Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Outperform the Market," indicating that the overall return of the industry is expected to exceed the market benchmark index by more than 5% over the next 6 months [7][13]. Core Insights - The P1000 project has shown significant benefits in Q2 2025, with production increasing by 77% quarter-on-quarter, while costs decreased by 7.7% [2][5]. - In Q2 2025, the production of lithium concentrate was 221,000 tons, reflecting a quarter-on-quarter increase of 77% due to the completion of the P1000 expansion [3]. - The average selling price of lithium concentrate in Q2 2025 was $599 per ton, a decrease of 17% compared to the previous quarter [4]. - The FOB cost in Q2 2025 was $397 per ton, down 7.7% quarter-on-quarter, attributed to increased production and improved cost efficiency from the P1000 project [5]. - The actual production for FY 2025 was 755,000 tons, exceeding guidance, while the guidance for FY 2026 is set at 820,000 to 870,000 tons [6]. Summary by Sections Production and Sales - In Q2 2025, the production of lithium concentrate was 221,000 tons, with a quarter-on-quarter increase of 77% due to the P1000 expansion [3]. - Sales of SC5.1 concentrate reached 216,000 tons, reflecting a quarter-on-quarter increase of 72.2% [3]. Pricing and Costs - The selling price of lithium concentrate in Q2 2025 was $599 per ton, down 17% from the previous quarter [4]. - The FOB cost was $397 per ton, a decrease of 7.7% quarter-on-quarter, driven by increased production and cost efficiency [5]. Project Progress - The Australian midstream demonstration plant project is on track for completion by Q4 2025 [6]. - The Brazil Colina project is progressing with directional exploration, with results expected in Q2 2026 [6]. - The joint venture with POSCO produced 3,037 tons of lithium hydroxide in Q2 2025, with ongoing certification processes for additional production lines [6]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies such as Zhongjin, Yongxing, Ganfeng, Tianqi, Yahua, Guocheng, Shengxin, Jiangte, and Rongjie, anticipating price increases driven by seasonal demand and production adjustments [7].

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Outperform the Market" indicating that the overall return of the industry is expected to exceed the market benchmark index by more than 5% over the next 6 months [14]. Core Insights - The report highlights a significant increase in capital expenditures among major North American cloud providers, with Q2 capital expenditures reported as follows: Google at $22.4 billion (+70% YoY), Microsoft at $24.2 billion (+27% YoY), Meta at $17 billion (+101% YoY), and Amazon at $32.2 billion (+83% YoY) [3]. - The upward revisions in capital expenditure forecasts for 2025 by these companies reflect strong demand for cloud products and services, with Google increasing its forecast from $75 billion to $85 billion, Microsoft expecting over $30 billion in the next quarter, Meta adjusting its range from $64-72 billion to $66-72 billion, and Amazon indicating that Q2 expenditures represent the level for the second half of the year [3]. - The report emphasizes the ongoing competition and iteration in AI models, suggesting that capital expenditures related to computing power will remain high, further reinforced by the strong Q2 earnings reports and future guidance [3]. Summary by Sections Industry Dynamics - The report notes a substantial increase in inference computing power consumption, which has seen a multiplicative growth this year, driven by the demand for training-related computing power. As of May 2025, the daily token usage for the Doubao large model exceeded 16.4 trillion, a 137-fold increase from the previous year [4]. - Google reported that the monthly token processing volume reached 980 trillion, doubling from April's figure, indicating significant growth in user engagement and demand for AI applications [4]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests that the AI industry trend has been reinforced this year, driven by a substantial increase in inference demand, leading to sustained growth in AI capital expenditures. It highlights the importance of PCB in the AI hardware supply chain, with a recommendation to focus on companies such as Huadian Co., Shenghong Technology, Shennan Circuit, and others due to expected benefits from supply-demand dynamics [5]. - Additionally, it recommends monitoring server manufacturing firms like Industrial Fulian and liquid cooling supply chain companies such as Invec and Sihua New Materials [5].

