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建信期货沥青日报-20251120
Jian Xin Qi Huo· 2025-11-20 10:31
Group 1: General Information - Report Name: Asphalt Daily Report [1] - Report Date: November 20, 2025 [2] - Research Team: Energy and Chemical Research Team [4] Group 2: Market Review and Operation Suggestions Market Review - Futures Market: For BU2601, the opening price was 3042 yuan/ton, closing at 3045 yuan/ton, with a high of 3066 yuan/ton, a low of 3025 yuan/ton, a decline of 0.13%, and a trading volume of 18.21 million lots. For BU2602, the opening price was 3061 yuan/ton, closing at 3068 yuan/ton, with a high of 3085 yuan/ton, a low of 3048 yuan/ton, an increase of 0.03%, and a trading volume of 3.74 million lots [6] - Spot Market: Today, the asphalt spot price in Shandong slightly increased, while prices in Northeast, North China, South China, and Sichuan and Chongqing areas decreased. Other regions' prices were relatively stable. Shengxing Petrochemical plans to switch to producing residue oil, and Yunnan Petrochemical plans to start maintenance in the middle of the month, with the operating rate expected to slightly decline. On the demand side, demand in the northern regions has significantly shrunk. Snow and rain in the Northwest, Northeast, and northern North China have reduced road asphalt demand to zero. In North China, Shandong, and surrounding areas, the temperature will drop below freezing, leading to the suspension of road projects and a seasonal decline in rigid demand. Rain in the Northwest and eastern Southwest has also affected project construction, with demand continuing to decline [6] Operation Suggestions - With no support for oil prices and weakening asphalt demand, the price center is expected to have further downward space. Consider short - selling [7] Group 3: Industry News - Shandong Market: The mainstream transaction price of 70 A - grade asphalt was 3030 - 3520 yuan/ton, up 5 yuan/ton from the previous trading day. Due to Hongrun stopping asphalt loading, Dongming switching to producing residue oil with limited shipments, and Hualong refinery limiting shipments, the available spot resources in Shandong tightened, driving up the low - end prices [8] - South China Market: The mainstream transaction price of 70 A - grade asphalt was 3090 - 3210 yuan/ton, down 5 yuan/ton from the previous trading day. Market demand remained stable, with some warehouses having relatively stable shipments. Despite entering the traditional construction season in the southern market, demand did not improve significantly. Traders were still bearish, and social inventory quotes were slightly lowered [8] Group 4: Data Overview - The report provides multiple data charts including asphalt daily operating rate, Shandong asphalt comprehensive profit, asphalt cracking, asphalt social inventory, asphalt manufacturer inventory, and asphalt warehouse receipts, with data sources from wind and the Research and Development Department of CCB Futures [15][18][21][23]
纯碱、玻璃日报-20251120
Jian Xin Qi Huo· 2025-11-20 10:30
行业 纯碱、玻璃日报 日期 2025 年 11 月 20 日 油) 021-60635738 lijie@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F3031215 每日报告 一、纯碱、玻璃行情回顾与操作建议 | | | 表1:纯碱、玻璃期货11月19日交易数据汇总 | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 合约 | 开盘价 | 最高价 | 最低价 | 收盘价 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 (%) | 持仓量 (万手) | 持仓量变 化 | | SA601 | 1213 | 1214 | 1180 | 1182 | -38 | -3.11 | 134.57 | 82458 | | SA605 | 1286 | 1286 | 1256 | 1257 | -36 | -2.78 | 35.22 | 13326 | | FG601 | 1019 | 1024 | 1005 | 1009 | -16 | -1.56 | 199.05 | 2524 | | FG605 | 1152 | 1156 | 1136 | ...
