Overall Investment Rating The provided reports do not mention any industry investment ratings. Core Views Steel Industry - Steel prices have been falling this year, priced with the expectation of weak demand after the imposition of tariffs. However, the industry has strong supply and demand, with continuous inventory reduction. Exports and re - exports support steel demand this year. With low inventory support, improved macro - sentiment is expected to repair valuations. Attention should be paid to the impact of terminal restocking on spot prices. For the October contract, pay attention to the pressure in the range of 3200 - 3250 for rebar and 3300 - 3400 for hot - rolled coils [1]. Iron Ore Industry - The 09 contract of iron ore oscillated upwards. Affected by macro - sentiment, the black series generally rose. In the short term, iron ore is expected to have a valuation repair, but in the medium - to - long term, a bearish view should be maintained. The high - level sustainability of hot - metal production depends on the terminal demand for finished products, and the marginal changes lie in exports and infrastructure [4]. Coke Industry - The coke futures oscillated and rebounded. The macro - positive factors drove a general rise in commodities. On the supply side, coke enterprises' production increased due to good orders, and coking profits improved. On the demand side, hot - metal production remained high after the holiday, and steel mills replenished inventory as needed. It is necessary to pay attention to whether hot - metal production will decline in the future. The inventory of coking plants and steel mills decreased, and the port inventory decreased slightly. It is recommended to continue to hold the strategy of going long on hot - rolled coils and short on coke (equal value) [5]. Coking Coal Industry - The coking coal futures oscillated and rose. The macro - positive factors drove a general rise in commodities. The spot market continued to decline slightly. The futures market was in a deep - discount structure, with large hedging pressure. The supply - demand pattern of coking coal remained loose in the short term. It is recommended to continue to hold the strategy of going long on hot - rolled coils and short on coking coal (equal value) [5]. Ferrosilicon and Ferromanganese Industry - The ferrosilicon futures oscillated strongly. Recently, manufacturers have carried out maintenance and production cuts, and the production decline has accelerated. The supply - demand contradiction has been alleviated, and it is expected that the price will oscillate, stabilize, and rebound. The ferromanganese futures also rose slightly. The supply pressure has been relieved after previous production cuts, and it is expected that the price will also oscillate and stabilize [6]. Summary by Directory Steel Industry Steel Prices and Spreads - Rebar and hot - rolled coil spot and futures prices generally increased. For example, rebar 10 - contract rose 48 yuan/ton from 3079 to 3127, and hot - rolled coil 10 - contract rose 52 yuan/ton from 3215 to 3267 [1]. Cost and Profit - Steel billet price increased by 30 yuan/ton to 2980 yuan/ton. Some steel product profits changed, such as the East China rebar profit decreased by 21 yuan/ton to 5 yuan/ton [1]. Production - The daily average hot - metal output increased slightly by 0.2 to 245.6 (0.1% increase). The output of five major steel products decreased by 9.5 to 874.2 (- 1.1%), and rebar output decreased by 9.8 to 223.5 (- 4.2%) [1]. Inventory - The inventory of five major steel products increased by 29.0 to 1476.1 (2.0% increase), rebar inventory increased by 9.6 to 653.6 (1.5% increase), and hot - rolled coil inventory increased by 10.9 to 365.1 (3.1% increase) [1]. Trading and Demand - The building materials trading volume increased by 2.2 to 12.0 (22.4% increase). The apparent demand for five major steel products decreased by 125.7 to 845.2 (- 12.9%), and the apparent demand for rebar decreased by 77.8 to 213.9 (- 26.7%) [1]. Iron Ore Industry Iron Ore - related Prices and Spreads - The warehouse - receipt