Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - There is no information about the report industry investment rating in the provided content. Group 2: Core Viewpoints of the Report - The conflict between Iran and Israel has further escalated, with Israel attacking Iran's oil field facilities and Iran responding. It is expected that oil prices will continue to rise, and the chemical industry as a whole will follow [2]. - Despite the expectation of reduced production, the downstream load of polyester has remained at 91.3%, and the actual polyester production has reached a new high. Recent promotions have helped reduce inventory [2]. - PTA will reduce inventory in the coming period. The move by mainstream factories to increase the basis for sales has had a significant impact on the market, and PTA spot is becoming tight. Affected by the rising oil prices, market purchasing willingness has increased [2]. Group 3: Summary According to Relevant Catalogs 1. Price and Index Changes - PTA spot price remained unchanged at 5190 yuan/ton from June 18 to June 19 [2]. - MEG inner - market price increased from 4529 yuan/ton to 4585 yuan/ton, a change of 56 yuan/ton [2]. - PTA closing price rose from 4914 yuan/ton to 4988 yuan/ton, an increase of 74 yuan/ton [2]. - MEG closing price increased from 4471 yuan/ton to 4539 yuan/ton, a rise of 68 yuan/ton [2]. - 1.4D direct - spun polyester staple fiber price increased from 6835 yuan/ton to 6890 yuan/ton, up 55 yuan/ton [2]. - Short - fiber basis decreased from 54 to 25, a reduction of 29 [2]. - 7 - 9 spread increased from 120 to 172, a rise of 52 [2]. - Polyester staple fiber cash flow increased from 240 to 246, an increase of 6 [2]. - 1.4D imitation large - chemical fiber price remained unchanged at 5850 yuan/ton [2]. - The price difference between 1.4D direct - spun and imitation large - chemical fiber increased from 985 to 1040, up 55 [2]. - East China water bottle chip price increased from 6132 yuan/ton to 6214 yuan/ton, a rise of 82 yuan/ton [2]. - Hot - filling polyester bottle chip price increased from 6132 yuan/ton to 6214 yuan/ton, up 82 yuan/ton [2]. - Carbonated - grade polyester bottle chip price increased from 6232 yuan/ton to 6314 yuan/ton, a rise of 82 yuan/ton [2]. - Outer - market water bottle chip price remained unchanged at 815 yuan/ton [2]. - Bottle chip spot processing fee increased from 177 to 241, an increase of 63.24 [2]. - T32S pure polyester yarn price remained unchanged at 10650 yuan/ton [2]. - T32S pure polyester yarn processing fee decreased from 3815 to 3760, a reduction of 55 [2]. - Polyester - cotton yarn 65/35 45S price remained unchanged at 16300 yuan/ton [2]. - Cotton 328 price decreased from 14730 yuan/ton to 14690 yuan/ton, a reduction of 40 yuan/ton [2]. - Polyester - cotton yarn profit decreased from 1200 to 1179, a reduction of 21.34 [2]. - Primary three - dimensional hollow (with silicon) price remained unchanged at 7280 yuan/ton [2]. - Hollow short - fiber 6 - 15D cash flow decreased from 125 to 107, a reduction of 18.76 [2]. - Primary low - melting - point short - fiber price remained unchanged at 7585 yuan/ton [2]. 2. Market Conditions - **Short - fiber Market**: Polyester staple fiber prices of production enterprises were strong, and traders' prices increased. Downstream buyers were cautious about chasing high prices, and on - site transactions were average. The price of 1.56dtex*38mm semi - bright natural white (1.4D) polyester staple fiber in the East China market was 6680 - 6950 yuan/ton (cash on the spot, tax - included, self - pick - up), 6800 - 7070 yuan/ton in the North China market (cash on the spot, tax - included, delivered), and 6780 - 6950 yuan/ton in the Fujian market (cash on the spot, tax - included, delivered) [2]. - **Bottle Chip Market**: The mainstream negotiation price of polyester bottle chips in the Jiangsu and Zhejiang markets was 6200 - 6330 yuan/ton, with the average price rising 50 yuan/ton compared to the previous working day. Polyester raw materials and bottle chip futures were trending upwards. The supply side raised their quotes, but downstream demand was cautious, and the market trading atmosphere was light [2]. 3. Production and Sales and Operating Rates - Direct - spun short - fiber load (weekly) increased from 88.90% to 91.30% [3]. - Polyester staple fiber production and sales decreased from 57.00% to 54.00%, a reduction of 3.00% [3]. - Polyester yarn operating rate (weekly) remained unchanged at 67.00% [3]. - Recycled cotton - type load index (weekly) remained unchanged at 50.40% [3].