建信期货油脂日报-20251120
Jian Xin Qi Huo· 2025-11-20 10:30
行业 油脂 日期 2025 年 11 月 20 日 研究员:余兰兰 021-60635732 yulanlan@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F0301101 研究员:林贞磊 021-60635740 linzhenlei@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F3055047 研究员:王海峰 021-60635727 wanghaifeng@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F0230741 研究员:洪辰亮 021-60635572 hongchenliang@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F3076808 研究员:刘悠然 021-60635570 liuyouran@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F03094925 农产品研究团队 请阅读正文后的声明 #summary# 华东转三级菜油:01+350 11 月 华东;01+320 12 月 华东;12-1 月: OI2601+280。华东转一级菜油:11 月:OI2601+460,12 月:OI2601+420;12-1 月:OI2601+380。华 ...
建信期货纸浆日报-20251120
Jian Xin Qi Huo· 2025-11-20 10:30
Report Information - Report Title: Pulp Daily Report [1] - Report Date: November 20, 2025 [2] 1. Industry Investment Rating - No industry investment rating is provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints - The pulp futures 01 contract decreased by 1.17%, and the pulp price is under pressure at the previous high. Attention should be paid to the cost digestion performance of downstream paper enterprises [7]. 3. Summary by Section 3.1 Market Review and Operation Suggestions - The previous settlement price of the pulp futures 01 contract was 5428 yuan/ton, and the closing price was 5396 yuan/ton, a decline of 1.17%. The intended transaction price range of softwood pulp in the Shandong market was 4900 - 6500 yuan/ton, with the price remaining stable compared to the previous trading day. The quotation of Shandong Yinxing was 5550 yuan/ton [7]. - Fenlin Fenbao Metsa notified Chinese customers that the November quotation of softwood pulp would be increased by $20. In September, the chemical pulp shipments of the world's top 20 pulp - producing countries increased by 8.3% year - on - year, with softwood pulp up 3.8% and hardwood pulp up 11.8%. Shipments to the Chinese market still increased [7]. - In October, the European wood pulp inventory was 703,900 tons, a month - on - month decrease of 2.8% and a year - on - year increase of 3.4%. The European wood pulp consumption was 844,100 tons, a month - on - month increase of 4.8% and a year - on - year increase of 1.2%. As of November 14, 2025, the weekly pulp inventory in major regions and ports was 1.9766 million tons, a 4.22% increase from the previous week [7]. - The performance of downstream base papers remained differentiated. The packaging paper market continued to be favorable, while the prices of other base papers were stable. The improvement of social orders for offset paper was limited, and publishing tenders continued to progress [7]. 3.2 Industry News - On November 19, leading enterprises such as Nine Dragons and Shanying raised the prices of corrugated paper and kraft linerboard by 50 yuan per ton in multiple bases, and small and medium - sized paper enterprises such as Shanxi Qiangwei Paper followed, with a price increase of 30 - 80 yuan per ton. The terminal market also strengthened, with the average prices of linerboard and corrugated paper increasing by 80 yuan per ton week - on - week. Affected by shutdown maintenance and inventory decline, the price range of white board paper expanded to 2500 - 3850 yuan per ton. The average price of waste yellow board paper remained high at 1934 yuan per ton, and the adjustment of recycled pulp import policies intensified the supply contraction [8]. - On November 18, 2025, the 2025 China Pulp Market Situation Seminar was held in Chongqing, with nearly 1200 industry elites participating to explore the pulp market trend and promote in - depth industrial collaboration [8]. 3.3 Data Overview - The report provides multiple data charts, including import bleached softwood pulp spot prices in Shandong, pulp futures prices, pulp spot - futures price differences, softwood - hardwood price differences, inter - delivery price differences, warehouse receipt totals, domestic main port pulp inventories, European main port wood pulp inventories, prices and price differences of coated paper and offset paper, prices and price differences of white cardboard and white board paper, and the US dollar - RMB exchange rate [14][16][18][23][24][26]
建信期货聚烯烃日报-20251120
Jian Xin Qi Huo· 2025-11-20 10:30