costs of various iron ore powders increased, and the 09 - contract basis of various iron ore powders also increased significantly. For example, the 09 - contract basis of PB powder increased from 32.7 to 87.9 [4]. Supply - The 45 - port arrival volume decreased by 63.1 to 2449.7 (- 2.5%), and the global shipping volume decreased by 137.7 to 3050.5 (- 4.3%) [4]. Demand - The daily average hot - metal output of 247 steel mills increased by 0.2 to 245.6 (0.1% increase). The national monthly pig iron output increased by 859.5 to 7529.4 (12.9%), and the national monthly crude steel output increased by 1687.2 to 9284.1 (22.2%) [4]. Inventory Changes - The 45 - port inventory increased by 102.2 to 14340.88 (0.7%), and the inventory of 64 steel mills decreased by 376.1 to 8959.0 (- 4.0%) [4]. Coke Industry Coke - related Prices and Spreads - The 09 - contract of coke rose by 35 yuan/ton to 1482 (2.4% increase), and the 01 - contract rose by 33 yuan/ton to 1508 (2.2% increase). The coking profit increased by 7 to 1 (700.0% increase) [5]. Supply - The daily average output of all - sample coking plants decreased by 0.1 to 66.9 (- 0.2%), and the daily average output of 247 steel mills decreased by 0.1 to 47.3 (- 0.24%) [5]. Demand - The hot - metal output of 247 steel mills increased by 0.2 to 245.6 (0.1% increase) [5]. Inventory Changes - The total coke inventory decreased by 17.8 to 994.6 (- 1.8%), the inventory of all - sample coking plants decreased by 4.5 to 94.4 (- 4.6%), and the inventory of 247 steel mills decreased by 4.2 to 671.0 (- 0.64%) [5]. Coking Coal Industry Coking Coal - related Prices and Spreads - The 09 - contract of coking coal rose by 24 to 894.5 (2.76% increase), and the 01 - contract rose by 29.5 to 911 (3.35% increase). The profit of sample coal mines decreased by 4 to 399 (- 1.0%) [5]. Supply - The output of Fenwei sample coal mines increased, with the raw coal output increasing by 2.8 to 893.1 (0.34%) and the clean coal output increasing by 2.0 to 457.3 (0.4%) [5]. Demand - The daily average output of all - sample coking plants decreased by 0.1 to 66.9 (- 0.2%), and the daily average output of 247 steel mills decreased by 0.1 to 47.3 (- 0.2%) [5]. Inventory Changes - The clean coal inventory of Fenwei coal mines increased by 9.2 to 210.9 (4.6%), the coking coal inventory of all - sample coking plants decreased by 42.7 to 916.6 (- 4.4%), and the coking coal inventory of 247 steel mills increased by 2.4 to 787.2 (0.34%) [5]. Ferrosilicon and Ferromanganese Industry Spot Prices and Spreads - The ferrosilicon 72%FeSi main - contract closing price rose by 66 to 5678 (1.2%), and the ferromanganese FeMn65Si17 main - contract closing price rose by 54 to 5864 (0.9%) [6]. Cost and Profit - The production cost of some regions changed slightly. For example, the production cost of ferrosilicon in Inner Mongolia increased by 22.3 to 5787.9 (0.4%). Some production profits decreased, such as the production profit of ferrosilicon in Inner Mongolia decreased by 3 to - 124 (- 3.0%) [6]. Supply - The ferrosilicon production enterprises' start - up rate increased by 1.8 to 32.5 (5.8%), and the ferromanganese weekly output decreased by 1.1 to 17.2 (- 5.9%) [6]. Demand - The ferrosilicon demand (calculated by Steel Union) decreased by 0.1 to 2.0 (- 1.1%), and the ferromanganese demand (calculated by Steel Union) decreased by 0.2 to 12.6 (- 1.8%) [6]. Inventory Changes - The ferrosilicon inventory of 60 sample enterprises decreased by 1.0 to 7.4 (- 11.8%), and the inventory of 63 sample enterprises of ferromanganese increased by 2.5 to 20.7 (13.9%) [6].

| 锡产业期现日报 | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2011】1292号 2025年5月15日 | | | | 寇帝斯 | Z0021810 | | 现货价格及基差 | | | | | | | 品种 | 现值 | 前值 | 旅跌 | 张跌幅 | 单位 | | SMM 1#锡 | 265000 | 262100 | 2900 | 1.11% | | | SMM 1#锡升贴水 | 800 | 800 | O | 0.00% | 元/吨 | | 长江 1#锡 | 265500 | 262600 | 2900 | 1.10% | | | LME 0-3升贴水 | -18.50 | 15.00 | -33.50 | -223.33% | 美元/吨 | | 内外比价及进口盈亏 | | | | | | | 品种 | 我们 | 前值 | 涨跌 | 张跌幅 | 单位 | | 进口盈亏 | -11580.58 | -11526.88 | -53.70 | -0.47% | 元/吨 | | 沪伦比值 | 8.12 | 8.10 | ...

