Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Group 2: Core Views - Geopolitical risks continue to disrupt, causing platinum and palladium to oscillate strongly. As of February 11, 2026, the closing price of the GFEX platinum main contract was 551.15 yuan/gram, up 1.91%, and the closing price of the GFEX palladium main contract was 439.1 yuan/gram, down 1.68% [1] - In the short - term, the market is in a stage of shock consolidation, and in the long - term, the weakening trend of the US dollar credit is conducive to the release of long - term price elasticity. It is recommended to pay attention to the opportunity of going long on platinum and short on palladium. The medium - and long - term price is expected to be oscillating strongly [2] - The supply of palladium is uncertain, the spot is in short supply, and although there is structural pressure on the demand side, the price has clear support below. The medium - and long - term price is expected to be oscillating strongly [3] Group 3: Summary by Related Catalogs Platinum - **Main Logic**: In the short - term, sanctions on Russian platinum - group metals, geopolitical issues between the US and Iran, and fluctuations in the Fed's interest - rate cut expectations disrupt the market, and pre - holiday trading is cautious. In the long - term, the US is in an interest - rate cut channel, and the weakening of the US dollar credit is conducive to price elasticity. The platinum - palladium ratio has fallen to a low - level range this week [2] - **Outlook**: Oscillating strongly. The supply - demand fundamentals are healthy, and the macro - expectations are positive [2] Palladium - **Main Logic**: Supply is uncertain due to US investigations on Russian palladium imports and potential European sanctions. The palladium lease rate has risen, and the spot shortage supports the price. There is structural pressure on the demand side. Although long - term supply and demand tend to be loose, the short - term spot shortage and the Fed's interest - rate cut expectations support the price [3] - **Outlook**: Oscillating strongly. The spot shortage and the improving macro - environment support the price [3] Index - **Special Index**: The commodity index was 2390.85, up 0.32%; the commodity 20 index was 2729.71, up 0.27%; the industrial products index was 2290.96, up 0.41% [49] - **Plate Index**: The non - ferrous metal index on February 11, 2026, had a daily increase of 0.24%, a 5 - day decrease of 0.08%, a 1 - month decrease of 5.51%, and a year - to - date increase of 0.32%. The PPI commodity index was 1407.45, up 0.18% [50]

投资咨询业务资格：证监许可【2012】669号 中信期货研究|⾦融衍⽣品策略⽇报 2026-02-12 节前或偏震荡 股指期货：节前缩量，涨价链领涨 股指期权：续持买权防御为主 国债期货：货币宽松预期⽀撑债市 股指期货方面，节前缩量，涨价链领涨。周三权益市场缩量震荡，建 材、有色金属为代表的涨价链领涨，传媒、硬件等方向弱势，市场风格出 现一定程度上的切换。个股方面，涨停家数较周二有所回落，结合量能跌 至2万亿附近，资金节前降低交易频率，预计节前维持震荡格局。另外， 针对是否持仓过节的问题，目前倾向中性仓位持有，从尾部风险角度来 看，前期风险主要来自于两个维度，一是商品波动而带来的连锁调整，二 是海外软件股回撤拖累科技股。而近期两大风险因素均有所缓和，其中贵 金属、有色金属波动率整体下移，同时美国散户开始关注超跌的软件股， 目前判断出现流动性尾部风险的概率相对不大。 股指期权方面，续持买权防御为主。昨日权益指数震荡整理。期权方 面，各个品种市场成交额再度回落。相较于前两周市场波动下的流动性升 温，本周期权交投量能相对平稳。隐含波动率日内走势有所反弹，考虑到 节假日和行权日的临近，期权端的主体观点保持不变，仍建议 ...

黄金观点：短线承压，交易重心回到利率路径。 投资咨询业务资格：证监许可【2012】669号 中信期货研究|贵⾦属策略⽇报 2026-02-12 ⾮农超预期重塑降息预期，⾦银⾼位波 动加剧 1⽉⾮农就业新增13万⼈，显著⾼于预期7万⼈，失业率降⾄4.3%，平均 时薪同⽐3.7%、环⽐0.4%，就业与薪资同步偏强。尽管此前两⽉⾮农合 计下修1.7万⼈，但年度基准修正终值为-86.2万⼈，幅度⼩于前值，整体 修正未进⼀步恶化。数据公布后美元指数快速拉升，美债收益率上⾏，现 货⻩⾦短线回落近40美元。强就业数据阶段性压制降息交易，贵⾦属⾼位 波动显著放⼤。 （以上新闻和数据均来⾃彭博终端） 逻辑：第一，新增就业与薪资数据均高于预期，失业率回落，强化劳 动力市场韧性叙事，市场对年内宽松节奏的定价面临调整。第二，美 元与收益率同步反弹，实际利率预期回升，对无息资产形成直接压 制。第三，数据公布前债市收益率处于阶段低位，市场存在弱数据预 期差，强数据触发反向对冲与多头获利了结，加剧价格波动。 展望：在就业与薪资未出现明确转弱信号前，降息交易难以单边演 绎，金价或进入高位震荡与情绪反复阶段。中期仍取决于实际利率方 向与美元趋 ...

