Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Outperform the Market," indicating that the overall return of the industry is expected to exceed the market benchmark index by more than 5% in the next 6 months [14]. Core Insights - Nvidia has formed a strategic partnership with AI chip startup Groq to enhance inference technology, with Groq's core team joining Nvidia while continuing to operate independently [3]. - The inference market is experiencing rapid expansion, with a significant increase in demand for inference computing power as the global AI industry transitions from model training to large-scale inference applications [4]. - Groq's technology, featuring LPU and SRAM architecture, optimizes inference performance, allowing for predictable, low-latency execution of large language models [5]. Summary by Sections Event Background - Nvidia and Groq have established a non-exclusive licensing agreement for inference technology, with Groq's leadership team integrating into Nvidia to advance technology upgrades and applications [3]. Industry Trends - The demand for inference computing power is growing rapidly, with Google processing 980 trillion tokens monthly as of July, doubling since May, and domestic models exceeding 50 trillion daily calls, a tenfold increase year-on-year [4]. Groq's Technical Value - Groq's LPU design focuses on speed and accuracy, utilizing static scheduling and deterministic execution to enhance performance in inference tasks. The second-generation LPU is manufactured using Samsung's 4nm process technology, improving speed and efficiency [5]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests a positive outlook on the growth of inference computing demand and related supply chains, recommending attention to wafer fabrication and upstream equipment expansion in the domestic market, as well as growth in optical modules and cabinet assembly outsourcing in the overseas market [6].

行 业 华福证券 黄金 2025 年 12 月 29 日 研 究 行 业 专 题 黄金 黄金供需重构下的机遇：历史复盘与未来定价逻 辑展望 投资要点： 黄金简介 黄金是一种特殊的贵金属，本身不产生利息，但兼具商品属性、 货币属性与金融属性。其物理特性稳定，具有良好的延展性、可塑性 和导电导热性，广泛应用于珠宝首饰、工业技术以及投资储备领域。 黄金供给需求端 报 告 2010 年至 2024 年全球黄金总供应量从 4317 吨增长至 4957 吨，年 复合增速为 1%。其中全球矿产金产量年复合增速为 2%，占总供应量 比例从 64%增长至 74%，但 2016 年后增速明显放缓，近年黄金供应量 增加主因金价上涨后回收金的增加。预计 2025-2027 年全球黄金总供 应量为 5034、5095、5143 吨，三年供应增速为 1.5%/1.2%/0.9%。 黄金的需求主要包含金饰制造、投资、央行购金及科技用金。2000 年至 2025 年，黄金主要需求结构由金饰制造和投资需求主导转变为由 金饰制造、投资需求、央行和各官方机构共同构成。近两年需求增长 主因投资需求和央行购金的增加，其中投资需求增长在 25 年前三季 ...

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Outperform the Market" [6][13]. Core Insights - The domestic AI application sector is poised for explosive growth, with major companies actively investing in AI models and talent [2][6]. - Competition in AI model development and application commercialization is intensifying, with significant advancements in both super entry points and vertical functionalities [2][6]. Summary by Sections Industry Dynamics - Tencent has launched the Tencent HY 2.0 language model, significantly improving performance in complex reasoning scenarios, and has released the HY-World 1.5 model for real-time 3D reconstruction [3]. - Alibaba has open-sourced the Qwen-Image-Edit-2511 model, enhancing character consistency and industrial design adaptability, and upgraded the Qwen3-TTS voice model for comprehensive audio understanding [4]. - ByteDance has released the Doubao model 1.8, enhancing autonomous planning and cross-system collaboration, and introduced the Seedance 1.5 Pro model for audio-visual synchronization [4]. - MiniMax has updated its M2 series model, achieving an average score of 88.6 on the VIBE comprehensive ranking, surpassing several international models in multilingual programming capabilities [4]. - Zhipu AI has launched the GLM-4.7 model, focusing on programming, reasoning, and intelligent agents, supporting 128K long texts and multimodal interactions [4]. Application Commercialization - Tencent's Yuanbao APP has added a novel writing feature and integrated with QQ groups for intelligent message summarization [5]. - Alibaba's Qianwen APP surpassed 40 million monthly active users within 30 days of public testing, integrating local life services and launching an AI drama generation feature [5]. - ByteDance's Doubao series models have achieved a daily usage of over 50 trillion tokens, ranking first in China and third globally, with the Doubao APP's daily active users exceeding 100 million [5]. - MiniMax has collaborated with Kuaikan Manhua to launch the first AI interactive comic, enabling animated and voice-enabled characters [5]. - Zhipu AI has fully integrated the GLM-4.7 model capabilities into its applications, enhancing coding abilities and task planning [5]. Investment Recommendations - The report expresses optimism about the explosive growth potential in the domestic AI application sector, recommending attention to Tencent, Alibaba, MiniMax (upcoming IPO), and Zhipu (upcoming IPO) [6].