入 期 市 市 官 方 网 站 需 有 线 HA 谨 风 www.itf.com.cn 400-8888-598 慎 险 | 玻璃纯碱数据目报 | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | TC 国贸期货 国贸期货研究院出品 | | | | | | | | | 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可[ 2012 ]31号 | | 制表人:黑色金属研究中心 黄志鸡 投资咨询证:Z0015761 从业资格证:F3051824 | | | | | | | 2025/06/20 | 合约 | 1月 | 5月 | 9月 | 1月 | 纯碱 5月 | 9月 | | 1096 - | 收 | 1055 | | 998 | 1165 | 1209 | 1176 | | 涨跌 | | 17 | 12 | 18 18 | 6 | 5 | 6 | | 期货 | 幅度 | 1.64% | 1.11% | 1. 84% | 0.52% | 0.42% | 0.51% | | 5月-9月 | 价量 | 1月-5月 | | 9月-1月 | 1月-5月 | 5月- ...

y m 市 市 站 需 有 谨 风 慎 险 官 方 服 热 线 M www.itf.com.cn 400-8888-598 网 体报告中的信息均源于公开可获得的资料，国贸期货力求准确可靠，但不对上述信息的准确性及完整性权任何保证。本报告不拘成个人找资建议。也未针对个别投资者将殊的投资目标、财务状况或需要，投资 免责声 者需自行列近本就告中的任何意见或建议是否符合其特定材况。据此投资，责任自负。本报告仅同特定客户推进、未经国资期货授权许可，任何引用、转载以及同第三方传输的行为您的面倒数额度数， UH 我司将视情况追究法律责任。期市有风险,入市需谨慎。 ITC 国贸期货 世界500强投资企业 国贸期货有限公司 流的衍生品综合服务商 D7 7 - | | | | | 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2012】31号 | | | ITC 国贸期货 | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | 国贸期货研究院 | | 投资咨询号:Z0015194 | | | | | | | | | 农产品研究中心 | 杨璐琳 | 从业 ...

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Group 2: Core Viewpoint of the Report - Due to the influence of US biodiesel news, soybean oil and palm oil are considered bullish in the short - term. Rapeseed oil is to be put under temporary observation due to the expected easing of China - Canada relations [2] Group 3: Summary of Related Catalogs 1. Spot Price Data - **24 - degree Palm Oil**: On June 19, 2025, prices in Tianjin, Zhangjiagang, and Huangpu were 8870, 8820, and 8800 respectively, with price changes of - 30, - 80, and 0 compared to June 18 [1] - **First - grade Soybean Oil**: On June 19, 2025, prices in Tianjin, Zhangjiagang, and Huangpu were 8320, 8400, and 8360 respectively, with price changes of 70, 50, and 70 compared to June 18 [1] - **Fourth - grade Rapeseed Oil**: On June 19, 2025, prices in Zhangjiagang, Wuhan, and Chengdu were 9900, 9920, and 10100 respectively, with price changes of 0, 0, and 20 compared to June 18 [1] 2. Futures Data - **Spread between Main Contracts**: On June 19, 2025, the spread between soybean and palm oil main contracts was - 386, up 48 from June 18; the spread between rapeseed and soybean oil main contracts was 1539, down 80 from June 18 [1] - **Warehouse Receipts**: On June 19, 2025, palm oil, soybean oil, and rapeseed oil warehouse receipts were 540, 17552, and 100 respectively, with no change compared to June 18 [1] 3. Policy and Trade Data - **US Biodiesel Policy**: EPA's expected biomass diesel BBD blending obligations for 2026 - 2027 are 56.1 and 58.6 billion gallons respectively, exceeding the previous market expectation of 46.5 - 52.5 billion gallons [1] - **Indian Imports**: In May, India's sunflower oil, soybean oil, and palm oil imports were 183555 tons, 398585 tons, and 592888 tons respectively, with month - on - month increases of 1.9%, 10.42%, and 84.44%; the total vegetable oil imports were 1187068 tons, a 33.15% month - on - month increase [1] 4. Production and Inventory Data - **MPOB May Data**: Palm oil production was 1.7716 million tons, a 5.05% month - on - month increase; imports were 67900 tons, an 18.32% month - on - month increase; exports were 1.3872 million tons, a 25.62% month - on - month increase; consumption was 327600 tons, a 3.36% month - on - month decrease; and the ending inventory was 1.9902 million tons, a 6.65% month - on - month increase [1] - **June High - frequency Data**: From June 1 to 15, Malaysia's palm oil production decreased by 4%, and exports increased by 26.3% (ITS data) or 17.77% (Amspec data) compared to the same period last month [1] - **Argentine Soybean Production**: As of June 11, the 24/25 soybean harvest progress in Argentina was 93.2%, 2.8 percentage points behind the same period last year [2] - **US Soybean Production**: As of June 8, the US soybean good - to - excellent rate was 68%, the planting rate was 90%, and the emergence rate was 75% [2] 5. Other Factors - **Weather**: Future two - week precipitation for US soybeans is moderately high, and Malaysia's precipitation is expected to be neutral [1][2] - **Trade Relations**: There is an expectation of easing China - Canada trade relations [2] - **Domestic Supply**: In the short - term, the low rapeseed inventory makes the supply of rapeseed oil tight, but the supply may be supplemented in the far - month due to the expected easing of trade relations [2]

