Investment Rating - The report indicates a positive outlook for the real estate sector, suggesting a potential recovery in the market with a recommendation to accumulate real estate stocks on dips [6]. Core Insights - The A-share real estate sector saw a weekly increase of +3.1%, ranking 17th among all sectors, while the Hong Kong real estate sector increased by +3.9%, ranking 4th [3][19]. - The land market's premium rate has rebounded, with an average premium rate of 9% for the week ending June 27, 2025, despite a year-on-year decrease in land transaction volume [3][30]. - New housing sales in 47 cities totaled 523 million square meters, reflecting a week-on-week increase of +39% but a year-on-year decrease of -14% [4][35]. - Guangzhou is promoting prefabricated buildings, mandating that 100% of residential land sold from 2026 onwards will implement this construction method, which may transform the real estate and construction industries [6][17]. Summary by Sections Real Estate Market Overview - The report highlights a recovery in the real estate market, with significant increases in both new and second-hand housing transactions across various city tiers [4][43]. - The premium rates for land transactions have shown signs of recovery, indicating a potential stabilization in the market [3][30]. Land Transactions - In the week of June 21-27, 2025, 923 million square meters of residential land were transacted across 300 cities, with a year-on-year decrease of -33% [30]. - The top five companies in terms of land acquisition amount are Poly Developments, Greentown China, China Overseas Development, Jianfa Real Estate, and Binjiang Group, with acquisition amounts of 414 billion, 395 billion, 386 billion, 329 billion, and 313 billion respectively [30][31]. New Housing Sales - New housing sales in 47 cities reached 523 million square meters, with a week-on-week increase of +39% and a year-on-year decrease of -14% [4][35]. - The performance varied by city tier, with first-tier cities showing a week-on-week increase of +81% [4][35]. Second-Hand Housing Sales - Second-hand housing transactions totaled 264 million square meters in 22 cities, with a week-on-week increase of +1% and a year-on-year decrease of -2% [43][44]. - First-tier cities experienced a week-on-week increase of +2%, while second-tier cities saw a +1% increase [43][44]. Policy and Market Trends - The report emphasizes the importance of government policies in supporting the real estate market, particularly in Shanghai, where the release of quality land parcels is seen as a positive signal for market recovery [5][13]. - The promotion of prefabricated buildings in Guangzhou is expected to enhance construction efficiency and sustainability, potentially benefiting developers who adopt these practices [6][17].

Investment Rating - The report suggests a focus on leading domestic generative model companies such as iFLYTEK, AI hardware companies like Yingshi Network and Hongsoft Technology, and AI-related applications that can enhance user engagement and monetization, recommending companies like Kingsoft Office and Wanjing Technology [2] Core Insights - The report highlights the introduction of Kimi-Researcher, an autonomous intelligent agent, which achieved a Pass@1 score of 26.9% and a Pass@4 accuracy of 40.17% in tests, indicating advancements in AI capabilities [11] - Tesla's launch of Robotaxi service in Austin, Texas, is noted, with plans for expansion despite public safety concerns regarding the technology [11] - The current investment landscape is characterized by a preference for thematic investments driven by risk appetite, with potential for long-term adoption of new technologies [11] - The report anticipates improved performance in the second half of the year due to base effects, new technology/product launches, and policy support [11] Summary by Sections Industry Perspective - The report identifies high-growth sectors for 2025, including AI computing power and lidar technology, with accelerating growth in AI applications and stable growth in software outsourcing and financial IT [10][12] - It notes that the AI computing sector is experiencing high demand, with domestic players gaining market share [12] - The report emphasizes the importance of macroeconomic conditions and company performance trends in influencing market valuations [11] Market Performance - From June 23 to June 27, 2025, the computer industry index rose by 7.70%, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 5.75 percentage points, indicating strong market performance [14] - The report also highlights the top-performing companies in the computer sector during this period [18] Upcoming Events - Key upcoming events include the launch of new Nvidia chips and the International Drone Application and Control Conference, which may present investment opportunities [25][26]

