Report Industry Investment Rating - The operation rating for CITIC's five - style stability is ★☆☆, indicating a bullish bias but with limited operability in the market [4] Core Viewpoints - In the week ending November 7, 2025, the weekly returns of Tonglian All - A (Shanghai, Shenzhen, Beijing), ChinaBond Composite Bond, and Nanhua Commodity Index were 0.63%, - 0.01%, and - 0.47% respectively. In the public fund market, convertible bond products performed well, the common stock strategy index declined slightly, neutral strategy products mostly rose, non - ferrous metal ETFs weakened slightly, and soybean meal ETFs had better returns. Among CITIC's five styles, only the consumer style declined last Friday, while the stable and cyclical styles were strong. The style rotation chart showed that the relative strength of the growth style decreased, and the relative strength momentum of the financial style rebounded marginally. The average returns of various style funds in the public fund pool underperformed the benchmark index. The market's deviation towards the financial style decreased. The congestion index dropped, with the growth style congestion falling to the medium - percentile range of the past year. In the neutral strategy, the contract basis weakened slightly last week, with the current IH basis close to 1 standard deviation below the three - month average. The average premium rates of IC and IM corresponding index ETFs rebounded to the medium - percentile range of the past three months. The profit factor had a good return performance in the past week, with a weekly excess return of 0.97%, and the excess of the growth factor was significantly compressed. The win - rate of the residual momentum factor decreased, but the factor itself strengthened. The cross - section rotation speed of factors rebounded slightly this week, currently at the medium - percentile range of the past year. According to the latest scoring results of the style timing model, the financial style declined marginally this week, the consumer style strengthened slightly, and the current signal favored the stable style. The return of the style timing strategy last week was 1.85%, with an excess return of 0.97% compared to the benchmark balanced allocation [4] Summary by Relevant Catalogs Fund Market Review - The weekly returns of Tonglian All - A (Shanghai, Shenzhen, Beijing), ChinaBond Composite Bond, and Nanhua Commodity Index were 0.63%, - 0.01%, and - 0.47% respectively [4] - In the public fund market, convertible bond products performed well, the common stock strategy index declined slightly, neutral strategy products mostly rose, non - ferrous metal ETFs weakened slightly, and soybean meal ETFs had better returns [4] Equity Market Style - Among CITIC's five styles, only the consumer style declined last Friday, while the stable and cyclical styles were strong. The style rotation chart showed that the relative strength of the growth style decreased, and the relative strength momentum of the financial style rebounded marginally [4] - The average returns of various style funds in the public fund pool underperformed the benchmark index. The market's deviation towards the financial style decreased. The congestion index dropped, with the growth style congestion falling to the medium - percentile range of the past year [4] Neutral Strategy - The contract basis weakened slightly last week, with the current IH basis close to 1 standard deviation below the three - month average. The average premium rates of IC and IM corresponding index ETFs rebounded to the medium - percentile range of the past three months [4] Barra Factor - The profit factor had a good return performance in the past week, with a weekly excess return of 0.97%, and the excess of the growth factor was significantly compressed. The win - rate of the residual momentum factor decreased, but the factor itself strengthened. The cross - section rotation speed of factors rebounded slightly this week, currently at the medium - percentile range of the past year [4] Style Timing Model - According to the latest scoring results of the style timing model, the financial style declined marginally this week, the consumer style strengthened slightly, and the current signal favored the stable style. The return of the style timing strategy last week was 1.85%, with an excess return of 0.97% compared to the benchmark balanced allocation [4]

Report Industry Investment Ratings No relevant content provided. Core Views of the Report - The crude oil market faces supply - demand pressure in Q4 and Q1 next year, and short - term sanctions risks on Russian oil are easing. Consider bearish strategies [2]. - The precious metals market is waiting for new drivers, forming a high - level oscillation platform, and it's advisable to wait and see [2]. - Various metal markets, including copper, aluminum, zinc, etc., show different trends. For example, copper consumption is a concern, aluminum has short - term upward resistance but large market divergence, and zinc has opportunities for cross - market reverse arbitrage [3][4][7]. - Energy - related products like fuel oil and asphalt have different trends. Fuel oil is affected by crude oil, and asphalt is in a downward trend due to weak demand [21][22]. - Agricultural products such as soybeans, corn, and livestock products like pigs and eggs have their own market characteristics. For example, soybeans may have inventory reduction in Q1 next year, and pig prices may have a second bottom in H1 next year [36][41]. - Financial products like stocks and bonds also show specific trends. The stock market is expected to be oscillating strongly in the short term, and the bond market's yield curve steepening may end [48][49]. Summaries by Related Catalogs Metals Crude Oil - Last week, international oil prices declined, with the Brent 01 contract down 1.36%. The US government shutdown impacts the employment and jet - fuel demand. The supply - demand pressure in Q4 and Q1 next year needs to be released, and short - term sanctions risks on Russian oil are easing. Consider bearish strategies [2]. Precious Metals - US economic data was stable last week, but the government shutdown brings uncertainties. The market is waiting for new drivers, and it's advisable to wait and see [2]. Copper - Last Friday, copper prices oscillated negatively. The market focuses on copper consumption. China's un - wrought copper imports in October were low, and the US consumer confidence