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Outperform the Market" [5][58] Core Viewpoints - The report indicates a significant decline in antimony production and imports, with June 2025 antimony ingot production at 4,989 tons, down 22% month-on-month and 24% year-on-year [3][19] - The report suggests that domestic supply and demand are both weak, with major manufacturers maintaining prices while waiting for export recovery [5][51] Summary by Sections 1. Upstream Antimony Ore - In June 2025, antimony ore imports were 1,824 tons, a decrease of 22% month-on-month and 60% year-on-year [3][11] - The average import price for antimony ore in June was $2,960 per ton, down 64% month-on-month and 44% year-on-year [11] 2. Midstream Antimony Ingots - Antimony ingot production in June was 4,989 tons, a decrease of 22% month-on-month and 24% year-on-year [19] - Cumulative exports for the first half of 2025 were 267 tons, down 84% year-on-year [21] 3. Midstream Antimony Oxide - Antimony oxide production in June was 5,315 tons, down 32% month-on-month and 38% year-on-year [26] - Cumulative exports for the first half of 2025 were 4,651 tons, down 73% year-on-year [28] 4. Downstream Demand - Chemical fiber production in June was 7.36 million tons, up 0.2% month-on-month and 4.7% year-on-year [31] - The production of polyester products increased by 13% year-on-year in the first half of 2025 [33] 5. Supply and Prices - As of July 31, 2025, the price of antimony ingots was 187,500 yuan per ton, an increase of 17% year-on-year [43] - The report notes a tightening supply trend for antimony in 2025, with a significant decrease in imports [43] 6. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies like Hunan Gold and Huaxi Nonferrous Metals, which are expected to benefit from dual drivers in the antimony market [5][51]

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Outperform the Market" indicating that the overall return of the industry is expected to exceed the market benchmark index by more than 5% in the next 6 months [103]. Core Insights - In June, lithium supply and demand were basically balanced, with supply at 10.5 million tons and demand at 10.6 million tons, showing a slight decrease of 0.6% and 0.1% respectively compared to the previous month [4][88]. - The cumulative surplus in the lithium market for the first half of 2025 was 33,000 tons, with total supply of 624,500 tons, a year-on-year increase of 34.1%, and total demand of 591,300 tons, a year-on-year increase of 39.3% [88]. - The report highlights a significant increase in lithium carbonate prices in July, driven by supply-side disruptions and seasonal demand increases expected in September [5][91]. Supply Side Summary - In June, lithium ore imports totaled 396,000 tons, a year-on-year decrease of 16.5% and a month-on-month decrease of 18.1%, with Australia accounting for 256,000 tons, down 26.9% year-on-year [2][12]. - The total lithium salt supply for the first half of 2025 was 624,500 tons, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 34% [35]. - The apparent consumption of lithium carbonate in June was 91,000 tons, with domestic production at 74,000 tons, showing a month-on-month increase of 11.7% [3][20]. Demand Side Summary - The apparent consumption of lithium hydroxide in June was 15,000 tons, with a year-on-year increase of 41.8% [26][27]. - The demand for lithium salts from power batteries increased by 59.8% year-on-year in the first half of 2025, with total demand reaching 393,900 tons [79]. - The production and sales of new energy vehicles in the first half of 2025 increased by 41.4% and 40.3% year-on-year, respectively [80]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies such as Zhongmin, Yongxing, Ganfeng, Tianqi, Yahua, Guocheng, Shengxin, Jiangte, and Rongjie, anticipating price increases driven by production adjustments and seasonal demand [5][97].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report emphasizes the AH dual-market rotation strategy, aiming to construct a more favorable dividend+ portfolio by analyzing the driving factors of dividends in A-shares and H-shares [2][8] - The August AH dividend rotation indicator is set at 50% A-share dividends and 50% H-share dividends, indicating a neutral stance with an indicator value of 50, and an accuracy of 69% for the period from 2024 to June 2025 [3][8] Group 2 - The report references previous related reports, including the "Dividend+: AH Dual-Market Rotation Strategy" published on February 17, 2025, and subsequent updates on March 2 and April 3, 2025, which discuss the timing and construction of the dividend+ portfolio [4][8] - The report utilizes various driving factors such as the US disturbance index and A-share seasonal effects, which have exceeded threshold levels, to inform the dividend rotation strategy [3][8]

