Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating The report does not provide an industry investment rating. 2. Core View of the Report The report suggests that lithium carbonate will experience a relatively strong and volatile trend, and investors should pay attention to the sustainability of demand [1]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Fundamental Tracking - **Market Data**: The closing prices of the 2511 and 2601 contracts are 75,700 and 75,780 respectively. The trading volumes are 366,375 and 303,602, and the open interests are 159,000 and 271,858 [2]. - **Basis Data**: The basis between spot and 2511 contract is -2,350, and between spot and 2601 contract is -2,430. The basis between 2511 and 2601 contracts is -80 [2]. - **Raw Material Data**: The prices of lithium spodumene concentrate (6%, CIF China) and lithium mica (2.0% - 2.5%) are 846 and 1,825 respectively. The price of battery - grade lithium carbonate is 73,350 [2]. 3.2 Macro and Industry News - **Price Information**: SMM's battery - grade lithium carbonate index price is 73,349 yuan/ton, up 285 yuan/ton from the previous trading day. The average price of battery - grade lithium carbonate is 73,350 yuan/ton, up 350 yuan/ton, and that of industrial - grade lithium carbonate is 71,100 yuan/ton, up 350 yuan/ton [3]. - **Policy News**: Sichuan Province will optimize and adjust the 2025 subsidy policy for trading in old cars and electric bicycles. The subsidy policy for car scrapping and replacement in 2025 has been suspended since October 18, 2025 [4]. - **Company News**: From January to September 2025, Zangge Mining's lithium carbonate production was 6,021 tons, reaching 70.75% of the annual production target, and sales were 4,800 tons, completing 56.4% of the annual sales target. The company's photovoltaic power station construction contract for the Mamilcuo Salt Lake project has been signed, and the project plant construction is progressing as planned [4]. 3.3 Trend Intensity The trend intensity of lithium carbonate is 1, indicating a relatively strong trend [4].

Report Title - "Palm Oil: Slow De-stocking in Origin Regions, Focus on Downside Support for Palm Oil" and "Soybean Oil: Favorable Production Situation in South America, Focus on China-US Economic and Trade Relations" [1][2] Report Core View - The report focuses on the fundamentals of palm oil, soybean oil, and rapeseed oil, including price, trading volume, position, spot price, basis, and spread data, as well as macro and industry news [3][4] Fundamental Tracking Futures Data - Palm oil futures: The closing price of the main contract during the day session was 9,308 yuan/ton, down 0.04%, and 9,354 yuan/ton at night, up 0.49%. The trading volume was 484,295 lots, an increase of 100,467 lots, and the position was 337,826 lots, a decrease of 10,220 lots [3] - Soybean oil futures: The closing price of the main contract during the day session was 8,256 yuan/ton, unchanged, and 8,298 yuan/ton at night, up 0.51%. The trading volume was 295,513 lots, an increase of 88,765 lots, and the position was 499,960 lots, an increase of 1,780 lots [3] - Rapeseed oil futures: The closing price of the main contract during the day session was 9,861 yuan/ton, down 0.74%, and 9,874 yuan/ton at night, up 0.13%. The trading volume was 226,809 lots, an increase of 67,299 lots, and the position was 281,371 lots, a decrease of 6,590 lots [3] Spot Data - Palm oil (24 - degree, Guangdong): The spot price was 9,250 yuan/ton, with no price change [3] - First - grade soybean oil (Guangdong): The spot price was 8,660 yuan/ton, an increase of 40 yuan/ton [3] - Fourth - grade imported rapeseed oil (Guangxi): The spot price was 10,120 yuan/ton, a decrease of 50 yuan/ton [3] Basis Data - Palm oil (Guangdong) basis: - 58 yuan/ton [3] - Soybean oil (Guangdong) basis: 404 yuan/ton [3] - Rapeseed oil (Guangxi) basis: 259 yuan/ton [3] Spread Data - Rapeseed - palm oil futures main contract spread: 553 yuan/ton (previous two - day spread was 623 yuan/ton) [3] - Soybean - palm oil futures main contract spread: - 1,052 yuan/ton (previous two - day spread was - 1,056 yuan/ton) [3] - Palm oil 1 - 5 spread: 44 yuan/ton (previous two - day spread was 54 yuan/ton) [3] - Soybean oil 1 - 5 spread: 214 yuan/ton (previous two - day spread was 194 yuan/ton) [3] - Rapeseed oil 1 - 5 spread: 386 yuan/ton (previous two - day spread was 441 yuan/ton) [3] Macro and Industry News - SGS estimated that Malaysia's palm oil exports from October 1 - 15, 2025, were 606,292 tons, a 49.8% increase from 404,688 tons in the same period last month [4] - As of the week of October 14, 2025, about 39% of the US soybean - growing areas were affected by drought, the same as the previous week [5] - Brazilian farmers had planted soybeans on 23.27% of the expected area in 2025, compared with 9.33% in the same period last year, and higher than the 2023 record of 17.35% and the past 5 - year average of 16.20% [6] - As of October 17, 2025, the soybean - planting area in Mato Grosso, Brazil, for the 2025/26 season had reached 43.57% of the estimated total area, up from 21.22% the previous week and 25.08% in the same period last year [6] - Argentina's 2024/25 soybean - planting area was expected to be 18 million hectares, unchanged from the previous month's estimate and an 8.4% increase from 16.6 million hectares in the previous year. The 2024/25 soybean production was expected to be 51.1 million tons, unchanged from the previous month's estimate and a 6% increase from 48.2 million tons in the 2023/24 season. The first planting intention estimate for the 2025/26 season showed an expected area of 17.5 million hectares, a 2.8% decrease from the previous year [6] - As of October 8, 2025, Argentine farmers had sold 37.54 million tons of 2024/25 soybeans, 1.28 million tons more than a week ago, compared with 29.85 million tons in the same period last year. They had pre - sold 3.11 million tons of 2025/26 soybeans, 190,000 tons more than a week ago, compared with 1.11 million tons in the same period last year [7] - As of the week of October 12, 2025, Canada's rapeseed exports increased 97.8% to 159,200 tons from the previous week. From August 1 to October 12, 2025, Canada's rapeseed exports were 955,300 tons, a 59.1% decrease from the same period last year. As of October 12, 2025, Canada's rapeseed commercial inventory was 1.4668 million tons [7] Trend Intensity - Palm oil trend intensity: 0; Soybean oil trend intensity: 0 [8]

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided Group 2: Core Viewpoints of the Report - External market factors increase the volatility of cotton futures [1] - The trend strength of cotton is neutral with a value of 0 [4] Group 3: Summary by Relevant Catalogs 1. Fundamental Tracking - **Futures Data**: CF2601 closed at 13,335 yuan/ton with a daily increase of 0.11% and a night - session close of 13,425 yuan/ton with a night - session increase of 0.67%; CY2601 closed at 19,470 yuan/ton with a daily increase of 0.33% and a night - session close of 19,590 yuan/ton with a night - session increase of 0.62%; ICE US cotton 12 closed at 64.29 cents/pound with a daily increase of 0.80% [1] - **Trading Volume and Open Interest**: CF2601 had a trading volume of 245,550 lots, an increase of 19,838 lots from the previous day, and an open interest of 882,804 lots, an increase of 5,242 lots; CY2601 had a trading volume of 12,565 lots, a decrease of 1,999 lots, and an open interest of 20,671 lots, an increase of 1,045 lots [1] - **Warehouse Receipts**: Zhengzhou cotton had 2,653 warehouse receipts, a decrease of 71, and 183 valid forecasts, an increase of 71; cotton yarn had 0 warehouse receipts and 6 valid forecasts, a decrease of 6 [1] - **Spot Prices**: The price of Northern Xinjiang 3128 machine - picked cotton was 14,477 yuan/ton, an increase of 20 yuan or 0.14%; Southern Xinjiang 3128 machine - picked cotton was 14,325 yuan/ton, an increase of 20 yuan or 0.14%; Shandong was 14,687 yuan/ton, an increase of 11 yuan or 0.07%; Hebei was 14,645 yuan/ton, an increase of 37 yuan or 0.25%; the 3128B index was 14,679 yuan/ton, an increase of 15 yuan or 0.10%; the international cotton index M was 71.58 cents/pound, unchanged; the price of pure - cotton carded yarn 32S was 20,440 yuan/ton, unchanged; the arrival price of pure - cotton carded yarn 32S was 21,214 yuan/ton, a decrease of 14 yuan or - 0.07% [1] - **Spreads**: The CF1 - 5 spread was - 55 yuan/ton, unchanged; the spread between Northern Xinjiang 3128 machine - picked cotton and CF601 was 1,140 yuan/ton, an increase of 10 yuan [1] 2. Macro and Industry News - **Domestic Cotton Spot**: Cotton spot trading was average, spinning mills maintained rigid - demand procurement, the overall spot basis was stable with a slight decline, and the fixed - price quotes were temporarily stable and relatively smoothly traded. The basis of 2025/26 Northern Xinjiang machine - picked 31, 41 - grade double 30 with impurities within 3.5 was CF01 + 1150 - 1200, for self - pick - up in Xinjiang. The freight for cotton out of Xinjiang by truck continued to rise slightly [2] - **Domestic Cotton Textile Enterprises**: The trading in the pure - cotton yarn market was dull, and the prices were generally stable. The rebound of Zhengzhou cotton futures had limited impact on the spot market. Downstream demand was weak, and the market was full of wait - and - see sentiment. Recently, the prices of high - count yarns were relatively firm, and the increase in orders for traceable yarns was limited. Xinjiang cotton yarn was actively purchased by traders due to cost advantages, and the orders were fair. Spinning mills' finished - product inventories were not under pressure, so the downward driving force was not strong [2] - **US Cotton**: ICE cotton futures rebounded last Friday as the market expected the international economic and trade situation to ease, and ICE cotton followed the overall commodity market [3]

