1. Report Industry Investment Rating There is no information provided regarding the report industry investment rating in the given content. 2. Core Views of the Report - **Carbonate Lithium**: The post - holiday restocking enthusiasm of downstream enterprises exceeded expectations, but considering the seasonal changes in terminal demand, the demand growth rate may decline in the fourth quarter. The short - term price increase lacks sustainability. It is recommended to take a bearish approach on rallies, and upstream and downstream enterprises should choose the right time for hedging. The support for the main contract is 68,000 - 70,000, and the resistance is 80,000 - 82,000 [4][5]. - **Industrial Silicon**: With the approaching dry season, power costs are rising, and there may be large - scale shutdowns in the southwest region. The supply remains high, while the demand is weak. The inventory is accumulating, and the price is under pressure. However, due to cost support, the price is expected to fluctuate within a range. The support for the main contract is 8,400 - 8,500, and the resistance is 9,400 - 9,500 [5][6]. - **Polysilicon**: High profits drive high production enthusiasm, and the output is expected to increase in October. But the terminal demand is weak, and downstream production cuts are progressing, leading to inventory accumulation. With the expected implementation of policies, the market may fluctuate, and it is recommended to look for opportunities to short on rebounds. The support for the main contract is 49,000 - 50,000, and the resistance is 54,000 - 55,000 [8]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 First Part: Spot Prices 3.1.1 Plate Strategy Recommendation - **Carbonate Lithium 11**: The market is characterized by strong supply and demand but a weakening atmosphere. It is expected to decline in a volatile manner. Upstream enterprises should seize opportunities to sell on rallies for hedging, and downstream cathode material enterprises should pay attention to low - price stocking or buying for hedging [14]. - **Industrial Silicon 01**: Supply - demand pressure is increasing, and the price is under pressure, but there is policy support at the bottom. It is expected to fluctuate within a range. An interval trading strategy is recommended, and long positions established at low levels can be held cautiously [14]. - **Polysilicon 01**: Fundamental pressure is spreading upstream, and the market may fluctuate before the implementation of capacity control policies. It is recommended to look for opportunities to short on rebounds [14]. - **Arbitrage Recommendation**: There are currently no good arbitrage opportunities [15]. 3.1.2 Futures and Spot Price Changes | Variety | Closing Price | Change Rate | Trading Volume | Open Interest | Open Interest Change | Warehouse Receipts | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Carbonate Lithium | 79,520 | - 0.53% | 613,476 | 431,174 | 12,027 | 28,699 | | Industrial Silicon | 8,920 | - 1.55% | 187,264 | 186,339 | 9,344 | 48,327 | | Polysilicon | 52,305 | - 1.52% | 169,042 | 81,555 | 2,627 | 9,420 | [15] 3.2 Second Part: Fundamental Situation 3.2.1 Carbonate Lithium Fundamental Data - **Production and Inventory**: This week, the production of carbonate lithium reached 21,308 tons, a new weekly high. The total sample inventory was 130,366 tons, a decrease of 2,292 tons from the previous week. The apparent weekly demand reached 23,600 tons, also a new high, and the inventory - available days dropped below 40 days [4]. - **Downstream Situation**: The report does not provide detailed text information, but there are relevant charts such as the production capacity of lithium iron phosphate, the operating rate of lithium iron phosphate plants, the monthly operating rate of SMM ternary materials, and the monthly output of lithium hexafluorophosphate [25][27]. 3.2.2 Industrial Silicon Fundamental Data - **Production and Inventory**: With the approaching dry season, power costs are rising, and there may be large - scale shutdowns in the southwest region, while the northwest region maintains stable production. The overall supply is high, and the inventory is accumulating [5]. - **Downstream Situation**: The polysilicon market has weak demand, the organic silicon market is unstable, and the demand for aluminum alloy remains stable [5]. 3.2.3 Polysilicon Fundamental Data - **Production and Inventory**: High profits drive high production enthusiasm, and the output is expected to increase in October. However, the terminal demand is weak, and downstream production cuts are progressing, leading to inventory accumulation [8]. - **Downstream Situation**: The report does not provide detailed text information, but there are relevant charts such as the monthly output of silicon wafers and the monthly output of photovoltaic modules in China [39].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - **Soybean Oil**: The main 01 contract of soybean oil continued to adjust weakly on Thursday. The increase in Malaysian palm oil production data led to a decline in the overall oil and fat market. China's soybean oil inventory is accumulating, with sufficient supply. Although the short - term upward drive of the futures price is insufficient, the expectation is positive. It is not recommended to chase short - selling. The support level of the main contract is 8100 - 8130 yuan/ton, and the pressure level is 8400 - 8450 yuan/ton. Pay attention to the results of recent Sino - US trade negotiations [3]. - **Rapeseed Oil**: The main contract of rapeseed oil fell again. The increase in Malaysian palm oil production and the non - realization of the palm oil production reduction expectation led to a weak adjustment of the futures price, which in turn drove down the rapeseed oil price. China's rapeseed oil inventory is at a relatively high level, and the sentiment of relaxing the import policy of Canadian rapeseeds is rising. However, the short - term import supply of rapeseed is tightening, and the inventory is declining, so the basis remains firm. The main contract continued to reduce positions and volume, and the market sentiment was weak. The market may oscillate and adjust. It is recommended to wait and see in the short term [4]. - **Palm Oil**: The main 01 contract of palm oil adjusted weakly on Thursday. The increase in Malaysian palm oil production led to a decline in the palm oil price, weakening the strong expectation in the fourth quarter. As the palm oil in the producing areas is about to enter the production - reduction season, it is not advisable to chase short - selling. The short - term palm oil may test the support in the 9000 - 9050 range, and the pressure level is 9350 - 9400. It is advisable to wait and see for the time being [4]. - **Soybean No.2 and Soybean Meal**: The main 11 contract of CBOT soybeans remained firm, and the main 01 contract of soybean meal rose. Frequent Sino - US trade negotiations and the expectation of an increase in US soybean exports supported the price of CBOT soybeans. China's domestic inventory of soybean meal is sufficient, and the further downward drive is weakening. It is recommended to wait and see for the time being [5]. - **Rapeseed Meal**: Rapeseed meal stopped falling and rebounded. Affected by weak demand and the easing of Sino - Canadian trade relations, the rapeseed meal market had been weak. However, the cumulative import volume of rapeseeds from January to September decreased by 42.2% year - on - year, and the inventory continued to decline, providing some support for the weak demand. The current fundamentals are weak in both supply and demand, and the futures price is expected to oscillate and adjust. It is recommended to go long on the 01 contract oil - meal ratio [5][6]. - **Corn and Corn Starch**: The futures prices continued to oscillate and consolidate on Thursday. The external market changed little. In the domestic market, the new - season harvest is in the middle and late stages. The continuous rainy weather in North China has brought new differences to the market. The short - term upward space of the futures price is still limited. It is recommended to reduce short positions on dips or pay attention to the reverse spread of the corn 1 - 5 spread [6]. - **Soybean No.1**: The main 01 contract of soybean No.1 rose on Thursday. The high - quality soybeans in Northeast China are in high demand, and due to low valuation, farmers are reluctant to sell. After continuous rises, the long - position holders are cautious, and the selling - hedging drive increases. It is recommended to exit long positions and wait and see [7]. - **Peanuts**: The peanut futures price continued to oscillate and decline. The market lacks positive news. The new - season peanuts are gradually on the market, but the harvest weather is unfavorable, which increases concerns about the new - season output. Although the planting area has increased, the expected increase in production is discounted. There is still pressure from seasonal supply on the spot and futures prices. It is recommended to hold long positions for the time being [7]. - **Pigs**: The futures price of pigs adjusted weakly on Thursday. The spot price stopped falling this week, and the futures price rebounded after reducing positions. The market volatility remained high due to the Sino - US tariff restart negotiation. The current pig - to - grain ratio has fallen below 5. It is recommended to wait and see for the time being for conservative investors. For mid - term investment, wait for the confirmation of capacity reduction and then buy the 2607 contract on dips [8][9]. - **Eggs**: The egg futures price rebounded after reducing positions on Thursday. The spot price was stable with a slight decline this week, and the decline slowed down. The egg futures price has fallen below the historical low since 2016. It is not advisable to chase short - selling. Conservative investors should wait and see, while aggressive investors can buy the 2512 contract on dips when the price is below the farmers' cash cost [9]. 