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Outperform the Market," indicating that the overall return of the industry is expected to exceed the market benchmark index by more than 5% in the next 6 months [6][13]. Core Insights - The nuclear power sector in China is showing robust performance, with a total of 58 operational nuclear units and an installed capacity of 61,007.74 MWe as of June 30, 2025. The cumulative electricity generation from nuclear power reached 230.086 billion kWh, accounting for 5.08% of the national electricity generation, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 8.06% [3][4]. - The safety standards are being met, with no significant operational incidents reported in the first half of 2025. Environmental monitoring shows no abnormalities, and several key projects have made significant progress, enhancing nuclear technology development [4][5]. - Nuclear power is recognized as a crucial force in promoting the green energy transition due to its clean, safe, and efficient characteristics. It has the highest annual utilization hours among all power sources, consistently exceeding 7,000 hours, and does not emit harmful pollutants during production [5]. Summary by Sections Operational Performance - As of June 30, 2025, China has 58 operational nuclear power units with a total installed capacity of 61,007.74 MWe. In the first half of 2025, one new unit was commissioned, and the cumulative electricity generation was 230.086 billion kWh, marking an 8.06% increase year-on-year [3]. - The average utilization hours for nuclear power units were recorded at 3,868.71 hours, with a capacity factor of 92.46% [3]. Safety and Project Development - No INES Level 1 or higher incidents occurred in the first half of 2025, and radioactive emissions were below regulatory limits. Significant advancements were made in various nuclear projects, including the completion of hot testing for the Zhangzhou Nuclear Power Unit 2 and the installation of the main pump for Hainan's "Linglong No. 1" [4]. Investment Opportunities - The report suggests focusing on several companies within the nuclear sector, including: 1. Jiadian Co., which leads in helium fan technology for fourth-generation high-temperature gas-cooled reactors [5]. 2. Guoguang Electric, a key supplier for the ITER project [5]. 3. Lanshi Heavy Industry, which covers the entire nuclear fuel cycle [5]. 4. Kexin Electromechanical, which has developed high-temperature gas-cooled reactor products [5]. 5. Hailu Heavy Industry, servicing various reactor types including third and fourth generation [5]. 6. Jiangsu Shentong, which has secured over 90% of orders for nuclear-grade valves in new nuclear projects [5]. 7. Xianheng International, whose products are used in the operation and maintenance of nuclear power [5].

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Outperform the Market" [15] Core Insights - The weekend box office exceeded 3.7 billion yuan, with significant attention on films scheduled for August [2][3] - The summer box office has reached a new high, with diverse genres including animation and anti-war films [3] - The animated film "Wang Wang Mountain Little Monster" has achieved a box office of 1.33 billion yuan within two days of release [3][4] - The anti-war film "Nanjing Photo Studio," produced by China Film, is projected to have a total box office of 4.12 billion yuan [5] Summary by Sections Industry Dynamics - The summer box office on August 2 and 3 reached 3.7 billion yuan and 3.8 billion yuan respectively, marking a record for the past 25 years [3] - The film "Nanjing Photo Studio" debuted with a box office of 3.81 billion yuan in its first week, becoming a major success [5] - The film "731," directed by Zhao Linshan, is set to be released on September 18, with high anticipation reflected in its viewership metrics [5] Investment Recommendations - Recommended companies to focus on include Shanghai Film, China Film, Happiness Blue Sea, Wanda Film, and Hengdian Film [6] - Distribution focus should be on Maoyan Entertainment, while cinema chains like Wanda Film and Happiness Blue Sea are also highlighted [6]

