Kelong maintaining stable revenue and Huachang showing a 26.83% increase in revenue [4][57]

Group 1 - The report highlights the significant growth in the technology manufacturing sector, with notable increases in profitability and cash flow [16][17][20] - The computer industry shows the highest profit growth rate at 54.9% for H1 2025, excluding major companies [17] - The electronics sector is experiencing a high growth period, with a profit growth rate of 33.8% for H1 2025 [18] Group 2 - The report indicates a positive trend in the real estate market, with an increase in new housing transaction areas [4] - The non-bank financial sector is expected to see further capital inflow due to the profit effect [4] - The report notes that the food and beverage sector, particularly liquor, is witnessing accelerated profit growth [20] Group 3 - The report discusses the impact of new policy financial tools aimed at supporting emerging industries and infrastructure [42][43] - The report mentions the anticipated issuance of 500 billion yuan in quasi-fiscal tools to support new industries [43] - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring cash flow improvements across various sectors, particularly in technology and real estate [20][4] Group 4 - The report identifies the liquid cooling sector as a growing area, with a significant increase in the liquid cooling index by 76.3% since the beginning of 2025 [59][60] - The report notes that public funds have increased their positions in the liquid cooling sector since August 2025 [60] - The report highlights the rising demand for thermal management materials driven by the growth of consumer electronics and new energy vehicles [59]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The report emphasizes the importance of the AI industry, particularly focusing on developments in distributed data centers and the introduction of NVIDIA's Spectrum-XGS Ethernet, which aims to address challenges in power and capacity within data centers as AI demand grows [4][5] - The Spectrum-XGS Ethernet is expected to enable the combination of multiple distributed data centers into a unified AI super factory, marking a significant advancement in AI computing infrastructure [4] - The report highlights investment opportunities in related sectors such as optical interconnects, liquid cooling, and domestic computing power, recommending specific companies for investment [6] Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The report discusses the rapid growth of AI and its impact on data center infrastructure, necessitating innovations like the Spectrum-XGS Ethernet to enhance performance and reduce latency [4][5] Key Developments - NVIDIA's Spectrum-XGS Ethernet integrates with the Spectrum-X platform, improving communication performance between network and data center facilities, thus facilitating the creation of a unified AI super factory [5] Investment Recommendations - Recommended stocks in the optical module sector include Zhongji Xuchuang and Xinyi Technology, while beneficiaries include Dongshan Precision and Changxin Bochuang [6] - In the liquid cooling sector, Yinvike is recommended, and in the optical fiber sector, Zhongtian Technology and Hengtong Optic-Electric are highlighted as recommended stocks [6]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The retail industry is experiencing a recovery, with high growth in premium and fashionable segments, particularly in gold jewelry and beauty care [23][27] - The report emphasizes the importance of emotional consumption themes driving growth in high-quality companies within the sector [30] Summary by Sections Retail Market Review - The retail industry index rose by 4.21% during the week of August 18-22, 2025, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index by 2.20 percentage points [12][20] - The internet e-commerce sector showed the highest growth, with a weekly increase of 7.71% [13][17] - Year-to-date, the jewelry sector has led with a 33.74% increase [13][17] Retail Insights: Mid-Year Reports - Gold jewelry companies like Laopuhuang and Chaohongji reported significant revenue growth, with Laopuhuang achieving a revenue of 12.354 billion yuan (+251.0%) and a net profit of 2.268 billion yuan (+285.8%) [23][35] - Beauty care brands such as Shanghai Jahwa and Runben also showed positive performance, with Shanghai Jahwa reporting a net profit of 266 million yuan (+11.7%) [27][38] Focus on High-Quality Companies - Investment focus includes: - Gold jewelry brands with differentiated product offerings, recommending Laopuhuang and Chaohongji [30][32] - Offline retail companies adapting to trends, recommending Yonghui Supermarket and Aiyingshi [30][32] - High-quality domestic beauty brands, recommending Maogeping and Pola [30][32] - Medical beauty product manufacturers, recommending Aimeike and Kedi-B [30][32] Company-Specific Highlights - Laopuhuang: Achieved a revenue of 12.354 billion yuan (+250.9%) and a net profit of 2.268 billion yuan (+285.8%) in H1 2025, with strong brand expansion and channel upgrades [35][36] - Runben: Reported a revenue of 895 million yuan (+20.3%) and a net profit of 188 million yuan (+4.2%) in H1 2025, focusing on expanding its product matrix [38][40] - Aiyingshi: Achieved a revenue of 1.835 billion yuan (+8.3%) and a net profit of 46.74 million yuan (+10.2%) in H1 2025, with steady store expansion [42]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The report emphasizes the recovery trend in the gaming sector, with a focus on game, music, trendy toys, and AI applications. It suggests continued investment in AI applications and high-demand gaming products [3][4] - The report highlights the strong performance of companies like Kuaishou and Tencent, driven by AI optimization in marketing and content production, leading to significant revenue growth [3][4] - The gaming market shows high activity with new game releases and a positive outlook for domestic animated films, indicating a robust pipeline for IP products [3][4] Summary by Sections Industry Data Overview - "Valorant" ranks first in the iOS free game chart, while "Honor of Kings" maintains its position at the top of the iOS revenue chart as of August 23, 2025 [10][15] - The film "Capturing the Wind" achieved the highest box office revenue of 3.38 billion CNY for the week [27] Industry News Overview - The release of DeepSeek-V3.1 marks a significant advancement in AI capabilities, enhancing various applications including gaming and image editing [33] - The gaming sector continues to show growth, with a reported 8% increase in the market in July [33] - The report notes favorable policies from the broadcasting authority that may boost content supply [33] Company Performance - Kuaishou reported a 12.8% year-on-year increase in online marketing service revenue, reaching 19.8 billion CNY in Q2 2025 [3] - Tencent's Q2 2025 report indicates increased usage of AI-native applications, enhancing advertising effectiveness and user engagement [3] - The gaming company Shunwang Technology reported a 93.2% year-on-year increase in net profit for Q2 2025, attributed to the recovery in the gaming sector [3] Upcoming Releases - The new game "Etheria" by Xindong Company is set for a closed beta test on August 28, 2025, with high anticipation reflected in its ranking on pre-registration charts [22][26] - The animated film "Three Kingdoms in the Starry Sky" is scheduled for release on October 1, 2025, indicating a strong pipeline for domestic animated content [3]