3. Summary According to the Directory 3.1 First Part: Sector Strategy Recommendations 3.1.1 Market Analysis - Most varieties in the feed, breeding, and oil and fat industries are expected to oscillate and adjust. For example, soybean No.1, soybean No.2, peanuts, soybean oil, rapeseed oil, palm oil, soybean meal, and rapeseed meal are all in an oscillating adjustment state. Corn and corn starch are expected to be in a low - level oscillation. Pigs and eggs are in an oscillating bottom - seeking state [12]. 3.1.2 Commodity Arbitrage - **Inter - period Arbitrage**: For most varieties, it is recommended to wait and see, such as soybean No.1 11 - 1, soybean No.2 11 - 1, etc. For the corn 5 - 1 spread, it is recommended to go long on dips with a reference target of 180 - 200. For the pig 1 - 3 spread, it is recommended to do a positive spread on dips [13]. - **Inter - variety Arbitrage**: For some spreads, such as 01 soybean oil - palm oil, it is recommended to operate bearishly; for 01 rapeseed oil - soybean oil, it is recommended to operate bullishly; for the 01 contract oil - meal ratio of beans and rapeseeds, it is recommended to operate bullishly [13]. 3.1.3 Basis and Spot - Futures Strategies - The report provides the spot prices, price changes, and basis changes of various varieties in different sectors, including soybeans, rapeseed, palm oil, etc. For example, the spot price of soybean No.1 is 3980 yuan/ton, and the basis of the main contract is - 133 yuan/ton [14]. 3.2 Second Part: Key Data Tracking Table 3.2.1 Oilseeds and Oils - **Daily Data**: It shows the import cost data of soybeans, rapeseeds, and palm oil from different origins and shipping periods, including CNF prices, import duty - paid prices, and the cost of soybean meal when the profit is zero [15][16]. - **Weekly Data**: It presents the inventory and operating rates of various oilseeds and oils. For example, the port inventory of soybeans is 773.35 (with a change of 21.92), and the operating rate of soybean processing plants is 58.00% [17]. 3.2.2 Feed - **Daily Data**: It provides the import cost data of corn from Argentina and Brazil in different months [18]. - **Weekly Data**: It shows the consumption, inventory, operating rate, and inventory of corn and corn starch in deep - processing enterprises [18]. 3.2.3 Breeding - It includes the daily and weekly data of pigs and eggs, such as the price, weight, and profit of pigs, as well as the price, production rate, and inventory of eggs [19][20][21][23]. 3.3 Third Part: Fundamental Tracking Charts - The report provides a series of charts to track the fundamentals of the breeding, oilseeds and oils, and feed sectors, including the closing prices of futures contracts, spot prices, basis, spreads, production, export, inventory, and other data of various varieties [24][35][52]. 3.4 Fourth Part: Options Situation of Feed, Breeding, and Oils - The report shows the historical volatility of futures prices of varieties such as rapeseed meal, rapeseed oil, soybean oil, palm oil, and peanuts, as well as the trading volume, open interest, and put - call ratio of corn options [86][87][88]. 3.5 Fifth Part: Warehouse Receipt Situation of Feed, Breeding, and Oils - It presents the warehouse receipt quantities of various varieties, including rapeseed meal, rapeseed oil, soybean oil, palm oil, peanuts, corn, corn starch, pigs, and eggs, as well as the open interest of the pig and egg indexes [91][92][94].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided. 2. Core Views of the Report - **Carbonate Lithium**: The post - holiday downstream restocking enthusiasm exceeded expectations, but the demand growth rate may decline in the fourth quarter. The short - term price increase is not expected to be sustainable. The price is likely to fall after rising, and enterprises should seize hedging opportunities [3][4]. - **Industrial Silicon**: The supply is expected to remain at a high level, and the demand is fair during the peak season. However, the future supply pressure may increase. The price is expected to fluctuate within a range due to cost support [4]. - **Polysilicon**: High production enthusiasm leads to increased output, while terminal demand is weak, resulting in inventory accumulation. The market shows a situation of strong expectation and weak reality, and the price is expected to fluctuate at a high level [6][7]. 3. Summary According to the Catalog First Part: Spot Price 1.1 Plate Strategy Recommendation - **Carbonate Lithium 11**: Short - term supply and demand are both strong, but there is a risk of seasonal decline in demand. The support level is 68,000 - 70,000, and the pressure level is 80,000 - 82,000. The price is expected to fall after rising. Upstream enterprises should seize the opportunity of selling hedging when the price rises, and downstream cathode material enterprises should pay attention to low - level stockpiling or buying hedging [13]. - **Industrial Silicon 11**: Supply - demand pressure is increasing, and the price is under pressure. However, there is certain policy support at the bottom. The support level is 8,200 - 8,300, and the pressure level is 9,200 - 9,300. It is recommended to maintain a range - trading idea and hold low - position long orders cautiously [13]. - **Polysilicon 11**: Fundamental pressure is gradually transmitted to the upstream. Before the capacity control policy is implemented, the market may fluctuate. The support level is 47,000 - 48,000, and the pressure level is 52,000 - 53,000. It is recommended to take profit on previous long orders and consider short - selling opportunities on rebounds [13]. - **Arbitrage Recommendation**: There are no good arbitrage opportunities at present [14]. 1.2 Futures and Spot Price Changes | Variety | Closing Price | Daily Change Rate | Trading Volume | Open Interest | Open Interest Change | Warehouse Receipts | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Carbonate Lithium | 79,940 | 3.66% | 490,920 | 419,147 | 65,916 | 28,759 | | Industrial Silicon | 8,705 | 2.59% | 172,346 | 76,195 | - 20,359 | 48,371 | | Polysilicon | 50,760 | 1.05% | 86,148 | 45,407 | - 3,609 | 9,220 | [14] Second Part: Fundamental Situation 2.1 Carbonate Lithium Fundamental Data - **Production and Inventory**: This week, the production was 21,308 tons, a new weekly high. The total sample inventory was 130,366 tons, a decrease of 2,292 tons from the previous week. The inventory days dropped below 40 days [3]. - **Downstream Situation**: Not elaborated in detail in the given text, but there are related figures such as phosphoric acid iron - lithium production capacity and device operation rate [25]. 2.2 Industrial Silicon Fundamental Data - **Production and Inventory**: The dry season is approaching, with some factories in the southwest shutting down and some resuming production in the northwest. The overall supply is expected to remain high [4]. - **Downstream Situation**: The demand is fair during the peak season, but the polysilicon industry has supply pressure, and future production may decrease [4]. 2.3 Polysilicon Fundamental Data - **Production and Inventory**: High profits drive high production enthusiasm, and the output in October will exceed expectations. However, downstream production cuts have led to obvious inventory accumulation [6]. - **Downstream Situation**: Terminal demand is weak, as shown by the new photovoltaic installed capacity in August hitting a new low for the year [6].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Views of the Report - Soft Commodity Sector: Crude oil's strength boosts raw sugar sentiment. Zheng sugar's rebound may face pressure due to increased industrial hedging. For paper pulp, supply remains high, and terminal demand improvement is limited, so the rebound height may be restricted. Double - offset paper has limited demand improvement in the peak season and supply pressure, with limited cost support. Cotton prices are affected by Sino - US trade news and may fluctuate in a range. - Fresh Fruit and Vegetable Sector: New - season apples have small fruit sizes and low premium fruit rates, supporting far - month contracts. Red dates' prices are recommended for short - selling for aggressive investors and anti - spread strategies for cautious investors [3][4][5][7][8]. 