Report Industry Investment Rating No specific industry investment rating is provided in the report. Core Viewpoints of the Report The weakening of the hawkish expectations trading on Wash has led to an upward trend in the prices of basic metals. Although the macro - outlook has improved, it is still unclear. The raw material supply remains tight, and there are still potential disturbances in the smelting process, providing strong support on the supply side. The terminal demand is weak currently, but there is an expectation of tightened supply - demand balance in the medium term. Overall, copper, aluminum, tin and other metals are expected to maintain a moderately strong oscillatory trend [1]. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 1. Market Outlook - **Copper**: High inventory levels will keep copper prices oscillating at a high level. The supply of copper ore is tight, and the expected reduction in refined copper supply is increasing. However, weak demand and high inventory limit the upward potential of copper prices. In the long - term, copper prices are expected to be moderately strong [6]. - **Alumina**: The expectation of production cuts is pitted against the reality of oversupply, causing alumina prices to oscillate. The average spot price has dropped, and the high - cost inland production capacity is facing losses, increasing the expectation of supply reduction. But the actual supply reduction is insufficient, and the cost is also decreasing [7]. - **Aluminum**: The repeated sentiment of funds causes aluminum prices to fluctuate within a narrow range. The macro - outlook is expected to be positive, but the current demand is weak, and the inventory is accumulating. In the medium - term, the supply is expected to be tight, and the price center is likely to rise [8][9]. - **Aluminum Alloy**: Cost support persists, and prices will oscillate. The cost of scrap aluminum is high, and the supply is tight. Although the demand is affected by high prices, the cost support and the expected supply - demand balance will keep prices moderately strong [10]. - **Zinc**: The significant accumulation of social inventory will keep zinc prices oscillating. The macro - outlook has improved, but the supply pressure has increased, and the demand is in the off - season. In the long - term, zinc prices are expected to decline [11]. - **Lead**: Solid cost support will keep lead prices oscillating. The production of lead ingots has decreased slightly, and the demand is weakening, but the high cost of waste batteries provides support [14]. - **Nickel**: The release of Indonesia's 2026 nickel ore quota has pushed nickel prices higher. The supply pressure is high, and the demand is in the off - season. However, the adjustment of Indonesia's policy on nickel ore has supported nickel prices, and it is expected to be moderately strong [15][16]. - **Stainless Steel**: The rise in nickel prices has led to an upward - oscillating trend in the stainless - steel market. The cost is supported, but the production is expected to decline in February due to the Spring Festival, and the demand is weak. Overall, it is expected to be moderately strong [17]. - **Tin**: The continuous supply contraction provides strong support for tin prices. The supply in some regions is still restricted, and the demand in semiconductor, photovoltaic and new - energy vehicle industries is increasing, so tin prices are expected to be moderately strong [19]. 2. Market Monitoring - **Commodity Index**: On February 11, 2026, the comprehensive index, the commodity 20 index, and the industrial product index of CITICS Futures all showed an upward trend, with increases of 0.32%, 0.27%, and 0.41% respectively. The non - ferrous metal index increased by 0.24% on the day, decreased by 0.08% in the past 5 days, decreased by 5.51% in the past month, and increased by 0.32% since the beginning of the year [147][148].