index was poor. Wait for the social inventory data and expect the previous up - rush to cool down. Wait and see [3]. Aluminum - On Friday, Shanghai aluminum prices declined. Since October, domestic inventory and spot performance have been neutral. Macroeconomic sentiment dominates, and the short - term upward resistance is around 21,800 yuan. The high index position reflects large market divergence, so beware of capital flow changes [4]. Cast Aluminum Alloy - The Baotai ADC12 spot price is 20,900 yuan. Scrap aluminum supply is tight, and tax policy adjustments are unclear. It follows aluminum price fluctuations and has no independent market for now [5]. Alumina - Alumina production capacity is at a historical high, inventory is rising, and the supply - surplus situation persists. The spot price decline slows but remains at a discount. It will operate weakly with limited rebound space [6]. Zinc - Domestic zinc ore supply is tightening, and smelting costs are rising. The zinc ingot export window is open, and domestic inventory is falling. There is an expectation of over 10,000 - ton delivery at LME. Consider cross - market reverse arbitrage and short - term long positions on Shanghai zinc, with the upper pressure at 23,200 yuan/ton [7]. Lead - LME lead inventory is decreasing, and the import window is closed. Domestic refineries are resuming production, with tight raw materials and strong cost support. The market is in a multi - empty situation, and Shanghai lead is expected to oscillate between 17,300 - 17,500 yuan/ton [8]. Nickel and Stainless Steel - Shanghai nickel opened high and closed low, with weak downstream demand. Although there are news of stainless - steel plant production cuts, the implementation needs to be observed. The inventory of pure nickel decreased by 700 tons to 48,800 tons, while nickel - iron and stainless - steel inventory increased. Shanghai nickel is in a weak operation [9]. Tin - Last Friday, tin prices oscillated. There are differences in institutional inventory data. The tin market is in a game between short - term supply tightness and long - term supply stability. Tin prices are expected to decline with significant upper resistance. Consider short - selling strategies [10]. Lithium Carbonate - Lithium carbonate prices are rising again, with active trading. The total market inventory decreased by 3,000 tons to 127,000 tons. The spot is supported, and the futures price is strengthening. It is expected to oscillate strongly in the short term [11]. Polysilicon - The polysilicon market is affected by capacity - control policy expectations. In November, production cuts are expected in the southwest, and downstream silicon wafers are also reducing production. The inventory pressure relief is limited, and it will oscillate in the short term [12]. Industrial Silicon - Industrial silicon production in Sichuan and Yunnan is at a low level during the dry season, and downstream polysilicon has seasonal production cuts. It shows a supply - demand weak pattern and will oscillate [13]. Steel Rebar and Hot - Rolled Coil - On Friday night, steel prices oscillated weakly, and Tangshan billet prices dropped by 10 yuan/ton over the weekend. Rebar demand and production decreased, and the de - stocking slowed. Hot - rolled coil demand and production also declined, with a slight inventory increase. The market is under pressure, and pay attention to the support at the lower edge of the oscillation range [14]. Iron Ore - Iron ore prices declined last week. Global shipments are at a high level, and domestic arrivals have increased. Port inventory is rising. Terminal demand is in the off - season, and steel demand and iron - water production are decreasing. It is expected to oscillate weakly [15]. Coke - Coke prices oscillated upward. After the third - round price increase, there is an expectation of a fourth - round increase. Coke inventory decreased slightly, and downstream demand is weak. The price may oscillate strongly [16]. Coking Coal - Coking coal prices oscillated upward. Mongolian coal imports are at a high level, and terminal inventory increased slightly. The carbon - element supply is abundant, and downstream demand is weak. The price may oscillate strongly [17]. Manganese Silicon - Manganese silicon prices oscillated strongly. Iron - water production is decreasing, while manganese silicon production is rising, and inventory is slowly increasing. The price has strong bottom support [18]. Silicon Iron - Silicon iron prices oscillated strongly. Iron - water production is decreasing, but export and secondary demand are rising. Supply is high, and inventory is decreasing. The price has strong bottom support [19]. Shipping Container Freight Index (Europe Line) - Last week, the shipping order pressure existed, and the new SCFI European route price dropped by 1.6% week - on - week. In late November, the freight rate may rise. The upside space is limited, and it's advisable to wait and see. The fire at the TPP port may affect the rotation time of the Gemini European line [20]. Energy - Related Products Fuel Oil and Low - Sulfur Fuel Oil - The fuel oil market oscillates, mainly affected by crude oil. Low - sulfur fuel oil is relatively strong, but its continuous upward momentum is limited. High - sulfur fuel oil's supply will be more abundant in the medium - term. The spread between them may widen [21]. Asphalt - Asphalt has entered the off - season. The demand in the southwest and south can't offset the weakening in the north. Social inventory has been increasing year - on - year since late October. Refineries are cutting prices, and the market is bearish [22]. Liquefied Petroleum Gas - The LPG main contract oscillates narrowly. The chemical and combustion demand has increased, and the inventory rate of refineries and ports has decreased. The fundamentals support the LPG price [23]. Chemical Products Urea - Affected by the new export quota, urea prices rose over the weekend. Autumn fertilizer demand is ending, and production is high with limited inventory accumulation. India's new tender and domestic export liberalization boost the market, but be cautious when chasing long [24]. Methanol - Methanol futures oscillate at a low level. Iranian gas restrictions are delayed, and port inventory is high and rising. Downstream product profits are poor, and demand is weak. It will oscillate weakly until the inventory inflection point [25]. Pure Benzene - Last week, pure benzene prices declined. Port