行 华福证券 轨交设备Ⅱ 2025 年 08 月 04 日 业 研 究 轨交设备Ⅱ 暑运过半，全国铁路发送旅客超 4.4 亿人次 投资要点： 客运服务提质，出行选择多元 行 业 定 期 报 告 2025 年 7 月 1 日至 31 日暑运过半，全国铁路累计发送旅客 4.41 亿人次，同比增长 4.3%，日均 1421.3 万人次。铁路部门通过增开临客、 灵活调整运力、储备应急资源提升客运能力，开行亲子游、红色游等 特色旅游列车及跨境列车，优化购票、换乘等站车服务，满足旅客多 样化需求。 物资运输保障，汛期安全可控 铁路部门保障重点物资运输，7 月发送电煤 1.2 亿吨，确保电厂存 煤充足，同时畅通粮食、抢险物资运输及国际联运。汛期落实防汛措 施，排查设备、应对极端天气，通过停运、限速等方式规避风险，及 时发布资讯并做好票务服务，保障运输安全。 营业里程持续增长，20 万公里目标创造广阔市场空间 2022 年国务院印发《"十四五"现代综合交通运输体系发展规划》， 明确提出到 2025 年，铁路营业里程达到 16.5 万公里，其中高速铁路营 业里程达到 5 万公里；2020 年国铁集团出台《新时代交通强国铁路先 ...

行 有色金属 2025 年 08 月 04 日 业 研 究 行 业 动 态 跟 有色金属 2025Q2 海外锂矿项目跟踪——MRL：Marion 产 量环比-11%，Wodgina 成本环比-17% 投资要点： 澳洲 Mt Marion 锂辉石矿（MRL 50%/赣锋 50%） 券 点评：Wodgina 收率提升、产量增加、成本下降 踪 1）产销：25Q2 生产精矿 12.4 万吨，同环比-30%/-11%，平均品 位提升至 4.6%，同环比+0.4/+0.2pct，平均出货品位提升，主因原料质 量提高、现有磨矿回转窑系统进一步优化，以及改造后的湿式高强度 磁选机成功试运行并逐步投产；销售 SC4.6 精矿 13.4 万吨（折合 SC6 约 10.4 万吨），同环比-30%/-2.9%。 2） 售价：实现销售价格 480 美元/吨（SC4.6），同比-40%，环比 -24%。折合 SC6 为 607 美元/吨。25 财年实现销售价格 562 美元/吨 （SC4.4），折合 SC6 为 771 美元/吨。 3）成本：2025Q2 Mt Marion 生产成本为（FOB）717 澳元/吨（SC6）。 2025 财 ...

行 华福证券 机械设备 2025 年 08 月 04 日 业 研 究 机械设备 世界机器人大会将启，新品与消费节同步登场 投资要点： 大会内容丰富，十年发展成果显著 中国人形机器人百人会成立以来，开展战略研究、支撑揭榜挂帅 工作、搭建交流桥梁、推动标准体系建设。大会期间将同步举办"E-Town 机器人消费节"，涵盖 4 大消费场景和 4 大服务体系，京东设专区提 供近千款机器人产品，旨在激发双向活力，推动高端制造成果惠及大 众。活动期间，个人消费者购买机器人产品最高可享 1500 元优惠，企 业消费者最高可享 25 万元订单优惠。 人形机器人造福全人类，未来有望像汽车般普及 中国机器人网表示，目前来看，发展足够智能的人形机器人把人 类社会的重复性体力劳动接管过去将会是一个造福全人类的科技大方 向。据高工移动机器人，英伟达 CEO 黄仁勋曾公开表示：机器人时代 已经来临，具身智能是人工智能的下一波浪潮，未来人形机器人将像 汽车般普及。GGII 预测，中国人形机器人市场规模到 2030 年将达到 近 380 亿元，2024-2030 年复合增长率将超过 61%，中国人形机器人销 量将从 0.4 万台左右增长至 2 ...