Group 1 - The core view of the report highlights that the US stock market is experiencing a "Christmas rally," with the S&P 500 index reaching new highs, supported by a strong GDP growth rate of 4.3% in Q3, which exceeded expectations [2][9] - The report indicates that the year-end liquidity and holiday consumption season are likely to continue supporting market sentiment, although trading may become quieter after the Christmas holiday [2][9] - The report notes that gold and silver prices have surged significantly this year, with gold up over 70% and silver up over 170%, driven by risk aversion and expectations of interest rate cuts [2][9] Group 2 - Economic data shows that the US Q3 GDP annualized growth rate was 4.3%, higher than the previous value of 3.8% and market expectations of 3.3% [3][10] - The report mentions a decrease in initial jobless claims, with the number falling to 214,000 from the previous 224,000 [3][10] - The report tracks global asset performance, noting that NYMEX platinum had the highest increase at 24.70%, followed by COMEX silver at 18.04% and COMEX gold at 4.41% [31][33] Group 3 - In the equity market, the Shenzhen Composite Index had the largest increase at 3.53%, while the UK FTSE 100 saw a decline of 0.27% [36][42] - The report highlights that the materials sector in the US stock market had the highest increase at 3.20%, while the consumer staples sector experienced the largest decline at -0.11% [42] - The report indicates that the foreign exchange market saw the Korean won appreciate by 1.83% against the RMB, while the US dollar depreciated by 0.46% [43][44] Group 4 - The report updates on global economic data, noting a rebound in the Eurozone M3 money supply year-on-year [60][67] - It mentions an increase in the UK industrial trends orders index, indicating positive sentiment in the manufacturing sector [69] - The report states that Japan's PMI remains stable, reflecting consistent economic conditions [71]

Group 1: Macro and Industry Policy Tracking - The report highlights a focus on multi-field collaborative advancement in industry policies, including the cultivation of emerging industries such as integrated circuits and low-altitude economy, as well as strengthening 6G research [1][10] - The housing and urban-rural construction meeting emphasizes stabilizing the real estate market and developing a new model characterized by the sale of existing homes, with a focus on policies tailored to individual cities [1][12] - The transportation department predicts that yacht and cruise consumption will evolve towards mass-market and large-scale development, indicating a shift in consumer behavior [1][13] Group 2: Financial Regulations - The financial regulatory authority has standardized the information disclosure of asset management products to protect investor rights, ensuring transparency and accountability in financial products [1][16] Group 3: Energy and Technology Developments - The energy sector is promoting the large-scale development of solar thermal power and has introduced the world's first mandatory standard for electric vehicle energy consumption, which will enhance vehicle performance and consumer experience [1][18] - A significant technological breakthrough was achieved in the field of superconducting magnetic levitation, with a test speed of 700 km/h, marking a milestone in China's technological advancement [1][19] Group 4: Stock Market Performance - The A-share market showed mixed performance, with the top five sectors by growth being industrial trade and comprehensive (+7.34%), non-ferrous metals (+6.55%), chemicals (+5.86%), national defense and military industry (+5.81%), and hardware equipment (+4.99%) [1][22] Group 5: Popular Concepts Tracking - The report identifies the top five popular concepts this week, with lithium battery electrolyte (+17.80%), Hainan Free Trade Port (+10.98%), 6G (+9.40%), RF and antennas (+9.27%), and power batteries (+8.78%) showing significant growth [2][25]

策 华福证券 2025 年 12 月 28 日 略 研 究 策 略 定 期 报 工业企业利润走弱不改制造业价格延续复苏—— 周观点 投资要点： 近期观点 1、 美联储扩表，美国商业银行调整资产结构。 2、 美国居民部门加杠杆迹象显现，但持续性存疑。 3、 中美算力芯片博弈是全球科技长期通缩的重要标志。 4、 美国 AI 泡沫一旦破灭，全球美元债务风险有望同步释放。 告 5、 关注美元可能阶段性走强所指引的风险信号，随后可能出现 美元美债美股三杀。 6、 中国市场有望在海外风险释放过程中进行风格上的长期大切 换，同时伴随人民币持续大幅升值。 7、 长期看好保险，央国企红利，反内卷行业，中概互联网，军 贸。 风险提示 全球制造业复苏受阻；中美关系改善不及预期；美国地产市场不 健康 团队成员 分析师： 李浩(S0210524050003) lh30530@hfzq.com.cn 分析师： 李刘魁(S0210524050006) llk30550@hfzq.com.cn 相关报告 1、医疗与消费周报——政策驱动与技术赋能下的 中国互联网医疗发展——2025.12.27 2、市场状态高频数据库——12 月第 3 周—— ...