1. Report Industry Investment Ratings No information about industry investment ratings is provided in the given reports. 2. Core Views Oils and Fats - Palm oil: There is a risk of the futures price falling and adjusting again due to potential negative factors such as increasing production and expected significant inventory growth at the end of May. The domestic palm oil futures may fluctuate after breaking through 8,200 yuan and could potentially rise to 8,300 yuan [1]. - Soybean oil: If the proposed extension of the 45Z clean - fuel tax credit policy in the US is passed, the use of soybean oil in biofuel production will increase significantly. Domestically, the inventory of soybean oil will gradually increase after the Dragon Boat Festival, which may drag down the market [1]. Meals - The US soybean trend is strong due to eased Sino - US trade tensions and downward - adjusted estimates of US soybean production and ending stocks. However, the Brazilian supply pressure is still being realized, and the domestic soybean arrival is abundant without obvious positive support. The basis is under pressure, and attention should be paid to the performance of soybean meal around 2,900 [2]. Livestock (Pigs) - The spot price of pigs is stable with little change in the supply - demand relationship. The price is expected to remain in a volatile pattern. The 09 contract has returned above 14,000, with limited upward and downward movement [5][6]. Corn and Corn Starch - In the short term, the corn market is stable with a strong bottom support. In the long term, the supply will tighten, and the price is expected to rise. The corn starch market shows some fluctuations in relevant indicators [7]. Sugar - The short - term raw sugar is expected to fluctuate widely between 17 - 20 cents per pound. The domestic sugar supply is expected to be loose, and the price is expected to remain volatile within the range of 5,800 - 5,950 yuan per ton [11]. Cotton - The downstream of the cotton industry is gradually weakening, and the supply is expected to be abundant. The short - term domestic cotton price may fluctuate within a range, and attention should be paid to the pressure around 13,500 - 13,700 yuan per ton [12]. Eggs - The supply of eggs is generally sufficient, and the demand is average in most markets. The price is expected to decline slightly and then stabilize this week [14]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs Oils and Fats - **Price Changes**: On May 14, compared with May 13, the spot and futures prices of soybean oil, palm oil, and rapeseed oil generally increased, with different changes in basis, spreads, and inventory [1]. - **Policy Impact**: The proposed extension of the 45Z clean - fuel tax credit policy in the US may increase the demand for soybean oil in biofuel production [1]. Meals - **Price Changes**: The prices of soybean meal, rapeseed meal, and soybeans showed various changes in spot, futures, basis, and spreads on May 14 compared with May 13. The import crushing margins also changed [2]. - **Market Situation**: The US soybean market is strong, while the Brazilian supply pressure is being realized, and the domestic soybean arrival is abundant [2]. Livestock (Pigs) - **Price and Indicator Changes**: On May 15, the futures prices of some pig contracts increased, and the spot prices were stable. There were also changes in indicators such as slaughter volume, prices of piglets and sows, and breeding profits [5]. - **Market Outlook**: The supply - demand relationship is stable, and the price is expected to remain volatile [5]. Corn and Corn Starch - **Price and Indicator Changes**: On May 15, the corn futures price increased slightly, and there were changes in basis, spreads, and other indicators. The corn starch market also had corresponding changes in prices and indicators [7]. - **Market Situation**: The corn market has strong bottom support in the short term and is expected to rise in the long term due to supply - demand changes [7]. Sugar - **Price and Indicator Changes**: On May 15, the futures and spot prices of sugar changed, and there were also changes in basis, spreads, and import - related prices. The production and sales of sugar showed year - on - year growth [11]. - **Market Outlook**: The raw sugar is expected to fluctuate, and the domestic sugar price will remain volatile due to supply - demand factors [11]. Cotton - **Price and Indicator Changes**: On May 15, the cotton futures and spot prices changed, and there were also changes in basis, spreads, and inventory - related indicators. The downstream industry showed some changes in production, sales, and inventory [12]. - **Market Outlook**: The short - term cotton price may fluctuate due to supply - demand and macro factors [12]. Eggs - **Price and Indicator Changes**: On May 15, the prices of egg contracts, egg - related products, and indicators such as egg - to - feed ratio and breeding profit changed [14]. - **Market Outlook**: The egg price is expected to decline slightly and then stabilize due to supply - demand conditions [14].

| 硅铁 (SF507) | 5778 | 5678 | 100 | 1.76% | 72.00% | 折算价:72硅铁合格块:内蒙-天津仓单 | 硅罐(SM509) | 56 | 折算价:6517硅锰:内蒙-湖北仓单 | 5920 | 0.95% | 35.70% | 5864 | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 123 | 3127 | HRB40020mm:上海 | 3250 | 56.70% | 螺纹钢 (RB2510) | 3.93% | Q235B: 4.75mm: 上海 | 53 | 1.62% | 41.40% | 热卷 (HC2510) | 3320 | 3267 | | | | | | 72 | 809 | 737 | 9.82% | 折算价:62.5%巴混粉(BRBF):淡水河谷:日照港 | 铁矿石 (12509) | 55.40% | -2 | 焦炭 (J2509) | 1480 ...

