1. Report Title and Date - The report is titled "Commercial Real Estate REITs Officially Pilot, Usher in a New Stage of High - quality Development - December Report on the Public REITs Market in 2025" and was published on January 5, 2026 [2][3] 2. Report Industry Investment Rating - The provided content does not mention the industry investment rating. 3. Core Viewpoints - China's REITs market has entered the fast - lane of high - quality development. The official pilot of commercial real estate REITs was launched in December 2025 with a series of policy combinations. The REITs market declined in volume in December 2025, with concession - based REITs experiencing a deep correction. The subscription of China Nuclear Clean Energy REIT was highly popular offline, while Huaxia Anbo Warehouse Logistics REIT broke below the issue price on its first trading day. There will be no restricted - share unlocks of REITs in January 2026, and new applications for 4 REITs were accepted in the second half of December 2025 [4] 4. Summary by Directory 4.1 Commercial Real Estate REITs Officially Pilot, Policy Combinations Landed - **Commercial Real Estate REITs Pilot**: On December 31, 2025, the China Securities Regulatory Commission officially launched the pilot of commercial real estate REITs. The official version only made minor adjustments to the product definition compared with the solicitation draft, clarifying the holding path of "public fund - ABS - SPV - underlying assets" [7] - **Promoting High - quality Development of the REITs Market**: The CSRC issued a notice to promote high - quality development, including supporting "mixed - asset" REITs, expanding the scope of original equity holders, accelerating the construction of the REITs market system, and improving the REITs application and registration system [12] - **Exchange Rule Adjustments**: The Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Exchanges adjusted relevant rules, including single - item review requirements for different assets, allowing "high - price elimination" in offline sales, clarifying disclosure requirements for different business forms of commercial real estate, and standardizing the review process [20][22][26] - **Industry Association Rule Adjustments**: The China Securities Association adjusted the rules for offline investors of REITs, making the offline management of real estate REITs more in line with that of Shanghai and Shenzhen new stocks, tightening access thresholds, adding 10 prohibited behaviors, and upgrading penalties [27][30][33] 4.2 Rebound after Oversold in the Second Half of December, Concession - based Assets Under Greater Pressure - **Overall Index Performance**: In December 2025, the CSI REITs Total Return Index declined overall but rebounded after being oversold on December 24, with a monthly decline of 2.9%. It achieved an annual increase of 4.34% in 2025 [42] - **Asset - type Performance**: In December 2025, only the IDC index rose by 1.23%, while other types of REITs indexes declined. Concession - based assets such as utilities, transportation, and energy had the deepest declines. In 2025, all asset - type indexes achieved positive returns, with consumer, warehouse logistics, and rental housing leading the gains [48] - **Individual Bond Performance**: In December 2025, the proportion of rising and falling individual REITs bonds was 29% and 71% respectively. Two IDC - REITs rose, and warehouse logistics and industrial parks also had a certain proportion of rising bonds, while concession - based assets had a large number of falling bonds [54] - **Turnover Rate**: In December 2025, the average daily turnover rate of Shanghai and Shenzhen REITs was 0.40%, the lowest monthly level of the year. The turnover rate of rental housing decreased the most [56] - **Dividend Yield**: As of December 31, 2025, the dividend yield of equity - based REITs was 4.60% (at the 61% quantile), and that of concession - based REITs was 9.12% (at the 90% quantile). The spread between REITs and stocks/bonds was at the 60% - 70% quantile [60][64][66] - **Valuation**: The latest P/NAV of equity - based REITs was 1.22X, at the 65% historical quantile; the latest P/FFO of concession - based REITs was 12.27X, at the 30% historical quantile [72] - **IRR**: The latest IRR of equity - based and concession - based REITs was 4.2% and 5.4% respectively, both at around the 40% quantile and significantly higher than the previous period [77] 4.3 High Offline Popularity of China Nuclear Clean Energy, Deep Break - below of Anbo Logistics on the First Day - **New Issues in December 2025**: In December 2025, Huaxia China Nuclear Clean Energy REIT conducted offline price