投资咨询业务资格：证监许可【2012】669号 中信期货研究|⿊⾊建材策略⽇报 2026-02-12 淡季⽭盾积累，盘⾯表现承压 钢材节前需求回落，基本⾯缺乏亮点，盘⾯表现疲软。钢⼚复产节奏 偏缓，但铁矿⽯发运端存在扰动，盘⾯低位震荡。冬储临近尾声，煤 焦补库⽀撑逐步转弱，盘⾯⽀撑有限。玻璃供应端存在扰动，但玻纯 供需过剩压制盘⾯价格。 钢材节前需求回落，基本面缺乏亮点，盘面表现疲软。钢厂复产节奏 偏缓，但铁矿石发运端存在扰动，盘面低位震荡。冬储临近尾声，煤 焦补库支撑逐步转弱，盘面支撑有限。玻璃供应端存在扰动，但玻纯 供需过剩压制盘面价格。 1. 铁元素方面：铁矿石库存压力持续增加，供应端仍存天气扰动预 期，当前市场对节后需求预期一般，盘面表现承压，但节后即将召开 重要会议，宏观预期仍存，盘面快速回落后压力有所释放，关注市场 情绪变化。废钢供应、日耗均有季节性下降的预期，随着补库接近尾 声，整体基本面将边际转弱，预计现货价格跟随成材为主。 2. 碳元素方面：焦炭供应后续增长空间有限，而下游钢厂复产预期 仍在，焦炭供需结构将持续保持健康，但基本面利多驱动同样有限， 现货预计暂稳运行，盘面预计仍将跟随成本端焦煤 ...

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given documents Core Viewpoints of the Report - Domestic commodity futures markets closed with most rising, led by new energy materials. Lithium carbonate rose 9.18%, while shipping futures led the decline, with the Container Shipping Index (European Line) down 1.42% [1] - The U.S. economy shows weak stability in overall volume and structural differentiation. The manufacturing PMI in January was favorable, but the non - manufacturing sector weakened and employment data was below expectations [1] - In January 2026, China's PPI was - 1.4% year - on - year and 0.4% month - on - month, while CPI rose 0.2% year - on - year and 0.2% month - on - month [1] - Domestic equity markets are supported by policy expectations and additional liquidity. Treasury bonds are neutral overall, with better short - end opportunities. Gold in precious metals maintains a long - position standard, and silver is on the sidelines. Non - ferrous metals are still promising, and black commodities are volatile. Crude oil may rise due to geopolitical support, but it is advisable to stay on the sidelines [1] Summary by Relevant Catalogs Market Conditions - **Domestic Commodity Futures**: New energy materials led the gains, with lithium carbonate up 9.18%. Shipping futures led the decline, with the Container Shipping Index (European Line) down 1.42%. Basic metals, energy products, agricultural and sideline products, precious metals, chemicals, and oilseeds mostly rose, while black commodities mostly fell, and non - metallic building materials were mixed [1] - **Financial Markets**: Stock index futures showed different trends, with some rising and some falling. Treasury bond futures had slight fluctuations. The U.S. dollar index and related exchange - rate indicators had certain changes. Interest - rate indicators such as bond yields also fluctuated [8] - **Industry Indexes**: Non - ferrous metals, basic chemicals, steel, and building materials had relatively large increases, while defense, electronics, and media had declines [9][10] - **Overseas Commodities**: Energy products such as oil and natural gas had different price changes. Precious metals, non - ferrous metals, and agricultural products also showed various trends [11][12] - **Domestic Main Commodities**: Different commodities in shipping, precious metals, non - ferrous metals, black building materials, energy chemicals, and agricultural products had different daily, weekly, monthly, quarterly, and annual price changes [13][14][15] Sector - by - Sector Analysis - **Financial Sector**: Stock index futures are expected to fluctuate moderately upward, stock index options focus on call - option defense, and treasury bond futures fluctuate narrowly [4] - **Precious Metals Sector**: Gold and silver prices are in a stage of adjustment, with short - term fluctuations due to weakening previous positive drivers and reduced capital enthusiasm before the Spring Festival [4] - **Shipping Sector**: The pre - holiday market is shrinking, and the Container Shipping Index (European Line) is expected to fluctuate [4] - **Black Building Materials Sector**: Pre - holiday demand has declined, and products such as steel, iron ore, coke, and coking coal are expected to fluctuate. Glass and soda ash prices also fluctuate [4] - **Non - ferrous Metals and New Materials Sector**: With the weakening of hawkish expectations, non - ferrous metals stop falling and fluctuate. Products such as copper, nickel, and stainless steel are expected to have different trends [4] - **Energy Chemical Sector**: Geopolitical situations support oil prices, and chemical products continue to trade sideways. It is advisable to hold light positions during the holiday. Various chemical products are expected to fluctuate [5] - **Agricultural Sector**: As the holiday approaches, most agricultural products are expected to fluctuate. Some products such as live pigs are expected to fluctuate weakly downward [5]