Group 1: Report Overview - Report Name: Polyolefin Daily Report [1] - Date: November 20, 2025 [2] Group 2: Industry Investment Rating - No information provided regarding the industry investment rating Group 3: Core Viewpoints - Polyolefin prices are expected to remain under pressure due to weak cost support and a continuously loose supply - demand situation, but may be weakly supported by periodic restocking demand and will likely oscillate in the bottom range [6] Group 4: Analysis by Section 1. Market Review and Outlook - Futures opened low and fluctuated, with subdued market trading. Traders adjusted prices downward, and downstream buyers restocked at low prices. Supply losses from maintenance decreased, and weekly production increased as expected. Demand is expected to weaken in November, and downstream buyers have returned to purchasing based on rigid demand. Cost support is hard to find as OPEC+ pauses production increases in Q1 2026 but can't reverse the oversupply situation [6] - L2601 closed at 6833 yuan/ton, up 15 yuan/ton (0.22%), with 280,000 lots traded and a decrease of 19,678 lots in positions. PP2601 closed at 6434 yuan/ton, up 7 yuan (0.11%), with a decrease of 18,039 lots in positions [6] 2. Industry News - On November 19, 2025, major producers' inventory was 700,000 tons, a decrease of 10,000 tons (1.41%) from the previous workday, compared to 660,000 tons in the same period last year [7] - PE market prices are weak. LLDPE prices in North China are in the range of 6800 - 7050 yuan/ton, in East China 6900 - 7400 yuan/ton, and in South China 7000 - 7400 yuan/ton [7] - The mainstream price of propylene in Shandong is 5920 - 5980 yuan/ton, up 65 yuan/ton from the previous workday. Downstream factory procurement is active, demand support is strong, supply is tight, and some enterprises control volume and offer at a premium [7] - PP market prices fluctuate slightly. The mainstream price of North China drawn wire is 6200 - 6380 yuan/ton, in East China 6280 - 6500 yuan/ton, and in South China 6400 - 6540 yuan/ton [7] 3. Data Overview - The report includes figures such as L basis, PP basis, L - PP spread, crude oil futures settlement price, two - oil inventory, and two - oil inventory year - on - year increase/decrease rate, with data sources from Wind and Zhuochuang Information [9][12][15]
建信期货股指日评-20251120
Jian Xin Qi Huo· 2025-11-20 10:30
Report Type - Stock Index Daily Review [1] Date - November 20, 2025 [2] Researchers - Nie Jiayi (Stock Index), contact: 021 - 60635735, email: niejiayi@ccb.ccbfutures.com, futures qualification number: F03124070 [3] - He Zhuoqiao (Macro Precious Metals), contact: 18665641296, email: hezhuoqiao@ccb.ccbfutures.com, futures qualification number: F3008762 [3] - Huang Wenxin (Macro Treasury Bonds and Container Shipping), contact: 021 - 60635739, email: huangwenxin@ccb.ccbfutures.com, futures qualification number: F3051589 [3] 1. Market Review and Outlook 1.1 Market Review - On November 19, the Wind All - A Index declined on lower volume, trending down after opening, recovering in the afternoon and then weakening again, closing down 0.30%. The CSI 300 and SSE 50 closed up 0.44% and 0.58% respectively, while the CSI 500 and CSI 1000 closed down 0.40% and 0.82% respectively, with large - cap blue - chip stocks performing better. In the futures market, the IF and IH main contracts closed up 0.22% and 0.45% respectively, generally weaker than the spot, and the IC and IM main contracts closed down 0.35% and 0.73% respectively, generally stronger than the spot (based on closing prices) [6] 1.2 Outlook - External markets: Sino - Japanese relations continue to deteriorate, slightly increasing market risk - aversion sentiment. Domestic situation: October economic data shows both supply and demand weakened. The total retail sales of consumer goods in October increased by 2.9% year - on - year, and the added value of industrial enterprises above designated size increased by 4.9% year - on - year. The decline rates of both narrowed and reached their lowest levels since September 2024. The investment side continued to shrink, with the cumulative fixed - asset investment from January to October decreasing by 1.7% year - on - year, and the decline rate widening by 1.2 percentage points compared with the previous