商 品 研 究 2025 年 10 月 20 日 陈嘉昕 投资咨询从业资格号：Z0020481 chenjiaxin2@gtht.com 【基本面跟踪】 烧碱基本面数据 01合约期货价格 山东最便宜可交割 现货32碱价格 山东现货32碱折盘面 基差 2344 800 2500 156 整体看，烧碱估值高度始终受氧化铝减产预期压制，未来关注预期被证实或证伪带来的行情。长期而 言，氧化铝减产问题终究会导致产业链负反馈。 【趋势强度】 请务必阅读正文之后的免责条款部分 1 期货研究 烧碱：远月估值受压制 资料来源：隆众资讯，国泰君安期货 【现货消息】 以山东地区为基准，10 月 17 日山东液碱市场涨跌互现，东部库存下滑部分价格小幅拉涨，西部高价走 货不佳，价格继续下调。 【市场状况分析】 10 月山东、河北等地区存在新增检修，烧碱供应压力不大。需求端，河北氧化铝厂集中采购烧碱，下 周随着省外订单的陆续发货，山东地区预期继续去库，短期山东市场大幅下跌难以出现。从氧化铝行业看， 氧化铝高产量、高库存格局，使得利润被持续压缩，边际产能供应未来可能受利润影响。虽然广西地区年底 到明年年初存在 560 万吨新增产能的备货需 ...

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided in the given content. 2. Core Viewpoints - For LPG, the disk valuation is being repaired, but macro - risks still exist [1]. - For propylene, the supply and demand are relatively loose, and it will experience short - term weak and volatile trends [1]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 Fundamental Tracking - **LPG Futures Prices and Changes**: PG2511 closed at 4,220 yesterday with a - 1.12% daily increase, and 4,253 at night with a 0.78% increase; PG2512 closed at 4,083 yesterday with a - 1.33% daily increase, and 4,119 at night with a 0.88% increase; PL2601 closed at 6,007 yesterday with a - 1.62% daily increase, and 6,073 at night with a 1.10% increase; PL2602 closed at 6,052 yesterday with a - 1.59% daily increase, and 6,131 at night with a 1.31% increase [1]. - **LPG Futures Trading Volume and Open Interest Changes**: PG2511 had a trading volume of 45,662 yesterday, a decrease of 21,719 from the previous day, and an open interest of 35,905, a decrease of 6,215; PG2512 had a trading volume of 50,907 yesterday, a decrease of 6,036 from the previous day, and an open interest of 82,176, an increase of 3,605; PL2601 had a trading volume of 9,061 yesterday, an increase of 502 from the previous day, and an open interest of 11,788, an increase of 277; PL2602 had a trading volume of 3,426 yesterday, an increase of 734 from the previous day, and an open interest of 5,057, an increase of 222 [1]. - **LPG Price Spreads**: The spread between Guangzhou domestic gas and PG11 contract was 280 yesterday, compared with 232 the previous day; the spread between Guangzhou imported gas and PG11 contract was 300 yesterday, compared with 262 the previous day; the spread between Shandong propylene and PL01 contract was 153 yesterday, compared with 109 the previous day; the spread between East China propylene and PL01 contract was 158 yesterday, compared with 84 the previous day; the spread between South China propylene and PL01 contract was 118 yesterday, compared with 19 the previous day [1]. - **LPG Industrial Chain Data**: This week, the PDH operating rate was 68.8%, compared with 70.9% last week; the MTBE operating rate was 63.1%, compared with 64.1% last week; the alkylation operating rate was 45.1%, compared with 46.1% last week [1]. 3.2 Trend Intensity - The trend intensity of LPG is 0, and that of propylene is also 0. The trend intensity ranges from - 2 to 2, with - 2 being the most bearish and 2 being the most bullish [4]. 3.3 Market News - On October 17, 2025, the November CP paper - cargo price of propane was 447 US dollars per ton, a decrease of 3 US dollars per ton from the previous trading day; the November CP paper - cargo price of butane was 450 US dollars per ton, a decrease of 3 US dollars per ton from the previous trading day; the December CP paper - cargo price of propane was 450 US dollars per ton, a decrease of 4 US dollars per ton from the previous trading day [5]. - There are multiple domestic PDH device maintenance plans, including those of Henan Huasong New Material Technology Co., Ltd., Jiangsu Yanchang Zhongran Chemical Co., Ltd., etc. The maintenance start times range from 2023 to 2025, and most of the end times are undetermined [6]. - There are also multiple domestic liquefied gas plant device maintenance plans, including those of Zhenghe Petrochemical, Huaxing Petrochemical, etc. The maintenance start times range from 2024 to 2025, and the end times vary, with some being undetermined [6].