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content Core Viewpoints - On February 11, most equity index and CGB futures rose, and most commodities also showed high performances, with Lithium Carbonate and Nickel leading the raise [10][11][12] - The fundamentals of Lithium Carbonate are strong with continuous social inventory destocking, providing upward momentum for prices, but macro uncertainties are high during the Spring Festival, so investors are advised to exit temporarily and participate cautiously [19][20] - The fundamentals of Nickel have not shown marginal improvement, and the overall supply and demand in February are expected to remain loose with high visible inventories, but Indonesian policies provide some support to prices, so it is recommended to hold light positions cautiously before the holiday and continue to watch for dip - buying opportunities in the medium term [27][28][30] - Silicon Metal is in a situation of weak supply and demand, and prices are expected to remain range - bound. Although the supply - demand balance may improve around the Spring Festival after major producer cuts, medium - to - long - term prices will be pressured by flexible supply, weak demand and industry oversupply [33][35][36] Summary by Directory 1. China Futures 1.1 Overview - On February 11, in equity index futures, IC rose 0.4% and IF dropped 0.1%; in CGB futures, T rose 0.06%. In commodity futures, the top three gainers were Lithium Carbonate (up 9.2% with open interest increasing 3.0% month - on - month), Nickel (up 4.0% with open interest decreasing 4.7% month - on - month), and Tin (up 3.3% with open interest decreasing 2.9% month - on - month). The top three decliners were SCFIS(Europe) (down 1.4% with open interest decreasing 2.6% month - on - month), Coke (down 0.9% with open interest increasing 2.3% month - on - month), and Glass (down 0.7% with open interest increasing 0.4% month - on - month) [10][11][12] 1.2 Daily Raise 1.2.1 Lithium Carbonate - On February 11, the front - month contract of Lithium Carbonate rose 9.2% to 150,260 yuan/ton. The rally was driven by strong supply - demand fundamentals, with the market expecting a post - holiday tight balance. However, the fundamentals have marginally weakened, with new energy vehicle wholesale sales up 1% year - on - year in January and port lithium ore inventories increasing. Demand - side production scheduling in March is expected to be solid, while supply will see a notable rise in imports. Before the resumption of production at the Jianxiawo project, a tight balance is forecast to persist [15][17][18] 1.2.2 Nickel - On February 11, affected by Indonesia approving a nickel ore quota of approximately 260 - 270 million tons, the front - month contract of Nickel rose 4.0% to 139,360 yuan/ton. Considering the concentrated capacity expansion of HPAL projects in Indonesia in 2026, the domestic demand for nickel ore is expected to be around 15% higher than the approved quota. Fundamentally, supply - side pressure persists, demand is in the off - season, and global visible inventories are high. Indonesian policies support prices, but high inventories may limit the upside [24][25][26] 1.3 Daily Drop 1.3.1 Silicon Metal - On February 11, the front - month contract of Silicon Metal dropped 0.5% to 8,370 yuan/ton. The supply side is affected by the dry season in the southwest and producer cuts in the northwest, with short - term supply pressure easing but long - term oversupply pressure remaining. The demand side is weak, with polysilicon, silicone having high inventories and reduced output. The supply - demand balance may improve around the Spring Festival, but medium - to - long - term prices will be pressured [33][34][35] 2. China News 2.1 Industry News - In January, China's CPI rose 0.2% month on month and 0.2% year on year, and the core CPI increased 0.8% year on year as consumer demand continued to recover [39] - The PBOC will continue to implement a properly accommodative monetary policy, taking promoting steady economic growth and a reasonable recovery in prices as important considerations, and flexibly using various policy tools to maintain ample liquidity and relatively accommodative social financing conditions [39]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant information provided. 