3. Summary According to the Directory 3.1 First Part: Sector Strategy Recommendations - **Fresh Fruit Futures**: For Apple 2605, a bullish view is recommended due to small fruit sizes and low premium fruit rates, with a support range of 7900 - 8000 and a pressure range of 9500 - 9600. For Red Dates 2601, short - selling at high prices is advised, with a support range of 10500 - 11000 and a pressure range of 11500 - 12000 [18]. - **Soft Commodity Futures**: Sugar 2601 suggests range - bound operations with a support range of 5350 - 5370 and a pressure range of 5470 - 5500. Pulp 2601 is recommended for range - bound short positions, with a support range of 4900 - 4900 and a pressure range of 5200 - 5300. Double - offset paper 2601 recommends short - selling on rebounds, with a support range of 4100 - 4200 and a pressure range of 4400 - 4500. Cotton 2601 advises holding short positions cautiously, with a support range of 12800 - 13000 and a pressure range of 13600 - 13700 [18]. 3.2 Second Part: Market News Changes - **Apple Market**: In September 2025, fresh apple exports were about 70,800 tons, up 3.50% month - on - month and down 6.32% year - on - year. In the spot market, prices in different regions showed different trends. Shandong's acquisition price was higher than last year, while Shaanxi's price was stable at a high level. Sales in the distribution areas were stable [19]. - **Red Dates Market**: The physical inventory of 36 sample points was 9167 tons, down 36 tons from last week, a 0.39% month - on - month decrease and a 93.89% year - on - year increase. Attention is paid to the circulation of old - season goods and price changes before the new - season harvest [22]. - **Sugar Market**: The sugar mills in the border area of Karnataka and Maharashtra in India started the crushing season. Datagro predicts that Brazil's 2025/26 sugar production will be about 41.42 million tons, a 3.1% increase from the previous season. In September 2025, China's refined sugar production was 539,000 tons, a 35.4% year - on - year increase [23]. - **Pulp Market**: Chinese traders counter - offered imported NBSK at $650/ton, but sellers refused. Canadian and Nordic NBSK prices remained at $680 - 700/ton. A major Brazilian supplier will raise the price of South American bleached hardwood pulp to Asian markets by $20/ton [26]. - **Double - offset Paper Market**: In different markets such as Shandong, Guangdong, Beijing, and Tianjin, the mainstream transaction prices of double - offset paper were stable. Supply was relatively loose, and demand showed no sign of improvement [27]. - **Cotton Market**: By early October 2025, Australia's cotton processing was about 95% complete, and the inspection progress was about 90%. In September 2025, China's cotton yarn exports were 19,400 tons, a 32.5% year - on - year increase and a 0.8% month - on - month increase. China will hold economic and trade consultations with the US in Malaysia from October 24th to 27th [30]. 3.3 Third Part: Market Review - **Futures Market Review**: Apple 2601 closed at 8830, up 36 (0.41%); Red Dates 2601 closed at 11165, down 100 (- 0.89%); Sugar 2601 closed at 5457, up 31 (0.57%); Pulp 2511 closed at 4862, up 8 (0.16%); Cotton 2601 closed at 13575, up 40 (0.30%) [31]. - **Spot Market Review**: The spot prices of various commodities showed different changes. For example, the apple price was 3.75 yuan/jin, the red date price was 9.40 yuan/kg, and the sugar price was 5750 yuan/ton [37]. 3.4 Fourth Part: Basis Situation No specific summarized content, only relevant charts are mentioned. 3.5 Fifth Part: Inter - month Spread Situation - Apple's 1 - 5 spread is - 513, with a month - on - month decrease of 54 and a year - on - year decrease of 123, predicted to decline in a volatile manner, and short - selling at high prices is recommended. - Red dates' 9 - 1 spread is 50, with a month - on - month increase of 125 and a year - on - year decrease of 350, predicted to fluctuate in a range, and it is recommended to wait and see. - Sugar's 1 - 5 spread is 49, with a month - on - month increase of 6 and a year - on - year increase of 28, predicted to fluctuate in a range, and it is recommended to wait and see. - Cotton's 1 - 5 spread is - 25, with a month - on - month increase of 15 and a year - on - year increase of 60, predicted to fluctuate in a range, and short - selling at high prices is recommended [56]. 3.6 Sixth Part: Futures Positioning Situation No specific summarized content, only relevant charts about the top 20 long and short positions, trading volume, and net long/short changes of each commodity are mentioned. 3.7 Seventh Part: Futures Warehouse Receipt Situation - Apple has 0 warehouse receipts, with no month - on - month or year - on - year changes. - Red dates have 0 warehouse receipts, with no month - on - month or year - on - year changes. - Sugar has 8196 warehouse receipts, a month - on - month decrease of 117 and a year - on - year decrease of 1460. - Pulp has 226002 warehouse receipts, a month - on - month decrease of 267 and a year - on - year decrease of 164284. - Cotton has 2526 warehouse receipts, a month - on - month decrease of 39 and a year - on - year decrease of 1089 [81]. 3.8 Eighth Part: Options - related Data No specific summarized content, only relevant charts about option trading volume, open interest, put - call ratios, and historical volatility of apples, sugar, and cotton are mentioned.

1. Report Industry Investment Rating There is no information about the report industry investment rating in the provided content. 2. Report's Core View - **Soybean Oil**: China's soybean oil inventory is accumulating, but it is expected to stop increasing and decline in the fourth - quarter consumption season. The futures price center may move up slightly. It is recommended to hold long positions in the main contract, with support at 8150 - 8200 yuan/ton and resistance at 8400 - 8450 yuan/ton [1]. - **Rapeseed Oil**: The main contract of rapeseed oil is weak. Although the inventory is high, it is decreasing. The short - term price may fluctuate, and the long - term price is expected to strengthen. Aggressive investors can consider going long on the 01 contract on dips [1]. - **Palm Oil**: The price is affected by the decline in international crude oil prices, but the medium - to - long - term outlook is bullish. Aggressive strategies can consider holding long positions or buying out - of - the - money call options after stabilization [2]. - **Soybean Meal and Bean No.2**: The supply of soybean meal is abundant, and the consumption is in the off - season. The price is weak. It is recommended to short the main contract lightly or sell out - of - the - money call options. For arbitrage, consider going long on the 01 contract's bean oil - meal ratio [2]. - **Rapeseed Meal**: The market is in a situation of weak supply and demand. It is recommended to go long on the 01 contract's rapeseed oil - meal ratio [4]. - **Corn and Corn Starch**: The external market is in a game between harvest pressure and good exports. The domestic market is in a low - level oscillation. It is recommended to reduce short positions on dips [5]. - **Soybean No.1**: The new - season soybeans are on the market, and the high - quality ones are popular. It is recommended to exit long positions and wait and see [6]. - **Peanut**: The new - season peanuts are on the market, and the supply pressure exists. It is recommended to hold long positions for now [6]. - **Live Pig**: The spot price stops falling, and the futures price rebounds. It is recommended to wait for capacity reduction to be confirmed and then go long on the 2607 contract on dips [8]. - **Egg**: The futures price is at the bottom and oscillating. It is recommended for conservative investors to wait and see, and aggressive investors can go long on the 2512 contract on dips [8]. 3. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs 3.1 First Part: Sector Strategy Recommendations 3.1.1 Market Analysis | Sector | Variety | Market Logic | Support | Resistance | Market Outlook | Reference Strategy | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Oilseeds | Soybean No.1 01 | New domestic soybeans are on the market, and downstream purchases are active. Low valuation. | 4000 - 4030 | 4100 - 4150 | Oscillatory adjustment | Exit long positions | | | Soybean No.2 11 | Weak reality collides with strong expectations. | 3500 - 3540 | 3675 - 3700 | Oscillatory adjustment | Wait and see | | | Peanut 11 | Increasing supply, poor yield in some areas of Henan. | 7500 - 7600 | 8020 - 8162 | Oscillatory adjustment | Wait and see | | Oils | Soybean Oil 01 | Stable fundamentals, affected by crude oil. Supply is sufficient, and the outlook for the fourth quarter is positive. | 8150 - 8200 | 8400 - 8450 | Oscillatory rise | Go long with a light position | | | Rapeseed Oil 01 | Import volume increased in September, but inventory in East China and coastal areas is decreasing. | 9800 - 9820 | 10220 - 10250 | Oscillatory adjustment | Go long after stabilization | | | Palm 01 | Production exceeds expectations, but inventory pressure is not large. Indonesia plans to promote B50. | 9230 - 9270 | 9650 - 9680 | Oscillatory adjustment | Go long after stabilization | | Protein | Soybean Meal 01 | Sufficient inventory, weak feed demand in the fourth quarter. Positive expectation lies in Sino - US trade friction. | 2800 - 2850 | 2960 - 2970 | Oscillatory adjustment | Hold short positions | | | Rapeseed Meal 01 | Inventory in coastal oil mills is decreasing, and market disturbances are mixed. | 2270 - 2300 | 2400 - 2430 | Oscillatory adjustment | Wait and see | | Energy and By - products | Corn 01 | After hitting a new low, sentiment is divided. Upside space is limited. | 2000 - 2020 | 2180 - 2200 | Bottom - level oscillation | Reduce short positions on dips | | | Starch 01 | Corn price is under pressure, and the spot is slightly loose. Upside support is insufficient. | 2340 - 2350 | 2500 - 2520 | Bottom - level oscillation | Reduce short positions on dips | | Livestock | Live Pig 01 | Feed price stops falling and rebounds, and the expectation of capacity reduction is strengthened. | 11800 - 12000 | 12500 - 12800 | Oscillatory bottom - seeking | Turn to waiting and seeing | | | Egg 12 | Capacity pressure and consumption peak - season expectation. | 2900 - 3100 | 3300 - 3350 | Oscillatory bottom - seeking | Wait and see | [11] 3.1.2 Commodity Arbitrage - **Inter - period Arbitrage**: For most varieties, it is recommended to wait and see, except for corn 5 - 1 (go long on dips) and live pig 1 - 3 (positive arbitrage on dips) [12]. - **Inter - variety Arbitrage**: For some oil - related and protein - related spreads, different strategies such as short - selling, long - buying, and waiting and seeing are recommended. For example, go long on the 01 contract's bean oil - meal ratio and rapeseed oil - meal ratio [12]. 