month. The year - on - year growth rates of manufacturing and infrastructure further narrowed, and the decline in real estate investment further expanded. Overall, the marginal pressure on domestic economic data has further increased, awaiting policy support. In terms of liquidity, the margin trading balance remains at a high level, supporting the index. The total turnover of the All - A Index shrank to 1.74 trillion yuan. In the short term, policy expectations have weakened recently, and technically, it is near the key pressure level of 4000 points on the Shanghai Composite Index. However, the basis repair shows that market sentiment is not overly pessimistic. It is expected that the index may maintain a volatile trend in the short term, and the market style should adopt a barbell strategy, with balanced allocation between the CSI 300 and CSI 500 [8] 3. Industry News - Regarding China's notification to Japan of the suspension of Japanese aquatic product imports, Foreign Ministry Spokesperson Mao Ning stated at a regular press conference on the 19th that Japan previously promised to fulfill its regulatory responsibilities for aquatic products exported to China and ensure product quality and safety, which is a prerequisite for Japanese aquatic products to enter the Chinese market. However, Japan has failed to provide the promised technical materials. Recently, due to the wrong remarks of Japanese Prime Minister Takamichi Sanae on major issues such as Taiwan, which have aroused strong public indignation in China, "even if Japanese aquatic products are exported to China, there will be no market" [32]
建信期货MEG日报-20251120
Jian Xin Qi Huo· 2025-11-20 10:25
行业 MEG 日报 日期 2025 年 11 月 20 日 料油) 021-60635738 lijie@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F3031215 021-60635737 renjunchi@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F3037892 业硅)028-8663 0631 penghaozhou@ccb.ccbfutures.c om期货从业资格号:F3065843 021-60635740 pengjinglin@ccb.ccbfutures.c om期货从业资格号:F3075681 021-60635570 liuyouran@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F03094925 021-60635727 fengzeren@ccb.ccbfutures.com 能源化工研究团队 研究员:李捷,CFA(原油燃 研究员:任俊弛(PTA、MEG) 研究员:彭浩洲(尿素、工 研究员:彭婧霖(聚烯烃) 研究员:刘悠然(纸浆) 研究员:冯泽仁(玻璃纯碱) 期货从业资格号:F03134307 请阅读正文后的声明 #summary# 每日报告 ...
建信期货集运指数日报-20251119
Jian Xin Qi Huo· 2025-11-19 12:50
Report Information - Report Title: Container Shipping Index Daily Report [1] - Date: November 19, 2025 [2] - Researchers: He Zhuoqiao, Huang Wenxin, Nie Jiayi [3] Core View - The 12 - month contract was weak due to the under - expected price increase implementation, while the far - month price increase expectation has fermented in advance, which may lead to over - valuation of the 04 contract. It is advisable to focus on the positive spread trading opportunity between 02 - 04 contracts [8]. Summary by Directory 1. Market Review and Operation Suggestions - On Friday after the market, the Shanghai Futures Exchange clarified that the last trading day of the February contract is February 9, and the expectation of the pre - Spring Festival shipping rush further fermented in the February contract. The December contract was weak as the price increase implementation was less than expected. The SCFIS index fell 9.8% week - on - week to 1357.67 this week. Shipping companies' online quotes changed little. Airlines have not formed a unified price - holding force, and the price increase implementation in December was less than expected, but there is still a far - month price increase expectation [8]. 2. Industry News - From November 10 to November 14, the China export container shipping market was generally stable, and the freight rates of ocean routes continued to show a differentiated trend, with the composite index slightly declining. In October, the added value of industrial enterprises above designated size increased by 4.9% year - on - year. On November 14, the Shanghai Export Containerized Freight Index was 1451.38 points, down 2.9% from the previous period. The eurozone's November ZEW economic sentiment index was 25, up from the previous value. The freight rate of the European route increased by 7.1%, the Mediterranean route was stable, and the North American route continued to adjust. There were also statements from Israeli and Turkish officials regarding the Palestinian - Israeli issue [9][10]. 