IL期现日报 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2011】1292号 2025年5月15日 Z0020680 苗扬 期货收盘价 | 品种 | 5月14日 | 5月13日 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | 单位 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 01合约 | 1814 | 1798 | 16 | 0.89% | 元/吨 | | 05合约 | 1900 | 1930 | -30 | -1.55% | | | 09合约 | 1886 | 1897 | =11 | -0.58% | | | 甲醇主力合约 Hm = A / L / A 3 / | 2365 | 2291 | 74 | 3.23% | | 期货合约价差 | 价差 | 5月14日 | 5月13日 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | 单位 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 01合约-05合约 | -86 | -132 | 46 | 34.85% | | | 05合约-09合约 | 14 | 33 | -19 | -57.58% | | | 09合约-01合约 | 72 | дд | ...

3/1 | | 股指期货价差日报 | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2011】1292号 | | | | | | 2025年5月15日 | | | | 叶倩宁 | Z0016628 | | 价差 | 品种 | 最新值 | 较前一日变化 | 历史1年分位数 | 全历史分位数 | | | F期现价差 | -35.81 | ਰੇ 45 | 10.20% | 8.60% | | 期现价差 | H期现价差 | -16.18 | 3.67 | 15.90% | 11.90% | | | IC期现价差 | -101.32 | 25.75 | 6.50% | 3.20% | | | IM期现价差 | -117.37 | 37.04 | 90.00% | 6.00% | | | 次月-当月 | -35.60 | 5.40 | 2.00% | 9.10% | | | 季月-当月 | -101.60 | 7.20 | 0.80% | 6.80% | | | 远月-当月 | -139.60 | 7.40 | 0.80% | 9.30% ...

关注微信公众号 | V (FF) | *业期现日报 | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可 【2011】1292号 2025年5月15日 | | | | 纪工菲 Z0013180 | | | 现货价格及主力合约基差 | | | | | | | 品相 | 5月14日 | 5月13日 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | 单位 | | 华东通氧SI5530工业硅 | 0000 | 9100 | 0 | 0.00% | | | 基美(通氢SI5530基准) | eto | 870 | -260 | -29.89% | | | 华东SI4210工业硅 | 10000 | 10000 | 0 | 0.00% | 元/吨 | | 基差(SI4210基准) | 710 | 970 | -260 | -26.80% | | | 新疆99硅 | 8300 | 8300 | 0 | 0.00% | | | 墓差(新疆) | 610 | 870 | -260 | -29.89% | | | 月间价差 | | | | | | | 合约 | 5月14日 | 5 ...

电 话：020-88830760 E-Mail：zhaoliang@gf.com.cn 目录： 金融衍生品： 广发早知道-汇总版 投资咨询业务资格： 广发期货研究所 金融期货： 股指期货、国债期货 贵金属： 黄金、白银 证监许可【2011】1292 号 集运指数 商品期货： 有色金属： 铜、锌、镍、不锈钢、锡、碳酸锂 黑色金属： 钢材、铁矿石、焦煤、焦炭、铁合金 农产品： 油脂、粕类、玉米、生猪、白糖、棉花、鸡蛋、花生、红枣、苹果 能源化工： 原油、PTA、乙二醇、苯乙烯、短纤、尿素、瓶片、烧碱、PVC、LLDPE、 PP 特殊商品： 橡胶、玻璃纯碱、工业硅、多晶硅 2025 年 5 月 15 日星期四 组长联系信息： 张晓珍（投资咨询资格：Z0003135） 电话：020- 88818009 邮箱：zhangxiaozhen@gf.com.cn 刘珂（投资咨询资格：Z0016336） 电话：020-88818026 邮箱：qhliuke@gf.com.cn 叶倩宁（投资咨询资格：Z0016628） 电话：020- 88818017 邮箱：yeqianning@gf.com.cn 周敏波（投资咨询资格：Z00 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant information provided 2. Core View of the Report - On May 14, 2025, the total positions of IF, IH, IC, and IM varieties all increased significantly, with notable position - increasing actions by certain major institutions in both long and short positions [1][8][9][15][20] 3. Summary by Related Catalogs IF - **Total Position and Main Contract Position Changes**: On May 14, the total position of the IF variety increased significantly by 25,069 hands, and the position of the main contract 2506 increased by 20,634 hands [8] - **Top Twenty Long - Position Seats Position Changes**: Among the top twenty long - position seats of the IF variety on that day, Guotai Junan Futures ranked first with a total position of 48,294 hands. CITIC Futures had the largest increase in long positions, with an intraday increase of 7,160 hands, while Zheshang Futures had the largest decrease, with an intraday decrease of 864 hands [4] - **Top Twenty Short - Position Seats Position Changes**: Among the top twenty short - position seats of the IF variety on that day, CITIC Futures ranked first with a total position of 58,416 hands. Guotai Junan Futures had the largest increase in short positions, with an intraday increase of 5,964 hands, while CICC Wealth had the largest decrease, with an intraday decrease of 81 hands [6] IH - **Total Position and Main Contract Position Changes**: On May 14, the total position of the IH variety increased significantly by 18,780 hands, and the position of the main contract 2506 increased by 13,041 hands [9] - **Top Twenty Long - Position Seats Position Changes**: Among the top twenty long - position seats of the IH variety on that day, Guotai Junan Futures ranked first with a total position of 13,168 hands. CITIC Futures had the largest increase in long positions, with an