3.1.3 Basis and Spot - Futures Strategy The table shows the spot prices, price changes, main contract basis, and basis changes of various varieties in different sectors such as oilseeds, oils, and proteins [13]. 3.2 Second Part: Key Data Tracking Table 3.2.1 Oils and Oilseeds - **Daily Data**: It provides the import cost data of soybeans, rapeseeds, and palm oil from different origins and shipping dates, including CNF prices, arrival - at - port duty - paid prices, etc. [15][16] - **Weekly Data**: Shows the inventory and operating rates of beans, rapeseeds, palm oil, and peanuts. For example, soybean port inventory is 729.97 (33.71), and the bean crushing operating rate is 58.00% (1.00%) [17] 3.2.2 Feed - **Daily Data**: Presents the import cost data of corn from Argentina and Brazil in different months [17]. - **Weekly Data**: Displays the consumption, inventory, operating rate, and inventory of corn and corn starch in deep - processing enterprises [18] 3.2.3 Livestock - **Daily Data**: Includes the spot prices, price changes, and relevant ratios of live pigs and eggs in different regions and at different times [19][20] - **Weekly Data**: Shows the weekly average prices, costs, profits, and other data of live pigs and eggs [21][23] 3.3 Third Part: Fundamental Tracking Charts It includes a large number of charts related to the livestock end (live pigs and eggs), oils and oilseeds (palm oil, soybean oil, peanuts), and feed end (corn, corn starch, rapeseeds, soybean meal), showing various data such as prices, inventories, operating rates, and spreads [24][33][54] 3.4 Fourth Part: Feed, Livestock, and Oil Options Situation It shows the historical volatility and trading volume of options of some varieties such as rapeseed meal, rapeseed oil, soybean oil, and palm oil [92] 3.5 Fifth Part: Feed, Livestock, and Oil Warehouse Receipt Situation It presents the warehouse receipt situations of various varieties such as rapeseed meal, rapeseed oil, soybean oil, and palm oil [100]

Report Summary 1. Investment Rating The provided content does not mention the industry investment rating. 2. Core Views - **Soft Commodity Sector** - **Sugar**: Affected by the gasoline price cut in Brazil, the international sugar price dropped, dragging down the Zhengzhou sugar futures. However, after the release of negative sentiment, marginal positive factors supported the sugar price, and the price rebounded slightly after an over - decline. It is recommended to operate within a range, focusing on the battle at the 5400 level [3]. - **Pulp**: In the third quarter, the domestic economic growth slowed down, dragging down the demand for finished paper. The supply of wood pulp remained high, and the demand for finished paper increased in the peak season, but the price increase was weak. It is recommended to operate with a short - bias on rebounds [4]. - **Offset Paper**: The improvement in demand for finished paper is limited, and the supply pressure may increase. Although the cost provides some support, the price increase is limited. It is recommended to short on rebounds [5][6]. - **Cotton**: Internationally, there are concerns about consumption. Domestically, the new cotton production increase is slightly lower than expected, and the Sino - US trade attitude has eased. However, the continuous positive factors are still insufficient, and it is recommended to reduce short positions [7]. - **Fresh Produce and Fruit Sector** - **Apples**: The new - season apples have smaller fruit sizes and a lower high - quality fruit rate, which supports the far - month contract. It is recommended to consider reverse spreads between the 1 - 5 contracts or hold long positions in the May contract cautiously [8]. - **Red Dates**: The futures price of red dates fluctuated. The inventory removal speed slowed down in October, and the terminal replenishment enthusiasm improved. It is recommended that aggressive investors short the 2601 contract at high levels, and cautious investors hold a reverse spread strategy of short 01 and long 05 [9][10]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 First Part: Sector Strategy Recommendations - **Fresh Produce and Fruit Futures** - **Apple 2605**: Adopt a bullish approach, with a support range of 7900 - 8000 and a pressure range of 9500 - 9600, due to the support from smaller fruit sizes and a lower high - quality fruit rate [18]. - **Red Dates 2601**: Short at high levels, with a support range of 10500 - 11000 and a pressure range of 11500 - 12000, considering the overall market sentiment and the weather impact during the production - forming period [18]. - **Soft Commodity Futures** - **Sugar 2601**: Operate within a range, with a support range of 5350 - 5370 and a pressure range of 5470 - 5500, as the spot price is stable, but there are still bearish drivers [18]. - **Pulp 2601**: Short within the range, with a support range of 4900 - 4900 and a pressure range of 5200 - 5300, because of high supply pressure and weak domestic finished paper prices [18]. - **Offset Paper 2601**: Short on rebounds, with a support range of 4100 - 4200 and a pressure range of 4400 - 4500, as the price increase is limited by high supply elasticity during the peak season [18]. - **Cotton 2601**: Hold short positions cautiously, with a support range of 12800 - 13000 and a pressure range of 13600 - 13700, due to insufficient continuous positive factors [18]. 3.2 Second Part: Market News Changes - **Apple Market** - **Fundamentals**: In September 2025, the export volume of fresh apples was about 70,800 tons, a month - on - month increase of 3.50% and a year - on - year decrease of 6.32% [19]. - **Spot Market**: In Shandong, the price of late - maturing bagged Fuji apples was stable, with high - quality goods in short supply. In Shaanxi, the mainstream ordering price was stable, and high - quality goods were mostly pre - ordered. In the sales areas, the arrival volume was low, the sales speed was stable, and the price was stable [19][20]. - **Red Date Market**: The physical inventory of 36 sample points was 9167 tons, a month - on - month decrease of 0.39% and a year - on - year increase of 93.89%. Attention should be paid to the circulation of old - season goods and price changes before the new - season harvest [21]. - **Sugar Market**: On October 22, the settlement price of the ICE raw sugar main contract dropped by 3.05%. Brazil's sugar export volume in the third week of October decreased by 2.68% year - on - year. The domestic spot price of sugar decreased slightly [23]. - **Pulp Market**: Chinese traders counter - offered the price of imported NBSK to $650 per ton, but the sellers refused. The price of broad - leaf pulp increased, and the price of coniferous pulp remained stable and weak. The supply of wood pulp was still high [4][27]. - **Offset Paper Market**: In Shandong, Guangdong, Beijing, and Tianjin, the price of offset paper was stable. The supply increased, and the demand improvement was limited [28][29]. - **Cotton Market**: As of October 20, 2025, the cotton picking progress in Xinjiang was about 67.9%. In August, India's cotton import volume increased by 8.4% month - on - month and 33.9% year - on - year [30]. 3.3 Third Part: Market Review - **Futures Market Review** - **Apple 2601**: The closing price was 8794, a decrease of 0.63% [30][31]. - **Red Dates 2601**: The closing price was 11265, a decrease of 1.01% [30][31]. - **Sugar 2601**: The closing price was 5426, a decrease of 0.22% [31]. - **Pulp 2511**: The closing price was 4854, unchanged [31]. - **Cotton 2601**: The closing price was 13535, a decrease of 0.04% [31]. - **Spot Market Review** - **Apple**: The spot price was 3.75 yuan per catty, unchanged month - on - month and an increase of 0.55 yuan year - on - year [37]. - **Red Dates**: The spot price was 9.40 yuan per kilogram, a month - on - month decrease of 0.10 yuan and a year - on - year decrease of 5.30 yuan [37]. - **Sugar**: The spot price was 5750 yuan per ton, a month - on - month decrease of 20 yuan and a year - on - year decrease of 790 yuan [37]. - **Pulp**: The spot price of Shandong Yinxing pulp was 5550 yuan per ton, unchanged month - on - month and a year - on - year decrease of 700 yuan [37]. - **Offset Paper**: The spot price of Taiyang Tianyang offset paper in Tianjin was 4450 yuan per ton, unchanged month - on - month and a year - on - year decrease of 450 yuan [37]. - **Cotton**: The spot price was 14772 yuan per ton, a month - on - month increase of 44 yuan and a year - on - year decrease of 671 yuan [37]. 