Group 1: Report Investment Ratings - Industry investment ratings for industrial silicon: Weak and volatile [1] - Industry investment ratings for polysilicon: Focus on the actual implementation nodes of policies [2] Group 2: Core Views - The report provides fundamental data on industrial silicon and polysilicon, including futures market prices, trading volumes, open interests, basis, spot premiums and discounts, prices, profits, inventories, and raw material costs [2] - On October 16, Guangdong Power Trading Center issued two rules related to the sustainable development price settlement mechanism for new energy projects in Guangdong [4] - The trend strength of industrial silicon is 0, and that of polysilicon is also 0, indicating a neutral view [4] Group 3: Summary by Directory 1. Fundamental Data Tracking - **Futures Market**: Si2511 closing price is 8,430 yuan/ton, down 175 yuan from T - 1; PS2511 closing price is 52,340 yuan/ton, down 235 yuan from T - 1 [2] - **Basis and Spot Premiums/Discounts**: Industrial silicon spot premiums vary by type, and polysilicon spot premium (against N - type re - investment) is - 325 yuan/ton [2] - **Prices**: Xinjiang 99 silicon is 8750 yuan/ton, and polysilicon - N - type re - investment material is 52800 yuan/ton [2] - **Profits**: Silicon factory profits in Xinjiang and Yunnan are negative, and polysilicon enterprise profit is - 14.0 yuan/kg [2] - **Inventories**: Industrial silicon social inventory is 56.2 million tons, and polysilicon factory inventory is 25.3 million tons [2] - **Raw Material Costs**: Costs of silicon ore, washed coal, petroleum coke, electrodes, etc. are provided, with some showing price changes [2] 2. Macro and Industry News - Guangdong Power Trading Center issued rules for the sustainable development price settlement mechanism of new energy projects, with the first bidding transaction to be held in Q4 2025 [4] 3. Trend Strength - Industrial silicon and polysilicon both have a trend strength of 0, indicating a neutral market view [4]

2025年10月20日 国泰君安期货商品研究晨报-农产品 观点与策略 | 棕榈油：产地去库偏慢，关注棕油下方支撑 | 2 | | --- | --- | | 豆油：南美产情偏好，关注中美经贸关系 | 2 | | 豆粕：中美贸易摩擦缓和，震荡 | 4 | | 豆一：震荡 | 4 | | 玉米：震荡运行 | 6 | | 白糖：偏弱运行 | 7 | | 棉花：外部市场因素加大期货波动 | 8 | | 鸡蛋：弱势震荡 | 10 | | 生猪：供应后置确认，中枢进一步下移 | 11 | | 花生：关注现货 | 12 | 国 泰 君 安 期 货 研 究 所 请务必阅读正文之后的免责条款部分 1 期货研究 商 品 研 究 2025 年 10 月 20 日 棕榈油：产地去库偏慢，关注棕油下方支撑 豆油：南美产情偏好，关注中美经贸关系 | | | 【基本面跟踪】 油脂基本面数据 | | | 单 位 | 收盘价 (日盘） | 涨跌幅 | 收盘价 （夜盘） | 涨跌幅 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 棕榈油主力 | 元/吨 | 9,308 | -0.04% | 9 ...