投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2012】31号 ITG国贸期货 | | | | | 聚酯数据日报 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | 国贸期货研究院 | | 投资咨询号:Z0017251 | 2025/6/20 | | | | 能源化工研究中心 | 陈胜 | 从业资格号:F3066728 | | | | 指标 | 2025/6/18 | 2025/6/19 | 变动值 | 行情综述 | | | INE原油(元/桶) | 552. 7 | 570.9 | 18. 20 | 成交情况: PTA: PTA行情上涨,盘中原油行情上涨,部分PTA装置 | | SC | PTA-SC(元/吨) | 897.5 | 839. 2 | -58. 26 | 检修,利好PTA行情。但担忧后期聚酯工厂减产,且仓 单货源流出,现货基差下跌。 | | | PTA/SC(比价) | 1.2234 | 1. 2023 | -0. 0212 | | | PX | CFR中国PX | 888 | 904 | 16 | | | | PX-石脑油价差 | 262 | 271 | 9 | | ...

| | | | 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2012】31号 | | ITG国贸期货 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | | 蜈致据日报 | | | | | | 国贸期货研究院 | 期货从业号:F305427 | 2025/06/20 | | | | | 能源化工研究中心 陈一凡 | 投资咨询证号:Z0015946 | | | 指标 | 晋城无烟煤 | 2025/06/18 900. 00 | 2025/06/19 900. 00 | 涨跌值 0. 00 | 行情评述 | | | 内蒙动力煤 | 630. 00 | 630. 00 | 0.00 | | | | 川渝液化气 | 4350.00 | 4350. 00 | 0. 00 | | | | 国际大然气 太仓 | 13. 10 2670.00 | 12.98 2750.00 | -0.12 80. 00 | 昨日甲醇多地价格小幅上调。西北主 | | | | | | | 产区企业库存低位,下游及贸易商低 | | 肌喷价格 | 内蒙 | 2000. 00 | 2030. 00 | 30. 00 | 价 ...

投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2012】31号 ITG国贸期 图据日报 主能介于品中心 =: F0251925 2025/6/19 费据来源: Wind,国贸期货研究院 | | 行情回顾 | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 指数 | 收盘价 | | 张肤帽(%) | | 成交额(亿元) | | 成交里(亿) | | | 上证50 | 2679. 9218 | | -0.15 | | 621. 34 | | 36. 67 | | | 沪深300 | 3874. 9708 | | 0.12 | | 2305. 54 | | 127.53 | | | 中证1000 | 6135. 3858 | | -0.10 | | 2564. 64 | | 204. 11 | | | | 中金所股指期权成交情况 | | | | | | | | | 指数 | 期权成交望 | 认购期权 | 认沽期权 | 日成交里 | 期权持仓里 | 认购期权 | 认沽期权 | 持仓堂 | | | (万张) | 成交堂 | 成交里 | PCR ...