行 华福证券 电力设备 2025 年 12 月 28 日 业 研 究 行 业 电力设备 产业周跟踪：锂电、光伏产业链限产提价，重申 坚定看好 投资要点： 锂电板块核心观点：两大铁锂企业减产检修，天齐碳酸锂定价体系重 构。1）两大铁锂企业减产检修，影响短期供给；2）结算锚定"Mysteel+ 期货"，天齐碳酸锂定价体系重构。 定 期 报 告 光伏板块核心观点：市场监管总局对光伏行业开展价格竞争合规指导， 高质量发展成为明确方向。市场监管总局在合肥对光伏行业开展价格竞争 合规指导，标志着政策面对行业长期"内卷"和"劣币驱逐良币"困境的 正式介入与纠偏。此举短期旨在打击价格串通等违法行为，维护公平秩序； 长期则是引导行业从同质化低价竞争，转向技术创新与优质优价的健康发 展轨道。这为具备技术、成本优势的头部企业创造了更有利环境，并与近 期硅片企业协同挺价的市场行为形成共振。行业竞争规则正在重塑，高质 量发展成为明确方向。 风电板块核心观点：国内风电装机量快速增长，江苏多个海风项目获 核准。1）1-11 月国内风电新增装机 82.5GW，实现快速增长；2）江苏 2024 年竞配海风项目进展积极，有望在 2026 年下半 ...

行 华福证券 业 研 究 行 业 定 国防军工 军工本周观点：重视火箭产业链 投资要点： 本周核心观点： 本周（12.22-12.26）申万军工指数（801740）上升 6.00%，同期沪深 300 指数上升 1.95%，相对超额 4.05pct；仍主要系商业航天板块热度持续 带动，本周商业航天板块持续催化频发： 期 报 告 12 月 24 日，航天科技集团党组传达学习习近平总书记对中央企业工 作作出的重要指示精神。会议强调，要深刻理解航天科技在履行强军首责、 维护国家战略安全中的重要政治意义；为新时代新征程航天强国建设提供 坚强有力的支撑和保障。 12 月 25 日，上海市人民政府办公厅印发《关于支持长三角 G60 科创 走廊策源地建设的若干措施》的通知。通知提到，加速航空航天产业发展。 围绕卫星制造与商业运营等产业链关键环节，引育上下游重点项目；鼓励 卫星互联网技术规模化应用；支持卫星互联网星座建设。 12 月 26 日，上交所发布《上海证券交易所发行上市审核规则适用指 引第 9 号——商业火箭企业适用科创板第五套上市标准》（下称《指引》）， 旨在推进科创板第五套上市标准在商业航天等领域扩围工作，加快推进 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the industry [7] Core Insights - The year 2026 is expected to be a significant year for IO combined with ADC, with China leading the development of second-generation IO combined ADC therapies [5][24] - The immune therapy and ADC have a natural complementarity, enhancing efficacy and expanding the beneficiary population [17] - The report highlights the importance of innovative drugs, medical devices, and the focus on domestic demand in the pharmaceutical sector [5][48] Summary by Sections 1. IO+ADC: 2026 Catalyst Year - PD-1 combined with ADC has shown promising results in first-line NSCLC, with a global phase III trial expected to report results in 2026 [1.1][27] - Second-generation IO combined with ADC is progressing, with several global phase III studies initiated [1.2][39] 2. Weekly Market Review and Hotspot Tracking (Dec 22-26, 2025) - The CITIC Pharmaceutical Index fell by 0.2%, underperforming the CSI 300 Index by 2.1 percentage points [4][48] - The report notes a general decline in the pharmaceutical sector, with specific stocks like Hongyuan Pharmaceutical and Luyuan Pharmaceutical showing significant gains [4][63] 3. Investment Focus - The report suggests focusing on innovative drugs with commercial capabilities, potential blockbuster candidates, and cutting-edge technologies such as gene therapy and CAR-T [5][48] - Medical devices are highlighted as a sector with growth potential, particularly in areas like endoscopy and robotics [5][48]

华福证券 2025 年 12 月 28 日 3-5Y 中高等级利差收敛 二永债收益率大致平稳 —— 信用利差周度跟踪 20251228 投资要点： ➢ 利率债窄幅震荡短端偏强，3-5Y 中高等级信用利差收敛。本周利率债 继续震荡，中短端表现偏强，1Y 期国开债收益率较上周下行 4BP，3Y、5Y 和 7Y 期下行 1BP，10Y 期上行 2BP。信用债表现分化，3Y 和 5Y 期品种 多数跟随利率下行，中高等级品种表现略强。1Y 期 AA+及以上等级收益率 持平，AA 和 AA-级收益率上行 1BP；3Y 期 AA+及以上等级信用债收益率 下行 1-3BP，其余等级持平；5Y 期各等级信用债收益率下行 3-4BP；7Y、 10Y 期 AAA 信用债收益率下行 1-2BP，其余等级上行 2-3BP。信用利差同 样分化，1Y 期各等级信用利差上行 4-5BP；3Y 期 AA+及以上等级信用利 差下行 1-3BP，其余持平；5Y 期各等级信用债利差下行 2-3BP；7Y 期 AAA 级信用利差持平，其余等级上行 3BP；10Y 期 AAA 等级信用利差下行 4BP， 其余等级上行 0-1BP。 ➢ 本周城投债利差多 ...