2. Core Views of the Report - The agricultural market shows a mixed trend, with different commodities having various outlooks such as oscillation, oscillation - weakening, and oscillation - strengthening [1][6][7]. - For different commodities: - Oils: Narrow - range oscillation, with multiple factors affecting supply and demand, and a suggestion to consider buying hedging strategies at low - callback levels [6]. - Protein meals: Domestic double meals oscillate mainly, with international factors supporting US soybeans and domestic factors affecting the market [1][7]. - Corn: Oscillates, with industry news and emotions affecting futures, and attention to post - holiday trading and inventory replenishment rhythms [8]. - Pigs: Oscillates weakly, with supply - demand being loose, and different trends in the short, medium, and long - term [9]. - Natural rubber: Oscillates, with attention to previous high resistance, and the market influenced by capital and fundamentals [11][12]. - Synthetic rubber: Oscillates upward following natural rubber, with the mid - term bullish logic remaining unchanged [13]. - Cotton: Oscillates strongly in the medium - long term, waiting for new driving forces in the short term [14]. - Sugar: Oscillates weakly in the medium - long term, with a downward driving force due to expected oversupply [16]. - Pulp: Oscillates, with weak supply - demand before the Spring Festival and expected improvement after the festival [17]. - Double - gum paper: Oscillates weakly, with the market in a low - level oscillation during the holiday [18]. - Logs: Oscillates, with the spot being stable and the market in a range - bound operation [20]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1. Market Quotes and Views 3.1.1. Oils - **View**: Oils show narrow - range oscillation. The US Department of Agriculture's February report adjusted relevant data, and the market is affected by factors such as demand expectations, biodiesel policies, and export performance. It is recommended to pay attention to buying hedging strategies at low - callback levels [6]. - **Logic**: Futures are affected by capital emotions, and the industrial end has different supply - demand situations for different oils. For example, soybeans have relatively sufficient supply, and palm oil has inventory and export issues [6]. - **Outlook**: Soybean oil, palm oil, and rapeseed oil all oscillate [6]. 3.1.2. Protein Meals - **View**: Optimistic emotions support US soybeans, and domestic double meals oscillate mainly [1][7]. - **Logic**: Internationally, the USDA's February supply - demand report is bearish, but the market has optimistic export expectations and the US biodiesel plan boosts US soybean oil. Domestically, factors such as pre - holiday capital flight, logistics stagnation, and expected post - holiday cost reduction affect the market [1][7]. - **Outlook**: Both soybean meal and rapeseed meal oscillate [1][7]. 3.1.3. Corn - **View**: Industry news disturbs the market, and corn increases positions and rises [8]. - **Logic**: Futures are affected by industry news and emotions, while the spot market is gradually entering the holiday, with stable prices and low trading volume. Attention should be paid to factors such as grain sales progress, policy grain auctions, and wheat conditions [8]. - **Outlook**: Oscillation, with attention to post - holiday trading and inventory replenishment rhythms [8]. 3.1.4. Pigs - **View**: Supply - demand is loose, and spot prices continue to weaken [9]. - **Logic**: In terms of supply, there are different situations in the short, medium, and long - term; demand shows an increase in slaughter volume; inventory shows a continuous decrease in average pig weight. The price is expected to weaken in the short - term and is affected by different production capacities in different periods [9]. - **Outlook**: Oscillation - weakening, with a potential bottom - out and recovery in the second half of 2026 [9]. 3.1.5. Natural Rubber - **View**: Pay attention to previous high resistance [11][12]. - **Logic**: The rubber price runs strongly, mainly driven by capital emotions. The short - term support is effective, and the overall is in a bullish trend. The current trading logic is mainly affected by the macro - environment, with relatively weak fundamentals but good expectations [11][12]. - **Outlook**: Oscillation, with limited fundamental variables and increasing capital attention [12]. 