3.4 Fourth Part: Basis Situation The content mainly presents relevant basis charts, but no specific text summary information is provided. 3.5 Fifth Part: Inter - month Spread Situation - **Apple**: The 1 - 5 spread was - 513, with a month - on - month decrease of 54 and a year - on - year decrease of 123. It is expected to fluctuate and decline, and it is recommended to short at high levels [56]. - **Red Dates**: The 9 - 1 spread was 125, with a month - on - month increase of 150 and a year - on - year decrease of 240. It is expected to fluctuate within a range, and it is recommended to wait and see [56]. - **Sugar**: The 1 - 5 spread was 43, with a month - on - month increase of 1 and a year - on - year increase of 27. It is expected to fluctuate, and it is recommended to wait and see [56]. - **Cotton**: The 1 - 5 spread was - 40, with a month - on - month increase of 20 and a year - on - year increase of 30. It is expected to fluctuate within a range, and it is recommended to short at high levels [56]. 3.6 Sixth Part: Futures Positioning Situation The content mainly presents relevant positioning charts, but no specific text summary information is provided. 3.7 Seventh Part: Futures Warehouse Receipt Situation - **Apple**: The number of warehouse receipts was 0, unchanged month - on - month and year - on - year [89]. - **Red Dates**: The number of warehouse receipts was 0, unchanged month - on - month and year - on - year [89]. - **Sugar**: The number of warehouse receipts was 8313, a month - on - month decrease of 63 and a year - on - year decrease of 1344 [89]. - **Pulp**: The number of warehouse receipts was 226269, a month - on - month decrease of 141 and a year - on - year decrease of 164017 [89]. - **Cotton**: The number of warehouse receipts was 2565, a month - on - month decrease of 14 and a year - on - year decrease of 1109 [89]. 3.8 Eighth Part: Option - related Data The content mainly presents relevant option charts, but no specific text summary information is provided.

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Report's Core View - The price of the main soybean oil futures contract is expected to move slightly higher in the medium to long term, with short - term fluctuations due to sufficient inventory. The main contract long positions can be considered for holding, with support at 8150 - 8200 yuan/ton and resistance at 8400 - 8450 yuan/ton [2]. - The price of the main rapeseed oil contract is expected to move higher in the medium to long term under the expectation of inventory reduction. Aggressive investors can consider going long on the 01 contract on dips and can buy put options to protect positions if worried about trade risks. The support for the 01 contract is 9800 - 9820, and the resistance is 10020 - 10050 [2]. - The medium - to long - term bullish view on palm oil remains unchanged. Aggressive strategies can consider holding long positions or buying out - of - the - money call options after stabilization. The support for the main contract is 9230 - 9270, and the resistance is 9650 - 9680 [3]. - The price of soybean meal futures is expected to remain weak, and short - selling on the main contract can be considered. Arbitrage can consider going long on the 01 contract bean oil - meal ratio [3]. - Rapeseed meal futures show a situation of weak supply and demand, and the price may remain volatile in the short term [5]. - Corn and corn starch futures are expected to remain in a low - level oscillation. For corn, short positions can be held cautiously or consider the 1 - 5 spread reverse arbitrage. For corn starch, short positions can be reduced on dips [6]. - The price of soybean No.1 futures is expected to be oscillating strongly, and long positions can be held [7]. - For peanut futures, long positions can be held temporarily, and attention should be paid to the acquisition dynamics of oil mills and the harvest situation of new crops [8]. - For live hog futures, medium - term investors can consider going long on the 2607 contract after the confirmation of capacity reduction, and cautious investors can wait and see [8]. - For egg futures, it is recommended to wait and see, and aggressive investors can consider going long on the 2512 contract at low prices [8]. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs Part One: Sector Strategy Recommendations 1. Market Judgment | Sector | Variety | Market Logic | Support | Resistance | Market Outlook | Reference Strategy | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Oilseeds | Soybean No.1 01 | Domestic new soybeans are in abundant supply, and downstream acquisition is relatively active. | 4000 - 4030 | 4100 - 4150 | Oscillating strongly | Hold long positions [11] | | | Soybean No.2 11 | Weak reality collides with strong expectations. | 3500 - 3540 | 3675 - 3700 | Oscillating adjustment | Wait and see [11] | | | Peanut 11 | The supply is increasing, and the yield in some areas of Henan is not good. Affected by crude oil fluctuations recently. | 7500 - 7600 | 8020 - 8162 | Oscillating adjustment | Wait and see [11] | | Oils | Soybean oil 01 | Currently, the supply is sufficient, and the supply - demand situation is expected to improve in the fourth quarter. | 8150 - 8200 | 8400 - 8450 | Oscillating up | Go long with a light position [11] | | | Rapeseed oil 01 | The inventory in East China and coastal areas is continuously decreasing. | 9800 - 9820 | 10220 - 10250 | Stop falling and rebound | Go long after stabilization [11] | | | Palm 01 | The inventory pressure in the producing areas is not large, and the long - term bullish view remains unchanged. | 9230 - 9270 | 9650 - 9680 | Oscillating adjustment | Go long after stabilization [11] | | Protein | Soybean meal 01 | The current inventory of soybean meal is sufficient, and the feed demand is expected to weaken in the fourth quarter. | 2800 - 2850 | 2960 - 2970 | Oscillating adjustment | Hold short positions [11] | | | Rapeseed meal 01 | The inventory of rapeseed meal in coastal oil mills is decreasing, and market disturbances are intertwined. | 2230 - 2250 | 2400 - 2430 | Oscillating adjustment | Wait and see [11] | | Energy and By - products | Corn 01 | The fundamentals are under pressure, and the bullish factors are limited. | 2000 - 2020 | 2180 - 2200 | Bottom - level oscillation | Reduce short positions on dips [11] | | | Starch 11 | The price of corn is under pressure, and the spot market is slightly loose. | 2340 - 2350 | 2500 - 2520 | Bottom - level oscillation | Reduce short positions on dips [11] | | Livestock | Live hog 01 | Feed prices stop falling and rebound, and the expectation of capacity reduction is strengthened. | 11800 - 12000 | 12500 - 12800 | Oscillating to find the bottom | Turn to wait - and - see [11] | | | Egg 12 | There is capacity pressure and consumption peak - season expectation. | 2900 - 3100 | 3300 - 3350 | Oscillating to find the bottom | Wait and see [11] | 2. Commodity Arbitrage - **Inter - period Arbitrage**: For most varieties, it is recommended to wait and see. For corn 5 - 1, go long on dips with a target of 180 - 200; for live hog 1 - 3, do positive arbitrage on dips [12]. - **Inter - variety Arbitrage**: For 01 soybean oil - palm oil, operate bearishly; for 01 rapeseed oil - soybean oil, operate bullishly; for 01 bean oil - meal ratio and 01 rapeseed oil - meal ratio, operate bullishly [12]. 3. Basis and Spot - Futures Strategies The table shows the spot prices, price changes, main - contract basis, and basis changes of various varieties such as oilseeds, oils, protein, energy and by - products, and livestock [13]. Part Two: Key Data Tracking Table 1. Oils and Oilseeds - **Daily Data**: It includes the import cost data of soybeans, rapeseeds, and palm oil from different origins and different shipment periods, such as the arrival - at - port CIF price, import - arrival - at - port duty - paid price, and the cost of soybean meal when the crushing profit is zero [15]. - **Weekly Data**: It shows the inventory and operating rates of various oils and oilseeds, such as the port inventory of soybeans, the oil - mill inventory of soybean meal, and the operating rates of soybean and rapeseed oil mills [17]. 2. Feed - **Daily Data**: It provides the import cost data of corn from Argentina and Brazil in different months [17]. - **Weekly Data**: It shows the weekly data of corn and corn starch, including the consumption, inventory, operating rate, and inventory of starch enterprises of deep - processing enterprises [18]. 