inquiries with an issuance scale of 1.505 billion yuan, and Huaxia Anbo Warehouse Logistics REIT was listed on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange [82] - **Issuance Scale and Subscription**: The offline top - up subscription scale of China Nuclear Clean Energy REIT was 316 million yuan, lower than that of Huaxia Anbo Warehouse Logistics REIT in November. The offline subscription of China Nuclear Clean Energy REIT was highly popular, with the number of participating products ranking second in history and a subscription multiple of 340 times [84][91] - **Pricing and Dividend Yield**: China Nuclear Clean Energy REIT was priced close to the upper limit, with the issuance price only 0.01% lower than the "lower of the two". Its expected dividend yield in 2026 was 4.71%, lower than comparable energy - type REITs [94][95] - **Subscription Rate and Listing Performance**: The offline product/subscription amount入围率 of China Nuclear Clean Energy REIT increased compared with November, but the offline placement ratio dropped significantly to 0.29%. Huaxia Anbo Warehouse Logistics REIT fell 10% on its first listing day [98][102] - **Offline Subscription Yield**: After excluding extreme values, from January to December 2025, the absolute returns of 50 million/100 million yuan of funds for offline REITs subscriptions were 1.7098 million/3.4195 million yuan respectively, with a corresponding offline yield of 3.42% [103] 4.4 No Restricted - share Unlocks of REITs in January 2026 - According to the announcements of Shanghai and Shenzhen REITs in the second half of December 2025, there will be no restricted - share unlocks of REITs in January 2026. Huatai Zijin Baowan Logistics Warehouse REIT and Guojin China Railway Construction Expressway REIT plan to conduct follow - on offerings [109] 4.5 Four New Applications Accepted, Shanxi Jinzhong Heating REIT Updates Response Materials - **Queuing Projects**: In the second half of December 2025, 4 new REITs applications were accepted. Shanxi Jinzhong Gongtou Ruiyang Heating REIT updated its response materials after answering the inquiry letter [111] - **Bidding Information**: In the second half of December 2025, the bidding information of 1 public REIT was updated, and GF Fund won the bid for the infrastructure REIT project of Southern Xinjiang Energy Group [112]

Core Insights - The report highlights Nanshan Aluminum (600219) as a rare growth target in the electrolytic aluminum sector, emphasizing its dividend and buyback strategies as indicators of confidence in future performance [2][9][11] - The report also covers Hanhigh Group (001221), which is positioned as a high-growth company focusing on cost reduction and brand strength to create high-end cost-performance products [10][12] Nanshan Aluminum (600219) Summary - Expected net profit for 2025, 2026, and 2027 is projected at 5.0 billion, 5.46 billion, and 5.84 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 12, 11, and 10 times [3][11] - The company is anticipated to benefit from the expansion of alumina production in Indonesia, which will enhance its performance due to cost advantages [11] - The report assigns a target P/E of 13 times for 2026, indicating a potential upside of 15% from the current price [3][11] - The company has a production capacity of 680,000 tons of electrolytic aluminum, with expectations for aluminum prices to rise in 2026 due to a slowdown in global supply growth [11] Hanhigh Group (001221) Summary - Revenue projections for Hanhigh Group are set at 3.595 billion, 4.525 billion, and 5.653 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, with net profits of 706 million, 942 million, and 1.237 billion yuan respectively [10][14] - The company is expected to maintain a lower valuation compared to its peers, with P/E ratios of 33, 24, and 19 times for the respective years [10][14] - Hanhigh Group's growth is driven by cost reduction strategies and a focus on high-quality, high-performance products, which have gained market recognition [12][14] Investment Recommendations - Both Nanshan Aluminum and Hanhigh Group are given "Outperform" ratings, indicating a positive outlook for their stock performance relative to the market [3][10] - The report suggests that Nanshan Aluminum's unique position in the electrolytic aluminum market and Hanhigh Group's strong growth trajectory make them attractive investment opportunities [2][10]