| 答咨询业务资格:证监许可 | 日度黄峰参考 | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 发布日期: 2025/06 | 业分格号:F02517 | | | | | | | | | 趋势研判 | 行业板块 | 逻辑观点精粹及策略参考 | 品种 | 国内经济基本面支撑较弱,短期国内政策预期不强,海外扰动加 | | | | | | 股指偏弱震荡为主,策略上结合期权工具对冲不确定性。 | 剧, | 资产荒和弱经济利好债期,但短期央行提示利率风险,压制上涨 | 国债 | 震荡 | | | | | | 宏观金融 | 至间。 | 中东局势仍存在较大不确定性,金价短期或震荡为主;中长期上 | 震荡 | 黄金 | 涨逻辑仍旧坚实。 | | | | | 短期需警惕冲高回落风险。GB | 白银 | 震荡 | 近期市场风险偏好反复,而下游需求进入淡季,铜价走高后价格 | 看零 | 국교 | | | | | 存在回调风险。 | 近期国内电解铝库存持续下滑且库存水平偏低,挤仓风险仍存,G | 看多 | | | | | | | | ...

投资咨询业务资格：证监许可【2012】31号 II GER期货 航运衍生品数据日报 | | | | | 国贸期货研究院 能源化工研究中心 卢钊毅 | 投资咨询号：Z0021177 | | 2025/6/19 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | 数据来源：Clarksons、Wind | | 从业资格号:F03101843 | | | | | 运价指数 | 上海出口集装箱运价 | 中国出口集装箱运价 | SCFI-美西 | SCFIS-美西 | SCFI-美东 | SCFI-西北欧 | | | | 综合指数SCFI | 指数CCFI | | | | | | '三三 | 现值 | 2088 | 1243 | 4120 | 2908 | 6745 | 1844 | | Alle | 前值 | 2240 | 1155 | 5606 | 2185 | 6939 | 1667 | | 运 | 涨跌幅 | -6.79% | 7.63% | -26.51% | 33.08% | -2.80% | 10.62% | | יינ | | SCFI ...

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content 2. Core Viewpoints - The central bank uses medium - and short - term liquidity management tools to maintain sufficient liquidity in the banking system. The transformation of the monetary policy framework is a gradual process and will be continuously evaluated and improved [4] - The LuJiaZui Forum focuses on the long - term development of the financial market, with limited short - term boost to the capital market. Domestic factors have weak driving force on stock indices, and overseas uncertainties remain. Stock indices are expected to oscillate weakly in the short term [6] 3. Summary According to Related Content 3.1 Macro - financial Data - **Interest Rates**: DRO01 closed at 1.37 with a - 0.06bp change, DR007 at 1.53 with a 0.40bp change, GC001 at 1.63 with a - 7.00bp change, GC007 at 1.64 with a 2.00bp change, SHBOR 3M at 1.63 with a - 0.40bp change, LPR 5 - year at 3.50 with a - 10.00bp change, 1 - year treasury at 1.36 with a - 1.00bp change, 5 - year treasury at 1.47 with a 0.25bp change, 10 - year treasury at 1.64 with a 0.50bp change, and 10 - year US treasury at 0.00 with a - 7.00bp change [3] - **Central Bank Operations**: The central bank conducted 1563 billion yuan of 7 - day reverse repurchase operations at an interest rate of 1.40% yesterday. With 1640 billion yuan of reverse repurchases maturing, the net withdrawal was 77 billion yuan. This week, 8582 billion yuan of reverse repurchases are due, with 1193 billion and 2025 billion maturing on Thursday and Friday respectively [3][4] 3.2 Stock Index Data - **Index Performance**: The CSI 300 rose 0.12% to 3875, the SSE 50 fell 0.15% to 2680, the CSI 500 fell 0.09% to 5746, and the CSI 1000 fell 0.10% to 6135. The trading volume of the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets was 11911 billion yuan, a decrease of 161 billion yuan from the previous day. Industry sectors had more decliners than gainers [5] - **Futures Contracts**: IF volume increased 10.5% to 105667, and its open interest increased 0.2% to 238264; IH volume decreased 4.4% to 48430, and its open interest decreased 1.5% to 81317; IC volume increased 3.0% to 88945, and its open interest increased 0.4% to 219162; IM volume increased 4.6% to 188199, and its open interest decreased 2.4% to 321988 [5] - **Premium and Discount**: IF premium and discount rates were 13.05% for the current - month contract, 13.74% for the next - month contract, 7.43% for the current - quarter contract, and 5.22% for the next - quarter contract; similar data were provided for IH, IC, and IM contracts [7] 3.3 LuJiaZui Forum - The 2025 LuJiaZui Forum focused on promoting financial opening and enhancing the financial market's support for industries. It had limited short - term impact on the capital market, and expectations for further monetary policy easing and equity market rescue tools were not met [6]