3. Livestock - It includes the daily and weekly data of live hogs and eggs, such as the spot price, pig - grain ratio, and inventory data of live hogs, and the spot price, production rate, and inventory data of eggs [19][20][21][23]. Part Three: Fundamental Tracking Charts - **Livestock End (Live Hogs, Eggs)**: It includes the closing prices of the main contracts of live hogs and eggs, spot prices, and prices of related products such as piglets, white - striped pork, chicken seedlings, and culled chickens [25][26][28][29][30][32]. - **Oils and Oilseeds** - **Palm Oil**: It shows the monthly production, export volume, ending inventory, import profit, and inventory data of Malaysian palm oil, as well as the trading volume and price - spread data of domestic palm oil [34][36][37][40][41]. - **Soybean Oil**: It includes the soybean crushing volume, soybean oil inventory, crushing profit, oil - mill operating rate, and inventory data in the United States, as well as the trading volume and price - spread data of domestic soybean oil [43][45][46]. - **Peanut**: It shows the arrival and shipment volume of peanuts in domestic wholesale markets, the daily crushing profit, operating rate, inventory data of peanuts and peanut oil, and price - spread data [48][50]. - **Feed End** - **Corn**: It includes the closing price, spot price, basis, price - spread data, inventory data of ports and deep - processing enterprises, and processing profit data of corn [52][55]. - **Corn Starch**: It shows the closing price, spot price, basis, operating rate, inventory, and processing profit data of corn starch [57][59]. - **Rapeseed**: It includes the spot price, basis, inventory, and crushing profit data of rapeseed meal and rapeseed oil [59][63]. - **Soybean Meal**: It shows the growth rate, flowering rate, pod - setting rate, inventory, basis, and price - spread data of American soybeans, as well as the price - spread data between soybean meal and rapeseed meal [66][69][71][79][80]. Part Four: Options Situation of Feed, Livestock, and Oils It shows the historical volatility data of rapeseed meal, rapeseed oil, soybean oil, palm oil, and peanuts, as well as the trading volume, open interest, and put - call ratio data of corn options [82][83]. Part Five: Warehouse Receipt Situation of Feed, Livestock, and Oils It shows the warehouse receipt data of rapeseed meal, rapeseed oil, soybean oil, palm oil, peanuts, corn, corn starch, live hogs, and eggs, as well as the open interest data of the live hog and egg indices [85][86][87][91].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating The provided content does not mention the industry investment rating. 2. Core Views of the Report - The change in the Sino - US trade relationship has eased, risk appetite has recovered, and non - ferrous metals have slightly recovered. Due to fundamental differences, non - ferrous metal trends are somewhat differentiated, with copper remaining significantly stronger [11]. - China's economic data shows that the economy has both resilience and pressure. The real - estate related areas continue to show pressure, while the manufacturing industry performs well [11]. - The report provides investment suggestions for various non - ferrous metals based on their supply - demand fundamentals, price trends, and macro - economic factors [3][4][5][6][7][8]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 First Part: Non - ferrous Metals Operation Logic and Investment Suggestions - **Macro Logic**: Sino - US trade relations have eased, risk appetite has risen, and non - ferrous metals have slightly recovered. Copper is relatively strong. China's economic data shows mixed results in different sectors [11]. - **Investment Suggestions for Each Metal** - **Copper**: Try to gradually go long on Shanghai copper at low prices. The short - term upper pressure range is 89,000 - 90,000 yuan/ton, and the lower support range is 83,000 - 84,000 yuan/ton. Consider selling near - month slightly out - of - the - money put options [3][13]. - **Zinc**: Temporarily wait and see the technical support. If it holds, consider a bull spread or sell out - of - the - money put options. The upper pressure is around 22,500 - 22,600, and the lower support is around 21,700 - 21,800 [4][13]. - **Aluminum Industry Chain**: Temporarily wait and see the pressure at the integer - level. Buy out - of - the - money options for protection. For alumina, adopt a bearish approach and buy out - of - the - money call options for protection. For recycled aluminum alloy, wait and see and buy out - of - the - money put options for protection [5][14]. - **Tin**: Add short positions moderately at high prices. The upper pressure range is 290,000 - 300,000, and the lower support range is 260,000 - 270,000. Consider buying out - of - the - money put options [6][14]. - **Lead**: Continue to consider the option double - selling strategy in a wider range. The short - term lower support is 16,700 - 16,800, and the upper pressure is 17,000 - 17,200 [7]. - **Nickel and Stainless Steel**: For nickel, be slightly bullish at low prices. The upper pressure is 125,000 - 128,000 yuan, and the lower support is 118,000 - 120,000 yuan. For stainless steel, it continues to fluctuate weakly in a range. The support is 12,500 - 12,600, and the upper pressure is 13,000 - 13,200 [8][15]. 3.2 Second Part: Non - ferrous Metals Market Review - The report provides the closing prices and price changes of various non - ferrous metals, such as copper closing at 85,380 with a 1.17% increase, zinc at 21,855 with a 0.18% increase, etc. [16] 3.3 Third Part: Non - ferrous Metals Position Analysis - The report shows the latest position analysis of the non - ferrous metal sector, including the net long - short strength comparison, net long - short position differences, changes in net long and short positions, and influencing factors for each variety [18] 3.4 Fourth Part: Non - ferrous Metals Spot Market - The report presents the spot prices and price changes of non - ferrous metals, like the Yangtze River spot copper price at 86,000 yuan/ton with a 1.27% increase, and the Yangtze River 0 zinc spot average price at 21,880 yuan/ton with a 0.18% increase [19] 3.5 Fifth Part: Non - ferrous Metals Industry Chain - The report provides various charts related to the industry chain of different non - ferrous metals, such as copper inventory changes, zinc inventory and processing fee changes, etc. [24][27] 3.6 Sixth Part: Non - ferrous Metals Arbitrage - The report shows charts related to non - ferrous metal arbitrage, including copper's Shanghai - London ratio change, zinc's Shanghai - London ratio change, etc. [59][61] 3.7 Seventh Part: Non - ferrous Metals Options - The report provides charts related to non - ferrous metal options, such as copper option historical volatility, zinc option weighted implied volatility, etc. [77][79]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Views of the Report - The lithium salt market is experiencing strong supply and demand. After the holiday, the enthusiasm for downstream replenishment has exceeded market expectations, and the market volatility has increased. From a seasonal perspective, downstream demand may experience a seasonal decline around the Spring Festival. Both upstream and downstream enterprises should seize the opportunity to conduct futures and options hedging according to their risk management needs [4][5]. - For industrial silicon, the supply is expected to remain at a high level. Although the short - term demand is fair during the traditional peak season in October, the supply pressure in the polysilicon industry is significant, and future production reduction is expected. The futures price of industrial silicon is expected to fluctuate within a range [6]. - In the polysilicon market, the high profit has driven high production enthusiasm, but the terminal demand is weak, leading to obvious inventory accumulation. With the possible implementation of photovoltaic capacity control policies, the market shows a situation of strong expectation and weak reality, and the futures price is expected to oscillate at a high level [8][9]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 First Part: Spot Price 3.1.1 Plate Strategy Recommendation - **Carbonate Lithium**: The market is characterized by strong supply and demand but a weakening atmosphere. The support level is 68,000 - 70,000, and the pressure level is 78,000 - 80,000. It is expected to decline in an oscillatory manner. Upstream enterprises should seize the opportunity to conduct selling hedging when the price rises, and downstream cathode material enterprises should pay attention to stocking up at low prices or conducting buying hedging [15]. - **Industrial Silicon**: The supply - demand pressure is increasing, and the price is under pressure. However, there is certain policy support at the lower price. The support level is 8,200 - 8,300, and the pressure level is 9,200 - 9,300. It is expected to oscillate within a range. Currently, an interval long - position strategy can be considered [15]. - **Polysilicon**: The fundamental pressure has led to a significant decline in the futures price. Before the implementation of capacity control policies, the market may fluctuate. The support level is 47,000 - 48,000, and the pressure level is 52,000 - 53,000. It is expected to oscillate at a high level. Previous long positions are recommended to be closed, and short - selling opportunities on rebounds can be considered in the future [15]. - **Arbitrage Recommendation**: There are currently no good arbitrage opportunities [16]. 3.1.2 Futures and Spot Price Changes | Variety | Closing Price | Increase/Decrease Rate | Trading Volume | Open Interest | Open Interest Change | Warehouse Receipts | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Carbonate Lithium | 75,700 | 0.00% | 169,108 | 138,434 | - 20,566 | 30,705 | | Industrial Silicon | 8,565 | 1.60% | 190,332 | 114,236 | - 17,557 | 49,303 | | Polysilicon | 50,340 | - 3.66% | 150,772 | 56,806 | - 11,421 | 9,150 | [16] 3.2 Second Part: Fundamental Situation 3.2.1 Carbonate Lithium Fundamental Data - **Production and Inventory**: Last week, the production of carbonate lithium reached 21,066 tons, a 431 - ton increase from the previous week, hitting a new weekly high. All lithium - extraction processes showed an upward trend. The total sample inventory was 132,658 tons, a 2,143 - ton decrease from the previous week, with an accelerating de - stocking speed, but the inventory remained at a high level. The downstream inventory decreased slightly [4]. - **Downstream Situation**: The weekly apparent demand for lithium salts reached 23,209 tons, hitting a new weekly high [4]. 