Group 1: Quantum Technology - The "quantum + supercomputing" integration innovation platform has been established in Chengdu, deploying China's first 550-qubit coherent optical quantum computer, achieving a synergy between classical high-performance computing and quantum computing [7][8] - The deployment of the 550-qubit quantum computer fills the gap in mid-western China for quantum computing capabilities and complements eastern regions like Hefei and Beijing [8] Group 2: Biomanufacturing - The first sugar science key laboratory in Beijing has been approved, co-established by Huaxi Biological and Peking University, focusing on precise manufacturing and functional applications of sugars [10][11] - Huaxi Biological aims to leverage this laboratory to enhance its capabilities in synthetic biology, expanding from hyaluronic acid production to comprehensive sugar biological research [11] Group 3: Hydrogen Energy and Nuclear Fusion - The world's first 30 MW pure hydrogen gas turbine has achieved stable operation, marking a significant step in hydrogen energy transitioning from a "power consumer" to a "grid regulator" [12][14] - The EAST nuclear fusion device has confirmed the existence of a density-free zone, providing critical physical evidence for efficient fusion reactor operation [18][19] - The ITER correction coil procurement package has been fully manufactured, showcasing China's 100% independent research and development capabilities in key components for nuclear fusion [22] Group 4: Brain-Computer Interface - Neuralink plans to begin mass production of brain-computer interface devices in 2026, aiming to automate surgical procedures and enhance device performance [24][25] - The "Beijing Brain One" system has been implanted in five spinal cord injury patients, with plans for clinical trials to start in mid-2026 [28][29] - The "Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area Brain Science and Central Nervous System AI Innovation Alliance" has been launched, with a total fund of 1.16 billion yuan for brain science projects [30] Group 5: Embodied Intelligence - Woan Robot has been listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, focusing on household scenarios with plans to launch a humanoid household robot in January 2026 [32][33] - The "Shangwei Qiyuan" brand has entered the personal robot market with the release of the world's first small-sized humanoid robot, emphasizing its application in research and interaction [37][38] Group 6: Future Industry Catalysts - A table has been compiled detailing key catalytic events for six future industries in 2026, including important conferences and technological milestones [40][41]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight" indicating that the industry is expected to outperform the overall market [4][5]. Core Insights - The report highlights that the industry is experiencing increased losses, with a gradual reduction in production capacity beginning. It recommends a left-side layout in the pig farming sector, particularly focusing on companies like Muyuan Foods, Wens Foodstuff, and others [4][5]. - The report notes a significant rebound in pig prices before New Year's, primarily due to seasonal demand and reduced supply, but warns that this price increase may not be sustainable in the coming quarters [4][5]. - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring the progress of production capacity reduction and suggests that the pet sector may present investment opportunities as valuations shift at the year's end [4][5]. Summary by Sections Market Performance - The Shenwan Agricultural, Forestry, Animal Husbandry, and Fishery Index rose by 0.1%, while the CSI 300 Index fell by 0.6%. The top five gainers included Hualu Biological (6.5%) and Muyuan Foods (5.5%), while the top five losers included Guotou Zhonglu (-10.8%) and Luoniushan (-9.6%) [4][5]. Pig Farming - The report indicates that the average selling price of live pigs was 12.44 CNY/kg as of January 4, with a week-on-week increase of 0.2%. However, the industry continues to face losses, with small-scale farms reporting a loss of 10.29 CNY per pig and larger farms reporting a loss of 28.31 CNY per pig [4][5]. Beef and Chicken Farming - The report discusses the implementation of country-specific quotas and additional tariffs on imported beef, which is expected to reduce pressure on domestic beef prices. The average price for fattened bulls was 25.47 CNY/kg, showing a slight decrease [4][5]. - In chicken farming, the average selling price for white feather broilers reached a new high of 3.80 CNY/kg, with a week-on-week increase of 4.7% [4][5]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies such as Muyuan Foods, Wens Foodstuff, Dekang Animal Husbandry, and others in the pig farming sector. It also suggests monitoring the pet food sector for potential investment opportunities as valuations may shift [4][5].