2025年10月20日 国泰君安期货商品研究晨报-绿色金融与新能源 观点与策略 | 镍：短线窄幅震荡，矛盾仍在积累 | 2 | | --- | --- | | 不锈钢：供需难寻上行驱动，成本限制下方空间 | 2 | | 碳酸锂：偏强震荡，关注需求持续性 | 4 | | 工业硅：弱势震荡 | 6 | | 多晶硅：关注政策实际落地节点 | 6 | 国 泰 君 安 期 货 研 究 所 期货研究 商 品 研 究 2025 年 10 月 20 日 镍：短线窄幅震荡，矛盾仍在积累 不锈钢：供需难寻上行驱动，成本限制下方空间 张再宇 投资咨询从业资格号：Z0021479 zhangzaiyu@gtht.com 【基本面跟踪】 镍基本面数据 | | | 指标名称 | T | T-1 | T-5 | T-10 | T-22 | T-66 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | 沪镍主力（收盘价） | 121,160 | -110 | -1,020 | 260 | -820 | 60 | | 期 | | 不锈钢主力（收盘价） | 12,630 ...

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content Core Viewpoints - On October 19, all four major stock index futures contracts for the current month declined. IF dropped by 1.55%, IH by 1.16%, IC by 2.06%, and IM by 2.22%. The total trading volume of stock index futures rebounded, indicating increased trading enthusiasm among investors. In terms of positions, the total positions of IF, IH, and IC decreased, while that of IM increased. [1][2] - The trend strength of IF and IH is 1, and that of IC and IM is also 1. There are positive signals in Sino - US trade relations, and the Chinese government has carried out relevant policy deployments. [6] - In September, the number of newly opened margin trading accounts in the market reached a record high this year. The margin trading balance in the A - share market increased significantly in the third quarter. The A - share market closed lower overall, with most sectors falling. [7] Summary by Relevant Catalogs 1. Stock Index Futures Data Tracking - **Index Futures Data**: The closing prices of various index futures contracts declined. For example, the closing price of IF2510 was 4539.6, down 1.55%; IH2510 was 2983, down 1.16%; IC2510 was 7064, down 2.06%; IM2510 was 7230.2, down 2.22%. The trading volume and positions of different contracts changed. For instance, the trading volume of IF2510 decreased by 11149, and its position decreased by 23420. [1] - **Trading Volume and Position Changes**: The total trading volume of IF increased by 15958 lots, IH by 12901 lots, IC by 13852 lots, and IM by 41160 lots. The total positions of IF decreased by 9025 lots, IH by 5962 lots, IC by 6464 lots, and IM increased by 8741 lots. [2] - **Basis**: The basis of different index futures contracts varied. For example, the basis of IF2510 was 25.37, IH2510 was 15.23, IC2510 was 47.93, and IM2510 was 44.72. [1] - **Positions of the Top 20 Members**: The long and short positions of the top 20 members in different index futures contracts changed. For example, in IF2510, the long positions decreased by 13612, and the short positions decreased by 13264. [5] 2. Trend Strength and Important Drivers - **Trend Strength**: The trend strength of IF and IH is 1, and that of IC and IM is also 1, indicating a neutral view. [6] - **Important Drivers**: There were positive signals in Sino - US trade relations, including a video call between Chinese and US economic and trade leaders and statements from US President Trump. The Chinese government carried out relevant policy deployments, such as the State Council's research on reducing logistics costs and other matters. [6] 3. Margin Trading and A - share Market Conditions - **Margin Trading**: In September, the number of newly opened margin trading accounts in the market was 205,400, a record high this year. The margin trading balance in the A - share market increased from 1.85 trillion yuan at the end of the second quarter to 2.39 trillion yuan at the end of the third quarter, a single - quarter increase of 29.19%. [7] - **A - share Market Closing**: The A - share market closed lower overall, with the ChiNext Index leading the decline. Most sectors fell, and only a few concepts such as cross - strait integration, Hainan, and duty - free shops rose. The trading volume was 1.95 trillion yuan, the same as the previous day. [7]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No industry investment rating is provided in the report. 