3.2.2 Industrial Silicon Fundamental Data - **Production and Inventory**: With the arrival of the flat - water period, electricity prices in some south - western regions have increased, and some factories have shut down furnaces. There are signs of复产 in the north - western region, and the overall supply is expected to remain high [6]. - **Downstream Situation**: During the traditional peak season in October, the short - term demand is fair. However, the polysilicon industry is facing significant supply pressure, and future production reduction is expected [6]. 3.2.3 Polysilicon Fundamental Data - **Production and Inventory**: Driven by high profits, enterprises are highly motivated to produce, and the production in October is expected to exceed expectations. However, the terminal demand is weak, and the inventory has been accumulating significantly [8]. - **Downstream Situation**: The National Energy Administration announced that the new photovoltaic installed capacity in August was only 7.36GW, a new low for the year. Downstream production cuts are being gradually implemented [8].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Views of the Report - **Soybean Oil**: The main futures price of soybean oil has been fluctuating and adjusting this week. China's soybean oil inventory continues to accumulate, with sufficient supply and a weak current situation. In the fourth quarter, which is the traditional consumption peak season for soybean oil, and as it is currently the most cost - effective oil, the inventory is expected to stop increasing and decline, and the futures price center of soybean oil is expected to move up slightly. It is advisable to hold long positions in the main contract of soybean oil, with support levels at 8150 - 8200 yuan/ton and pressure levels at 8400 - 8450 yuan/ton [3]. - **Rapeseed Oil**: Rapeseed oil futures have been weakening. The market is worried about the possible consultation on the import control policy of Canadian rapeseed between the two countries, which suppresses the rapeseed oil futures price. The policy expectation mainly affects the market sentiment. The basis price in the spot market has risen slightly today, showing a divergence from the futures price. The inventory of rapeseed oil is continuously decreasing, and enterprises are strongly willing to support prices. The basis of rapeseed oil remains stable, and the market is in a stalemate. It is recommended to temporarily wait and see for the unilateral operation of the 01 contract or buy options to protect existing positions. The support level of the main 01 contract of rapeseed oil is 9800 - 9820 yuan/ton, and the pressure level is 10020 - 10050 yuan/ton [4]. - **Palm Oil**: The main contract of palm oil has been weakly adjusting this week. The inventory pressure in the palm oil - producing areas in Southeast Asia is not large, and the inventory is expected to enter the November production - reduction season lightly. Coupled with Indonesia's test of B50, the supply - demand of palm oil is expected to narrow in the fourth quarter, and the medium - to - long - term bullish view remains unchanged. Aggressive strategies can consider holding long positions or buying out - of - the - money call options after the price stabilizes. The support level of the main contract of palm oil is 9230 - 9270 yuan/ton, and the pressure level is 9650 - 9680 yuan/ton [5]. - **Soybean Meal and Bean No. 2**: The main contract of soybean meal futures has broken through the support level and declined. The U.S. soybean crushing volume exceeds market expectations, and Sino - U.S. trade frictions continue. The current weather in the world's major soybean - producing areas is relatively good, which is suitable for the harvest of U.S. soybeans and the sowing of Brazilian soybeans, and the upward driving force of U.S. soybeans is also insufficient. China's domestic inventory of oil - pressing soybeans and soybean meal is relatively sufficient, and the supply remains loose. It is advisable to lightly short the main contract of soybean meal unilaterally or consider selling out - of - the - money call options. For arbitrage, consider going long on the oil - meal ratio of the 01 contract of soybeans. The support level of the main contract of soybean meal is 2800 - 2830 yuan/ton, and the pressure level is 2960 - 2970 yuan/ton. The support level of the main contract of Bean No. 2 is 3500 - 3530 yuan/ton, and the pressure level is 3675 - 3700 yuan/ton [5]. - **Rapeseed Meal**: The sentiment of rapeseed meal has been weak. The market generally expects that the two countries may consult on the rapeseed trade policy. Rapeseed meal is facing the dual pressures of the seasonal consumption off - season and the squeeze of substitute varieties, and the terminal purchasing willingness is low. The continuous weakness of soybean meal also drags down rapeseed meal. It is necessary to focus on the results of Sino - Canadian trade negotiations and wait and see before the policy is clear. Consider going long on the oil - meal ratio of the 01 contract of rapeseed. The support level of the main contract of rapeseed meal is 2230 - 2250 yuan/ton, and the pressure level is 2400 - 2430 yuan/ton [5][6]. - **Bean No. 1**: The futures price of Bean No. 1 has risen this week. The new - season soybeans in the Northeast market have basically completed the harvest, and the grain trading enterprises are actively purchasing. The high - protein soybeans are in short supply and the price is firm, while the low - protein soybeans have a weak price. With the concentrated listing of soybeans in the Northeast and the low valuation of Bean No. 1 and the reluctance of farmers to sell, the domestic soybean price is running strongly. It is advisable to hold long positions in the main contract of Bean No. 1. The pressure level of the 11 contract of Bean No. 1 is in the range of 4050 - 4080 yuan/ton, and the support level is in the range of 3900 - 3930 yuan/ton [6]. - **Peanuts**: The spot price of peanuts has remained stable over the weekend. The probability of purchasing U.S. soybeans has increased due to the new round of Sino - U.S. trade negotiations. The planting area of new - season peanuts has increased this year, and the planting cost has decreased year - on - year. Currently, the area and quantity of peanut listing are gradually increasing, with upward pressure. However, the futures price has reflected the expected increase in production, and the yield per unit in some areas of Henan is not good, so the downward space of the futures price is limited. It is recommended to pay attention to the purchasing dynamics of oil - pressing plants and the new - season procurement situation. The futures price is expected to fluctuate in the short term. The support level of the 01 contract is 7900 - 7550 yuan/ton, and the pressure level is 8020 - 8160 yuan/ton [6]. - **Corn and Corn Starch**: The futures prices of corn and corn starch have shown a low - level oscillating trend this week. In the external market, there is a game between the harvest pressure in the Northern Hemisphere and the good export of U.S. corn, and the sowing in South America has started smoothly, so the overall futures price is expected to remain oscillating at a low level. In the domestic market, the new - season harvest is progressing, and the continuous rainy weather in North China has brought new differences to the market. After the futures price refreshed the low point, the market has entered a new game. Considering that the new - season harvest is still in progress, the listing pressure may not be fully reflected, and the futures price is still in the process of finding the bottom. It is recommended to hold short positions cautiously or pay attention to the reverse spread of the 1 - 5 spread of corn. For options, consider selling out - of - the - money call options. The support range of the 01 contract of corn is 2000 - 2020 yuan/ton, and the pressure range is 2180 - 2200 yuan/ton. The support range of the 11 contract of corn starch is 2340 - 2350 yuan/ton, and the pressure range is 2480 - 2500 yuan/ton [7]. - **Hogs**: The spot price of hogs has been fluctuating narrowly over the weekend. Recently, the hog price has fallen below the breeding cost, and the hog - grain ratio has quickly fallen below 5:1, with significantly reduced breeding profits. Under the atmosphere of "anti - involution" to limit production capacity, the near - end slaughter of hogs has increased. The futures price of hogs has hit a new annual low. This week, the national average spot price of hogs is about 10.67 yuan/kg, a decrease of 0.23 yuan/kg compared with last Friday. Before the festival, the slaughter volume rebounded significantly month - on - month, was at a high level year - on - year, and was higher than that in 2023. The near - end farmers are actively slaughtering, and the supply of standard hogs is loose. The