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" outlook on the non-bank financial sector for 2026, indicating strong upward momentum for the industry [3][4]. Core Insights - The brokerage sector is expected to experience a significant upward breakthrough in 2026, driven by improved chip structure, reduced turnover rates, and a favorable valuation environment. The sector is currently undervalued compared to its earnings potential [4]. - The insurance sector shows signs of stabilization post the interest rate switch, with premium growth expected to improve in 2026, particularly in the life insurance segment [4]. - Regulatory changes, including the completion of public fund fee reforms, are anticipated to benefit the non-bank financial sector by reducing costs for investors and enhancing market participation [4][22]. Summary by Sections Market Review - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4,629.94 with a decline of 0.59% over the week. The non-bank index fell by 1.84%, with brokerages and insurance indices declining by 1.37% and 3.33%, respectively [8][10]. Non-Bank Financial Insights - The brokerage sector's index underperformed the Shanghai Composite Index by 0.78 percentage points in 2025, with a total decline of 2.05% for the year. In contrast, major A-share indices saw significant gains [4]. - The insurance sector's original premium income reached 5.76 trillion yuan from January to November 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 7.6%. The life insurance segment grew by 9.2% during the same period [4][31]. Investment Analysis - For brokerages, the report recommends focusing on leading firms with strong competitive advantages, such as Guotai Junan and CITIC Securities, as well as those with high earnings elasticity like Huatai Securities [4]. - In the insurance sector, companies like China Life and Ping An are highlighted for their potential in the upcoming market revaluation, with a focus on the growth of new business premiums [4]. Regulatory Developments - The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) has implemented new rules for public real estate investment trusts (REITs), expanding financing options for commercial properties [21]. - The completion of the public fund fee reform is expected to lower overall fund costs by approximately 20%, saving investors around 51 billion yuan annually [22].

Group 1: Nanshan Aluminum (南山铝业) - Nanshan Aluminum is positioned as a rare growth target in the electrolytic aluminum sector, with a focus on dividends and share buybacks, reflecting confidence in its growth potential [4][12] - The company is expected to achieve net profits of CNY 5.0 billion, CNY 5.46 billion, and CNY 5.84 billion for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, corresponding to P/E ratios of 12x, 11x, and 10x [4][12] - The report anticipates a 15% upside potential based on a target P/E of 13x for 2026, indicating a favorable valuation compared to peer companies [4][12] - Key assumptions include increased alumina production from Indonesia, with projected sales volumes of 2.76 million tons in 2025, 4.36 million tons in 2026, and 4.56 million tons in 2027 [12] - The report highlights that domestic electrolytic aluminum capacity is nearing its peak, while global supply growth is slowing, suggesting a favorable supply-demand balance for the industry [12] Group 2: Hanhigh Group (悍高集团) - Hanhigh Group is expected to achieve revenues of CNY 3.595 billion, CNY 4.525 billion, and CNY 5.653 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with net profits of CNY 706 million, CNY 942 million, and CNY 1.237 billion [4][15] - The company is rated as "Buy" based on its current valuation being below the average of comparable companies for 2026 [4][15] - Hanhigh Group's growth is driven by cost reduction and brand strength, with a CAGR of 29% in revenue and 59% in net profit from 2019 to 2024 [12][13] - The company focuses on product innovation and cost efficiency, leveraging its own production capacity to enhance profitability [12][13] Group 3: Market Overview and Investment Strategy - The report identifies a favorable market environment for the spring season, with expectations of continued upward momentum in the stock market due to improved economic indicators and liquidity [22] - The "Top Ten Gold Stocks" for January 2026 include companies like Hualu Hengsheng, Lingyi Zhi Zao, and Alibaba, indicating a diversified investment strategy across sectors [14][22] - The automotive industry is highlighted for its recovery potential, particularly with the introduction of new subsidies and the expected improvement in demand for mid-range vehicles [24]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the