摘要 风险提示 芯片制程发展与良率不及预期 中美科技领域政策恶化 智能手机销量不及预期 敬请参阅最后一页特别声明 1 - 海内外 AI 聊天应用活跃度普遍增长，其中国内通义、豆包增速显著。在产品层面，谷歌发布了面向开发者的命 令行工具 Gemini CLI 和在图像内文本生成上取得突破的文生图模型 Imagen4。OpenAI 则推出了两款 Deep Research API 新模型（o3 和 o4-mini），分别针对高阶复杂研究和高性价比场景。 - 美光 FY25Q3 业绩全面超预期，数据中心营收同比翻倍，HBM 收入环比增长 50%至 15 亿美元，成为增长核心。公 司持续推进 1-gamma DRAM 与 QLC NAND 产品升级，优化产品结构，带动毛利率回升。CNBU、MBU、EBU 等多条业 务线环比增长显著，消费与嵌入式需求同样强劲。公司预计 FY25Q4 营收将环比增长 15%，全年维持 140 亿美元 CapEx 投入。随着 HBM3E 放量、HBM4 推进及 AI 服务器拉动，公司有望持续受益于数据中心高端内存与存储需求 的结构性增长。 - 6 月 26 日，小米召开发布会，展示了新款折 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the virtual asset sector and trading platforms, indicating a sustained focus on these areas [1][8]. Core Insights - The report highlights the ongoing trend of virtual assets, with increasing regulatory frameworks and institutional involvement, suggesting a favorable long-term outlook for the sector [1][8]. - The Hong Kong government has released a new digital asset development policy, reinforcing its commitment to becoming a global innovation center for digital assets [48]. - The report emphasizes the importance of quality assets in the Hong Kong stock market, particularly in light of the influx of mainland Chinese companies going public [8]. Industry Summary Education - The K12 education sector remains robust, with leading institutions like New Oriental showing positive enrollment feedback for summer programs [3][18]. - The education index rose by 7.41% during the week, outperforming major indices [9][11]. Luxury Goods - The luxury goods sector is experiencing slight pressure due to macroeconomic factors, but brands with strong innovation capabilities are still seeing growth [3][22]. - Notable stock movements include a 6.10% increase for Samsonite and a slight decline for Prada [22][29]. Coffee and Tea - The coffee sector continues to thrive, with net increases in store numbers and positive same-store sales growth for leading brands [3][31]. - The tea beverage sector faces increased competition due to supply growth driven by delivery platform subsidies [3]. E-commerce - The e-commerce sector is under pressure, with a slowdown in overall growth and intense competition, particularly in instant retail [3][30]. - Key players like JD.com and Pinduoduo have shown positive stock performance during the week [30]. Streaming Platforms - Music streaming platforms are highlighted as quality internet assets driven by domestic demand, with continued profitability growth [3][37]. - The report notes a 4.5% decline in the media index, with Spotify and Netflix showing significant gains [37]. Virtual Assets & Trading Platforms - The report emphasizes the positive trend in virtual assets, supported by regulatory developments and institutional interest [1][8]. - The global cryptocurrency market capitalization reached $337.24 billion, with Bitcoin and Ethereum prices increasing [41][48]. Automotive Services - The automotive maintenance sector is monitored, with key players identified and ongoing changes in the aftermarket ecosystem [3][50]. - The report notes a 3.10% increase in the automotive services index, with mixed performances among key companies [50].