inventory increased, and production rose. The market will consolidate in the short term and face import and demand risks in the medium term. Consider month - spread reverse arbitrage [26]. Styrene - Styrene has insufficient cost support, and the inventory is high. The price will remain weak [27]. Polypropylene, Plastic, and Propylene - Propylene is affected by falling oil prices, and demand is weak. Polyethylene has stable factory prices but cautious downstream purchases. Polypropylene's e - commerce inventory demand is disappointing, and new supply is expected [28]. PVC and Caustic Soda - PVC supply is high, and inventory is rising. Demand is affected by weather and exports. It will operate at a low level. Caustic soda oscillates at a low level, with weak downstream demand [29]. PX and PTA - PX supply increased, and PTA load decreased. Polyester and weaving loads changed slightly. PTA may have inventory accumulation in the medium term. Consider reverse arbitrage [30]. Ethylene Glycol - Ethylene glycol production increased slightly, and port inventory rose. Supply is expected to increase, and demand will weaken. Consider reverse arbitrage, and watch for possible production cuts [31]. Short - Fiber and Bottle - Chip - Short - fiber has no new investment pressure, and the spot market is good, but profits are squeezed. In mid - late November, demand will weaken. Bottle - chip demand is weakening, and capacity is excessive [32]. Building Materials Glass - Glass prices are weak. After the Shahe production halt, prices rose but at a slower pace. Inventory is decreasing, and costs are rising. The decline space is limited, and keep the short - put option [33]. Rubber 20 - Rubber, Natural Rubber, and Butadiene Rubber - International crude oil prices oscillate, and Thai rubber prices vary. Global rubber supply is in the high - yield period, and Chinese tire production and inventory changed slightly. Rubber inventory increased, and cost support is weak. Consider oversold - rebound strategies and cross - variety arbitrage [34]. Chemical Fertilizers Soda Ash - Soda ash prices rose slightly. Supply is high, and inventory is high. The demand for heavy soda decreased due to glass production cuts. It's hard to fall in the short term [35]. Agricultural Products Soybeans and Soybean Meal - Last Friday night, soybean prices oscillated weakly. Importing US soybeans has no price advantage, and domestic soybean inventory may decrease in Q1 next year. Watch for USDA reports and possible long - buying opportunities [36]. Soybean Oil and Palm Oil - US soybean prices declined. Palm oil rebounded, and it's necessary to watch if the rebound is sustainable. Consider the possibility of short - term stabilization of palm oil [37]. Rapeseed and Rapeseed Oil - Canadian rapeseed prices are under pressure due to low sales and limited export markets. Domestic prices will oscillate, and pay attention to Australian rapeseed imports [38]. Bean No. 1 - Bean No. 1 prices fell from a high level. The purchase of domestic soybeans by the state reserve may support the market. Watch for policy guidance [39]. Corn - Northeast corn prices are stable and rising slightly, and Shandong's supply increased. The import tax rate on US corn changed. The market will oscillate weakly at the bottom, and watch for new trade agreements [40]. Pigs - Pig prices were stable over the weekend. The sow inventory decreased in October. Future supply pressure is large, and prices may form a second bottom in H1 next year [41]. Eggs - Egg prices declined over the weekend, and sales were slow. The laying - hen inventory is high, and chick replenishment is low. Consider short - selling at high prices [42]. Cotton - US cotton prices declined. China's cotton procurement may increase. Domestic cotton cost supports the market, but demand is average. Watch for tariff changes and export improvements [43]. Sugar - US sugar prices oscillated. International sugar supply is abundant. In China, the focus is on the new - season sugar production estimate, and the outlook for Guangxi's production is good [44]. Apples - Apple prices oscillated widely. Apple inventory decreased, but the quality is poor, and the selling - reluctance is strong. Consider short - selling strategies [45]. Wood - Wood prices are weak. Supply import is limited due to high foreign prices, and demand supports the price. Inventory is low, and it's advisable to wait and see [46]. Pulp - Pulp prices oscillated upward. Port inventory decreased by 2.6% week - on - week. Demand is average, and the valuation is low. Consider long - buying at low prices or wait and see [47]. Financial Products Stock Index - A - shares oscillated and adjusted, with most futures contracts falling. The inflation data improved, and the US consumer confidence index was low. The stock market is expected to oscillate strongly in the short term. Keep a mid - term focus on technology and advanced manufacturing and balance with cyclical and consumer sectors [48]. Treasury Bonds - Treasury bond futures declined, and short - term Shibor rates rose. The export growth was lower than expected. The yield curve steepening may end [49].

Report Industry Investment Ratings - **Buy Recommendations**: None - **Sell Recommendations**: None - **Hold Recommendations**: None - **Neutral Recommendations**: None - **Specific Ratings for Commodities**: - **Douyi (Soybean 1)**: ★★★ (Red stars, indicating a predicted upward trend) [1] - **Douyou (Soybean Oil)**: ★★★ (Red stars, indicating a predicted upward trend) [1] - **Biaowangyou (Labeled Oil)**: ★★★ (Red stars, indicating a predicted upward trend) [1] - **Doupo (Soybean Meal)**: ★☆☆ (One red star, indicating a bullish bias but limited trading operability) [1] - **Caipo (Rapeseed Meal)**: ★★★ (Red stars, indicating a predicted upward trend) [1] - **Yaoyou (Medicinal Oil)**: ★★★ (Red stars, indicating a predicted upward trend) [1] - **Yumi (Corn)**: ★★★ (Red stars, indicating a predicted upward trend) [1] - **Shengzhu (Live Pigs)**: ★★★ (Red stars, indicating a predicted upward trend) [1] - **Jidan (Eggs)**: ★☆☆ (One red star, indicating a bullish bias but limited trading operability) [1] Core Views - The report provides a comprehensive analysis of various agricultural products, including soybeans, soybean oil, palm oil, rapeseed meal, rapeseed oil, corn, live pigs, and eggs. It assesses the market trends, supply - demand dynamics, and price movements of each product, and gives investment suggestions based