food and beverage industry, particularly on the liquor sector, with a focus on high-quality companies for long-term investment [3][7]. Core Insights - The report emphasizes the importance of domestic demand, which has been highlighted by authoritative media and government officials since mid-December 2025. It notes that the high-end liquor prices have recently declined, indicating a market shift towards finding a balance between volume and price [3][7]. - For 2026, the report anticipates a double-digit decline in sales volume in Q1, with a potential stabilization in Q2 and a turning point in fundamentals by Q3. If the fundamentals recover as expected, a dual boost in valuation and performance is anticipated towards the end of 2026 and into 2027 [3][7]. - The report recommends several key liquor companies, including Luzhou Laojiao, Shanxi Fenjiu, Guizhou Moutai, and Wuliangye, while also suggesting attention to other brands like Yingjia Gongjiu and Jinhuijiu [3][7]. - In the consumer goods sector, the report highlights opportunities in the supply chain related to condiments, frozen foods, and dairy products, recommending companies such as Anjijia, Yili, and Qianhe Flavoring [3][10]. Summary by Sections 1. Food and Beverage Weekly Insights - The food and beverage sector experienced a decline of 2.26% last week, with liquor down 2.79%, underperforming the broader market [6][33]. - The report notes that the liquor sector's performance is closely tied to the upcoming Spring Festival, with expectations of improved market conditions compared to the previous months [11]. 2. Market Performance of Food and Beverage Sectors - The report indicates that the food and beverage industry underperformed the Shenwan A index by 1.95 percentage points, with the liquor sector lagging behind by 2.48 percentage points [33][34]. 3. Key Company Updates - Guizhou Moutai announced a significant adjustment to its online sales strategy, which is expected to have a profound impact on both the company and the industry. The adjustment includes a new product matrix aimed at better consumer engagement and market pricing [8][11]. - The report also mentions that Moutai's product prices have seen a decline, with the retail price for its flagship product dropping to 1490 yuan per bottle, reflecting a broader trend in the high-end liquor market [8][19].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" outlook on the cosmetics and medical beauty industry [2]. Core Insights - The cosmetics and medical beauty sector outperformed the market, with the Shenwan Beauty Care Index rising by 0.2% from December 26 to December 31, 2025, while the Shenwan Cosmetics Index increased by 1.0% [4][5]. - Lin Qingxuan successfully completed its IPO on December 30, 2025, attracting significant investor attention. The company, founded in 2003, reported a revenue growth from 690 million yuan in 2022 to 1.21 billion yuan in 2024, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 32.7% [4][10]. - Upward confidence in the company is reflected in the share buyback by senior management at Shangmei Co., with a total of 835,900 shares purchased in December 2025, amounting to approximately 66.32 million HKD [4][10]. Summary by Sections Industry Performance - The cosmetics and medical beauty sector showed strong performance, with the Shenwan Beauty Care Index increasing by 0.2% during the specified period, outperforming the market [4][5]. - The top-performing stocks included Yanjiang Co. (+14.3%), Shuiyang Co. (+9.5%), and Qingsong Co. (+7.0%), while Shangmei Co. saw a decline of 18.6% [6]. Key Company Updates - Lin Qingxuan's IPO on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange was a significant event, marking it as a leading high-end domestic skincare brand. The company has a strong market presence with a focus on camellia oil-based products [4][10]. - Shangmei Co. demonstrated management confidence through share buybacks, indicating a positive outlook for future growth [4][10]. E-commerce and AI Integration - The report highlights the robust foundation of the e-commerce agency business, particularly for companies like Yiwan Yichuang, which is leveraging AI to enhance operational efficiency and performance [11][12]. - The e-commerce agency sector is experiencing a resurgence, driven by increased demand for brand representation on platforms like Alibaba [12][13]. Market Data - The retail sales of cosmetics in China for the first eleven months of 2025 reached 428.5 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 4.8% [16]. - The report indicates that the market for PDRN components is expected to reach 285 million USD globally by 2029, with China projected to capture 34% of this market [21]. Competitive Landscape - The domestic skincare market is becoming increasingly competitive, with local brands gaining market share against international competitors. The report notes that local brands now occupy five of the top ten positions in market share [24]. - The report anticipates that the trend of domestic brands gaining market share will continue, particularly in the context of rising consumer preference for local products [24].