3.1.6. Synthetic Rubber - **View**: Follow natural rubber to oscillate upward [13]. - **Logic**: The BR market follows natural rubber to rise slightly, and the mid - term core logic is the expectation of tight supply of butadiene in the first half of 2026. The raw material market is affected by factors such as export news and downstream demand [13]. - **Outlook**: Mid - term oscillation - strengthening, with a need for adjustment in the short - term due to rapid price increase [13]. 3.1.7. Cotton - **View**: Cotton price rebounds [14]. - **Logic**: Before the Spring Festival, the fundamentals have no obvious driving force, and the cotton price is expected to oscillate within a range. After the festival, with the arrival of the traditional peak season, the terminal demand may drive the price to rise. In the medium - long term, the supply - demand is expected to be in tight balance, and the planting area in Xinjiang may decrease [14]. - **Outlook**: Oscillation - strengthening, with a suggestion to buy on dips [14]. 3.1.8. Sugar - **View**: Sugar price oscillates weakly in the medium - long term [16]. - **Logic**: The global sugar market is expected to have oversupply in the 25/26 crushing season, with major producing countries expected to increase production. The supply increase puts pressure on the price [16]. - **Outlook**: Oscillation - weakening, with a suggestion to short on rebounds [16]. 3.1.9. Pulp - **View**: Spot prices are almost stagnant, and futures fluctuate independently [17]. - **Logic**: Before the Spring Festival, the supply - demand is weak, with low demand from the terminal and downstream. After the festival, the seasonal recovery of demand may bring marginal benefits. The valuation support has weakened, and the downward space is limited [17]. - **Outlook**: Oscillation, with weak supply - demand before the festival and expected improvement after the festival [17]. 3.1.10. Double - gum Paper - **View**: Factories enter the holiday, and the market maintains low - level oscillation [18]. - **Logic**: Before the Spring Festival, the trading in the double - gum paper market ends, with stable spot prices and low - level oscillation. The industry is affected by factors such as production line operation, downstream consumption, and market demand [18]. - **Outlook**: Oscillation - weakening, with the market expected to be stagnant during the holiday and attention to the post - holiday consumption recovery [18]. 3.1.11. Logs - **View**: Spot prices are stable, and the market operates within a range [20]. - **Logic**: Before the Spring Festival, the log market trading is basically stagnant, with stable spot prices and range - bound oscillation. The market is affected by factors such as news, valuation, supply, and delivery [20]. - **Outlook**: Oscillation, with the market having no new driving force in the short - term and maintaining range - bound operation [20]. 3.2. Commodity Index - On February 11, 2026, the comprehensive index, special index (including the commodity index, commodity 20 index, and industrial product index), and plate index (agricultural product index) of CITIC Futures all showed certain changes. For example, the comprehensive index increased by 0.32%, the commodity 20 index increased by 0.27%, the industrial product index increased by 0.41%, and the agricultural product index increased by 0.34% on that day [179][180].

基本面来看，供应端。国内电镜1月产量环比再度回升，同时印尼1月MINP和冰镜产量整体维持高位，整体操供给端压力仍存。需求端仍处传统消费淡季，不锈钢 1月排产环比在利润修复下存在小幅回升，2月因春节假期影响预计排产环比将明显下滑，终端需求仍维持B对谨慎态度，整体基本面过剩维持。库存端末看，据万得 数据，昨日LME库存再度环比累积678吨至285750吨，沪镍仓单环比累积318吨至52039吨，全球整体显性库存仍处高位。 总结及策略 总结束看，银当下基本面未见边际改善，预计2月整体供需仍趋宽松，整体显性库存维持高位，对价格形成一定压制。同时，据我的钢铁网消息，印尼下修26年镍 矿配额、同时拟修订银矿内贺计价方式，使得市场对银成本及平衡预期有较为明显调整，对银价形成一定支撑。策略上，当下印尼端政策对银价形成较强支撑，但显 性库存高位或在一定程度限制向上高度，建议节前谨慎轻仓持有，中期继续关注逢低吸纳机会，后续持续关注印尼相关政策进展。 信期货有限公司 CITIC Futures Company Limited 印尼26年镍矿配额落地、镍价冲高 中信期货研究所 有色与新材料团队 最新动态及原因 2026年2月11日， ...

信期货有限公司 CITIC Futures Company Limited 印尼26年镍矿配额落地、镍价冲高 中信期货研究所 有色与新材料团队 最新动态及原因 2026年2月11日，受印尼批准约2.6-2.7亿吨银厂配额消息影响，沪银一度上冲超4.4%至13.994万吨。据我的钢铁网2月11日消息，能源和矿产资源部(ESDM) 发布了2026年镇工作计划租成本预算(RKAB)，ESDM部矿产和煤炭总干事Tri Winarno透露。 批准的银矿生产配额在2.6亿吨型2.7亿吨之间。考虑到2026 年仍是印尼 湿法（HPAL）新增产能集中释放朗，为维持现有及在建项目的合理开工率，我们预计2026年印尼国内银矿的理论需求量预计高于目前批准配额量2.6-2.7亿吨约 15%,对市场形成较为显著的紧缩预期。 基本面情况 基本面来看，供应端。国内电镜1月产量环比再度回升，同时印尼1月MINP和冰镜产量整体维持高位，整体操供给端压力仍存。需求端仍处传统消费淡季，不锈钢 1月排产环比在利润修复下存在小幅回升，2月因春节假期影响预计排产环比将明显下滑，终端需求仍维持B对谨慎态度，整体基本面过剩维持。库存端末看，据万得 数据，昨 ...