on these analyses [2][3][4][6][7][8]. Summary by Commodity Soybean 1 - The main contract of Douyi significantly reduced its positions, and the price declined from the high level, affected by surrounding commodities. The price of US soybeans dropped from the high due to the easing of trade optimism. CGC started soybean procurement, with a preference for high - quality soybeans. The supply of domestic high - protein soybeans is tight this year due to adverse weather, and the market has optimistic expectations for them. Short - term policy guidance should be continuously monitored [2]. Soybean and Soybean Meal - The Dalian futures contract continued to fluctuate widely and correct. The tariff for importing US soybeans in China is now 13%, and there is still no price advantage for commercial imports. As of November 6, the CNF price of US Gulf/West soybeans (December shipment) is $506/ton, and that of Brazilian soybeans (December shipment) is $500/ton. With similar CNF prices and a 10% tariff difference, commercial purchases are unlikely. As the import cost rises, the crushing margin has improved, and it is expected that there will be a destocking situation for domestic soybeans in the first quarter of next year. The USDA will release the November supply - demand report on November 14. Opportunities for buying on dips after the easing of Sino - US trade relations should be followed [3]. Soybean Oil and Palm Oil - The price of US soybeans dropped from the high due to the easing of trade optimism. After the recent rise, the spread between the near - month FOB premium of US soybeans and that of Brazil has recovered to a higher level than the same period last year. The market is expected to focus on the guidance of the USDA report. Palm oil stopped falling and rebounded, but the rebound momentum on the disk is still weak. After the recent decline, the bearish momentum of palm oil has been continuously released, and the short - selling momentum at the price stage has eased. Whether the performance at this position is sustainable should be monitored. The probability of a short - term stabilization of palm oil with a bearish near - term supply - demand situation should be followed [4]. Rapeseed Meal and Rapeseed Oil - The expected pressure on the price of overseas oilseeds has a negative impact on the domestic rapeseed futures prices, and the main contracts of rapeseed products declined slightly. Canadian farmers are less willing to sell rapeseed due to low prices, and exports have increased slightly but remain sluggish. Although the news of strengthened rapeseed trade between Canada and Pakistan has boosted the export prospects of Canadian rapeseed, the market capacity of Pakistan is limited. The price of rapeseed futures is expected to remain under pressure. Domestic coastal oil mills have shut down due to a shortage of rapeseed. The arrival of Australian rapeseed in China should be monitored. The price difference between rapeseed products and other competing products is still high, which suppresses the consumption cost - effectiveness of rapeseed products. It is recommended to change the short - term long strategy for rapeseed meal to a wait - and - see approach and focus on the marginal changes at the oilseed import end [6]. Corn - Dalian corn futures fluctuated weakly. The increase in the supply of new corn in Northeast China has decreased, and the price is stable with a slight upward trend. In Shandong, the supply has increased, and the number of remaining vehicles at deep - processing plants in the morning is 1353. Sino - US relations may ease, and after the tax reduction announced by the Tariff Commission of the State Council, the tariff for importing US corn in China is now 11% within the quota and 75% outside the quota. The signing of the latest Sino - US economic and trade agreement should be continuously monitored. The change in the enthusiasm of grain listing in the Northeast should be followed, and currently, the market is considered to be in a weak bottom - range oscillation, and the inflection point is not clear [6]. Live Pigs - The price of live pig futures fluctuated within a narrow range, and the overall position increased. The spot price also showed a narrow - range consolidation. According to Yongyi data, the inventory of breeding sows decreased month - on - month in October, continuing the de - stocking trend for two consecutive months. Fundamentally, on one hand, due to the continuous recovery of production capacity, the number of live pig slaughterings will continue to increase in the later stage. On the other hand, the rebound of pig prices after the National Day was mainly driven by the entry of second - fattening farmers. However, second - fattening will increase the later - stage slaughtering pressure, and the average slaughter weight of live pigs this year is at the highest level in the past three years. The slaughter of second - fattened pigs will further impact the spot market. The futures market has priced in the potential supply pressure in advance. Historically, the bottom of the pig cycle often shows a double - bottom "W" shape. The low pig price in October is likely the first emotional bottoming, and it is expected that pig prices will have a high probability of a second bottoming in the first half of next year under the background of continuous supply pressure and off - season demand [7]. Eggs - Egg futures first declined and then rose, with an overall reduction in positions. The spot price increased today. The in - production inventory decreased slightly month - on - month in October but is still at a historically high level. The chick replenishment data in October remained sluggish, which is beneficial for improving the long - term supply outlook. However, the far - month contracts already contain a high price premium. The number of culled laying hens in the spot market increased, and the culling age decreased, indicating that the sentiment of culling old hens has increased. The disk has maintained a strong pattern recently, and opportunities for shorting on highs in the fourth quarter should be awaited [8].