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the coal industry, indicating a "Look Favorably" rating due to expected price increases driven by seasonal demand and stricter safety regulations [1]. Core Insights - The report highlights that as of January 4, 2026, the spot prices for thermal coal at Qinhuangdao port have increased, with Q4500, Q5000, and Q5500 grades priced at 505, 593, and 682 RMB/ton respectively, reflecting week-on-week increases of 18, 14, and 6 RMB/ton [1]. - Supply-side constraints are noted, with a decrease in daily coal inflow to the Bohai Rim ports, down to 1.3888 million tons, a reduction of 116,300 tons week-on-week [1]. - Demand is supported by ongoing cold weather, leading to improved daily consumption, which has risen to 1.6768 million tons, an increase of 85,600 tons week-on-week [1]. - The report anticipates that the combination of high consumption levels and reduced production from high-cost mines will support thermal coal prices moving forward [1]. - For coking coal, prices remain stable, with Shanxi Anze low-sulfur coking coal priced at 1600 RMB/ton as of January 4, 2026 [1]. Summary by Sections Recent Industry Policies and Dynamics - The report discusses the implementation of a "benchmark price + floating price" mechanism for long-term contracts for thermal coal, with prices set at 540, 483, and 453 RMB/ton for different regions [7]. - It also mentions increased regulatory scrutiny on safety measures in coal mining, particularly during the winter heating season [7]. Price Trends - The report notes that the average daily consumption of coal has increased by 3.94% week-on-week, while the inventory of major power generation groups has decreased by 11.8% [3]. - The Bohai Rim coal inventory has decreased to 27.127 million tons, down 191,500 tons week-on-week, indicating a 6.59% drop [20]. International Oil Prices - Brent crude oil prices have increased slightly to 60.75 USD/barrel, reflecting a 0.18% rise week-on-week [15]. - The report highlights the relationship between international oil prices and coal prices, noting a rise in the ratio of international oil prices to international coal prices [15]. Company Valuation - The report provides a valuation table for key companies in the coal sector, including China Shenhua, Shaanxi Coal, and Yanzhou Coal, with various earnings per share (EPS) and price-to-earnings (PE) ratios forecasted for the coming years [32].

Group 1 - The report indicates a shift towards a weaker economic outlook, with liquidity remaining slightly loose and credit indicators showing slight improvement. The macro dimensions suggest a continued trend of weak economy, loose liquidity, and credit contraction [2][8][14] - The asset allocation strategy emphasizes high dividend and low volatility configurations, focusing on factors that are insensitive to economic and credit conditions. The top scoring factors are centered around profitability and dividends, with significant improvements in dividend scores [5][9][30] - The report maintains a high allocation to gold, suggesting a 20% upper limit due to ongoing momentum, while bond views have improved but remain low due to other asset influences [2][27] Group 2 - Economic forward indicators are trending weak, entering the initial phase of a decline since December 2025, with expectations of continued downward movement. Key indicators such as PMI and retail sales are in a downward cycle [14][19] - Liquidity conditions have returned to a slightly loose state, with interest rates stabilizing and short-term rates slightly declining, indicating a shift back to a neutral signal [21][24] - Credit indicators show slight improvement in social financing year-on-year, although the structure of loans to households and enterprises has decreased, indicating a preference in credit indicators [25][26] Group 3 - The market focus remains on PPI, which has surpassed economic indicators in attention, highlighting market concerns regarding future demand recovery [28][29] - Industry selection is biased towards weak cyclical sectors, with top scoring industries including computer and food and beverage sectors, which are less sensitive to economic and credit fluctuations [30][31]