3. Data Overview 3.1 Container Shipping Spot Prices - On November 17, 2025, the SCFIS for the European route (basic ports) was 1357.67, down 9.8% from November 10; the SCFIS for the US - West route (basic ports) was 1238.42, down 6.9% from November 10 [12]. 3.2 Container Shipping Index (European Line) Futures Market - Provided trading data for multiple contracts of container shipping European line futures on November 18, including pre - settlement price, opening price, closing price, settlement price, change, change rate, trading volume, open interest, and open interest change [6]. 3.3 Shipping - Related Data Charts - Included multiple charts such as container ship capacity in Europe, global container ship orders on hand, Shanghai - European basic port freight rates, and Shanghai - Rotterdam spot freight rates [18][23]
建信期货白糖日报-20251119
Jian Xin Qi Huo· 2025-11-19 11:12
行业 白糖日报 日期 2025 年 11 月 19 日 研究员:王海峰 021-60635728 wanghaifeng@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F0230741 021-60635740 linzhenlei@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F3055047 #summary# 每日报告 一、行情回顾与操作建议 021-60635732 yulanlan@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F0301101 | 表1:期货行情 | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 合约 | | 收盘价(元/吨 美分/磅) | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | 持仓量(张) | 增减 | | SR601 | | 5407 | -58 | -1.06% | 363213 | 4030 | | SR605 | | 5357 | -46 | -0.85% | 137483 | 8731 | | 美糖 | 03 | 14.75 | -0.21 | -1.40% | 480441 | -5459 ...
碳酸锂期货日报-20251119
Jian Xin Qi Huo· 2025-11-19 11:05
1. Report Information - Report title: Carbonate Lithium Futures Daily Report [1] - Date: November 19, 2025 [2] - Researcher: Zhang Ping, Yu Feifei, Peng Jinglin [3] 2. Industry Investment Rating - Not mentioned in the report 3. Core View - Carbonate lithium futures rose and then fell, with the main contract closing at 93,520 at the end of the session. The total open interest decreased by 96,376 lots. After the market closed, the Guangzhou Futures Exchange raised the trading fees for the 2601 contract to cool down the overheated trading enthusiasm. The price of spot electric carbon increased by 1,250, Australian ore by 60, mica by 125, 6F by 3,500, electrolyte remained flat, ternary materials by 200 - 300, and lithium iron phosphate by 300. In the short term, the industrial chain continued to see price increases, but the futures price had risen too much compared to the spot price, so there was pressure for the futures and spot prices to converge. The short - term futures price increase would continue to slow down, while the medium - term outlook was still bullish [9] 4. Summary by Directory 4.1 Market Review and Operation Suggestions - Carbonate lithium futures showed a trend of rising and then falling. The main contract closed at 93,520 at the end of the session, and the total open interest dropped by 96,376 lots. After - market, the exchange raised trading fees. Spot prices of various related materials increased, but the futures price had a large increase compared to the spot, leading to pressure for price convergence. Short - term price increase would slow, and the medium - term was bullish [9] 4.2 Industry News - Shengxin Lithium Energy announced a cooperation framework agreement with Huayou Holding Group Co., Ltd. for lithium salt product business from 2026 to 2030. Huayou Holding Group will purchase 221,400 tons of lithium salt products from the company during this period, and the annual purchase volume will be specified in subsequent sub - orders [10] - Hunan Yueneng's wholly - owned subsidiary, Yueneng Recycling, started the construction of a project for the disassembly and recycling of 20,000 tons of waste lithium - ion batteries per year and a project for the production of 30,000 tons of battery - grade lithium carbonate per year in the Xiangxiang Economic Development Zone. The total project investment is 630 million yuan, with the battery recycling project investing 150 million yuan. The lithium carbonate project uses spodumene as raw material and a roasting - acidification - leaching process. The company is also promoting upstream projects such as a 200,000 - ton lithium iron phosphate precursor change project and black powder recycling [10]