intraday increase of 3,303 hands, while Shenyin Wanguo had the largest decrease, with an intraday decrease of 18 hands [10] - **Top Twenty Short - Position Seats Position Changes**: Among the top twenty short - position seats of the IH variety on that day, Guotai Junan Futures ranked first with a total position of 15,871 hands. CITIC Futures had the largest increase in short positions, with an intraday increase of 3,407 hands, while Huatai Futures had the largest decrease, with an intraday decrease of 437 hands [11] IC - **Total Position and Main Contract Position Changes**: On May 14, the total position of the IC variety increased significantly by 15,835 hands, and the position of the main contract 2506 increased by 14,940 hands [15] - **Top Twenty Long - Position Seats Position Changes**: Among the top twenty long - position seats of the IC variety on that day, CITIC Futures ranked first with a total position of 36,297 hands. Guotai Junan Futures had the largest increase in long positions, with an intraday increase of 3,759 hands, while J.P. Morgan had the largest decrease, with an intraday decrease of 749 hands [15] - **Top Twenty Short - Position Seats Position Changes**: Among the top twenty short - position seats of the IC variety on that day, CITIC Futures ranked first with a total position of 40,268 hands. Guotai Junan Futures had the largest increase in short positions, with an intraday increase of 3,454 hands, while Shenyin Wanguo Futures had the largest decrease, with an intraday decrease of 245 hands [16] IM - **Total Position and Main Contract Position Changes**: On May 14, the total position of the IM variety increased significantly by 28,068 hands, and the position of the main contract 2506 increased by 26,417 hands [20] - **Top Twenty Long - Position Seats Position Changes**: Among the top twenty long - position seats of the IM variety on that day, Guotai Junan Futures ranked first with a total position of 50,018 hands. CITIC Futures had the largest increase in long positions, with an intraday increase of 10,407 hands, while Huatai Futures had the largest decrease, with an intraday decrease of 448 hands [21] - **Top Twenty Short - Position Seats Position Changes**: Among the top twenty short - position seats of the IM variety on that day, CITIC Futures ranked first with a total position of 67,956 hands. CITIC Futures had the largest increase in short positions, with an intraday increase of 9,918 hands, while Shenyin Wanguo Futures had the largest decrease, with an intraday decrease of 610 hands [23]

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided Group 2: Core Viewpoints - The demand side is suppressed by the traditional off - season in May, the demand for real - estate building materials is lower than expected, the overseas quotation continues to decline, but the arrival of goods is expected to decrease significantly this week. The weak balance pattern of the fundamentals persists, and the market is expected to fluctuate weakly [3][4] Group 3: Summary by Relevant Catalogs Futures and Spot Prices - On May 14, compared with May 13, the prices of log futures contracts 2507, 2509, and 2511 all increased, with increases of 0.76%, 0.50%, and 0.56% respectively. The basis of each contract decreased, and the spot prices of various types of logs in ports remained unchanged. The overseas CFR price of radiata pine 4 - meter medium A decreased by 3.51%, and the import theoretical cost decreased by 3% [2] Supply - In terms of monthly supply, the port throughput in April was 200.3 million cubic meters, a 24.17% increase from March. The number of departing ships from New Zealand to China, Japan, and South Korea increased by 13.79%. In terms of weekly inventory, as of April 25, the total inventory of Chinese logs decreased by 2.28%, with a decrease of 80,000 cubic meters [2][3] Demand - As of April 25, the daily average outbound volume of logs in China decreased by 10%, with a decrease of 0.71 million cubic meters. The daily average outbound volume in Shandong decreased by 15%, and in Jiangsu decreased by 6% [3]