Report Industry Investment Ratings - **Propylene, Plastic, Benzene, Styrene, PTA, Short Fiber, Methanol, PVC**: ★☆☆, indicating a bias towards long/short, with a driving force for upward/downward trends, but limited operability on the trading floor [1] - **PX, Ethylene Glycol, Urea, Caustic Soda, Soda Ash, Glass**: ☆☆☆, suggesting that the short - term long/short trends are in a relatively balanced state, with poor operability on the current trading floor, and it is advisable to wait and see [1] Core Viewpoints - The chemical market is generally under pressure, with many products facing issues such as supply - demand imbalances, high inventories, and weakening demand. Most products are recommended for reverse arbitrage strategies, and attention should be paid to factors such as load changes in each link of the industrial chain, supply - side contractions, and demand - side improvements [2][3][5] Summary by Related Catalogs Olefins - Polyolefins - **Propylene**: The main futures contract weakened narrowly during the day. International oil price declines affected market sentiment, and demand was difficult to boost significantly due to production enterprises' price concessions and some downstream device load - reduction or shutdown [2] - **Plastic and Polypropylene**: Their main futures contracts were weakly sorted during the day. For polyethylene, the ex - factory prices of petrochemical enterprises were basically stable, but downstream purchasing was cautious. For polypropylene, the e - commerce festival stocking was nearing the end, demand was lower than expected, and new device output was expected to increase supply pressure [2] Pure Benzene - Styrene - **Pure Benzene**: The futures price fluctuated narrowly, and the spot price in East China rose slightly. Port inventories increased, and production increased. There are short - term consolidations and medium - term negatives, and attention should be paid to the port inventory accumulation rhythm [3] - **Styrene**: The main futures contract was sorted narrowly. The cost - side support was insufficient, and the supply - demand was in a tight balance. The inventory was still relatively high, and the price continued to be weak [3] Polyester - **PTA**: PX supply increased, PTA load decreased, and polyester load increased slightly. There is a possibility of inventory accumulation in the future, and reverse arbitrage is recommended, with attention to load changes in each link of the industrial chain [5] - **Ethylene Glycol**: The weekly output increased slightly, and port inventories increased significantly. Supply is expected to increase, and there is a continued inventory accumulation expectation, with reverse arbitrage as the main strategy [5] - **Short Fiber**: There is no new investment pressure, and the spot pattern is good, but raw material price increases squeeze profits slightly. The absolute price fluctuates with raw materials after mid - November [5] - **Bottle Chip**: Demand weakens with the cooling weather, the processing margin is under pressure, and the long - term problem is over - capacity [5] Coal Chemical Industry - **Methanol**: The futures price remained in a low - level shock. Iran's gas restriction time was unexpected, and port inventories were high, with a continued inventory accumulation trend expected. Downstream demand is expected to enter the off - season [6] - **Urea**: The futures price rose significantly due to the news of new export quotas. Autumn fertilizer demand is coming to an end, and production enterprises' inventory accumulation is small. Attention should be paid to the implementation details of the export policy [6] Chlor - Alkali - **PVC**: Supply pressure continued, and inventory accumulation continued. Demand declined due to weather, and exports were affected. It may operate at a low level [7] - **Caustic Soda**: It oscillated at a low level. Liquid caustic soda inventory decreased this week, but downstream demand was average, and it is running weakly [7] Soda Ash - Glass - **Soda Ash**: It rose narrowly. Supply was high, and inventories remained high. Attention should be paid to the upward trend of light soda ash and downstream restocking willingness [8] - **Glass**: It was weakly sorted during the day. After the production suspension in Shahe, dealers' purchasing enthusiasm increased, and inventory decreased. Cost increased, and the decline space is expected to be limited [8]

Report Industry Investment Ratings - Propylene: ★☆☆, indicating a bullish bias but low operability on the trading floor [1] - Plastic: ★☆☆, suggesting a bullish bias but low operability on the trading floor [1] - Styrene: ★☆☆, showing a bullish bias but low operability on the trading floor [1] - PTA: ★★★, representing a clear bullish trend with relatively appropriate investment opportunities [1] - Short Fiber: ★★★, indicating a clear bullish trend with relatively appropriate investment opportunities [1] - Methanol: ★★★, suggesting a clear bullish trend with relatively appropriate investment opportunities [1] - PVC: ★☆☆, showing a bullish bias but low operability on the trading floor [1] - Soda Ash: ☆☆☆, meaning the short - term long/short trend is in a relatively balanced state with poor operability, suggesting to wait and see [1] - Glass: ☆☆☆, indicating the short - term long/short trend is in a relatively balanced state with poor operability, suggesting to wait and see [1] - Pure Benzene: ★☆☆, suggesting a bullish bias but low operability on the trading floor [1] - Ethylene Glycol: ☆☆☆, meaning the short - term long/short trend is in a relatively balanced state with poor operability, suggesting to wait and see [1] - Bottle Chip: ☆☆☆, indicating the short - term long/short trend is in a relatively balanced state with poor operability, suggesting to wait and see [1] - Urea: ☆☆☆, meaning the short - term long/short trend is in a relatively balanced state with poor operability, suggesting to wait and see [1] - Caustic Soda: ☆☆☆, indicating the short - term long/short trend is in a relatively balanced state with poor operability, suggesting to wait and see [1] Core Viewpoints - The chemical market is generally under pressure, with many products facing issues such as weak demand, high inventory, and cost - profit imbalances. Different products have different trends and investment strategies, mainly including anti - arbitrage operations and attention to load changes in each link of the industrial chain [2][3][5] Grouped by Related Catalogs Olefins - Polyolefins - Propylene futures weakened slightly during the day. International oil price decline dampened market sentiment, and demand was hard to boost significantly [2] - Plastic and polypropylene futures consolidated weakly. For polyethylene, trading volume needed to be released; for polypropylene, the supply - side pressure was expected to increase [2] Pure Benzene - Styrene - The price of benzene futures fluctuated narrowly, and the market was in short - term consolidation with medium - term negative factors. Attention should be paid to the port inventory accumulation rhythm [3] - Styrene futures consolidated narrowly. The cost support was insufficient, and the price continued to be weak [3] Polyester - PX supply increased, PTA load decreased, and polyester load increased slightly. PTA might accumulate inventory in the future, and anti - arbitrage was the main strategy [5] - Ethylene glycol supply was expected to increase, with a continued inventory accumulation expectation, and anti - arbitrage was the main strategy [5] - Short fiber had a good spot pattern, but the profit was slightly squeezed. Its price would fluctuate with raw materials. Bottle chip demand weakened, and the cost was the main driver [5] Coal Chemical Industry - Methanol futures fluctuated at a low level. High port inventory and weak demand suppressed the market, and the market was expected to be weak [6] - Urea futures rose significantly. The market was boosted by export news, but caution was needed when chasing up [6] Chlor - Alkali - PVC continued to accumulate inventory and ran at a low level due to high supply and weak demand [7] - Caustic soda fluctuated at a low level. The downstream demand was general, and the supply was high [7] Soda Ash - Glass - Soda ash rose slightly. The supply was high, and the inventory was at a high level. It was expected to be hard to decline in the short term [8] - Glass ran weakly. Cost increase limited the decline space, and attention should be paid to the end - of - year rush - to - work [8]

Report Industry Investment Ratings - Cotton: ★★★, indicating a clear upward trend and relatively appropriate investment opportunities [1] - Pulp: ★☆☆, suggesting a bullish or bearish bias with limited operability on the market [1] - Sugar: ★★★, showing a clear upward trend and relatively appropriate investment opportunities [1] - Apple: ★☆☆, implying a bullish or bearish bias with limited operability on the market [1] - Timber: ★★★, indicating a clear upward trend and relatively appropriate investment opportunities [1] - Natural Rubber: ★☆☆, suggesting a bullish or bearish bias with limited operability on the market [1] - 20 - day Rubber: ★☆☆, implying a bullish or bearish bias with limited operability on the market [1] - Butadiene Rubber: ★☆☆, suggesting a bullish or bearish bias with limited operability on the market [1] Core Views - The report assesses multiple soft commodities including cotton, sugar, apple, rubber, pulp, and timber, providing investment ratings and analyzing the current market situation, supply - demand relationship, and price trends for each commodity, and giving corresponding investment suggestions [1][2][3][4][5][6][7] Summary by Commodity Cotton & Cotton Yarn - Zhengzhou cotton declined slightly today, with the basis gradually weakening and spot trading being average. New cotton cost provides some support to the market, but price increases may face hedging pressure due to average demand. As of October 30, the cumulative processed lint cotton nationwide was 233.9 million tons, a year - on - year increase of 38.6 million tons. As of November 5, the cumulative inspection volume was 215.78 million tons. The demand for pure cotton yarn is average, and the new orders for weavers are poor. It is recommended to wait and see for now [2] Sugar - Overnight, US sugar was weak. In Brazil, the production data in mid - October was neutral, with the cane crushing volume in mid - October basically flat year - on - year and the sugar - making ratio decreasing month - on - month but still slightly up year - on - year. In China, Zhengzhou sugar remained weak. There are rumors of syrup import control, providing some support. The market focus has shifted to the new season's production estimate. The sugar price is expected to remain weak [3] Apple - The futures price fluctuated widely. In the spot market, apple harvesting in Shandong is nearing the end, and there is little off - warehouse stock in the northwest. As of November 6, the national cold - storage apple inventory was 682.74 million tons, a 17% year - on - year decrease. The market focus has shifted to sales expectations. Apple prices are high, and there may be inventory pressure later. A bearish trading strategy is recommended [4] 20 - day Rubber, Natural Rubber, and Synthetic Rubber - Today, RU was weak, and NR & BR declined. The futures market sentiment was cautious. The global natural rubber supply is in the high - production period, but the Yunnan region in China is entering the low - production period. The domestic tire start - up rate increased slightly this week, and the inventory in Qingdao increased. The import volume in October was 66.7 million tons, a 1.2% year - on - year increase and a 10.1% month - on - month decrease. A strategy of trading on oversold rebounds and paying attention to cross - variety arbitrage opportunities is recommended [5] Pulp - Pulp futures rose slightly today. As of November 6, the inventory at major ports in China was 200.8 million tons, a 2.6% month - on - month decrease. In September, the import volume was 295.25 million tons, a year - on - year increase of 27.25 million tons. The demand for pulp is average, and the valuation is low. It is recommended to wait and see or buy on dips [6] Timber - The futures price was weak. The mainstream spot price remained stable. In November, the New Zealand radiata pine price increased, but the domestic spot price was weak, and the import willingness of traders declined. The port delivery volume was above 60,000 cubic meters, and the inventory was low. It is recommended to wait and see [7]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided in the given content. 2. Report's Core View - No explicit core view is presented in the provided documents. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 50ETF - **Price and Volatility Data**: From November 5 - 7, 2025, the 50ETF price was 3.150, 3.19, and 3.186 respectively, with corresponding daily changes of -0.19%, 1.27%, and -0.13%. The corresponding monthly implied volatility (IV) was 14.25%, 12.80%, and 12.51%, and the next - month IV was 15.56%, 14.89%, and 14.78% [1]. - **IV Quantiles**: The 1 - year and 2 - year monthly IV quantiles were 36.30% and 43.50% respectively, and the 1 - year and 2 - year next - month IV quantiles were 45.90% and 56.40% respectively [1]. - **Skew Index**: The skew index on November 7, 2025, was 102.82, compared to 97.67 the previous day [2]. 