Group 1 - The report indicates that as of August 23, 2025, 1,657 out of 5,423 A-share listed companies have disclosed their mid-year reports, showing an overall profit growth of 4.09% year-on-year, which is an increase from 2.50% in Q1 [3][13][18] - The revenue growth for the same period is slightly down at -0.14%, compared to 0.34% in Q1, while operating cash flow net amount has increased significantly by 44.86% year-on-year [3][13][18] - The report highlights that the technology manufacturing sector shows the highest profit growth, with industries such as computers, communications, electronics, machinery, agriculture, automotive, steel, and comprehensive sectors performing well [3][19][20] Group 2 - The computer industry has the highest profit growth rate among technology manufacturing sectors, achieving a 54.9% increase in H1 2025, excluding certain high-impact companies [4][20] - The communication sector's profit growth reached 45.2% in H1 2025, with only one company among those with a market value over 20 billion failing to show positive growth [4][20] - The automotive sector also demonstrated strong performance with a profit growth of 41% in H1 2025, indicating a balanced contribution from its constituent stocks [4][22] Group 3 - The report notes significant improvements in operating cash flow across various sectors, particularly in technology manufacturing, consumer, and real estate industries [6][29][30] - The number of industries showing positive cash flow growth has increased, with notable improvements in upstream companies within the supply chain [6][29][30] - Specific industries with high cash flow growth include machinery, electrical equipment, communications, computers, media, defense, agriculture, automotive, social services, real estate, light manufacturing, transportation, and comprehensive sectors [6][14][29]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company achieved better-than-expected performance in H1 2025, with revenue and profit accelerating [4] - The revenue for H1 2025 reached 628 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 17.91%, while the net profit attributable to the parent company was 73 million yuan, up 41.60% year-on-year [4][5] - The company is optimistic about its long-term development and maintains profit forecasts for 2025-2027 [4] Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company's drug molecule block business generated revenue of 520 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 14.35%, while the scientific reagent business achieved revenue of 107 million yuan, growing by 38.95% [5] - The company's revenue from domestic operations was 264 million yuan, up 13.52%, while overseas revenue was 363 million yuan, increasing by 21.33%, accounting for 57.87% of total revenue [5] - The gross profit margin and net profit margin have shown continuous improvement, with H1 2025 gross margin at 44.25% and net margin at 11.70% [6] Earnings Forecast - The company forecasts net profits attributable to the parent company of 142 million yuan, 202 million yuan, and 256 million yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding EPS of 1.56, 2.22, and 2.82 yuan [4][8] - The current stock price corresponds to P/E ratios of 41.3, 29.0, and 22.9 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [4][8]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the mid-to-high-end home hardware and outdoor furniture sectors, indicating significant growth potential in these industries [2][3]. Core Insights - The home hardware and outdoor furniture industries are experiencing a transformation towards mid-to-high-end products driven by consumer upgrades and technological advancements [2][3]. - The Chinese home hardware market is projected to reach a scale of 324.45 billion yuan by 2028, reflecting substantial growth potential [2][3]. - The outdoor furniture market is expected to grow significantly, with a projected market size of 6.31 billion yuan by 2025, supported by the increasing popularity of outdoor leisure lifestyles [3][18]. Summary by Sections 1. Market Trends - The home hardware market is characterized by a rich variety of applications, including kitchen, bathroom, and bedroom products, which are essential for modern home decor [12][16]. - The outdoor furniture market is expanding rapidly, with diverse applications in gardens, balconies, parks, and restaurants, driven by a growing demand for leisure and comfort [12][36]. 2. Demand Drivers - Consumer spending is on the rise, with per capita disposable income in China expected to grow from 20,167.10 yuan in 2014 to 41,314.00 yuan in 2024, indicating a compound annual growth rate of 7.43% [21][22]. - The shift towards smart home solutions is enhancing the demand for intelligent home hardware products, which are becoming integral to smart home ecosystems [23][26]. - Real estate policies aimed at stabilizing the market are expected to boost demand for home hardware products, with various incentives for home purchases and renovations [29][30]. 3. Industry Dynamics - The industry is witnessing a gradual increase in concentration, with leading companies focusing on high-end market segments and investing in research and development [38][39]. - Domestic brands are gaining market share by leveraging their advantages in pricing and local market knowledge, while international brands face challenges in local adaptation [39][41]. - The outdoor furniture sector is also seeing increased competition, with domestic manufacturers enhancing their design and production capabilities to capture a larger market share [39][41].