Investment Rating - The report suggests a focus on four main investment lines, including Hong Kong Exchanges, diversified financials, brokerage firms, and Sichuan Shuangma [3][4]. Core Insights - The report highlights the potential for significant revenue growth in the brokerage sector due to the approval of virtual asset trading services by Guotai Junan International, indicating a shift towards digital assets [2][48]. - It notes that 63% of insurance institutions plan to increase their investment in Hong Kong stocks by 2025, with a significant portion of their overseas investment directed towards this market [4][39]. - The report emphasizes the strong performance of the non-bank financial sector, with a notable increase in trading volumes and fundraising activities in the equity and bond markets [11][14]. Summary by Sections Securities Sector - Guotai Junan International has received approval to provide virtual asset trading services, which could lead to increased revenue if trading volumes surge [2][48]. - The report recommends focusing on Hong Kong Exchanges due to expected benefits from market expansion and increased trading activity [3]. Insurance Sector - A survey indicates that 63% of insurance firms plan to boost their investments in Hong Kong stocks, with the Hong Kong market being the preferred destination for overseas investments [4][39]. - The average financial return from investments through the Hong Kong Stock Connect is approximately 15%, which is expected to attract more insurance capital [4]. Market Performance - The report notes that the A-share market has shown a positive trend, with the Shanghai Composite Index increasing by 2.0% and the non-bank financial sector outperforming with a 6.7% rise [11]. - The average daily trading volume in the A-share market reached 14,867 billion yuan, reflecting a 22.4% increase week-on-week [14]. Industry Dynamics - The report discusses regulatory initiatives aimed at enhancing the commercial insurance sector, including the promotion of innovative insurance products and expanding health insurance coverage [36][38]. - It highlights the significant capital raising activities in the insurance sector, with a total of 692.13 billion yuan raised through equity and debt instruments in the year [40].

划组建电力储能公司。2 月 20 日，内蒙古电力集团在召开的 2025 年储能专业工作会上提出，要以"日日全力以 赴"的使命感做好新型储能电站运营管理，深挖参与现货市场策略，精确计算、精准操作、精益管理，最大限度 提升营收能力。 火电板块：我们建议关注发电资产主要布局在电力供需偏紧、发电侧竞争格局较好地区的火电企业，如皖能电力、 华电国际。水电：建议关注水电运营商龙头长江电力。新能源发电：建议关注新能源龙头龙源电力（H）。核电： 建议关注电价市场化占比提升背景下，核电龙头企业中国核电。 本周（6.23-6.27）上证综指上涨 1.91%，创业板指下降 5.69%。碳中和板块上涨 3.60%，环保板块上涨 3.94%， 公用事业板块下跌 0.14%，煤炭板块上涨 1.44%。 敬请参阅最后一页特别声明 1 截至 2025 年 5 月底，全国累计发电装机容量约 36.09 亿千瓦，同比增长 18.8%。其中，太阳能发电装机容量约 10.84 亿千瓦，同比增长 56.9%；风电装机容量约 5.67 亿千瓦，同比增长 23.1%；核电装机容量约 0.61 亿千瓦， 同比增长 4.7%；火电装机容量约 14.57 亿千 ...

电力设备与新能源 买入 维持评级 行业月报 行业观点 重点政策/新闻跟踪：1）5 月 30 日，国家发改委、国家能源局联合发布《关于有序推动绿电直连发展有关事项的 通知》，促进新能源发电消纳、提高用户侧配置积极性与产品质量要求、助力出口型企业满足碳足迹认证。2）6 月 11- 13 日，SNEC 2025 光伏展于上海盛大举行，今年展会对技术路线的争论有所淡化，通过工艺技术微创新实现提效、以 及新型应用场景的挖掘，或是未来一段时间内企业之间差异化竞争的主旋律。3）6 月 16 日，美国"大美丽法案"参 议院版本公布，被禁外国实体、ITC 补贴退坡等要求趋于宽松，对储能项目利好显著，后续或仍有进一步边际改善可 能。 产业链：价格持续下探，中下游厂商陆续减产。1）硅料：价格下跌,截至 6 月 18 日，N 型复投料/N 型颗粒硅价 格分别为 3.44/3.35 万元/吨，环比 5 月底-8.3%/-2.9%，丰水期来临，硅料企业短期产量呈增加态势，预计 6 月产出 环比增加 4%至 10.6 万吨，同时下游硅片跌价带动硅料价格预期下滑，部分企业迫于出货压力，价格严重松动。2）硅 片：终端需求疲弱，成交重心下移，硅 ...