2. Core View of the Report - The report analyzes the futures trends of various black - series commodities, indicating that iron ore, rebar, hot - rolled coil, silicon iron, manganese silicon, coke, and coking coal will experience wide - range fluctuations; logs will fluctuate repeatedly. The cost provides bottom support for silicon iron and manganese silicon, while the expectations for coke and coking coal are volatile [2]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs Iron Ore - **Trend**: Wide - range fluctuations [2][4] - **Fundamentals**: The previous day's futures closing price was 771.0 yuan/ton, down 2.5 yuan/ton (-0.32%); the position increased by 9,848 hands. Among spot prices, the price of Carajás fines (65%) dropped by 4.0 yuan/ton, PB fines (61.5%) rose by 1.0 yuan/ton, etc. The basis and spreads also showed corresponding changes [5]. - **News**: In September 2025, the national industrial producer price index decreased by 2.3% year - on - year, with the decline narrowing by 0.6 percentage points compared to the previous month, and remaining flat month - on - month [5]. - **Trend Intensity**: 0 (neutral) [5] Rebar and Hot - Rolled Coil - **Trend**: Wide - range fluctuations [2][7][8] - **Fundamentals**: For rebar RB2601, the previous day's closing price was 3,037 yuan/ton, up 1 yuan/ton (0.03%); the trading volume was 854,671 hands, and the position decreased by 35,070 hands. For hot - rolled coil HC2601, the closing price was 3,204 yuan/ton, down 5 yuan/ton (-0.16%); the trading volume was 487,804 hands, and the position increased by 16,084 hands. Spot prices in different regions showed different changes, and the basis and spreads also changed accordingly [8]. - **News**: According to the weekly data from Steel Union on October 16, in terms of production, rebar decreased by 2.24 million tons, hot - rolled coil decreased by 1.45 million tons, and the total of five major varieties decreased by 6.36 million tons; in terms of total inventory, rebar decreased by 18.59 million tons, hot - rolled coil increased by 6.29 million tons, and the total of five major varieties decreased by 18.46 million tons; in terms of apparent demand, rebar increased by 73.74 million tons, hot - rolled coil increased by 24.58 million tons, and the total increased by 139.96 million tons. In early October 2025, key steel enterprises produced 20.32 million tons of crude steel, with an average daily output of 2.032 million tons, a 7.5% increase in daily output month - on - month; 18.75 million tons of pig iron, with an average daily output of 1.875 million tons, a 3.2% increase in daily output month - on - month; 19.61 million tons of steel, with an average daily output of 1.961 million tons, an 8.5% decrease in daily output month - on - month. In August 2025, China exported 9.51 million tons of steel, a 3.3% decrease month - on - month, and imported 500,000 tons of steel, a 10.4% increase month - on - month [9][10]. - **Trend Intensity**: 0 (neutral) [10] Silicon Iron and Manganese Silicon - **Trend**: Cost provides bottom support, wide - range fluctuations [2][12] - **Fundamentals**: For silicon iron 2511, the closing price was 5,458 yuan/ton, down 20 yuan/ton; for silicon iron 2601, it was 5,430 yuan/ton, down 26 yuan/ton. For manganese silicon 2511, the closing price was 5,716 yuan/ton, down 22 yuan/ton; for manganese silicon 2601, it was 5,718 yuan/ton, down 36 yuan/ton. Spot prices and various spreads also showed corresponding changes [12]. - **News**: On October 17, the prices of different grades of silicon iron and silicon manganese in various regions were reported. In September, the settlement electricity prices in the main production areas of silicon manganese showed different changes. An Inner Mongolia silicon iron plant carried out maintenance on two furnaces, with one recently restarted and the other expected to restart around the 25th. Steel mills such as Jinshenglan and Hegang had price adjustments and procurement volume changes for silicon iron and silicon manganese. As of this Friday, the manganese ore inventory in ports decreased [12][16]. - **Trend Intensity**: 0 (neutral) [15] Coke and Coking Coal - **Trend**: Expectations are volatile, wide - range fluctuations [2][17][18] - **Fundamentals**: For coking coal JM2601, the previous day's closing price was 1,179 yuan/ton, down 6.5 yuan/ton (-0.5%); for coke J2601, it was 1,676 yuan/ton, up 3.5 yuan/ton (0.2%). Spot prices and various spreads also changed [18]. - **News**: In September 2025, the national industrial producer price index decreased by 2.3% year - on - year, with the decline narrowing by 0.6 percentage points compared to the previous month, and remaining flat month - on - month [19]. - **Trend Intensity**: 0 (neutral) [19] Logs - **Trend**: Fluctuate repeatedly [2][20] - **News**: In September 2025, the national industrial producer price index decreased by 2.3% year - on - year, with the decline narrowing by 0.6 percentage points compared to the previous month, and remaining flat month - on - month [22]. - **Trend Intensity**: 0 (neutral) [22]