3.2 Shanghai 300ETF - **Price and Volatility Data**: From November 5 - 7, 2025, the Shanghai 300ETF price was 4.735, 4.805, and 4.795 respectively, with daily changes of 0.13%, 1.48%, and -0.21%. The monthly IV was 15.25%, 14.53%, and 14.37%, and the next - month IV was 16.91%, 16.18%, and 15.94% [3]. - **IV Quantiles**: The 1 - year and 2 - year monthly IV quantiles were 37.50% and 48.60% respectively, and the 1 - year and 2 - year next - month IV quantiles were 52.30% and 63.80% respectively [3]. - **Skew Index**: The skew index on November 7, 2025, was 104.72 [5]. 3.3 Shenzhen 300ETF - **Price and Volatility Data**: From November 5 - 7, 2025, the Shenzhen 300ETF price was 4.881, 4.956, and 4.941 respectively, with daily changes of 0.00%, 1.54%, and -0.30%. The monthly IV was 15.63%, 14.78%, and 14.95%, and the next - month IV was 16.90%, 16.44%, and 16.41% [6]. - **IV Quantiles**: The 1 - year and 2 - year monthly IV quantiles were 40.80% and 53.50% respectively, and the 1 - year and 2 - year next - month IV quantiles were 50.40% and 62.80% respectively [6]. - **Skew Index**: The skew index on November 7, 2025, was 104.41 [12]. 3.4 Shanghai CSI 500ETF - **Price and Volatility Data**: From November 5 - 7, 2025, the Shanghai CSI 500ETF price was 7.330, 7.451, and 7.440 respectively, with daily changes of -1.47%, 1.89%, and -0.15%. The monthly IV was 19.64%, 18.71%, and 18.55%, and the next - month IV was 21.04%, 20.07%, and 19.92% [14]. - **IV Quantiles**: The 1 - year and 2 - year monthly IV quantiles were 44.80% and 50.90% respectively, and the 1 - year and 2 - year next - month IV quantiles were 56.10% and 64.20% respectively [14]. - **Skew Index**: The skew index on November 7, 2025, was 106.34 [17]. 3.5 Shenzhen CSI 500ETF - **Price and Volatility Data**: From November 5 - 7, 2025, the Shenzhen CSI 500ETF price was 2.930, 2.979, and 2.968 respectively, with daily changes of 0.21%, 1.67%, and -0.37%. The monthly IV was 20.46%, 18.68%, and 18.65%, and the next - month IV was 21.16%, 20.31%, and 20.12% [21]. - **IV Quantiles**: The 1 - year and 2 - year monthly IV quantiles were 52.20% and 59.30% respectively, and the 1 - year and 2 - year next - month IV quantiles were 52.70% and 62.30% respectively [21]. - **Skew Index**: The skew index on November 7, 2025, was 104.65 [26]. 3.6 ChiNext ETF - **Price and Volatility Data**: From November 5 - 7, 2025, the ChiNext ETF price was 3.142, 3.201, and 3.185 respectively, with daily changes of 0.96%, 1.88%, and -0.50%. The monthly IV was 31.34%, 29.04%, and 28.86%, and the next - month IV was 31.85%, 30.61%, and 30.16% [27]. - **IV Quantiles**: The 1 - year and 2 - year monthly IV quantiles were 65.70% and 76.20% respectively, and the 1 - year and 2 - year next - month IV quantiles were 75.60% and 77.80% respectively [27]. - **Skew Index**: The skew index on November 7, 2025, was 102.10 [33]. 3.7 Shenzhen 100ETF - **Price and Volatility Data**: From November 5 - 7, 2025, the Shenzhen 100ETF price was 3.526, 3.590, and 3.567 respectively, with daily changes of 0.20%, 1.82%, and -0.64%. The monthly IV was 21.53%, 20.26%, and 20.37%, and the next - month IV was 22.04%, 21.33%, and 22.06% [38]. - **IV Quantiles**: The 1 - year and 2 - year monthly IV quantiles were 57.50% and 67.60% respectively, and the 1 - year and 2 - year next - month IV quantiles were 54.00% and 68.40% respectively [38]. - **Skew Index**: The skew index on November 7, 2025, was 104.78 [41]. 3.8 Science and Technology Innovation 50ETF - **Price and Volatility Data**: From November 5 - 7, 2025, the Science and Technology Innovation 50ETF price was 1.460, 1.509, and 1.487 respectively, with daily changes of 0.34%, 3.36%, and -1.46%. The monthly IV was 34.35%, 32.60%, and 32.24%, and the next - month IV was 35.61%, 34.03%, and 33.27% [47]. - **IV Quantiles**: The 1 - year and 2 - year monthly IV quantiles were 61.20% and 73.00% respectively, and the 1 - year and 2 - year next - month IV quantiles were 52.20% and 67.40% respectively [47]. - **Skew Index**: The skew index on November 7, 2025, was 96.47 [49]. 3.9 Star 50ETF - **Price and Volatility Data**: From November 5 - 7, 2025, the Star 50ETF price was 1.414, 1.462, and 1.442 respectively, with daily changes of 0.21%, 3.39%, and -1.37%. The monthly IV was 34.74%, 32.95%, and 32.12%, and the next - month IV was 34.81%, 34.12%, and 32.71% [52]. - **IV Quantiles**: The 1 - year and 2 - year monthly IV quantiles were 57.50% and 70.10% respectively, and the 1 - year and 2 - year next - month IV quantiles were 66.10% and 75.60% respectively [52]. - **Skew Index**: The skew index on November 7, 2025, was 97.75 [55]. 3.10 300 Index - **Price and Volatility Data**: From November 5 - 7, 2025, the 300 Index price was 4627.257, 4693.403, and 4678.794 respectively, with daily changes of 0.19%, 1.43%, and -0.31%. The monthly IV was 14.89%, 13.87%, and 13.35%, and the next - month IV was 17.03%, 16.43%, and 16.42% [61]. - **IV Quantiles**: The 1 - year and 2 - year monthly IV quantiles were 38.30% and 43.70% respectively, and the 1 - year and 2 - year next - month IV quantiles were 50.20% and 61.30% respectively [61]. - **Skew Index**: The skew index on November 7, 2025, was 107.07 [65]. 3.11 1000 Index - **Price and Volatility Data**: From November 5 - 7, 2025, the 1000 Index price was 7464.863, 7551.830, and 7541.878 respectively, with daily changes of 0.39%, 1.17%, and -0.13%. The monthly IV was 19.37%, 17.89%, and 17.98%, and the next - month IV was 21.34%, 19.98%, and 20.15% [66]. - **IV Quantiles**: The 1 - year and 2 - year monthly IV quantiles were 25.70% and 24.70% respectively, and the 1 - year and 2 - year next - month IV quantiles were 31.40% and 29.00% respectively [66]. - **Skew Index**: The skew index on November 7, 2025, was 117.24 [70]. 3.12 SSE 50 Index - **Price and Volatility Data**: From November 5 - 7, 2025, the SSE 50 Index price was 3007.970, 3044.742, and 3038.346 respectively, with daily changes of -0.17%, 1.22%, and -0.21%. The monthly IV was 13.86%, 13.00%, and 13.21%, and the next - month IV was 56.53%, 61.58%, and 62.00% [71]. - **IV Quantiles**: The 1 - year and 2 - year monthly IV quantiles were 24.00% and 30.80% respectively, and the 1 - year and 2 - year next - month IV quantiles were 77.50% and 88.30% respectively [71]. - **Skew Index**: The skew index on November 7, 2025, was 101.00 [76].