price of 7 - kg piglets has fallen close to the slaughter cost. In terms of the futures price, the Sino - U.S. restart of negotiations is expected to make the agricultural product index oscillate weakly as a whole, and the futures price of hogs is currently at a premium to the spot price. The 01 contract refers to the range of 11000 - 13000 points. Cautious investors can hold the reverse spread of shorting the near - month contract and going long on the far - month contract, and aggressive investors can buy the 2605 contract when the price falls below the breeding cost in the medium - term and sell deep out - of - the - money call options with a strike price above 15000 points to reduce the bottom - fishing cost [8][9]. - **Eggs**: The spot price of eggs has been generally stable with a slight weakness over the weekend. After the seasonal decline, the egg price has stabilized. Since the 10 contract is in the off - season after the Mid - Autumn Festival, the futures price has a weak follow - up to the spot price. Currently, the egg index continues to oscillate at the bottom and has reached a historical low. In October, the terminal consumption is expected to decline month - on - month, the current stocking demand has weakened, and farmers are gradually increasing the culling of laying hens, and the price of culled hens has also declined. The supply - demand pattern has marginally improved. The national spot price over the weekend is about 3.00 yuan/jin, a decrease of 0.01 yuan/jin compared with last Friday. Fundamentally, the current egg price is at a relatively low level, and the inventory of laying hens is at a historical high. It is necessary to wait for farmers to increase the culling of laying hens to drive the reduction of production capacity. Aggressive investors can buy the 2512 contract unilaterally at low prices in the short - term. Since the egg index has approached the historical low level, it is advisable to be cautious about short - selling in speculative trading or buy the positive spread between the 12 - 1 month contracts at low prices [9]. 3. Summaries Based on the Table of Contents 3.1 First Part: Sector Strategy Recommendation 3.1.1 Market Analysis - **Soybean Oil 01**: The fundamental situation has not changed much, affected by the significant fluctuations of crude oil recently. The current supply is sufficient, and the supply - demand is expected to improve in the fourth quarter. The market is expected to oscillate strongly, and it is advisable to hold long positions lightly [12]. - **Rapeseed Oil 01**: The purchase of rapeseed is relatively small, and it is necessary to pay attention to the changes in Sino - Canadian trade relations. The market is expected to oscillate within a range, and it is advisable to wait and see [12]. - **Palm 01**: The production of Malaysian palm oil exceeds market expectations, but the inventory pressure in the producing areas is not large. Indonesia plans to promote B50, and the downward space of the palm oil price is limited. The medium - to - long - term bullish view remains unchanged. It is advisable to hold long positions [12]. - **Soybean Meal 01**: The current inventory of oil - pressing soybeans and soybean meal is sufficient, and the feed demand for soybean meal is expected to weaken in the fourth quarter, with insufficient bullish driving forces. The bullish expectation lies in the continuous Sino - U.S. trade frictions. The market is expected to oscillate widely, and it is advisable to wait and see [12]. - **Rapeseed Meal 01**: The market is affected by the expected relaxation of trade policies and the weakening of demand. It is necessary to pay attention to Sino - Canadian trade policies. The market is expected to oscillate and adjust, and it is advisable to wait and see [12]. - **Corn 01**: The overall pressure environment remains unchanged, with short - term rhythm disturbances. However, the harvest is still in progress, and the pressure has not been fully released. The market is expected to oscillate weakly, and it is advisable to hold short positions cautiously [12]. - **Starch 11**: The price of corn, the cost end, is expected to face pressure, and the enterprise's inventory accumulation expectation puts pressure on the spot price. The market is expected to oscillate weakly, and it is advisable to hold short positions cautiously [12]. - **Hogs 01**: The feed price has stopped falling and rebounded, and there are policies to reduce production capacity in the industry. The market is expected to oscillate at a low level, and it is advisable to mainly wait and see [12]. - **Eggs 12**: Affected by production capacity pressure and the expectation of the consumption peak season, the market is expected to find the bottom through oscillation, and it is advisable to buy at low prices [12]. 3.1.2 Basis and Spot - Futures Strategies The report provides the spot prices, price changes, basis of the main contracts, and basis changes of various varieties in different sectors, including soybeans, peanuts, oils, proteins, energy and by - products, and livestock products [13]. 3.2 Second Part: Key Data Tracking Table 3.2.1 Fats and Oils - **Daily Data**: The report provides the import cost data of fats and oils, including the arrival premium, CBOT soybean futures price, CNF arrival price, soybean import arrival duty - paid price, and the cost of soybean meal when the crushing profit is 0 for different shipping dates of soybeans from Brazil, Argentina, and the U.S. Gulf. It also provides relevant data for rapeseed and palm oil shipping dates [14][16]. - **Weekly Data**: The report provides the weekly data of fats and oils, including the inventory and operating rate of soybeans, rapeseed, palm oil, and peanuts, as well as the inventory of related products such as soybean meal, soybean oil, rapeseed meal, and rapeseed oil [17]. 3.2.2 Feed The report provides the weekly data of corn and corn starch, including the consumption of corn by deep - processing enterprises, the inventory of corn by deep - processing enterprises, the operating rate of starch enterprises, and the inventory of starch enterprises [18]. 3.2.3 Livestock Farming - **Hogs**: The report provides the key weekly data of the hog market, including the spot price, breeding cost, profit, slaughter data, and other indicators [19]. - **Eggs**: The report provides the key weekly data of the egg market, including supply - side indicators such as the laying rate, the proportion of different sizes of eggs, the age of culled hens, and the supply of culled hens, demand - side indicators such as inventory, and profit - related indicators [20]. 3.3 Third Part: Fundamental Tracking Charts - **Livestock Farming (Hogs and Eggs)**: The report provides charts of the closing price of the main contract of hogs, the closing price of the main contract of eggs, the spot price of hogs, the price of piglets, the price of white - striped pork, the spot price of eggs, the price of chicken chicks, and the price of culled hens [22][24][25]. - **Fats and Oils**: - **Palm Oil**: The report provides charts of the monthly production, export volume, and ending inventory of Malaysian palm oil, the import parity profit of palm oil, the import volume, domestic inventory, daily trading volume, price spreads, and basis of palm oil [32][33][36]. - **Soybean Oil**: The report provides charts of the U.S. soybean crushing volume, U.S. soybean oil inventory, soybean crushing profit, domestic soybean oil mill operating rate, domestic soybean oil inventory, daily trading volume, price spreads, and basis of soybean oil [39][40][44]. - **Peanuts**: The report provides charts of the arrival and shipment volume of peanuts in domestic wholesale markets, the daily crushing profit of peanuts, the weekly raw material procurement volume of some oil - pressing plants, the weekly operating rate of peanuts, the inventory of peanuts and peanut oil in oil - pressing plants, the monthly import volume of peanuts, price spreads, and basis of peanuts [46][48]. - **Feed**: - **Corn**: The report provides charts of the spot price, closing price, basis, price spreads, port inventory, import volume, consumption by deep - processing enterprises, inventory of deep - processing enterprises, ethanol processing profit, and price difference between corn and wheat of corn [50][52][55]. - **Corn Starch**: The report provides charts of the spot price, closing price, basis, price difference with corn, enterprise operating rate, inventory, price difference with flour, and weekly profit of corn starch [59][61][62]. - **Rapeseed**: The report provides charts of the spot price of rapeseed meal, the spot price of imported fourth - grade rapeseed oil, basis, inventory of rapeseed and rapeseed meal in coastal oil mills, inventory of rapeseed oil, rapeseed crushing volume, domestic rapeseed crushing profit, and the delivery volume of rapeseed meal and rapeseed oil in coastal areas [64][66][68]. - **Soybean Meal**: The report provides charts of the flowering rate and pod - setting rate of U.S. soybeans, the inventory of soybeans in national ports, and the inventory of soybean meal in domestic mainstream oil mills [73][75]. 3.4 Fourth Part: Option Situation of Feed, Livestock Farming, and Fats and Oils The report provides charts of the historical volatility of rapeseed meal, rapeseed oil, soybean oil, palm oil, and peanuts, as well as the trading volume, open interest,