证券研究报告 轻工行业2025年中期投资策略 把握新型烟草潮玩布局节奏，重视传统轻工结构性机会 分析师：赵中平 执业编号：S1130524050003 分析师：张杨桓 执业编号：S1130522090001 分析师：尹新悦 执业编号：S1130522080004 2025年6月26日 投资要点：把握新型烟草潮玩布局节奏，重视传统轻工结构性机会 整体布局思路：2025年H1与新消费相关板块领涨，而传统轻工板块估值普遍处于历史底部。展望25H2布局方向，新消费板块整体景气度依然 较高，仍值关注，而在目前估值分位普遍相对较高的情况下，需优选布局方向，把握布局节奏。一方面根据我们提出的新消费筛选框架（结 合行业壁垒、发展成熟度等指标）选择赛道成长确定性强与天花板较高的板块，另一方面结合目前相关细分板块、龙头标的的估值分位，建 议H2依然优选新型烟草+潮玩板块，其次轻工个护、AI眼镜、宠物食品等。此外，我们建议Q3起逐步增加估值处于低位的传统轻工板块布局， 重点建议关注红利型与底部反转型标的布局机遇。 ➢ 新消费板块：新消费可划分成功能价值线和情绪价值线，结合筛选框架，25H2分别首选新型烟草和潮玩板块，其次关注轻工个 ...

Group 1: Market Sentiment - Retail investors are optimistic, with a bullish sentiment ratio rising to 33.2%, the highest since January[7] - The trading volume of small-cap stocks (priced under $1) has rebounded to 36.6%, reflecting increased retail speculation in tech stocks[2] - Institutional investors are becoming increasingly pessimistic, with 57% preferring non-US stocks and only 24% optimistic about US equities[27] Group 2: Economic Drivers - Optimism among retail investors is driven by expectations of policy easing, weakened fiscal tightening, and the unique position of US tech stocks as alternatives[2] - The US fiscal deficit remains high, with a projected $1 trillion in interest payments, limiting the effectiveness of tariff revenues[15] - The potential for a preemptive rate cut by the Federal Reserve could provide liquidity benefits, but may also confirm economic weakness[3] Group 3: Investment Risks - The high concentration and leverage of retail investments make them unstable, with a low probability of accurate market predictions[27] - Historical data shows that when retail bullish sentiment rises, the market often weakens in the following month[27] - Risks include unexpectedly strong US economic performance, fluctuations in tax policy, and accelerated AI commercialization impacting tech stock valuations[4]

Investment Rating - The report provides a positive investment rating for the humanoid robotics industry, highlighting significant growth potential and technological advancements. Core Insights - The humanoid robotics sector is experiencing rapid technological iterations, with development cycles for robots significantly shorter than those for electric vehicles, with iterations as quick as 3 months for core hardware [13][19]. - The report emphasizes the importance of vertical breakthroughs in applications such as inspection, healthcare, logistics, and industrial production lines, which are currently the fastest-growing vertical scenarios [6]. - The supply chain for humanoid robots is expected to undergo a transformation, with a focus on achieving mass production and market recognition in the near future [13][19]. Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The humanoid robotics industry is characterized by diverse product definitions, with companies like Tesla and Figure focusing on factory and logistics applications, while domestic players like UBTECH and Yizhuan are targeting both B2B and B2C markets [4]. Technological Advancements - Key components such as dexterous hands are crucial for upper limb collaboration, with future developments focusing on micro-screws, tactile sensing, and high-density motors to enhance load capacity, perception, and speed [5]. - The report notes that the core industrial chain for humanoid robots includes perception layers, rotary joints, linear joints, and dexterous hands, with a competitive landscape favoring domestic suppliers due to their innovation and cost-reduction capabilities [19][25]. Market Dynamics - The report anticipates a sustained "fixed-point market" as the supply chain matures, with significant competition expected to emerge around the small-batch production phase [13][19]. - The report highlights the potential for domestic manufacturers to increase their market share significantly as the humanoid robotics market expands, driven by technological advancements and cost efficiencies [19][25]. Supply Chain Insights - The supply chain for humanoid robots is expected to evolve through stages of demo, lab prototyping, small-batch, and mass production, with the small-batch phase being critical for market recognition [13][19]. - The report identifies key players in the supply chain, including those involved in tactile sensors, harmonic reducers, and high-density motors, suggesting a focus on companies like Daying Electronics and Top Group for investment opportunities [65].