Report Industry Investment Ratings - Bean No.1: Neutral, represented by white stars [1] - Soybean Oil: Bullish, represented by red stars [1] - Palm Oil: Bullish, represented by red stars [1] - Soybean Meal: Slightly bullish, represented by one red star [1] - Rapeseed Meal: Bullish, represented by red stars [1] - Rapeseed Oil: Bullish, represented by red stars [1] - Corn: Bullish, represented by red stars [1] - Live Pigs: Bullish, represented by red stars [1] - Eggs: Slightly bullish, represented by one red star [1] Core Viewpoints - The prices of some agricultural products are affected by factors such as trade policies, supply - demand relationships, and weather conditions. Traders should pay attention to policy guidance, USDA reports, and changes in supply - demand fundamentals [2][3][4] - Different agricultural products have different investment opportunities and risks, and appropriate investment strategies should be adjusted according to market changes [3][6][8] Summary by Category Bean No.1 - The main contract of Bean No.1 significantly reduced positions, and the price fell from a high due to the drag of surrounding commodities. The price of US soybeans also dropped from a high. The purchase of soybeans by Sinograin started, with a premium for high - protein soybeans. The supply of domestic high - protein soybeans is tight this year, and short - term attention should be paid to policy guidance [2] Soybean & Soybean Meal - The continuous futures contract of soybeans continued to fluctuate and correct widely. The tariff for importing US soybeans in China is now 13%, and there is still no price advantage for commercial imports. With the increase in import costs, the crushing margin has improved, and it is expected that there will be a destocking situation for domestic soybeans in the first quarter of next year. Attention should be paid to the long - buying opportunities after the Sino - US trade eases [3] Soybean Oil & Palm Oil - The price of US soybeans dropped from a high due to the easing of trade optimism. After the recent rise of US soybeans, the spread of the near - month FOB premium to Brazil has been repaired higher than the same period last year. The market is expected to turn to focus on the guidance of the USDA report. Palm oil stopped falling and rebounded, but the rebound momentum on the disk is still not strong. Short - term attention should be paid to whether palm oil with a bearish near - end supply - demand situation can stabilize [4] Rapeseed Meal & Rapeseed Oil - The expected pressure on the price of foreign oilseeds drags down the domestic rapeseed futures price. The low price of Canadian rapeseed makes farmers less willing to sell, and exports are still sluggish. The domestic coastal oil mills have shut down due to the shortage of rapeseed. It is recommended to change the short - long strategy of rapeseed meal to a wait - and - see attitude and focus on the marginal changes in the oilseed import end [6] Corn - The Dalian corn futures fluctuated weakly. The increase in the supply of new corn in the Northeast has decreased, and the price is stable with a slight upward trend. The supply in Shandong has increased. After the tax cut by the State Council Tariff Commission, the tariff for importing US corn in China is 11% within the quota and 75% outside the quota. Attention should be paid to the signing of the latest Sino - US economic and trade agreement and the change in the enthusiasm of grain listing in the Northeast [6] Live Pigs - The futures price of live pigs fluctuated within a narrow range, and the funds increased positions overall. The spot price also showed a narrow - range consolidation. The inventory of breeding sows decreased month - on - month in October, continuing the trend of capacity reduction for two consecutive months. It is expected that the pig price may hit the bottom again in the first half of next year [7] Eggs - The egg futures first fell and then rose, with an overall reduction in positions. The spot price rose today. The inventory of laying hens decreased slightly month - on - month in October but is still at a historically high level. The number of culled chickens in the spot market increased, and the culling age decreased. The disk has maintained a strong pattern recently, and short - selling opportunities in the fourth quarter should be awaited [8]

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Report Industry Investment Ratings - **Thread Steel**: ★★★ (implied by the context as more positive) [1] - **Hot Rolled Coil**: ★★★ (implied by the context as more positive) [1] - **Iron Ore**: ★☆☆ [1] - **Coke**: ★☆☆ [1] - **Coking Coal**: ★☆☆ [1] - **Silicon Manganese**: ★☆☆ [1] - **Silicon Iron**: ★☆★ [1] Core Viewpoints - The overall steel market is under pressure due to weak demand expectations and declining exports, with the disk remaining under pressure. The iron ore market is expected to be in a weak and volatile state, while the coke and coking coal markets may be in a relatively strong and volatile state. The silicon manganese and silicon iron markets have strong price support at the bottom [1][2][3][5][6][7] Summary by Category Steel - The disk showed a weak and volatile trend. The demand and production of thread steel and hot rolled coil both declined, with inventory changes varying. Iron - water production continued to fall, and the negative feedback pressure in the industrial chain remained to be alleviated. The overall domestic demand was weak, and steel exports declined from the high level. The disk was under pressure, and attention should be paid to the support at the lower edge of the shock range and marginal demand changes [1] Iron Ore - The disk declined. The global iron ore shipment was at a high level, and the domestic arrival volume increased significantly. The port inventory was accumulating. The terminal demand entered the off - season, and the iron - water production continued to decrease. The supply - demand relationship was gradually loosening, and there was still a risk of negative feedback in the off - season industrial chain. It was expected to be in a weak and volatile state [2] Coke - The price fluctuated downward. After the third round of price increase was quickly implemented, there was an expectation of a fourth round. The coking profit was average, and the daily production and inventory decreased slightly. The downstream demand was weak, and the steel mills had a strong desire to lower the price. The disk price was at a premium, and it was expected to be in a relatively strong and volatile state [3] Coking Coal - The price fluctuated downward. The Mongolian coal import volume was high, and the coking coal production decreased slightly. The total inventory increased slightly, and attention should be paid to the impact of safety inspections. The downstream demand was weak, and the steel mills had a strong desire to lower the price. The disk price was at a discount to Mongolian coal, and it was expected to be in a relatively strong and volatile state [5] Silicon Manganese - The price fluctuated. The iron - water production continued to decline, while the weekly production of silicon manganese increased slightly, and the inventory was slowly accumulating. The manganese ore inventory decreased slightly, and the price had strong support at the bottom [6] Silicon Iron - The price fluctuated. The iron - water production continued to decline, but the export demand increased to about 40,000 tons, and the secondary demand increased marginally. The supply remained at a high level, and the inventory decreased. The price had strong support at the bottom [7]